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GALI KOVAL
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVE ANALYSIS
             Nadeya Hassan
      Katarzyna Krzeptowski Sabala
             Luoheng Huang

       Faculty Advisor: Joseph Vu
Table of Contents
• Executive Summary           3    • Valuation Ranges          27

• Business Description        5    • Strategic Buyers          29


• Gali Koval Overview         7    • Brand Name, Licensing     37
                                    & Trademark
                                           Industry Analysis
• Retail & Apparel            9
          Industry Analysis
                                   • Trademark Dispute         41
• Valuation                   12
                                   • Comprehensive             47
  • Scenario #1                     Recommendation
   19
    •   Synergy
                                   • Questions                 49

  • Scenario #2               23
    •   Leverage Buyout            • Appendix                  50
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Executive Summary
• Motivation for Reemergence:
  • July 2012, principal on the company‟s debt came due
     • Defaulted on principle payments and unable to refinance
  • Currently in Chapter 11 receivership
     • Company equity holders proposed a plan for reemergence
        • Rejected by bankruptcy court
  • Debt holders have taken control of the company
     • Set to propose a plan for exit since they have no interest in continuing business
• Alternatives to Maximize Value of Business:
  • 1. Gali Koval sold to larger industry peers such as PVH Corporation or
    LVMH Group
     • Conservative sale range of $346MM to $434MM, or an optimistic range of
      $447MM to $613MM with synergies
  • 2. Gali Koval sold to a private equity buyer to expand new sales channels
     • Realizable transaction consideration between $655MM to $841MM
BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
Business Description
• Gali Koval Corporation engages in sales of men‟s clothing and luxury
 products
  • Headquarted in New York, NY
  • Operates 99 stores and distributes to upscale department stores
  • Has direct sales channels in all major U.S markets, small international presence and
    meaningful online sales
     • 10 stores in Europe and Asia
  • Sourced from independent manufacturers
     • Most manufacturing takes place outside the U.S
  • Workforce approximately 3,500 employees
  • Experience senior management team


• Gali Koval is known for high quality product and commands a premium price
  • All products are branded with “Gali Koval” trademark
  • Brand name maintained luxury image, worn by celebrities and high profile
    executives
  • Gali Koval does not currently license its brands to third parties
GALI KOVAL OVERVIEW
Gali Koval Overview
• 2007: Gali Koval acquired by private equity firm for $1.1 billion
   • Acquisition funded with 65% debt and 35% equity
          • Believed there was an opportunity to expand international operations and sales
          • Attempted to expand internationally in 2008 and 2009, but has since closed some of these new outlets
• 2009: Gali Koval lost a large department store customer
   • Due to disagreements about pricing and marketing strategy


• Since global recession in 2008-2009, luxury brands have seen performance
 suffer
    Revenue:
           •   Plummeted sharply during                                       Revenue (‘000s) & Margin
               financial crisis                                               Trends

           •   Has recently stabilized, but results
               continue to be below 2007 levels
    EBITDA:
           •   Margin reduction in recent years is
               mainly a result of significant lost
               revenues
           •   Company‟s cost cutting efforts
               have not kept pace with declines
               in revenue
RETAIL & APPAREL
       Industry Background
Industry History
                                                                     2010                               2011

               • Consumer Spending on Apparel                                         • Consumer Spending on Apparel
                        • $191.3 billion                                                • Increase of 3.8% from 2010: $198.7 billion

               • Disposable Personal Income                                           • Disposable Personal Income
                        • Increased 3.6% (0.7% in 2009)                                 • Increased to 3.8% from 2010

               • Imported Apparel                                                     • Imported Apparel
                        • $71.40 billion                                                • Increase of 8.8% from 2010: $77.66 billion

               • Exports of U.S-Made Clothing                                         • Exports of US-Made Clothing
                        • $4.51 billion                                                 • Increase of 13.7% from 2010: $5.13 billion

               • US Retail Sales                                                      • US Retail Sales
                        • $219.23 billion                                               • Increase of 5.9% from 2010: $226.52

               • Men‟s Apparel Retail Sales                                           • Men‟s Apparel Retail Sales
                        • Accounted for 28% of US Retail Sales                          • Accounted for 28% of US Retail Sales




Source: Standard & Poor‟s Industry Surveys-Apparel & Footwear: Retailers and Brands
Industry Background Forecasts
               • Overview-Post Financial Crisis
                        • Expected unemployment rate of 8.2% with continued improvement through 2015, project a rate of 7.0%
                        • Change in spending and savings patterns
                                  •     More responsible/constrained consumer will force the sector to adjust lower sustainable levels of demand
                                           •     Will lead investors to lower their long-term secular growth expectation
                                  •     Recession sharpened the consumer‟s value focused and increased the retailer consideration set by 4%*
                        •      GDP grew 1.3% in second quarter of 2012, projected 2.2% growth for end of 2012


               • Luxury Goods Market
                        • Bain & Co. estimated worldwide sales growth for luxury goods will be between 6%-7%
                        • Highest growth would come from Asia (excluding Japan) at 16.5%, Americas (5%-7%) and Europe (3.75%)
                        • Within emerging markets, sales forecasted to increases 18%-22% in China, 14% in Latin America, and 8.75% in
                          the Middle East
                                                                                      Consumer Spending (2011)
                                                                                                                                 Apparel

                                                                                                        5% 3%                    Food
                                                                                                                 8%
                                                                                                                                 Other durables
                                                                                                                       7%        Cars
                                                                                             20%
                                                                                                                       4%        Energy
                                                                                                                                 Other services
                                                                                                                            6%
                                                                                                                                 Recreation and travel services

                                                                                            15%                                  Restaurants
                                                                                                                                 Housing
                                                                                                                    22%
                                                                                                   5%    5%                      Health Care
                                                                                                                                 Other Nondurables
Source: Standard & Poor‟s Industry Surveys-Apparel & Footwear: Retailers and Brands
VALUATION
Trading Comparables
• Comparable companies consist of publicly traded companies in the Apparel
 Industry
  • They have similar products, business models, and growth to Gali Koval
     • Tend to be slightly larger as smaller companies have greater difficulty adhering to the high compliance costs
       of being publicly traded

• EV/EBITDA multiples imply a valuation range of $202MM to $430MM
  • Median multiple of 5.9x leads an implied valuation of $282MM
Transaction Comparables
• Comparables consist of six acquisitions within the Apparel Industry
  • Includes two strategic acquisitions and four leverage buyouts
  • All transactions in cash
     • Gali Koval should pursue similar deal structure to receive immediate payment



• EV/EBITDA multiple implies a valuation range of $330MM to $590MM
  • Median multiple of 8.0x results in an implied valuation of $385MM
Financial Projections
• 2013-2016 Assumptions:
   • Management plan used as given
   • Net Working Capital (NWC) in 2012: $87.917M
     • NWC= Current Asset – Current Liabilities + Current Portion of Debt
        • Company was taken over by debt holders and no current debt is accounted
     • Projections of NWC for 2013-2016: 26.6%
        • Will be held constant with 2012 percentage of revenue
• 2017 Assumptions:
   • Revenue growth percentage from 2016 will be held constant
     • Company Owned Stores: 4.8%
     • Department Stores: 2.5%
     • Online Stores: 10%
  • Expenses (as a percentage of revenue) held constant
     • COGS: 40%
     • SG&A: 39.5%
  • Depreciation held constant at 2.6% of revenue
  • Capital Expenditures held constant at 2.5% of revenue
  • NWC held constant at historical percentage of 26.6% of revenue
• Post 2017 Assumptions:
   • Unlevered Free Cash Flow to firm will grow 2.0% in perpetuity
Financial Projections
WACC Calculations
               • Weighted Average Cost of Capital calculation based on several underlying assumptions
                      from publicly available sources and industry research

                         • Cost of Debt: 8.99%
                            • Implied CCC credit rating based on Standard & Poor‟s Indicative Ratios for measuring financial risk
                            • Yield on 20 yr. Corporate Bond at CCC rating is 8.99%


                         • Cost of Equity (as determined by CAPM): 12.09%
                            • Equity Risk Premium: 8.23%1
                            • Risk Free Rate: 2.02%2
                            • Beta: 1.22
                                            • Un-levered Beta of Apparel Industry: 1.053
                                            • Tax Rate: 35.0%
                                            • Book Value of Debt to Market Capitalization Ratio : 26.20%3


                         • Unique Risk Premium of 3.0% is added due to the situation that Gali Koval is in bankruptcy



               • Calculated WACC Value: 13.79%


Sources: 1. Bloomberg Terminal indicates Market Return on US Equity 10.25%, effective January 2013
         2. Using 20 yr. treasury yield as proxy, quoted from US Department of Treasury, January 2013
         3. Assumed BV of Debt = MV of Debt; thus, BV of Debt to MV of Equity is a reasonable proxy for MV of Debt to MV of Equity
Discounted Cash Flow
• Discounted Cash Flows Analysis projected financial statements
  • Calculated WACC of 13.79%, and assumed Terminal Growth Rate of 2.0%
• Results in intrinsic value of $315MM
  • Implied valuation range of $282MM to $358MM
SCENARIO #1
         Synergy
DCF with Synergies
               • If Gali Koval Corporation is purchased by a strategic buyer, it could
                     anticipate a premium over the intrinsic valuation due to revenue and
                     cost synergies from scalability

               • Synergy Assumptions:
                  • Revenue
                                 • $14MM revenue synergies in 2013, increases $2MM/yr. until reaching $20MM in
                                   2016, revenue synergies in 2017 held constant as 2016
                                 • $7.5MM/yr. of lost revenue due to store closings
                        • Gross Margin
                           • Will remain the same level as percentage of revenue as outlined in financial statement
                             projections
                           • Gross Margin is projected at 60% of revenue and the industry average of about 51%1
                              • Synergies won‟t have any improvement in Gross Margin
                        • SG&A cost savings
                           • $8MM/yr. cost savings due to store closings
                           • $25MM one time cost reduction due to distribution center rationalization in 2013
                           • $3MM one time expense due to store closings in 2013
                           • $10MM one time saving through management and back office reductions in 2013
                        • Depreciation, Capital Expenditures, and Net Working Capital will remain at
                                 stated percentage of revenue as outlined in financial statement projections
Sources: 1. Bloomberg Terminal
DCF with Synergies
• Discounted Cash Flow Analysis from projected realizable
 synergies, calculated WACC of 13.79%, and terminal growth rate of
 2.0%

• Results in intrinsic valuation with synergies of $384MM, assuming all
 synergies are realized
  • Implied valuation with synergies from $346MM to $434MM


• It‟s possible that after being acquired by a healthy strategic
 buyer, Gali Koval‟s WACC will return back to the industry average and
 no unique risk premium related to bankruptcy will need to be added
  • In this case, WACC=10.79%
  • Results an optimistic intrinsic value with synergies range of $447MM -
    $613MM
DCF with Synergies
SCENARIO #2
       Leverage Buy-Out
Leverage Buyout
• A private equity buyer will pursue a different strategy to expand revenue
 after acquiring Gali Koval
  • A new line of products at a lower price point will be sold through mainstream
    department stores and retail outlets

• Financial Projections:
  • Revenue
     • $7.5MM/yr. reduction at company owned stores due to store closings
     • Strategy of selling in new channels will result in a revenue of $103.2MM and grow at a rate of 20%
       until reaching $225MM in 2016
         • Growth rate in 2017 will drop to 5% after a rapid growth period
     • 12.5% of 2012 level revenue from upscale department stores will be lost every year beginning in
        2012 until reaching half of 2012 level in 2016
         • 2017 will be held constant as 2016
  • Gross Margin
     • Remain flat at a percentage of 58.3% (2012 level) of revenue
  • SG&A
     • $3MM one time expense due to store closings in 2013
     • SG&A (excluding savings from store closings) as a percentage of revenue will decrease 150bps
       each year until 2016
         • 2017 will hold at a constant rate as 2016
     • $8MM/yr. cost savings due to store closings
  • Depreciation, Capital Expenditures, and Net Working Capital will remain at stated
    percentage of revenue as outline in financial statement projections
Leverage Buyout
               • Financial Structure Assumptions:
                        • Purchase price of $700MM
                        • Require IRR of 20.0%
                        • Senior Debt of 4.0x 2012A EBITDA, Subordinated Debt of 7.0x 2012 A EBITDA
                                 • Cost of Senior Debt is 2.8% (3-month LIBOR+250bps)1
                                 • Cost of Subordinated Debt is 5.1% (3-month LIBOR+480bps)1
                        • No debt exists at the time of deal since company was taken over
                        • Exit multiple of 7.0x, 1.0x lower than the median of comparable transactions due to
                                 company‟s bankruptcy situation




Sources: 1. Bloomberg Terminal
Leverage Buyout
• Return Analysis
  • Valuation range of $655MM to $841MM
  • Assuming financial sponsor must ensure 20.0% IRR, it would be limited to paying $733MM

• Attractiveness of Leverage Buyout
  • Stable cash flows allow for consistent debt repayment and potential for future profitable growth
  • The opportunity to expand through new channels will substantially increase Gali Koval‟s revenue
  • Acquirer will offer strong financial support for new market strategy
VALUATION RANGES
Valuation Ranges
• Ranges determined through sensitivity or multiples analysis:


  • Discounted Cash Flow-               $282MM to $358MM
  • Leverage Buyout-                    $655MM to $841MM
  • DCF + Synergies-                    $346MM to $434MM
  • Transaction Comparable -            $330MM to $590MM
  • Trading Comparable-                 $202MM to $430MM


• Discounted Cash Flow from a leverage buyout exceeds ranges of other
 valuations
  • Illustrates a premium the bondholders would receive if sold to private equity firm
STRATEGIC BUYERS
     LVMH Group & PVH Corp.
LVMH Overview
               • Founded in 1854 and based in Paris, France
                                 • Sector: Services
                                 • Industry: Jewelry Stores
               • Manufactures luxury products
                        • Wines and Spirits, Fashion and Leather Goods, Perfumes and Cosmetics, Watches
                              and Jewelry, and Selective Retailing business groups
                                 • Several Fashion & Leather brands: Louis Vuitton, Fendi, Marc Jacobs, Givenchy and Pucci


               •        Operates 3,040 stores worldwide
                        •        Operates retail stores under the brand names of DFS, Miami
                                 Cruiseline, Sephora, and Le Bon Marché Rive Gauche for travelers
                                                 LVMH Revenue ($Millions)                 2011 Revenue by
                            25                                         21.5
                                                                                         Geographic Region
                            20                                  18.1                                     10%
                                                         15.6
                            15            13.2    13.1                                                   France
                                                                                                   12%
                                                                                          20%            Other Markets
                            10                                                Revenue                    Asia
                             5                                                          22%              Japan
                             0                                                                     28%
                                                                                                         United States
                                                                                              8%
                                          2008    2009   2010   2011   2012
Sources: www.lvmh.com/invesot-relations
LVMH Overview
                                                       Acquisitions

               • Les Tanneries Roux- France                                            60             Forecasted Growth from Operations
                                                                                                                                                               54.4
                  • Acquired Les Tanneries in May 2012                                                                                             49.9
                                                                                       50
                  • Supplies leather goods                                                                                             46.2
                                                                                                                        42.8
                  • Organic revenue growth of LVMH                                                         39.5




                                                                      $ Millions USD
                                                                                       40   36.7
                    increased by 10% in the first half of
                    2012 after acquisition                                             30                                                                        26.7


               • Bulgari                                                               20

                                                                                                                                         10.3        11.4
                  • Acquired Bulgari in 2011 for $5.2                                  10      7.7            8.4          9.3
                                                                                                                                             6.2         7.3          7.9
                                                                                                     4.5            5            5.6
                    billion
                  • Proposed an action to double the                                    0
                    size of its watches and jewelry unit                                      2012          2013e        2014e          2015e       2016e       2017e
                     • Profit from recurring operations                                            Sales          Operating Profit            Net Income
                         increased by 87% as a result of
                         Bulgari‟s performance


Sources: Yahoo! Finance (Exchange rate of 1.3058 on 15 March 2013)
         Thomas Reuters (Forecasted Growth form Operations)
LVMH Overview
               • Strategic Fit:
                 • Based on Gali Koval‟s initial attempt to expand internationally, LVMH
                   provides major markets geographically
                                 • Due to its brand development strategy and more than 3,000 stores
                                          worldwide
                        • Supports the growth of the brands by respecting their identity and their
                              creative positioning
                                 • Strength of star brands with solid financial structure and geographical
                                          balance of revenue


               • Concerns/Risk:
                 • Sole purpose is not strictly in the retail/apparel industry
                 • Main focus on prestige/luxury brands with considerable growth
                 • Headquartered in France and most business is conducted overseas
                                 • Continuous Europe‟s sovereign debt crisis and Eurozone crisis can affect
                                          performance in European markets

Source: www.lvmh.com/investor-relations
PVH Overview
              • Founded in 1881 and is based in New York, New York
                         • Sector: Consumer Goods
                         • Industry: Textile: Apparel Clothing
                         • Ticker Symbol: PVH

              • Leases and operates approx. 1,000 retail locations
              • Markets products through wholesale to national and regional department, mid-tier
                department, mass market, and specialty and independent stores; and retail stores, as
                well as through e-commerce Website
              • Operates as an apparel company in the United States, Canada, Europe, and
                internationally
              • Brand portfolio includes:
                         • Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, IZOD, Heritage
                                        PVH Revenue ($ billions)                      2011 Revenue by
                                    6                                                Geographic Region
                                  5.5
                                    5                         4.64
                                  4.5                                                                    Europe
                                    4
                                  3.5                                PVH Revenue      21%    27%
                                    3    2.43   2.49   2.40                                              North
                                  2.5                                (in billions)
                                    2                                                                    America
                                  1.5                                                 52%
                                    1                                                                    Other
                                         2008   2009   2010   2011
Source: Yahoo! Finance
PVH Overview
                                          Acquisitions
              • Calvin Klein                                                                       2011 Revenues: $5.9B
                          •   Acquired Calvin Klein in 2003 for approximately $3.0
                              Billion from Warnaco Group                               Tommy Hilfiger    Calvin Klein        Heritage Brands
                          •   Continued expansion of men's sportswear business
                          •   Growth after the acquisition rose at a 13% compound
                              annual growth rate
                          •   Generated approximately $2.8 billion in global retail
                              stores after the buyout                                                    $1,775B
                                                                                                                   $3,051B

              • Tommy Hilfiger                                                                           $1,065B
                          •   Acquired Tommy Hilfiger in 2010 for approximately
                              $3.0 Billion from Warnaco Group
                          •   Focused expansion in Europe and Japan
                          •   Growth after acquisition rose at a 13% compound
                              annual growth rate                                                Planned Annual Top Line Growth
                          •   Growth opportunities remain to drive Tommy Hilfiger                         ($ billions)
                              from $4.6 billion in worldwide retail revenues in 2010                    2011A 2014E
                              to over $6.5 billion
                                                                                                   $10
                                                                                            $7.6                   $7.3
              • Heritage Brands                                                                             $5.6
                          • Acquired in 2010                                                                                   $3.4 $3.7
                          • 10% revenue increase after acquisition in 2010
                          • Incurred $3.3 billion in worldwide retail revenue
                            in 2010                                                        Calvin Klein Tommy Hilfiger          Heritage
                                                                                                                                Brands
                          • Forecasted growth of 4.0 billion

Sources: Yahoo! Finance
        PVH.com
PVH Overview
               • Strategic Fit:

                      • Continued opportunities for PVH through license and brand extensions
                        and international expansion, the next leg growth for firm
                      • Estimated EV/EBITDA of 8.2x
                      • Believe sales growth in the low- to mid single digit range
                      • Value in management‟s long-term strategy:
                        • Contains structural improvements to the operating model
                      • Established a vast distribution network
                        • Spans lower-priced discount channels, department stores and high-end retail
                          boutiques

               • Concerns/Risk:

                      • With targeted 8%-10% growth rate for Calvin Klein and Tommy
                        Hilfiger, there is a risk of saturations and overextension in the labels
                      • Operates in a extremely competitive consumer market that is affected
                        by macro/consumer trends
                      • Challenges in getting more floor space in department stores for new
Source: Morningstar
                        launches as retailers push for more private-label merchandise
Recommended Buyer
              • PVH Corporation
                • Successfully evolved into a diverse portfolio firm
                                • Exposure across a number of company-owned brands, licenses, and
                                 apparel categories
                       • Established vast distribution network
                                • Thus cross-selling and promotional opportunities
                                • Reaching international presence is next goal
                       • Record of success with acquisitions
                                • Calvin Klein doubled global retail sales and est. 13% compound annual
                                 growth rate in 2003
                       • Build dominant position in fragmented categories
                                • Such as men‟s dress shirts and neckwear
                                • Perfect fit for Gali Koval to be incorporated


Source: Morningstar & PVH.com
BRAND NAME, LICENSING
& TRADEMARK
       Industry Analysis
Brand Name
               • Apparel and accessories industries remains extremely
                     competitive and highly fragmented
                        • Getting into business is easy, staying in is much more difficult
                                  • Start-up companies are undercapitalized and lack broad-based global sourcing
                                  • Lack marketing muscle to build exposure and brand loyalty among customers
                        • Small firms often seek to be acquired by larger companies to expand sales



               • Strong brand image is crucial
                        • Manufacturers have more price flexibility by creating “must-have” perception
                        • Brand extension can strengthen the perception of value associated with
                          brand
                        • Established brand names:
                                  • Convey image of quality
                                  • Builds customer loyalty
                                  • Translate to repeat business
Source: Standard & Poor‟s Industry Surveys-Apparel & Footwear: Retailers and Brands
Brand Names- Examples




Source: theinternationalman.com/img
Licensing & Trademarks
               • Licensing is means for companies to extend their product lines
                        • Key element of integrated brand-marketing program
                        • Enables a company to extend its brand into new categories



               • 2011, brand owners collected $5.3 billion in licensing royalty revenue
                     in North American
                        • Increase of 5.0% from 2010
                        • Trademarks/brands royalty revenue was 17% of total- $910MM



               • Trademarks help identify and distinguish a brand name
                        • Company name and logo are the most valuable assets
                        • Gives you exclusive rights for the company to use
                        • Can sue subsequent parties for trademark infringement




Source: Standard & Poor‟s Industry Surveys-Apparel & Footwear: Retailers and Brands
TRADEMARK DISPUTE
Trademark Dispute
• Situation Summary:
  •   Gali Koval never authorized MJD, a maker of fine watches, to use the Gali Koval
      trademark
  •   MJD willfully infringed the Gali trademark by selling imitation watches under the
      Gali trademark without license
  •   MJD had been operating from 2008-2010 while using the Gali Koval mark in
      connection with the manufacture, distribution and sale of watches
  •   Under belief, MJD had full knowledge of Gali Koval‟s trademark and intentionally
      used it to:
      •   Drive in customers
      •   Increase profits


                             MJD Sales of Gali Branded Watches ($K)
Trademark Dispute
              • Reasons to Sue MJD:
                 • MJD had no authorization to use „Gali‟ trademark to:
                                 • Manufacture, distribute, or sell the watch
                       • MJD is not associated with Gali Koval through:
                          • Sponsorship, approval, or endorsement
                       • MJD willfully infringed the „Gali‟ trademark without license
                          • Under belief they had full knowledge of Gali Koval and intentionally use it to drive customers
                            and increase profits


              • Potential Harm to Gali‟s Business:
                 • Unfair competition and false designation of origin
                 • Gali Koval prestige brand image is negatively affected
                                 • Misleads consumers of the value and premium price
                       • Missed the opportunity to collect additional revenue through the sales of the brand
                         name watches
                       • Missed opportunity to expand in the accessories market internationally


              • Alternatives to Settle Dispute in Trademark Infringement:
                 • 1. Legal Dispute- Proceed to Court
                 • 2. Brand Name Licensing with MJD
Source: Bloomberg Terminal Law
Trademark Dispute
               • Assumptions-Legal Dispute:
                        • Royalty Rate: 6.0%
                           • Based on average trademark valuation of similar merchandising licenses agreements 1:
                                    • Royalty Rate 5.0%: Dussault Apparel Inc. & Gene Simmons Company and USPA Accessories LLC
                                    • Royalty Rate 7.0%: Guess Inc. & Marc Fisher Footwear
                        • WACC: 13.79%
                           • Based on previous WACC calculation of Gali Koval
                           • Signifies that risk of cash flows is the same as overall risk of Gali Koval
                        • The court case will last for 2 years


               • Licensing Fees:
                        • Total damage fee of 5.43MM, and discount back to PV is $4.23MM
                        • If cash is needed in the short term, a provided discount of 70% results in a settlement price of
                              $3.80MM




Source: 1. Bloomberg Terminal Law
Trademark Dispute
               • Assumptions-                    Future Cooperation
                        • Royalty Rate: 6.0%
                           • Based on average trademark valuation of similar merchandising licenses agreements1:
                                    • Royalty Rate 5.0%: Dussault Apparel Inc. & Gene Simmons Company and USPA Accessories LLC
                                    • Royalty Rate 7.0%: Guess Inc. & Marc Fisher Footwear
                        • WACC: 13.79%
                           • Based on previous WACC calculation of Gali Koval
                           • Signifies that risk of cash flows is the same as overall risk of Gali Koval
                        • MJD revenue will grow at 15%/yr. for the next 5years


               • Licensing Fees
                        • Future licensing cash flow will result in a Present Value range of $8.8MM-$10.3MM




Source: 1. Bloomberg Terminal Law
Trademark Dispute
• Recommendation:
 • Unless Gali Koval needs immediate payment to pay back any costs, Gali
   would benefit establishing a relationship with MJD:

   • Based on previous MJD sales growth of the Gali-branded watches, it provides a
     platform for the Gali brand name to expand
      • Thus, generating more revenues for future growth


   • Competitive advantage to use MJD established market internationally
      • Gali Koval does not have a market share for watches
      • Can use MJD‟s networks and resources to develop other accessories and/or luxury
        products


   • To prevent further trademark infringements, Gali should be more inclined to
     license its brand to third parties
      • Or, register its trademark internationally to compete with other prestige brand names


   • Opportunity to firmly establish Gali Koval‟s brand name internationally
COMPREHENSIVE
RECOMMENDATION
Comprehensive Recommendation
• Recommendation:
  • Sell Gali Koval to a private equity firm
     • Leverage buyout establishes a consideration value of $733MM
        • LBO analysis results in a price range of $655MM to $841MM
          • Valuation range higher than alternatives
          • Offers debt-holders the best feasible price
     • Acquirer will offer a strong financial support in the expansion of the low-
       priced product line
        • Change in business structure can result in future operating growth
        • Change in financial structure can improve operating efficiency

  • Settle trademark dispute with MJD
     • Future license fees add about $9.53MM in 5yrs.
        • Sensitivity analysis future licensing fees range from $8.82MM to $10.32MM


• Deal Structure:
  • Similar all cash acquisitions within the apparel industry
     • Acquirers are capable of paying in all cash, thus bondholders will receive
       immediate payment
QUESTIONS
APPENDIX
Synergy Projections
 • Additional detail on the calculation on DCF with Synergies


Income Statement                          2013E     2014E     2015E     2016E     2017E
 Revenue Before Synergies               341,130   354,140   370,582   387,850   405,991
 Synergies-Revenue Growth                 6,500     8,500    10,500    12,500    12,500
Revenue Incl. Synergies                 347,630   362,640   381,082   400,350   418,491   Increase in Depreciation from Synergies     174      226       278       329       412


 Gross Margin%(Excl. Synergies)          58.7%     59.1%     59.5%     60.0%     60.0%
 Gross Margin%(Incl. Synergies)          58.7%     59.1%     59.5%     60.0%     60.0%    Balance Sheet                              2013E    2014E     2015E     2016E     2017E
Gross Profit                            204,058   214,321   226,745   240,210   251,095   Capital Expenditures
                                                                                           Capital Expenditures Excl. Synergies      8,528    9,208     9,265     9,696    10,150
 SG&A Excl. Synergies                   150,523   151,583   153,575   158,139   165,498     % of Total Revenue                       2.5%     2.6%      2.5%      2.5%      2.5%
 % of Total Revenue (Excl. Synergies)    43.3%     41.8%     40.3%     39.5%     39.5%      Capital Expenditures Incl. Synergies     8,690    9,429     9,528    10,008    10,462
 Synergies-Cost Savings                  40,000     8,000     8,000     8,000     8,000   Increase in CAPEX due to Synergies          162      221       263       312       313
 SG&A Incl. Synergies                   110,523   143,583   145,575   150,139   157,498
EBITDA                                   93,535    70,738    81,169    90,071    93,596   Net Working Capital
Depreciation                              9,304     9,657    10,088    10,538    11,090   Net Working Capital Excl. Synergies       90,604   94,060    98,427   103,013   107,831
  % of Total Revenue                     2.68%     2.66%     2.65%     2.63%     2.65%      % of Total Revenue                      26.6%    26.6%     26.6%     26.6%     26.6%
EBIT (Incl. Synergies)                   84,231    61,080    71,081    79,533    82,506   Net Working Capital Incl. Synergies       92,331   96,317   101,215   106,333   111,151
                                                                                          Increase in NWC due to Synergies           1,726    2,258     2,789     3,320     3,320
EBIT (Excl. Synergies)                   43,404    51,836    61,343    69,300    72,281

EBIT of Synergies                        40,827     9,244     9,738    10,233    10,225
Leverage Buyout Analysis
    In thousands of dollars
    Income Statement                         2012A      2013E     2014E     2015E     2016E     2017E
      Domestic Stores                       200,137   206,141   214,386   225,106   236,361   248,179
        Store Closing Revenue Reduction        N/A      7,500     7,500     7,500     7,500     7,500
      International Stores                   19,548    19,939    20,338    20,948    21,576    22,223
     Company-Owned Stores
      % of Total Revenue
                                            219,685
                                             66.4%
                                                      218,580
                                                       48.7%
                                                                242,224
                                                                 49.7%
                                                                          253,554
                                                                           48.9%
                                                                                    265,437
                                                                                     47.6%
                                                                                              277,902
                                                                                               47.7%
                                                                                                        • Additional detail on the
                                              0.1%     -0.5%     10.8%      4.7%      4.7%      4.7%
      % Growth
     Upscale Department Stores               99,515    87,076    74,636    62,197    49,758    49,758     calculation of leverage
      % of Total Revenue                     30.1%      19.4%     15.3%     12.0%      8.9%     8.5%
      % Growth                                2.2%
                                               N/A
                                                       -12.5%    -14.3%    -16.7%    -20.0%     0.0%      buyout analysis
     New Channels                                     130,208   156,250   187,500   225,000   236,250
      % of Total Revenue                       N/A     29.0%     32.1%     36.1%     40.4%     40.5%
      % Growth                                 N/A       N/A     20.0%     20.0%     20.0%      5.0%
     Online Stores                           11,862    13,048    14,353    15,788    17,367    19,104
      % of Total Revenue                      3.6%      2.9%      2.9%      3.0%      3.1%      3.3%
      % Growth                                9.9%     10.0%     10.0%     10.0%     10.0%     10.0%
    Total Revenue                           331,062   448,912   487,463   519,039   557,562   583,014
      % Growth                                 1.0%     35.6%      8.6%      6.5%      7.4%      4.6%
    COGS                                    138,052   187,196   203,272   216,439   232,503   243,117
      % of Total Revenue                     41.7%     41.7%     41.7%     41.7%     41.7%     41.7%
    Gross Profit                            193,010   261,716   284,191   302,600   325,058   339,897
      % Margin                                58.3%     58.3%     58.3%     58.3%     58.3%     58.3%
    SG&A(Not include store closing savings) 145,005   189,890   198,885   203,982   210,758   220,379
      % of Total Revenue                     43.8%     42.3%     40.8%     39.3%     37.8%     37.8%
    Store Closing Cost Savings                 N/A      5,000     8,000     8,000     8,000     8,000
    EBITDA                                   48,005    76,826    93,306   106,617   122,300   127,518
      % Margin                                14.5%     17.1%     19.1%     20.5%     21.9%     21.9%
    Depreciation                              8,898    12,015     9,431     9,810    10,209    15,450
      % of Total Revenue                       2.7%    2.68%     2.68%     2.68%     2.68%     2.68%
    EBIT                                     39,107    64,811    83,875    96,807   112,091   112,068
      % Margin                                11.8%     14.4%     17.2%     18.7%     20.1%     19.2%


    Balance Sheet                            2012A      2013E     2014E     2015E     2016E     2017E
    Capital Expenditures                     5,628     11,222    12,675    12,977    13,939    14,575
      % of Total Revenue                       1.7%      2.5%      2.6%      2.5%      2.5%      2.5%


    Net Working Capital             87917    87,917   119,231   129,470   137,857   148,088   154,848
      % of Total Revenue                     26.6%     26.6%     26.6%     26.6%     26.6%     26.6%
Leverage Buyout Analysis
 Debt Schedule
                       Rate                          2013E      2014E      2015E      2016E      2017E
 Senior Debt                     2.80%
 Beg. Balance                            192,020   192,020    192,020    165,618    128,400     82,979
 Paydown
 Ending Balance
                                                         0
                                                   192,020
                                                              (26,402)
                                                              165,618
                                                                         (37,218)
                                                                         128,400
                                                                                    (45,421)
                                                                                     82,979
                                                                                               (54,309)
                                                                                                28,670
                                                                                                          • Additional detail on the
 Interest Expense                                    5,377      5,377      4,637      3,595      2,323
                                                                                                            calculation of leverage
 Subordinated Debt               5.10%
                                                                                                            buyout analysis
 Beg. Balance                            336,035   336,035    336,035    336,035    336,035    336,035
 Paydown                                                 0          0          0          0          0
 Ending Balance                                    336,035    336,035    336,035    336,035    336,035
 Interest Expense                                   17,138     17,138     17,138     17,138     17,138
 Net Debt                                528,055   528,055    501,653    464,435    419,014    364,705
 Total Interest Expenses                            22,514     22,514     21,775     20,733     19,461


 Free Cash Flows Calculations                        2013E      2014E   2015E   2016E   2017E
 EBITDA                                             76,826     93,306 106,617 122,300 127,518
 Less: Cash Interest                               (22,514)   (22,514)   (21,775)   (20,733)   (19,461)
 Less: Capital Expenditures                        (11,222)   (12,675)   (12,977)   (13,939)   (14,575)
 Less: Change in Net Working Capital               (31,314)   (10,239)    (8,386)   (10,232)    (6,760)
 Less: Cash Taxes                                  (14,804)   (21,476)   (26,261)   (31,975)   (32,412)
 Unlevered Free Cash Flow                           (3,029)    26,402     37,218     45,421     54,309


 Credit Analysis
                                                     2013E      2014E      2015E      2016E      2017E
 Cumulative Pay-down                                     0    (26,402)   (37,218)   (45,421)   (54,309)
 % of Initial Debt Raised                           0.00%      5.00%      7.05%      8.60%     10.28%
 Leverage Ratios:
 Total Debt/ EBITDA                                   6.9x       5.4x       4.4x       3.4x       2.9x
 Total Debt/ (EBITDA-CAPEX)                           8.0x       6.2x       5.0x       3.9x       3.2x
 Coverage Ratios:
 EBITDA/ Interest Exp.                                3.4x       4.1x       4.9x       5.9x       6.6x
 (EBITDA-CAPEX)/ Interest Exp.                        2.9x       3.6x       4.3x       5.2x       5.8x

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Gali koval

  • 1. GALI KOVAL STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVE ANALYSIS Nadeya Hassan Katarzyna Krzeptowski Sabala Luoheng Huang Faculty Advisor: Joseph Vu
  • 2. Table of Contents • Executive Summary 3 • Valuation Ranges 27 • Business Description 5 • Strategic Buyers 29 • Gali Koval Overview 7 • Brand Name, Licensing 37 & Trademark Industry Analysis • Retail & Apparel 9 Industry Analysis • Trademark Dispute 41 • Valuation 12 • Comprehensive 47 • Scenario #1 Recommendation 19 • Synergy • Questions 49 • Scenario #2 23 • Leverage Buyout • Appendix 50
  • 4. Executive Summary • Motivation for Reemergence: • July 2012, principal on the company‟s debt came due • Defaulted on principle payments and unable to refinance • Currently in Chapter 11 receivership • Company equity holders proposed a plan for reemergence • Rejected by bankruptcy court • Debt holders have taken control of the company • Set to propose a plan for exit since they have no interest in continuing business • Alternatives to Maximize Value of Business: • 1. Gali Koval sold to larger industry peers such as PVH Corporation or LVMH Group • Conservative sale range of $346MM to $434MM, or an optimistic range of $447MM to $613MM with synergies • 2. Gali Koval sold to a private equity buyer to expand new sales channels • Realizable transaction consideration between $655MM to $841MM
  • 6. Business Description • Gali Koval Corporation engages in sales of men‟s clothing and luxury products • Headquarted in New York, NY • Operates 99 stores and distributes to upscale department stores • Has direct sales channels in all major U.S markets, small international presence and meaningful online sales • 10 stores in Europe and Asia • Sourced from independent manufacturers • Most manufacturing takes place outside the U.S • Workforce approximately 3,500 employees • Experience senior management team • Gali Koval is known for high quality product and commands a premium price • All products are branded with “Gali Koval” trademark • Brand name maintained luxury image, worn by celebrities and high profile executives • Gali Koval does not currently license its brands to third parties
  • 8. Gali Koval Overview • 2007: Gali Koval acquired by private equity firm for $1.1 billion • Acquisition funded with 65% debt and 35% equity • Believed there was an opportunity to expand international operations and sales • Attempted to expand internationally in 2008 and 2009, but has since closed some of these new outlets • 2009: Gali Koval lost a large department store customer • Due to disagreements about pricing and marketing strategy • Since global recession in 2008-2009, luxury brands have seen performance suffer Revenue: • Plummeted sharply during Revenue (‘000s) & Margin financial crisis Trends • Has recently stabilized, but results continue to be below 2007 levels EBITDA: • Margin reduction in recent years is mainly a result of significant lost revenues • Company‟s cost cutting efforts have not kept pace with declines in revenue
  • 9. RETAIL & APPAREL Industry Background
  • 10. Industry History 2010 2011 • Consumer Spending on Apparel • Consumer Spending on Apparel • $191.3 billion • Increase of 3.8% from 2010: $198.7 billion • Disposable Personal Income • Disposable Personal Income • Increased 3.6% (0.7% in 2009) • Increased to 3.8% from 2010 • Imported Apparel • Imported Apparel • $71.40 billion • Increase of 8.8% from 2010: $77.66 billion • Exports of U.S-Made Clothing • Exports of US-Made Clothing • $4.51 billion • Increase of 13.7% from 2010: $5.13 billion • US Retail Sales • US Retail Sales • $219.23 billion • Increase of 5.9% from 2010: $226.52 • Men‟s Apparel Retail Sales • Men‟s Apparel Retail Sales • Accounted for 28% of US Retail Sales • Accounted for 28% of US Retail Sales Source: Standard & Poor‟s Industry Surveys-Apparel & Footwear: Retailers and Brands
  • 11. Industry Background Forecasts • Overview-Post Financial Crisis • Expected unemployment rate of 8.2% with continued improvement through 2015, project a rate of 7.0% • Change in spending and savings patterns • More responsible/constrained consumer will force the sector to adjust lower sustainable levels of demand • Will lead investors to lower their long-term secular growth expectation • Recession sharpened the consumer‟s value focused and increased the retailer consideration set by 4%* • GDP grew 1.3% in second quarter of 2012, projected 2.2% growth for end of 2012 • Luxury Goods Market • Bain & Co. estimated worldwide sales growth for luxury goods will be between 6%-7% • Highest growth would come from Asia (excluding Japan) at 16.5%, Americas (5%-7%) and Europe (3.75%) • Within emerging markets, sales forecasted to increases 18%-22% in China, 14% in Latin America, and 8.75% in the Middle East Consumer Spending (2011) Apparel 5% 3% Food 8% Other durables 7% Cars 20% 4% Energy Other services 6% Recreation and travel services 15% Restaurants Housing 22% 5% 5% Health Care Other Nondurables Source: Standard & Poor‟s Industry Surveys-Apparel & Footwear: Retailers and Brands
  • 13. Trading Comparables • Comparable companies consist of publicly traded companies in the Apparel Industry • They have similar products, business models, and growth to Gali Koval • Tend to be slightly larger as smaller companies have greater difficulty adhering to the high compliance costs of being publicly traded • EV/EBITDA multiples imply a valuation range of $202MM to $430MM • Median multiple of 5.9x leads an implied valuation of $282MM
  • 14. Transaction Comparables • Comparables consist of six acquisitions within the Apparel Industry • Includes two strategic acquisitions and four leverage buyouts • All transactions in cash • Gali Koval should pursue similar deal structure to receive immediate payment • EV/EBITDA multiple implies a valuation range of $330MM to $590MM • Median multiple of 8.0x results in an implied valuation of $385MM
  • 15. Financial Projections • 2013-2016 Assumptions: • Management plan used as given • Net Working Capital (NWC) in 2012: $87.917M • NWC= Current Asset – Current Liabilities + Current Portion of Debt • Company was taken over by debt holders and no current debt is accounted • Projections of NWC for 2013-2016: 26.6% • Will be held constant with 2012 percentage of revenue • 2017 Assumptions: • Revenue growth percentage from 2016 will be held constant • Company Owned Stores: 4.8% • Department Stores: 2.5% • Online Stores: 10% • Expenses (as a percentage of revenue) held constant • COGS: 40% • SG&A: 39.5% • Depreciation held constant at 2.6% of revenue • Capital Expenditures held constant at 2.5% of revenue • NWC held constant at historical percentage of 26.6% of revenue • Post 2017 Assumptions: • Unlevered Free Cash Flow to firm will grow 2.0% in perpetuity
  • 17. WACC Calculations • Weighted Average Cost of Capital calculation based on several underlying assumptions from publicly available sources and industry research • Cost of Debt: 8.99% • Implied CCC credit rating based on Standard & Poor‟s Indicative Ratios for measuring financial risk • Yield on 20 yr. Corporate Bond at CCC rating is 8.99% • Cost of Equity (as determined by CAPM): 12.09% • Equity Risk Premium: 8.23%1 • Risk Free Rate: 2.02%2 • Beta: 1.22 • Un-levered Beta of Apparel Industry: 1.053 • Tax Rate: 35.0% • Book Value of Debt to Market Capitalization Ratio : 26.20%3 • Unique Risk Premium of 3.0% is added due to the situation that Gali Koval is in bankruptcy • Calculated WACC Value: 13.79% Sources: 1. Bloomberg Terminal indicates Market Return on US Equity 10.25%, effective January 2013 2. Using 20 yr. treasury yield as proxy, quoted from US Department of Treasury, January 2013 3. Assumed BV of Debt = MV of Debt; thus, BV of Debt to MV of Equity is a reasonable proxy for MV of Debt to MV of Equity
  • 18. Discounted Cash Flow • Discounted Cash Flows Analysis projected financial statements • Calculated WACC of 13.79%, and assumed Terminal Growth Rate of 2.0% • Results in intrinsic value of $315MM • Implied valuation range of $282MM to $358MM
  • 19. SCENARIO #1 Synergy
  • 20. DCF with Synergies • If Gali Koval Corporation is purchased by a strategic buyer, it could anticipate a premium over the intrinsic valuation due to revenue and cost synergies from scalability • Synergy Assumptions: • Revenue • $14MM revenue synergies in 2013, increases $2MM/yr. until reaching $20MM in 2016, revenue synergies in 2017 held constant as 2016 • $7.5MM/yr. of lost revenue due to store closings • Gross Margin • Will remain the same level as percentage of revenue as outlined in financial statement projections • Gross Margin is projected at 60% of revenue and the industry average of about 51%1 • Synergies won‟t have any improvement in Gross Margin • SG&A cost savings • $8MM/yr. cost savings due to store closings • $25MM one time cost reduction due to distribution center rationalization in 2013 • $3MM one time expense due to store closings in 2013 • $10MM one time saving through management and back office reductions in 2013 • Depreciation, Capital Expenditures, and Net Working Capital will remain at stated percentage of revenue as outlined in financial statement projections Sources: 1. Bloomberg Terminal
  • 21. DCF with Synergies • Discounted Cash Flow Analysis from projected realizable synergies, calculated WACC of 13.79%, and terminal growth rate of 2.0% • Results in intrinsic valuation with synergies of $384MM, assuming all synergies are realized • Implied valuation with synergies from $346MM to $434MM • It‟s possible that after being acquired by a healthy strategic buyer, Gali Koval‟s WACC will return back to the industry average and no unique risk premium related to bankruptcy will need to be added • In this case, WACC=10.79% • Results an optimistic intrinsic value with synergies range of $447MM - $613MM
  • 23. SCENARIO #2 Leverage Buy-Out
  • 24. Leverage Buyout • A private equity buyer will pursue a different strategy to expand revenue after acquiring Gali Koval • A new line of products at a lower price point will be sold through mainstream department stores and retail outlets • Financial Projections: • Revenue • $7.5MM/yr. reduction at company owned stores due to store closings • Strategy of selling in new channels will result in a revenue of $103.2MM and grow at a rate of 20% until reaching $225MM in 2016 • Growth rate in 2017 will drop to 5% after a rapid growth period • 12.5% of 2012 level revenue from upscale department stores will be lost every year beginning in 2012 until reaching half of 2012 level in 2016 • 2017 will be held constant as 2016 • Gross Margin • Remain flat at a percentage of 58.3% (2012 level) of revenue • SG&A • $3MM one time expense due to store closings in 2013 • SG&A (excluding savings from store closings) as a percentage of revenue will decrease 150bps each year until 2016 • 2017 will hold at a constant rate as 2016 • $8MM/yr. cost savings due to store closings • Depreciation, Capital Expenditures, and Net Working Capital will remain at stated percentage of revenue as outline in financial statement projections
  • 25. Leverage Buyout • Financial Structure Assumptions: • Purchase price of $700MM • Require IRR of 20.0% • Senior Debt of 4.0x 2012A EBITDA, Subordinated Debt of 7.0x 2012 A EBITDA • Cost of Senior Debt is 2.8% (3-month LIBOR+250bps)1 • Cost of Subordinated Debt is 5.1% (3-month LIBOR+480bps)1 • No debt exists at the time of deal since company was taken over • Exit multiple of 7.0x, 1.0x lower than the median of comparable transactions due to company‟s bankruptcy situation Sources: 1. Bloomberg Terminal
  • 26. Leverage Buyout • Return Analysis • Valuation range of $655MM to $841MM • Assuming financial sponsor must ensure 20.0% IRR, it would be limited to paying $733MM • Attractiveness of Leverage Buyout • Stable cash flows allow for consistent debt repayment and potential for future profitable growth • The opportunity to expand through new channels will substantially increase Gali Koval‟s revenue • Acquirer will offer strong financial support for new market strategy
  • 28. Valuation Ranges • Ranges determined through sensitivity or multiples analysis: • Discounted Cash Flow- $282MM to $358MM • Leverage Buyout- $655MM to $841MM • DCF + Synergies- $346MM to $434MM • Transaction Comparable - $330MM to $590MM • Trading Comparable- $202MM to $430MM • Discounted Cash Flow from a leverage buyout exceeds ranges of other valuations • Illustrates a premium the bondholders would receive if sold to private equity firm
  • 29. STRATEGIC BUYERS LVMH Group & PVH Corp.
  • 30. LVMH Overview • Founded in 1854 and based in Paris, France • Sector: Services • Industry: Jewelry Stores • Manufactures luxury products • Wines and Spirits, Fashion and Leather Goods, Perfumes and Cosmetics, Watches and Jewelry, and Selective Retailing business groups • Several Fashion & Leather brands: Louis Vuitton, Fendi, Marc Jacobs, Givenchy and Pucci • Operates 3,040 stores worldwide • Operates retail stores under the brand names of DFS, Miami Cruiseline, Sephora, and Le Bon Marché Rive Gauche for travelers LVMH Revenue ($Millions) 2011 Revenue by 25 21.5 Geographic Region 20 18.1 10% 15.6 15 13.2 13.1 France 12% 20% Other Markets 10 Revenue Asia 5 22% Japan 0 28% United States 8% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sources: www.lvmh.com/invesot-relations
  • 31. LVMH Overview Acquisitions • Les Tanneries Roux- France 60 Forecasted Growth from Operations 54.4 • Acquired Les Tanneries in May 2012 49.9 50 • Supplies leather goods 46.2 42.8 • Organic revenue growth of LVMH 39.5 $ Millions USD 40 36.7 increased by 10% in the first half of 2012 after acquisition 30 26.7 • Bulgari 20 10.3 11.4 • Acquired Bulgari in 2011 for $5.2 10 7.7 8.4 9.3 6.2 7.3 7.9 4.5 5 5.6 billion • Proposed an action to double the 0 size of its watches and jewelry unit 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e 2016e 2017e • Profit from recurring operations Sales Operating Profit Net Income increased by 87% as a result of Bulgari‟s performance Sources: Yahoo! Finance (Exchange rate of 1.3058 on 15 March 2013) Thomas Reuters (Forecasted Growth form Operations)
  • 32. LVMH Overview • Strategic Fit: • Based on Gali Koval‟s initial attempt to expand internationally, LVMH provides major markets geographically • Due to its brand development strategy and more than 3,000 stores worldwide • Supports the growth of the brands by respecting their identity and their creative positioning • Strength of star brands with solid financial structure and geographical balance of revenue • Concerns/Risk: • Sole purpose is not strictly in the retail/apparel industry • Main focus on prestige/luxury brands with considerable growth • Headquartered in France and most business is conducted overseas • Continuous Europe‟s sovereign debt crisis and Eurozone crisis can affect performance in European markets Source: www.lvmh.com/investor-relations
  • 33. PVH Overview • Founded in 1881 and is based in New York, New York • Sector: Consumer Goods • Industry: Textile: Apparel Clothing • Ticker Symbol: PVH • Leases and operates approx. 1,000 retail locations • Markets products through wholesale to national and regional department, mid-tier department, mass market, and specialty and independent stores; and retail stores, as well as through e-commerce Website • Operates as an apparel company in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally • Brand portfolio includes: • Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, IZOD, Heritage PVH Revenue ($ billions) 2011 Revenue by 6 Geographic Region 5.5 5 4.64 4.5 Europe 4 3.5 PVH Revenue 21% 27% 3 2.43 2.49 2.40 North 2.5 (in billions) 2 America 1.5 52% 1 Other 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Yahoo! Finance
  • 34. PVH Overview Acquisitions • Calvin Klein 2011 Revenues: $5.9B • Acquired Calvin Klein in 2003 for approximately $3.0 Billion from Warnaco Group Tommy Hilfiger Calvin Klein Heritage Brands • Continued expansion of men's sportswear business • Growth after the acquisition rose at a 13% compound annual growth rate • Generated approximately $2.8 billion in global retail stores after the buyout $1,775B $3,051B • Tommy Hilfiger $1,065B • Acquired Tommy Hilfiger in 2010 for approximately $3.0 Billion from Warnaco Group • Focused expansion in Europe and Japan • Growth after acquisition rose at a 13% compound annual growth rate Planned Annual Top Line Growth • Growth opportunities remain to drive Tommy Hilfiger ($ billions) from $4.6 billion in worldwide retail revenues in 2010 2011A 2014E to over $6.5 billion $10 $7.6 $7.3 • Heritage Brands $5.6 • Acquired in 2010 $3.4 $3.7 • 10% revenue increase after acquisition in 2010 • Incurred $3.3 billion in worldwide retail revenue in 2010 Calvin Klein Tommy Hilfiger Heritage Brands • Forecasted growth of 4.0 billion Sources: Yahoo! Finance PVH.com
  • 35. PVH Overview • Strategic Fit: • Continued opportunities for PVH through license and brand extensions and international expansion, the next leg growth for firm • Estimated EV/EBITDA of 8.2x • Believe sales growth in the low- to mid single digit range • Value in management‟s long-term strategy: • Contains structural improvements to the operating model • Established a vast distribution network • Spans lower-priced discount channels, department stores and high-end retail boutiques • Concerns/Risk: • With targeted 8%-10% growth rate for Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, there is a risk of saturations and overextension in the labels • Operates in a extremely competitive consumer market that is affected by macro/consumer trends • Challenges in getting more floor space in department stores for new Source: Morningstar launches as retailers push for more private-label merchandise
  • 36. Recommended Buyer • PVH Corporation • Successfully evolved into a diverse portfolio firm • Exposure across a number of company-owned brands, licenses, and apparel categories • Established vast distribution network • Thus cross-selling and promotional opportunities • Reaching international presence is next goal • Record of success with acquisitions • Calvin Klein doubled global retail sales and est. 13% compound annual growth rate in 2003 • Build dominant position in fragmented categories • Such as men‟s dress shirts and neckwear • Perfect fit for Gali Koval to be incorporated Source: Morningstar & PVH.com
  • 37. BRAND NAME, LICENSING & TRADEMARK Industry Analysis
  • 38. Brand Name • Apparel and accessories industries remains extremely competitive and highly fragmented • Getting into business is easy, staying in is much more difficult • Start-up companies are undercapitalized and lack broad-based global sourcing • Lack marketing muscle to build exposure and brand loyalty among customers • Small firms often seek to be acquired by larger companies to expand sales • Strong brand image is crucial • Manufacturers have more price flexibility by creating “must-have” perception • Brand extension can strengthen the perception of value associated with brand • Established brand names: • Convey image of quality • Builds customer loyalty • Translate to repeat business Source: Standard & Poor‟s Industry Surveys-Apparel & Footwear: Retailers and Brands
  • 39. Brand Names- Examples Source: theinternationalman.com/img
  • 40. Licensing & Trademarks • Licensing is means for companies to extend their product lines • Key element of integrated brand-marketing program • Enables a company to extend its brand into new categories • 2011, brand owners collected $5.3 billion in licensing royalty revenue in North American • Increase of 5.0% from 2010 • Trademarks/brands royalty revenue was 17% of total- $910MM • Trademarks help identify and distinguish a brand name • Company name and logo are the most valuable assets • Gives you exclusive rights for the company to use • Can sue subsequent parties for trademark infringement Source: Standard & Poor‟s Industry Surveys-Apparel & Footwear: Retailers and Brands
  • 42. Trademark Dispute • Situation Summary: • Gali Koval never authorized MJD, a maker of fine watches, to use the Gali Koval trademark • MJD willfully infringed the Gali trademark by selling imitation watches under the Gali trademark without license • MJD had been operating from 2008-2010 while using the Gali Koval mark in connection with the manufacture, distribution and sale of watches • Under belief, MJD had full knowledge of Gali Koval‟s trademark and intentionally used it to: • Drive in customers • Increase profits MJD Sales of Gali Branded Watches ($K)
  • 43. Trademark Dispute • Reasons to Sue MJD: • MJD had no authorization to use „Gali‟ trademark to: • Manufacture, distribute, or sell the watch • MJD is not associated with Gali Koval through: • Sponsorship, approval, or endorsement • MJD willfully infringed the „Gali‟ trademark without license • Under belief they had full knowledge of Gali Koval and intentionally use it to drive customers and increase profits • Potential Harm to Gali‟s Business: • Unfair competition and false designation of origin • Gali Koval prestige brand image is negatively affected • Misleads consumers of the value and premium price • Missed the opportunity to collect additional revenue through the sales of the brand name watches • Missed opportunity to expand in the accessories market internationally • Alternatives to Settle Dispute in Trademark Infringement: • 1. Legal Dispute- Proceed to Court • 2. Brand Name Licensing with MJD Source: Bloomberg Terminal Law
  • 44. Trademark Dispute • Assumptions-Legal Dispute: • Royalty Rate: 6.0% • Based on average trademark valuation of similar merchandising licenses agreements 1: • Royalty Rate 5.0%: Dussault Apparel Inc. & Gene Simmons Company and USPA Accessories LLC • Royalty Rate 7.0%: Guess Inc. & Marc Fisher Footwear • WACC: 13.79% • Based on previous WACC calculation of Gali Koval • Signifies that risk of cash flows is the same as overall risk of Gali Koval • The court case will last for 2 years • Licensing Fees: • Total damage fee of 5.43MM, and discount back to PV is $4.23MM • If cash is needed in the short term, a provided discount of 70% results in a settlement price of $3.80MM Source: 1. Bloomberg Terminal Law
  • 45. Trademark Dispute • Assumptions- Future Cooperation • Royalty Rate: 6.0% • Based on average trademark valuation of similar merchandising licenses agreements1: • Royalty Rate 5.0%: Dussault Apparel Inc. & Gene Simmons Company and USPA Accessories LLC • Royalty Rate 7.0%: Guess Inc. & Marc Fisher Footwear • WACC: 13.79% • Based on previous WACC calculation of Gali Koval • Signifies that risk of cash flows is the same as overall risk of Gali Koval • MJD revenue will grow at 15%/yr. for the next 5years • Licensing Fees • Future licensing cash flow will result in a Present Value range of $8.8MM-$10.3MM Source: 1. Bloomberg Terminal Law
  • 46. Trademark Dispute • Recommendation: • Unless Gali Koval needs immediate payment to pay back any costs, Gali would benefit establishing a relationship with MJD: • Based on previous MJD sales growth of the Gali-branded watches, it provides a platform for the Gali brand name to expand • Thus, generating more revenues for future growth • Competitive advantage to use MJD established market internationally • Gali Koval does not have a market share for watches • Can use MJD‟s networks and resources to develop other accessories and/or luxury products • To prevent further trademark infringements, Gali should be more inclined to license its brand to third parties • Or, register its trademark internationally to compete with other prestige brand names • Opportunity to firmly establish Gali Koval‟s brand name internationally
  • 48. Comprehensive Recommendation • Recommendation: • Sell Gali Koval to a private equity firm • Leverage buyout establishes a consideration value of $733MM • LBO analysis results in a price range of $655MM to $841MM • Valuation range higher than alternatives • Offers debt-holders the best feasible price • Acquirer will offer a strong financial support in the expansion of the low- priced product line • Change in business structure can result in future operating growth • Change in financial structure can improve operating efficiency • Settle trademark dispute with MJD • Future license fees add about $9.53MM in 5yrs. • Sensitivity analysis future licensing fees range from $8.82MM to $10.32MM • Deal Structure: • Similar all cash acquisitions within the apparel industry • Acquirers are capable of paying in all cash, thus bondholders will receive immediate payment
  • 51. Synergy Projections • Additional detail on the calculation on DCF with Synergies Income Statement 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E Revenue Before Synergies 341,130 354,140 370,582 387,850 405,991 Synergies-Revenue Growth 6,500 8,500 10,500 12,500 12,500 Revenue Incl. Synergies 347,630 362,640 381,082 400,350 418,491 Increase in Depreciation from Synergies 174 226 278 329 412 Gross Margin%(Excl. Synergies) 58.7% 59.1% 59.5% 60.0% 60.0% Gross Margin%(Incl. Synergies) 58.7% 59.1% 59.5% 60.0% 60.0% Balance Sheet 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E Gross Profit 204,058 214,321 226,745 240,210 251,095 Capital Expenditures Capital Expenditures Excl. Synergies 8,528 9,208 9,265 9,696 10,150 SG&A Excl. Synergies 150,523 151,583 153,575 158,139 165,498 % of Total Revenue 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% % of Total Revenue (Excl. Synergies) 43.3% 41.8% 40.3% 39.5% 39.5% Capital Expenditures Incl. Synergies 8,690 9,429 9,528 10,008 10,462 Synergies-Cost Savings 40,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 Increase in CAPEX due to Synergies 162 221 263 312 313 SG&A Incl. Synergies 110,523 143,583 145,575 150,139 157,498 EBITDA 93,535 70,738 81,169 90,071 93,596 Net Working Capital Depreciation 9,304 9,657 10,088 10,538 11,090 Net Working Capital Excl. Synergies 90,604 94,060 98,427 103,013 107,831 % of Total Revenue 2.68% 2.66% 2.65% 2.63% 2.65% % of Total Revenue 26.6% 26.6% 26.6% 26.6% 26.6% EBIT (Incl. Synergies) 84,231 61,080 71,081 79,533 82,506 Net Working Capital Incl. Synergies 92,331 96,317 101,215 106,333 111,151 Increase in NWC due to Synergies 1,726 2,258 2,789 3,320 3,320 EBIT (Excl. Synergies) 43,404 51,836 61,343 69,300 72,281 EBIT of Synergies 40,827 9,244 9,738 10,233 10,225
  • 52. Leverage Buyout Analysis In thousands of dollars Income Statement 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E Domestic Stores 200,137 206,141 214,386 225,106 236,361 248,179 Store Closing Revenue Reduction N/A 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 7,500 International Stores 19,548 19,939 20,338 20,948 21,576 22,223 Company-Owned Stores % of Total Revenue 219,685 66.4% 218,580 48.7% 242,224 49.7% 253,554 48.9% 265,437 47.6% 277,902 47.7% • Additional detail on the 0.1% -0.5% 10.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% % Growth Upscale Department Stores 99,515 87,076 74,636 62,197 49,758 49,758 calculation of leverage % of Total Revenue 30.1% 19.4% 15.3% 12.0% 8.9% 8.5% % Growth 2.2% N/A -12.5% -14.3% -16.7% -20.0% 0.0% buyout analysis New Channels 130,208 156,250 187,500 225,000 236,250 % of Total Revenue N/A 29.0% 32.1% 36.1% 40.4% 40.5% % Growth N/A N/A 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 5.0% Online Stores 11,862 13,048 14,353 15,788 17,367 19,104 % of Total Revenue 3.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3% % Growth 9.9% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% Total Revenue 331,062 448,912 487,463 519,039 557,562 583,014 % Growth 1.0% 35.6% 8.6% 6.5% 7.4% 4.6% COGS 138,052 187,196 203,272 216,439 232,503 243,117 % of Total Revenue 41.7% 41.7% 41.7% 41.7% 41.7% 41.7% Gross Profit 193,010 261,716 284,191 302,600 325,058 339,897 % Margin 58.3% 58.3% 58.3% 58.3% 58.3% 58.3% SG&A(Not include store closing savings) 145,005 189,890 198,885 203,982 210,758 220,379 % of Total Revenue 43.8% 42.3% 40.8% 39.3% 37.8% 37.8% Store Closing Cost Savings N/A 5,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 EBITDA 48,005 76,826 93,306 106,617 122,300 127,518 % Margin 14.5% 17.1% 19.1% 20.5% 21.9% 21.9% Depreciation 8,898 12,015 9,431 9,810 10,209 15,450 % of Total Revenue 2.7% 2.68% 2.68% 2.68% 2.68% 2.68% EBIT 39,107 64,811 83,875 96,807 112,091 112,068 % Margin 11.8% 14.4% 17.2% 18.7% 20.1% 19.2% Balance Sheet 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E Capital Expenditures 5,628 11,222 12,675 12,977 13,939 14,575 % of Total Revenue 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Net Working Capital 87917 87,917 119,231 129,470 137,857 148,088 154,848 % of Total Revenue 26.6% 26.6% 26.6% 26.6% 26.6% 26.6%
  • 53. Leverage Buyout Analysis Debt Schedule Rate 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E Senior Debt 2.80% Beg. Balance 192,020 192,020 192,020 165,618 128,400 82,979 Paydown Ending Balance 0 192,020 (26,402) 165,618 (37,218) 128,400 (45,421) 82,979 (54,309) 28,670 • Additional detail on the Interest Expense 5,377 5,377 4,637 3,595 2,323 calculation of leverage Subordinated Debt 5.10% buyout analysis Beg. Balance 336,035 336,035 336,035 336,035 336,035 336,035 Paydown 0 0 0 0 0 Ending Balance 336,035 336,035 336,035 336,035 336,035 Interest Expense 17,138 17,138 17,138 17,138 17,138 Net Debt 528,055 528,055 501,653 464,435 419,014 364,705 Total Interest Expenses 22,514 22,514 21,775 20,733 19,461 Free Cash Flows Calculations 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E EBITDA 76,826 93,306 106,617 122,300 127,518 Less: Cash Interest (22,514) (22,514) (21,775) (20,733) (19,461) Less: Capital Expenditures (11,222) (12,675) (12,977) (13,939) (14,575) Less: Change in Net Working Capital (31,314) (10,239) (8,386) (10,232) (6,760) Less: Cash Taxes (14,804) (21,476) (26,261) (31,975) (32,412) Unlevered Free Cash Flow (3,029) 26,402 37,218 45,421 54,309 Credit Analysis 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E Cumulative Pay-down 0 (26,402) (37,218) (45,421) (54,309) % of Initial Debt Raised 0.00% 5.00% 7.05% 8.60% 10.28% Leverage Ratios: Total Debt/ EBITDA 6.9x 5.4x 4.4x 3.4x 2.9x Total Debt/ (EBITDA-CAPEX) 8.0x 6.2x 5.0x 3.9x 3.2x Coverage Ratios: EBITDA/ Interest Exp. 3.4x 4.1x 4.9x 5.9x 6.6x (EBITDA-CAPEX)/ Interest Exp. 2.9x 3.6x 4.3x 5.2x 5.8x