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Keynote commodity daily report 050612
1. Daily Commodity Report
5th June 2012
MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened lower at 30011. It
Gold Silver Crude
(4 Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 30110. However, it
failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low
Open 30,011 54,407 4,607 of 29883. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 29918.
High 30,110 54,564 4,675
The RSI is above its average, which would lead to buying support.
Low 29,883 53,759 4,522 However, the Stochastic has slipped below its average and is also
Close 29,918 53,839 4,661 placed in the over bought zone along with RSI. These conditions
would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI
Prev. Close 30,099 54,487 4,624
line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
% Change -0.60% -1.19% 0.80% trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29929, 30000 and 30156
while the supports are placed at 29871, 29433, 29212, 28960,
Source – MCX
28084, 27855, 27557 and 26517 levels.
Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened higher at 54407. It
04/06/2012 02/06/2012 % Chg. moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 54564. However, it
failed o sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
Gold (gms) 34,335.0 337.0 10088.43% 53759. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 53839.
Silver (kgs) 1,809.8 71.1 2444.29%
The RSI has slipped below its average, which would lead to selling
Crude (bbl) 26,184.3 1,048.5 2397.31% pressure. However, the Stochastic is still placed above its average
Source – MCX but is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to profit
taking at regular intervals. The ADX line and the –DI line are
Turnover (In Lacs) moving higher and are placed above the 30 level, indicating sellers
have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157,
04/06/2012 02/06/2012 % Chg. 57737, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 51029,
50252 and 48562 levels.
Gold 1,029,565.2 10,061.4 10132.79%
Silver 979,613.2 38,784.0 2425.82% MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened lower at 4607 level. It
moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4522. However, it
Crude 1,202,609.2 48,494.3 2379.90%
managed t o bounce back from lower levels to move higher and
Source – MCX touch an intra-day high of 4675. It ended the day with moderate
gains to close at 4661.
Global Market (Nymex - $)
The RSI is placed in the over sold zone but is still placed below its
05/06/2012 04/06/2012 % Chg.
average. Moreover, the Stochastic is also placed in the over sold
Gold (oz) 1,620.10 1,612.20 0.49% zone but has moved above its average. These conditions would
lead to short covering and buying support. The ADX line and –DI
Silver (oz) 28.32 28.01 1.10%
line are trending up and are placed above the 36 level indicating
Crude (bbl) 84.87 83.98 1.06% sellers have an upper hand. While the +DI line is moving lower. It
Dollar Index 82.41 82.56 -0.18% faces resistance at 4710, 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports
are placed at 4421, 4259 and 3723.
Source – www.cmegroup.com
Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support
Commodities Close Pivot Point
R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
CRUDE JUN 12 4661 4619 4717 4772 4925 4564 4466 4313
GOLD AUG 12 29918 29970 30058 30197 30424 29831 29743 29516
SILVER JUL 12 53839 54054 54349 54859 55664 53544 53249 52444
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2. US Economic Calendar:
Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday
Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07 Jun 08 Jun 11
ISM Non-Mfg Index Productivity and Costs Jobless Claims International Trade 4-Week Bill
Data Announcement
ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status EIA Natural Gas Wholesale Trade 3-Month Bill Auction
Sales Report Report
4-Week Bill Auction MBA Purchase Bloomberg Consumer 6-Month Bill Auction
Applications Comfort Index
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www.keynotecapitals.com
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