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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              17th May 2012
                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28085. It moved
                    Gold           Silver            Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)     (5 Jul-12)       (21 May-12)     higher to touch an intra-day high of 28193. However, it failed to
                                                                   sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of
 Open                 28,085            52,819          5,074      27855. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 27962.
 High                 28,193            53,118          5,120
                                                                   The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
 Low                  27,855            51,201          5,003
                                                                   pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average.
 Close                27,962            51,559          5,048      Moreover, the RSI and Stochastic are placed in the over sold zone,
                                                                   which would lead to short covering and buying support at regular
 Prev. Close          28,126            52,957          5,083
                                                                   intervals. The ADX line and the +DI line are moving sideways but
 % Change             -0.58%            -2.64%         -0.69%      the -DI line is moving higher and is placed at 38.93 level indicating
Source – MCX                                                       sellers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at
                                                                   28084, 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                   27855, 27557 and 26517 levels.

                    16/5/2012      15/5/2012           % Chg.      MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 52819. It
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 53118. However, it
 Gold (gms)          53,502.0       37,497.0           42.68%
                                                                   failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
 Silver (kgs)         3,228.6           2,153.2        49.94%      51201. It ended the day with large losses to close at 51559.
 Crude (bbl)         24,370.2       19,528.1           24.80%
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Source – MCX                                                       averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the
                                                                   Stochastic and RSI are also placed in the over sold zone, which
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                              would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX line and
                                                                   the +DI line are moving sideways but the -DI line is moving higher
                    16/5/2012      15/5/2012           % Chg.
                                                                   and is placed at 45.33 level indicating sellers are gaining strength.
Gold              1,498,197.2    1,053,556.0           42.20%      MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and
                                                                   65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562
Silver            1,689,815.3    1,144,398.3           47.66%      levels.
Crude             1,231,415.0      996,408.0           23.59%
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (21 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5074 level It
Source – MCX                                                       moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5120. However, it failed
                                                                   to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5003.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                          It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5048.
                    17/5/2012      16/5/2012           % Chg.
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Gold (oz)            1,545.40       1,536.60            0.57%      averages, which would lead to selling pressure. But both are also
Silver (oz)             27.21            27.17          0.13%      placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at
                                                                   lower levels. The ADX line and the +DI line are moving sideways.
Crude (bbl)             93.15            92.81          0.37%
                                                                   The -DI line is placed at 39.51 level indicating sellers have an
Dollar Index            81.26            81.37         -0.14%      upper hand. It faces resistance at 5057, 5160, 5264 and 5392,
Source – www.cmegroup.com
                                                                   while the supports are placed at 5000, 4905 and 4722 levels.

                                                                              Intra-day Resistance              Intra-day Support
     Commodities                Close             Pivot Point           R1          R2         R3            S1               S2        S3

CRUDE MAY 12                     5048                   5057          5111        5174       5291          4994         4940          4823

GOLD JUN 12                     27962                  28003         28152       28341      28679         27814        27665         27327

SILVER JUL 12                   51559                  51959         52718       53876      55793         50801        50042         48125


                                                                 Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

     Thursday                    Monday                      Tuesday                    Wednesday                     Thursday
      May 17                     May 21                       May 22                     May 23                        May 24
Jobless Claims           Chicago Fed National         Existing Home Sales         New Home Sales               Jobless Claims
                         Activity Index
Bloomberg Consumer       4-Week Bill                  ICSC-Goldman Store          EIA Petroleum Status         Durable Goods
Comfort Index            Announcement                 Sales                       Report                       Orders
E-Commerce Retail        3-Month Bill Auction         Richmond Fed                MBA Purchase                 Bloomberg Consumer
Sales                                                 Manufacturing Index         Applications                 Comfort Index




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                 The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 170512

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 17th May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28085. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (21 May-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 28193. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of Open 28,085 52,819 5,074 27855. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 27962. High 28,193 53,118 5,120 The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling Low 27,855 51,201 5,003 pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average. Close 27,962 51,559 5,048 Moreover, the RSI and Stochastic are placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering and buying support at regular Prev. Close 28,126 52,957 5,083 intervals. The ADX line and the +DI line are moving sideways but % Change -0.58% -2.64% -0.69% the -DI line is moving higher and is placed at 38.93 level indicating Source – MCX sellers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28084, 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at Volume (In 000's) 27855, 27557 and 26517 levels. 16/5/2012 15/5/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 52819. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 53118. However, it Gold (gms) 53,502.0 37,497.0 42.68% failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of Silver (kgs) 3,228.6 2,153.2 49.94% 51201. It ended the day with large losses to close at 51559. Crude (bbl) 24,370.2 19,528.1 24.80% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic and RSI are also placed in the over sold zone, which Turnover (In Lacs) would lead to short covering at regular intervals. The ADX line and the +DI line are moving sideways but the -DI line is moving higher 16/5/2012 15/5/2012 % Chg. and is placed at 45.33 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. Gold 1,498,197.2 1,053,556.0 42.20% MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 Silver 1,689,815.3 1,144,398.3 47.66% levels. Crude 1,231,415.0 996,408.0 23.59% MCX CRUDE (21 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5074 level It Source – MCX moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5120. However, it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5003. Global Market (Nymex - $) It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5048. 17/5/2012 16/5/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,545.40 1,536.60 0.57% averages, which would lead to selling pressure. But both are also Silver (oz) 27.21 27.17 0.13% placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering at lower levels. The ADX line and the +DI line are moving sideways. Crude (bbl) 93.15 92.81 0.37% The -DI line is placed at 39.51 level indicating sellers have an Dollar Index 81.26 81.37 -0.14% upper hand. It faces resistance at 5057, 5160, 5264 and 5392, Source – www.cmegroup.com while the supports are placed at 5000, 4905 and 4722 levels. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5048 5057 5111 5174 5291 4994 4940 4823 GOLD JUN 12 27962 28003 28152 28341 28679 27814 27665 27327 SILVER JUL 12 51559 51959 52718 53876 55793 50801 50042 48125 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday May 17 May 21 May 22 May 23 May 24 Jobless Claims Chicago Fed National Existing Home Sales New Home Sales Jobless Claims Activity Index Bloomberg Consumer 4-Week Bill ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Durable Goods Comfort Index Announcement Sales Report Orders E-Commerce Retail 3-Month Bill Auction Richmond Fed MBA Purchase Bloomberg Consumer Sales Manufacturing Index Applications Comfort Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com