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Mobile is the machine,
User Interface is the dynamic
We will seek out the best user experience


     EVERYTHING WILL GO MOBILE


                                            Jennifer Wilson
The Seven Mass Media*

 In the beginning was….
1. The Printing Press
2. Followed by Recording (about 1900)
3. Then Cinema (1910)
4. And Radio (1920)
5. We then got TV (1950)
6. The Internet (1990’s)
7. And finally, Mobile (as a mass media – 2000+)

Note: only the final two are personal mass media……
                      Alan Moore. Communities Dominate Brands
The many screens of Life

 The cinema screen (screen 1)
 The TV screen (screen 2)
 The computer screen (screen 3)
 The mobile screen (screen 4)
The Fourth Screen




   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XpeNk3E36YU
How do we see devices?

 First there was television, or rather:




                    +
Then there was the internet

 Which started off as (and in many cases
 remained):




                +
Until someone realised what you
could do…
Mobile is at the same place

 Lots of talk about “the mobile internet”….




 Kinda sounds like “radio with pictures “ to me
Logarithmic development                                                        2008


         First mobile phone Motorola’s DynaTAC 1973
         First mobile network (analogue) 1979                                   2005
         First GSM (digital) network 1991
         First SMS 1992 (1995 & 1998)
                                                                         2004
         First ringtone (Finland) 1997
         WAP 1.0 specification 1998                               2003
         i-mode launched 1999
                                                           2002
         Video (3G) 1999
         Global roaming 2000
                                                    2001
         Commercial 3G 2001               1986-96
1878         1880
                          1910          1947




  *Thanks to Sony Ericsson for phone images
Mobile: 1996 - 2002
Mobile: 2002 - 2008
Why is mobile important?
 There are about 1.2b internet connected PCs
 There are more than 3.6b mobile phones (3/08)
 SMS is largest data application on the planet
   5 times as many user of SMS than any form of IM
   SMS is the preferred form of communication
   The fasted and the most private
 Over 50% of the globe have them – their primary
 community connection is through them
 Gen-C own their phones, unlike their internet or
 PC connections. Most personal, most intimate
 1g = voice; 2G = SMS; 3G = social networking
Internet and Mobile Data Penetration


           ROW                                                     Internet Penetration
                                                                   Mobile Data Penetration

   West Europe



    Asia/Pacific



          Japan



            USA


                   0%    10%      20%       30%      40%     50%   60%      70%     80%      90%   100%




Source: ARC Group Strategic Outlook Executive Summary 2005
But what does it mean to us?
 13% regard it as their best friend 2/3rd would be
 emotionally affected if we lost it)
 14% of us answer it during sex
 Almost 90% would take it to the toilet with them
 (and too many are willing to answer it there!)
 28% of us send sexually explicit SMS messages
 23% have dumped a partner via SMS
 Mobile is our most important connection: 70%
 would refuse to lend a phone to a friend for a day
 18% of the youth market disposable income is
 spend on mobile and related services
What devices?
GPS systems

Music Players

Watches

Book readers

Cameras
Mobile moves from phone

 As handheld adoption moves
 past early adopter, internet
 access via handheld will
 impact on other access forms
 Mobile Internet adoption:
   Mobile portals growing at 30%
   p/month
   PI on-deck portals, approx. 50m
   p/m
 Adoption driven by data
 costs, handset capabilities
 and 3G penetration
 Handheld internet access –
 we’re talking about much
 more than a ‘phone’
Shifting Fashions (future)
Life Caching/Lifeblog




   Nokia Lifeblog creates a diary of all your mobile
   phone's photos, videos, text messages, and
   multimedia messages. It's the living timeline that's
   easy to browse, search, edit, and save - on both your
   PC and mobile!
Consumers as Journalist
Consumers as Journalist




    The London bombings, first hand. As the BBC captioned:
    ...others like Alexander Chadwick near Kings Cross have
    to walk through the tunnels to safety.
The mobile UI
A good screen is still not a PC
Advantages of Mobile

1. The first personal mass media channel
2. Always with us, always on
3. Location awareness
4. Built in payment channel
5. Creative tool for UGC (video, text & image)
6. Near-perfect audience data
7. Able to capture the social context of media
8. Proactive communication tool

           Based upon Tomi Ahonen – Mobile as the 7th Mass Media
Media – audience measurement

AMF Ventures measured the relative accuracies of
measuring audience data by the three major media
channels, TV, internet and mobile in 2007 and
found that:
  On TV, the total audience data that can be captured is 1%
  On the internet, the total audience data that can be
  captured is 10%
  On mobile, the total audience data that can be captured
  is 90%

                                         AMF Venture 2007
Numbers

 Twice as many mobiles as TV sets
 Three times as many mobile subscribers as
 internet users
 Four times as many mobiles as PCs
 Five times as many mobile as cars.
 31% of all music dollars spent worldwide
 20% of videogaming software
Truly mass connection

 China – mobile phone penetration 40%
 (more than twice that of PC internet)
 India: 20% (four times more than PC internet)
 Africa: 15% (three times PC internet)

 A study by Unisys revealed that if we lose our
 wallet we report it in 26 hours. If we lose our
 mobile, we report it in 68 minutes.
Crossing the Digital Divide?

 Fishermen in Kerala use
 the mobile to arbitrage the
 fish market
 Grameen Bank becomes
 Grameen Phone
Mobile TV (Video on Demand)

 UK – 26% report watching video on mobile
 32% of those reduce their tv viewing,
   8% by a lot,
   4% substitute tv with mobile
 50%+ want full length shows on mobile, not
 short form




            Figures taken from IBM “End of Advertising” Report August 2007
Mobile VoD - growing
Key things: (0,1,2,3)

       Zero changes to user behaviour
          (don’t make them act differently for you)
       One login
          (remember who they are, regardless of device)
       Two second respond time
          Make it simple, make it clean, make it fast
       Three clicks away (maximum)
          You’ll lose 10% of users for each added level

Kurt Sillen (Ericsson): internal check list to identify a perfect user experience.
Incorporating mobile

 It isn’t just a smaller web screen
 But it’s a lot more than sms messages
 Can it be part of your engagement model?
 Can this be a content up/download tool?
 Is position relevant? Can you make it so?
 Java or WAP? Pros and cons for each
 The more complex, the more handsets that
 need to be managed – keep it simple
Words of caution

 Not all carriers are created equally
 Data costs are changeable, and can be scary
 You have no idea of how complex it can be
 (290 screens, 35 op systems, 2k devices etc)
 Early adopters are great (and tolerant)
 Most users will be hi-end phone (xHtml etc)
 But think about the experience for everyone
 Mobile is not your cash cow!
 (But it can add great engagement)
What is coming on mobile?

 Better personalisation – simpler and less inquisitive
 (because the machines can learn…..)
 Use of voice as a navigation tool (search, commands,
 more)
 Use of metadata that is not relevant to make better
 context where it is (eg: making a call, texting)
 Information aggregated from users, not from a
 centralised server someone
 Useful recommendations based on context || local
 users || my community || request

 Mobile Augmented Reality? (MAR)
Mobile Augmented Reality….
I hope you learnt something!
                  If not – I can tell you how to steal music legally!

THANK YOU FOR YOUR INTEREST
(NOW GO MAKE A GOOD MOBILE FUTURE)




                                                   Lean Forward
                                     Jennifer Wilson. 0414 59 58 57

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ADMA Mobile Presentation 3rd Nov 2008

  • 1. Mobile is the machine, User Interface is the dynamic We will seek out the best user experience EVERYTHING WILL GO MOBILE Jennifer Wilson
  • 2. The Seven Mass Media* In the beginning was…. 1. The Printing Press 2. Followed by Recording (about 1900) 3. Then Cinema (1910) 4. And Radio (1920) 5. We then got TV (1950) 6. The Internet (1990’s) 7. And finally, Mobile (as a mass media – 2000+) Note: only the final two are personal mass media…… Alan Moore. Communities Dominate Brands
  • 3. The many screens of Life The cinema screen (screen 1) The TV screen (screen 2) The computer screen (screen 3) The mobile screen (screen 4)
  • 4. The Fourth Screen http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XpeNk3E36YU
  • 5. How do we see devices? First there was television, or rather: +
  • 6. Then there was the internet Which started off as (and in many cases remained): +
  • 7. Until someone realised what you could do…
  • 8. Mobile is at the same place Lots of talk about “the mobile internet”…. Kinda sounds like “radio with pictures “ to me
  • 9. Logarithmic development 2008 First mobile phone Motorola’s DynaTAC 1973 First mobile network (analogue) 1979 2005 First GSM (digital) network 1991 First SMS 1992 (1995 & 1998) 2004 First ringtone (Finland) 1997 WAP 1.0 specification 1998 2003 i-mode launched 1999 2002 Video (3G) 1999 Global roaming 2000 2001 Commercial 3G 2001 1986-96 1878 1880 1910 1947 *Thanks to Sony Ericsson for phone images
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  • 15. Why is mobile important? There are about 1.2b internet connected PCs There are more than 3.6b mobile phones (3/08) SMS is largest data application on the planet 5 times as many user of SMS than any form of IM SMS is the preferred form of communication The fasted and the most private Over 50% of the globe have them – their primary community connection is through them Gen-C own their phones, unlike their internet or PC connections. Most personal, most intimate 1g = voice; 2G = SMS; 3G = social networking
  • 16. Internet and Mobile Data Penetration ROW Internet Penetration Mobile Data Penetration West Europe Asia/Pacific Japan USA 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Source: ARC Group Strategic Outlook Executive Summary 2005
  • 17. But what does it mean to us? 13% regard it as their best friend 2/3rd would be emotionally affected if we lost it) 14% of us answer it during sex Almost 90% would take it to the toilet with them (and too many are willing to answer it there!) 28% of us send sexually explicit SMS messages 23% have dumped a partner via SMS Mobile is our most important connection: 70% would refuse to lend a phone to a friend for a day 18% of the youth market disposable income is spend on mobile and related services
  • 18.
  • 19. What devices? GPS systems Music Players Watches Book readers Cameras
  • 20. Mobile moves from phone As handheld adoption moves past early adopter, internet access via handheld will impact on other access forms Mobile Internet adoption: Mobile portals growing at 30% p/month PI on-deck portals, approx. 50m p/m Adoption driven by data costs, handset capabilities and 3G penetration Handheld internet access – we’re talking about much more than a ‘phone’
  • 22. Life Caching/Lifeblog Nokia Lifeblog creates a diary of all your mobile phone's photos, videos, text messages, and multimedia messages. It's the living timeline that's easy to browse, search, edit, and save - on both your PC and mobile!
  • 24. Consumers as Journalist The London bombings, first hand. As the BBC captioned: ...others like Alexander Chadwick near Kings Cross have to walk through the tunnels to safety.
  • 26. A good screen is still not a PC
  • 27. Advantages of Mobile 1. The first personal mass media channel 2. Always with us, always on 3. Location awareness 4. Built in payment channel 5. Creative tool for UGC (video, text & image) 6. Near-perfect audience data 7. Able to capture the social context of media 8. Proactive communication tool Based upon Tomi Ahonen – Mobile as the 7th Mass Media
  • 28. Media – audience measurement AMF Ventures measured the relative accuracies of measuring audience data by the three major media channels, TV, internet and mobile in 2007 and found that: On TV, the total audience data that can be captured is 1% On the internet, the total audience data that can be captured is 10% On mobile, the total audience data that can be captured is 90% AMF Venture 2007
  • 29. Numbers Twice as many mobiles as TV sets Three times as many mobile subscribers as internet users Four times as many mobiles as PCs Five times as many mobile as cars. 31% of all music dollars spent worldwide 20% of videogaming software
  • 30. Truly mass connection China – mobile phone penetration 40% (more than twice that of PC internet) India: 20% (four times more than PC internet) Africa: 15% (three times PC internet) A study by Unisys revealed that if we lose our wallet we report it in 26 hours. If we lose our mobile, we report it in 68 minutes.
  • 31. Crossing the Digital Divide? Fishermen in Kerala use the mobile to arbitrage the fish market Grameen Bank becomes Grameen Phone
  • 32. Mobile TV (Video on Demand) UK – 26% report watching video on mobile 32% of those reduce their tv viewing, 8% by a lot, 4% substitute tv with mobile 50%+ want full length shows on mobile, not short form Figures taken from IBM “End of Advertising” Report August 2007
  • 33. Mobile VoD - growing
  • 34. Key things: (0,1,2,3) Zero changes to user behaviour (don’t make them act differently for you) One login (remember who they are, regardless of device) Two second respond time Make it simple, make it clean, make it fast Three clicks away (maximum) You’ll lose 10% of users for each added level Kurt Sillen (Ericsson): internal check list to identify a perfect user experience.
  • 35. Incorporating mobile It isn’t just a smaller web screen But it’s a lot more than sms messages Can it be part of your engagement model? Can this be a content up/download tool? Is position relevant? Can you make it so? Java or WAP? Pros and cons for each The more complex, the more handsets that need to be managed – keep it simple
  • 36. Words of caution Not all carriers are created equally Data costs are changeable, and can be scary You have no idea of how complex it can be (290 screens, 35 op systems, 2k devices etc) Early adopters are great (and tolerant) Most users will be hi-end phone (xHtml etc) But think about the experience for everyone Mobile is not your cash cow! (But it can add great engagement)
  • 37. What is coming on mobile? Better personalisation – simpler and less inquisitive (because the machines can learn…..) Use of voice as a navigation tool (search, commands, more) Use of metadata that is not relevant to make better context where it is (eg: making a call, texting) Information aggregated from users, not from a centralised server someone Useful recommendations based on context || local users || my community || request Mobile Augmented Reality? (MAR)
  • 39. I hope you learnt something! If not – I can tell you how to steal music legally! THANK YOU FOR YOUR INTEREST (NOW GO MAKE A GOOD MOBILE FUTURE) Lean Forward Jennifer Wilson. 0414 59 58 57