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AAA Municipal Bond v. U.S. Treasury & Corporate Bonds
June 22, 2018
JR Rieger
jrrieger@yahoo.com | (516) 524-1110 | theriegerreport.com
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
6/22/2018
Municipal Bond Market: Key Takeaways
• AAA & AA Tax Exempt Nominal Yields:
• Munis appear rich across the curve relative to high quality corporate bonds such as Apple Inc.
• Munis appear attractive relative to the S&P 500 Dividend Yield (current indicated yield) from 3 year maturity range and
longer.
• Munis are rich relative to U.S. Treasury bond yields in the 0 – 10 year range and become attractive again at the 20 year
maturity range and longer.
• Taxable Equivalent Yields:
• In the 0 – 5 year range Taxable Equivalent Yields (TEY) for most tax brackets show AAA municipal bonds also still are rich
relative U.S. Treasury bond yields.
• Out longer, i.e. the 10 year and longer range, Taxable Equivalent Yields for most tax brackets show munis are of value relative
to U.S. Treasury bonds.
• When comparing munis to high quality corporate bonds, such as Apple Inc., AAA muni Taxable Equivalent Yields for the
higher tax brackets are competitive. At lower tax brackets, Apple Inc. bond yields remain relatively favorable in comparison
to AAA municipal bond Taxable Equivalent Yields.
• Bond ETFs:
• The larger municipal bond ETFs indicate a value from a Taxable Equivalent Yield perspective relative to the taxable yield of
large corporate bond ETFs given the shorter duration and higher quality of the municipal bond ETFs in general.
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
6/22/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields as % other Asset Class Yields
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
3 Year 5 Year 7 Year 10 Year 30 Year
% of U.S. Treasury % of S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of Apple Inc Bond Yields
Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the
Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and MBIS www.mbis.com, U.S. Treasury yields sourced from the U.S.
Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the S&P 500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices
www.spdji.com . Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only.
Nominal long end
AAA muni yields at
parity to US
Treasury and well
above S&P 500
Dividend Yield but
only 76% of Apple
Inc. corporate bond
yields.
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
6/22/2018
AA Municipal Bond Yields as % of other Asset Class Yields
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
3 Year 5 Year 7 Year 10 Year 30 Year
% of U.S. Treasury % of S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of Apple Inc Bond Yields
Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the
Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and MBIS www.mbis.com, U.S. Treasury yields sourced from the U.S.
Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the S&P 500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices
www.spdji.com . Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only.
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from The Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and
MBIS www.mbis.com , U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the
S&P 500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices www.spdji.com . Chart is provided for illustrative purposes
only.
1.92
75%
81%
91%
100%
101%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
1.25
1.75
2.25
2.75
3.25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
%ofUSTYield
Yield%
Year
6/22/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields
AAA Muni Yield US Treasury Yield S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of UST Yield
S&P 500 Dividend Yield
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
6/22/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
U.S. Treasury Bond Yields
AAA Muni UST TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 12% TEY 10%
Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS
Municipal Yield Curves, U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for
illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
6/22/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields
AAA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10%
Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer
Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent
Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
6/22/2018
AA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields
AA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10%
Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer
Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury
www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
6/22/2018
Bond Exchange Traded Funds (a sampling)
• The Larger Investment Grade Municipal Bond ETFs:
• Tend to have shorter durations than larger investment grade corporate bond ETFs. This is a natural reflection of the
investment grade municipal bond market – which is currently tracking approximately 2.5 years shorter in duration to
corporate bonds.
• Have comparable Taxable Equivalent Yields (TEYs) relative to investment grade corporate bond ETFs. (When using the highest
tax bracket (37%) in the calculation)
Note: Not all municipal and corporate bond ETFs selected for the example table on page 10.
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: VanEck www.vaneck.com, iShares by BlackRock www.ishares.com, and The Vanguard Group
www.vanguard.com. Table is provided for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. TEY =
Taxable Equivalent Yield calculated at an assumed 37% tax rate.
6/22/2018
I.G. Municipal Bond ETFs v. I. G. Corporate Bond ETFs
Intermediate National
Municipal Bond
National Municipal
Bond
National Municipal Bond Intermediate
Corporate Bond
I.G. Corporate Bond
VanEck Vectors AMT-Free
Intermediate Municipal
(ITM)
iShares National
Municipal
(MUB)
Vanguard National
Municipal
(VTEB)
Vanguard
Intermediate-Term
Corporate
(VCIT)
iShares iBoxx
Investment Grade
Corporate
(LQD)
Yield 2.47%
(TEY at 37% = 3.92%)
2.4%
(TEY at 37% = 3.81%)
2.49%
(TEY at 37% = 3.95%)
4.07% 4.12%
Duration 6.9 5.95 5.6 7.5 8.4
Assets Under
Management
$1.6billion $9.67billion $3.2billion $18.4billion $32.1billion
Management
Fee
24bps 7bps (25bps prior to
18bps in fee wavers until
May 2023)
9bps 7bps 15bps
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
• Municipal bond yields: the Bond Buyer Data Workstation
https://dataworkstation.bondbuyer.com/
• Municipal bond yields: MBIS https://mbis.com/
• Apple Inc. bond yields: SQX https://sqx.com/
• U.S. Treasury bond yields: U.S. Department of Treasury
https://www.treasury.gov
Sources Used in this Report
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Notes:
• Taxable Equivalent Yield = Tax Exempt Yield / (1 – Federal Tax Rate)
• 2018 tax brackets, however not all tax brackets are represented
herein
• End of day yields are used
June 22, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Copyright © 2018 Rieger Report LLC. All rights reserved. Redistribution in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission of the Rieger Report LLC. All information
provided by the Rieger Report LLC is for informational purposes only, impersonal, and not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group or persons. It should not be
considered financial advice. The Rieger Report LLC receives compensation in connection with licensing its research, advertising on its website, speaking and consulting services.
Past performance of any investment product or index referenced in the Rieger Report is not an indication of or guarantee of future results.
The Rieger Report LLC is not an investment advisor, and the Rieger Report LLC makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in any such investment fund or other
investment vehicle. A decision to invest in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle should not be made in reliance on any statements set forth in this document.
Prospective investors are advised to make an investment in any such fund or other vehicle only after carefully considering the risks associated with investing in such funds, as
detailed in an offering memorandum or similar document that is prepared by or on behalf of the issuer of the investment fund or other investment product or vehicle. A financial
advisor should be contacted to determine what may be best for your individual needs. The Rieger Report LLC is not a financial or tax advisor. A tax advisor should be consulted to
evaluate the impact of any tax-exempt securities on portfolios and the tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. No legal relationship is created between
you and Rieger Report LLC.
The Rieger Report LLC does not act as a fiduciary or investment advisor. While the Rieger Report LLC has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, the Rieger
Report LLC does not perform any audit or undertake verification of any information it receives.
The Rieger Report Rankings are opinions of relative ranking among the peer group analyzed as of the date expressed and not statements of facts. Rieger Report model portfolios
are intended for illustration only. Any opinion or analysis decisions are not to be construed as recommendations to purchase, hold or sell any securities or to make any investment
decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security. The Rieger Report LLC does not assume any obligation to update the content in this publication in any form or format.
Your use of any information from this document or presentation is at your own risk and without recourse against Rieger Report LLC, its members, managers, or employees. To the
maximum extent permitted by law, Rieger Report LLC disclaims any and all liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, and/or opinions prove to be inaccurate,
incomplete or unreliable, or result in any investment or other losses.

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Rieger report june 22 2018 munis corporates

  • 1. AAA Municipal Bond v. U.S. Treasury & Corporate Bonds June 22, 2018 JR Rieger jrrieger@yahoo.com | (516) 524-1110 | theriegerreport.com
  • 2. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 6/22/2018 Municipal Bond Market: Key Takeaways • AAA & AA Tax Exempt Nominal Yields: • Munis appear rich across the curve relative to high quality corporate bonds such as Apple Inc. • Munis appear attractive relative to the S&P 500 Dividend Yield (current indicated yield) from 3 year maturity range and longer. • Munis are rich relative to U.S. Treasury bond yields in the 0 – 10 year range and become attractive again at the 20 year maturity range and longer. • Taxable Equivalent Yields: • In the 0 – 5 year range Taxable Equivalent Yields (TEY) for most tax brackets show AAA municipal bonds also still are rich relative U.S. Treasury bond yields. • Out longer, i.e. the 10 year and longer range, Taxable Equivalent Yields for most tax brackets show munis are of value relative to U.S. Treasury bonds. • When comparing munis to high quality corporate bonds, such as Apple Inc., AAA muni Taxable Equivalent Yields for the higher tax brackets are competitive. At lower tax brackets, Apple Inc. bond yields remain relatively favorable in comparison to AAA municipal bond Taxable Equivalent Yields. • Bond ETFs: • The larger municipal bond ETFs indicate a value from a Taxable Equivalent Yield perspective relative to the taxable yield of large corporate bond ETFs given the shorter duration and higher quality of the municipal bond ETFs in general.
  • 3. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 6/22/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields as % other Asset Class Yields 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 3 Year 5 Year 7 Year 10 Year 30 Year % of U.S. Treasury % of S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of Apple Inc Bond Yields Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and MBIS www.mbis.com, U.S. Treasury yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the S&P 500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices www.spdji.com . Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. Nominal long end AAA muni yields at parity to US Treasury and well above S&P 500 Dividend Yield but only 76% of Apple Inc. corporate bond yields.
  • 4. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 6/22/2018 AA Municipal Bond Yields as % of other Asset Class Yields 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 3 Year 5 Year 7 Year 10 Year 30 Year % of U.S. Treasury % of S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of Apple Inc Bond Yields Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and MBIS www.mbis.com, U.S. Treasury yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the S&P 500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices www.spdji.com . Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only.
  • 5. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from The Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and MBIS www.mbis.com , U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the S&P 500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices www.spdji.com . Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. 1.92 75% 81% 91% 100% 101% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 105% 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 %ofUSTYield Yield% Year 6/22/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields AAA Muni Yield US Treasury Yield S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of UST Yield S&P 500 Dividend Yield
  • 6. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Yield% Year 6/22/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent Yields v. U.S. Treasury Bond Yields AAA Muni UST TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 12% TEY 10% Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS Municipal Yield Curves, U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
  • 7. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Yield% Year 6/22/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent Yields v. Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields AAA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10% Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
  • 8. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Yield% Year 6/22/2018 AA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent Yields v. Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields AA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10% Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
  • 9. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 6/22/2018 Bond Exchange Traded Funds (a sampling) • The Larger Investment Grade Municipal Bond ETFs: • Tend to have shorter durations than larger investment grade corporate bond ETFs. This is a natural reflection of the investment grade municipal bond market – which is currently tracking approximately 2.5 years shorter in duration to corporate bonds. • Have comparable Taxable Equivalent Yields (TEYs) relative to investment grade corporate bond ETFs. (When using the highest tax bracket (37%) in the calculation) Note: Not all municipal and corporate bond ETFs selected for the example table on page 10.
  • 10. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Data as of 6/22/2018. Sources: VanEck www.vaneck.com, iShares by BlackRock www.ishares.com, and The Vanguard Group www.vanguard.com. Table is provided for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield calculated at an assumed 37% tax rate. 6/22/2018 I.G. Municipal Bond ETFs v. I. G. Corporate Bond ETFs Intermediate National Municipal Bond National Municipal Bond National Municipal Bond Intermediate Corporate Bond I.G. Corporate Bond VanEck Vectors AMT-Free Intermediate Municipal (ITM) iShares National Municipal (MUB) Vanguard National Municipal (VTEB) Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate (VCIT) iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate (LQD) Yield 2.47% (TEY at 37% = 3.92%) 2.4% (TEY at 37% = 3.81%) 2.49% (TEY at 37% = 3.95%) 4.07% 4.12% Duration 6.9 5.95 5.6 7.5 8.4 Assets Under Management $1.6billion $9.67billion $3.2billion $18.4billion $32.1billion Management Fee 24bps 7bps (25bps prior to 18bps in fee wavers until May 2023) 9bps 7bps 15bps
  • 11. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com • Municipal bond yields: the Bond Buyer Data Workstation https://dataworkstation.bondbuyer.com/ • Municipal bond yields: MBIS https://mbis.com/ • Apple Inc. bond yields: SQX https://sqx.com/ • U.S. Treasury bond yields: U.S. Department of Treasury https://www.treasury.gov Sources Used in this Report
  • 12. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Notes: • Taxable Equivalent Yield = Tax Exempt Yield / (1 – Federal Tax Rate) • 2018 tax brackets, however not all tax brackets are represented herein • End of day yields are used
  • 13. June 22, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Copyright © 2018 Rieger Report LLC. All rights reserved. Redistribution in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission of the Rieger Report LLC. All information provided by the Rieger Report LLC is for informational purposes only, impersonal, and not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group or persons. It should not be considered financial advice. The Rieger Report LLC receives compensation in connection with licensing its research, advertising on its website, speaking and consulting services. Past performance of any investment product or index referenced in the Rieger Report is not an indication of or guarantee of future results. The Rieger Report LLC is not an investment advisor, and the Rieger Report LLC makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle. A decision to invest in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle should not be made in reliance on any statements set forth in this document. Prospective investors are advised to make an investment in any such fund or other vehicle only after carefully considering the risks associated with investing in such funds, as detailed in an offering memorandum or similar document that is prepared by or on behalf of the issuer of the investment fund or other investment product or vehicle. A financial advisor should be contacted to determine what may be best for your individual needs. The Rieger Report LLC is not a financial or tax advisor. A tax advisor should be consulted to evaluate the impact of any tax-exempt securities on portfolios and the tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. No legal relationship is created between you and Rieger Report LLC. The Rieger Report LLC does not act as a fiduciary or investment advisor. While the Rieger Report LLC has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, the Rieger Report LLC does not perform any audit or undertake verification of any information it receives. The Rieger Report Rankings are opinions of relative ranking among the peer group analyzed as of the date expressed and not statements of facts. Rieger Report model portfolios are intended for illustration only. Any opinion or analysis decisions are not to be construed as recommendations to purchase, hold or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security. The Rieger Report LLC does not assume any obligation to update the content in this publication in any form or format. Your use of any information from this document or presentation is at your own risk and without recourse against Rieger Report LLC, its members, managers, or employees. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Rieger Report LLC disclaims any and all liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, and/or opinions prove to be inaccurate, incomplete or unreliable, or result in any investment or other losses.