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De praktijk van de wiskundige optimalisatie
Google leergang vernieuwing wiskundeonderwijs
John Poppelaars
januari 2014
Weer een millennium probleem opgelost!
Wiskunde is super actueel!
Van wandelingen door de stad..

3
..naar de kortste weg willen vinden om…

4
..niets te willen missen.

TSP China: 71,009 steden
Miljoenenjacht

6
Wiskunde verslaat de wet van Moore!

7
9
ORTEC Company facts
Solutions, facts, and results

ORTEC Netherlands
ORTEC France
ORTEC Belgium
ORTEC Germany
ORTEC USA

(1981)
(1993)
(1997)
(1998)
(2000)

ORTEC Switzerland
(2007)
ORTEC Romania
(2008)
ORTEC United Kingdom (2008)
ORTEC Singapore

(2009)

ORTEC Australia

Customers: 1550+
Countries: 40+
Turnover: €60M+
Years active: 30+

(2010)

Industry focus

Production

10

Transport

Retail

Oil, Gas and
Chemicals

Professional
services

Health

Manufacturing
and Construction

Sports
De perfecte schaatswereld een matrix?

11
Analytisch project = gestructureerde denkactiviteit

12

Communicatie
&
Implementatie

Communicatie en
implementatie

Scenario’s
&
Gevoeligheidsanalyse

Modelbouw
&
Model validatie

Oplossen van het probleem

Data verzamelen
&
Data analyse

Framing

Vaststellen probleem
Uit vele vaatjes tappen

Statistiek
Exacte
Methoden

Simuleren &
Voorspellen

Heuristieken
13
Modelleren

Is
Een

Kunst

14
De praktijk: Optimalisatie bij TNT Express
Express Complex

Network
reconfigurations
Regulations

Highly volatile
demand

16

Tight service
requirements
TNT ambitie
Betere
service

Unit cost
reduction

17

Beter & sneller
op feiten gebaseerd
beslissen
What is the best network?

Once a week:

=
Low cost, low service
18

Each day:

=
High cost, high service
The hub and spoke alternative

Each day: low cost, high service
19
Visualizing the network performance proved a
goldmine of opportunities

Volume information

20

Italian network
MCL, savez-vous réellement ce que vous décidez?

Jouer? http://tnt-ortec-game.nl
21
Hoge nood

22
Stap voor stap

0 Infrastructure and service scenario
1

ROAD optimisation model

2

AIR optimisation model

(between all depots)

(airports to hubs + hub to hub)

3

PUD optimisation model

4

Warehouse calculation model

(pickup and delivery)
Optimalisatie in de boardroom

24
Scenario examples
(on randomized data)
Service impact

1. Low
Cost 95%

25

2. Medium
Cost 79%

3. High
Cost 72%

4. Extreme
Cost 62%
Overleven
OSL

X

TKU

HEL

X
SVG

X

ORB

TLL

VST ARN

EDI
BFS

X

GOT

X

SNN

X

DUB

MME

BLL

LPL

X

MMX

ORK

X

EMA

GDN

X

CWL
STN

TXL

HAJ

WAW
ERF

RNS

NUE

CDG

KTW

PRG

BRQ
BSL

MUC

X
VGO

BOD

OPO

LYS

VIE
BUD

X

GVA
LIN

TSF

LJU

VIT
TLS

OTP
BLQ

MAD

LIS

MRS

ZAZ

X

BCN

PSR
VLC

SOF

CIA
IST

SVQ

X

Airport closure
CTA

New airport
Unchanged airport

26

ATH
GO-Program

Optimization
solutions

Communities
of Practice

GOAcademy

Cumulative
savings
from 2008-2011:

€ 207
mln

27
Edelman award 2012
Tom’s ladder…

29
Shift from information to intelligence economy

30
John.poppelaars@ortec.com

@ORatWork
www.john-poppelaars.blogspot.nl

31
Reading material

32
Curriculum Vitae John Poppelaars
Background

Selected Experience

Specialization

John Poppelaars is Director of Consulting for the ORTEC
Consulting Group, a business division of ORTEC. John is a
specialist in the field of logistics, supply chain optimization, and
workforce planning and scheduling, and a passionate proponent
of Operations Research as a key business enabler. Throughout
his 23 year career, he has applied the business maxim of
'improving decision-making quality' to numerous projects
across a myriad of industries in order to support clients to
optimize their businesses with the very latest optimization
techniques.

 Logistics
 Supply Chain Optimisation
 Risk Management
Years of Experience: 23
Education

 Erasmus University (NL)
Econometrics (MSc)

Expertise
Functional Expertise

John was part of the team of TNT Express, ORTEC and Tilburg
University that was elected winner of the INFORMS Franz
Edelman Award

 Supply Chain Design and Optimization
 Transport and Distribution optimization
 Workforce Planning & Scheduling
Industry Expertise






33

Postal & Express
Logistics
Oil & Gas

John.poppelaars@ortec.com

Healthcare

@ORatWork

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Optimalisatie in logistiek en planning