This memorandum is a summary of an automated survey of 869 likely voters in Maine. The survey was fielded October 23rd and 24th and has a margin of error of +/- 3.32% at the 95% confidence level.
The survey finds Republican Governor Paul LePage and Democrat Mike Michaud in a statistical tie with one week to go before Election Day. Among all voters, Paul LePage has 42.3% support; Mike Michaud has 41.6%, and independent candidate Eliot Cutler has 13.2% support. Among all male voters Paul LePage leads Mike Michaud by 3 points, 43% to 40% respectively, and among all female voters Mike Michaud leads by 1 point, 43% to 42% respectively. Independent Eliot Cutler’s strongest base of support is among married men and independent voters, with 16%.
The image ratings of both Paul LePage and Mike Michaud are very similar. Among all voters, 47% have a favorable opinion of Mike Michaud and 46% have an unfavorable opinion of him. For Paul LePage 48% of voters have a favorable opinion of him and 47% have an unfavorable opinion of him. The following table shows the ballot test by voter subgroup.
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Maine Governor Survey Release 102714
1. !
OCTOBER 27th, 2014
MEMORANDUM
TO: REPUBLICAN GOVERNORS ASSOCIATION
FROM: DAVID FLAHERTY, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES
RE: MAINE GOVERNOR SURVEY SUMMARY
________________________________________________________________________
This memorandum is a summary of an automated survey of 869 likely voters in
Maine. The survey was fielded October 23rd and 24th and has a margin of error of
+/- 3.32% at the 95% confidence level.
Survey Findings
The survey finds Republican Governor Paul LePage and Democrat Mike Michaud
in a statistical tie with one week to go before Election Day. Among all voters, Paul
LePage has 42.3% support; Mike Michaud has 41.6%, and independent candidate
Eliot Cutler has 13.2% support. Among all male voters Paul LePage leads Mike
Michaud by 3 points, 43% to 40% respectively, and among all female voters Mike
Michaud leads by 1 point, 43% to 42% respectively. Independent Eliot Cutler’s
strongest base of support is among married men and independent voters, with 16%.
The image ratings of both Paul LePage and Mike Michaud are very similar. Among
all voters, 47% have a favorable opinion of Mike Michaud and 46% have an
unfavorable opinion of him. For Paul LePage 48% of voters have a favorable
opinion of him and 47% have an unfavorable opinion of him. The following table
shows the ballot test by voter subgroup.
US Senate Ballot Test by Voter Subgroup
All
Voters
All
Men
Mar.
Men
Sing.
Men
All
Wom
Mar.
Wom.
Sing.
Wom.
All
Rep
All
Dem
All
Ind
LePage Net +0.7 +2.6 +7.7 -16.5 -1.0 +4.9 -7.6 +63.9 +56.8 -1.3
LePage 42.3% 43.0% 44.8% 34.6% 41.7% 44.9% 37.7% 75.6% 14.0% 39.1%
Michaud 41.6% 40.4% 37.1% 51.1% 42.7% 40.0% 45.3% 11.7% 70.8% 40.4%
Cutler 13.2% 14.2% 16.1% 10.5% 12.2% 12.3% 12.5% 10.8% 12.4% 16.4%
Other 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9%
Undecided 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 3.2% 1.8% 1.0% 3.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2%
Survey Commissioned By
The Republican Governor’s Association commissioned this survey.
2. Magellan Strategies Maine Governor Survey Summary
869n, MoE +/- 3.32%, October 23rd – 24th, 2014
Magellan Strategies |1685 Boxelder Street, Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
MagellanStrategies.com | 303-861-8585
2
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated voice recorded technology. The
sample for this survey was randomly drawn from a Maine voter file. The results
were weighted based upon past voter demographics of the non-Presidential voting
population in Maine. Any questions regarding the methodology of this survey
should be directed to David Flaherty of Magellan Strategies at
dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com or 303-861-8585. The survey toplines and
crosstabs are included in this document.
3. !!!!!
Maine General Election Survey Topline Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for an 869n
autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Maine. The
interviews were conducted October 23rd and 24th, 2014. This survey has a
margin of error of +/- 3.32% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This
survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, or are you
not registered to vote?
Democrat ................................................................ 35%
Republican .............................................................. 33%
Independent ............................................................ 32%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming November general election?
Extremely likely ....................................................... 94%
Very likely ................................................................. 5%
Somewhat likely ........................................................ 1%
T3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Michaud?
Favorable ................................................................ 47%
Unfavorable ............................................................ 46%
Heard of, No Opinion ............................................... 7%
Never Heard of ......................................................... 0%
Name ID ............................................................... 100%
Hard Name ID ........................................................ 93%
4. Magellan ID#: MEGEN-102314 Maine General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 10/23/14 – 10/24/14, MoE +/- 3.32%, 869n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul LePage?
Favorable ................................................................ 48%
Unfavorable ............................................................ 47%
Heard of, No Opinion ............................................... 5%
Never Heard of ......................................................... 0%
Name ID ............................................................... 100%
Hard Name ID ........................................................ 95%
T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Eliot Cutler?
Favorable ................................................................ 36%
Unfavorable ............................................................ 47%
Heard of, No Opinion ............................................. 16%
Never Heard of ......................................................... 1%
Name ID ................................................................. 99%
Hard Name ID ........................................................ 83%
T6. If the election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the
candidates were Mike Michaud, Democrat, Paul LePage, Republican, and Eliot Cutler,
Independent?
Paul LePage ............................................................ 42%
Mike Michaud ......................................................... 42%
Eliot Cutler .............................................................. 13%
Other Candidate ....................................................... 1%
Undecided ................................................................ 2%
T7. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal in your political
beliefs?
Conservative ........................................................... 35%
Moderate ................................................................ 45%
Liberal ..................................................................... 17%
Unsure or No Opinion .............................................. 3%
T8. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?
Woman ................................................................... 52%
Man ........................................................................ 48%
5. Magellan ID#: MEGEN-102314 Maine General Election Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 10/23/14 – 10/24/14, MoE +/- 3.32%, 869n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T9. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-29 ........................................................................ 7%
30-44 ...................................................................... 17%
45-54 ...................................................................... 21%
55-64 ...................................................................... 24%
65+ ......................................................................... 31%
Unsure or no opinion ................................................ 0%
T10. What is your marital status?
Married ................................................................... 63%
Widowed ................................................................ 13%
Single, never been married ........................................ 8%
Divorced ................................................................... 8%
Unmarried living with partner ................................... 3%
Separated .................................................................. 2%
Unsure or no opinion ................................................ 3%
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The
sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Maine voter file. The survey
response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The
interviews were conducted on October 23rd and 24th, 2014. Three attempts were made to
interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.32% at
the 95 percent confidence interval.
6. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 2-1
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, or are you not registered to vote?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
DEMOCRAT
304
35.0
119
27.9
79
27.1
36
30.7
185
41.8
107
41.2
76
43.0
15
25.3
36
24.6
60
32.7
75
36.0
117
44.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
REPUBLICAN
287
33.0
140
32.9
115
39.2
24
20.6
147
33.1
94
36.5
52
29.2
11
18.8
56
37.9
69
37.9
62
29.6
86
32.5
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
INDEPENDENT
278
32.0
167
39.3
99
33.8
57
48.7
111
25.0
58
22.4
49
27.8
34
56.0
55
37.5
54
29.4
72
34.4
62
23.5
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
7. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 3-1
T2. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming November election?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
812
93.5
400
93.9
285
97.3
103
88.0
412
93.1
244
94.0
163
91.7
52
85.8
140
94.6
172
94.0
201
96.3
244
92.2
272
94.8
135
96.4
137
93.3
280
92.1
111
93.3
169
91.4
260
93.5
154
92.1
106
95.6
VERY LIKELY
44
5.0
16
3.8
4
1.2
8
7.0
28
6.2
14
5.5
13
7.5
3
5.5
8
5.4
11
6.0
6
2.7
15
5.7
14
4.9
4
3.2
10
6.5
19
6.4
6
4.6
14
7.5
10
3.7
6
3.6
4
3.7
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
13
1.5
10
2.4
4
1.5
6
4.9
3
0.7
1
0.5
1
0.8
5
8.6
2
1.1
6
2.2
1
0.3
1
0.4
0.2
4
1.5
2
2.0
2
1.1
8
2.8
7
4.2
1
0.7
8. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 4-1
T3. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Michaud?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
FAVORABLE
408
47.0
194
45.6
126
42.9
65
54.9
214
48.3
115
44.4
94
52.8
21
35.1
69
46.4
75
41.3
105
50.2
138
52.1
46
16.0
17
12.2
29
19.6
232
76.2
94
78.8
138
74.6
130
46.9
84
50.1
47
42.1
UNFAVORABLE
396
45.5
214
50.2
155
53.0
47
40.3
182
41.1
118
45.6
63
35.4
32
51.9
75
50.5
94
51.8
87
41.6
105
39.6
215
74.9
116
82.8
99
67.4
65
21.3
23
19.3
42
22.7
116
41.7
75
44.8
41
36.9
HEARD OF
NO OPINION
61
7.1
17
4.1
12
4.0
6
4.8
44
10.0
23
8.8
21
11.8
5
7.8
5
3.1
13
6.9
17
8.1
21
8.1
26
9.1
7
5.0
19
13.0
7
2.4
2
2.0
5
2.7
28
10.1
8
4.8
20
18.2
NEVER HEARD OF
4
0.4
1
0.1
1
0.2
3
0.7
3
1.2
3
5.2
1
0.2
4
1.3
1
0.3
3
2.8
NAME ID
865
99.6
425
99.9
292
99.8
118
100.0
440
99.3
256
98.8
177
100.0
58
94.8
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
264
99.8
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
274
98.7
167
99.7
108
97.2
HARD NAME ID
804
92.5
408
95.8
281
95.8
112
95.2
396
89.3
233
90.0
157
88.2
53
87.0
143
96.9
170
93.1
192
91.9
243
91.7
261
90.9
133
95.0
128
87.0
297
97.6
116
98.0
180
97.3
246
88.5
159
94.9
88
79.0
9. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 5-1
T4. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul LePage?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
FAVORABLE
421
48.4
217
51.0
154
52.5
52
43.9
203
45.9
123
47.6
78
44.2
41
66.6
88
59.2
94
51.4
82
39.3
113
42.5
234
81.5
120
86.0
113
77.3
53
17.3
19
15.7
34
18.3
134
48.3
78
46.9
56
50.5
UNFAVORABLE
409
47.1
189
44.3
132
44.9
54
45.6
220
49.7
128
49.4
88
49.6
17
27.5
58
39.5
81
44.1
116
55.7
137
51.8
46
15.9
20
14.0
26
17.7
234
77.0
88
74.2
146
78.7
129
46.5
81
48.4
48
43.7
HEARD OF
NO OPINION
37
4.3
20
4.6
8
2.6
12
10.1
18
4.0
6
2.4
11
6.2
4
5.9
2
1.3
8
4.5
10
4.6
14
5.3
6
2.2
6
4.3
17
5.4
12
9.7
5
2.7
14
5.2
8
4.8
6
5.9
NEVER HEARD OF
2
0.2
0.1
0.4
1
0.3
1
0.5
1
0.5
1
0.3
1
0.3
1
0.6
1
0.3
0.4
0.3
NAME ID
867
99.8
425
99.9
293
100.0
117
99.6
442
99.7
258
99.5
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
208
99.5
264
99.7
286
99.7
140
100.0
146
99.4
303
99.7
118
99.6
185
99.7
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
HARD NAME ID
830
95.5
406
95.3
285
97.4
105
89.5
424
95.6
251
97.0
166
93.8
57
94.1
146
98.7
174
95.5
198
94.9
250
94.4
279
97.4
140
100.0
139
95.0
287
94.2
107
89.9
180
97.0
264
94.8
159
95.2
104
94.1
10. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 6-1
T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Eliot Cutler?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
FAVORABLE
311
35.8
160
37.7
115
39.4
43
36.5
151
34.0
86
33.2
65
36.5
16
25.8
52
35.1
77
42.1
79
38.1
86
32.4
97
33.7
47
33.3
50
34.1
104
34.2
39
32.5
66
35.3
111
39.7
75
45.0
35
31.8
UNFAVORABLE
407
46.9
196
46.0
130
44.3
57
48.9
211
47.7
129
49.7
79
44.3
42
69.0
76
51.4
67
36.8
103
49.3
117
44.1
142
49.6
70
50.0
72
49.3
155
51.1
61
51.6
94
50.8
109
39.3
65
38.6
45
40.5
HEARD OF
NO OPINION
141
16.3
65
15.2
45
15.3
15
12.8
77
17.3
41
15.9
33
18.6
20
13.5
37
20.3
25
12.1
59
22.3
45
15.8
22
15.7
23
15.8
42
13.9
16
13.9
26
13.9
54
19.4
26
15.7
28
24.9
NEVER HEARD OF
9
1.1
5
1.2
3
1.0
2
1.8
4
1.0
3
1.2
1
0.7
3
5.2
1
0.8
1
0.5
3
1.2
3
0.9
1
1.0
1
0.8
2
0.8
2
2.0
4
1.6
1
0.7
3
2.8
NAME ID
860
98.9
421
98.8
290
99.0
115
98.2
439
99.0
256
98.8
176
99.3
58
94.8
148
100.0
181
99.2
207
99.5
262
98.8
284
99.1
139
99.0
146
99.2
302
99.2
116
98.0
185
100.0
274
98.4
166
99.3
108
97.2
HARD NAME ID
718
82.7
356
83.6
245
83.7
100
85.4
362
81.8
215
82.9
143
80.8
58
94.8
128
86.5
144
78.9
182
87.4
203
76.5
239
83.3
117
83.3
122
83.3
260
85.3
100
84.1
160
86.1
220
79.1
140
83.6
80
72.3
11. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 7-1
T6. If the election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Mike Michaud, Democrat, Paul LePage, Republican, and Eliot Cutler, Independent?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
PAUL LEPAGE
368
42.3
183
43.0
131
44.8
41
34.6
185
41.6
116
44.8
67
37.7
33
53.8
68
46.4
82
45.0
78
37.3
103
38.9
217
75.6
108
77.3
109
74.0
42
13.9
12
10.2
30
16.3
109
39.1
63
37.6
46
41.3
MIKE MICHAUD
361
41.6
172
40.4
109
37.1
60
51.1
189
42.7
104
40.1
80
45.3
21
35.1
61
41.1
67
36.5
93
44.4
120
45.3
33
11.7
14
10.3
19
13.0
215
70.8
86
72.4
130
69.8
112
40.4
72
42.9
41
36.7
ELIOT CUTLER
115
13.2
61
14.2
47
16.2
12
10.5
54
12.2
32
12.3
22
12.5
4
5.9
17
11.3
34
18.5
30
14.2
31
11.8
31
10.9
16
11.7
15
10.0
38
12.5
16
13.6
22
11.7
46
16.5
28
16.8
18
15.9
OTHER
10
1.2
3
0.7
2
0.8
1
0.6
7
1.6
5
1.8
3
1.5
3
5.2
2
0.9
4
1.7
2
0.5
1
0.7
0.3
4
1.2
1
0.6
3
1.6
5
1.8
1
0.7
4
3.5
UNDECIDED
15
1.7
7
1.7
3
1.2
4
3.2
8
1.8
2
1.0
5
3.0
2
1.3
7
3.3
6
2.4
4
1.3
4
2.6
5
1.6
4
3.2
1
0.6
6
2.2
3
2.0
3
2.6
12. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 8-1
T7. Do you consider yourself to be conservative, moderate or liberal in your political beliefs?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
CONSERVATIVE
307
35.4
167
39.2
116
39.5
44
37.7
140
31.6
80
30.9
60
33.9
26
43.1
57
38.9
66
36.1
67
32.1
91
34.2
166
57.8
90
64.4
76
51.6
45
14.7
17
14.3
28
14.9
97
34.8
60
35.9
37
33.2
MODERATE
392
45.1
203
47.6
142
48.3
54
45.7
189
42.6
119
45.8
65
36.7
7
10.9
72
48.4
87
47.5
109
52.1
115
43.2
106
37.0
46
32.8
60
40.9
154
50.6
73
61.5
81
43.6
132
47.4
84
50.1
48
43.4
LIBERAL
142
16.3
49
11.5
31
10.6
17
14.4
93
21.0
52
20.2
40
22.6
19
31.2
19
12.7
30
16.3
30
14.5
44
16.7
10
3.4
3
2.4
6
4.4
97
31.9
25
20.8
72
39.0
35
12.7
21
12.4
14
13.0
UNSURE
NO OPINION
28
3.2
7
1.7
5
1.6
3
2.3
21
4.7
8
3.2
12
6.8
9
14.8
3
1.3
15
5.8
5
1.8
1
0.4
5
3.1
9
2.9
4
3.5
5
2.5
14
5.1
3
1.5
12
10.4
13. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 9-1
T8. Are you a man or a woman?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
WOMAN
443
51.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
37
60.8
65
43.9
88
48.2
102
48.8
149
56.2
147
51.2
147
100.0
185
61.0
185
100.0
111
39.9
111
100.0
MAN
426
49.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
24
39.2
83
56.1
94
51.8
107
51.2
116
43.8
140
48.8
140
100.0
119
39.0
119
100.0
167
60.1
167
100.0
14. Maine General Election Survey, October 23rd - 24th, 2014, 869N, 3.32% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 10-1
T9. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
GENDER~MARITAL AGE REPUBLICANS DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS
----------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------- ------------------------------- -------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
MARR
MEN
--------
SING
MEN
---------
WOM
---------
MARR
WOM
--------
SING
WOM
---------
18-29
---------
30-44
--------
45-54
---------
55-64
---------
65
PLUS
--------
REP
TOT
---------
REP
MEN
--------
REP
WOM
---------
DEM
TOT
---------
DEM
MEN
--------
DEM
WOM
---------
IND
TOT
---------
IND
MEN
--------
IND
WOM
---------
TOTAL
869
100.0
426
100.0
293
100.0
118
100.0
443
100.0
259
100.0
177
100.0
61
100.0
148
100.0
182
100.0
209
100.0
265
100.0
287
100.0
140
100.0
147
100.0
304
100.0
119
100.0
185
100.0
278
100.0
167
100.0
111
100.0
18-29
61
7.0
24
5.6
19
15.8
37
8.3
10
3.8
27
15.3
61
100.0
11
4.0
3
2.4
8
5.5
15
5.1
3
2.3
13
6.8
34
12.2
18
10.6
16
14.7
30-44
148
17.0
83
19.4
53
18.2
22
18.7
65
14.6
43
16.5
22
12.5
148
100.0
56
19.5
35
24.9
21
14.5
36
11.9
10
8.6
26
14.1
55
19.9
38
22.6
18
15.8
45-54
182
21.0
94
22.2
73
24.8
22
18.7
88
19.9
68
26.4
20
11.1
182
100.0
69
24.1
28
19.9
41
28.1
60
19.6
27
22.9
33
17.6
54
19.3
39
23.6
14
12.9
55-64
209
24.0
107
25.1
81
27.8
24
20.7
102
23.0
61
23.7
36
20.3
209
100.0
62
21.5
34
24.4
28
18.7
75
24.7
34
28.3
42
22.4
72
25.8
39
23.4
33
29.4
65+
265
30.5
116
27.2
84
28.7
30
25.7
149
33.6
76
29.4
72
40.6
265
100.0
86
30.0
38
27.0
48
32.9
117
38.4
45
37.9
72
38.7
62
22.4
33
19.8
29
26.2
UNSURE
NO OPINION
4
0.5
2
0.4
1
0.5
1
0.5
2
0.6
1
0.3
0.3
2
0.8
2
1.3
0.3
1
0.3
1
0.5
1
0.4
1
1.0