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FUNDAMENTALS OF INVESTMENT
Mehul Namdev
Default Risk & Credit Rating
3
Investment in bonds is subject to a variety of Risk
So, Be careful while investing.
Interest Rate Risk Inflation Risk Default Risk Call Risk
Risks In Bonds
Liquidity Risk
Default Risk
Credit Risk
Default Risk refers to the risk accruing from the fact that the borrower may not pay interest and/or
principal on time. Credit rating agencies assign ratings to debt instruments of financial institutions
and companies. Other things being being equal, in general. Default risk also known as Credit Risk
Credit Risk
Principal
Interest
Default Risk
Default Risk refers to the risk accruing from the fact that the borrower may not pay interest and/or
principal on time. Credit rating agencies assign ratings to debt instruments of financial institutions
and companies. Other things being being equal, in general. Default risk also known as Credit Risk
Credit Rating
Credit Rating
Meaning & Basics
A credit rating agency (CRA, also called a ratings service) is
a company that assigns credit ratings, which rate a
debtor's ability to pay back debt by making timely interest
payments and the likelihood of default. An agency
may rate the creditworthiness of issuers of debt
obligations, of debt instruments, and in some
cases, of the servicers of the underlying debt,
but not of individual consumers.
The debt instruments rated by CRAs
include government bonds, corporate bonds,
CDs, municipal bonds, preferred stock, and
collateralized securities, such as
mortgage-backed securities and
collateralized debt obligations.
8
Credit Rating Agencies
Role of CRAs
CRAs theoretically provide investors with an independent
evaluation and assessment of debt securities'
creditworthiness.[57] However, in recent decades the paying
customers of CRAs have primarily not been issuers of securities
but buyers, raising the issue of conflict of interest
They perform two main roles such as follows:
1. Information Role
2. Monitoring Function
9
Present Global Scenario
Presently, Fitch, standard and poor’s amd Moody’s Investor
Services are three major credit rating agencies operating globally.
As of 2013 their collective market share was roughly 90%.
Credit Rating Agencies
10
Present Indian Scenario
In India, credit rating agencies started with the setting up of The
Credit Rating information Servies of India(now CRISIL Ltd.) in
1987. Presently, there are six major credit rating agencies
operating in India which have been registered with SEBI. These
are CRISIL Ltd., Fitch Ratings Infia Pvt. Ltd. ICRA ltd, CARE ltd.,
Brickworks rating India private ltd. And SMERA Ltd. We. Will talk
about them in next slides.
Credit Rating Agencies
01
03
02
CRISIL Limited
ICRA Limited
CARE Limited
04
06
05
Ind-Ra Limited
BRIP Limited
SMERA Limited
Credit Rating Agencies in India
CRISIL
(formerly Credit Rating Information Services of India Limited)
CRISIL
CRISIL (formerly Credit Rating Information Services of India Limited) is a global analytical
company providing ratings, research, and risk and policy advisory services.[3] CRISIL’s
majority shareholder is Standard & Poor's, a division of McGraw Hill Financial and provider
of financial market intelligence.
Promoted by the likes of premier financial institutions like ICICI,HDFC, UTI, SBI, LIC and Asian
Development Bank in its intial years, CRISIL is now an S&P company headquatered in
Mumbai, India,
CRISIL in India is leading rating agency and a global analytical company providing ratings,
research, risk and policy advisory.
ICRA
(formerly Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India Limited)
ICRA
ICRA Limited (ICRA) is an Indian independent and professional investment information and credit rating
agency.[2] It was established in 1991, and was originally named Investment Information and Credit
Rating Agency of India Limited (IICRA India).
ICRA’s credit ratings are symbolic representations of its current opinion on the relative credit risks
associated with the rated debt obligations/issues. These ratings are assigned on an Indian (that is,
national or local) credit rating scale for Indian Rupee denominated debt obligations. ICRA ratings may be
understood as relative rankings of credit risk within India. ICRA ratings are not designed to enable any
rating comparison among instruments across countries; rather, these address the relative credit risks
within India.
ICRA’s ratings (other than Structured Finance Ratings) in the investment grade convey the relative
likelihood of default, i.e., the possibility of the debt obligation not being met as promised. All other
ratings, including Structured Finance Ratings, reflect both the probability of default and the severity of
loss on default, i.e., the expected loss against the rated debt obligation.
CARE
(Credit Analysis and Research Limited)
CARE
CARE Ratings commenced operations in April 1993 and over nearly two decades, it has
established itself as the second-largest credit rating agency in India. With the rating volume
of debt of around Rs. 92 lakh crores (as on March 31, 2017) , CARE Ratings is proud of its
rightful place in the Indian capital market built around investor confidence. CARE Ratings
provides the entire spectrum of credit rating that helps the corporates to raise capital for
their various requirements and assists the investors to form an informed investment decision
based on the credit risk and their own risk-return expectations. CARE Ratings’ registered
office and head office, is located at 4th floor, Godrej Coliseum, Somaiya Hospital Road, Sion
(East), Mumbai 400 022.
Vision
“To be a respected company that provides best - in its field - quality and value services”
Ind-Ra
(India Ratings and Research limited) A Fitch Group Company
Ind-Ra
India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) is India's Most Respected credit rating agency committed
to providing the India's credit markets with accurate, timely and prospective credit opinions.
Built on a foundation of independent thinking, rigorous analytics, and an open & balanced
approach towards credit research, Ind-Ra has grown rapidly during the past decade gaining
significant market presence in India's fixed income market.
Fitch Group is a global leader in financial information services with operations in more than
30 countries. Fitch Group is comprised of: Fitch Ratings, a global leader in credit ratings and
research.
BRIP
(Brickworks Ratings India Private Limited)
BRIP
A pioneering visionary and entrepreneur, Vivek Kulkarni, the founder of Brickwork group of
companies, started his career as an IAS officer and worked in government for 22 years. As an
IT Secretary, Government of Karnataka, Vivek pioneered many path-breaking initiatives to
aggressively promote Bangalore as a preferred destination for global companies to set-up
their offices and captive centers. It was under his tenure, that Bangalore, became popularly
known as the 'Silicon Valley' of India.
Brickwork group has grown significantly within a decade. The group companies include,
Brickwork Ratings, India's 5th credit rating agency, Brickwork Finance Academy (BFA), which
offers weekend program in Finance and also Brickwork Foundation, which is the CSR arm of
the group.
SMERA
(SME Rating Agency Limited of India)
SMERA
SMERA Ratings Ltd (SMERA) is a full service credit rating agency exclusively set up for micro,
small and medium enterprises (MSME) in India and has grown to rate SME, mid & large
corporate . It provides ratings which enable MSME, SMEs,Corporates to raise bank loans at
competitive rates of interest.[3] However, its registration with Securities and Exchange Board
of India (SEBI), as a Credit Rating Agency and accreditation by Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in
September 2012 as an external credit assessment institution (ECAI) to rate bank loan ratings
under Basel II guidelines has paved way for SMERA to rate/grade various instruments such as:
IPO, NCDs, Commercial Papers, Bonds, Security Receipts, Fixed Deposits etc.
24
1. Business Risk
a. Economy risk
b.Industry risk
c. Issuer’s competitive Position
d.New project risk
Credit Rating Methodology
2. Financial Risk
a. Operating profitability
b.Gearing
c. Debt service coverage ration
d.Working capital intensity
e. Cash flow analysis
f. Financial flexibility
g.Financial ration
3. Strength of promoters or management quality
a. Track record
b.Strategy
c. Organization Structure
d.Corporate governance
e. Control systems
f. Personnel Policies
+
Add to Market
Efficiency
Import Tool
Information Tool
Means of cheques &
Balances
Advantage of Credit Rating Agencies
.
Utility of
Sovereign ratings
+
+
+
+
-
Lack of accuracy
Conflict of Internet
Respond with Time
lag
Lack of proper
disclosures
Limitations of Credit Rating Agencies
.
Severe Impact of
opinion
-
-
-
-
Thankyou

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Risk and Credit Rating Agencies - Fundamentals of Investment

  • 2. Default Risk & Credit Rating
  • 3. 3 Investment in bonds is subject to a variety of Risk So, Be careful while investing. Interest Rate Risk Inflation Risk Default Risk Call Risk Risks In Bonds Liquidity Risk
  • 4. Default Risk Credit Risk Default Risk refers to the risk accruing from the fact that the borrower may not pay interest and/or principal on time. Credit rating agencies assign ratings to debt instruments of financial institutions and companies. Other things being being equal, in general. Default risk also known as Credit Risk
  • 5. Credit Risk Principal Interest Default Risk Default Risk refers to the risk accruing from the fact that the borrower may not pay interest and/or principal on time. Credit rating agencies assign ratings to debt instruments of financial institutions and companies. Other things being being equal, in general. Default risk also known as Credit Risk
  • 7. Credit Rating Meaning & Basics A credit rating agency (CRA, also called a ratings service) is a company that assigns credit ratings, which rate a debtor's ability to pay back debt by making timely interest payments and the likelihood of default. An agency may rate the creditworthiness of issuers of debt obligations, of debt instruments, and in some cases, of the servicers of the underlying debt, but not of individual consumers. The debt instruments rated by CRAs include government bonds, corporate bonds, CDs, municipal bonds, preferred stock, and collateralized securities, such as mortgage-backed securities and collateralized debt obligations.
  • 8. 8 Credit Rating Agencies Role of CRAs CRAs theoretically provide investors with an independent evaluation and assessment of debt securities' creditworthiness.[57] However, in recent decades the paying customers of CRAs have primarily not been issuers of securities but buyers, raising the issue of conflict of interest They perform two main roles such as follows: 1. Information Role 2. Monitoring Function
  • 9. 9 Present Global Scenario Presently, Fitch, standard and poor’s amd Moody’s Investor Services are three major credit rating agencies operating globally. As of 2013 their collective market share was roughly 90%. Credit Rating Agencies
  • 10. 10 Present Indian Scenario In India, credit rating agencies started with the setting up of The Credit Rating information Servies of India(now CRISIL Ltd.) in 1987. Presently, there are six major credit rating agencies operating in India which have been registered with SEBI. These are CRISIL Ltd., Fitch Ratings Infia Pvt. Ltd. ICRA ltd, CARE ltd., Brickworks rating India private ltd. And SMERA Ltd. We. Will talk about them in next slides. Credit Rating Agencies
  • 11. 01 03 02 CRISIL Limited ICRA Limited CARE Limited 04 06 05 Ind-Ra Limited BRIP Limited SMERA Limited Credit Rating Agencies in India
  • 12. CRISIL (formerly Credit Rating Information Services of India Limited)
  • 13. CRISIL CRISIL (formerly Credit Rating Information Services of India Limited) is a global analytical company providing ratings, research, and risk and policy advisory services.[3] CRISIL’s majority shareholder is Standard & Poor's, a division of McGraw Hill Financial and provider of financial market intelligence. Promoted by the likes of premier financial institutions like ICICI,HDFC, UTI, SBI, LIC and Asian Development Bank in its intial years, CRISIL is now an S&P company headquatered in Mumbai, India, CRISIL in India is leading rating agency and a global analytical company providing ratings, research, risk and policy advisory.
  • 14. ICRA (formerly Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India Limited)
  • 15. ICRA ICRA Limited (ICRA) is an Indian independent and professional investment information and credit rating agency.[2] It was established in 1991, and was originally named Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India Limited (IICRA India). ICRA’s credit ratings are symbolic representations of its current opinion on the relative credit risks associated with the rated debt obligations/issues. These ratings are assigned on an Indian (that is, national or local) credit rating scale for Indian Rupee denominated debt obligations. ICRA ratings may be understood as relative rankings of credit risk within India. ICRA ratings are not designed to enable any rating comparison among instruments across countries; rather, these address the relative credit risks within India. ICRA’s ratings (other than Structured Finance Ratings) in the investment grade convey the relative likelihood of default, i.e., the possibility of the debt obligation not being met as promised. All other ratings, including Structured Finance Ratings, reflect both the probability of default and the severity of loss on default, i.e., the expected loss against the rated debt obligation.
  • 16. CARE (Credit Analysis and Research Limited)
  • 17. CARE CARE Ratings commenced operations in April 1993 and over nearly two decades, it has established itself as the second-largest credit rating agency in India. With the rating volume of debt of around Rs. 92 lakh crores (as on March 31, 2017) , CARE Ratings is proud of its rightful place in the Indian capital market built around investor confidence. CARE Ratings provides the entire spectrum of credit rating that helps the corporates to raise capital for their various requirements and assists the investors to form an informed investment decision based on the credit risk and their own risk-return expectations. CARE Ratings’ registered office and head office, is located at 4th floor, Godrej Coliseum, Somaiya Hospital Road, Sion (East), Mumbai 400 022. Vision “To be a respected company that provides best - in its field - quality and value services”
  • 18. Ind-Ra (India Ratings and Research limited) A Fitch Group Company
  • 19. Ind-Ra India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) is India's Most Respected credit rating agency committed to providing the India's credit markets with accurate, timely and prospective credit opinions. Built on a foundation of independent thinking, rigorous analytics, and an open & balanced approach towards credit research, Ind-Ra has grown rapidly during the past decade gaining significant market presence in India's fixed income market. Fitch Group is a global leader in financial information services with operations in more than 30 countries. Fitch Group is comprised of: Fitch Ratings, a global leader in credit ratings and research.
  • 20. BRIP (Brickworks Ratings India Private Limited)
  • 21. BRIP A pioneering visionary and entrepreneur, Vivek Kulkarni, the founder of Brickwork group of companies, started his career as an IAS officer and worked in government for 22 years. As an IT Secretary, Government of Karnataka, Vivek pioneered many path-breaking initiatives to aggressively promote Bangalore as a preferred destination for global companies to set-up their offices and captive centers. It was under his tenure, that Bangalore, became popularly known as the 'Silicon Valley' of India. Brickwork group has grown significantly within a decade. The group companies include, Brickwork Ratings, India's 5th credit rating agency, Brickwork Finance Academy (BFA), which offers weekend program in Finance and also Brickwork Foundation, which is the CSR arm of the group.
  • 22. SMERA (SME Rating Agency Limited of India)
  • 23. SMERA SMERA Ratings Ltd (SMERA) is a full service credit rating agency exclusively set up for micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) in India and has grown to rate SME, mid & large corporate . It provides ratings which enable MSME, SMEs,Corporates to raise bank loans at competitive rates of interest.[3] However, its registration with Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), as a Credit Rating Agency and accreditation by Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in September 2012 as an external credit assessment institution (ECAI) to rate bank loan ratings under Basel II guidelines has paved way for SMERA to rate/grade various instruments such as: IPO, NCDs, Commercial Papers, Bonds, Security Receipts, Fixed Deposits etc.
  • 24. 24 1. Business Risk a. Economy risk b.Industry risk c. Issuer’s competitive Position d.New project risk Credit Rating Methodology 2. Financial Risk a. Operating profitability b.Gearing c. Debt service coverage ration d.Working capital intensity e. Cash flow analysis f. Financial flexibility g.Financial ration 3. Strength of promoters or management quality a. Track record b.Strategy c. Organization Structure d.Corporate governance e. Control systems f. Personnel Policies
  • 25. + Add to Market Efficiency Import Tool Information Tool Means of cheques & Balances Advantage of Credit Rating Agencies . Utility of Sovereign ratings + + + +
  • 26. - Lack of accuracy Conflict of Internet Respond with Time lag Lack of proper disclosures Limitations of Credit Rating Agencies . Severe Impact of opinion - - - -