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Solar PV – future UK growth




Alan South
Chief Innovation Officer
14th June 2012

4th Annual Smart Grids & Cleanpower
2012 Conference www.cir-strategy.com
14 June 2012 Cambridge
Solar installations in 2011




                              Source: EPIA Market Report, 2011
UK market factors in 2011



 •    attractive returns from FiT/low costs
 •    abundant capital – helped by solar qualification for EIS
 •    wide range of willing customers
 •    redeployment of existing installation infrastructure



 “22GW by 2020” requires 3x 2011 install rate for seven
 years
UK Feed in Tariff

 50
                                                                      Figures show
          8.5p/43.3p
                                                                     tariff for largest/
 40                                                                  smallest system
                                                                            sizes

 30

                                   8.5p/21p
 20                                                   7.1p/16p


 10



  0
      N    D    J      F   M   A     M    J   J   A      S       O   N    D     J     F
UK grid parity estimates Solarcentury 2012




                                             Source: Solarcentury analysis
Final comments




 •    move to energy solutions, not just PV
 •    integration of storage and controls
 •    local manufacturing growth
 •    possibility of visual/greenfield backlash in the UK
A thought to conclude



 "But solar is now going through an extraordinary stage of
 development … it's capable of scaling up and competing
 with the big boys. It's not just for enthusiasts. It has potential
 to be a significant source of energy."
 Greg Barker
 June 2011




                                                            Source: Guardian
Thank you

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Sgcp12 south-solarcentury

  • 1. Solar PV – future UK growth Alan South Chief Innovation Officer 14th June 2012 4th Annual Smart Grids & Cleanpower 2012 Conference www.cir-strategy.com 14 June 2012 Cambridge
  • 2. Solar installations in 2011 Source: EPIA Market Report, 2011
  • 3. UK market factors in 2011 •  attractive returns from FiT/low costs •  abundant capital – helped by solar qualification for EIS •  wide range of willing customers •  redeployment of existing installation infrastructure “22GW by 2020” requires 3x 2011 install rate for seven years
  • 4. UK Feed in Tariff 50 Figures show 8.5p/43.3p tariff for largest/ 40 smallest system sizes 30 8.5p/21p 20 7.1p/16p 10 0 N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F
  • 5. UK grid parity estimates Solarcentury 2012 Source: Solarcentury analysis
  • 6. Final comments •  move to energy solutions, not just PV •  integration of storage and controls •  local manufacturing growth •  possibility of visual/greenfield backlash in the UK
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. A thought to conclude "But solar is now going through an extraordinary stage of development … it's capable of scaling up and competing with the big boys. It's not just for enthusiasts. It has potential to be a significant source of energy." Greg Barker June 2011 Source: Guardian