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Connecting Markets




The Gas Target Model – Requirements
and consequences for the CEE Region


Thomas Kleefuß, CEO

18th Euroforum Annual Conference
Berlin, October 23rd 2012
AGENDA



Overview of Infrastructure developments in CEE

Making the European Gas Target Model work

Requirements for a new market design

Conclusion
Gazelle will transport from January Nord Stream
gas to Waidhaus and change gas flows in CEE
                                                    Commentary
                           Nord Stream
                                          Capacity 30 bcm/y
                                          Length 166km, size DN
        Gaspool                            1400, pressure PN 84
                   OPAL
                                          Budget €377mm (CZK 9,378mm)
                                          NET4GAS delivers projects on time
                                           and within budget:
                                            1,035 easement contracts
                                             negotiated and signed
                                            Transfer station in Brandov
                                             started-up in October 2011
  NCG
                                            First 20km will be completed by
         Gazelle
                                             November 1st 2012
                     VTP                    This will guarantee full entry
                                             capacity for all volumes from the
                                             GE contract and OPAL


                                          Start-up date January 1st 2013
Liquidity in CEE will improve by new gas supplies
                    from the southern corridor and the north south
                    connections enable market integration
The southern corridor will
trigger upstream
competition against
russian gas where as the
new North-South
Corridor(s) are will enable
to connect neighbouring
markets with just two
                                                                      PL- SK
(smaller) projects:                                  a)
                                             b)
a) Poland connection
   (using the SK-HUN
                                                             SK-HUN
   connection or existing                    TGL
   lines)
b) Oberkappel
   connection (in
   cooperation with TGL)

NB: a new corridor more East would
just create an additional route for
Russian Gas what isn‘t needed
The „Turn Table“ for Gas in Central Europe supports
              east-west and north-south transits

                                        Sayda
                      35 mil   m3/d     18 mil m3/d
35 mil m3/d
              Brandov
              Olbernhau
35 mil m3/d
92 mil m3/d Gazelle                                    Hospozín

                          93mil m3/d
                                                                                                0,5 – 2,5 mil m3/d

93 mil m3/d
                                                                                                            Český Těšín
       Waidhaus
30 mil m3/d
                                                                          70 mil m3/d


                                                        93 mil m3/d


                                                                      30 mil m3/d




                                                                                                       180 mil m3/d
                                                                                        HPS Lanžhot
                                 Významné předávací stanice                                           25 mil m3/d

                                                                                                                          5
NET4GAS is committed to develop and
             connect markets
                                 NET4GAS the Turn Table for Gas in CEE

                                                                                Pro-actively
                                            Develop innovative               design the market
                    Transform our
                strength into growth            products                    Influencing the market
   Pillars of                                 Fast, flexible and
                                                                                rules shaped by
                Development of assets:     transparent support of
improvement,                                                                EU, ENTSOG and ACER
                 New connections and       traders & suppliers and
 development        interconnectors,       other network operator
                                                                           Develop new tariffication
  and growth      efficient redesign of    business by innovative
                                                                            methods which allow
                   existing capacities     and customer-oriented
                                                                               financing of SoS
                                                  products
                         Asset Management                            Sales & Regulation
 NET4GAS             Operational and commercial excellence for a safe, reliable and
foundation                    environmentally friendly transport service
                               Performance-driven culture that inspires,
                                  develops and challenges employees

                                                                                                       6
“GATRAC” Bundled Hub-to-Hub products
             as a role model for Europe

                                        cross border gas transports
                                        can be met rather quickly by
                                        expansion of the GATRAC
                                        Benefits:
       TTF
                                           No need to amend legal
                                           framework if national legal
                                           rules are not mandatory
                                           for cross border capacities
                                           Similar procedures and
                                           contracts for all routes
                                           Compatible with TRAC X
                               VTP
                NCG
                                             VP
   PEG
                                     CEGH             current scope
                                                      of cooperation
                                                      possible future
                                                      routes
                                                                        7
F-BD
Our strategic vision was implemented in the Gas Target
           model – NET4GAS promotes market integration in CEE

                              NET4GAS Vision and Methods

                  9 – 11 functional gas market areas within the EU
                  (instead of 30+ today)                                      
European Gas
              Integration of trading regions via TSO consolidation with
Target Model
      of
                  strong focus on synergies
                                                                              
CEER / ACER       Remaining functional markets are sufficiently physically
                  connected – as long as congested connections
                  exit, market coupling procedures are applied                
                  Appropriate EU-wide tariffication methodology for TSOs
                  to be established (with cross-border cost allocation)       
                                                                                  8
Gas Target Model
                                                                                    EU Border                      LNG
                                                                                                    VP
                                                                                   Production                 Storage

                                                                                                Endcustomer


             Gasinfrastructure - EU Marktarchitecture
               today:                                                  tomorrow:

      28 E/X-Systems 1)                                   > 10 E/X-Systems 2)                         One european
                                                        As premises for functional                     E/X-System
   (national, sub-national)                                     markets

 6 national Systems: 40 bcm < x < 100 bcm
 4 national Systems: 12 bcm < x < 18 bcm                                                        To difficult and to long for
15 national Systems: 1 bcm < x < 9 bcm                                                                   realisation
 (x = annual consumption)

     1) after implementation of 3rd package
     2)no congestion or restriction in combination of Entry and Exit

                                                                                                                         9
Trading Regions enable i.e. faster establishment
             of functioning wholesale markets

                                                                 Trading Region AB = Cross-border
                                                                  entry/exit system including all nominated
         Trading Region model at a glance                         points on the transmission systems of
                                                                  countries A and B
                                                                 End-user Zone = National balancing zone
                                                                  for national final customers, no matter
         Country A                           Country B            the system (distribution or transmission)
                                                                  they are connected to
                    Trading Region AB                            Virtual point of the trading region serving
                                                                  as the sole marketplace of the trading
                                  VP                              region and all attached end-user zones.
                                                                  Shifting of gas between trading region
                                                                  and end-user zone is done by nominating
                                                                  a virtual exit on the VP.
                                                                 A trading region allows shipper to
     End-user                                        End-user     bundled their purchase portfolios but not
                                                                  the supply portfolios of the countries
     Zone A                                            Zone B     inside
                                                                 Storages and indigenous productions of
        Final customers (A)            Final customers (B)        the countries inside the region are linked
                                                                  to the VP
                                                                 The trading region model reduces the
                E or X contract               X contract
                                                                  requirements of legal conditions between
                                                                  participating countries for establishing of
                                                                  cross-border markets as much as
 NB: Trading regions can be developed also for more than two
                                                       ,          possible
 countries and don’t hamper the establishment of full merged
 markets later
                                   -
10
The pilot project of “Trading Region” is a
        first step towards the Gas Target Model

               Trading Region in Central Europe                        Commentary



                                   PL-Hub               A Central European trading region would
                 Gaspool                                  facilitate the creation of one common virtual
                                                          trading point and the establishment of a single
                                                          gas exchange, the benefits of which are:
                                                           Establishing a functioning gas market with
                                                             hub-to-hub capacity products to all
                                                             neighbouring markets and potentially
     NCG                                                     beyond
                            (CEGH+)                        Cross-regional arbitrage opportunities and
                                             HUN-Hub         diversification of gas suppliers
                                                           Increasing liquidity and pricing competition
                                                           Shift of idle transit capacities to required
        PSV                                                  intra-market capacities
                                                           Reduction of pipe-to-pipe competition and
                                                             optimal application of existing pipeline
                                                             infrastructure within region




Trading Hubs
Connection to Oberkappel will support an
             EU-North-South corridor and serve as a
             backbone for a trading region CZ-A-SK-HU
               Oberkappel connection                              Most efficient investment
                                                                   compared to WAG
                                                                   extension
                                                                  N4G North-South-corridor
                                                                   to Poland is already
                                                                   reflected in the European
              2                                                    Investment plans (#1).
                                                 1                 (Moravia Project)
Oberkappel
                                                                  N4G now tries to include
connection                                                         Oberkappel connection in
                                                                   the regional and European
                                                      Eustream     investment plans (#2)
                            Baumgarten

    UGS      Interconnection point       Compressor station

                                                                                           12
13
Market Survey 5GL was promising with regard
                to the connection between Austria and Italy
Partner (TSOs) and necessary investments
         Tauerngasleitung GmbH, TGL GmbH: Tauerngasleitung from Haiming (D) to Tarvisio (I) and
          connection to Slovenia (app. €1,2 bn )
         NET4GAS. s.r.o.: N4G-Oberkappel Interconnection, ONI (app. € 150 mio )
         Bayernets GmbH: “Monaco-Pipeline” (intra national grid extension)
         Geoplin Plinovodi: Interconnection to the Tauerngasleitung

   Interconnecting five gas markets
      o   Germany (NCG, Gaspool)
      o   Austria (VTP = CEGH)
      o   Italy (PSV)
      o   Czech Republic (VOB)
      o   Slovenia (VTP)
   Market Survey
      o   Start: August 2011
      o   End: November 2011
      o   More than 230 shippers informed
      o   Results expected soon
•   Supported by
      o   National Regulators
      o   EC DG Energy
   Implementation
      o   Depends on the results of the recent market
          survey and a possible open season procedure
      o   Not before 2016/17
The Gas Target Model will work, if….

 Regulators will offer a stable outlook and leave TSOs incentives for cooperation
 Regulators will take a long term view and develop new financing mechanisms for
   sufficient transit and SoS capacities
 TSOs and shippers take an active role in regional markets developments
 the development and implementation of Hub-to-Hub capacity products e.g. (GATRAC)
   will be supported by all stakeholders incl. shippers and producers
 Efficient Investments will made
   Based on integrated grid and capacity mapping
   in line future market design (gas target model)
   more integration (include existing assets) than „in addition“ (avoiding asset
     competition)
 TSO consolidations will take place - also cross border
 regulatory regimes for all infrastructure will be harmonized
Connecting Markets




               Thank you for your attention!




  Berlin, October 23rd 2012

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Thomas Kleefuß: The Gas Target Model – Requirements and consequences for the CEE Region

  • 1. Connecting Markets The Gas Target Model – Requirements and consequences for the CEE Region Thomas Kleefuß, CEO 18th Euroforum Annual Conference Berlin, October 23rd 2012
  • 2. AGENDA Overview of Infrastructure developments in CEE Making the European Gas Target Model work Requirements for a new market design Conclusion
  • 3. Gazelle will transport from January Nord Stream gas to Waidhaus and change gas flows in CEE Commentary Nord Stream  Capacity 30 bcm/y  Length 166km, size DN Gaspool 1400, pressure PN 84 OPAL  Budget €377mm (CZK 9,378mm)  NET4GAS delivers projects on time and within budget:  1,035 easement contracts negotiated and signed  Transfer station in Brandov started-up in October 2011 NCG  First 20km will be completed by Gazelle November 1st 2012 VTP  This will guarantee full entry capacity for all volumes from the GE contract and OPAL  Start-up date January 1st 2013
  • 4. Liquidity in CEE will improve by new gas supplies from the southern corridor and the north south connections enable market integration The southern corridor will trigger upstream competition against russian gas where as the new North-South Corridor(s) are will enable to connect neighbouring markets with just two PL- SK (smaller) projects: a) b) a) Poland connection (using the SK-HUN SK-HUN connection or existing TGL lines) b) Oberkappel connection (in cooperation with TGL) NB: a new corridor more East would just create an additional route for Russian Gas what isn‘t needed
  • 5. The „Turn Table“ for Gas in Central Europe supports east-west and north-south transits Sayda 35 mil m3/d 18 mil m3/d 35 mil m3/d Brandov Olbernhau 35 mil m3/d 92 mil m3/d Gazelle Hospozín 93mil m3/d 0,5 – 2,5 mil m3/d 93 mil m3/d Český Těšín Waidhaus 30 mil m3/d 70 mil m3/d 93 mil m3/d 30 mil m3/d 180 mil m3/d HPS Lanžhot Významné předávací stanice 25 mil m3/d 5
  • 6. NET4GAS is committed to develop and connect markets NET4GAS the Turn Table for Gas in CEE Pro-actively Develop innovative design the market Transform our strength into growth products Influencing the market Pillars of Fast, flexible and rules shaped by Development of assets: transparent support of improvement, EU, ENTSOG and ACER New connections and traders & suppliers and development interconnectors, other network operator Develop new tariffication and growth efficient redesign of business by innovative methods which allow existing capacities and customer-oriented financing of SoS products Asset Management Sales & Regulation NET4GAS Operational and commercial excellence for a safe, reliable and foundation environmentally friendly transport service Performance-driven culture that inspires, develops and challenges employees 6
  • 7. “GATRAC” Bundled Hub-to-Hub products as a role model for Europe cross border gas transports can be met rather quickly by expansion of the GATRAC Benefits: TTF No need to amend legal framework if national legal rules are not mandatory for cross border capacities Similar procedures and contracts for all routes Compatible with TRAC X VTP NCG VP PEG CEGH current scope of cooperation possible future routes 7 F-BD
  • 8. Our strategic vision was implemented in the Gas Target model – NET4GAS promotes market integration in CEE NET4GAS Vision and Methods  9 – 11 functional gas market areas within the EU (instead of 30+ today)  European Gas  Integration of trading regions via TSO consolidation with Target Model of strong focus on synergies  CEER / ACER  Remaining functional markets are sufficiently physically connected – as long as congested connections exit, market coupling procedures are applied   Appropriate EU-wide tariffication methodology for TSOs to be established (with cross-border cost allocation)  8
  • 9. Gas Target Model EU Border LNG VP Production Storage Endcustomer Gasinfrastructure - EU Marktarchitecture today: tomorrow: 28 E/X-Systems 1) > 10 E/X-Systems 2) One european As premises for functional E/X-System (national, sub-national) markets 6 national Systems: 40 bcm < x < 100 bcm 4 national Systems: 12 bcm < x < 18 bcm To difficult and to long for 15 national Systems: 1 bcm < x < 9 bcm realisation (x = annual consumption) 1) after implementation of 3rd package 2)no congestion or restriction in combination of Entry and Exit 9
  • 10. Trading Regions enable i.e. faster establishment of functioning wholesale markets  Trading Region AB = Cross-border entry/exit system including all nominated Trading Region model at a glance points on the transmission systems of countries A and B  End-user Zone = National balancing zone for national final customers, no matter Country A Country B the system (distribution or transmission) they are connected to Trading Region AB  Virtual point of the trading region serving as the sole marketplace of the trading VP region and all attached end-user zones. Shifting of gas between trading region and end-user zone is done by nominating a virtual exit on the VP.  A trading region allows shipper to End-user End-user bundled their purchase portfolios but not the supply portfolios of the countries Zone A Zone B inside  Storages and indigenous productions of Final customers (A) Final customers (B) the countries inside the region are linked to the VP  The trading region model reduces the E or X contract X contract requirements of legal conditions between participating countries for establishing of cross-border markets as much as NB: Trading regions can be developed also for more than two , possible countries and don’t hamper the establishment of full merged markets later - 10
  • 11. The pilot project of “Trading Region” is a first step towards the Gas Target Model Trading Region in Central Europe Commentary PL-Hub  A Central European trading region would Gaspool facilitate the creation of one common virtual trading point and the establishment of a single gas exchange, the benefits of which are:  Establishing a functioning gas market with hub-to-hub capacity products to all neighbouring markets and potentially NCG beyond (CEGH+)  Cross-regional arbitrage opportunities and HUN-Hub diversification of gas suppliers  Increasing liquidity and pricing competition  Shift of idle transit capacities to required PSV intra-market capacities  Reduction of pipe-to-pipe competition and optimal application of existing pipeline infrastructure within region Trading Hubs
  • 12. Connection to Oberkappel will support an EU-North-South corridor and serve as a backbone for a trading region CZ-A-SK-HU Oberkappel connection  Most efficient investment compared to WAG extension  N4G North-South-corridor to Poland is already reflected in the European 2 Investment plans (#1). 1 (Moravia Project) Oberkappel  N4G now tries to include connection Oberkappel connection in the regional and European Eustream investment plans (#2) Baumgarten UGS Interconnection point Compressor station 12
  • 13. 13
  • 14. Market Survey 5GL was promising with regard to the connection between Austria and Italy Partner (TSOs) and necessary investments  Tauerngasleitung GmbH, TGL GmbH: Tauerngasleitung from Haiming (D) to Tarvisio (I) and connection to Slovenia (app. €1,2 bn )  NET4GAS. s.r.o.: N4G-Oberkappel Interconnection, ONI (app. € 150 mio )  Bayernets GmbH: “Monaco-Pipeline” (intra national grid extension)  Geoplin Plinovodi: Interconnection to the Tauerngasleitung  Interconnecting five gas markets o Germany (NCG, Gaspool) o Austria (VTP = CEGH) o Italy (PSV) o Czech Republic (VOB) o Slovenia (VTP)  Market Survey o Start: August 2011 o End: November 2011 o More than 230 shippers informed o Results expected soon • Supported by o National Regulators o EC DG Energy  Implementation o Depends on the results of the recent market survey and a possible open season procedure o Not before 2016/17
  • 15. The Gas Target Model will work, if….  Regulators will offer a stable outlook and leave TSOs incentives for cooperation  Regulators will take a long term view and develop new financing mechanisms for sufficient transit and SoS capacities  TSOs and shippers take an active role in regional markets developments  the development and implementation of Hub-to-Hub capacity products e.g. (GATRAC) will be supported by all stakeholders incl. shippers and producers  Efficient Investments will made  Based on integrated grid and capacity mapping  in line future market design (gas target model)  more integration (include existing assets) than „in addition“ (avoiding asset competition)  TSO consolidations will take place - also cross border  regulatory regimes for all infrastructure will be harmonized
  • 16. Connecting Markets Thank you for your attention! Berlin, October 23rd 2012

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. So, N4G developed a visionandmethodsforfurthermarketintegrationWecheckedtheseideasas well againstthe N4G interestsandfound out, thatitispossibletocombine/connecttheimportanttargetsofthe EU/EC and ACER withthe N4G businesstargets in an appropriateway The resultisthehereoutlinedvisionincludingthemethodsformarketintegration.- These methodsandtheirimpact on N4G will beshown in thenext slides
  2. Presentation of the Trading Region AT-CR-SK, especially the impact on exiting transit and future „traffic“ Showing, how VP2VP products effects the N4G business positively (connetcing markets tightly together)N4G is located at the centre of European gas flows and is connected all but one neighbouring TSOs- A Central European trading region would facilitate the use of one VTP and gas exchange- Benefits would include - Hub-to-hub products - Diversification of supply - Increased liquidity - Optimal utilisation of existing infrastructure- Starting point is Gas Target model which N4G strongly contributed in order to initiate market region CEE. We want develop a market model on eye level with SK, A and later HU and PL and not been take over by NWE market design mainly Germany and BNetzA- Infrastructures in the future will be needed and N4G infrastructure shall be socialized in CEE market region in order to protect value- First mover advantage is allows to be able to set the rules as opposed to be dictated, e.g. 3rd energy package- Projects with Econtrol and CEGH are under way. Possibilities to become shareholders of CEGH may support our strategy