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INSIGHT DATA SCIENCE
MARTIN GASCON
THE PROBLEM
HOW DOES IT WORK?
‱ retrieve info from the GDELT DB
‱ select events based on location
‱ uses a Kernel Density Estimation
The
GDELT
Project
Events: kill, arrest, kidnap, etc.
NumArts: # of articles x event
Number: # of people affected
Geo location
The tools
The algorithm
The Data (30 GB)
The Database
Global Database of Events,
Language and Tone
EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS#ofVictims
Sundays
Date (Jul-Aug 2015)
It is better to travel on Sundays
EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS
# of Victims
Worldwide victims
(06/2015-01/2016)
2 victims
Number of travelers also matters
About me
Martin Gascon
PhD Nuclear Physics, USC (Spain)
Postdoctoral Fellow, Stanford University
Physics Research Fellow, Berkeley Lab
EXTRA SLIDES
Validation - Violent crime score
Information about
population for each
Mexican State
Validation - Homicide score
Information about
population for each
Mexican State
Homicide
Validation - OfïŹcial Data from
Mexico Public Safety ofïŹce
Information about
population for each
Mexican State
Validation - OfïŹcial Data from
Mexico Public Safety ofïŹce
Information about
population for each
Mexican State
Validation - OfïŹcial Data from
Mexico Public Safety ofïŹce
Information about
population for each
Mexican State
‱ advantages and
disadvantages of
each
implementation
‱ bandwidth
‱ six kernel forms
available in Scikit-learn
EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS
# of Victims
Worldwide victims
reïŹ‚ected in at least 4 news
(06/2015-01/2016)
2 victims
‱ two is the most frequent
number of victims
‱ multiples of ten are
frequent too
#ofVictims
Sundays
It is better to travel
on Sundays
Travel Safe - Martin Gascon - Web app
Travel Safe - Martin Gascon - Web app

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