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Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline
Results
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 719n
autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Louisiana. The
interviews were conducted June 5th
and 8th
, 2014. This survey has a margin
of error of +/- 3.65% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was
weighted based upon past general election voting demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
Republican..............................................................35%
Democrat................................................................50%
Independent............................................................15%
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
Extremely likely.......................................................92%
Very likely.................................................................5%
Somewhat likely........................................................3%
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on
Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power
plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new
regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
Total Support ..........................................................32%
Total Oppose ..........................................................51%
Strongly support......................................................27%
Somewhat support ...................................................5%
Strongly oppose ......................................................42%
Somewhat oppose ....................................................9%
Unsure or no opinion..............................................17%
Magellan ID#: LANMA-060414 Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.65%, 719n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
2
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on
creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his
attention on creating jobs and growing our economy?
Focusing on new regulation for power plants..........15%
Focusing on creating jobs and the economy ...........79%
Unsure or no opinion................................................6%
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After
hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the
new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030,
which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
More likely to support the new regulation...............24%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............48%
No difference in your decision................................24%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................4%
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target
limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
More likely to support the new regulation...............22%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............52%
No difference in your decision................................22%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................4%
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills
will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy
herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers.
More likely to support the new regulation...............15%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............66%
No difference in your decision................................16%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................3%
Magellan ID#: LANMA-060414 Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.65%, 719n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
3
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar
carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030,
and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy.
More likely to support the new regulation...............12%
More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............66%
No difference in your decision................................18%
Unsure or no opinion ...............................................4%
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or
oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama
Administration’s new carbon emission regulation?
More likely to support a candidate that supports .....28%
More likely to oppose a candidate that supports .....60%
Unsure or no opinion .............................................12%
T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?
Woman...................................................................55%
Man ........................................................................45%
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-29........................................................................7%
30-44......................................................................20%
45-54......................................................................21%
55-64......................................................................24%
65+.........................................................................28%
Unsure or no opinion................................................0%
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if
you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you
belong to another racial group.
White......................................................................71%
Black or African American ......................................24%
Hispanic or Latino.....................................................2%
Another ethnic group ................................................3%
Magellan ID#: LANMA-060414 Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results
Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.65%, 719n, CONFIDENTIAL
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027
www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
4
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The
sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Louisiana voter file. The survey
response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The
interviews were conducted on June 5th
and 8th
, 2014. Three attempts were made to
interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.65% at
the 95 percent confidence interval.
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 2-1
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
REPUBLICAN 252
35.0
111
34.3
141
35.6
12
23.7
45
31.0
64
42.7
57
33.1
73
36.7
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
216
42.3
5
34.5
27
15.7
3
15.8
DEMOCRAT 360
50.0
159
49.2
200
50.7
29
56.8
65
45.0
62
41.3
96
55.7
106
53.5
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
210
41.2
5
36.3
134
77.8
10
46.0
INDEPENDENT 108
15.0
54
16.6
54
13.7
10
19.5
35
24.0
24
16.1
19
11.3
19
9.7
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
84
16.5
4
29.3
11
6.5
8
38.2
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 3-1
T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY 659
91.7
304
94.0
355
89.8
46
91.7
142
99.1
146
96.8
151
87.7
172
87.0
238
94.7
108
97.6
130
92.3
324
90.1
147
92.5
177
88.2
97
90.0
49
90.8
48
89.3
476
93.2
12
80.4
153
88.8
19
85.8
VERY LIKELY 37
5.2
13
4.1
24
6.0
1
3.0
1
0.9
5
3.2
11
6.6
16
8.1
10
3.8
2
1.6
8
5.5
22
6.1
8
5.2
14
6.9
6
5.1
3
6.3
2
4.0
22
4.3
3
19.6
12
6.9 1.7
SOMEWHAT LIKELY 23
3.1
6
1.9
16
4.1
3
5.4
10
5.6
10
4.9
4
1.5
1
0.8
3
2.1
13
3.7
4
2.3
10
4.9
5
4.8
2
2.9
4
6.7
12
2.4
7
4.3
3
12.5
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 4-1
T3. As you may know, the Obama Administrationís Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what
you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
TOTAL SUPPORT 231
32.1
121
37.4
110
27.8
20
39.6
42
29.4
48
31.7
60
34.7
61
30.8
16
6.4
8
7.2
8
5.8
195
54.1
97
61.3
97
48.4
20
18.8
16
29.3
5
8.4
120
23.6
5
35.6
95
55.1
10
47.3
TOTAL OPPOSE 368
51.1
172
53.2
195
49.4
23
45.8
87
60.2
87
57.4
73
42.5
96
48.6
196
77.8
95
85.3
101
71.9
102
28.3
46
29.2
55
27.7
70
64.7
31
58.1
39
71.2
306
60.0
9
61.5
46
26.5
7
31.5
STRONGLY SUPPORT 191
26.6
105
32.3
87
21.9
20
39.6
38
26.7
39
25.9
50
29.0
44
22.2
10
3.8
3
3.0
6
4.4
165
45.8
88
55.3
77
38.2
17
16.0
13
24.9
4
7.2
97
19.1
5
34.8
80
46.3
9
42.2
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 40
5.5
16
5.1
23
5.8
4
2.6
9
5.8
10
5.7
17
8.6
7
2.6
5
4.2
2
1.4
30
8.3
10
6.0
20
10.2
3
2.8
2
4.4
1
1.2
23
4.5 0.8
15
8.8
1
5.0
STRONGLY OPPOSE 305
42.4
142
44.0
162
41.0
22
43.5
69
48.2
71
46.9
66
38.3
76
38.2
170
67.5
85
76.8
85
60.2
78
21.8
39
24.4
40
19.8
56
52.3
19
34.7
38
69.8
259
50.8
6
44.1
36
20.7
4
16.3
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 63
8.7
30
9.2
33
8.3
1
2.4
17
12.0
16
10.5
7
4.3
21
10.4
26
10.3
10
8.6
16
11.7
23
6.5
8
4.8
16
7.9
13
12.4
13
23.4
1
1.4
47
9.2
3
17.4
10
5.8
3
15.2
UNSURE
NO OPINION
121
16.8
30
9.3
90
22.9
7
14.6
15
10.4
17
10.9
39
22.7
41
20.5
40
15.8
8
7.5
31
22.3
63
17.5
15
9.5
48
23.9
18
16.5
7
12.6
11
20.4
84
16.4 2.9
32
18.4
5
21.3
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 5-1
T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our
economy?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
FOCUS ON NEW
REGULATION FOR
POWER PLANTS
104
14.5
55
17.0
49
12.5
4
8.9
24
16.6
22
14.7
26
15.1
27
13.5
17
6.6
7
6.4
9
6.7
77
21.4
39
24.4
38
19.1
11
9.8
9
16.7
2
2.9
65
12.7
4
24.5
31
18.2
4
18.8
FOCUS ON CREATING
JOBS AND GROW
ECONOMY
568
79.0
239
73.7
330
83.4
36
72.0
112
77.9
124
82.1
135
78.4
158
80.1
230
91.4
101
91.1
129
91.6
259
72.1
106
66.8
153
76.3
79
73.5
31
58.4
48
88.4
413
80.9
11
74.1
134
77.4
11
51.7
UNSURE
NO OPINION
47
6.5
30
9.3
16
4.2
10
19.1
8
5.6
5
3.2
11
6.6
13
6.5
5
2.1
3
2.5
2
1.7
23
6.5
14
8.8
9
4.6
18
16.7
13
24.9
5
8.7
33
6.4 1.5
7
4.3
6
29.5
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 6-1
I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in
your opinion.
T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
176
24.4
100
31.0
75
19.0
11
22.6
46
31.8
40
26.4
34
19.9
43
22.0
19
7.7
9
8.4
10
7.1
140
38.9
79
49.7
61
30.3
17
15.3
12
22.3
5
8.4
79
15.5
5
33.3
83
48.1
9
42.0
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 342
47.6
164
50.6
179
45.2
24
48.6
76
53.0
66
43.9
76
44.2
98
49.6
186
74.0
93
84.0
93
66.2
95
26.6
52
32.4
44
21.9
61
56.3
19
35.3
42
77.0
292
57.3
8
53.2
34
19.8
8
38.7
NO DIFFERENCE 171
23.8
47
14.6
124
31.4
14
28.8
16
11.0
43
28.2
50
29.0
48
24.1
42
16.7
8
6.8
34
24.5
103
28.5
20
12.5
83
41.3
27
24.7
20
36.7
7
12.9
117
22.9
2
10.7
49
28.4
4
17.3
UNSURE
NO OPINION
30
4.1
12
3.8
17
4.3
6
4.2
2
1.4
12
6.8
9
4.3
4
1.6
1
0.8
3
2.3
22
6.0
9
5.4
13
6.5
4
3.7
3
5.7
1
1.6
22
4.4 2.8
6
3.7 2.0
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 7-1
T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
158
21.9
83
25.8
74
18.8
11
22.6
44
30.7
25
16.5
40
23.2
37
18.8
12
4.8
7
6.1
5
3.7
138
38.3
71
44.8
66
33.1
8
7.5
5
9.9
3
5.0
72
14.2
4
26.6
77
44.4
5
23.0
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 374
52.0
180
55.6
194
49.1
32
62.8
83
58.0
81
54.0
74
43.2
101
51.2
200
79.4
98
88.6
102
72.2
99
27.6
48
30.5
51
25.3
75
69.5
33
61.8
42
77.0
319
62.4
8
53.7
41
23.8
7
30.2
NO DIFFERENCE 156
21.8
48
14.8
109
27.4
7
14.6
10
7.1
42
27.7
48
27.6
48
24.3
32
12.7
3
2.4
29
20.8
101
28.1
30
19.1
70
35.2
24
21.9
15
27.6
9
16.3
96
18.8
3
18.3
49
28.5
9
40.3
UNSURE
NO OPINION
31
4.3
12
3.8
19
4.7
6
4.2
3
1.9
10
6.1
11
5.7
8
3.1
3
2.9
5
3.3
22
6.1
9
5.6
13
6.5
1
1.1 0.6
1
1.6
24
4.6 1.4
6
3.3
1
6.6
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 8-1
T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumerís and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a
short-term hit to consumers.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
108
15.0
69
21.2
40
10.0
4
8.9
33
22.8
20
13.4
21
12.1
30
15.1
10
4.1
6
5.2
5
3.2
91
25.3
58
36.6
33
16.3
7
6.4
5
8.6
2
4.2
54
10.6
3
19.4
47
27.0
4
20.5
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 471
65.6
200
61.8
271
68.6
36
72.2
103
71.8
103
68.3
106
61.6
120
60.8
219
87.2
98
88.6
121
86.1
168
46.8
64
40.5
104
51.9
84
77.4
37
69.8
46
85.0
363
71.1
11
79.1
85
49.4
12
53.6
NO DIFFERENCE 117
16.3
52
16.0
66
16.6
10
18.9
5
3.3
28
18.3
36
21.0
39
19.6
18
7.1
6
5.1
12
8.6
85
23.6
35
21.7
50
25.1
15
13.7
12
21.7
3
5.8
76
14.9 1.5
36
20.9
5
23.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
22
3.1
3
0.9
19
4.8
3
2.1
9
5.2
9
4.5
4
1.6
1
1.1
3
2.1
15
4.2
2
1.1
13
6.7
3
2.5
3
5.0
17
3.3
5
2.7 2.0
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 9-1
T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs
to the economy.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
87
12.1
52
16.1
35
8.9
4
8.9
36
24.8
8
5.4
20
11.6
18
9.1
8
3.1
4
3.7
4
2.6
77
21.3
47
29.3
30
15.0
3
2.6
1
2.4
1
2.8
38
7.5
4
24.8
42
24.4
3
15.2
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 475
66.0
203
62.8
272
68.7
39
77.4
89
61.7
105
69.6
101
58.5
140
70.6
224
89.1
98
88.4
126
89.7
164
45.7
69
43.1
96
47.8
86
80.1
37
68.5
50
91.6
378
74.1
9
64.7
74
43.2
13
59.0
NO DIFFERENCE 129
18.0
60
18.4
70
17.6
7
13.7
16
11.4
36
24.1
37
21.3
32
16.4
16
6.2
9
7.9
7
4.9
95
26.5
35
22.1
60
30.0
18
16.8
16
29.2
3
4.6
77
15.2
2
10.5
45
26.2
5
23.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
27
3.8
9
2.7
19
4.8
3
2.1
1
0.8
15
8.6
8
4.0
4
1.5
4
2.7
23
6.4
9
5.4
14
7.2
1
0.5
1
1.0
16
3.2
11
6.3 2.0
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 10-1
T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
MORE LIKELY TO
SUPPORT
202
28.0
109
33.8
92
23.3
11
22.6
42
29.3
50
33.2
52
30.1
44
22.5
12
4.7
7
6.5
5
3.3
168
46.8
84
52.9
84
41.9
22
20.1
18
33.8
4
6.6
88
17.3
5
33.5
100
57.9
8
39.3
MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 432
60.1
189
58.5
243
61.3
35
69.7
99
68.5
91
60.2
88
51.1
118
59.8
227
90.1
101
91.0
126
89.4
126
35.1
54
33.9
72
36.0
79
73.4
35
64.6
45
82.1
375
73.4
8
54.1
42
24.5
7
33.4
UNSURE
NO OPINION
85
11.9
25
7.6
61
15.4
4
7.7
3
2.1
10
6.6
32
18.8
35
17.7
13
5.2
3
2.5
10
7.4
65
18.2
21
13.2
44
22.1
7
6.5
1
1.6
6
11.2
47
9.3
2
12.5
30
17.6
6
27.3
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 11-1
T10. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
WOMAN 395
55.0
395
100.0
24
47.6
70
48.6
91
60.2
100
57.9
109
55.1
141
56.0
141
100.0
200
55.8
200
100.0
54
50.3
54
100.0
278
54.4
8
55.5
102
59.4
7
34.3
MAN 324
45.0
324
100.0
26
52.4
74
51.4
60
39.8
73
42.1
89
44.9
111
44.0
111
100.0
159
44.2
159
100.0
54
49.7
54
100.0
233
45.6
6
44.5
70
40.6
14
65.7
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 12-1
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
18-29 50
7.0
26
8.2
24
6.1
50
100.0
12
4.7
2
1.8
10
7.1
29
8.0
20
12.6
9
4.3
10
9.1
4
8.2
5
10.1
21
4.2
7
47.1
16
9.6
6
26.3
30-44 144
20.0
74
22.9
70
17.7
144
100.0
45
17.7
27
24.6
17
12.3
65
18.0
35
21.8
30
14.9
35
32.0
12
22.3
23
41.7
101
19.8
6
38.6
35
20.1
3
11.9
45-54 151
21.0
60
18.6
91
23.0
151
100.0
64
25.6
15
13.3
50
35.3
62
17.3
31
19.5
31
15.6
24
22.5
14
26.6
10
18.4
114
22.3
1
6.4
30
17.2
6
29.1
55-64 173
24.0
73
22.5
100
25.2
173
100.0
57
22.7
32
28.8
25
17.9
96
26.7
30
19.0
66
32.8
19
18.0
11
19.6
9
16.4
115
22.6 3.3
54
31.1
3
15.1
65+ 198
27.5
89
27.4
109
27.6
198
100.0
73
28.9
34
31.0
38
27.2
106
29.4
42
26.6
63
31.7
19
17.8
12
22.3
7
13.4
157
30.7
1
4.6
37
21.4
3
14.8
UNSURE
REFUSED
4
0.5
2
0.5
2
0.5
1
0.4
1
0.5 0.3
2
0.6
1
0.3
2
0.8
1
0.5
1
1.1
2
0.4
1
0.5
1
2.8
Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 13-1
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group.
GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------
TOTAL
---------
MEN
---------
WOM
EN
--------
18-29
---------
30-44
---------
45-54
--------
55-64
---------
65+
---------
TOT
REP
--------
REP
MEN
---------
REP
WOM
---------
TOT
DEM
--------
DEM
MEN
---------
DEM
WOM
--------
TOT
IND
---------
IND
MEN
---------
IND
WOM
--------
WHTE
---------
HISP
LAT
---------
BLCK
AA
--------
OTHR
---------
TOTAL 719
100.0
324
100.0
395
100.0
50
100.0
144
100.0
151
100.0
173
100.0
198
100.0
252
100.0
111
100.0
141
100.0
360
100.0
159
100.0
200
100.0
108
100.0
54
100.0
54
100.0
510
100.0
14
100.0
173
100.0
22
100.0
WHITE 510
71.0
233
72.0
278
70.2
21
42.5
101
70.2
114
75.5
115
66.7
157
79.4
216
85.9
96
86.6
120
85.3
210
58.5
92
57.7
118
59.1
84
78.1
45
84.2
39
72.0
510
100.0
BLACK
AFRICAN AMERICAN
173
24.0
70
21.7
102
25.9
16
32.8
35
24.2
30
19.7
54
31.1
37
18.7
27
10.8
10
9.4
17
11.9
134
37.3
56
35.3
78
38.9
11
10.4
4
6.6
8
14.0
173
100.0
HISPANIC
LATINO
14
2.0
6
2.0
8
2.0
7
13.5
6
3.9
1
0.6 0.3
1
0.3
5
2.0
1
1.0
4
2.7
5
1.5
4
2.4
1
0.7
4
3.9
1
2.7
3
5.1
14
100.0
OTHER 22
3.0
14
4.4
7
1.9
6
11.3
3
1.8
6
4.2
3
1.9
3
1.6
3
1.4
3
3.1
10
2.8
7
4.6
3
1.3
8
7.6
3
6.4
5
8.8
22
100.0

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Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060914

  • 1. ! ! ! ! ! Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 719n autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Louisiana. The interviews were conducted June 5th and 8th , 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.65% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? Republican..............................................................35% Democrat................................................................50% Independent............................................................15% T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? Extremely likely.......................................................92% Very likely.................................................................5% Somewhat likely........................................................3% T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? Total Support ..........................................................32% Total Oppose ..........................................................51% Strongly support......................................................27% Somewhat support ...................................................5% Strongly oppose ......................................................42% Somewhat oppose ....................................................9% Unsure or no opinion..............................................17%
  • 2. Magellan ID#: LANMA-060414 Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.65%, 719n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 2 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? Focusing on new regulation for power plants..........15% Focusing on creating jobs and the economy ...........79% Unsure or no opinion................................................6% I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. More likely to support the new regulation...............24% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............48% No difference in your decision................................24% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................4% T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. More likely to support the new regulation...............22% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............52% No difference in your decision................................22% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................4% T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. More likely to support the new regulation...............15% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............66% No difference in your decision................................16% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................3%
  • 3. Magellan ID#: LANMA-060414 Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.65%, 719n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 3 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. More likely to support the new regulation...............12% More likely to oppose the new regulation ..............66% No difference in your decision................................18% Unsure or no opinion ...............................................4% T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administration’s new carbon emission regulation? More likely to support a candidate that supports .....28% More likely to oppose a candidate that supports .....60% Unsure or no opinion .............................................12% T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Woman...................................................................55% Man ........................................................................45% T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29........................................................................7% 30-44......................................................................20% 45-54......................................................................21% 55-64......................................................................24% 65+.........................................................................28% Unsure or no opinion................................................0% T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another racial group. White......................................................................71% Black or African American ......................................24% Hispanic or Latino.....................................................2% Another ethnic group ................................................3%
  • 4. Magellan ID#: LANMA-060414 Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/5/14 and 6/8/14, MoE +/- 3.65%, 719n, CONFIDENTIAL Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027 www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585 4 Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a Louisiana voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 5th and 8th , 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.65% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
  • 5. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 REPUBLICAN 252 35.0 111 34.3 141 35.6 12 23.7 45 31.0 64 42.7 57 33.1 73 36.7 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 216 42.3 5 34.5 27 15.7 3 15.8 DEMOCRAT 360 50.0 159 49.2 200 50.7 29 56.8 65 45.0 62 41.3 96 55.7 106 53.5 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 210 41.2 5 36.3 134 77.8 10 46.0 INDEPENDENT 108 15.0 54 16.6 54 13.7 10 19.5 35 24.0 24 16.1 19 11.3 19 9.7 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 84 16.5 4 29.3 11 6.5 8 38.2
  • 6. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 EXTREMELY LIKELY 659 91.7 304 94.0 355 89.8 46 91.7 142 99.1 146 96.8 151 87.7 172 87.0 238 94.7 108 97.6 130 92.3 324 90.1 147 92.5 177 88.2 97 90.0 49 90.8 48 89.3 476 93.2 12 80.4 153 88.8 19 85.8 VERY LIKELY 37 5.2 13 4.1 24 6.0 1 3.0 1 0.9 5 3.2 11 6.6 16 8.1 10 3.8 2 1.6 8 5.5 22 6.1 8 5.2 14 6.9 6 5.1 3 6.3 2 4.0 22 4.3 3 19.6 12 6.9 1.7 SOMEWHAT LIKELY 23 3.1 6 1.9 16 4.1 3 5.4 10 5.6 10 4.9 4 1.5 1 0.8 3 2.1 13 3.7 4 2.3 10 4.9 5 4.8 2 2.9 4 6.7 12 2.4 7 4.3 3 12.5
  • 7. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T3. As you may know, the Obama Administrationís Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 TOTAL SUPPORT 231 32.1 121 37.4 110 27.8 20 39.6 42 29.4 48 31.7 60 34.7 61 30.8 16 6.4 8 7.2 8 5.8 195 54.1 97 61.3 97 48.4 20 18.8 16 29.3 5 8.4 120 23.6 5 35.6 95 55.1 10 47.3 TOTAL OPPOSE 368 51.1 172 53.2 195 49.4 23 45.8 87 60.2 87 57.4 73 42.5 96 48.6 196 77.8 95 85.3 101 71.9 102 28.3 46 29.2 55 27.7 70 64.7 31 58.1 39 71.2 306 60.0 9 61.5 46 26.5 7 31.5 STRONGLY SUPPORT 191 26.6 105 32.3 87 21.9 20 39.6 38 26.7 39 25.9 50 29.0 44 22.2 10 3.8 3 3.0 6 4.4 165 45.8 88 55.3 77 38.2 17 16.0 13 24.9 4 7.2 97 19.1 5 34.8 80 46.3 9 42.2 SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 40 5.5 16 5.1 23 5.8 4 2.6 9 5.8 10 5.7 17 8.6 7 2.6 5 4.2 2 1.4 30 8.3 10 6.0 20 10.2 3 2.8 2 4.4 1 1.2 23 4.5 0.8 15 8.8 1 5.0 STRONGLY OPPOSE 305 42.4 142 44.0 162 41.0 22 43.5 69 48.2 71 46.9 66 38.3 76 38.2 170 67.5 85 76.8 85 60.2 78 21.8 39 24.4 40 19.8 56 52.3 19 34.7 38 69.8 259 50.8 6 44.1 36 20.7 4 16.3 SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 63 8.7 30 9.2 33 8.3 1 2.4 17 12.0 16 10.5 7 4.3 21 10.4 26 10.3 10 8.6 16 11.7 23 6.5 8 4.8 16 7.9 13 12.4 13 23.4 1 1.4 47 9.2 3 17.4 10 5.8 3 15.2 UNSURE NO OPINION 121 16.8 30 9.3 90 22.9 7 14.6 15 10.4 17 10.9 39 22.7 41 20.5 40 15.8 8 7.5 31 22.3 63 17.5 15 9.5 48 23.9 18 16.5 7 12.6 11 20.4 84 16.4 2.9 32 18.4 5 21.3
  • 8. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 FOCUS ON NEW REGULATION FOR POWER PLANTS 104 14.5 55 17.0 49 12.5 4 8.9 24 16.6 22 14.7 26 15.1 27 13.5 17 6.6 7 6.4 9 6.7 77 21.4 39 24.4 38 19.1 11 9.8 9 16.7 2 2.9 65 12.7 4 24.5 31 18.2 4 18.8 FOCUS ON CREATING JOBS AND GROW ECONOMY 568 79.0 239 73.7 330 83.4 36 72.0 112 77.9 124 82.1 135 78.4 158 80.1 230 91.4 101 91.1 129 91.6 259 72.1 106 66.8 153 76.3 79 73.5 31 58.4 48 88.4 413 80.9 11 74.1 134 77.4 11 51.7 UNSURE NO OPINION 47 6.5 30 9.3 16 4.2 10 19.1 8 5.6 5 3.2 11 6.6 13 6.5 5 2.1 3 2.5 2 1.7 23 6.5 14 8.8 9 4.6 18 16.7 13 24.9 5 8.7 33 6.4 1.5 7 4.3 6 29.5
  • 9. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 176 24.4 100 31.0 75 19.0 11 22.6 46 31.8 40 26.4 34 19.9 43 22.0 19 7.7 9 8.4 10 7.1 140 38.9 79 49.7 61 30.3 17 15.3 12 22.3 5 8.4 79 15.5 5 33.3 83 48.1 9 42.0 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 342 47.6 164 50.6 179 45.2 24 48.6 76 53.0 66 43.9 76 44.2 98 49.6 186 74.0 93 84.0 93 66.2 95 26.6 52 32.4 44 21.9 61 56.3 19 35.3 42 77.0 292 57.3 8 53.2 34 19.8 8 38.7 NO DIFFERENCE 171 23.8 47 14.6 124 31.4 14 28.8 16 11.0 43 28.2 50 29.0 48 24.1 42 16.7 8 6.8 34 24.5 103 28.5 20 12.5 83 41.3 27 24.7 20 36.7 7 12.9 117 22.9 2 10.7 49 28.4 4 17.3 UNSURE NO OPINION 30 4.1 12 3.8 17 4.3 6 4.2 2 1.4 12 6.8 9 4.3 4 1.6 1 0.8 3 2.3 22 6.0 9 5.4 13 6.5 4 3.7 3 5.7 1 1.6 22 4.4 2.8 6 3.7 2.0
  • 10. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 158 21.9 83 25.8 74 18.8 11 22.6 44 30.7 25 16.5 40 23.2 37 18.8 12 4.8 7 6.1 5 3.7 138 38.3 71 44.8 66 33.1 8 7.5 5 9.9 3 5.0 72 14.2 4 26.6 77 44.4 5 23.0 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 374 52.0 180 55.6 194 49.1 32 62.8 83 58.0 81 54.0 74 43.2 101 51.2 200 79.4 98 88.6 102 72.2 99 27.6 48 30.5 51 25.3 75 69.5 33 61.8 42 77.0 319 62.4 8 53.7 41 23.8 7 30.2 NO DIFFERENCE 156 21.8 48 14.8 109 27.4 7 14.6 10 7.1 42 27.7 48 27.6 48 24.3 32 12.7 3 2.4 29 20.8 101 28.1 30 19.1 70 35.2 24 21.9 15 27.6 9 16.3 96 18.8 3 18.3 49 28.5 9 40.3 UNSURE NO OPINION 31 4.3 12 3.8 19 4.7 6 4.2 3 1.9 10 6.1 11 5.7 8 3.1 3 2.9 5 3.3 22 6.1 9 5.6 13 6.5 1 1.1 0.6 1 1.6 24 4.6 1.4 6 3.3 1 6.6
  • 11. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumerís and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 108 15.0 69 21.2 40 10.0 4 8.9 33 22.8 20 13.4 21 12.1 30 15.1 10 4.1 6 5.2 5 3.2 91 25.3 58 36.6 33 16.3 7 6.4 5 8.6 2 4.2 54 10.6 3 19.4 47 27.0 4 20.5 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 471 65.6 200 61.8 271 68.6 36 72.2 103 71.8 103 68.3 106 61.6 120 60.8 219 87.2 98 88.6 121 86.1 168 46.8 64 40.5 104 51.9 84 77.4 37 69.8 46 85.0 363 71.1 11 79.1 85 49.4 12 53.6 NO DIFFERENCE 117 16.3 52 16.0 66 16.6 10 18.9 5 3.3 28 18.3 36 21.0 39 19.6 18 7.1 6 5.1 12 8.6 85 23.6 35 21.7 50 25.1 15 13.7 12 21.7 3 5.8 76 14.9 1.5 36 20.9 5 23.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 22 3.1 3 0.9 19 4.8 3 2.1 9 5.2 9 4.5 4 1.6 1 1.1 3 2.1 15 4.2 2 1.1 13 6.7 3 2.5 3 5.0 17 3.3 5 2.7 2.0
  • 12. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 87 12.1 52 16.1 35 8.9 4 8.9 36 24.8 8 5.4 20 11.6 18 9.1 8 3.1 4 3.7 4 2.6 77 21.3 47 29.3 30 15.0 3 2.6 1 2.4 1 2.8 38 7.5 4 24.8 42 24.4 3 15.2 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 475 66.0 203 62.8 272 68.7 39 77.4 89 61.7 105 69.6 101 58.5 140 70.6 224 89.1 98 88.4 126 89.7 164 45.7 69 43.1 96 47.8 86 80.1 37 68.5 50 91.6 378 74.1 9 64.7 74 43.2 13 59.0 NO DIFFERENCE 129 18.0 60 18.4 70 17.6 7 13.7 16 11.4 36 24.1 37 21.3 32 16.4 16 6.2 9 7.9 7 4.9 95 26.5 35 22.1 60 30.0 18 16.8 16 29.2 3 4.6 77 15.2 2 10.5 45 26.2 5 23.8 UNSURE NO OPINION 27 3.8 9 2.7 19 4.8 3 2.1 1 0.8 15 8.6 8 4.0 4 1.5 4 2.7 23 6.4 9 5.4 14 7.2 1 0.5 1 1.0 16 3.2 11 6.3 2.0
  • 13. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT 202 28.0 109 33.8 92 23.3 11 22.6 42 29.3 50 33.2 52 30.1 44 22.5 12 4.7 7 6.5 5 3.3 168 46.8 84 52.9 84 41.9 22 20.1 18 33.8 4 6.6 88 17.3 5 33.5 100 57.9 8 39.3 MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE 432 60.1 189 58.5 243 61.3 35 69.7 99 68.5 91 60.2 88 51.1 118 59.8 227 90.1 101 91.0 126 89.4 126 35.1 54 33.9 72 36.0 79 73.4 35 64.6 45 82.1 375 73.4 8 54.1 42 24.5 7 33.4 UNSURE NO OPINION 85 11.9 25 7.6 61 15.4 4 7.7 3 2.1 10 6.6 32 18.8 35 17.7 13 5.2 3 2.5 10 7.4 65 18.2 21 13.2 44 22.1 7 6.5 1 1.6 6 11.2 47 9.3 2 12.5 30 17.6 6 27.3
  • 14. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T10. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 WOMAN 395 55.0 395 100.0 24 47.6 70 48.6 91 60.2 100 57.9 109 55.1 141 56.0 141 100.0 200 55.8 200 100.0 54 50.3 54 100.0 278 54.4 8 55.5 102 59.4 7 34.3 MAN 324 45.0 324 100.0 26 52.4 74 51.4 60 39.8 73 42.1 89 44.9 111 44.0 111 100.0 159 44.2 159 100.0 54 49.7 54 100.0 233 45.6 6 44.5 70 40.6 14 65.7
  • 15. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 18-29 50 7.0 26 8.2 24 6.1 50 100.0 12 4.7 2 1.8 10 7.1 29 8.0 20 12.6 9 4.3 10 9.1 4 8.2 5 10.1 21 4.2 7 47.1 16 9.6 6 26.3 30-44 144 20.0 74 22.9 70 17.7 144 100.0 45 17.7 27 24.6 17 12.3 65 18.0 35 21.8 30 14.9 35 32.0 12 22.3 23 41.7 101 19.8 6 38.6 35 20.1 3 11.9 45-54 151 21.0 60 18.6 91 23.0 151 100.0 64 25.6 15 13.3 50 35.3 62 17.3 31 19.5 31 15.6 24 22.5 14 26.6 10 18.4 114 22.3 1 6.4 30 17.2 6 29.1 55-64 173 24.0 73 22.5 100 25.2 173 100.0 57 22.7 32 28.8 25 17.9 96 26.7 30 19.0 66 32.8 19 18.0 11 19.6 9 16.4 115 22.6 3.3 54 31.1 3 15.1 65+ 198 27.5 89 27.4 109 27.6 198 100.0 73 28.9 34 31.0 38 27.2 106 29.4 42 26.6 63 31.7 19 17.8 12 22.3 7 13.4 157 30.7 1 4.6 37 21.4 3 14.8 UNSURE REFUSED 4 0.5 2 0.5 2 0.5 1 0.4 1 0.5 0.3 2 0.6 1 0.3 2 0.8 1 0.5 1 1.1 2 0.4 1 0.5 1 2.8
  • 16. Louisiana NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 5th - 8th, 2014, 719N, 3.65% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ TOTAL --------- MEN --------- WOM EN -------- 18-29 --------- 30-44 --------- 45-54 -------- 55-64 --------- 65+ --------- TOT REP -------- REP MEN --------- REP WOM --------- TOT DEM -------- DEM MEN --------- DEM WOM -------- TOT IND --------- IND MEN --------- IND WOM -------- WHTE --------- HISP LAT --------- BLCK AA -------- OTHR --------- TOTAL 719 100.0 324 100.0 395 100.0 50 100.0 144 100.0 151 100.0 173 100.0 198 100.0 252 100.0 111 100.0 141 100.0 360 100.0 159 100.0 200 100.0 108 100.0 54 100.0 54 100.0 510 100.0 14 100.0 173 100.0 22 100.0 WHITE 510 71.0 233 72.0 278 70.2 21 42.5 101 70.2 114 75.5 115 66.7 157 79.4 216 85.9 96 86.6 120 85.3 210 58.5 92 57.7 118 59.1 84 78.1 45 84.2 39 72.0 510 100.0 BLACK AFRICAN AMERICAN 173 24.0 70 21.7 102 25.9 16 32.8 35 24.2 30 19.7 54 31.1 37 18.7 27 10.8 10 9.4 17 11.9 134 37.3 56 35.3 78 38.9 11 10.4 4 6.6 8 14.0 173 100.0 HISPANIC LATINO 14 2.0 6 2.0 8 2.0 7 13.5 6 3.9 1 0.6 0.3 1 0.3 5 2.0 1 1.0 4 2.7 5 1.5 4 2.4 1 0.7 4 3.9 1 2.7 3 5.1 14 100.0 OTHER 22 3.0 14 4.4 7 1.9 6 11.3 3 1.8 6 4.2 3 1.9 3 1.6 3 1.4 3 3.1 10 2.8 7 4.6 3 1.3 8 7.6 3 6.4 5 8.8 22 100.0