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POINT OF VIEW
   SOCIAL MEASUREMENT
   DEPENDS ON DATA QUANTITY
   AND QUALITY




Social Measurement Depends on
Data Quantity and Quality
As social platforms proliferate, enthusiastic users are
generating more data than ever. Social media data are
fast becoming the hottest commodity in market research.
                               But can social data yield measurements that are
                               comparable to those from other, more established
                               forms of research? Is it really possible for brand
                                                                                      The future of actionable
                               managers to tap into these data streams to gain        social media measurement
                               insight into brand equity?
                                                                                      is only as strong as its
                               We believe it is too early to say for sure, even
                               though social data have been used effectively
                                                                                      standards for data quality.
                               by PR and marketing departments for years.
Anne Czernek                   For crisis management and on-the-fly campaign          brands and more than 30 million online conversations
Senior Research Analyst        assessments, social monitoring involves                to determine the most appropriate methodologies
Emerging Media Lab
Millward Brown/Dynamic Logic
                               watching a wide stream of updates in real time         for working with social measurement from a brand
                               and using those to gauge immediate next steps.         perspective. Our conclusion? The future of actionable
                               For these purposes, a qualitative sense of the         social media measurement is only as strong as its
                               consumer mood is adequate; the precision of            standards for data quality.
                               quantitative research is not required.
                                                                                      The “Social” Voice: How Is
                               But increasingly, insight and brand strategy teams     It Different?
                               are interested in using social data, and they would
                               like to place social measurement alongside other       Social data are fundamentally different from
                               types of brand metrics (attitudinal, behavioral, and   traditional brand measurement data. We can
                               so on). In this context, social data must be treated   think of consumers speaking in two different
                               with the same rigor we expect of more traditional      voices. As Figure 1 shows, the “survey” voice
                               forms of measurement. Therefore, Millward Brown’s      of consumers is captured under structured and
                               Emerging Media Lab has conducted tests across 60       replicable conditions, while their “social” voice is
                                                                                      observed in a fluid state.

                               FIGURE 1: SOCIAL VOICE VS. SURVEY VOICE

                                        SURVEY VOICE                                                         SOCIAL VOICE
                                                          Guided
                                 Replicable                                                                            Unsolicited
                                                                                                            Fluid
                                    Quantifiable                                                               Observational

                                                                                                          Unmoderated
                                                   Structured



                                                                                                                    SHARE                     1
POINT OF VIEW
  SOCIAL MEASUREMENT
  DEPENDS ON DATA QUANTITY
  AND QUALITY




The challenge is first making these two types of         Our collective eagerness to be perpetually
data structurally comparable and then establishing       connected has spawned an ever-expanding
linkages across them. Methodological issues              ecosystem of technology platforms, and as a
arise out of the nature of the samples available         result, the prevailing methodology for social
to us in these two data sources. Traditional brand       media listening is to capture as much social data
tracking and brand equity measurement rely on            as possible—from Facebook, Twitter, Instagram,
observing a statistically similar group of people        Pinterest, Tumblr, etc. But should comments
over time. Individuals in a quantitative dataset may     on news articles be considered? What about
be treated differently—their opinions weighted           reviews on sites like Yelp? How do we define the
more or less heavily—to ensure that the sample is        borders of the social universe?
representative and consistent.
                                                         It seems that the edges of the social universe are as
                                                         murky as those of the real universe; in both cases,
                                                         the boundaries are expanding at an apparently
The only way to address the                              increasing rate. Without an agreed-upon definition
issues of user duplication and                           of the limits of the universe—or even what“social”
                                                         means—it’s difficult to know whether we are truly
lack of profiling information is to                      capturing all of the relevant data.
put boundaries on our dataset.                           Of course, there are also significant differences in
We need to make some choices.                            the type of data available across platforms. Blog
                                                         and forum discussion tends to be more composed
                                                         and “conversationally” oriented than Twitter and
But the social sample is a rolling sample of             Facebook updates, which tend to be short and
active, not necessarily representative, voices.          posted on the fly. And while, to consumers, it may
Activists may overamplify topics they care deeply        seem like social data points are easily accessible
about, while people having positive but ordinary         and browsable, from a research perspective,
experiences with a brand may not feel compelled          platforms control how those data streams are
to speak up at all. It is not possible to weight these   syndicated at scale. Twitter has monetized its
responses effectively because the information            “firehose” and charges for full access to it; Yelp,
needed to profile respondents is not consistently        in contrast, prohibits collection of its reviews for
available. Thus it is difficult, if not impossible,      research purposes. Table 1 shows the data fields
to ascertain whether those who post, tweet, or           that are available (or generally inferable) across
comment on a brand are representative of the             different types of platforms.
population of interest.
                                                          TABLE 1: TYPES OF INFORMATION
We expect that social profiling will improve              AVAILABLE ACROSS SOCIAL MEDIA
over time as we’re able to derive more of these
                                                          PLATFORMS
attributes from implicit relationships. But even with                                        FACEBOOK        BLOGS/
                                                                                     TWITTER
improved profiling, we anticipate ongoing concerns                                  (TWEETS)
                                                                                             PERSONAL        FORUMS
as basic as user duplication—e.g., how can we                                                 PAGES*         (POSTS)

ascertain whether one individual has posted five          Full data stream
times—once each on Facebook, Twitter, Tumblr,             Full text availability
Blogger, and a forum—or whether five different            Majority public profiles
individuals posted similar content?                       Historical data
                                                          User-level data
Defining a Social Universe                                User profiles
to Measure
                                                          Influence
In the current environment, the only way to               Location
address the issues of user duplication and lack           Gender
of profiling information is to put boundaries on
our dataset. We need to make some choices.               *Facebook is a special case: Because data is only released
                                                          in aggregate, none of the measures above are publicly
                                                          available for research at a user level.


                                                                                                                       SHARE   2
POINT OF VIEW
         SOCIAL MEASUREMENT
         DEPENDS ON DATA QUANTITY
         AND QUALITY




 Twitter, the Best Social                                       Data Issues
 Research Source — FOR NOW                                      But having chosen a data source, our work is
 Because of all the issues we have mentioned thus               not done. Further processing of social data is
 far, we believe it is necessary to rely on a single            needed. Even if Twitter is the best source of
 source for social data, and to us, Twitter seems to            data for social measurement, not all of the data
 be the strongest candidate. It’s open, it’s mobile,            within it is clean and useable—far from it. Our
 and it’s the world’s largest information platform.             tests of over 30 million tweets show that up to 60
 And because the Twitter firehose flows with a                  percent of Twitter data must be removed from
 good deal of tweet-level information (including                the dataset before it is ready for analysis.
 the full text, user ID, and timestamp), we’re able
 to ascertain more not only about the text, but also            Twitter tends to have two main issues that
 the users. Thus Twitter meets our requirement for              can degrade data quality:
 respondent-level information in a bounded dataset.             1. Keyword ambiguity
 Moreover, because of the way it is used and                    Social data are generally collected through
 perceived by users, Twitter seems to us to be                  keyword searches, so when a brand name
 most representative of the broader social sphere.              is also a common word, a large proportion of
 Dynamic Logic’s 2010 AdReaction study found                    content returned will not be about the brand. For
 that consumers viewed Facebook as being                        example, collecting data for the sandwich chain
 about connecting to friends and family, whereas                “Subway” returns many mentions of the New
 Twitter was seen as an information platform for                York City transit system. This not only distorts
 discovering, sharing, and learning. Though much                the themes of conversation topics tracked, but
 has changed in social media in the intervening                 can also wreak havoc on other metrics, like
 years, those observations still hold true. Facebook            sentiment. (In this case, a delayed subway
 is still the central connection platform, even though          train might generate many complaints that are
 consumers are also using smaller, more interest-               irrelevant to $5 foot-long sandwiches.)
 based social networks to share content related to
 cooking, photography, sports, or other specialized             2. Spam
 interests. When the wealth of data from these sites            There is widespread proliferation of spam content
 is shared into the broader social stream, it usually           on Twitter. As Figure 2 shows, half of the social
 comes through Twitter. Thus Twitter seems to us                media mentions of a particular CPG brand were
 the best aggregation of discovery and sharing.                 spam. When spam comments are removed,


 FIGURE 2: SPAM PROPORTION OF TOTAL BRAND KEYWORD MENTIONS
         30,000
                                                                                             Spam

         25,000                                                                              CPG brand


         20,000
Tweets




         15,000


         10,000


          5,000


              0
                  1   2     3       4   5   6     7     8   9     10    11    12   13
                                                Weeks




                                                                                                                     SHARE   3
POINT OF VIEW
SOCIAL MEASUREMENT
DEPENDS ON DATA QUANTITY
AND QUALITY




                           “net sentiment” tends to go down. (We obtain          This research is under way now, and we
                           our measure of net sentiment by adding the            anticipate sharing results in the coming months.
                           percentages of positive and neutral content,
                           and from that sum subtracting the percentage
                           of negative comments.) This happens because
                           most spam is neutral in tone; e.g., “Check out this   Using social measurement
                           coupon”—so removing it leaves negative sentiment      effectivelywillrequireunstinting
                           proportionally higher, as illustrated by Figure 3.
                                                                                 attention to the quality of data
                           FIGURE 3: EFFECT OF                                   we consider.
                           CLEANING ON SENTIMENT
                                Uncleaned          Cleaned
                                                                                 The first step in harnessing the brand insights
                           35%                                                   contained in social data is to create a dataset
                                                                                 that can be managed by the same principles
                           30%                                                   that govern established, trusted methodologies.
                                                                                 We need to be assured that we are working
                           25%
                                                                                 with respondent-level data from a platform that
                           20%                                                   has both breadth and depth, and we need to
                                                                                 cleanse the dataset of spam as well as irrelevant
                           15%                                                   references. Only when these steps have been
                                                                                 accomplished can brands be confident that
                           10%
                                                                                 they are making defensible decisions based on
                            5%                                                   reliable data.

                           0%                                                    The Emerging Media Lab is Dynamic Logic’s
                                     Net Sentiment* for CPG Brand                specialty practice dedicated to research
                           *Net Sentiment: (Positive + Neutral) - Negative       innovation across new media platforms —
                                                                                 namely mobile, gaming and social media.
                           TheFutureofSocialMeasurement
                           Using social measurement effectively will require
                                                                                   To read more about social media,
                           unstinting attention to the quality of data we
                                                                                   please visit www.mb-blog.com.
                           consider. The current generation of technology
                           can help aggregate the dataset (through                 If you enjoyed “Social Measurement
                           techniques like Natural Language Processing             Depends on Data Quantity and
                           and applying Bayesian rules to cleaning), but
                                                                                   Quality,” you might also be
                           human discretion is still needed to evaluate its
                                                                                   interested in:
                           source, quality, and worth.

                           While we believe social data have value for             	 “Facebook: Not an Ad Platform but an
                           measuring brand performance, further work is              Ecosystem”
                           needed to understand the exact relationship—if          	 “Are You Getting Your Fair Digital
                           any—to brand equity. Looking forward, Millward
                                                                                     Share?”
                           Brown and Dynamic Logic are examining how our
                           proprietary measure of brand performance in social      	 “Social Media: Fans and Followers are
                           media—which we call “social vitality”—relates             an End, not a Means”
                           to brand equity. We’re assessing its value as a
                           leading indicator of brand performance, as well as
                                                                                   	 “How Social Technologies Drive
                           its usefulness in understanding the influence of          Business Success”
                           events and media on brand perceptions.



                                                                                                            SHARE                    4

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Social measurement depends on data quantity and quality

  • 1. POINT OF VIEW SOCIAL MEASUREMENT DEPENDS ON DATA QUANTITY AND QUALITY Social Measurement Depends on Data Quantity and Quality As social platforms proliferate, enthusiastic users are generating more data than ever. Social media data are fast becoming the hottest commodity in market research. But can social data yield measurements that are comparable to those from other, more established forms of research? Is it really possible for brand The future of actionable managers to tap into these data streams to gain social media measurement insight into brand equity? is only as strong as its We believe it is too early to say for sure, even though social data have been used effectively standards for data quality. by PR and marketing departments for years. Anne Czernek For crisis management and on-the-fly campaign brands and more than 30 million online conversations Senior Research Analyst assessments, social monitoring involves to determine the most appropriate methodologies Emerging Media Lab Millward Brown/Dynamic Logic watching a wide stream of updates in real time for working with social measurement from a brand and using those to gauge immediate next steps. perspective. Our conclusion? The future of actionable For these purposes, a qualitative sense of the social media measurement is only as strong as its consumer mood is adequate; the precision of standards for data quality. quantitative research is not required. The “Social” Voice: How Is But increasingly, insight and brand strategy teams It Different? are interested in using social data, and they would like to place social measurement alongside other Social data are fundamentally different from types of brand metrics (attitudinal, behavioral, and traditional brand measurement data. We can so on). In this context, social data must be treated think of consumers speaking in two different with the same rigor we expect of more traditional voices. As Figure 1 shows, the “survey” voice forms of measurement. Therefore, Millward Brown’s of consumers is captured under structured and Emerging Media Lab has conducted tests across 60 replicable conditions, while their “social” voice is observed in a fluid state. FIGURE 1: SOCIAL VOICE VS. SURVEY VOICE SURVEY VOICE SOCIAL VOICE Guided Replicable Unsolicited Fluid Quantifiable Observational Unmoderated Structured SHARE 1
  • 2. POINT OF VIEW SOCIAL MEASUREMENT DEPENDS ON DATA QUANTITY AND QUALITY The challenge is first making these two types of Our collective eagerness to be perpetually data structurally comparable and then establishing connected has spawned an ever-expanding linkages across them. Methodological issues ecosystem of technology platforms, and as a arise out of the nature of the samples available result, the prevailing methodology for social to us in these two data sources. Traditional brand media listening is to capture as much social data tracking and brand equity measurement rely on as possible—from Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, observing a statistically similar group of people Pinterest, Tumblr, etc. But should comments over time. Individuals in a quantitative dataset may on news articles be considered? What about be treated differently—their opinions weighted reviews on sites like Yelp? How do we define the more or less heavily—to ensure that the sample is borders of the social universe? representative and consistent. It seems that the edges of the social universe are as murky as those of the real universe; in both cases, the boundaries are expanding at an apparently The only way to address the increasing rate. Without an agreed-upon definition issues of user duplication and of the limits of the universe—or even what“social” means—it’s difficult to know whether we are truly lack of profiling information is to capturing all of the relevant data. put boundaries on our dataset. Of course, there are also significant differences in We need to make some choices. the type of data available across platforms. Blog and forum discussion tends to be more composed and “conversationally” oriented than Twitter and But the social sample is a rolling sample of Facebook updates, which tend to be short and active, not necessarily representative, voices. posted on the fly. And while, to consumers, it may Activists may overamplify topics they care deeply seem like social data points are easily accessible about, while people having positive but ordinary and browsable, from a research perspective, experiences with a brand may not feel compelled platforms control how those data streams are to speak up at all. It is not possible to weight these syndicated at scale. Twitter has monetized its responses effectively because the information “firehose” and charges for full access to it; Yelp, needed to profile respondents is not consistently in contrast, prohibits collection of its reviews for available. Thus it is difficult, if not impossible, research purposes. Table 1 shows the data fields to ascertain whether those who post, tweet, or that are available (or generally inferable) across comment on a brand are representative of the different types of platforms. population of interest. TABLE 1: TYPES OF INFORMATION We expect that social profiling will improve AVAILABLE ACROSS SOCIAL MEDIA over time as we’re able to derive more of these PLATFORMS attributes from implicit relationships. But even with FACEBOOK BLOGS/ TWITTER improved profiling, we anticipate ongoing concerns (TWEETS) PERSONAL FORUMS as basic as user duplication—e.g., how can we PAGES* (POSTS) ascertain whether one individual has posted five Full data stream times—once each on Facebook, Twitter, Tumblr, Full text availability Blogger, and a forum—or whether five different Majority public profiles individuals posted similar content? Historical data User-level data Defining a Social Universe User profiles to Measure Influence In the current environment, the only way to Location address the issues of user duplication and lack Gender of profiling information is to put boundaries on our dataset. We need to make some choices. *Facebook is a special case: Because data is only released in aggregate, none of the measures above are publicly available for research at a user level. SHARE 2
  • 3. POINT OF VIEW SOCIAL MEASUREMENT DEPENDS ON DATA QUANTITY AND QUALITY Twitter, the Best Social Data Issues Research Source — FOR NOW But having chosen a data source, our work is Because of all the issues we have mentioned thus not done. Further processing of social data is far, we believe it is necessary to rely on a single needed. Even if Twitter is the best source of source for social data, and to us, Twitter seems to data for social measurement, not all of the data be the strongest candidate. It’s open, it’s mobile, within it is clean and useable—far from it. Our and it’s the world’s largest information platform. tests of over 30 million tweets show that up to 60 And because the Twitter firehose flows with a percent of Twitter data must be removed from good deal of tweet-level information (including the dataset before it is ready for analysis. the full text, user ID, and timestamp), we’re able to ascertain more not only about the text, but also Twitter tends to have two main issues that the users. Thus Twitter meets our requirement for can degrade data quality: respondent-level information in a bounded dataset. 1. Keyword ambiguity Moreover, because of the way it is used and Social data are generally collected through perceived by users, Twitter seems to us to be keyword searches, so when a brand name most representative of the broader social sphere. is also a common word, a large proportion of Dynamic Logic’s 2010 AdReaction study found content returned will not be about the brand. For that consumers viewed Facebook as being example, collecting data for the sandwich chain about connecting to friends and family, whereas “Subway” returns many mentions of the New Twitter was seen as an information platform for York City transit system. This not only distorts discovering, sharing, and learning. Though much the themes of conversation topics tracked, but has changed in social media in the intervening can also wreak havoc on other metrics, like years, those observations still hold true. Facebook sentiment. (In this case, a delayed subway is still the central connection platform, even though train might generate many complaints that are consumers are also using smaller, more interest- irrelevant to $5 foot-long sandwiches.) based social networks to share content related to cooking, photography, sports, or other specialized 2. Spam interests. When the wealth of data from these sites There is widespread proliferation of spam content is shared into the broader social stream, it usually on Twitter. As Figure 2 shows, half of the social comes through Twitter. Thus Twitter seems to us media mentions of a particular CPG brand were the best aggregation of discovery and sharing. spam. When spam comments are removed, FIGURE 2: SPAM PROPORTION OF TOTAL BRAND KEYWORD MENTIONS 30,000 Spam 25,000 CPG brand 20,000 Tweets 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Weeks SHARE 3
  • 4. POINT OF VIEW SOCIAL MEASUREMENT DEPENDS ON DATA QUANTITY AND QUALITY “net sentiment” tends to go down. (We obtain This research is under way now, and we our measure of net sentiment by adding the anticipate sharing results in the coming months. percentages of positive and neutral content, and from that sum subtracting the percentage of negative comments.) This happens because most spam is neutral in tone; e.g., “Check out this Using social measurement coupon”—so removing it leaves negative sentiment effectivelywillrequireunstinting proportionally higher, as illustrated by Figure 3. attention to the quality of data FIGURE 3: EFFECT OF we consider. CLEANING ON SENTIMENT Uncleaned Cleaned The first step in harnessing the brand insights 35% contained in social data is to create a dataset that can be managed by the same principles 30% that govern established, trusted methodologies. We need to be assured that we are working 25% with respondent-level data from a platform that 20% has both breadth and depth, and we need to cleanse the dataset of spam as well as irrelevant 15% references. Only when these steps have been accomplished can brands be confident that 10% they are making defensible decisions based on 5% reliable data. 0% The Emerging Media Lab is Dynamic Logic’s Net Sentiment* for CPG Brand specialty practice dedicated to research *Net Sentiment: (Positive + Neutral) - Negative innovation across new media platforms — namely mobile, gaming and social media. TheFutureofSocialMeasurement Using social measurement effectively will require To read more about social media, unstinting attention to the quality of data we please visit www.mb-blog.com. consider. The current generation of technology can help aggregate the dataset (through If you enjoyed “Social Measurement techniques like Natural Language Processing Depends on Data Quantity and and applying Bayesian rules to cleaning), but Quality,” you might also be human discretion is still needed to evaluate its interested in: source, quality, and worth. While we believe social data have value for “Facebook: Not an Ad Platform but an measuring brand performance, further work is Ecosystem” needed to understand the exact relationship—if “Are You Getting Your Fair Digital any—to brand equity. Looking forward, Millward Share?” Brown and Dynamic Logic are examining how our proprietary measure of brand performance in social “Social Media: Fans and Followers are media—which we call “social vitality”—relates an End, not a Means” to brand equity. We’re assessing its value as a leading indicator of brand performance, as well as “How Social Technologies Drive its usefulness in understanding the influence of Business Success” events and media on brand perceptions. SHARE 4