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SGN Webinar March 14 2013 Norman_SAIC
1.
NATIONAL SECURITY •
ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT • HEALTH • CYBERSECURITY © SAIC. All rights reserved. Grid Modernization – What Role is Public Carrier playing ? Smart Grid News Webinar Jeffrey Norman, SAIC Thursday, March 14, 2013
2.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. Communication Architectures for Smart Grid Success SAIC – From Science to Solutions® • 40,000 employees, engineering focused • Energy, Environment & Infrastructure solving for our customers mission - critical problems • Emerging technologies focused on innovative technology and expertise Make 'What If' Possible. Solve Today. Engineer the Future. http://media.saic.com/engineering/home Trends in Communications • Market update • Next steps in applications and architectures • Role of public carrier in grid modernization 2
3.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. State of the Industry To date, industry has deployed application-based solutions: • Upwards of 30 million smart meters deployed in U.S. (50 million under contract)* • U.S. smart meter market opportunity is 130 million total (electric, gas, water) • Private field area network nodes projected to surpass 14 million annually by 2020** • Majority of AMI local area networks are mesh wireless, tower-based RF, with limited power line communications and cellular Source: *FERC **Pike Research 3 AMI = Advanced Metering Infrastructure LAN = local area network; PLC = power line communication; RF = radio frequency; WAN = wide area networks
4.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. Smart Meters in the United States thru 2012 4 Source: US Energy Information Administration By the end of 2012 30 million smart meters will have been installed Type & Number of Utilities with AMI Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation Total Investor Owned 108 13,880,141 1,452,929 24,728 36 15,357,834 Cooperative 342 3,416,336 323,082 27,542 0 3,766,960 Municipal 184 278,198 44,757 2,471 0 325,426 Public & State 29 795,233 84,215 4,826 31 884,305 Totals 663 18,369,908 1,904,983 59,567 67 20,334,525 In 2010,1 663 U.S. electric utilities had 20,334,525 advanced ("smart") metering infrastructure (AMI) installations. About 76% were installed by investor owned utilities and about 90% were residential customer installations. 1 Year for which most recent data is available. AMI = Advanced Metering Infrastructure
5.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. Next Steps… 5 Outage Management Customer Initiated Demand Management Advanced System Planning Integrated Distributed Resources AMI Asset Management Renewable Integration Distribution ManagementReal Time Demand Forecasting Newly Envisioned Future Full Range Integrated System Growing Status Quo AMI = Advanced Metering Infrastructure
6.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. Where Do We Focus as Value Shifts Away From Smart Meters? Applications or Architecture? • Use a standards-based approach – Apply standards in developing smart grid infrastructure to economic and longevity reasons – Why not leverage the consumer – What is the role of cellular, Wi-Fi® • Should we incorporate existing, ubiquitous communications technologies • What is the role for IP-based communications systems? – Apply Internet-based protocols (where available) as the standard for transport layer • How do we complement/augment centralized with distributed processing – Distribute the processing/intelligence to help alleviate latency and cost-of- transport issues associated with the anticipated heavy volumes of data • What is the role for Edge Diagnostics – Leverage multiple and existing communications – Local data access – Distributed processing 6 Wi-Fi = wireless fidelity Wi-Fi is a registered trademark of the Wi-Fi Alliance Corporation in the United States and/or other countries.
7.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. What Is the Role of Cellular? TOTAL CELLULAR •Total cellular connections estimated at ~6.3 billion, while total global population at >7 billion Wireless Intelligence, Jul. ¹12, UN Database, Dec. ¹11 3G/4G •~1.8 billion 3G connections globally as of Q2 2012, ~28% of total mobile connections, leaving a long runway for growth Wireless Intelligence, Jul. Œ12 •2G connections expected to begin declining starting from 2014 Wireless Intelligence, Jul. Œ12 •~85 million 3G connections were added during Q2 2012, or about ~1 million new connections / day Wireless Intelligence, Jul. Œ12 •~3.4 billion estimated 3G connections by 2016 Wireless Intelligence, Jul. Œ12 •89 LTE networks launched in 45 countries, 280 commitments in 90 countries GSA as of Jul. '12 M2M •Machine-to-Machine device connections globally will grow by a factor of 20 in the next 10 years (2011-2021) Analysis Mason, May '12 7 3G/4G = generation
8.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. Communications Approach – Benefits of Using Public Carrier Networks (1) CDMA Development Group; “Mobile Broadband Comparison”; March 2008 (2) Federal Communications Commission; “Connecting America: The National Broadband Plan”; March 2010 (3) SmartSynch webinar; June 9, 2010 (http://energycentral.fileburst.com/Product_webcasts /20100609_Cellular_Smart_Grid_SSI.swf) (4) Wireless Intelligence estimate 8 Commercial 3G/4G Networks Add Value to M2M Solutions Reliability and Security Used in government and finance sectors High Scalability 5 billion + connections worldwide (4) Affordable Cost Connectivity cost decreasing continuously (3) Standard Based Backed by 3GPP and 3GPP2 bodies Large Coverage 98% U.S. population is covered (2) Real-time Communications Average latency of milliseconds (1) Source: Qualcomm 3G/4G = generation M2M = machine to machine 3GPP = 3rd Generation Partnership Project 3GPP2 = is the standardization group for CDMA 2000
9.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. Applications leveraging cellular • Smart Metering – Full and selective – Utility & Customer Efficiencies • Customer Energy Management – Demand Side Management • Distribution Monitoring & Automation – Outage Management – Asset Management • Substation Monitoring – SCADA – Load Profiling • Communications Aggregation 9
10.
SAIC.com © SAIC. All
rights reserved. What Is the Role of Edge Analytics? Communications Node Enables Distributed Management • Communications nexus for an integrated network – WAN communications – LAN communications modularity (Wi-Fi®, PLC, ERT) – Distributed grid management enabled by local processing and memory – Energy sensing applications current, voltage, power quality, power factor 10 Source: Duke Energy, “Developing the Communications Platform to Enable a More Intelligent Grid” http://www.duke-energy.com/pdfs/OP-David-Masters-SmartGrid-Comm-Platform-02-01-11.pdf WAN = Wide Area Network; LAN = Local Area Network; Wi-Fi = wireless fidelity; PLC = power line communication; ERT = encoder, receiver, transmitter; RF = radio frequency; PEV = plug-in electric vehicle Wi-Fi is a registered trademark of the Wi-Fi Alliance Corporation in the United States and/or other countries.
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