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Natural and Organic Personal Care Products in the U.S., 4th Edition


July 1, 2009

Natural HBC brands are growing up -- their marketers are packaging and selling natural
moisturizer, shampoo, and eye shadow more slickly than ever before. And green
consumers are more receptive, too. Thus retail sales of natural HBC boomed by 57%
during 2004-2008, to $6.6 billion.

In the coming years, the marketplace will be complicated by the after-effect of the deep
recession; by the Big Blur of retail channels; by reformulations to please mainstream
America; and by international activity. But the opportunities get hotter and hotter.

Packaged Facts’ newest edition of its best-selling guide to the natural HBC market
includes: Separate chapters on skincare, haircare, and makeup, which contain historical
and future dollar patterns, together with Packaged Facts’ famous in-depth analysis.
International trends are covered for the first time in this edition. Also included are
extensive product-use data from Packaged Facts' own consumer survey. And the
profiles of Clorox/Burt’s Bees, Estée Lauder/Aveda, Hain Celestial, Kiss My Face,
L'Oréal/The Body Shop, and others are detailed.

Read an excerpt from this report below.

Report Methodology

Natural and Organic Personal Care Products in the U.S., 4th Edition, is based on
information gathered from primary, secondary, and syndicated sources. Primary
research involves on-site study of how natural HBC products are sold through retail
stores; Packaged Facts also consults with industry executives. Secondary research
involves the evaluation and comparison of data from mountains of articles found in
financial, marketing, and retail publications, as well as on corresponding types of
websites. Company literature, government agencies, and other sources also provide
valuable secondary data. Analysis of consumers’ purchase and use of natural personal
care products is based on semi-annual surveys by Simmons Market Research Bureau,
Inc., one of the leading compilers of demographic data in the United States. For the first
time, with this edition, some of the Simmons data we present are in response to
questions custom-tailored for Packaged Facts. Information about many new natural
HBC product introductions is provided by Product Launch Analytics, a Datamonitor
service.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Executive Summary
     Scope of this Market
     Geographic Coverage: U.S. and Overseas Markets
     “Natural” Often Encompasses “Organic”
     Here’s the First Organic HBC Labeling Standard!
     U.S. Natural HBC Juggernaut Hits $6.6 Billion in 2008
     More Americans Determined to Go Natural, Organic, Green
     Recession Dampening Progress, Not Reversing It
     U.S. Natural HBC a Raging Bull Charging to $11.7 Billion in 2014
     Table 1-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural and Organic Personal Care
     Products, 2004-2014 (dollars in millions)
     Natural Food/HBC Channel Accounts for 76% of Sales
     Natural HBC a Market Based on Extraordinary Faith
     Channel Strategies: Ubiquity
     Global Natural HBC Market Hits $20.8 Billion in 2008
     Table 1-2: Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by
     World Region, 2004-2008 (in millions)
     Global Natural HBC Sales Projected at $40 Billion in 2014
     Table 1-3: Projected Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care
     Products, by World Region, 2008-2014 (in millions)
     BRIC’s Huge Natural HBC Potential is for Real
     Product Trends: Wealthy Western Countries Lead Natural Skincare Intros
     Product Intros: United States Dominates Natural Haircare Intros, Too
     R-O-W’s Tougher Fight vs. Haircare Brands’ Commodity Status
     Product Trends: New Natural Makeup SKUs at 175 Worldwide in May 2007-May
     2009; U.S. Leads in Rollouts
     Half of Those Surveyed Use Natural HBC
     ...But Only a Third Say It’s Effective as General-Market HBC
     Be Optimistic: Just 26% of Respondents Plan to Spend Less on Natural HBC
     Table 1-4: Share of Packaged Facts Survey Respondents, by Agreement with
     Six Statements/Attitudes Regarding Natural or Organic Personal Care Products,
     2009 (adult users of natural/organic personal care products, in recent 12 months)
     12
     Believers in Natural HBC’s Safety Skew to Women, College Grads, Gen-Xers,
     Presence of Kids
     Believers in Natural HBC’s Efficacy Skew to Women, College Grads, Presence of
     Kids

Chapter 2: The Overall Natural Personal Care Market
      Highlights
Introduction
      Scope of this Market
Geographic Coverage: U.S. and Overseas Markets
      “Natural” vs. “Organic”: Which Is More Trusted by Consumers?
      “Natural” Often Encompasses “Organic”
      Formulation and Positioning Both Determine Inclusion of Brands
      Definitions of Terms Used
      Carbon Footprint
      Cosmeceutical
      Direct
      Ethnic
      Fair Trade
      Green
      HBC
      Hydrosol
      Market versus Category versus Segment
      Mass Retail Channel(s)
      Over the Counter (OTC)
      Prestige and Pop Prestige
      SKU
      Specialty
      Supermarket, Chain Drugstore, Mass Merchandiser
      Sustainable (also, Renewable)
      Methodology
The Products
      Three Categories: Skincare, Haircare, and Makeup
      Skincare
      Haircare
      Makeup (Color Cosmetics)
      Typical Ingredients
      Six Controversial Ingredients: 1,4-Dioxane, Hydrosols, Linalool, Parabens,
      Propylene Glycol, SLFs
      1,4-Dioxane
      Hydrosols
      Linalool
      Parabens
      Propylene Glycol
      SLFs
      Mostly In Packaging, Bisphenol-A and Phthalates Are Dangerous
Regulation and Certification
      Natural and Organic HBC Industry Still Hungry for Regulation
      ...But a Draft of Standards from NSF International Was Released in 2008
      ...And Here’s the First Organic HBC Labeling Standard!
      Bits of Regulation and De Facto Regulation That Are in Force
      FTC Still Hampered by Lack of Natural/Organic HBC Standards
Overall Market Size and Growth
      Natural HBC Juggernaut Hits $6.6 Billion in 2008
Table 2-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural and Organic Personal Care
      Products, by Category, 2004-2008 (dollars in millions)
      More Americans Determined to Go Natural, Organic, Green
      Recession Dampening Progress, Not Reversing It
      Skincare Category in Bullish Charge to $4.6 Billion
      Natural Haircare Blasts to $1.7 Billion
      Makeup Category Reaches $386.0 Million
Market Composition
      Natural Skincare Category Rules, Has 69% of Sales in 2008
      Table 2-2: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Personal Care Products,
      by Category, 2002-2008
      Natural Food/HBC Channel Accounts for 76% of Sales
      Table 2-3: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care
      Products, by Retail Channel and Category, 2006-2008 (dollars in thousands)
      One in Five Retail Dollars Yielded by Organic HBC
Factors in Future Growth
      Natural HBC Expected to Weather Recession Well
      Americans in Every Age Bracket Use Natural HBC
      Boomers the Original Advocates of Safer HBC
      Gen X Preaches Natural/Organic to Its Grandkids
      Gen Y (Millennials) Hardest to Impress
      Kids Under 7 Especially Targetable Now
      Table 2-4: Projected U.S. Population, by Age Bracket, 2009-2014* (in thousands)
      Natural HBC’s U.S. Stance Provides Exciting Jumping-Off Point
      Face It: The Greenest of Us Use Non-Natural HBC, Too
      The Big Blur: Natural, Mass, Prestige, Direct-Sale Product Mixes Merging
      Four Maps for Natural HBC Crossovers
      Lots and Lots and Lots and Lots of Potential in Mass
      Related Positionings Evoke Animals, Children, Ecology
      Fear of Cancer
      Do Natural Brands Work as Well as Arid, Olay, Pantene, Revlon?
      Efficacy in Question
      A Shock: Many Consumers Question Natural HBC’s Superior Safety
      Ethnic Audiences for Natural HBC: Prospects and Perspectives
      Ethnics More Disposed to Green-Consciousness Than Whites
      Natural HBC Poised for International Boom
Projected Overall Market Sales
      Natural HBC a Raging Bull Charging to $11.7 Billion in 2014
      Natural Skincare in Spectacular Climb to $8 Billion
      Natural Haircare to Blow Past $2.9 Billion
      Natural Makeup to Rocket to $781 Million
      Table 2-5: Projected U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Personal Care Products,
      by Category, 2008-2014 (dollars in millions)

Chapter 3: U.S. and Overseas Trends and Opportunities
      Highlights
U.S. Natural HBC Trends and Opportunities
Natural HBC a Market Based on Extraordinary Faith
      Trends in Natural HBC Positionings
      Ads: Marketers Still Educating Us
      Channel Strategies: Ubiquity
      Price-Tiering: Is It Time for Natural Value-Brands?
      Price-Tiering: High End Cannot Exist in a Vacuum
      Media Choices: Beyond Blogging
      “Natural/Organic” Almost a Component of U.S. Mainstream HBC
      It’s Coming: A World Natural HBC Market
International Markets for Natural HBC
      Global Natural HBC Market Hits $20.8 Billion in 2008
      Table 3-1: Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by
      World Region, 2004-2008 (in millions)
      Asia, United States, Western Europe Hold Largest Dollar Shares
      Table 3-2: Share of Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care
      Products, by World Region, 2004-2008
      Natural HBC at 9% of World HBC Products Retail Dollars
      Natural HBC Sales Projected at $40 Billion in 2014
      Table 3-3: Projected Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care
      Products, by World Region, 2008-2014 (in millions)
      Only Recession Delays Natural HBC Boom in Much of World
      Pin the Tail on the Middle Classes
      Exportable Positionings, Consumer Education Are Needed
      The U.S. Market Valued at $6.6 Billion in 2008
      BRIC’s Huge Natural HBC Potential Is for Real
      Brazil Has Largest Share of BRIC HBC Sales—For Now
      Russia a Magnet for HBC Marketers—But Is Losing Population
      India Has 5,000 Years of Herbal Tradition—and Low HBC Spends Per Capita
      China Market to Boom, Helped by Status Factor
      Other Natural HBC Markets to Watch
      Canada
      Argentina
      Australia
      Germany
      Indonesia
      The United Kingdom

Chapter 4: The Natural Skincare Category
      Highlights
The Products
      Category Definition
      Natural/Organic Skincare Products Beautify, Prevent, Treat
      Natural Skincare Category Has Seven Segments
      Face and Body (or Skincare)
      Deodorant
      Soap
      Bath Products
Shaving Products
      Suncare Products
      Fragrance
      Skincare Needs of Ethnic Consumers
      Skincare for Teens/Tweens/Babies
      Products Universally Positioned on Skin Conditions/Concerns
Market Size and Growth
      Skincare Category in Bullish Charge to $4.6 Billion in 2008
      Table 4-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural/Organic Skincare Products, 2004-
      2008 (dollars in millions)
      Natural Food/HBC Channel Still Dominates Skincare Category
      Table 4-2: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Skincare
      Products, by Retail Channel, 2006-2008 (dollars in thousands)
      ...And Natural Skincare Still Has Tiny Slice of All Skincare Sales in Mass
Factors in Future Growth
      Natural Skincare Category to Resist Effect of World Recession
      Skincare the Entry Point in Use of Natural HBC
      Boomers Fight Wrinkles, and Educate Gen Xers and Yers, Too
      Generation X Now in Stage of Life Favoring Use of Skincare Products
      Gen Y (Millennials) is Most Diverse, Hardest to Impress
      Kids Under 7: Infants are Most Targeted by Natural Skincare Marketers
      In 2009, 1 Million Americans Diagnosed with Skin Cancer
      Natural Skincare Crosses Over to Mass and Prestige—And Back Again
      International Developments
Projected Sales
      Natural Skincare in Spectacular Climb to $8.0 Billion by 2014
      Table 4-3: Projected U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Skincare Products, 2008-
      2014 (dollars in millions)
The Marketers
      Over 1,000 Natural Skincare Marketers
      ...But Only a Shrinking Handful Are Significant in Mass!
      Specialists Dominate Natural Skincare
      Table of Marketers and Brands
      Table 4-4: Leading Marketers of Natural Skincare Products, and Their
      Representative Brands
International Product Trends
      Wealthy Western Countries Lead Natural Skincare Product Intros
      SKUs versus Reports
      Natural Deodorant: Leading Introducers Are U.S., U.K., Canada
      Table 4-5: Numbers of New Natural Deodorant SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007-
      May 26, 2009
      Natural Deodorant: Five Marketers in Top Three Introducer Slots
      Table 4-6: Numbers of New Natural Deodorant SKUs, Worldwide by Company,
      May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009
      Natural Deodorant Tags
Table 4-7: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Deodorant Introductions, by
     Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
     Natural Shaving Product Debuts Dominated by U.S., Canada
     Table 4-8: Numbers of New Natural Shaving Product SKUs, by Country, May 26,
     2007- May 26, 2009
     Natural Shaving: Real Co. Leads Seven Introducers in Top Five Ranks
     Table 4-9: Numbers of New Natural Shaving Product SKUs, Worldwide by
     Company, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
     Most Natural Shaving Reports Note SKUs Tagged for Men
     Table 4-10: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Shaving Product
     Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
     New U.S. Natural Skincare SKUs Approach 1,000
     Table 4-11: Numbers of New Natural Skincare SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007-
     May 26, 2009
     Natural Skincare Debuts: Nature’s Paradise, Lavera, L’Oréal Are Top Trio
     Table 4-12: Numbers of New Natural Skincare SKUs, Worldwide by Company,
     May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009
     Natural Skincare Debuts: “Upscale,” “No Animal Tests” are Top Tags
     Table 4-13: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Skincare Product
     Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
Consumer Advertising Positioning
     Natural Skincare Marketers’ Media Allocations Have Changed
     Beauty Shots versus Advertorials
     Fighting the Effects of Age
     Green Ideas = Green Ink, Green Pixels
     Watch Out for DMDM Hydantoin
     Fair Trade
     Made Without x or n
     A Drug Chain as Old-Time Apothecary
     Sources of Ads Sampled
Consumer Promotions
     Hard Times Spawn Creative Natural Skincare Promos
     Help Us to Fight Breast Cancer
     A Percentage of Proceeds Also Goes to
     Free or Discounted Merchandise
     A Photo Contest
     Win a Trip to Australia

Chapter 5: The Natural Haircare Category
      Highlights
The Products
      Category Definition
      Three Segments: Shampoo/Conditioner, Stylers/Treatments, All Other
      Shampoo and Conditioner
      Styling Products and Treatments
      All Other
      Cosmeceutical Functions
Category Size and Growth
      Natural Haircare Blasts to $1.7 Billion in 2008
      Table 5-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural/Organic Haircare Products, 2004-
      2008 (dollars in millions)
      Natural Food/HBC Stores Command Three Quarters of Natural Haircare Dollars
      Natural Haircare’s Crossover to Mass Is Fast in One Sense, Slow in Another
      “All Other” Channels Pumped by Direct Sales
      Special Note: New Picture of Outlet Share
      Table 5-2: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Haircare
      Products, Products, by Retail Channel, 2006-2008 (dollars in thousands)
Factors in Future Growth
      How World’s Recession Affects Natural Haircare Sales
      Boomers Taught Their Kids Well: Healthy Hair = Beautiful Hair
      Gen-X Wants Safer Haircare, and Straightforward Marketing
      Gen-Y and Gen-Z: Reach Them via New Media
      You’ll Keep It, If You Treat It Nice
      Ethnic Audiences for Natural Haircare Hold Great Potential
      Foreign Prospects for Natural Haircare Marketers
Projected Sales
      Natural Haircare to Blow Past $2.9 Billion by 2014
      Table 5-3: Projected U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Haircare Products, 2008-
      2014 (dollars in millions)
The Marketers
      Possibly 1,000 Natural Haircare Marketers—But Only Seven Are Notable in
      Mass
      Companies Involved Are Mostly Specialists
      Table of Marketers and Brands
      Table 5-4: Leading Marketers of Natural Haircare Products, and Their
      Representative Brands
International Product Trends
      United States Dominates Natural Haircare Intros, Too
      R-O-W’s Tougher Fight vs. Haircare Brands’ Commodity Status
      Special Note: SKUs versus Reports
      Over 300 New U.S. Natural Shampoo SKUs in May 2007-May 2009
      Table 5-5: Numbers of New Natural Shampoo SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007-
      May 26, 2009
      North Castle/Avalon—or Hain Celestial—Leads Shampoo Intros
      Table 5-6: Numbers of New Natural Shampoo SKUs, Worldwide by Company,
      May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009
      Shampoo Tags Led by “Organic” and “Natural”
      Table 5-7: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Shampoo Introductions, by
      Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
      Natural Conditioner Debuts Led by United States’ 186 SKUs
      Table 5-8: Numbers of New Natural Hair Conditioner SKUs, by Country, May 26,
      2007- May 26, 2009
      Three Firms in Top Rank of Natural Conditioner Introducers
Table 5-9: Numbers of New Natural Hair Conditioner SKUs, Worldwide by
     Company, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
     “Organic” Edges Out “Natural” on Natural Conditioner Labels
     Table 5-10: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Hair Conditioner
     Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
Consumer Advertising Positioning
     Trad Media Budgets Shrink; Cheaper New Media Favored
     Natural Haircare Brands Mostly Supported by Image Ads
     Green Themes
     Fair Trade
     Sold Through Mass
     Consumer Promotions
     Little Couponing of Natural Haircare Products
     Newsletters and Blogs and Videos
     Tie-Ins with Charities and Activism
     Celebrity Endorsements

Chapter 6: The Natural Makeup Category
      Highlights
The Products
      This Chapter Covers
      Four Natural Makeup Segments Are Face, Eye, Lip, Nail
      Face Makeup
      Eye Makeup
      Lip Color
      Nail Polish
      Makeup is Increasingly Cosmeceutical
Category Size and Growth
      Makeup Category Reaches $386 Million in 2008
      Table 6-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural/Organic Makeup Products, 2004-
      2008 (dollars in millions)
      Dominant Natural Food/HBC Channel Gains Dollars, Loses Share
      Mass Sextuples Share of Natural Makeup Dollars, Yet Crossover’s Slow
      “All Other Channels” Still Accounts for Almost One in Five Retail Dollars
      Special Note Re Natural Makeup Sales by Retail Channel
      Table 6-2: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Makeup
      Products, by Retail Channel, 2006-2008 (dollars in thousands)
Factors in Future Growth
      Recession Forces Natural Makeup Marketers to Get Real
      Efficacy: Does This Product Work?
      Selection: Do They Have My Shade?
      Retail Shelf Space: It’ll Open Up—But by How Much?
      Overseas Opportunities for Natural Makeup Firms
Projected Sales
      Natural Makeup to Rocket to $781 Million in 2014
      Table 6-3: Projected U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Makeup, 2008-2014
      (dollars in millions)
The Marketers
      At Least 300 Natural Makeup Marketers
      ...But a Mere Handful Significant in Mass
      Most Natural Makeup Firms Are Privately Held Specialists
      Table of Marketers and Brands
      Table 6-4: Leading Marketers of Natural Makeup, and Their Representative
      Brands
International Product Trends
      New Natural Makeup SKUs at 175 Worldwide in May 2007-May 2009
      U.S. Intros, at 137, Led the Count
      Special Note: SKUs versus Reports
      British Isles Introduce the Most Natural Foundation SKUs
      Table 6-5: Numbers of New Natural Foundation Makeup SKUs, by Country, May
      26, 2007- May 26, 2009
      Nvey Le Maquillage the Most Prolific Issuer of Natural Foundation
      Table 6-6: Numbers of New Natural Foundation Makeup SKUs, Worldwide by
      Company, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
      “Organic” and “Natural” Most Common Natural Foundation Tags
      Table 6-7: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Foundation Makeup
      Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
      United Kingdom Leads in Natural Eye Makeup Debuts
      Table 6-8: Numbers of New Natural Eye Makeup SKUs, by Country, May 26,
      2007-May 26, 2009
      Nvey Le Maquillage the Busiest Introducer in Eye Makeup, Too
      Table 6-9: Numbers of New Natural Eye Makeup SKUs, Worldwide by Company,
      May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
      “Natural” and “Organic” in Tie for Most Frequent Tags
      Table 6-10: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Eye Makeup Introductions, by
      Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
      United States the Scene of Most Natural Lipstick Rollouts
      Table 6-11: Numbers of New Natural Lip Makeup SKUs, by Country, May 26,
      2007-May 26, 2009
      Nvey Le Maquillage Leads Natural Lipstick Launches
      Table 6-12: Numbers of New Natural Lip Makeup SKUs, Worldwide by Company,
      May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009
      New Natural Lipstick Tags Led by, Yes, “Organic” and “Natural”
      Table 6-13: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Lipstick Introductions, by
      Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009
Consumer Ad Positioning and Promotions
      Many Natural Makeup Marketers Favoring Interactive Media
      Mother Nature Blessed This Product
      How-To Videos
      Promo: Get a Makeover
      Discounts, Free Shipping, Merchandise Offers

Chapter 7: The Competitive Situation
     Highlights
Overview
      Emphasis on Ubiquity—Any Retail Door, Any Time
      Update on the “Big Blur:” Merging Retail Channels Allow New Positionings
      Eight Competitive Profiles Follow
Market Share
      Special Note About Share Data
      Estée Lauder, Clorox, Hain Are Top Triumvirate in Natural HBC
      Five Out of Six Natural HBC Leaders Are Billion-Dollar Corporations
      Table 7-1: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Personal Care Products
      Through All Outlets, by Top 25 Marketer-Ranks, 2006-2008 (dollars in millions)
Competitive Profile: Bare Escentuals, Inc
      Net Sales in Rapid Climb to $556.2 Million in 2008
      Bare Escentuals Increases International Sales
      Two Pivotal Stats
      In 2009, a Difficult First Quarter
      Bare Escentuals’ Foreign Sales Propelled by TV Alliances
      Natural Makeup for a Natural Look
      Bare Escentuals Really an Umbrella Brand
      Vertically Integrated to Brick-and-Mortar Retail Level
Competitive Profile: The Clorox Company/Burt’s Bees, Inc
      Clorox Reports Net Sales of $5.3 Billion in Fiscal 2008
      A Rosy Outlook for Fiscal 2009
      Clorox Passionate About Burt’s Bees
      Clorox Keeps Some of Burt’s Bees’ Down-Home Image, But Cuts Out Makeup
      Clorox’s Other Leading U.S. Brands
Competitive Profile: The Estée Lauder Cos., Inc./Aveda Corp.
      Net Sales Jump Past $7.9 Billion in Fiscal 2008
      Performance of Estée’s Five Product Categories
      Decreased Expectations for Fiscal 2009
      It’s Official: Estée Transacts Majority of Sales Outside United States
      Estée’s Strategy for 2010-2013 Keys on More Foreign Activity
      Four Natural Brands Out of 29
      An Elegant, Practical Marketer Sells in Every Channel Except Health Food
      Stores
      Table 7-2: Share of the Estée Lauder Companies' Net Sales, by Retail Channel,
      for Fiscal Year Ended June 30, 2008
Competitive Profile: The Hain Celestial Group, Inc
      Net Sales Leap Past $1 Billion Mark in Fiscal 2008
      Hain Celestial’s European Sales on the Increase
      Mixed Outlook for FY2009
      Crumpets in England, Soy Milk in Germany, Equity in Malaysia
      Fifty Years of Selling Through Both Mass and Natural Channels
      Many Hain Brands Are Household Words
Competitive Profile: L’Oréal S.A./The Body Shop International PLC
      Net Sales of €17.5 Billion in 2008
      Share of Sales by World Currency: Euros and Dollars Lead
Major Shareholders Include Nestlé
      A Difficult First Quarter of 2009
      Semi-Naturals: L’Oréal Added The Body Shop in 2006, Kiehl’s in 2000
      All the Resources to Shake Up the Natural HBC Market
      L’Oréal’s Stable of Other Beauty Brands
Three Marketers to Watch
      Three Diverse Marketers, Three Success Stories
Marketer to Watch: Earth Mama Angel Baby LLC
      Sales Estimated at $15 - $20 Million
      Positioned on Sincere Love for Mamas Everywhere
      Interview with Don Olson, President
Marketer to Watch: Juice Beauty, Inc.
      Sales Estimated at $20 - $25 Million
      Right Formulas, Packs, Multi-Channel Distribution, at Right Time
Marketer to Watch: Kiss My Face Corporation
      Sales Estimated in $50 - $100 Million Range
      Strategy a Kind of Creative Pragmatism
      Lewis Goldstein on the Economy, Managing Natural Brands, and World
      Conquest

Chapter 8: Distribution and Retail
       Highlights
Distribution
       Most Natural HBC Unit Volume Moves Through Distributors
       UNFI the Largest Natural Products Distributor
At the Retail Level
       Perhaps 40,000 Doors in Natural Food/HBC Channel
       In Natural Channel, HBC Yields Strong, 40%-50%-and-Higher Margins
       Whole Foods Opens Luxe Store in Chicago
       Don’t Forget Food Co-Ops
       Natural HBC Product Subscriptions
       E-Sampling
Retailer Focus: The Spa as Sell-Through Channel
       Spas a $66 Billion Industry, Worldwide
       U.S. Leads Spa Revenues, but Eyes Are on China
       Spas Stock Natural Brands Largely Unfamiliar to Consumers
       From Aveda to Dove: Vertical Integration
Retailer Profile: Moet Henessy-Louis Vuitton (LVMH)/Sephora
       Revenue Climbed to €17.2 Billion in 2008
       LVMH’s “Resilience” in 2009
       Sephora Strong Worldwide, Despite Gloomy Prospects for Luxe Goods
       Sephora Steps Up Natural HBC Involvement
       Other LVMH Brands

Chapter 9: The Natural Personal Care Consumer
     Highlights
The Packaged Facts Online Consumer Survey
Over 2,600 Consumers Interviewed
      How to Read the Index
      The Overall Gauge
      Table 9-1: Composition of Respondent-Base for Packaged Facts' Online
      Consumer Survey, by Demographic Factor, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
Use of Natural Personal Care Products: Psychographics and Attitudes
      Half of Those Surveyed Use Natural HBC
      ...But Only a Third Say It’s Effective as General-Market HBC
      Be Optimistic: Just 26% of Respondents Plan to Spend Less on Natural HBC
      Table 9-2: Share of Packaged Facts Survey Respondents, by Agreement with
      Six Statements/Attitudes Regarding Natural or Organic Personal Care Products,
      2009 (adult users of natural/organic personal care products, in recent 12 months)
      272
      Believers in Natural HBC’s Safety Skew to Women, College Grads, Gen-Xers,
      Presence of Kids
      Believers in Natural HBC’s Efficacy Skew to Women, College Grads, Presence of
      Kids
      Table 9-3: Demographic Factors Favoring Strong Agreement That Natural or
      Organic Personal Care Products Are Safer Than, or as Effective, as
      Conventional Versions, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      No Surprise—Those Paying Extra for Natural HBC Skew Affluent
      No Surprise, the Sequel: Those Spending Less on Natural HBC Skew Young,
      Less Affluent
      Table 9-4: Demographic Factors Favoring Agreement with Two Statements: "I'm
      Usually Willing to Pay More for Natural or Organic Personal Care Products," and
      "I Anticipate Spending Less on Natural/Organic HBC in the Next 12 Months**,"
      2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
Use of Natural Personal Care Products, by Type
      Body Wash, Deodorant, Moisturizer, Shampoo Lead Natural HBC Use
      Table 9-5: Share of Survey Respondents Using Natural or Organic Personal
      Care Products, by Product Type, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Overall, Natural HBC Use Skews Both Affluent and Non-Affluent
      Table 9-6: Demographic Factors in Use of Any Natural or Organic Personal Care
      Products, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Even Impoverished Consumers Read Labels, Are Green-Minded
      Body Wash: Twentysomethings, Presence of Kids, Region Influence Use
      Table 9-7: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Body Wash, 2009
      (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Natural Deodorant Use Marked—Possibly—by Singles Lifestyle
      Eye Cream: Women Are Featured, of Course
      Table 9-8: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural or Organic Deodorant and Eye
      Cream, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Facial Masques: Here, Too, Women Are the Only Standouts
      Facial Anti-Aging Products: An Affluent Consumer Is Likely
      Table 9-9: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Facial Masques and
      Anti-Aging Products, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
Moisturizer User-Data Point to Affluence
      Shave Cream: Men—Who Else?—Stand Out
      Table 9-10: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural or Organic Moisturizer and
      Shave Cream, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Shampoo and Conditioner: Twentysomethings, Renters
      Table 9-11: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Shampoo and
      Conditioner, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Natural Makeup Still Not Widely Used, So Few Starring Factors
      Table 9-12a: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Eye Makeup and
      Lip Makeup, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Table 9-12b: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Face Makeup
      (Foundation, Face Powder, Concealer, Blusher, etc.), 2009 (adults, in recent 12
      months)
Use of Natural Personal Care Brands
      Burt’s Bees the Most Popular Brand—By Far
      Table 9-13: Share of Survey Respondents Using Natural or Organic Personal
      Care Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Aveda Use Skews Upscale
      The Body Shop: Also Upscale, With Kids
      Table 9-14: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Personal Care
      Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Burt’s Bees Users Skew Affluent, despite Brand’s Former Rustic Image
      Table 9-15 Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Personal Care
      Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Kiss My Face and Nature’s Gate: No Coherent Profiles Yet
      Tom’s of Maine Holds Appeal for Baby Boomers
      Table 9-16: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Personal Care
      Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      Use of All Other Brands
      Table 9-17: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Personal Care
      Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
Consumer Focus: The Ethnic User of Natural Personal Care Products
      Our Survey Data Paint Ethnics Green
      Table 9-18: Demographic Factors in Use of Any Natural or Organic Personal
      Care Products, by Race or Hispanic Origin, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
      BIGresearch Data Show That Ethnics More Likely “Go Organic”
      Table 9-19: Shares of Consumers Who Buy Organic Health and Beauty Care
      Products, by Race, Hispanic Origin, and by Age Over or Under 35, 2008 (adults,
      as of May 2008)
      Main U.S. Ethnic Groups to Reach 116.5 Million by 2014
      Hispanic Population Trends
      African-American and Asian Population Trends
      Other Groups: Population Trends
      Table 9-20 Projection of U.S. Population, by Race and Gender, 2008-2020 (in
      thousands)

Appendix: Addresses of Selected Marketers
Available immediately for Online Download at
http://www.marketresearch.com/product/display.asp?productid=2199557 

 

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Natural and Organic Personal Care Products in the U.S., 4th Edition

  • 1.     Get more info on this report! Natural and Organic Personal Care Products in the U.S., 4th Edition July 1, 2009 Natural HBC brands are growing up -- their marketers are packaging and selling natural moisturizer, shampoo, and eye shadow more slickly than ever before. And green consumers are more receptive, too. Thus retail sales of natural HBC boomed by 57% during 2004-2008, to $6.6 billion. In the coming years, the marketplace will be complicated by the after-effect of the deep recession; by the Big Blur of retail channels; by reformulations to please mainstream America; and by international activity. But the opportunities get hotter and hotter. Packaged Facts’ newest edition of its best-selling guide to the natural HBC market includes: Separate chapters on skincare, haircare, and makeup, which contain historical and future dollar patterns, together with Packaged Facts’ famous in-depth analysis. International trends are covered for the first time in this edition. Also included are extensive product-use data from Packaged Facts' own consumer survey. And the profiles of Clorox/Burt’s Bees, Estée Lauder/Aveda, Hain Celestial, Kiss My Face, L'Oréal/The Body Shop, and others are detailed. Read an excerpt from this report below. Report Methodology Natural and Organic Personal Care Products in the U.S., 4th Edition, is based on information gathered from primary, secondary, and syndicated sources. Primary research involves on-site study of how natural HBC products are sold through retail stores; Packaged Facts also consults with industry executives. Secondary research involves the evaluation and comparison of data from mountains of articles found in financial, marketing, and retail publications, as well as on corresponding types of websites. Company literature, government agencies, and other sources also provide valuable secondary data. Analysis of consumers’ purchase and use of natural personal care products is based on semi-annual surveys by Simmons Market Research Bureau, Inc., one of the leading compilers of demographic data in the United States. For the first time, with this edition, some of the Simmons data we present are in response to questions custom-tailored for Packaged Facts. Information about many new natural
  • 2. HBC product introductions is provided by Product Launch Analytics, a Datamonitor service. Table of Contents Chapter 1: Executive Summary Scope of this Market Geographic Coverage: U.S. and Overseas Markets “Natural” Often Encompasses “Organic” Here’s the First Organic HBC Labeling Standard! U.S. Natural HBC Juggernaut Hits $6.6 Billion in 2008 More Americans Determined to Go Natural, Organic, Green Recession Dampening Progress, Not Reversing It U.S. Natural HBC a Raging Bull Charging to $11.7 Billion in 2014 Table 1-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural and Organic Personal Care Products, 2004-2014 (dollars in millions) Natural Food/HBC Channel Accounts for 76% of Sales Natural HBC a Market Based on Extraordinary Faith Channel Strategies: Ubiquity Global Natural HBC Market Hits $20.8 Billion in 2008 Table 1-2: Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by World Region, 2004-2008 (in millions) Global Natural HBC Sales Projected at $40 Billion in 2014 Table 1-3: Projected Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by World Region, 2008-2014 (in millions) BRIC’s Huge Natural HBC Potential is for Real Product Trends: Wealthy Western Countries Lead Natural Skincare Intros Product Intros: United States Dominates Natural Haircare Intros, Too R-O-W’s Tougher Fight vs. Haircare Brands’ Commodity Status Product Trends: New Natural Makeup SKUs at 175 Worldwide in May 2007-May 2009; U.S. Leads in Rollouts Half of Those Surveyed Use Natural HBC ...But Only a Third Say It’s Effective as General-Market HBC Be Optimistic: Just 26% of Respondents Plan to Spend Less on Natural HBC Table 1-4: Share of Packaged Facts Survey Respondents, by Agreement with Six Statements/Attitudes Regarding Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, 2009 (adult users of natural/organic personal care products, in recent 12 months) 12 Believers in Natural HBC’s Safety Skew to Women, College Grads, Gen-Xers, Presence of Kids Believers in Natural HBC’s Efficacy Skew to Women, College Grads, Presence of Kids Chapter 2: The Overall Natural Personal Care Market Highlights Introduction Scope of this Market
  • 3. Geographic Coverage: U.S. and Overseas Markets “Natural” vs. “Organic”: Which Is More Trusted by Consumers? “Natural” Often Encompasses “Organic” Formulation and Positioning Both Determine Inclusion of Brands Definitions of Terms Used Carbon Footprint Cosmeceutical Direct Ethnic Fair Trade Green HBC Hydrosol Market versus Category versus Segment Mass Retail Channel(s) Over the Counter (OTC) Prestige and Pop Prestige SKU Specialty Supermarket, Chain Drugstore, Mass Merchandiser Sustainable (also, Renewable) Methodology The Products Three Categories: Skincare, Haircare, and Makeup Skincare Haircare Makeup (Color Cosmetics) Typical Ingredients Six Controversial Ingredients: 1,4-Dioxane, Hydrosols, Linalool, Parabens, Propylene Glycol, SLFs 1,4-Dioxane Hydrosols Linalool Parabens Propylene Glycol SLFs Mostly In Packaging, Bisphenol-A and Phthalates Are Dangerous Regulation and Certification Natural and Organic HBC Industry Still Hungry for Regulation ...But a Draft of Standards from NSF International Was Released in 2008 ...And Here’s the First Organic HBC Labeling Standard! Bits of Regulation and De Facto Regulation That Are in Force FTC Still Hampered by Lack of Natural/Organic HBC Standards Overall Market Size and Growth Natural HBC Juggernaut Hits $6.6 Billion in 2008
  • 4. Table 2-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural and Organic Personal Care Products, by Category, 2004-2008 (dollars in millions) More Americans Determined to Go Natural, Organic, Green Recession Dampening Progress, Not Reversing It Skincare Category in Bullish Charge to $4.6 Billion Natural Haircare Blasts to $1.7 Billion Makeup Category Reaches $386.0 Million Market Composition Natural Skincare Category Rules, Has 69% of Sales in 2008 Table 2-2: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Personal Care Products, by Category, 2002-2008 Natural Food/HBC Channel Accounts for 76% of Sales Table 2-3: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by Retail Channel and Category, 2006-2008 (dollars in thousands) One in Five Retail Dollars Yielded by Organic HBC Factors in Future Growth Natural HBC Expected to Weather Recession Well Americans in Every Age Bracket Use Natural HBC Boomers the Original Advocates of Safer HBC Gen X Preaches Natural/Organic to Its Grandkids Gen Y (Millennials) Hardest to Impress Kids Under 7 Especially Targetable Now Table 2-4: Projected U.S. Population, by Age Bracket, 2009-2014* (in thousands) Natural HBC’s U.S. Stance Provides Exciting Jumping-Off Point Face It: The Greenest of Us Use Non-Natural HBC, Too The Big Blur: Natural, Mass, Prestige, Direct-Sale Product Mixes Merging Four Maps for Natural HBC Crossovers Lots and Lots and Lots and Lots of Potential in Mass Related Positionings Evoke Animals, Children, Ecology Fear of Cancer Do Natural Brands Work as Well as Arid, Olay, Pantene, Revlon? Efficacy in Question A Shock: Many Consumers Question Natural HBC’s Superior Safety Ethnic Audiences for Natural HBC: Prospects and Perspectives Ethnics More Disposed to Green-Consciousness Than Whites Natural HBC Poised for International Boom Projected Overall Market Sales Natural HBC a Raging Bull Charging to $11.7 Billion in 2014 Natural Skincare in Spectacular Climb to $8 Billion Natural Haircare to Blow Past $2.9 Billion Natural Makeup to Rocket to $781 Million Table 2-5: Projected U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Personal Care Products, by Category, 2008-2014 (dollars in millions) Chapter 3: U.S. and Overseas Trends and Opportunities Highlights U.S. Natural HBC Trends and Opportunities
  • 5. Natural HBC a Market Based on Extraordinary Faith Trends in Natural HBC Positionings Ads: Marketers Still Educating Us Channel Strategies: Ubiquity Price-Tiering: Is It Time for Natural Value-Brands? Price-Tiering: High End Cannot Exist in a Vacuum Media Choices: Beyond Blogging “Natural/Organic” Almost a Component of U.S. Mainstream HBC It’s Coming: A World Natural HBC Market International Markets for Natural HBC Global Natural HBC Market Hits $20.8 Billion in 2008 Table 3-1: Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by World Region, 2004-2008 (in millions) Asia, United States, Western Europe Hold Largest Dollar Shares Table 3-2: Share of Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by World Region, 2004-2008 Natural HBC at 9% of World HBC Products Retail Dollars Natural HBC Sales Projected at $40 Billion in 2014 Table 3-3: Projected Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by World Region, 2008-2014 (in millions) Only Recession Delays Natural HBC Boom in Much of World Pin the Tail on the Middle Classes Exportable Positionings, Consumer Education Are Needed The U.S. Market Valued at $6.6 Billion in 2008 BRIC’s Huge Natural HBC Potential Is for Real Brazil Has Largest Share of BRIC HBC Sales—For Now Russia a Magnet for HBC Marketers—But Is Losing Population India Has 5,000 Years of Herbal Tradition—and Low HBC Spends Per Capita China Market to Boom, Helped by Status Factor Other Natural HBC Markets to Watch Canada Argentina Australia Germany Indonesia The United Kingdom Chapter 4: The Natural Skincare Category Highlights The Products Category Definition Natural/Organic Skincare Products Beautify, Prevent, Treat Natural Skincare Category Has Seven Segments Face and Body (or Skincare) Deodorant Soap Bath Products
  • 6. Shaving Products Suncare Products Fragrance Skincare Needs of Ethnic Consumers Skincare for Teens/Tweens/Babies Products Universally Positioned on Skin Conditions/Concerns Market Size and Growth Skincare Category in Bullish Charge to $4.6 Billion in 2008 Table 4-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural/Organic Skincare Products, 2004- 2008 (dollars in millions) Natural Food/HBC Channel Still Dominates Skincare Category Table 4-2: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Skincare Products, by Retail Channel, 2006-2008 (dollars in thousands) ...And Natural Skincare Still Has Tiny Slice of All Skincare Sales in Mass Factors in Future Growth Natural Skincare Category to Resist Effect of World Recession Skincare the Entry Point in Use of Natural HBC Boomers Fight Wrinkles, and Educate Gen Xers and Yers, Too Generation X Now in Stage of Life Favoring Use of Skincare Products Gen Y (Millennials) is Most Diverse, Hardest to Impress Kids Under 7: Infants are Most Targeted by Natural Skincare Marketers In 2009, 1 Million Americans Diagnosed with Skin Cancer Natural Skincare Crosses Over to Mass and Prestige—And Back Again International Developments Projected Sales Natural Skincare in Spectacular Climb to $8.0 Billion by 2014 Table 4-3: Projected U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Skincare Products, 2008- 2014 (dollars in millions) The Marketers Over 1,000 Natural Skincare Marketers ...But Only a Shrinking Handful Are Significant in Mass! Specialists Dominate Natural Skincare Table of Marketers and Brands Table 4-4: Leading Marketers of Natural Skincare Products, and Their Representative Brands International Product Trends Wealthy Western Countries Lead Natural Skincare Product Intros SKUs versus Reports Natural Deodorant: Leading Introducers Are U.S., U.K., Canada Table 4-5: Numbers of New Natural Deodorant SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 Natural Deodorant: Five Marketers in Top Three Introducer Slots Table 4-6: Numbers of New Natural Deodorant SKUs, Worldwide by Company, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 Natural Deodorant Tags
  • 7. Table 4-7: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Deodorant Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 Natural Shaving Product Debuts Dominated by U.S., Canada Table 4-8: Numbers of New Natural Shaving Product SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 Natural Shaving: Real Co. Leads Seven Introducers in Top Five Ranks Table 4-9: Numbers of New Natural Shaving Product SKUs, Worldwide by Company, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 Most Natural Shaving Reports Note SKUs Tagged for Men Table 4-10: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Shaving Product Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 New U.S. Natural Skincare SKUs Approach 1,000 Table 4-11: Numbers of New Natural Skincare SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 Natural Skincare Debuts: Nature’s Paradise, Lavera, L’Oréal Are Top Trio Table 4-12: Numbers of New Natural Skincare SKUs, Worldwide by Company, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 Natural Skincare Debuts: “Upscale,” “No Animal Tests” are Top Tags Table 4-13: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Skincare Product Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 Consumer Advertising Positioning Natural Skincare Marketers’ Media Allocations Have Changed Beauty Shots versus Advertorials Fighting the Effects of Age Green Ideas = Green Ink, Green Pixels Watch Out for DMDM Hydantoin Fair Trade Made Without x or n A Drug Chain as Old-Time Apothecary Sources of Ads Sampled Consumer Promotions Hard Times Spawn Creative Natural Skincare Promos Help Us to Fight Breast Cancer A Percentage of Proceeds Also Goes to Free or Discounted Merchandise A Photo Contest Win a Trip to Australia Chapter 5: The Natural Haircare Category Highlights The Products Category Definition Three Segments: Shampoo/Conditioner, Stylers/Treatments, All Other Shampoo and Conditioner Styling Products and Treatments All Other Cosmeceutical Functions
  • 8. Category Size and Growth Natural Haircare Blasts to $1.7 Billion in 2008 Table 5-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural/Organic Haircare Products, 2004- 2008 (dollars in millions) Natural Food/HBC Stores Command Three Quarters of Natural Haircare Dollars Natural Haircare’s Crossover to Mass Is Fast in One Sense, Slow in Another “All Other” Channels Pumped by Direct Sales Special Note: New Picture of Outlet Share Table 5-2: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Haircare Products, Products, by Retail Channel, 2006-2008 (dollars in thousands) Factors in Future Growth How World’s Recession Affects Natural Haircare Sales Boomers Taught Their Kids Well: Healthy Hair = Beautiful Hair Gen-X Wants Safer Haircare, and Straightforward Marketing Gen-Y and Gen-Z: Reach Them via New Media You’ll Keep It, If You Treat It Nice Ethnic Audiences for Natural Haircare Hold Great Potential Foreign Prospects for Natural Haircare Marketers Projected Sales Natural Haircare to Blow Past $2.9 Billion by 2014 Table 5-3: Projected U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Haircare Products, 2008- 2014 (dollars in millions) The Marketers Possibly 1,000 Natural Haircare Marketers—But Only Seven Are Notable in Mass Companies Involved Are Mostly Specialists Table of Marketers and Brands Table 5-4: Leading Marketers of Natural Haircare Products, and Their Representative Brands International Product Trends United States Dominates Natural Haircare Intros, Too R-O-W’s Tougher Fight vs. Haircare Brands’ Commodity Status Special Note: SKUs versus Reports Over 300 New U.S. Natural Shampoo SKUs in May 2007-May 2009 Table 5-5: Numbers of New Natural Shampoo SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 North Castle/Avalon—or Hain Celestial—Leads Shampoo Intros Table 5-6: Numbers of New Natural Shampoo SKUs, Worldwide by Company, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 Shampoo Tags Led by “Organic” and “Natural” Table 5-7: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Shampoo Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 Natural Conditioner Debuts Led by United States’ 186 SKUs Table 5-8: Numbers of New Natural Hair Conditioner SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 Three Firms in Top Rank of Natural Conditioner Introducers
  • 9. Table 5-9: Numbers of New Natural Hair Conditioner SKUs, Worldwide by Company, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 “Organic” Edges Out “Natural” on Natural Conditioner Labels Table 5-10: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Hair Conditioner Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 Consumer Advertising Positioning Trad Media Budgets Shrink; Cheaper New Media Favored Natural Haircare Brands Mostly Supported by Image Ads Green Themes Fair Trade Sold Through Mass Consumer Promotions Little Couponing of Natural Haircare Products Newsletters and Blogs and Videos Tie-Ins with Charities and Activism Celebrity Endorsements Chapter 6: The Natural Makeup Category Highlights The Products This Chapter Covers Four Natural Makeup Segments Are Face, Eye, Lip, Nail Face Makeup Eye Makeup Lip Color Nail Polish Makeup is Increasingly Cosmeceutical Category Size and Growth Makeup Category Reaches $386 Million in 2008 Table 6-1: U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural/Organic Makeup Products, 2004- 2008 (dollars in millions) Dominant Natural Food/HBC Channel Gains Dollars, Loses Share Mass Sextuples Share of Natural Makeup Dollars, Yet Crossover’s Slow “All Other Channels” Still Accounts for Almost One in Five Retail Dollars Special Note Re Natural Makeup Sales by Retail Channel Table 6-2: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural or Organic Makeup Products, by Retail Channel, 2006-2008 (dollars in thousands) Factors in Future Growth Recession Forces Natural Makeup Marketers to Get Real Efficacy: Does This Product Work? Selection: Do They Have My Shade? Retail Shelf Space: It’ll Open Up—But by How Much? Overseas Opportunities for Natural Makeup Firms Projected Sales Natural Makeup to Rocket to $781 Million in 2014 Table 6-3: Projected U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Makeup, 2008-2014 (dollars in millions)
  • 10. The Marketers At Least 300 Natural Makeup Marketers ...But a Mere Handful Significant in Mass Most Natural Makeup Firms Are Privately Held Specialists Table of Marketers and Brands Table 6-4: Leading Marketers of Natural Makeup, and Their Representative Brands International Product Trends New Natural Makeup SKUs at 175 Worldwide in May 2007-May 2009 U.S. Intros, at 137, Led the Count Special Note: SKUs versus Reports British Isles Introduce the Most Natural Foundation SKUs Table 6-5: Numbers of New Natural Foundation Makeup SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 Nvey Le Maquillage the Most Prolific Issuer of Natural Foundation Table 6-6: Numbers of New Natural Foundation Makeup SKUs, Worldwide by Company, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 “Organic” and “Natural” Most Common Natural Foundation Tags Table 6-7: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Foundation Makeup Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 United Kingdom Leads in Natural Eye Makeup Debuts Table 6-8: Numbers of New Natural Eye Makeup SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 Nvey Le Maquillage the Busiest Introducer in Eye Makeup, Too Table 6-9: Numbers of New Natural Eye Makeup SKUs, Worldwide by Company, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 “Natural” and “Organic” in Tie for Most Frequent Tags Table 6-10: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Eye Makeup Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 United States the Scene of Most Natural Lipstick Rollouts Table 6-11: Numbers of New Natural Lip Makeup SKUs, by Country, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 Nvey Le Maquillage Leads Natural Lipstick Launches Table 6-12: Numbers of New Natural Lip Makeup SKUs, Worldwide by Company, May 26, 2007- May 26, 2009 New Natural Lipstick Tags Led by, Yes, “Organic” and “Natural” Table 6-13: Claims/Tags on Labels of New Natural Lipstick Introductions, by Numbers of Reports Worldwide, May 26, 2007-May 26, 2009 Consumer Ad Positioning and Promotions Many Natural Makeup Marketers Favoring Interactive Media Mother Nature Blessed This Product How-To Videos Promo: Get a Makeover Discounts, Free Shipping, Merchandise Offers Chapter 7: The Competitive Situation Highlights
  • 11. Overview Emphasis on Ubiquity—Any Retail Door, Any Time Update on the “Big Blur:” Merging Retail Channels Allow New Positionings Eight Competitive Profiles Follow Market Share Special Note About Share Data Estée Lauder, Clorox, Hain Are Top Triumvirate in Natural HBC Five Out of Six Natural HBC Leaders Are Billion-Dollar Corporations Table 7-1: Share of U.S. Retail Dollar Sales of Natural Personal Care Products Through All Outlets, by Top 25 Marketer-Ranks, 2006-2008 (dollars in millions) Competitive Profile: Bare Escentuals, Inc Net Sales in Rapid Climb to $556.2 Million in 2008 Bare Escentuals Increases International Sales Two Pivotal Stats In 2009, a Difficult First Quarter Bare Escentuals’ Foreign Sales Propelled by TV Alliances Natural Makeup for a Natural Look Bare Escentuals Really an Umbrella Brand Vertically Integrated to Brick-and-Mortar Retail Level Competitive Profile: The Clorox Company/Burt’s Bees, Inc Clorox Reports Net Sales of $5.3 Billion in Fiscal 2008 A Rosy Outlook for Fiscal 2009 Clorox Passionate About Burt’s Bees Clorox Keeps Some of Burt’s Bees’ Down-Home Image, But Cuts Out Makeup Clorox’s Other Leading U.S. Brands Competitive Profile: The Estée Lauder Cos., Inc./Aveda Corp. Net Sales Jump Past $7.9 Billion in Fiscal 2008 Performance of Estée’s Five Product Categories Decreased Expectations for Fiscal 2009 It’s Official: Estée Transacts Majority of Sales Outside United States Estée’s Strategy for 2010-2013 Keys on More Foreign Activity Four Natural Brands Out of 29 An Elegant, Practical Marketer Sells in Every Channel Except Health Food Stores Table 7-2: Share of the Estée Lauder Companies' Net Sales, by Retail Channel, for Fiscal Year Ended June 30, 2008 Competitive Profile: The Hain Celestial Group, Inc Net Sales Leap Past $1 Billion Mark in Fiscal 2008 Hain Celestial’s European Sales on the Increase Mixed Outlook for FY2009 Crumpets in England, Soy Milk in Germany, Equity in Malaysia Fifty Years of Selling Through Both Mass and Natural Channels Many Hain Brands Are Household Words Competitive Profile: L’Oréal S.A./The Body Shop International PLC Net Sales of €17.5 Billion in 2008 Share of Sales by World Currency: Euros and Dollars Lead
  • 12. Major Shareholders Include Nestlé A Difficult First Quarter of 2009 Semi-Naturals: L’Oréal Added The Body Shop in 2006, Kiehl’s in 2000 All the Resources to Shake Up the Natural HBC Market L’Oréal’s Stable of Other Beauty Brands Three Marketers to Watch Three Diverse Marketers, Three Success Stories Marketer to Watch: Earth Mama Angel Baby LLC Sales Estimated at $15 - $20 Million Positioned on Sincere Love for Mamas Everywhere Interview with Don Olson, President Marketer to Watch: Juice Beauty, Inc. Sales Estimated at $20 - $25 Million Right Formulas, Packs, Multi-Channel Distribution, at Right Time Marketer to Watch: Kiss My Face Corporation Sales Estimated in $50 - $100 Million Range Strategy a Kind of Creative Pragmatism Lewis Goldstein on the Economy, Managing Natural Brands, and World Conquest Chapter 8: Distribution and Retail Highlights Distribution Most Natural HBC Unit Volume Moves Through Distributors UNFI the Largest Natural Products Distributor At the Retail Level Perhaps 40,000 Doors in Natural Food/HBC Channel In Natural Channel, HBC Yields Strong, 40%-50%-and-Higher Margins Whole Foods Opens Luxe Store in Chicago Don’t Forget Food Co-Ops Natural HBC Product Subscriptions E-Sampling Retailer Focus: The Spa as Sell-Through Channel Spas a $66 Billion Industry, Worldwide U.S. Leads Spa Revenues, but Eyes Are on China Spas Stock Natural Brands Largely Unfamiliar to Consumers From Aveda to Dove: Vertical Integration Retailer Profile: Moet Henessy-Louis Vuitton (LVMH)/Sephora Revenue Climbed to €17.2 Billion in 2008 LVMH’s “Resilience” in 2009 Sephora Strong Worldwide, Despite Gloomy Prospects for Luxe Goods Sephora Steps Up Natural HBC Involvement Other LVMH Brands Chapter 9: The Natural Personal Care Consumer Highlights The Packaged Facts Online Consumer Survey
  • 13. Over 2,600 Consumers Interviewed How to Read the Index The Overall Gauge Table 9-1: Composition of Respondent-Base for Packaged Facts' Online Consumer Survey, by Demographic Factor, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Use of Natural Personal Care Products: Psychographics and Attitudes Half of Those Surveyed Use Natural HBC ...But Only a Third Say It’s Effective as General-Market HBC Be Optimistic: Just 26% of Respondents Plan to Spend Less on Natural HBC Table 9-2: Share of Packaged Facts Survey Respondents, by Agreement with Six Statements/Attitudes Regarding Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, 2009 (adult users of natural/organic personal care products, in recent 12 months) 272 Believers in Natural HBC’s Safety Skew to Women, College Grads, Gen-Xers, Presence of Kids Believers in Natural HBC’s Efficacy Skew to Women, College Grads, Presence of Kids Table 9-3: Demographic Factors Favoring Strong Agreement That Natural or Organic Personal Care Products Are Safer Than, or as Effective, as Conventional Versions, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) No Surprise—Those Paying Extra for Natural HBC Skew Affluent No Surprise, the Sequel: Those Spending Less on Natural HBC Skew Young, Less Affluent Table 9-4: Demographic Factors Favoring Agreement with Two Statements: "I'm Usually Willing to Pay More for Natural or Organic Personal Care Products," and "I Anticipate Spending Less on Natural/Organic HBC in the Next 12 Months**," 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Use of Natural Personal Care Products, by Type Body Wash, Deodorant, Moisturizer, Shampoo Lead Natural HBC Use Table 9-5: Share of Survey Respondents Using Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by Product Type, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Overall, Natural HBC Use Skews Both Affluent and Non-Affluent Table 9-6: Demographic Factors in Use of Any Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Even Impoverished Consumers Read Labels, Are Green-Minded Body Wash: Twentysomethings, Presence of Kids, Region Influence Use Table 9-7: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Body Wash, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Natural Deodorant Use Marked—Possibly—by Singles Lifestyle Eye Cream: Women Are Featured, of Course Table 9-8: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural or Organic Deodorant and Eye Cream, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Facial Masques: Here, Too, Women Are the Only Standouts Facial Anti-Aging Products: An Affluent Consumer Is Likely Table 9-9: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Facial Masques and Anti-Aging Products, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months)
  • 14. Moisturizer User-Data Point to Affluence Shave Cream: Men—Who Else?—Stand Out Table 9-10: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural or Organic Moisturizer and Shave Cream, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Shampoo and Conditioner: Twentysomethings, Renters Table 9-11: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Shampoo and Conditioner, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Natural Makeup Still Not Widely Used, So Few Starring Factors Table 9-12a: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Eye Makeup and Lip Makeup, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Table 9-12b: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Face Makeup (Foundation, Face Powder, Concealer, Blusher, etc.), 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Use of Natural Personal Care Brands Burt’s Bees the Most Popular Brand—By Far Table 9-13: Share of Survey Respondents Using Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Aveda Use Skews Upscale The Body Shop: Also Upscale, With Kids Table 9-14: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Personal Care Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Burt’s Bees Users Skew Affluent, despite Brand’s Former Rustic Image Table 9-15 Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Personal Care Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Kiss My Face and Nature’s Gate: No Coherent Profiles Yet Tom’s of Maine Holds Appeal for Baby Boomers Table 9-16: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Personal Care Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Use of All Other Brands Table 9-17: Demographic Factors in Use of Natural/Organic Personal Care Products, by Brand, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) Consumer Focus: The Ethnic User of Natural Personal Care Products Our Survey Data Paint Ethnics Green Table 9-18: Demographic Factors in Use of Any Natural or Organic Personal Care Products, by Race or Hispanic Origin, 2009 (adults, in recent 12 months) BIGresearch Data Show That Ethnics More Likely “Go Organic” Table 9-19: Shares of Consumers Who Buy Organic Health and Beauty Care Products, by Race, Hispanic Origin, and by Age Over or Under 35, 2008 (adults, as of May 2008) Main U.S. Ethnic Groups to Reach 116.5 Million by 2014 Hispanic Population Trends African-American and Asian Population Trends Other Groups: Population Trends Table 9-20 Projection of U.S. Population, by Race and Gender, 2008-2020 (in thousands) Appendix: Addresses of Selected Marketers
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