Climate Change and Wildlife
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Presentation by David King, U.S. Forest Service Northern Research Station.
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Climate Change and Wildlife
- 1. Climate Change and Wildlife David King Northern Research Station USFS Umass Amherst, MA
- 2. Presentation scope • “Wildlife” – As designated by DeGraaf and Yamasaki • Birds (226) • Mammals (65) • Reptiles (29) • Amphibians (23) • New England
- 4. 35 km north 66 m up Auer and King 2014 Prediction – Latitudinal and elevational shifts
- 5. 35 km north 66 m up Auer and King 2014 Prediction – Latitudinal and elevational shifts
- 6. Threats from climate change Staudinger et al. 2013 • Temperature extremes • Habitat shifts and alteration • Drought • Flooding
- 7. Habitat shifts and alteration Case Study: Spruce-fir birds Lambert et al. 2005 Bicknell’s thrush Yellow-bellied FlycatcherMagnolia Warbler
- 8. King et al. 2008 Habitat shifts and alteration Case Study: Spruce-fir birds
- 9. Beckage et al. 2008 Habitat shifts and alteration Case Study: Spruce-fir birds
- 10. Elevational shifts in NH Consistent with predictions DeLuca et al. In Review
- 11. Elevational shifts in NH Consistent with predictions Hamburg and Cogbill 1988
- 12. Elevational shifts in SF Contrary to predictions DeLuca et al. In Review
- 13. Elevational shifts in SF Contrary to predictions Foster and D’Amato 2015
- 14. Interactive effects Elevation shifts, predators, mast and CO2 DeLuca 2013
- 15. Interactive effects Elevation shifts, predators, mast and CO2 DeLuca 2013
- 16. Interactive effects Elevation shifts, predators, mast and CO2 DeLuca 2013
- 17. Duclos et al. In Prep. Species Distribution Climate H1 Direct vs. indirect effects
- 18. Duclos et al. In Prep. Species Distribution Climate Vegetation H2 H1 H2 Direct vs. indirect effects
- 19. Rines 2015 Direct vs. indirect effects
- 20. Strong et al. In Prep. Direct vs. indirect effects
- 21. Pauli et al. 2013 Loss of nivian/subnivian
- 24. Cox et al. 2013 Increased predation Thompson 2007
- 25. Both et al. 2006 Laney et al. 2015 Phenological mismatch
- 26. Disturbance and succession Smetzer, King and Schlossberg 2014.
- 28. Jones and Sievert 2009 Flooding
- 30. Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation – Consider landscape context and local relief
- 31. Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation – Consider landscape context and local relief • Impacts on habitat and hydrology – Manage for resistance/resilience
- 32. Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation – Consider landscape context and local relief • Impacts on habitat and hydrology – Manage for resistance/resilience • Climate impacts complex and interactive – Limits species-specific planning/mitigation
- 33. Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation – Consider landscape context and local relief • Impacts on habitat and hydrology – Manage for resistance/resilience • Climate impacts complex and interactive – Limits species-specific planning/mitigation • Adopt strategies robust to uncertainty – “low regrets” – Adaptive approach
- 34. Conclusions and discussion • Shifts observed with latitude and elevation – Consider landscape context and local relief • Impacts on habitat and hydrology – Manage for resistance/resilience • Climate impacts complex and interactive – Limits species-specific planning/mitigation • Adopt strategies robust to uncertainty – “low regrets” – Adaptive approach • Research and monitoring – Identify priorities/vulnerabilities – Management effectiveness
- 35. Questions?