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The Millennium Development Goals: a cross-sectoral analysis and principles for goal setting after 2015Conceptualising development post-2015Andrew DorwardSchool of Oriental and African Studies LSHTM, 13 September 2010
Post 2015 options Sumner :  Continue with the same MDGs, with or without a timeline.  More radical: new targets, perhaps locally defined, with or without a timeline. Combine the MDGs with something new: ‘inner core’ of the existing MDGs, plus ‘outer core’ of new, locally defined targets Manning: go beyond aid, recognise influence of changing  global factors & power structures  2008-09 Chronic Poverty Report : new development agenda, universal access to basic social protection & universal access to post-primary education by 2020, elimination of absolute poverty by 2025.
Post 2015: aspirations  Build on MDG strengths, address weaknesses Core changes:   reduce gaps & fragmentation, enhance integration better targeting & indicators greater equity & ownership beyond minimalist poverty reduction / survival Coherent & shared  approach to development  processes & outcomes principles guiding action across different sectors recognise multiple perspectives recognise means/ ends commitment / action across all countries.
Post 2015: challenges Trade-offs; comprehensive set of development goals vs comprehensive commitment to those goals?  ,[object Object],New global political economy Differing views / interests on emerging global problems  ‘Tetralemma’ between equity, growth, 	 democracy, and sustainability
Post 2015: proposal Development: a dynamic process involving sustainable and equitable access to improved well-being Improved well-being  Holistic freedoms & capabilities to make choices Quality, quantity, diversity, equity Satisfaction not maximisation Principles:  Holism Equity Sustainability Ownership Global obligation
Holism: avoid gaps, realize synergies Human  development change  in  individual human  conditions  &  resources Well-being Overarching ends Environmental development change  in  access  to  & relations  with  natural  &  environmental resources Social  development Change  in  social relations  and resources Dimensions Underpinning means Physical capital Population stabilisation
Holism: elements Well-being Human  development Elements Health  Learning Livelihoods Energy  Nutrition Housing Governance Human rights Gender relations Communications Climate stabilisation Water Population stabilisation Social  development Environmental development
Equity: equality that is fair Opportunity, Process and Outcome  Intergenerational and intra-generational Focus on  quality & adaptability of provision differences in needs, access & abilities of & costs for different groups access, process and outcome targets & indicators by economic, geographic,  ethnic, age, gender factors Links with holism, sustainability, ownership,  & obligation
Sustainability Capacity to persist, and  resist or recover from shocks or stresses affecting productivity Material viability  Social /economic viability & acceptability Adaptability  (learning) Differences between global & national sustainability  economic productivity growth with material consumption critical for the poor & for increasing population -  not for advanced economies? all stakeholders with control over resources need ability & incentives for system maintenance.  	Links with holism, equity, ownership & global 	obligation
Ownership Representation, participation, accountability, transparency Intrinsic and instrumental, ends/ means Open discussion and public scrutiny  International, national & local processes, targets & challenges Subsidiarity? Partnerships? Power, interests? Links with holism, equity, sustainability  				& obligation
Global obligation Normative, institutional and political issues Significant transfers of resources from developed to developing economies;  commitments to address inequities in structural relations between countries Nature of our obligations to people who are not citizens of our country? Challenge to develop & deepen shared obligations, institutional frames and political processes  UN reform?

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Lancet-LIDC Commission on the Millennium Development Goals: Conceptualising Development Post-2015 - Professor Andrew Dorward, SOAS

  • 1. The Millennium Development Goals: a cross-sectoral analysis and principles for goal setting after 2015Conceptualising development post-2015Andrew DorwardSchool of Oriental and African Studies LSHTM, 13 September 2010
  • 2. Post 2015 options Sumner : Continue with the same MDGs, with or without a timeline. More radical: new targets, perhaps locally defined, with or without a timeline. Combine the MDGs with something new: ‘inner core’ of the existing MDGs, plus ‘outer core’ of new, locally defined targets Manning: go beyond aid, recognise influence of changing global factors & power structures 2008-09 Chronic Poverty Report : new development agenda, universal access to basic social protection & universal access to post-primary education by 2020, elimination of absolute poverty by 2025.
  • 3. Post 2015: aspirations Build on MDG strengths, address weaknesses Core changes: reduce gaps & fragmentation, enhance integration better targeting & indicators greater equity & ownership beyond minimalist poverty reduction / survival Coherent & shared approach to development processes & outcomes principles guiding action across different sectors recognise multiple perspectives recognise means/ ends commitment / action across all countries.
  • 4.
  • 5. Post 2015: proposal Development: a dynamic process involving sustainable and equitable access to improved well-being Improved well-being Holistic freedoms & capabilities to make choices Quality, quantity, diversity, equity Satisfaction not maximisation Principles: Holism Equity Sustainability Ownership Global obligation
  • 6. Holism: avoid gaps, realize synergies Human development change in individual human conditions & resources Well-being Overarching ends Environmental development change in access to & relations with natural & environmental resources Social development Change in social relations and resources Dimensions Underpinning means Physical capital Population stabilisation
  • 7. Holism: elements Well-being Human development Elements Health Learning Livelihoods Energy Nutrition Housing Governance Human rights Gender relations Communications Climate stabilisation Water Population stabilisation Social development Environmental development
  • 8. Equity: equality that is fair Opportunity, Process and Outcome Intergenerational and intra-generational Focus on quality & adaptability of provision differences in needs, access & abilities of & costs for different groups access, process and outcome targets & indicators by economic, geographic, ethnic, age, gender factors Links with holism, sustainability, ownership, & obligation
  • 9. Sustainability Capacity to persist, and resist or recover from shocks or stresses affecting productivity Material viability Social /economic viability & acceptability Adaptability (learning) Differences between global & national sustainability economic productivity growth with material consumption critical for the poor & for increasing population - not for advanced economies? all stakeholders with control over resources need ability & incentives for system maintenance. Links with holism, equity, ownership & global obligation
  • 10. Ownership Representation, participation, accountability, transparency Intrinsic and instrumental, ends/ means Open discussion and public scrutiny International, national & local processes, targets & challenges Subsidiarity? Partnerships? Power, interests? Links with holism, equity, sustainability & obligation
  • 11. Global obligation Normative, institutional and political issues Significant transfers of resources from developed to developing economies; commitments to address inequities in structural relations between countries Nature of our obligations to people who are not citizens of our country? Challenge to develop & deepen shared obligations, institutional frames and political processes UN reform?