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Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV)
Markets Worldwide

March 1, 2010


In 2009, the Toyota Prius hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) became the best selling
passenger vehicle in Japan, beating out all other gasoline powered cars. It has been
thirteen long years, but hybrids have finally hit the big time. No longer just for
environmentalists, electric vehicles (EV) are now mainstream.

Hybrids have always been a niche market, capturing one percent or less of the world
passenger vehicle market through the first decade of the millennium. But in 2009, SBI
Energy estimates that just over 700,000 electric vehicles were sold worldwide, with 99%
of those being hybrid electric vehicles. HEVs stole 1.5% of the world passenger vehicle
market in 2009, and almost 8% of the same market in Japan.

The demographics for hybrid ownership are still very much skewed towards affluent,
educated families; the classic early adopters of new technologies. But with the surge of
general consumer acceptance of HEVs, seen by the uptake in HEVs in 2009 even
during the most difficult recession since the 1930’s, there will be new consumer
segments purchasing HEVs in the coming years.

And with hybrids hitting the mainstream, plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) and BEV
models are not far behind. Plug-in electric vehicle products from Toyota, Nissan and
Mitsubishi are coming to market in 2010, following in the successful tire tracks of
hybrids. But the lithium-ion battery technology required to make PHEVs and BEVs with
a sufficient driving range to appeal to consumers is expensive, leading to a cost
premium for plug-in vehicles that will keep sales minimized over the next four to five
years. This leaves the road wide open for hybrids to continue to dominate the EV
market.

Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Markets Worldwide by
SBI Energy analyzes the manufacturing and sales of electric based passenger vehicles
throughout the world with a particular emphasis on the United States and Japan as the
leading markets for electric vehicles. The analysis will include definitions, current
product offerings and market detail on the following segments:
Road legal hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), both current offerings and anticipated
      models, that use gasoline, diesel or ethanol blends for the internal combustion
      engine (ICE). This includes road legal passenger vehicles and light duty trucks.
      Road legal plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), both current offerings and
      anticipated models, that use gasoline, diesel or ethanol blends for the internal
      combustion engine (ICE).
      Road legal battery electric vehicles (BEV), both current offerings and anticipated
      models. This will include passenger vehicles, light duty trucks, motorcycles, and
      neighborhood electric vehicles (NEVs, essentially non-highway rated road-legal
      vehicles).

Read an excerpt from this report below.

Report Methodology

This report contains both primary and secondary data obtained from government
sources, trade associations and publications, business journals, scientific papers,
company literature, investment reports, and interviews with industry professionals.
Statistics describing the sales of hybrid vehicles in the U.S. are primarily through the
U.S. Department of Energy Alternative Fuels Data Center. Sales and production data of
hybrid vehicles in Japan is from the Japan Automobile Dealers Association and the
Japan Automobile manufacturers Association.

Simmons Experion Market Research Bureau’s fall 2009 survey, based on a nationwide
sample of over 25,000 U.S. adults, provides the primary research data on consumer
penetration and demographics related to hybrid vehicle adoption in the U.S. market.

What You’ll Get in This Report

Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Markets Worldwide
provides a concise, focused look on the world of battery electric and hybrid electric
vehicles as it exists today, and shows where the market is moving towards in the next
five years. The report highlights key players in the industry and pinpoints ways current
and prospective competitors can capitalize on recent trends and spearhead new ones.
No other market research report provides both the comprehensive analysis and
extensive data that Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV)
Markets Worldwide offers. Plus, you’ll benefit from extensive data, presented in easy-to-
read and practical charts, tables and graphs.

How You’ll Benefit from this Report

If your company is already doing business related to hybrid vehicles, or is considering
making the leap, you will find this report invaluable as it provides a comprehensive
package of information and insight not offered in any other single source. You will gain a
thorough understanding of the current market for all aspects of electric vehicles, as well
as projected markets and trends through 2014.
This report will help:

       Marketing managers identify market opportunities and develop targeted
       promotion plans for homeowners looking to maximize fuel economy of their next
       new car and want to help reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
       Research and development professionals stay on top of competitor initiatives
       and explore demand for current electric drive train and vehicle battery
       technologies.
       Advertising agencies working with clients in the banking, retail and construction
       industries develop messages and images that compel homeowners to migrate
       towards electric vehicles when considering their next automobile purchase.
       Business development executives understand the dynamics of the market and
       identify possible partnerships.
       Information and research center librarians provide market researchers, brand
       and product managers and other colleagues with the vital information they need
       to do their jobs more effectively.

       Additional Information
       Market Insights: A Selection From The Report

       The hybrid electric vehicle has been accepted into the automotive scene like no
       other type of electric vehicle before. For all practical purposes, HEV sales are
       electric vehicles sales; SBI Energy calculates that worldwide HEV sales
       accounted for 99% of world electric vehicle sales in 2009. What is even more
       impressive is how well HEVs are doing compared to regular passenger vehicles.
       With the plunging of the auto market around most of the globe, and particularly in
       Japan and the U.S., it comes as a huge shock to see that hybrid sales in the
       world have actually risen an estimated 33% in 2009 to 695,700 vehicles over
       2008’s 519,200 hybrids sold. In fact, HEV car sales accounted for an SBI Energy
       estimated 1.5% of all passenger cars sold in 2009, up from just 1.0% of all cars
       sold worldwide in 2008.
       The U.S. and Japan have always been the largest market for HEVs, with the two
       countries responsible for over 80% of HEV sales since 2004. But while the U.S.
       has traditionally been the larger market of the two countries, that has changed. In
       2009 SBI Energy calculates that the U.S. made up 42% of the world HEV market
       while Japan garnered almost half of all world HEV sales at 48%.
       Potential Owners Need to See the Money
       Now that HEVs are moving into the mainstream and away market share in the
       coming years. While most consumers enjoy the idea of a fuel efficient car that will
       save them money, the price premium over gasoline models can be as high as
       $7,000 for a hybrid. This makes the argument that the price premium will have a
       five to seven year payback period and that an HEV will cut your overall driving
       costs a little hard to accept.
       Hybrids are at a critical juncture, where they are starting to be seen as
       mainstream and yet are still selling for a premium price. To prevent a decline in
       market share, HEV manufacturers are going to have to work to reduce costs and
       governments are going to have to provide incentives to help bring the price of
hybrids close to their internal combustion engine counterparts. SBI Energy sees
      the next three years through 2012 being crucial in how quickly hybrid market
      share will grow based on these financial realities.




Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Executive Summary
     Scope
     Methodology
     World Vehicle Production & Sales
     World Hybrid Vehicle Sales
     Figure 1-1: World Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in thousands of
     vehicles)
     U.S. HEV Sales
     Figure 1-2: U.S. Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in thousands of
     vehicles)
     Japan HEV Sales Explode in 2009
     Figure 1-3: Japan Shipment of Hybrid Electric Vehicles to Domestic Market,
     2004-2009 (in thousands of vehicles)
     World BEV & PHEV Sales Forecast
     Figure 1-4: World HEV Sales Forecast, 2010-2014 (in thousands of vehicles)
     BEV and PHEV Forecast
     Top EV Manufacturers
     Figure 1-5: World HEV Market Share by Unit Volume, FY2009 (in percentage)
     Hybrid Electric and Plug-in Electric Hybrid Models
     Table 1-1: Hybrid Models Available in the U.S., 2009
     Key Current HEV & Future PHEV Models
     Current and Future Battery Electric Vehicle Products
     Batteries for EVs: Trying to Match the Power of Combustion
     Table 1-2: HEV Battery Joint Ventures, 2009
     Ni-MH Dominates in Today’s HEV Market
     The Future of EVs is With Lithium-Ion
     New Battery Manufacturing Locations
     World EV Manufacturing
     Figure 1-6: HEV Manufacturing Facilities, by Country, 2009
     Future HEV Manufacturing Locations
     New Future BEV Manufacturing Locations
     EV Manufacturing Costs
     Figure 1-7: U.S. Producer Price Index for Cars & Batteries, 1999-2009 (index)
     Financing & Incentives for EV and EV Battery Manufacturers
     U.S. Funding
     The Motivation for Change - New CAFE Standards in the US
Figure 1-8: U.S. CAFE Requirements and Average New Model Fuel Efficiency,
      1975-2009 (miles per gallon)
      Government Funding Around the World
      Adoption of Electric Vehicles: From Hybrid to Plugged-In
      Battling Range Anxiety
      The Still Long Road to a Widespread Plug-in Vehicle Market
      Ownership Demographics
      Figure 1-9: Psychographics of Hybrid Vehicle Owners, 2009 (percentage who
      answered above or far above average)
      BEV Ownership Demographics
      Figure 1-10: BEV Use by State, 2007 (in number of vehicles)
      Potential Owners Need to See the Money
      Incentives for Purchasing EVs Around the World
      The Well to Wheels of Green for EVs

Chapter 2: The Market Scope
     Methodology
     Terminology
     Hybrid Electric Vehicle Flavors
     Mild Hybrid
     Full Hybrid
     Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV)
     Battery Types for EVs
     World Vehicle Production
     Figure 2-1: Total World Vehicle Production, 2004-2009 (in millions of vehicles)
     U.S. and Japan Passenger Vehicle Sales
     Figure 2-2: U.S. Passenger Vehicle Sales, 2004-2009 (in millions of vehicles)
     Figure 2-3: Japan Passenger Vehicle Sales, 2004-2009 (in millions of vehicles)
     World Hybrid Vehicle Sales
     Figure 2-4: World Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in thousands of
     vehicles)
     U.S. HEV Sales
     Figure 2-5: U.S. Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in thousands of
     vehicles)
     Figure 2-6: U.S. Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles by Model, 2009
     Table 2-1: U.S. Hybrid Vehicle Sales by Model, 2008-2009 (in thousands of
     vehicles)
     Japan HEV Sales Explode in 2009
     Figure 2-7: Japan Shipment of Hybrid Electric Vehicles to Domestic Market,
     2004-2009 (in thousands of vehicles)
     Figure 2-8: Sales of Prius & Insight in Japan by Month, 2008-2009 (in number of
     vehicles sold)
     European HEV Sales World BEV & PHEV Sales
     Regional BEV Sales
     Figure 2-9: U.S. Sales of Battery Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in number of
     vehicles)
Figure 2-10: Japan Sales of Battery Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in number of
      vehicles)
      Plug-in Hybrids Still to Come
      Imports & Exports of Hybrid Electric Vehicles
      Figure 2-11: Japan Exports of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2008 (in thousands
      of vehicles)
      Figure 2-12: U.S. Sales of Domestic vs. Imported HEVs, 2004-2009 (in
      percentage)
      Forecast
      HEV Forecast
      Figure 2-13: World HEV Sales Forecast, 2010-2014 (in thousands of vehicles)
      BEV and PHEV Forecast
      Figure 2-14: World PHEV and BEV Sales Forecast, 2010-2014 (in thousands of
      vehicles)

Chapter 3: Current & Future EV/HEV/PHEV Products The Current Line of HEVs
and PHEVs
     Figure 3-1: Worldwide HEV Model Availability, 2004-2009 (in number of models)
     Table 3-1: Hybrid Models Available in the U.S., 2009
     Chapter 3: Current & Future EV/HEV/PHEV Products [cont.]
     Japan & Rest of World Models
     Table 3-2: HEV Models Available Only Outside the U.S., 2009
     Key HEV Models
     Table 3-3: Top 10 HEV Models By Unit Sales in the U.S. and Their Mileage
     Ratings, 2009 (in combined city/highway miles per gallon)
     Toyota Prius
     Honda Insight
     Ford Fusion
     S400 BlueHYBRID
     Future & Concept HEVs (and even PHEVs)
     Table 3-4: Announced Upcoming HEV Models
     Key Upcoming Model PHEVs
     Chevy Volt PHEV
     Toyota Prius PHEV
     The Current Battery Electric Vehicle Products
     Table 3-5: BEV Models Available Worldwide, 2009
     Key Models
     Tesla Roadster
     Reva i
     Future BEVs
     Table 3-6: Announced Upcoming Worldwide BEV Highway Capable Models
     Key Models
     Mitsubishi iMiEV/Citroën C-Zero/Peugeot iOn
     Nissan Leaf
     Electronic Vehicle Drivetrains for Hybrid Electric Vehicles
     Table 3-7: Hybrid Drivetrains by Drivetrain Type, 2009
     Hybrid Synergy Drive
Two-Mode System
      Voltec System
      Batteries for EVs: Trying to Match the Power of Combustion
      Table 3-8: HEV Battery Joint Ventures, 2009
      Current Battery Offerings
      Ni-MH Dominates in Today’s HEV Market
      Figure 3-2: Battery Market Share for Hybrid Vehicle Ni-MH Batteries Sold in U.S.,
      2009
      Table 3-9: Battery Manufacturers for Current Model Ni-MH HEVs, 2009
      The Future of EVs is With Lithium-Ion
      Table 3-10: Lithium-Ion Battery Suppliers for Current & Future EVs, 2009

Chapter 4: Worldwide Electric Vehicle Manufacturing
     World HEV Manufacturing
     Figure 4-1: HEV Manufacturing Facilities, by Country, 2009
     Table 4-1: HEV/PHEV Production Locations, 2009
     Current Key Production Facilities
     Tsutsumi Prius factory
     Kokura Lexus Factory
     Future HEV Manufacturing Locations
     World BEV Manufacturing
     Table 4-2: Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Locations, 2009
     New Future BEV Manufacturing Locations
     Table 4-3: Future EV Manufacturing Locations
     EV Manufacturing Costs
     Figure 4-2: U.S. Producer Price Index for Cars & Batteries, 1999-2009 (index)
     Commodity Costs
     Figure 4-3: Metal Commodity Prices, 2000-2009 (in $/metric ton indexed to the
     year 2000)
     The New Future in EV Battery Production
     Starting from Zero - Kick Starting the U.S. EV Battery Industry
     Table 4-4: HEV Battery Manufacturing Awards From ARRA, 2009
     New U.S. Battery Manufacturing Locations
     New Battery Manufacturing Elsewhere in the World
     Financing & Incentives for EV Manufacturers
     The Motivation for Change - New CAFE Standards in the US
     Figure 4-4: U.S. CAFE Requirements and Average New Model Fuel Efficiency,
     1975-2009 (miles per gallon)
     U.S. Government Funding
     Table 4-5: EV Manufacturing and Demonstration Awards From ARRA, 2009
     Government Funding Around the World
     Japan
     The European Union
     Canada
     Developing Charging & Smart Grid Infrastructure
     Figure 4-5: Global Market Value of Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Manufacturing,
     2004-2009 (in $ billions)
Chapter 5: Consumer & Market Trends
     A Note on Experian Simmons Consumer Data
     Adoption of Electric Vehicles: From Hybrid to Plugged-In
     Adoption of HEVs in the U.S. lags behind Japan
     Figure 5-1: HEV Sales in U.S. & Japan as Percentage of Passenger Vehicle
     Sales, 2004-2009 (percentage)
     HEV Adoption in Europe
     Battling Range Anxiety
     Regulations and Promotions to Speed Adoption
     NEV State by State Regulations
     Table 5-1: State by State Speed Vehicle Access to Roadways, 2010
     The Still Long Road to a Widespread Plug-in Vehicle Market
     Ownership Demographics
     Hybrid Ownership in the U.S.
     Table 5-2: Demographic Indicators and Resistors of U.S. HEV Owners, 2009
     (Index)
     Figure 5-2: Psychographics of Hybrid Vehicle Owners, 2009 (percentage who
     answered above or far above average)
     Hybrid Ownership Elsewhere in the World
     BEV Ownership in the U.S.
     Figure 5-3: BEV Use in the USA, 2004-2009 (in number of vehicles)
     Figure 5-4: BEV Use by State, 2007 (in number of vehicles)
     BEV Ownership in Other Countries
     Potential Owners Need to See the Money
     Incentives for EVs in the U.S
     Table 5-3: State by State Incentive Availability for EVs, 2010
     EV Incentives in Japan
     EV Incentives in Europe
     Even for Electric Vehicles, the Price of Gas is King
     Figure 5-5: U.S. Monthly HEV Sales in & Gasoline Prices, 2007-2009 (gasoline
     prices in cents & hybrid sales in units sold)
     Technology Trends
     Electric Vehicle Conversion Kits
     The Well to Wheels of Green for EVs
     Carbon Emissions of HEVs
     Table 5-4: Best and Worst Carbon Footprints for HEVs Sold in the U.S., 2010 (in
     tons CO2/year)
     Recycling of HEV Batteries

Chapter 6: Competitor Profiles
     Figure 6-1: World HEV Market Share by Unit Volume, FY2009 (in percentage)
     Acquisitions, Mergers, & Joint Ventures
     Government Motors
     Chrysler Allies with Fiat
     Ford is Getting Back to Basics
     Toyota Motor Corporation
     Overview
Performance
Figure 6-2: Toyota Motor Corporation Annual Revenue, FY2005-FY2009 (in
trillions of yen)
Figure 6-3: Regional Distribution of Toyota Auto Sales, FY2009
Figure 6-4: Worldwide Toyota Sales of Passenger HEVs, 2000-2009 (in
thousands of units) Source: Toyota Motor Corporation; 2009
estimated by SBI Energy.
Products
Table 6-1: Sales of Toyota Passenger HEVs by Model, 1997-August, 2009 (in
thousands of vehicles)
Significant Developments
Toyota Awash in Recalls
Toyota Invests in Lithium Mining
A Separate Prius Brand?
The Plug-in Prius is Ready! (For Some)
Honda Motor Company
Overview
Performance
Figure 6-5: Worldwide Honda Revenue, FY2005-2009 (revenue trillions of yen,
income in billions of yen)
Products
Table 6-2: Cumulative Honda Hybrid Vehicle Sales, 1999-Jan. 2009 (in number
of vehicles sold)
Significant Developments
Ford Motor Company
Overview
Performance
Figure 6-6: Worldwide Ford Revenue, FY2005-2009 (in billion dollars)
Products
Significant Developments
General Motors Company
Overview
Performance
Products
Table 6-3: GM HEV Cumulative U.S. Sales, 2009
Significant Developments
Nissan Motor Company
Overview
Performance
Figure 6-7: Worldwide Nissan Revenue, FY2005-2009 (in trillions of yen)
Products
Significant Developments
Chrysler Group
Overview
Performance
Products
Tesla Motors
       Overview
       Performance
       Products
       Significant Developments
       Mitsubishi Motors
       Overview
       Performance & Products
       Reva
       Overview
       Performance & Products



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Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Markets Worldwide

  • 1. Get more info on this report! Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Markets Worldwide March 1, 2010 In 2009, the Toyota Prius hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) became the best selling passenger vehicle in Japan, beating out all other gasoline powered cars. It has been thirteen long years, but hybrids have finally hit the big time. No longer just for environmentalists, electric vehicles (EV) are now mainstream. Hybrids have always been a niche market, capturing one percent or less of the world passenger vehicle market through the first decade of the millennium. But in 2009, SBI Energy estimates that just over 700,000 electric vehicles were sold worldwide, with 99% of those being hybrid electric vehicles. HEVs stole 1.5% of the world passenger vehicle market in 2009, and almost 8% of the same market in Japan. The demographics for hybrid ownership are still very much skewed towards affluent, educated families; the classic early adopters of new technologies. But with the surge of general consumer acceptance of HEVs, seen by the uptake in HEVs in 2009 even during the most difficult recession since the 1930’s, there will be new consumer segments purchasing HEVs in the coming years. And with hybrids hitting the mainstream, plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) and BEV models are not far behind. Plug-in electric vehicle products from Toyota, Nissan and Mitsubishi are coming to market in 2010, following in the successful tire tracks of hybrids. But the lithium-ion battery technology required to make PHEVs and BEVs with a sufficient driving range to appeal to consumers is expensive, leading to a cost premium for plug-in vehicles that will keep sales minimized over the next four to five years. This leaves the road wide open for hybrids to continue to dominate the EV market. Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Markets Worldwide by SBI Energy analyzes the manufacturing and sales of electric based passenger vehicles throughout the world with a particular emphasis on the United States and Japan as the leading markets for electric vehicles. The analysis will include definitions, current product offerings and market detail on the following segments:
  • 2. Road legal hybrid electric vehicles (HEV), both current offerings and anticipated models, that use gasoline, diesel or ethanol blends for the internal combustion engine (ICE). This includes road legal passenger vehicles and light duty trucks. Road legal plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), both current offerings and anticipated models, that use gasoline, diesel or ethanol blends for the internal combustion engine (ICE). Road legal battery electric vehicles (BEV), both current offerings and anticipated models. This will include passenger vehicles, light duty trucks, motorcycles, and neighborhood electric vehicles (NEVs, essentially non-highway rated road-legal vehicles). Read an excerpt from this report below. Report Methodology This report contains both primary and secondary data obtained from government sources, trade associations and publications, business journals, scientific papers, company literature, investment reports, and interviews with industry professionals. Statistics describing the sales of hybrid vehicles in the U.S. are primarily through the U.S. Department of Energy Alternative Fuels Data Center. Sales and production data of hybrid vehicles in Japan is from the Japan Automobile Dealers Association and the Japan Automobile manufacturers Association. Simmons Experion Market Research Bureau’s fall 2009 survey, based on a nationwide sample of over 25,000 U.S. adults, provides the primary research data on consumer penetration and demographics related to hybrid vehicle adoption in the U.S. market. What You’ll Get in This Report Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Markets Worldwide provides a concise, focused look on the world of battery electric and hybrid electric vehicles as it exists today, and shows where the market is moving towards in the next five years. The report highlights key players in the industry and pinpoints ways current and prospective competitors can capitalize on recent trends and spearhead new ones. No other market research report provides both the comprehensive analysis and extensive data that Electric Vehicle (EV) and Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Markets Worldwide offers. Plus, you’ll benefit from extensive data, presented in easy-to- read and practical charts, tables and graphs. How You’ll Benefit from this Report If your company is already doing business related to hybrid vehicles, or is considering making the leap, you will find this report invaluable as it provides a comprehensive package of information and insight not offered in any other single source. You will gain a thorough understanding of the current market for all aspects of electric vehicles, as well as projected markets and trends through 2014.
  • 3. This report will help: Marketing managers identify market opportunities and develop targeted promotion plans for homeowners looking to maximize fuel economy of their next new car and want to help reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Research and development professionals stay on top of competitor initiatives and explore demand for current electric drive train and vehicle battery technologies. Advertising agencies working with clients in the banking, retail and construction industries develop messages and images that compel homeowners to migrate towards electric vehicles when considering their next automobile purchase. Business development executives understand the dynamics of the market and identify possible partnerships. Information and research center librarians provide market researchers, brand and product managers and other colleagues with the vital information they need to do their jobs more effectively. Additional Information Market Insights: A Selection From The Report The hybrid electric vehicle has been accepted into the automotive scene like no other type of electric vehicle before. For all practical purposes, HEV sales are electric vehicles sales; SBI Energy calculates that worldwide HEV sales accounted for 99% of world electric vehicle sales in 2009. What is even more impressive is how well HEVs are doing compared to regular passenger vehicles. With the plunging of the auto market around most of the globe, and particularly in Japan and the U.S., it comes as a huge shock to see that hybrid sales in the world have actually risen an estimated 33% in 2009 to 695,700 vehicles over 2008’s 519,200 hybrids sold. In fact, HEV car sales accounted for an SBI Energy estimated 1.5% of all passenger cars sold in 2009, up from just 1.0% of all cars sold worldwide in 2008. The U.S. and Japan have always been the largest market for HEVs, with the two countries responsible for over 80% of HEV sales since 2004. But while the U.S. has traditionally been the larger market of the two countries, that has changed. In 2009 SBI Energy calculates that the U.S. made up 42% of the world HEV market while Japan garnered almost half of all world HEV sales at 48%. Potential Owners Need to See the Money Now that HEVs are moving into the mainstream and away market share in the coming years. While most consumers enjoy the idea of a fuel efficient car that will save them money, the price premium over gasoline models can be as high as $7,000 for a hybrid. This makes the argument that the price premium will have a five to seven year payback period and that an HEV will cut your overall driving costs a little hard to accept. Hybrids are at a critical juncture, where they are starting to be seen as mainstream and yet are still selling for a premium price. To prevent a decline in market share, HEV manufacturers are going to have to work to reduce costs and governments are going to have to provide incentives to help bring the price of
  • 4. hybrids close to their internal combustion engine counterparts. SBI Energy sees the next three years through 2012 being crucial in how quickly hybrid market share will grow based on these financial realities. Table of Contents Chapter 1: Executive Summary Scope Methodology World Vehicle Production & Sales World Hybrid Vehicle Sales Figure 1-1: World Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in thousands of vehicles) U.S. HEV Sales Figure 1-2: U.S. Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in thousands of vehicles) Japan HEV Sales Explode in 2009 Figure 1-3: Japan Shipment of Hybrid Electric Vehicles to Domestic Market, 2004-2009 (in thousands of vehicles) World BEV & PHEV Sales Forecast Figure 1-4: World HEV Sales Forecast, 2010-2014 (in thousands of vehicles) BEV and PHEV Forecast Top EV Manufacturers Figure 1-5: World HEV Market Share by Unit Volume, FY2009 (in percentage) Hybrid Electric and Plug-in Electric Hybrid Models Table 1-1: Hybrid Models Available in the U.S., 2009 Key Current HEV & Future PHEV Models Current and Future Battery Electric Vehicle Products Batteries for EVs: Trying to Match the Power of Combustion Table 1-2: HEV Battery Joint Ventures, 2009 Ni-MH Dominates in Today’s HEV Market The Future of EVs is With Lithium-Ion New Battery Manufacturing Locations World EV Manufacturing Figure 1-6: HEV Manufacturing Facilities, by Country, 2009 Future HEV Manufacturing Locations New Future BEV Manufacturing Locations EV Manufacturing Costs Figure 1-7: U.S. Producer Price Index for Cars & Batteries, 1999-2009 (index) Financing & Incentives for EV and EV Battery Manufacturers U.S. Funding The Motivation for Change - New CAFE Standards in the US
  • 5. Figure 1-8: U.S. CAFE Requirements and Average New Model Fuel Efficiency, 1975-2009 (miles per gallon) Government Funding Around the World Adoption of Electric Vehicles: From Hybrid to Plugged-In Battling Range Anxiety The Still Long Road to a Widespread Plug-in Vehicle Market Ownership Demographics Figure 1-9: Psychographics of Hybrid Vehicle Owners, 2009 (percentage who answered above or far above average) BEV Ownership Demographics Figure 1-10: BEV Use by State, 2007 (in number of vehicles) Potential Owners Need to See the Money Incentives for Purchasing EVs Around the World The Well to Wheels of Green for EVs Chapter 2: The Market Scope Methodology Terminology Hybrid Electric Vehicle Flavors Mild Hybrid Full Hybrid Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV) Battery Types for EVs World Vehicle Production Figure 2-1: Total World Vehicle Production, 2004-2009 (in millions of vehicles) U.S. and Japan Passenger Vehicle Sales Figure 2-2: U.S. Passenger Vehicle Sales, 2004-2009 (in millions of vehicles) Figure 2-3: Japan Passenger Vehicle Sales, 2004-2009 (in millions of vehicles) World Hybrid Vehicle Sales Figure 2-4: World Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in thousands of vehicles) U.S. HEV Sales Figure 2-5: U.S. Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in thousands of vehicles) Figure 2-6: U.S. Sales of Hybrid Electric Vehicles by Model, 2009 Table 2-1: U.S. Hybrid Vehicle Sales by Model, 2008-2009 (in thousands of vehicles) Japan HEV Sales Explode in 2009 Figure 2-7: Japan Shipment of Hybrid Electric Vehicles to Domestic Market, 2004-2009 (in thousands of vehicles) Figure 2-8: Sales of Prius & Insight in Japan by Month, 2008-2009 (in number of vehicles sold) European HEV Sales World BEV & PHEV Sales Regional BEV Sales Figure 2-9: U.S. Sales of Battery Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in number of vehicles)
  • 6. Figure 2-10: Japan Sales of Battery Electric Vehicles, 2004-2009 (in number of vehicles) Plug-in Hybrids Still to Come Imports & Exports of Hybrid Electric Vehicles Figure 2-11: Japan Exports of Hybrid Electric Vehicles, 2004-2008 (in thousands of vehicles) Figure 2-12: U.S. Sales of Domestic vs. Imported HEVs, 2004-2009 (in percentage) Forecast HEV Forecast Figure 2-13: World HEV Sales Forecast, 2010-2014 (in thousands of vehicles) BEV and PHEV Forecast Figure 2-14: World PHEV and BEV Sales Forecast, 2010-2014 (in thousands of vehicles) Chapter 3: Current & Future EV/HEV/PHEV Products The Current Line of HEVs and PHEVs Figure 3-1: Worldwide HEV Model Availability, 2004-2009 (in number of models) Table 3-1: Hybrid Models Available in the U.S., 2009 Chapter 3: Current & Future EV/HEV/PHEV Products [cont.] Japan & Rest of World Models Table 3-2: HEV Models Available Only Outside the U.S., 2009 Key HEV Models Table 3-3: Top 10 HEV Models By Unit Sales in the U.S. and Their Mileage Ratings, 2009 (in combined city/highway miles per gallon) Toyota Prius Honda Insight Ford Fusion S400 BlueHYBRID Future & Concept HEVs (and even PHEVs) Table 3-4: Announced Upcoming HEV Models Key Upcoming Model PHEVs Chevy Volt PHEV Toyota Prius PHEV The Current Battery Electric Vehicle Products Table 3-5: BEV Models Available Worldwide, 2009 Key Models Tesla Roadster Reva i Future BEVs Table 3-6: Announced Upcoming Worldwide BEV Highway Capable Models Key Models Mitsubishi iMiEV/Citroën C-Zero/Peugeot iOn Nissan Leaf Electronic Vehicle Drivetrains for Hybrid Electric Vehicles Table 3-7: Hybrid Drivetrains by Drivetrain Type, 2009 Hybrid Synergy Drive
  • 7. Two-Mode System Voltec System Batteries for EVs: Trying to Match the Power of Combustion Table 3-8: HEV Battery Joint Ventures, 2009 Current Battery Offerings Ni-MH Dominates in Today’s HEV Market Figure 3-2: Battery Market Share for Hybrid Vehicle Ni-MH Batteries Sold in U.S., 2009 Table 3-9: Battery Manufacturers for Current Model Ni-MH HEVs, 2009 The Future of EVs is With Lithium-Ion Table 3-10: Lithium-Ion Battery Suppliers for Current & Future EVs, 2009 Chapter 4: Worldwide Electric Vehicle Manufacturing World HEV Manufacturing Figure 4-1: HEV Manufacturing Facilities, by Country, 2009 Table 4-1: HEV/PHEV Production Locations, 2009 Current Key Production Facilities Tsutsumi Prius factory Kokura Lexus Factory Future HEV Manufacturing Locations World BEV Manufacturing Table 4-2: Electric Vehicle Manufacturing Locations, 2009 New Future BEV Manufacturing Locations Table 4-3: Future EV Manufacturing Locations EV Manufacturing Costs Figure 4-2: U.S. Producer Price Index for Cars & Batteries, 1999-2009 (index) Commodity Costs Figure 4-3: Metal Commodity Prices, 2000-2009 (in $/metric ton indexed to the year 2000) The New Future in EV Battery Production Starting from Zero - Kick Starting the U.S. EV Battery Industry Table 4-4: HEV Battery Manufacturing Awards From ARRA, 2009 New U.S. Battery Manufacturing Locations New Battery Manufacturing Elsewhere in the World Financing & Incentives for EV Manufacturers The Motivation for Change - New CAFE Standards in the US Figure 4-4: U.S. CAFE Requirements and Average New Model Fuel Efficiency, 1975-2009 (miles per gallon) U.S. Government Funding Table 4-5: EV Manufacturing and Demonstration Awards From ARRA, 2009 Government Funding Around the World Japan The European Union Canada Developing Charging & Smart Grid Infrastructure Figure 4-5: Global Market Value of Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Manufacturing, 2004-2009 (in $ billions)
  • 8. Chapter 5: Consumer & Market Trends A Note on Experian Simmons Consumer Data Adoption of Electric Vehicles: From Hybrid to Plugged-In Adoption of HEVs in the U.S. lags behind Japan Figure 5-1: HEV Sales in U.S. & Japan as Percentage of Passenger Vehicle Sales, 2004-2009 (percentage) HEV Adoption in Europe Battling Range Anxiety Regulations and Promotions to Speed Adoption NEV State by State Regulations Table 5-1: State by State Speed Vehicle Access to Roadways, 2010 The Still Long Road to a Widespread Plug-in Vehicle Market Ownership Demographics Hybrid Ownership in the U.S. Table 5-2: Demographic Indicators and Resistors of U.S. HEV Owners, 2009 (Index) Figure 5-2: Psychographics of Hybrid Vehicle Owners, 2009 (percentage who answered above or far above average) Hybrid Ownership Elsewhere in the World BEV Ownership in the U.S. Figure 5-3: BEV Use in the USA, 2004-2009 (in number of vehicles) Figure 5-4: BEV Use by State, 2007 (in number of vehicles) BEV Ownership in Other Countries Potential Owners Need to See the Money Incentives for EVs in the U.S Table 5-3: State by State Incentive Availability for EVs, 2010 EV Incentives in Japan EV Incentives in Europe Even for Electric Vehicles, the Price of Gas is King Figure 5-5: U.S. Monthly HEV Sales in & Gasoline Prices, 2007-2009 (gasoline prices in cents & hybrid sales in units sold) Technology Trends Electric Vehicle Conversion Kits The Well to Wheels of Green for EVs Carbon Emissions of HEVs Table 5-4: Best and Worst Carbon Footprints for HEVs Sold in the U.S., 2010 (in tons CO2/year) Recycling of HEV Batteries Chapter 6: Competitor Profiles Figure 6-1: World HEV Market Share by Unit Volume, FY2009 (in percentage) Acquisitions, Mergers, & Joint Ventures Government Motors Chrysler Allies with Fiat Ford is Getting Back to Basics Toyota Motor Corporation Overview
  • 9. Performance Figure 6-2: Toyota Motor Corporation Annual Revenue, FY2005-FY2009 (in trillions of yen) Figure 6-3: Regional Distribution of Toyota Auto Sales, FY2009 Figure 6-4: Worldwide Toyota Sales of Passenger HEVs, 2000-2009 (in thousands of units) Source: Toyota Motor Corporation; 2009 estimated by SBI Energy. Products Table 6-1: Sales of Toyota Passenger HEVs by Model, 1997-August, 2009 (in thousands of vehicles) Significant Developments Toyota Awash in Recalls Toyota Invests in Lithium Mining A Separate Prius Brand? The Plug-in Prius is Ready! (For Some) Honda Motor Company Overview Performance Figure 6-5: Worldwide Honda Revenue, FY2005-2009 (revenue trillions of yen, income in billions of yen) Products Table 6-2: Cumulative Honda Hybrid Vehicle Sales, 1999-Jan. 2009 (in number of vehicles sold) Significant Developments Ford Motor Company Overview Performance Figure 6-6: Worldwide Ford Revenue, FY2005-2009 (in billion dollars) Products Significant Developments General Motors Company Overview Performance Products Table 6-3: GM HEV Cumulative U.S. Sales, 2009 Significant Developments Nissan Motor Company Overview Performance Figure 6-7: Worldwide Nissan Revenue, FY2005-2009 (in trillions of yen) Products Significant Developments Chrysler Group Overview Performance Products
  • 10. Tesla Motors Overview Performance Products Significant Developments Mitsubishi Motors Overview Performance & Products Reva Overview Performance & Products Available immediately for Online Download at http://www.marketresearch.com/product/display.asp?productid=2496608 US: 800.298.5699 UK +44.207.256.3920 Int'l: +1.240.747.3093 Fax: 240.747.3004