An Analysis of The Path Raila/Kalonzo could take to the Presidency on March 4th

1. HOW RAILA AND KALONZO
WOULD WIN
(IF VOTER TURN OUT REMAINS 74.1%)
By Dr MAKODINGO Washington,
Political Consultant

2. CENTRAL
REG
COUNTY VOTERS TURN OUT AS % RAILONZO
Nyandar
ua 252,889 214,956 85% 10,748
Nyeri 357,105 339,250 95% 16,962
Kirinyag
a 262,715 249,579 95% 12,479
Muranga 457,052 434,199 95% 21,710
Kiambu 860,716 731,609 85% 219,483
2,190,477 1,969,593 90% 281,382

3. NYANZA
REG
COUNTY VOTERS TURN OUT AS % RAILONZO
Siaya 312,518 296,892 95% 287,985
Kisumu 388,729 369,293 95% 358,214
Homa Bay 331,698 315,113 95% 305,660
Migori 287,702 273,317 95% 265,117
Kisii 414,493 290,145 70% 217,609
Nyamira 219,616 153,731 70% 115,298
1,954,756 1,698,491 87% 1,549,883

4. RIFT VALLEY
REG TURN
COUNTY VOTERS OUT AS % RAILONZO
Turkana 120,345 36,104 30% 21,662
West Pokot 107,894 64,736 60% 16,184
Samburu 56,662 22,665 40% 5,666
Trans Nzoia 231,352 173,514 75% 121,460
Uasin
Gishu 318,717 239,038 75% 95,615
Elgeyo 134,290 80,574 60% 20,144

5. Nandi 254,788 178,352 70% 44,588
Baringo 171,013 111,158 65% 27,790
Laikipia 170,267 136,214 80% 13,621
Nakuru 695,879 556,703 80% 139,176
Narok 253,086 177,160 70% 97,438
Kajiado 315,053 220,537 70% 121,295
Kericho 290,102 203,071 70% 50,768
Bomet 254,405 178,084 70% 44,521
3,373,853 2,377,910 70% 819,928

6. EASTERN
COUNTY REG VOTERS TURN OUT AS % RAILONZO
Marsabit 104,408 41,763 40% 20,882
Isiolo 52,617 31,570 60% 15,785
Meru 483,517 362,638 75% 108,791
Tharaka Nithi 155,823 116,867 75% 35,060
Embu 226,989 170,242 75% 17,024
Kitui 323,624 226,537 70% 181,229
Machakos 445,819 312,073 70% 249,659
Makueni 300,086 210,060 70% 168,048
2,092,883 1,471,750 70% 796,479

7. WESTERN
REG
COUNTY VOTERS TURN OUT AS % RAILONZO
Kakamega 568,813 426,610 75% 298,627
Vihiga 202,456 151,842 75% 91,105
Bungoma 411,981 308,986 75% 262,638
Busia 251,737 176,216 70% 158,594
1,434,987 1,076,240 74.1% 810,964

8. COAST
REG
COUNTY VOTERS TURN OUT AS % RAILONZO
Mombasa 412,602 268,191 65% 201,143
Kwale 173,447 69,379 40% 45,096
Kilifi 340,948 204,569 60% 153,427
Tana River 73,037 29,215 40% 14,607
Lamu 51,830 36,281 70% 10,884
Taita Taveta 112,219 61,720 55% 43,204
1,164,083 669,355 58% 468,362

9. NEP
REG
COUNTY VOTERS TURN OUT AS % RAILONZO
Garissa 116,166 46,466 40% 27,880
Wajir 110,286 44,114 40% 28,674
Mandera 121,005 48,402 40% 24,201
347,457 138,983 40% 80,755

10. NAIROBI
REGISTERED VOTERS
1,778,903
VOTER TURN-OUT
1,245,232 (70%)
RAILA/KALONZO
560,354

11. REGION TOTAL RAILONZO AS %
COAST 669,355 468,362 70.0%
NEP 138,983 80,755 58.1%
CENTRAL 1,969,593 281,382 14.3%
WESTERN 1,063,653 810,964 76.2%
EASTERN 1,471,750 796,479 54.1%
RIFT VALLEY 2,377,910 819,928 34.5%
NYANZA 1,698,491 1,549,883 91.3%
NAIROBI 1,245,232 560,354 45.0%
10,634,967 5,368,108 50.5%