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Investment across sectors and at the
 landscape level - the case of coal mining in
           Kalimantan, Indonesia
      Ahmad Dermawan, David Gaveau, Erik Meijaard, Krystof Obidzinski
THINKING beyond the canopy    Bogor, 13 March 2013
Production is predicted to
                 increase
                                          700
• Coal production has



                           Million tons
  increased by triple in                  600

  2004-2011
                                          500

• Predicted to double in
                                          400
  2018
                                          300



                                          200



                                          100



                                            0
                                                2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f


                                                 Sources: MEMR and BMI
                                                                                       THINKING beyond the canopy
Most of the coal is exported
               400
Million tons




               350       Approximately 60% of
                         Indonesia’s exports go to
               300
                         China and India
               250



               200



               150



               100



                50



                 0
                  2004        2005     2006     2007              2008   2009          2010           2011

                                                Production   Export


Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources
                                                                         THINKING beyond the canopy
But domestic use is driving
 Government national energy policy: increasing coal in the
    national energy mix
   Increased demand from power sector, esp. for outer
    islands
                     Energy mix 2006                                      Energy mix 2025
                                                                Geothermal,
                                                                            Biofuel, 5%
                                             Geothermal,            5%
    Hydro, 3%
                                                 1%
                                                           Hydro, 5%
                                                                                          Oil, 20%


          Gas, 29%


                                       Oil, 52%
                                                               Gas, 32%
                                                                                            Coal, 33%

                Coal, 15%




                                                                              THINKING beyond the canopy
Coal reserves in Indonesia
 Sumatera and Kalimantan have the highest reserves



                                                          2.1 MT
                                52.3 BT
       52.5 BT

                                                                                 128.6 MT
                                             233.1 MT

                      14.2 MT




Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources 2012
                                                        THINKING beyond the canopy
Economic importance of
                  coal mining
 85% of national mining revenues comes from coal
 Approximately 35% of East Kalimantan’s GRDP comes
  from coal
                                                 4%   2%
                                                                4%      6%
                               3%           8%
                                0%




                                      23%                                                     50%




  Agriculture                                    Mining and quarrying                        Manufacturing industries
  Electricity, gas and water supply              Construction                                Trade, hotels and restaurant
  Transportation and communication               Financial, leasing and business services    Services

                                                                                            THINKING beyond the canopy
Coal mining in
  Kalimantan
• Multiplication of
  large scale
  operations since
  2000
• Mostly in East and
  South Kalimantan




                       THINKING beyond the canopy
Coal expansion
             14                                                                          4,000




                                                                                                 Number of permits
Million ha




                                                                                         3,500
             12


                                                                                         3,000
             10

                                                                                         2,500
             8

                                                                                         2,000

             6
                                                                                         1,500

             4
                                                                                         1,000


             2
                                                                                         500


             0                                                                           0




                    Cumulative area (ha)   Permits (cumulative)


                                                                  THINKING beyond the canopy
Mining scars




               THINKING beyond the canopy
Small scale mining
Small scale coal                 District              Mining rights                           Area (ha)

mining permits                   Malinau                    7                                    11,114
                                 Nunukan                    22                                   70,112
issued by Regents
                                 Tanatidung                 2                                     5,000
are understudied                 Tarakan
                                 Bulungan                   33                                  136,153
                                 Berau                      68                                  224,060
                                 Bontang
                                 Samarinda                  76                                   27,556
                                 Balikpapan
                                 Kutai Kartanegara         687                                 1,237,374
                                 Kutai Timur                38                                  670,549
                                 Kutai Barat               138                                  395,486
                                 Penajam Paser Utara        36                                   86,307

                                 Pasir                      73                                  248,978
Source: LITBANG Kompas, JATAM,
                   Greenpeace    Total                    1,180                                3,112,690
                                                                  THINKING beyond the canopy
Potential challenges
Significant potential for future deforestation:
 3.2 million ha of land allocate for large scale exploration and
  exploitation in East & South Kalimantan
 40% of this is forested (1.3 million ha)
 Large portion of small scale permits in forested areas as well
  (since 2010 no new small scale permits issued)
Mining get priority over other land uses:
 Permenhut No.P.18/Menhut-II/2011 on Guidelines for the use
  of forest estate for mining
 Permenhut No.P.14/Menhut-II/2011 on timber utilization
  permits (IPK) for mining companies
 Large new coal concessions (hundreds of 000s of ha) as 15-
  20% can be clear-cut (timber) for mine development

                                              THINKING beyond the canopy
Concluding remarks
 Coal mining is a growing sector in Indonesia, but have
    the potential to be a major driver of deforestation
   Demand for coal is rising, driven by growing demand for
    energy in the Asia-Pacific as well as from domestic
    consumers
   Indonesia is stepping up production and export; it’s
    getting jobs but it’s loosing revenues and forests
   Major large scale expansion plans is underway, but small
    scale expansion is often understudied.




                                          THINKING beyond the canopy
www.cifor.org



                THINKING beyond the canopy

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Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

  • 1. Investment across sectors and at the landscape level - the case of coal mining in Kalimantan, Indonesia Ahmad Dermawan, David Gaveau, Erik Meijaard, Krystof Obidzinski THINKING beyond the canopy Bogor, 13 March 2013
  • 2. Production is predicted to increase 700 • Coal production has Million tons increased by triple in 600 2004-2011 500 • Predicted to double in 400 2018 300 200 100 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f Sources: MEMR and BMI THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 3. Most of the coal is exported 400 Million tons 350 Approximately 60% of Indonesia’s exports go to 300 China and India 250 200 150 100 50 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Production Export Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 4. But domestic use is driving  Government national energy policy: increasing coal in the national energy mix  Increased demand from power sector, esp. for outer islands Energy mix 2006 Energy mix 2025 Geothermal, Biofuel, 5% Geothermal, 5% Hydro, 3% 1% Hydro, 5% Oil, 20% Gas, 29% Oil, 52% Gas, 32% Coal, 33% Coal, 15% THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 5. Coal reserves in Indonesia  Sumatera and Kalimantan have the highest reserves 2.1 MT 52.3 BT 52.5 BT 128.6 MT 233.1 MT 14.2 MT Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources 2012 THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 6. Economic importance of coal mining  85% of national mining revenues comes from coal  Approximately 35% of East Kalimantan’s GRDP comes from coal 4% 2% 4% 6% 3% 8% 0% 23% 50% Agriculture Mining and quarrying Manufacturing industries Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Trade, hotels and restaurant Transportation and communication Financial, leasing and business services Services THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 7. Coal mining in Kalimantan • Multiplication of large scale operations since 2000 • Mostly in East and South Kalimantan THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 8. Coal expansion 14 4,000 Number of permits Million ha 3,500 12 3,000 10 2,500 8 2,000 6 1,500 4 1,000 2 500 0 0 Cumulative area (ha) Permits (cumulative) THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 9. Mining scars THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 10. Small scale mining Small scale coal District Mining rights Area (ha) mining permits Malinau 7 11,114 Nunukan 22 70,112 issued by Regents Tanatidung 2 5,000 are understudied Tarakan Bulungan 33 136,153 Berau 68 224,060 Bontang Samarinda 76 27,556 Balikpapan Kutai Kartanegara 687 1,237,374 Kutai Timur 38 670,549 Kutai Barat 138 395,486 Penajam Paser Utara 36 86,307 Pasir 73 248,978 Source: LITBANG Kompas, JATAM, Greenpeace Total 1,180 3,112,690 THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 11. Potential challenges Significant potential for future deforestation:  3.2 million ha of land allocate for large scale exploration and exploitation in East & South Kalimantan  40% of this is forested (1.3 million ha)  Large portion of small scale permits in forested areas as well (since 2010 no new small scale permits issued) Mining get priority over other land uses:  Permenhut No.P.18/Menhut-II/2011 on Guidelines for the use of forest estate for mining  Permenhut No.P.14/Menhut-II/2011 on timber utilization permits (IPK) for mining companies  Large new coal concessions (hundreds of 000s of ha) as 15- 20% can be clear-cut (timber) for mine development THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 12. Concluding remarks  Coal mining is a growing sector in Indonesia, but have the potential to be a major driver of deforestation  Demand for coal is rising, driven by growing demand for energy in the Asia-Pacific as well as from domestic consumers  Indonesia is stepping up production and export; it’s getting jobs but it’s loosing revenues and forests  Major large scale expansion plans is underway, but small scale expansion is often understudied. THINKING beyond the canopy
  • 13. www.cifor.org THINKING beyond the canopy