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Aquilla
Apple Results Q2 2015
Summary and Commentary
Note: Apple Q2 = Calendar Q1
These data are derived from results published by Apple, Inc., from the published results
of other companies, and from assorted independent analysts, as identified in the slides.
The opinions are those of the author, and should in no way be interpreted as
investment advice.
Aquilla
Source: Apple Results
Quarterly Revenue
Extraordinary Growth
•Wall Street was bullish,
but revenues of $58.0B
left analysts on the
earnings call stunned
•These numbers are
leaving competitors in
the dust, as Samsung
Electronics saw
revenues fall by 12% in
Q4 (15% in USD), and
Samsung Mobile, which
fell by 20% (23% in
USD)
•Apple’s continued strong
growth is all the more
remarkable considering
the size of the company
today - the laws of large
numbers do not seem to
apply.
Comparative
Revenues
CQ1 2015
SamsungElectronics
Microsoft
Google
SamsungMobile
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
75%
90%
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
Q1
'09
Q2
'09
Q3
'09
Q4
'09
Q1
'10
Q2
'10
Q3
'10
Q4
'10
Q1
'11
Q2
'11
Q3
'11
Q4
'11
Q1
'12
Q2
'12
Q3
'12
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Revenue
Growth
(%)
Revenue
(B$)
Apple Revenue
Revenue B$ Revenue YoY Growth
Aquilla
Source: Apple Results
Cash, Investments & Capital Return
Capital Return Program Grows
•Apple generated $19.1B of cash from
operations in the Quarter, another
huge jump from the year-ago quarter
•The company returned $9.7B to
shareholders during the quarter,
mostly through Stock Repurchases
($7B), which offer Apple greater
flexibility than dividends
•Long and short term cash holdings
grew by $16B in the quarter, and the
company now has over $194B in
cash
•This is enough to pay off the national
debt of Malaysia or Switzerland (and
nearly that of Russia), and is more
than the GDP of New Zealand
•Cash held outside the US, for tax
reasons, is increasingly an issue:
Apple is borrowing in the US to fund
the capital return programme, while
the offshore cash approaches 90% of
the total ($171B)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Q1
'09
Q2
'09
Q3
'09
Q4
'09
Q1
'10
Q2
'10
Q3
'10
Q4
'10
Q1
'11
Q2
'11
Q3
'11
Q4
'11
Q1
'12
Q2
'12
Q3
'12
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Ex-US(B$)
Cash & Capital Return
Short Term Cash B$ Long Term Cash B$
Cash Generated B$ Capital Return B$
Non-US Held Cash %
Aquilla
Source: Apple Results
Revenue Mix by Product Line
iPhone dominates
•iPhone’s dominance
was massive, with
69% of the revenues,
and probably nearer
75-80% of the profit
in the quarter
•10% unit growth for
Mac, but declining
ASPs saw it gain only
2% in $ to a 9% share
of the mix
•iPad was the big loser,
declining a further
29%, and slipping
behind Mac in $
•Services continues to
grow (but needs
subscription audio)
•Other Products
declined with iPod,
which was about a
quarter of this
category in Q2 2014 -
Beats seems unable to
reverse this trend
Most recent
$ Share $ YoY
3% -10%
9% 9%
10% 2%
9% -29%
69% 55%
Services: iTunes, App, Mac App & iBooks Stores, AppleCare, Apple Pay, licensing, other services
Other Products: iPod, Apple TV, Beats Electronics and Apple-branded and third-party accessories
iPhone M$
iPad M$
Mac M$
Services M$
Other Products M$
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Q1
'09
Q2
'09
Q3
'09
Q4
'09
Q1
'10
Q2
'10
Q3
'10
Q4
'10
Q1
'11
Q2
'11
Q3
'11
Q4
'11
Q1
'12
Q2
'12
Q3
'12
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Product Line Revenue Mix
Aquilla
Services - Slowing
Tracking the trailing 12 months (current and 3
previous Quarters) eliminates seasonality, and
gives a better indication of the longer term trends
Source: Apple Results
Services: iTunes, App, Mac App & iBooks Stores, AppleCare, Apple Pay, licensing, other services
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
24,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Q1
'09
Q2
'09
Q3
'09
Q4
'09
Q1
'10
Q2
'10
Q3
'10
Q4
'10
Q1
'11
Q2
'11
Q3
'11
Q4
'11
Q1
'12
Q2
'12
Q3
'12
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Trailing 12m
Revenue
($M)
Revenue
($M)
Services Revenue
Services M$ Services Trailing 12m M$
Aquilla
Source: Apple Results
Geo Revenue and 12m Trailing
Americas/China Ticked Up
•Trailing 12 months shows clearly
where Apple’s growth is coming from
- Americas, China and APAC
•China was on fire, and also benefitted
from the Chinese New Year holiday
during the quarter, which is
increasingly a sales driver
•EMEIA appears to be slowing,
reflecting the developed nature of the
region and its sluggish economy
•Japan was the one weaker region, the
causes of which were not touched on
during the call.
•APAC is still small, but ticking up
strongly
Tracking the trailing 12 months (current and 3
previous Quarters) eliminates seasonality, and
gives a better indication of the longer term trends
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Q1
'09
Q2
'09
Q3
'09
Q4
'09
Q1
'10
Q2
'10
Q3
'10
Q4
'10
Q1
'11
Q2
'11
Q3
'11
Q4
'11
Q1
'12
Q2
'12
Q3
'12
Q4
'12
Q1
'13
Q2
'13
Q3
'13
Q4
'13
Q1
'14
Q2
'14
Q3
'14
Q4
'14
Q1
'15
Q2
'15
Q3
'15
Q4
'15
Revenue
$M
Geo Revenue and 12m Trailing Revenue
Americas EMEIA Greater China Japan APAC
Americas 12m Trailing EMEIA 12m Trailing Greater China 12m Trailing Japan 12m Trailing APAC 12m Trailing
Aquilla
Source: Apple Results
Competitive Landscape - Tablets
Apple still leads in declining market
•Apple still leads, but lost 6% of share YoY
•Cook identified cannibalisation by both Mac and
iPhone, and was relaxed about this
•The IBM partnership has still to bring a major impact,
but remains promising - sales cycles are long. First major
such deal (in Japan) just announced (hits Q3 onwards)
Q1’15 M Q1’15% Q1’14 M Q1’14% Change
Apple 12.6 26.8% 16.4 32.7% -22.9%
Samsung 9.0 19.1% 10.8 21.6% -16.7%
Lenovo 2.5 5.3% 2.0 4.1% 23.0%
ASUS 1.8 3.8% 2.6 5.2% -30.7%
LG 1.4 3.1% 0.1 0.2% 1423.7%
Others 19.7 41.9% 18.1 36.3% 8.6%
Total 47.1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% -5.9%
Q1 2015 Tablet Units (IDC)
Source: IDCSource: IDC
Aquilla
Apple’s Q2 Results Analysis - Full Slide Deck
Aquilla
Apple’s Q2 Results Analysis
These popular slides cover an in-depth analysis of
Apple’s historic record-beating Q2 results
The slides shown are an introduction
To receive the full set, including
charts, commentary, interpretation and outlook
plus all slides in full colour
contact
Aquilla Europe
nick@aquilla-europe.com
Aquilla
Nick Graves, CEO • nick@aquilla-europe.com • +44 780 225 6536
Aquilla Europe Ltd • Kennett Cottage • OX9 3QS • UK • www.aquilla-europe.com

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Apple q2'15 commentary intro

  • 1. Aquilla Apple Results Q2 2015 Summary and Commentary Note: Apple Q2 = Calendar Q1 These data are derived from results published by Apple, Inc., from the published results of other companies, and from assorted independent analysts, as identified in the slides. The opinions are those of the author, and should in no way be interpreted as investment advice.
  • 2. Aquilla Source: Apple Results Quarterly Revenue Extraordinary Growth •Wall Street was bullish, but revenues of $58.0B left analysts on the earnings call stunned •These numbers are leaving competitors in the dust, as Samsung Electronics saw revenues fall by 12% in Q4 (15% in USD), and Samsung Mobile, which fell by 20% (23% in USD) •Apple’s continued strong growth is all the more remarkable considering the size of the company today - the laws of large numbers do not seem to apply. Comparative Revenues CQ1 2015 SamsungElectronics Microsoft Google SamsungMobile 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 75% 90% 0 15 30 45 60 75 90 Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 Q4 '11 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 Q4 '14 Q1 '15 Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Q4 '15 Revenue Growth (%) Revenue (B$) Apple Revenue Revenue B$ Revenue YoY Growth
  • 3. Aquilla Source: Apple Results Cash, Investments & Capital Return Capital Return Program Grows •Apple generated $19.1B of cash from operations in the Quarter, another huge jump from the year-ago quarter •The company returned $9.7B to shareholders during the quarter, mostly through Stock Repurchases ($7B), which offer Apple greater flexibility than dividends •Long and short term cash holdings grew by $16B in the quarter, and the company now has over $194B in cash •This is enough to pay off the national debt of Malaysia or Switzerland (and nearly that of Russia), and is more than the GDP of New Zealand •Cash held outside the US, for tax reasons, is increasingly an issue: Apple is borrowing in the US to fund the capital return programme, while the offshore cash approaches 90% of the total ($171B) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 Q4 '11 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 Q4 '14 Q1 '15 Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Q4 '15 Ex-US(B$) Cash & Capital Return Short Term Cash B$ Long Term Cash B$ Cash Generated B$ Capital Return B$ Non-US Held Cash %
  • 4. Aquilla Source: Apple Results Revenue Mix by Product Line iPhone dominates •iPhone’s dominance was massive, with 69% of the revenues, and probably nearer 75-80% of the profit in the quarter •10% unit growth for Mac, but declining ASPs saw it gain only 2% in $ to a 9% share of the mix •iPad was the big loser, declining a further 29%, and slipping behind Mac in $ •Services continues to grow (but needs subscription audio) •Other Products declined with iPod, which was about a quarter of this category in Q2 2014 - Beats seems unable to reverse this trend Most recent $ Share $ YoY 3% -10% 9% 9% 10% 2% 9% -29% 69% 55% Services: iTunes, App, Mac App & iBooks Stores, AppleCare, Apple Pay, licensing, other services Other Products: iPod, Apple TV, Beats Electronics and Apple-branded and third-party accessories iPhone M$ iPad M$ Mac M$ Services M$ Other Products M$ 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 Q4 '11 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 Q4 '14 Q1 '15 Q2 '15 Product Line Revenue Mix
  • 5. Aquilla Services - Slowing Tracking the trailing 12 months (current and 3 previous Quarters) eliminates seasonality, and gives a better indication of the longer term trends Source: Apple Results Services: iTunes, App, Mac App & iBooks Stores, AppleCare, Apple Pay, licensing, other services 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 24,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 Q4 '11 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 Q4 '14 Q1 '15 Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Q4 '15 Trailing 12m Revenue ($M) Revenue ($M) Services Revenue Services M$ Services Trailing 12m M$
  • 6. Aquilla Source: Apple Results Geo Revenue and 12m Trailing Americas/China Ticked Up •Trailing 12 months shows clearly where Apple’s growth is coming from - Americas, China and APAC •China was on fire, and also benefitted from the Chinese New Year holiday during the quarter, which is increasingly a sales driver •EMEIA appears to be slowing, reflecting the developed nature of the region and its sluggish economy •Japan was the one weaker region, the causes of which were not touched on during the call. •APAC is still small, but ticking up strongly Tracking the trailing 12 months (current and 3 previous Quarters) eliminates seasonality, and gives a better indication of the longer term trends 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 Q4 '11 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Q2 '14 Q3 '14 Q4 '14 Q1 '15 Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Q4 '15 Revenue $M Geo Revenue and 12m Trailing Revenue Americas EMEIA Greater China Japan APAC Americas 12m Trailing EMEIA 12m Trailing Greater China 12m Trailing Japan 12m Trailing APAC 12m Trailing
  • 7. Aquilla Source: Apple Results Competitive Landscape - Tablets Apple still leads in declining market •Apple still leads, but lost 6% of share YoY •Cook identified cannibalisation by both Mac and iPhone, and was relaxed about this •The IBM partnership has still to bring a major impact, but remains promising - sales cycles are long. First major such deal (in Japan) just announced (hits Q3 onwards) Q1’15 M Q1’15% Q1’14 M Q1’14% Change Apple 12.6 26.8% 16.4 32.7% -22.9% Samsung 9.0 19.1% 10.8 21.6% -16.7% Lenovo 2.5 5.3% 2.0 4.1% 23.0% ASUS 1.8 3.8% 2.6 5.2% -30.7% LG 1.4 3.1% 0.1 0.2% 1423.7% Others 19.7 41.9% 18.1 36.3% 8.6% Total 47.1 100.0% 50.0 100.0% -5.9% Q1 2015 Tablet Units (IDC) Source: IDCSource: IDC
  • 8. Aquilla Apple’s Q2 Results Analysis - Full Slide Deck
  • 9. Aquilla Apple’s Q2 Results Analysis These popular slides cover an in-depth analysis of Apple’s historic record-beating Q2 results The slides shown are an introduction To receive the full set, including charts, commentary, interpretation and outlook plus all slides in full colour contact Aquilla Europe nick@aquilla-europe.com
  • 10. Aquilla Nick Graves, CEO • nick@aquilla-europe.com • +44 780 225 6536 Aquilla Europe Ltd • Kennett Cottage • OX9 3QS • UK • www.aquilla-europe.com