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weekly market outlook 23.04.12
1. Weekly Market Outlook 21 April 2012
make more, for sure.
SNAPSHOT
DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK
After suffering over two percentage point laceration last week, Indian stock markets managed to regain
16th Apr 2012 - 20th Apr 2012 some vitality in the week gone by, thanks largely to the RBI's bolder than expected liquidity easing stance.
Despite closing in the positive territory in four out of the five session, the domestic markets only managed
Weekly Markets over one and half a percent gains as market participants lacked any significant triggers to open fresh bets
post RBI's Monetary and Credit Policy. Stock markets in India made a cautiously optimistic start of the
Sensex 17,374 1.63% vital week as it became increasingly certain that in the backdrop of weak February industrial production
numbers and slight moderation in March WPI inflation to 6.89% v/s 6.95% in February, the Indian central
Nifty 5,291 1.61% bank, would start the liquidity easing cycle by cutting key interest rates. The benchmark indices rallied
Gold(US$/oz) 1,642.9 -0.99% with enthusiasm on Tuesday as market bulls fervently covered hefty short positions that got build up in
the past week after RBI delivered a substantial 50 basis points rate cut. The broader markets too snapped
Re/US$ 52.07 1.03% the week on a positive note with gains of over a percent but underperformed their larger peers.
Dow 13,029 1.39% 2000 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Apr 2012) 24
Nasdaq 3,000 -0.37% 23
1500 22
FX Res (US$ Bn) 293.141 0.07% 21
1000
20
Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) 500 19
18
Upto 20.04.12 FIIs DIIs 0 17
Total Apr 2012 218.5 -87.7 9-Apr 10-Apr 11-Apr 12-Apr 13-Apr 16-Apr 17-Apr 18-Apr 19-Apr 20-Apr
*NSE
Total 2012 39,451 -21,850 Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %
Weekly Sector Movement
Sectors Close %
Auto 10,753 5.88
Bankex 12,050 1.39
CD 6,687 0.72
CG 9,874 -0.27
FMCG 4,805 2.98
Healthcare 6,816 1.82
IT 5,461 1.05
Metal 11,279 3.33 In the sectoral space, the Auto counter rallied in top gear with BSE auto index rising for a seventh straight
session to a new all-time high on expectations that sales will improve after the RBI's 50 basis points cut
Oil & Gas 7,944 -0.47
in repo rate. Conversely, Oil & Gas sector remained top laggard for the week ahead of heavyweight
PSU 7,403 1.56 Reliance Industries fourth quarter earnings announcement. On NSE, Bank Nifty up 150.25 points or
1.46% to 10456.50, CNX IT up 66.60 points or 1.15% to 5849.45 while CNX mid- cap up 46.80 points or
Realty 1,771 0.38 0.62% to 7626.40 and CNX Nifty Junior up 40.65 points or 0.39% to 10458.90.
WEEK AHEAD
For the up coming week, the Volatility is expected to be at the fore as traders are expected to adjust their position with expiry of April F&O
contracts on Thursday April 26, 2012. Nevertheless, quarterly earnings of Reliance Industries, which has reported 21% drop in net earnings is
also expected to guide the markets in the coming week. Furthermore, trader's are expected to brace up for petrol price hike in the coming week
as state-run oil companies have served an ultimatum to the government stating that they would hike petrol price by almost Rs 10 per litre, if the
government did not reduce excise duty or did not compensate their Rs 49-crore daily loss on the fuel. Meanwhile, market men too would eye the
EGoM meet for 'sugar export policy' on April 25. The minister would discuss the mechanism for exports of 1 million tonnes of sugar, allowed for
overseas sales on 26 March. On the global front, investors would eyeing the release of key economic data from US, starting from New Home
Sales data on April 24,2012 followed by Durable Goods Orders , FOMC Meeting Announcement coupled with Jobless Claims data along with
GDP data would be released in the coming. On the Technical view for the coming week, 5200 followed by 5120 are likely to be good support
levels for the Nifty, while the index may face resistance at 5360 and 5440 levels. HAPPY TRADING...
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4. Weekly Market Outlook
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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS
Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose
23-Apr-12 HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE (PURPOSE REVISED)
23-Apr-12 PSL Limited PSL INTERIM DIVIDEND RS. 2/- PER SHARE
24-Apr-12 Esab India Limited ESABINDIA ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
24-Apr-12 CRISIL Limited CRISIL FIRST INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.3/- & SPECIAL DIVID RS.3/-
24-Apr-12 The Paper Products Limited PAPERPROD AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2.40 PER SHARE
25-Apr-12 ITD Cementation India Limited ITDCEM AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
26-Apr-12 Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited RANBAXY ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
26-Apr-12 Sundaram Clayton Limited SUNCLAYTON INTERIM DIVIDEND
2-May-12 ABB Limited ABB AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.3/- PER SHARE
2-May-12 GM Breweries Limited GMBREW AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2.50 PER SHARE
3-May-12 HCL Infosystems Limited HCL-INSYS 3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND
4-May-12 BOC India Limited BOC AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.1.50 PER SHARE
4-May-12 Foseco India Limited FOSECOIND INTERIM DIVIDEND
4-May-12 Abbott India Limited ABBOTINDIA AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.17/- PER SHARE
8-May-12 Marico Limited MARICO 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND
9-May-12 Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP INTERIM DIVIDEND
10-May-12 Chemfab Alkalis Limited CHEMFALKAL ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
11-May-12 Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD DIVIDEND-RS.50 PER SHARE
14-May-12 Bata India Limited BATAINDIA AGM/FINAL DIVIDEND RS.5/- P/S & SPECIAL DIVID RE.1/-
17-May-12 DIC India Limited DICIND DIVIDEND - RS.4/- PER SHARE
24-May-12 Infosys Limited INFY AGM / DIVIDEND - FINAL RS 22 + SPECIAL RS 10
28-May-12 Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited RIIL AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.3.50 PER SHARE
11-May-12 Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD DIVIDEND-RS.50 PER SHARE
14-May-12 Bata India Limited BATAINDIA AGM/FINAL DIVIDEND RS.5/- P/S & SPECIAL DIVID RE.1/-
17-May-12 DIC India Limited DICIND DIVIDEND - RS.4/- PER SHARE
24-May-12 Infosys Limited INFY AGM / DIVIDEND - FINAL RS 22 + SPECIAL RS 10
28-Jun-12 HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.4.30 PER SHARE
20-Jul-12 Goa Carbon Limited GOACARBON AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.4/- PER SHARE
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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-
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Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293
Website: www.moneysukh.com
5. Weekly Market Outlook
make more, for sure.
EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 20th Apr 2012
Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate
31 23 0 8 74.19%
NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL
Varun Gupta Head - Research varungupta@moneysukh.com
Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com
Vikram Singh Research Analyst vikram_research@moneysukh.com
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SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-
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Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
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