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Yogi & the Mandarin: A Tale
 of Two Asian Revolutions
“China and India. Rarely has the
economic ascent of two still relatively
poor nations been watched with such a
   mixture of awe, opportunism, and
trepidation. [They] possess the weight
 and dynamism to transform the 21st-
       century global economy.”

                      August 22, 2005 BusinessWeek
The Yogi


              Intuitive
              Non-linear
              Holistic
              Introspective
The Mandarin


                  Efficiency
                  Order
                  Goal-oriented
                  Creature of hierarchy
Maps
   China – 4th largest & most
   populous country in the
   world with a population of 1.3
   billion people.


   India – 7th largest & second
   most populous country in the
   world with a population of
   1.17 billion people.
Historic Silk Route Ties




     The Silk Route is a series of trade and cultural transmission
routes that ran through the Asian continent connecting the east and
  west and extended from southern Europe through Arabia, Egypt,
                  Persia, India till it reaches China.
   January 2008
50 yrs ago, India and China were among the poorest and
      economically most isolated countries in the world.


How did China and India emerge
      as economic giants?
What are India & China famous
         for today?




                              Low-pri
                                      ce   d consu
                                                  mer goo
                                                          ds
                    ut   er
           rs & comp
 Call cente
         engineers
People’s Republic of China
•
                                 1949 armed
    Modern China was established after a violent
    conflict between Chinese nationals and imperialist
    powers. The communists won under Mao in 1949
    giving birth to the People’s Republic of China.

• One party rule. No private property. Collectivized
  farming. State owned 77.6% of the economy and
  collectives owned everything else.

• Religious and cultural practices were suppressed and
  ethnic minorities were marginalized.

• 40 million people starved to death between 1959 and
  1962.
                                                         Mao Zedong
• 1966 Mao introduced the “Cultural Revolution” that
  involved purging political rivals. 10 million people
  were killed.
China’s entry in today’s Global
             Economy
• After Mao’s death Deng
  Xiaoping took over as
  China’s leader.

• Liberalized Chinese
  economy in 1979.

• Started with agricultural
  and economic reforms, set
  up Special Economic
  Zones.
Infrastructure
• China’s most visible infrastructure project to date
  is building new roads and highways.

• In 1989 China had 168 miles of expressways by 2004
  it built 21,500miles. By 2020 it plans to have 55,000
  miles, which is the total length of the entire
  American highway system.

• To fulfill its growing economy China has built new
  coal mines for electricity use, increased natural oil
  and gas consumption and built a modern power
  grid.
China – Economic Fact Sheet
GDP – real growth rate:
9.8% (2008) country comparison to the world:
13% (2007)
11.6% (2006)


GDP-Per capita (PPP-Purchasing power parity):
$6,000 (2008)country comparison to the world:
$5,500 (2007)
$4,900 (2006)
note: data are in 2008 US dollars


GDP – composition by sector:
agriculture: 10.6%
industry: 49.2%
services: 40.2% (2008)
Beijing’s Skyline




Beijing Olympics Stadium
China’s One-Child Policy




                 1980s govt. poster advertizing the One-Child Policy

To accelerate economic growth China decided to curb its population
    through the implementation of the One-Child Policy in 1979.
Strict Implementation
   Urban families can have only one child whereas rural
    families can have more than one child, if the first one is a
    girl.

   Under this policy, the government has conducted 10 million
    forced abortions and 10 million sterilizations

   40 million births have been prevented.

   30,000 workers in the Family Planning department
    implement these policies nationwide.
Indian Independence - 1947
 India gained independence from British
rule in 1947 under the leadership of M. K.
Gandhi.

Non-violence and peaceful civil
disobedience became hallmarks of India’s
freedom struggle.

 India’s “Cultural Revolution”:
- The freedom struggle involved an agenda
for emancipation of women and lower castes
through democratic empowerment. India’s
diverse ethnic and religious population
participated in and flourished during the
freedom struggle.
Republic of India
 India defines itself as a sovereign, socialist, secular,
democratic republic that was officially constituted on Jan 26,
1950.

 India’s constitution guaranteed fundamental rights and
rule of law.

Multiparty democracy with a parliamentary form of
government. The Prime Minister is the elected head of the
government.

 Special laws for the protection of ethnic, linguistic and
religious minorities were included in the constitution.
Mixed-Economy
   Adopted a socialist-inspired, centrally planned economic
    model between 1947 to 1991 under which India’s economy
    grew at about 3.5% (called the Hindu rate of growth).
   Land reforms were carried out to redistribute land more
    equitably.

   This economic era came to be known as the “License Raj”
    due to the elaborate licenses and regulations that were
    required to set up and run business in India. Corruption
    and red tape flourished under this system.

   All these policies and five year economic plans were carried
    out within the framework of a functioning democracy with
    routine elections every 5 yrs continuously from 1952 to the
    present.
Economic Liberalization in
             India
   In 1991 India adopted economic
    reforms.

   Current PM and economist
    Manmohan Singh is the architect of
    India’s economic reforms.

   These economic liberalization
    policies reduced government
    regulation of and investment in the   Manmohan Singh
    economy, encouraged private
    business and invited foreign
    investment. Quotas and licenses
    were dismantled.
India – Economic Fact Sheet
GDP- real growth rate:
6.6% (2008)
9% (2007)
9.6% (2006)

GDP – per capita (PPP – Purchasing power parity)
$2,800 (2008)
$2,700 (2007)
$2,500 (2006)
note: data are in 2008 US dollars

GDP – Composition by sector:
agriculture: 17.2%
industry: 29.1%
services: 53.7% (2008)
Comparing India and China’s Growth
             Stories
 Indicators         India                 China
 Political System   Multi-party           One-party
                    Democracy             authoritarian rule

 Speed of Growth    Economic reforms      Economic reforms
                    started in 1991.      started in 1978.
                    Average 6% growth     Average 9.5% growth
                    rate in past two      rate in past two
                    decades.              decades.
 Areas of           Rising power in       Dominant in mass
 Specialization     software, design,     manufacturing,
                    services, and         electronics and heavy
                    precision industry.   industrial plants
Comparing India and China’s Growth
             Stories
 Indicators                India                China
 Gini index                                 47.0 (up 10 points
 (standard measure           36.8            from 15 yrs ago)
 of inequality)
 Foreign Direct       6.8% (up from 0.3%       17.8%
 Investment          in 2004)

 Future Areas of     R&D, bio-            IT business, services
 growth              technology, high-    and continued
                     value IT enabled     manufacturing
                     services (legal,
                     medical, engineering
                     architecture),
                     manufacturing, agro-
                     based industry
Comparison…
   India lags behind china in infrastructure.

   China has a weak banking and legal system.

   India has the advantage of the English language which has
    made it easier to participate in the global economy.

   What holds India back are bureaucratic red tape, corruption
    and its inability to build infrastructure fast enough.

   According to Peter Drucker, India has managed rural to
    urban transition in a relatively smooth and peaceful manner,
    which China is still struggling to do.
The of Costs Growth – Human
               rights
   500 million Chinese people have been lifted out of poverty in
    a generation….but this has come with a cost.

Suppression of Dissent: In 1989, students protesting against
Communist rule in Tiananmen Square were killed by the
 Chinese military.

   No Freedom of Expression: Internet and media is state
    controlled.

 No Freedom of Religion:
Minorities are marginalized – Uighar and Hui Muslims,
Tibetans and Falun gong.
India’s Experiment with the
          “Mandarin Model”
   In Nandigram village, West Bengal, against the ruling
    communist government’s planned to seize 10,000 acres of
    land from farmers for a chemical plant. The farmers
    protested.

   4,000 heavily armed police tried to stamp out protests and
    shot dead at least 14 villagers and wounded 70 more. The
    Communist party cadres also participated.

   The Indian media and civil society protested.

   The communists were defeated in subsequent local and
    national elections in West Bengal.
Urban-Rural Divide- China
• Extreme income disparity in rural and urban china. The
  coastal and urban locations have benefited
  disproportionately from the economic policies.

• There has also been an increase in inequality of education
  and access to health services. Poor households have not
  been able to afford the high private cost of basic education
  and healthcare.

• Tens of millions of farmers have become landless in China
  as developers and government officials seize farm land
  without compensation to farmers.

• There were 87,000 local protests in 2005
Urban-Rural Divide - India
   27.5% of India’s population was living below
    the poverty line in 2004–2005, down from
    51.3% in 1977–1978, and 36% in 1993-1994.

   75% of the poor are in rural areas, most of
    them are daily wagers, self-employed
    householders and landless laborers.
Rule of Law
   The authoritarian control of the Communist
    Party over all spheres of Chinese society has
    meant weak rule of law.

   Poor people have little chance of getting their
    grievances redressed if they have a dispute with
    the Chinese state or powerful businesses. E.g.
    Sprucing up of Beijing for the 2008 Olympics

   Corruption exists in India as well and the
    judiciary is overworked but India has a strong
    rule of law.
Democracy & Economic
                     Growthdemocracy?
   Does economic prosperity lead to

   No evidence to suggest that prosperity leads to democracy
    or vice versa.

   However, democracy may slow down economic growth but
    it provides essential checks on excessive power.

   Nobel Laureate economist Amartya Sen’s theory of famine
    and Democracy: "No famine has ever taken place in the
    history of the world in a functioning democracy.” (Freedom
    as Development)
Elections and Olympics
   Chinese Olympics 2008 cost $44 billion.
 It was a spectacular achievement for any country, particularly one that
was only a generation ago predominantly poor and economically
isolated.
In  May 2009, the world’s largest exercise in democracy took place in
India.
- 714 million eligible voters
- 828,804 polling centers were set up, including one in Gujarat's Gir lion
sanctuary for a single voter
-1055 political parties
- 6.1 million civil and police officials were on duty
- Electronic voting machines were lugged across the length and breadth
of India on trains, trucks, cattle and bullock carts in some of the
remotest areas.
-131 seats reserved for backward castes and tribal groups
The Jury is still out!

As the 21st century unfolds, will the Yogi and
    the Mandarin learn from the positive
            qualities of each other?
Some Class room Questions
   What are the different strengths of India and China’s economies?
   What does “economic liberalization” or opening up an economy
    mean? How did this process occur in India and China?
   What are the drawbacks and challenges facing India’s growth?
   What are the concerns about China’s economic growth?
   Economic growth often pulls people out of poverty and brings
    about an improved standard of living to those who benefit from
    it. Does it necessarily benefit all sections of society? How do the
    stories of India and China throw light on this question?
   What are the human costs involved in economic growth?
The End

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Cis sti2009 mehta-presentation

  • 1. Yogi & the Mandarin: A Tale of Two Asian Revolutions
  • 2. “China and India. Rarely has the economic ascent of two still relatively poor nations been watched with such a mixture of awe, opportunism, and trepidation. [They] possess the weight and dynamism to transform the 21st- century global economy.” August 22, 2005 BusinessWeek
  • 3. The Yogi  Intuitive  Non-linear  Holistic  Introspective
  • 4. The Mandarin  Efficiency  Order  Goal-oriented  Creature of hierarchy
  • 5. Maps China – 4th largest & most populous country in the world with a population of 1.3 billion people. India – 7th largest & second most populous country in the world with a population of 1.17 billion people.
  • 6. Historic Silk Route Ties   The Silk Route is a series of trade and cultural transmission routes that ran through the Asian continent connecting the east and west and extended from southern Europe through Arabia, Egypt, Persia, India till it reaches China. January 2008
  • 7. 50 yrs ago, India and China were among the poorest and economically most isolated countries in the world. How did China and India emerge as economic giants?
  • 8. What are India & China famous for today? Low-pri ce d consu mer goo ds ut er rs & comp Call cente engineers
  • 9. People’s Republic of China • 1949 armed Modern China was established after a violent conflict between Chinese nationals and imperialist powers. The communists won under Mao in 1949 giving birth to the People’s Republic of China. • One party rule. No private property. Collectivized farming. State owned 77.6% of the economy and collectives owned everything else. • Religious and cultural practices were suppressed and ethnic minorities were marginalized. • 40 million people starved to death between 1959 and 1962. Mao Zedong • 1966 Mao introduced the “Cultural Revolution” that involved purging political rivals. 10 million people were killed.
  • 10. China’s entry in today’s Global Economy • After Mao’s death Deng Xiaoping took over as China’s leader. • Liberalized Chinese economy in 1979. • Started with agricultural and economic reforms, set up Special Economic Zones.
  • 11. Infrastructure • China’s most visible infrastructure project to date is building new roads and highways. • In 1989 China had 168 miles of expressways by 2004 it built 21,500miles. By 2020 it plans to have 55,000 miles, which is the total length of the entire American highway system. • To fulfill its growing economy China has built new coal mines for electricity use, increased natural oil and gas consumption and built a modern power grid.
  • 12. China – Economic Fact Sheet GDP – real growth rate: 9.8% (2008) country comparison to the world: 13% (2007) 11.6% (2006) GDP-Per capita (PPP-Purchasing power parity): $6,000 (2008)country comparison to the world: $5,500 (2007) $4,900 (2006) note: data are in 2008 US dollars GDP – composition by sector: agriculture: 10.6% industry: 49.2% services: 40.2% (2008)
  • 14. China’s One-Child Policy 1980s govt. poster advertizing the One-Child Policy To accelerate economic growth China decided to curb its population through the implementation of the One-Child Policy in 1979.
  • 15. Strict Implementation  Urban families can have only one child whereas rural families can have more than one child, if the first one is a girl.  Under this policy, the government has conducted 10 million forced abortions and 10 million sterilizations  40 million births have been prevented.  30,000 workers in the Family Planning department implement these policies nationwide.
  • 16. Indian Independence - 1947  India gained independence from British rule in 1947 under the leadership of M. K. Gandhi. Non-violence and peaceful civil disobedience became hallmarks of India’s freedom struggle.  India’s “Cultural Revolution”: - The freedom struggle involved an agenda for emancipation of women and lower castes through democratic empowerment. India’s diverse ethnic and religious population participated in and flourished during the freedom struggle.
  • 17. Republic of India  India defines itself as a sovereign, socialist, secular, democratic republic that was officially constituted on Jan 26, 1950.  India’s constitution guaranteed fundamental rights and rule of law. Multiparty democracy with a parliamentary form of government. The Prime Minister is the elected head of the government.  Special laws for the protection of ethnic, linguistic and religious minorities were included in the constitution.
  • 18. Mixed-Economy  Adopted a socialist-inspired, centrally planned economic model between 1947 to 1991 under which India’s economy grew at about 3.5% (called the Hindu rate of growth).  Land reforms were carried out to redistribute land more equitably.  This economic era came to be known as the “License Raj” due to the elaborate licenses and regulations that were required to set up and run business in India. Corruption and red tape flourished under this system.  All these policies and five year economic plans were carried out within the framework of a functioning democracy with routine elections every 5 yrs continuously from 1952 to the present.
  • 19. Economic Liberalization in India  In 1991 India adopted economic reforms.  Current PM and economist Manmohan Singh is the architect of India’s economic reforms.  These economic liberalization policies reduced government regulation of and investment in the Manmohan Singh economy, encouraged private business and invited foreign investment. Quotas and licenses were dismantled.
  • 20. India – Economic Fact Sheet GDP- real growth rate: 6.6% (2008) 9% (2007) 9.6% (2006) GDP – per capita (PPP – Purchasing power parity) $2,800 (2008) $2,700 (2007) $2,500 (2006) note: data are in 2008 US dollars GDP – Composition by sector: agriculture: 17.2% industry: 29.1% services: 53.7% (2008)
  • 21. Comparing India and China’s Growth Stories Indicators India China Political System Multi-party One-party Democracy authoritarian rule Speed of Growth Economic reforms Economic reforms started in 1991. started in 1978. Average 6% growth Average 9.5% growth rate in past two rate in past two decades. decades. Areas of Rising power in Dominant in mass Specialization software, design, manufacturing, services, and electronics and heavy precision industry. industrial plants
  • 22. Comparing India and China’s Growth Stories Indicators India China Gini index 47.0 (up 10 points (standard measure 36.8 from 15 yrs ago) of inequality) Foreign Direct 6.8% (up from 0.3% 17.8% Investment in 2004) Future Areas of R&D, bio- IT business, services growth technology, high- and continued value IT enabled manufacturing services (legal, medical, engineering architecture), manufacturing, agro- based industry
  • 23. Comparison…  India lags behind china in infrastructure.  China has a weak banking and legal system.  India has the advantage of the English language which has made it easier to participate in the global economy.  What holds India back are bureaucratic red tape, corruption and its inability to build infrastructure fast enough.  According to Peter Drucker, India has managed rural to urban transition in a relatively smooth and peaceful manner, which China is still struggling to do.
  • 24. The of Costs Growth – Human rights  500 million Chinese people have been lifted out of poverty in a generation….but this has come with a cost. Suppression of Dissent: In 1989, students protesting against Communist rule in Tiananmen Square were killed by the Chinese military.  No Freedom of Expression: Internet and media is state controlled.  No Freedom of Religion: Minorities are marginalized – Uighar and Hui Muslims, Tibetans and Falun gong.
  • 25. India’s Experiment with the “Mandarin Model”  In Nandigram village, West Bengal, against the ruling communist government’s planned to seize 10,000 acres of land from farmers for a chemical plant. The farmers protested.  4,000 heavily armed police tried to stamp out protests and shot dead at least 14 villagers and wounded 70 more. The Communist party cadres also participated.  The Indian media and civil society protested.  The communists were defeated in subsequent local and national elections in West Bengal.
  • 26. Urban-Rural Divide- China • Extreme income disparity in rural and urban china. The coastal and urban locations have benefited disproportionately from the economic policies. • There has also been an increase in inequality of education and access to health services. Poor households have not been able to afford the high private cost of basic education and healthcare. • Tens of millions of farmers have become landless in China as developers and government officials seize farm land without compensation to farmers. • There were 87,000 local protests in 2005
  • 27. Urban-Rural Divide - India  27.5% of India’s population was living below the poverty line in 2004–2005, down from 51.3% in 1977–1978, and 36% in 1993-1994.  75% of the poor are in rural areas, most of them are daily wagers, self-employed householders and landless laborers.
  • 28. Rule of Law  The authoritarian control of the Communist Party over all spheres of Chinese society has meant weak rule of law.  Poor people have little chance of getting their grievances redressed if they have a dispute with the Chinese state or powerful businesses. E.g. Sprucing up of Beijing for the 2008 Olympics  Corruption exists in India as well and the judiciary is overworked but India has a strong rule of law.
  • 29. Democracy & Economic Growthdemocracy?  Does economic prosperity lead to  No evidence to suggest that prosperity leads to democracy or vice versa.  However, democracy may slow down economic growth but it provides essential checks on excessive power.  Nobel Laureate economist Amartya Sen’s theory of famine and Democracy: "No famine has ever taken place in the history of the world in a functioning democracy.” (Freedom as Development)
  • 30. Elections and Olympics  Chinese Olympics 2008 cost $44 billion.  It was a spectacular achievement for any country, particularly one that was only a generation ago predominantly poor and economically isolated. In May 2009, the world’s largest exercise in democracy took place in India. - 714 million eligible voters - 828,804 polling centers were set up, including one in Gujarat's Gir lion sanctuary for a single voter -1055 political parties - 6.1 million civil and police officials were on duty - Electronic voting machines were lugged across the length and breadth of India on trains, trucks, cattle and bullock carts in some of the remotest areas. -131 seats reserved for backward castes and tribal groups
  • 31. The Jury is still out! As the 21st century unfolds, will the Yogi and the Mandarin learn from the positive qualities of each other?
  • 32. Some Class room Questions  What are the different strengths of India and China’s economies?  What does “economic liberalization” or opening up an economy mean? How did this process occur in India and China?  What are the drawbacks and challenges facing India’s growth?  What are the concerns about China’s economic growth?  Economic growth often pulls people out of poverty and brings about an improved standard of living to those who benefit from it. Does it necessarily benefit all sections of society? How do the stories of India and China throw light on this question?  What are the human costs involved in economic growth?