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Treb Market Watch - January 2016
1. Toronto Employment
Growth
December 2015 4.5%
Month January 2016
1 Year
3 Year
5 Year
3.14%
3.39%
4.64%
January 2016
1 Year
3 Year
5 Year
--
--
--
Market Watch
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Strong Start to 2016
TORONTO, February 3, 2016 – Toronto Real Estate Board President Mark
McLean announced Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 4,672 residential
transactions through TREB’s MLS® System in January 2016. This result
represented an 8.2 per cent increase compared to January 2015.
“It is clear that the handoff from 2015 to 2016 was a strong one. This is not
surprising given that recent polling conducted for TREB by Ipsos suggested 12 per
cent of GTA households were seriously considering the purchase of a home in
2016. Buying intentions are strong for this year as households continue to see
home ownership as an affordable long-term investment,” said McLean.
The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark Price for January 2015 was
up by 11.2 per cent on a year-over-year basis. The average selling price over the
same period was up by 14.1 per cent.
The difference in the annual growth rates for the MLS® HPI and average price was
largely due to a greater share of high-end detached homes sold in the regions
surrounding the City of Toronto this year compared to last. The MLS® HPI
removes the impact of shifts in the share of different property types sold from one
year to the next.
“Market conditions in January were tighter compared to a year earlier, with an
annual increase in sales up against a decline in listings. This is why growth in the
MLS® HPI benchmarks continued to be strong, especially for singles, semis and
townhouses, where there has been a persistent lack of inventory,” said Jason
Mercer, TREB’s Director of Market Analysis.
TREB MLS® Sales Activity
4,672 4,318
January 2016 January 2015
TREB MLS® Average Price
$631,092
$552,925
January 2016 January 2015
Year-Over-Year Summary
2016 2015 % Chg.
Sales
New Listings
Active Listings
Average Price
Average DOM
4,672 4,318 8.2%
8,957 9,547 -6.2%
9,966 11,600 -14.1%
$631,092 $552,925 14.1%
29 31 -6.5%
Sources and Notes:
i - Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter
growth, annualized
ii - Statistics Canada, Year-over-year
growth for the most recently reported
month
iii - Bank of Canada, Rate from most
recent Bank of Canada announcement
iv - Bank of Canada, Rates for most
recently completed month
Real GDP Growth
Q3 2015 2.3%
Toronto Unemployment
Rate
December 2015 -- 7.0%
Inflation Rate (Yr./Yr. CPI
Growth)
December 2015 1.6%
Bank of Canada Overnight
Rate
December 2015 -- 0.50%
Prime Rate
December 2015 -- 2.70%
Economic Indicators
Metrics Sales Average Price
416 905 Total 416 905 Total
2016
Detached
Semi - Detached
Townhouse
Condo Apartment
496 1,613 2,109 $1,061,789 $783,565 $848,999
122 330 452 $713,972 $515,024 $568,723
172 559 731 $519,732 $472,039 $483,261
897 405 1,302 $416,104 $319,855 $386,165
Sales & Average Price By Major Home Type
January 2016
January 2016
i
ii
ii
iii
iv
Detached
Semi - Detached
Townhouse
Condo Apartment
11.6% 20.9% 18.5%
7.3% 12.8% 9.3%
1.3% 12.0% 9.3%
8.6% 3.1% 7.5%
Detached
Semi - Detached
Townhouse
Condo Apartment
11.2% 5.4% 6.7%
-3.2% 14.6% 9.2%
14.7% 8.3% 9.8%
11.6% 3.6% 9.0%
1,7
1,7
1,7
1,7
Year-Over-Year Per Cent Change
Mortgage Rates
2. Toronto Real Estate Board
Market Watch, January 2016
SALES BY PRICE RANGE AND HOUSE TYPE JANUARY 2016
2
Price Range Detached Semi-Detached Att/Row/Twnhouse Condo Townhouse Condo Apt Link Co-op Apt Det Condo Co-ownership Apt Total
$0 to $99,999
$100,000 to $199,999
$200,000 to $299,999
$300,000 to $399,999
$400,000 to $499,999
$500,000 to $599,999
$600,000 to $699,999
$700,000 to $799,999
$800,000 to $899,999
$900,000 to $999,999
$1,000,000 to $1,249,999
$1,250,000 to $1,499,999
$1,500,000 to $1,749,999
$1,750,000 to $1,999,999
$2,000,000+
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
5 2 0 17 61 0 1 0 0 86
46 12 5 61 407 1 3 0 2 537
117 26 37 114 414 10 1 0 1 720
230 131 120 97 206 11 1 0 0 796
318 139 89 35 99 11 0 0 0 691
350 74 73 9 50 12 0 0 0 568
251 32 30 13 18 10 0 0 0 354
195 19 13 2 11 8 1 1 0 250
119 8 2 1 7 4 0 0 0 141
181 6 2 7 14 0 0 0 0 210
109 1 4 0 5 0 0 0 0 119
68 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 71
36 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 38
84 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 88
Price Range Detached Semi-Detached Att/Row/Twnhouse Condo Townhouse Condo Apt Link Co-op Apt Det Condo Co-ownership Apt Total
$0 to $99,999
$100,000 to $199,999
$200,000 to $299,999
$300,000 to $399,999
$400,000 to $499,999
$500,000 to $599,999
$600,000 to $699,999
$700,000 to $799,999
$800,000 to $899,999
$900,000 to $999,999
$1,000,000 to $1,249,999
$1,250,000 to $1,499,999
$1,500,000 to $1,749,999
$1,750,000 to $1,999,999
$2,000,000+
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
5 2 0 17 61 0 1 0 0 86
46 12 5 61 407 1 3 0 2 537
117 26 37 114 414 10 1 0 1 720
230 131 120 97 206 11 1 0 0 796
318 139 89 35 99 11 0 0 0 691
350 74 73 9 50 12 0 0 0 568
251 32 30 13 18 10 0 0 0 354
195 19 13 2 11 8 1 1 0 250
119 8 2 1 7 4 0 0 0 141
181 6 2 7 14 0 0 0 0 210
109 1 4 0 5 0 0 0 0 119
68 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 71
36 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 38
84 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 88
SALES BY PRICE RANGE AND HOUSE TYPE YEAR-TO-DATE, 2016
Total Sales
Share of Total Sales
Average Price
2,109 452 375 356 1,302 67 7 1 3 4,672
45.1% 9.7% 8.0% 7.6% 27.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 100.0%
$848,999 $568,723 $552,792 $410,018 $386,165 $607,681 $351,000 $873,000 $255,001 $631,092
Total Sales
Share of Total Sales
Average Price
2,109 452 375 356 1,302 67 7 1 3 4,672
45.1% 9.7% 8.0% 7.6% 27.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 100.0%
$848,999 $568,723 $552,792 $410,018 $386,165 $607,681 $351,000 $873,000 $255,001 $631,092
1,7
1,7
27. Toronto Real Estate Board
Market Watch, January 2016
HISTORIC ANNUAL STATISTICS
27
Year Sales Average Price
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
83,501 $315,231
84,145 $335,907
83,084 $351,941
93,193 $376,236
74,552 $379,347
87,308 $395,460
85,545 $431,276
89,096 $465,014
85,496 $497,130
87,049 $522,958
92,782 $566,624
2015 MONTHLY STATISTICS
NOTES
1 - Sales, dollar volume, average sale prices and median sale prices are based on firm transactions entered into the TREB MLS® system between the
first and last day of the month/period being reported.
2 - New listings entered into the TREB MLS® system between the first and last day of the month/period being reported.
3 - Active listings at the end of the last day of the month/period being reported.
4 - Ratio of the average selling price to the average listing price for firm transactions entered into the TREB MLS® system between the first and last day
of the month/period being reported.
5 - Average number of days on the market for firm transactions entered into the TREB MLS® system between the first and last day of the month/period
being reported.
6 - Due to past changes to TREB's service area, caution should be exercised when making historical comparisons.
7 - Past monthly and year-to-date figures are revised on a monthly basis.
8 - SNLR = Sales-to-New Listings Ratio. Calculated using a 12-month moving average (sales/new listings).
9 - Mos. Inv. = Months of Inventory. Calculated using a 12-month moving average (active listings/sales).
2016 MONTHLY STATISTICS
*For historic annual sales and average price data over a longer time frame go to:
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Year to Date
4,672 $631,092
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
4,672 $631,092
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Annual
4,318 $552,925
6,294 $596,320
8,888 $613,875
11,255 $636,089
11,641 $649,650
11,907 $639,300
9,814 $609,124
7,947 $603,512
8,151 $627,752
8,761 $630,311
7,349 $633,048
4,935 $609,278
101,260 $622,189
1,6,7
1,7
1,7
http://www.torontorealestateboard.com/market_news/market_watch/historic_stats/p
df/TREB_historic_statistics.pdf
Copyright® 2016 Toronto Real Estate Board
$631,0924,672