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We can’t
Save the Planet
with Green Myths!
By Nalaka Gunawardene
Science Writer, Blogger & Media Watcher
Columnist (Ravaya, Ceylon Today)
nalakagunawardene.com


Sri Lanka Rationalists Association
Colombo: 7 June 2012
My Approach…
 Covered  science, technology
  & environment in public
  media for 25 yrs…
 ‘Bridging’ experts & publics…
 Asking many questions…
 Seeking answers & clarity:
   Curious, eager, open-minded
   Sceptical enquirer
   With wide-ranging interests
My Premise…
 We’re faced with many & varied
  environmental problems
 Complex, interlinked causes  effects
 No easy solutions or ‘quick fixes’
 Path to viable solutions found thru:
       Evidence (from research, field
        observations)
       Public discussion & debate
       Consideration of choices &
        alternatives
       Sustaining implementation
MYTHS get in the way…
 Discourage  individual action
 Feed into apathy & fatalism
 Mislead collective action
 Misguide/distort policy
 Can also lead, in some cases, to:
   waste of public funds
   Irreversible damage/loss
   lost opportunities to act in time
   massive costs of repair/restoration
Science: A Journey of Discovery
 No  absolute truths in science
 No dogmas or SACRED COWS!
 Scientific method:
   Questions everything
   Investigates hypothesis
   Gathers and analyses evidence
   Draws conclusions
   Remains open for later revision
Believe it – or Not?
“One of the most widespread
human weaknesses is our
readiness to accept claims that fit
our beliefs and reject those that
clash with them. We demand
impossible standards of proof
when confronted with something        - George Monbiot,
                                      journalist/columnist,
we don’t want to hear -- but will     The Guardian, UK
believe any old cobblers if it
                                      www.monbiot.com/2
confirms our prejudices…”             011/11/22/how-the-
                                      greens-were-misled/
Eco Myths: 3 Kinds (my sorting)
First Kind:            Second Kind:               Third Kind:
   Honest mistakes       Exaggerations or          Fabrications by
    that gained            distortions that           vested interests
    currency               started with facts        False science
                           Repeated by many           and/or
   Probably based     
                                                      interpretations
    on outdated info       without question
                          Can harm believer
                                                     Actively peddled to
   Does no great                                     confuse public
    harm to holders        in some situations
                                                     Great potential for
    or wider society      Some policy
                                                      misleading public
                           implications, but no
   No major policy                                  Intended to rig
                           major damage
    implications           possible                   policy & regulation
Sri Lanka: An Island of Legend, Lore
and Modern Myths?
 Burden of a  long history:
  fact & lore mixed up!
 25 Centuries of stories,
  some taller than others…
 21st Century Lanka:
  creating modern myths
 Lankans also like to
  peddle conspiracy
  theories!
Lanka: Eco Myths - Historical
 Myth:   All our environmental problems
  started with colonisation & modernisation.
  Fact: Generalisations not possible. Analyse
  each trend on its own.
 Myth: All exotic species are harmful. Native
  species are better (Us vs. Them?)
  Fact: Generalisations highly misleading. No
  country is an island - genetically speaking.
  It’s a mixed & mashed up world. Get used to
  it!
Sri Lanka:
Spice Island or Bland Nation?
“The diverse origins didn’t really
matter: the islanders knew just
how to mix the native and
foreign to achieve legendary
results. As Sri Lanka embarks on
national integration and
reconciliation after three
decades of war, it’s worth
recalling this particular aspect
of our heritage…”
– Nalaka Gunawardene op-ed
July 2009: contd. 
Sri Lanka:
Spice Island or Bland Nation?
“Sri Lanka is more resilient
than we think — and more
vibrant and diverse than it
appears at first glance.
“Let genes, ideas and spices
flow freely again!”
- Nalaka Gunawardene, in essay
first published in July 2009
Full text at: http://tiny.cc/SpiceIsle
Lanka: More Eco Myths – the Air
 Myth: Factory fumes are mostly
  responsible for polluting the air we
  breathe.
  Fact: Over 60% of outdoor air pollution in
  LK caused by vehicle exhaust emissions.
  Diesel power plant emissions are also
  significant.
 Myth: Staying indoors can protect you
  from worst exposure to air pollution.
  Fact: Not always. Indoor air pollution from
  poorly ventilated kitchens is a major
  health hazard to women & children.
Cartoonists: Do they reflect or shape
 public perceptions on problems?




Cartoon by W R Wijesoma, doyen of Lankan cartoonists, circa 1990
Cartoon by W R Wijesoma, 1993
Even younger cartoonists believe
 factories are biggest air polluters!




Cartoon by Ramesh de Silva, 2010: British Council Climate Cartoons Contest
Cartoon by M M D M Dileepa Dolawatta, 2010: British Council Climate Cartoons Contest
Whether we admit or not…
We’re ALL part of the problem!
Why don’t we see more cartoons
like this in Lankan media?
More Eco Myths:
    What drives Lanka’s deforestation?
 Myth: Politically-backed illicit
  loggers are ‘mostly responsible’ for
  LK deforestation. “It’s all to do
  with greed and corruption!”
 Fact: Illicit logging for timber does
  happen -- but NOT the main
  reason for Ldeclining forest cover.
 Deforestation & forest degradation
  result from complex, multiple
  causes.
 There is no single ‘villain’!
What drives Lanka’s deforestation?
 Sri Lanka’s forest cover estimated
  at 22.4% of total land in 1999.
 Forest cover decline driven mostly
  by land uses (demand for land):
       Large scale Irrigation schemes incl
        Mahaweli River project
       Expanding human settlements &
        public infrastructure, e.g. roads
       Growing food & cash crops
       Activities in other sectors also
        impact forest cover, e.g. hydro
        power reservoirs that flood forests
Where do we source our timber?
 Myth: More    timber we
  consume, more natural forests
  will be ‘sacrificed’ to source it.
 Fact: Not quite. Most of Lanka’s
  timber (70%) & firewood (80%)
  now harvested from trees
  OUTSIDE natural forests.
 Trees a renewable resource that
  can be grown!
Who drives Lanka’s deforestation?




Cartoon by W R Wijesoma, circa 1992
Who drives Lanka’s deforestation?




         Cartoon by W R Wijesoma drawn to illustrate
         Nalaka Gunawardene article on elephants
         running out of habitat in Lanka’s forests; 1993
The ‘Sinharaja Mentality’?
“How many environmentally
concerned Lankans can name
specific forest areas besides the
much hyped Sinharaja, Yala (and
perhaps Wilpattu)? Most can’t!
There are more biologically
diverse forests in Sri Lanka than
Sinharaja - but far less known…”
– Dr Alawattagoda Pemadasa,
botanist & writer, quoted in the
late 1980s
Eco Myths Galore:
Too much ‘hot air’ on Climate Change…
What Sane Limits of Scepticism?
There is also much confusion!
Media Reports:
‘Climate Disaster’ in the making?
“3 Lankan Districts in
Danger!
No rice cultivation in
Anuradhapura,
Polonnaruwa &
Hambantota Districts
Part of Colombo will
submerge”
   Lankadeepa, top-selling Sinhala daily newspaper in
    Sri Lanka, front page lead on 8 Dec 2007
The Nation newspaper, 23 Oct 2007
Fears on Climate Change
 “Sea levels will rise,
                       submerging
  many of Lanka’s coastal areas”
 “Threaten our food (rice)
  production & fresh water”
 “Disasters will increase,
  threatening life & property”
 “Global warming can even
  trigger tsunamis!”
Many are based on some basis…
Weather Extreme…
Or “Foreign Interference”?




By Gihan de Chickera, Daily Mirror, 19 Jan 2011
What do
Lankan people
think or know
about Climate?
Public Perceptions on
Climate Change in Sri Lanka 2010
 1,000 Lankans  aged 18 & above
 Surveyed during: March – April 2010
 Conducted by market research firm,
  Survey Research Lanka (Pvt) Limited
 For Strengthening Capacity for Climate
  Change Adaptation Project, Ministry of
  Environment
 Supervised by Dr Buddhi Weerasinghe
  & Nalaka Gunawardene
 Results released: Nov 2010
Surveying Public Perceptions on
Environment & Climate in Sri Lanka
 To map out what ordinary Lankans
  FEEL/RECALL about:
   changes in local environment
   if/what they THINK about climate change

 Opinion survey,   NOT a test of
  knowledge
 Answers collated, but not judged
 Snapshot of popular beliefs, worries and
  fears on current environment…
Survey Sample…
 1,000 respondents
 All 25 districts of Sri Lanka
 Urban: 144; Rural: 856
 Wet Zone: 42%; Intermediate Zone: 31%;
  Dry Zone: 27%
 54% women; 46% men
 Average age: 40 years
 Average respondent: 10 years of schooling
 Just over 50% of respondents wage-earners
 Total income of average sample household:
  LKR 22,600 (USD 200)/month
Percentage of
people who feel
that rains don’t
come on time
anymore...
Do you think the
temperatures have
 changed in your
area in the past 10
      years ?




       90%            said:
                      temperatures
                      are higher
Why do you think rainfall, temp. &
other natural factors changed?
   “Deforestation, tree felling, setting fire to wilderness
    & extinction of wildlife” (74%)
   “Air pollution caused by vehicle emissions” (11%)
   “Accelerated development of projects and
    construction activities” (11%)
   “Air pollution caused by factories” (10%)
   “Population growth” (8%)
   “Air pollution” (7%)
   “Environmental pollution” (6%)
   “Due to natural disasters” (5%)
   “Destroying the ozone layer” (3%)
   “Nuclear testing” (3%)
   “Water pollution by use of agro-chemicals” (3%)
   “Cannot say” (7%)
Do you know of any other reasons that
cause Climate Change?
 “Tsunami” (12%)
 “Earthquakes” (8%)
 “Floods” (8%)
 “Melting of icebergs and ice-caps on
  mountains” (7%)
 “Landslides” (6%)
 “Harm to the ozone layer” (6%)
 “Volcanic eruptions” (5%)            Multiple answers
 “Cyclones” (5%)                      were allowed.
 “Natural phenomenon” (5%)            Answers not
 “Do not know” (44%)                  prompted.
Top climate impacts feared…
Nearly 80% believe something can and
should be done about Climate Change.
We asked them: who should take action?
Me & my family                  77%

My local community              79%

Local government body           55%

Provincial administration       47%

National government             78%

United Nations / Global level   42%
Info sources on ALL current issues..
 Outdoor billboards, banners, etc              27%


         Educational institutions   7%


   Friends, neighbors, colleagues                    52%


 Public exhibitions, seminars,etc        13%


        Mobile phone/SMS alerts          13%


                         Internet   9%


                              TV                                  94%


                           Radio                            74%


     Newspapers and magazines                              70%
Survey Reports Online…
 Public Perceptions on Climate Change in
  Sri Lanka 2010 Survey: findings are
  published and in the public domain
 Illustrated summary with highlights:
  http://tiny.cc/PPSLSum
 Full report: http://tiny.cc/PPSL
 New story: www.tveap.org/?
  q=1011_mmc.php
 Another report by Centre for
  Environmental Justice done in Feb 2009,
  available at: www.elaw.org/node/3872
Some winning/commended entries of
Climate Change Cartoon Contest 2009
British Council Sri Lanka
Contest scope/rules
   Open to all Lankans aged 18 – 35
   Black & white cartoons (up to 5/person)
   6 themes:
      drought and water shortage
      deforestation & rain forest destruction
      melting of polar ice caps
      role of industry in polluting the
       atmosphere
      devastation of our seas & marine life
      climate change in an urban environment.
   Details: http://tiny.cc/CCCartoon
Second Prize




Second Place: Cartoon by M M D Dileepa Dolawatta
Third Prize




Third Place: Cartoon by Ms M W D Nishani
Climate Change: No Escape…
 Climate change: reality we can’t escape.
 Our contribution to global warming is
  negligible.
 But already facing negative impacts, e.g.
    Increases in frequency/intensity of
     disasters
    Variability of rainfall patterns
    Temperature increases
    Sea level rise (slow but steady)
 These will be more severe in future.
Lanka WILL BE Impacted…
but exactly when and how?
“A major part of Jaffna and other
northern areas of Sri Lanka will
be submerged when sea levels
rise. So people are fighting and
dying over areas that may soon
not be there.”
- Dr Mohan Munasinghe, former vice chair,
UN-IPCC [In 2007 media interview given to
IPS -- while Lanka’s war was still on!]
Full text:
http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=37463
We should worry more about effects
on Monsoons with major impacts

                                          We are ALL
                                          Children of
                                          the Monsoon
                                          in South Asia!
                                          Even small
                                          change can
                                          affect 1.5
                                          billion people

Image by Kalpana-1 Indian satellite, 18 May 2010
Adaptation: Living with climate
 change impacts!
 In order to protect our people &
  national interests, we must plan for
  and adapt to expected climate
  change impacts.
 Climate change adaptation is not a
  choice. It’s an imperative.
 National Climate Change
  Adaptation Strategy 2011-2016,
  ADB/Govt of Sri Lanka
 Full Report at:
  www.climatechange.lk/Publications
  .html
Climate Communication Challenges…
 How to communicate a clear,
  coherent message on CC?
 How to avoid climate related
  public scare mongering?
 Dangers of over-stating the case?
 Separating climate impacts from
  effects of other human activities
 Short term survival vs. long term
  climate adaptation
 Moving BEYOND RHETORIC!
Everyone Loves a Good Myth?
From Jana Thakshana Puwath, Vol 2, No 3
Published by Practical Action Sri Lanka, 2008
Summing Up:
 MYTHS can entertain - but not save us!
 Myths & legends are part of culture:
  people are not always logical,
  evidence-based or rational
 Modern humans: like to create their
  own ‘urban legends’!
 Believing and/or peddling myths is part
  of individual liberty…
 AS LONG AS it causes no harm!
                                        Green Dragon named
 WORRY: when myths distort public
                                        Ai-Ai-Yo, made in
  debate, misdirect policy or threaten China and gifted to
  public safety and/or lives            Sri Lanka (OK, I’m
                                       just kidding here!)
I’m NOT arguing for simplistic,
purely technocratic solutions…
 Like individuals, nations are also
  not always driven by rational
  arguments & scientific logic
  alone…
 Emotions & beliefs matter, too!
 Don’t look for simple techno
  fixes to real world problems…
 MY PLEA: Open-minded, broad-
  based discussion & debate,
  instead of DOGMA or BELIEF!
As I’ve been saying for 20 years:
No room for apathy or fatalism…
“There is a common perception
[in Sri Lanka] that the cumulative
environmental impacts of the          - Nalaka
                                      Gunawardene
liberalised economy,
government-driven development         “Bridging the Gap
                                      Between
programmes and population             Perception and
pressures are both inevitable and     Reality”
irreversible -- and that individual   Op-ed written for
action cannot make a difference.      IIED Perspectives
This is wrong…”                       (London) in 1993
Go Beyond Sentimentality…
"Sentimental stuff is fine to
listen to and was actually
inspiring 20 years or more
ago, but absolutely counter-
productive now! One has to
positively contribute to
economics, livelihoods or       -- Dr Jinie Dela,
                                Primatologist and
other human aspirations to
                                Member, IUCN
get through to most             Commission on
people…”                        Education and
                                Communication
But we need Tree-huggers too!
“Without the tree huggers, we
would be lost without ways to
convince people and politicians on
critical environmental issues. So,
while I agree that they cannot solve
the environmental issues of our day
by themselves, neither can the
                                     - Lalanath de Silva
scientists or politicians. These     Director, The Access
complex issues require honest        Initiative, World
partnerships between all: the        Resources Institute,
scientists, the tree huggers, the    Washington,DC
politicians, the companies, etc.”
Eco Myth-Busters Beware!
 True Greens love their little myths…
 My Blogpost, April 2009:
  “Much-touted & lyrical
  speech attributed to
  native American Chief
  Seattle not his words”
 No verbatim record of
  his 1854 speech
 Famous words: written
                             ‘Chief Seattle speech’: Global
  in 1970 by Ted Perry for
                             environmental legend, or
  a green film script!       pervasive myth?
 Eco Defenders cry foul:
  “Hands off sacred chief”   Full Text & heated discussion:
                             http://tiny.cc/MythChief
What’s in a name?
Earth: Home planet, Mother or God?
Thanks…
Everything here is open to debate!
Email:
alien@nalaka.org
Blog:
nalakagunawardene.com
Twitter:
twitter.com/NalakaG

Thanks to: Dr Jini Dela, Lalanath de Silva, Rohan Pethiyagoda,
Dr Janaka Ratnasiri, Dr Ranil Senanayake, Dilrukshi
Handunnetti, Dr Buddhi Weerasinghe for ideas & refs
They are not responsible for my interpretations & opinions!

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Myths Can't Save the Environment - by Nalaka Gunawardene 7 June 2012

  • 1. We can’t Save the Planet with Green Myths! By Nalaka Gunawardene Science Writer, Blogger & Media Watcher Columnist (Ravaya, Ceylon Today) nalakagunawardene.com Sri Lanka Rationalists Association Colombo: 7 June 2012
  • 2. My Approach…  Covered science, technology & environment in public media for 25 yrs…  ‘Bridging’ experts & publics…  Asking many questions…  Seeking answers & clarity:  Curious, eager, open-minded  Sceptical enquirer  With wide-ranging interests
  • 3. My Premise…  We’re faced with many & varied environmental problems  Complex, interlinked causes  effects  No easy solutions or ‘quick fixes’  Path to viable solutions found thru:  Evidence (from research, field observations)  Public discussion & debate  Consideration of choices & alternatives  Sustaining implementation
  • 4. MYTHS get in the way…  Discourage individual action  Feed into apathy & fatalism  Mislead collective action  Misguide/distort policy  Can also lead, in some cases, to:  waste of public funds  Irreversible damage/loss  lost opportunities to act in time  massive costs of repair/restoration
  • 5. Science: A Journey of Discovery  No absolute truths in science  No dogmas or SACRED COWS!  Scientific method:  Questions everything  Investigates hypothesis  Gathers and analyses evidence  Draws conclusions  Remains open for later revision
  • 6. Believe it – or Not? “One of the most widespread human weaknesses is our readiness to accept claims that fit our beliefs and reject those that clash with them. We demand impossible standards of proof when confronted with something - George Monbiot, journalist/columnist, we don’t want to hear -- but will The Guardian, UK believe any old cobblers if it www.monbiot.com/2 confirms our prejudices…” 011/11/22/how-the- greens-were-misled/
  • 7. Eco Myths: 3 Kinds (my sorting) First Kind: Second Kind: Third Kind:  Honest mistakes  Exaggerations or  Fabrications by that gained distortions that vested interests currency started with facts  False science Repeated by many and/or  Probably based  interpretations on outdated info without question  Can harm believer  Actively peddled to  Does no great confuse public harm to holders in some situations  Great potential for or wider society  Some policy misleading public implications, but no  No major policy  Intended to rig major damage implications possible policy & regulation
  • 8. Sri Lanka: An Island of Legend, Lore and Modern Myths?  Burden of a long history: fact & lore mixed up!  25 Centuries of stories, some taller than others…  21st Century Lanka: creating modern myths  Lankans also like to peddle conspiracy theories!
  • 9. Lanka: Eco Myths - Historical  Myth: All our environmental problems started with colonisation & modernisation. Fact: Generalisations not possible. Analyse each trend on its own.  Myth: All exotic species are harmful. Native species are better (Us vs. Them?) Fact: Generalisations highly misleading. No country is an island - genetically speaking. It’s a mixed & mashed up world. Get used to it!
  • 10. Sri Lanka: Spice Island or Bland Nation? “The diverse origins didn’t really matter: the islanders knew just how to mix the native and foreign to achieve legendary results. As Sri Lanka embarks on national integration and reconciliation after three decades of war, it’s worth recalling this particular aspect of our heritage…” – Nalaka Gunawardene op-ed July 2009: contd. 
  • 11. Sri Lanka: Spice Island or Bland Nation? “Sri Lanka is more resilient than we think — and more vibrant and diverse than it appears at first glance. “Let genes, ideas and spices flow freely again!” - Nalaka Gunawardene, in essay first published in July 2009 Full text at: http://tiny.cc/SpiceIsle
  • 12. Lanka: More Eco Myths – the Air  Myth: Factory fumes are mostly responsible for polluting the air we breathe. Fact: Over 60% of outdoor air pollution in LK caused by vehicle exhaust emissions. Diesel power plant emissions are also significant.  Myth: Staying indoors can protect you from worst exposure to air pollution. Fact: Not always. Indoor air pollution from poorly ventilated kitchens is a major health hazard to women & children.
  • 13. Cartoonists: Do they reflect or shape public perceptions on problems? Cartoon by W R Wijesoma, doyen of Lankan cartoonists, circa 1990
  • 14. Cartoon by W R Wijesoma, 1993
  • 15. Even younger cartoonists believe factories are biggest air polluters! Cartoon by Ramesh de Silva, 2010: British Council Climate Cartoons Contest
  • 16. Cartoon by M M D M Dileepa Dolawatta, 2010: British Council Climate Cartoons Contest
  • 17. Whether we admit or not… We’re ALL part of the problem!
  • 18. Why don’t we see more cartoons like this in Lankan media?
  • 19. More Eco Myths: What drives Lanka’s deforestation?  Myth: Politically-backed illicit loggers are ‘mostly responsible’ for LK deforestation. “It’s all to do with greed and corruption!”  Fact: Illicit logging for timber does happen -- but NOT the main reason for Ldeclining forest cover.  Deforestation & forest degradation result from complex, multiple causes.  There is no single ‘villain’!
  • 20. What drives Lanka’s deforestation?  Sri Lanka’s forest cover estimated at 22.4% of total land in 1999.  Forest cover decline driven mostly by land uses (demand for land):  Large scale Irrigation schemes incl Mahaweli River project  Expanding human settlements & public infrastructure, e.g. roads  Growing food & cash crops  Activities in other sectors also impact forest cover, e.g. hydro power reservoirs that flood forests
  • 21. Where do we source our timber?  Myth: More timber we consume, more natural forests will be ‘sacrificed’ to source it.  Fact: Not quite. Most of Lanka’s timber (70%) & firewood (80%) now harvested from trees OUTSIDE natural forests.  Trees a renewable resource that can be grown!
  • 22. Who drives Lanka’s deforestation? Cartoon by W R Wijesoma, circa 1992
  • 23. Who drives Lanka’s deforestation? Cartoon by W R Wijesoma drawn to illustrate Nalaka Gunawardene article on elephants running out of habitat in Lanka’s forests; 1993
  • 24. The ‘Sinharaja Mentality’? “How many environmentally concerned Lankans can name specific forest areas besides the much hyped Sinharaja, Yala (and perhaps Wilpattu)? Most can’t! There are more biologically diverse forests in Sri Lanka than Sinharaja - but far less known…” – Dr Alawattagoda Pemadasa, botanist & writer, quoted in the late 1980s
  • 25. Eco Myths Galore: Too much ‘hot air’ on Climate Change…
  • 26. What Sane Limits of Scepticism?
  • 27. There is also much confusion!
  • 28. Media Reports: ‘Climate Disaster’ in the making? “3 Lankan Districts in Danger! No rice cultivation in Anuradhapura, Polonnaruwa & Hambantota Districts Part of Colombo will submerge”  Lankadeepa, top-selling Sinhala daily newspaper in Sri Lanka, front page lead on 8 Dec 2007
  • 29. The Nation newspaper, 23 Oct 2007
  • 30. Fears on Climate Change  “Sea levels will rise, submerging many of Lanka’s coastal areas”  “Threaten our food (rice) production & fresh water”  “Disasters will increase, threatening life & property”  “Global warming can even trigger tsunamis!” Many are based on some basis…
  • 31. Weather Extreme… Or “Foreign Interference”? By Gihan de Chickera, Daily Mirror, 19 Jan 2011
  • 32. What do Lankan people think or know about Climate?
  • 33. Public Perceptions on Climate Change in Sri Lanka 2010  1,000 Lankans aged 18 & above  Surveyed during: March – April 2010  Conducted by market research firm, Survey Research Lanka (Pvt) Limited  For Strengthening Capacity for Climate Change Adaptation Project, Ministry of Environment  Supervised by Dr Buddhi Weerasinghe & Nalaka Gunawardene  Results released: Nov 2010
  • 34. Surveying Public Perceptions on Environment & Climate in Sri Lanka  To map out what ordinary Lankans FEEL/RECALL about:  changes in local environment  if/what they THINK about climate change  Opinion survey, NOT a test of knowledge  Answers collated, but not judged  Snapshot of popular beliefs, worries and fears on current environment…
  • 35. Survey Sample…  1,000 respondents  All 25 districts of Sri Lanka  Urban: 144; Rural: 856  Wet Zone: 42%; Intermediate Zone: 31%; Dry Zone: 27%  54% women; 46% men  Average age: 40 years  Average respondent: 10 years of schooling  Just over 50% of respondents wage-earners  Total income of average sample household: LKR 22,600 (USD 200)/month
  • 36.
  • 37. Percentage of people who feel that rains don’t come on time anymore...
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Do you think the temperatures have changed in your area in the past 10 years ? 90% said: temperatures are higher
  • 41. Why do you think rainfall, temp. & other natural factors changed?  “Deforestation, tree felling, setting fire to wilderness & extinction of wildlife” (74%)  “Air pollution caused by vehicle emissions” (11%)  “Accelerated development of projects and construction activities” (11%)  “Air pollution caused by factories” (10%)  “Population growth” (8%)  “Air pollution” (7%)  “Environmental pollution” (6%)  “Due to natural disasters” (5%)  “Destroying the ozone layer” (3%)  “Nuclear testing” (3%)  “Water pollution by use of agro-chemicals” (3%)  “Cannot say” (7%)
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44. Do you know of any other reasons that cause Climate Change?  “Tsunami” (12%)  “Earthquakes” (8%)  “Floods” (8%)  “Melting of icebergs and ice-caps on mountains” (7%)  “Landslides” (6%)  “Harm to the ozone layer” (6%)  “Volcanic eruptions” (5%) Multiple answers  “Cyclones” (5%) were allowed.  “Natural phenomenon” (5%) Answers not  “Do not know” (44%) prompted.
  • 45. Top climate impacts feared…
  • 46. Nearly 80% believe something can and should be done about Climate Change. We asked them: who should take action? Me & my family 77% My local community 79% Local government body 55% Provincial administration 47% National government 78% United Nations / Global level 42%
  • 47. Info sources on ALL current issues.. Outdoor billboards, banners, etc 27% Educational institutions 7% Friends, neighbors, colleagues 52% Public exhibitions, seminars,etc 13% Mobile phone/SMS alerts 13% Internet 9% TV 94% Radio 74% Newspapers and magazines 70%
  • 48. Survey Reports Online…  Public Perceptions on Climate Change in Sri Lanka 2010 Survey: findings are published and in the public domain  Illustrated summary with highlights: http://tiny.cc/PPSLSum  Full report: http://tiny.cc/PPSL  New story: www.tveap.org/? q=1011_mmc.php  Another report by Centre for Environmental Justice done in Feb 2009, available at: www.elaw.org/node/3872
  • 49. Some winning/commended entries of Climate Change Cartoon Contest 2009 British Council Sri Lanka
  • 50. Contest scope/rules  Open to all Lankans aged 18 – 35  Black & white cartoons (up to 5/person)  6 themes:  drought and water shortage  deforestation & rain forest destruction  melting of polar ice caps  role of industry in polluting the atmosphere  devastation of our seas & marine life  climate change in an urban environment.  Details: http://tiny.cc/CCCartoon
  • 51. Second Prize Second Place: Cartoon by M M D Dileepa Dolawatta
  • 52. Third Prize Third Place: Cartoon by Ms M W D Nishani
  • 53. Climate Change: No Escape…  Climate change: reality we can’t escape.  Our contribution to global warming is negligible.  But already facing negative impacts, e.g.  Increases in frequency/intensity of disasters  Variability of rainfall patterns  Temperature increases  Sea level rise (slow but steady)  These will be more severe in future.
  • 54. Lanka WILL BE Impacted… but exactly when and how? “A major part of Jaffna and other northern areas of Sri Lanka will be submerged when sea levels rise. So people are fighting and dying over areas that may soon not be there.” - Dr Mohan Munasinghe, former vice chair, UN-IPCC [In 2007 media interview given to IPS -- while Lanka’s war was still on!] Full text: http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=37463
  • 55. We should worry more about effects on Monsoons with major impacts We are ALL Children of the Monsoon in South Asia! Even small change can affect 1.5 billion people Image by Kalpana-1 Indian satellite, 18 May 2010
  • 56. Adaptation: Living with climate change impacts!  In order to protect our people & national interests, we must plan for and adapt to expected climate change impacts.  Climate change adaptation is not a choice. It’s an imperative.  National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy 2011-2016, ADB/Govt of Sri Lanka  Full Report at: www.climatechange.lk/Publications .html
  • 57. Climate Communication Challenges…  How to communicate a clear, coherent message on CC?  How to avoid climate related public scare mongering?  Dangers of over-stating the case?  Separating climate impacts from effects of other human activities  Short term survival vs. long term climate adaptation  Moving BEYOND RHETORIC!
  • 58. Everyone Loves a Good Myth?
  • 59. From Jana Thakshana Puwath, Vol 2, No 3 Published by Practical Action Sri Lanka, 2008
  • 60. Summing Up: MYTHS can entertain - but not save us!  Myths & legends are part of culture: people are not always logical, evidence-based or rational  Modern humans: like to create their own ‘urban legends’!  Believing and/or peddling myths is part of individual liberty…  AS LONG AS it causes no harm! Green Dragon named  WORRY: when myths distort public Ai-Ai-Yo, made in debate, misdirect policy or threaten China and gifted to public safety and/or lives Sri Lanka (OK, I’m just kidding here!)
  • 61. I’m NOT arguing for simplistic, purely technocratic solutions…  Like individuals, nations are also not always driven by rational arguments & scientific logic alone…  Emotions & beliefs matter, too!  Don’t look for simple techno fixes to real world problems…  MY PLEA: Open-minded, broad- based discussion & debate, instead of DOGMA or BELIEF!
  • 62. As I’ve been saying for 20 years: No room for apathy or fatalism… “There is a common perception [in Sri Lanka] that the cumulative environmental impacts of the - Nalaka Gunawardene liberalised economy, government-driven development “Bridging the Gap Between programmes and population Perception and pressures are both inevitable and Reality” irreversible -- and that individual Op-ed written for action cannot make a difference. IIED Perspectives This is wrong…” (London) in 1993
  • 63. Go Beyond Sentimentality… "Sentimental stuff is fine to listen to and was actually inspiring 20 years or more ago, but absolutely counter- productive now! One has to positively contribute to economics, livelihoods or -- Dr Jinie Dela, Primatologist and other human aspirations to Member, IUCN get through to most Commission on people…” Education and Communication
  • 64. But we need Tree-huggers too! “Without the tree huggers, we would be lost without ways to convince people and politicians on critical environmental issues. So, while I agree that they cannot solve the environmental issues of our day by themselves, neither can the - Lalanath de Silva scientists or politicians. These Director, The Access complex issues require honest Initiative, World partnerships between all: the Resources Institute, scientists, the tree huggers, the Washington,DC politicians, the companies, etc.”
  • 65. Eco Myth-Busters Beware! True Greens love their little myths…  My Blogpost, April 2009: “Much-touted & lyrical speech attributed to native American Chief Seattle not his words”  No verbatim record of his 1854 speech  Famous words: written ‘Chief Seattle speech’: Global in 1970 by Ted Perry for environmental legend, or a green film script! pervasive myth?  Eco Defenders cry foul: “Hands off sacred chief” Full Text & heated discussion: http://tiny.cc/MythChief
  • 66.
  • 67. What’s in a name? Earth: Home planet, Mother or God?
  • 68. Thanks… Everything here is open to debate! Email: alien@nalaka.org Blog: nalakagunawardene.com Twitter: twitter.com/NalakaG Thanks to: Dr Jini Dela, Lalanath de Silva, Rohan Pethiyagoda, Dr Janaka Ratnasiri, Dr Ranil Senanayake, Dilrukshi Handunnetti, Dr Buddhi Weerasinghe for ideas & refs They are not responsible for my interpretations & opinions!