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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                   21st May 2012


              Nifty Analysis                       Nifty
Maximum                                            Nifty saw a narrowing of discount by 16 points with open
               5200         5100        5000
Call OI                                            interest going down by 3% indicating short covering. The
Maximum                                            equilibrium remained at 4900 with India VIX marginally
               4700         4800        4900
Put OI
                                                   down as traders sold puts on expectations of range-
Writing           4700, 4800, 5000 PE              bound trading ahead.
Buying            4800, 5000, 5100 CE

Unwinding
                  4900, 5200, 5300 CE              Bank Nifty
                 4900, 5100 to 5400 PE             The Bank Nifty discount narrowed with open interest
Equilibrium        4900 (unchanged)                falling on account of short covering. Traders sold puts on
Futures
               Discount 2vs Discount 18            expectation of range-bound trading till the settlement on
Discount                                           31st May.
Futures OI     Down 3%- Short Covering
India VIX        23.55 down by 0.17%               USD/INR
                                                   The futures went into a discount of 0.33 compared a
            Bank Nifty Analysis                    premium of 0.22 ( wrt RBI reference rate)and open
Maximum                                            interest increased by 1% due to short buildup. The fall in
               9500         9400        9000
Call OI                                            ATM IV for the 2nd day indicates range-bound trading
Maximum
               9000         9500        8500
                                                   ahead.
Put OI
Writing       8700, 8900, 9100, 9200 PE            STOCK FUTURES
Buying            9000, 9200 CE
            9500, 9600,9700,10000 CE               Long Buildup:
Unwinding
                  9600, 9800 PE                    Bata, Dena, GE Ship, Kotak , KTK Bank, NMDC, Sesa
Equilibrium   9200vs 9100 ( Up 100)                Goa
Futures
            Discount 53vs Discount 68
Discount                                           Long Unwinding:
Futures OI Down 1% (Short Covering)                APIL, Divis, GAIL, Grasim, GMDC, India Info, NTPC,
                                                   Praj, Syndicate, Sun TV, Suzlon, Vijaya, VIP
            USD/INR Analysis
                 1            2           3
Maximum                                            Short Buildup :BEL, BEML, BHEL, India Cement, Jain,
                 55          54.5         54       Maruti, NCC, REC, Renuka.
Call OI
Maximum
                 54          54.5         55
Put OI
Equilibrium       54.25 (unchanged)                Short Unwinding : Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR
Futures        Discount 0.33vs Premium
Discount                 0.22
Futures OI     Up by 1%(Short buildup)
ATM IV          11 vs 11.7 ( down by 0.7)



                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                  th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
SOURCE – NSE




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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                            th
               The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322

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Keynote derivatives daily report for 210512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 21st May 2012 Nifty Analysis Nifty Maximum Nifty saw a narrowing of discount by 16 points with open 5200 5100 5000 Call OI interest going down by 3% indicating short covering. The Maximum equilibrium remained at 4900 with India VIX marginally 4700 4800 4900 Put OI down as traders sold puts on expectations of range- Writing 4700, 4800, 5000 PE bound trading ahead. Buying 4800, 5000, 5100 CE Unwinding 4900, 5200, 5300 CE Bank Nifty 4900, 5100 to 5400 PE The Bank Nifty discount narrowed with open interest Equilibrium 4900 (unchanged) falling on account of short covering. Traders sold puts on Futures Discount 2vs Discount 18 expectation of range-bound trading till the settlement on Discount 31st May. Futures OI Down 3%- Short Covering India VIX 23.55 down by 0.17% USD/INR The futures went into a discount of 0.33 compared a Bank Nifty Analysis premium of 0.22 ( wrt RBI reference rate)and open Maximum interest increased by 1% due to short buildup. The fall in 9500 9400 9000 Call OI ATM IV for the 2nd day indicates range-bound trading Maximum 9000 9500 8500 ahead. Put OI Writing 8700, 8900, 9100, 9200 PE STOCK FUTURES Buying 9000, 9200 CE 9500, 9600,9700,10000 CE Long Buildup: Unwinding 9600, 9800 PE Bata, Dena, GE Ship, Kotak , KTK Bank, NMDC, Sesa Equilibrium 9200vs 9100 ( Up 100) Goa Futures Discount 53vs Discount 68 Discount Long Unwinding: Futures OI Down 1% (Short Covering) APIL, Divis, GAIL, Grasim, GMDC, India Info, NTPC, Praj, Syndicate, Sun TV, Suzlon, Vijaya, VIP USD/INR Analysis 1 2 3 Maximum Short Buildup :BEL, BEML, BHEL, India Cement, Jain, 55 54.5 54 Maruti, NCC, REC, Renuka. Call OI Maximum 54 54.5 55 Put OI Equilibrium 54.25 (unchanged) Short Unwinding : Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR Futures Discount 0.33vs Premium Discount 0.22 Futures OI Up by 1%(Short buildup) ATM IV 11 vs 11.7 ( down by 0.7) Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. SOURCE – NSE Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322