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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                                 2nd April 2012

                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28120. It
                       Gold          Silver          Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 May-12)      (19 Apr-12)
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra day high of 28139. However, it
                                                                   failed to sustain higher on back of selling pressure. It touched an
 Open                    28,120        56,831           5,296      intra-day low of 27903 level. It ended the day with modest losses
 High                    28,139        56,832           5,296      to close at 28030.

 Low                     27,903        56,677           5,260
                                                                   The Stochastic is placed below its average. More so the RSI has
 Close                   28,030        56,790           5,274      slipped below its average. These conditions would lead to selling
 Prev. Close             28,133        56,909           5,301
                                                                   pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved in the over sold
                                                                   territory and is likely to lead to short covering at lower levels. The
 % Change                -0.37%        -0.21%          -0.51%      ADX line, -DI line and the +DI line are moving sideways, indicating
Source – MCX                                                       a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28084,
                                                                   28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557,
                       Volume (In 000's)                           26517, 26347 and 25500 levels.

                       31/3/2012    30/3/2012          % Chg.      MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 56831. It
 Gold (gms)              4,052.0      14,817.0        -72.65%      moved higher to touch an intra day high of 56832. However, it
                                                                   failed to sustain higher and corrected. It touched an intra-day low
 Silver (kgs)               61.9       1,232.9        -94.98%      of 56677 level. It ended the day with modest losses to close at
 Crude (bbl)               685.7      11,152.4        -93.85%      56790.
Source – MCX
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                   averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI line, +DI
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                   line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
                       31/3/2012    30/3/2012          % Chg.      trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261
                                                                   while the supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels.
Gold                   113,739.0    417,132.3         -72.73%

Silver                  35,166.5    702,329.8         -94.99%      MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5296 level.
                                                                   Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower
Crude                   36,130.8    589,810.3         -93.87%
                                                                   to touch an intra day low of 5260. It ended the day with moderate
Source – MCX                                                       losses to close at 5274.

                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below its average. These
                                                                   conditions would lead to profit taking at and selling pressure.
                        2/4/2012    31/3/2012          % Chg.
                                                                   However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and would
Gold (oz)               1,668.60      1,669.30         -0.04%      lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The +DI line, –DI line
                                                                   and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
Silver (oz)                32.38           32.48       -0.32%
                                                                   trend. It faces resistance at 5305, 5498, 5550 and 5635 while the
Crude (bbl)              103.15        103.02           0.13%      supports are placed at 5232, 5182 and 5150 levels.
Dollar Index               79.03           79.00        0.03%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close           Pivot Point            R1              R2        R3            S1            S2            S3

CRUDE APR 12                        5274                 5277          5293          5313        5349          5257          5241            5205

GOLD APR 12                        28030                28024         28145         28260       28496         27909         27788           27552

SILVER MAY 12                      56790                56766         56856         56921       57076         56701         56611           56456


                                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
      Apr. 02                       Apr. 03                     Apr. 04                        Apr. 05                       Apr. 06
ISM Mfg Index              FOMC Minutes                  ADP Employment               Jobless Claims                Employment Situation
                           Announcement                  Report                                                     Data
Construction Spending      Factory Orders                ISM Non-Mfg Index            Money Supply Data             Consumer Credit

4-Week Bill                Motor Vehicle Sales           EIA Petroleum Status         EIA Natural Gas Report        Monster Employment
Announcement                                             Report                                                     Index




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 020412

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 2nd April 2012 MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28120. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 May-12) (19 Apr-12) moved higher to touch an intra day high of 28139. However, it failed to sustain higher on back of selling pressure. It touched an Open 28,120 56,831 5,296 intra-day low of 27903 level. It ended the day with modest losses High 28,139 56,832 5,296 to close at 28030. Low 27,903 56,677 5,260 The Stochastic is placed below its average. More so the RSI has Close 28,030 56,790 5,274 slipped below its average. These conditions would lead to selling Prev. Close 28,133 56,909 5,301 pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved in the over sold territory and is likely to lead to short covering at lower levels. The % Change -0.37% -0.21% -0.51% ADX line, -DI line and the +DI line are moving sideways, indicating Source – MCX a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28084, 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, Volume (In 000's) 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels. 31/3/2012 30/3/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 56831. It Gold (gms) 4,052.0 14,817.0 -72.65% moved higher to touch an intra day high of 56832. However, it failed to sustain higher and corrected. It touched an intra-day low Silver (kgs) 61.9 1,232.9 -94.98% of 56677 level. It ended the day with modest losses to close at Crude (bbl) 685.7 11,152.4 -93.85% 56790. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI line, +DI Turnover (In Lacs) line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound 31/3/2012 30/3/2012 % Chg. trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. Gold 113,739.0 417,132.3 -72.73% Silver 35,166.5 702,329.8 -94.99% MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5296 level. Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower Crude 36,130.8 589,810.3 -93.87% to touch an intra day low of 5260. It ended the day with moderate Source – MCX losses to close at 5274. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below its average. These conditions would lead to profit taking at and selling pressure. 2/4/2012 31/3/2012 % Chg. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and would Gold (oz) 1,668.60 1,669.30 -0.04% lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The +DI line, –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Silver (oz) 32.38 32.48 -0.32% trend. It faces resistance at 5305, 5498, 5550 and 5635 while the Crude (bbl) 103.15 103.02 0.13% supports are placed at 5232, 5182 and 5150 levels. Dollar Index 79.03 79.00 0.03% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE APR 12 5274 5277 5293 5313 5349 5257 5241 5205 GOLD APR 12 28030 28024 28145 28260 28496 27909 27788 27552 SILVER MAY 12 56790 56766 56856 56921 57076 56701 56611 56456 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Apr. 02 Apr. 03 Apr. 04 Apr. 05 Apr. 06 ISM Mfg Index FOMC Minutes ADP Employment Jobless Claims Employment Situation Announcement Report Data Construction Spending Factory Orders ISM Non-Mfg Index Money Supply Data Consumer Credit 4-Week Bill Motor Vehicle Sales EIA Petroleum Status EIA Natural Gas Report Monster Employment Announcement Report Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com