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AAA Municipal Bond v. U.S. Treasury & Corporate Bonds
June 15, 2018
JR Rieger
jrrieger@yahoo.com | (516) 524-1110 | theriegerreport.com
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
6/15/2018
Municipal Bond Market: Key Takeaways
• Nominal yields: Post QE: muni nominal yields now appear rich relative to short term historical pattern. Nominal yields for 20 year
and longer AAA municipal bonds are equal to or are modestly higher than U.S. Treasury bond yields. (Pre QE the muni to treasury
yield ratio was in the 80% - 85% range)
• Taxable equivalent yields:
• In the 0 – 10 year range most Taxable Equivalent Yields (TEY) for AAA municipal bonds still show value for most tax brackets.
• On the longer end of the curve, AAA munis and their TEYs show value for the higher tax brackets(37% and 35%) as those
brackets tend to benefit most from the tax exempt interest.
• Munis v. high quality corporate bonds, such as Apple Inc., AAA muni Taxable Equivalent Yields for the higher tax brackets are
competitive. At lower tax brackets, Apple Inc. bond yields remain relatively favorable in comparison to AAA municipal bonds
yields.
• Bond ETFs:
• The larger investment grade municipal bond ETFs tend to have shorter duration than investment grade corporate bond ETFs
and TEYs that are comparable when using the highest tax bracket (37%).
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: The Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation, MBIS Municipal Yield Curves, U.S.
Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield.
73%
80%
90%
100%
101%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
1.25
1.75
2.25
2.75
3.25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
%ofUSTYield
Yield%
Year
6/15/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields v. U.S. Treasury Bond
AAA Muni Yield US Treasury Yield % of UST Yield
Historical Average (Pre Quantitative Easing)
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
6/15/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields
AAA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10%
Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal data sourced from the Bond Buyer Data
Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS Municipal Yield Curves. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury
www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield.
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
6/15/2018
AA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields
AA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10%
Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal data sourced from the Bond Buyer Data
Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS Municipal Yield Curves. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury
www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield.
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
6/15/2018
Bond Exchange Traded Funds (a sampling)
• The Larger Investment Grade Municipal Bond ETFs:
• Tend to have shorter durations than larger investment grade corporate bond ETFs. This is a natural reflectiong of the
investment grade municipal bond market – which is currently tracking approximately 2.5 years shorter in duration to
corporate bonds.
• Have comparable Taxable Equivalent Yields (TEYs) relative to investment grade corporate bond ETFs. (When using the highest
tax bracket (37%) in the calculation)
Note: Not all municipal and corporate bond ETFs selected for the example table on page 7.
Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: VanEck www.vaneck.com, iShares by BlackRock www.ishares.com, The Vanguard Group
www.vanguard.com. Table is provided for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. TEY =
Taxable Equivalent Yield calculated at an assumed 37% tax rate.
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: VanEck www.vaneck.com, iShares by BlackRock www.ishares.com, The Vanguard Group
www.vanguard.com. Table is provided for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. TEY =
Taxable Equivalent Yield calculated at an assumed 37% tax rate.
6/15/2018
I.G. Municipal Bond ETFs v. I. G. Corporate Bond ETFs
Intermediate National
Municipal Bond
National Municipal
Bond
National Municipal Bond Intermediate
Corporate Bond
I.G. Corporate Bond
VanEck Vectors AMT-Free
Intermediate Municipal
(ITM)
iShares National
Municipal
(MUB)
Vanguard National
Municipal
(VTEB)
Vanguard
Intermediate-Term
Corporate
(VCIT)
iShares iBoxx
Investment Grade
Corporate
(LQD)
Yield 2.49%
(TEY at 37% = 3.95%)
2.39%
(TEY at 37% = 3.79%)
2.52%
(TEY at 37% = 4%)
4.07% 4.09%
Duration 6.94 5.95 5.6 6.4 8.43
Assets Under
Management
$1.6billion $9.5billion $3.2billion $20.1billion $32.1billion
Management
Fee
24bps 7bps (25bps prior to
18bps in fee wavers until
May 2023)
9bps 7bps 15bps
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
• Municipal bond yields: the Bond Buyer Data Workstation
https://dataworkstation.bondbuyer.com/
• Municipal bond yields: MBIS https://mbis.com/
• Apple Inc. bond yields: SQX https://sqx.com/
• U.S. Treasury bond yields: U.S. Department of Treasury
https://www.treasury.gov
Sources Used in this Report
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Notes:
• Taxable Equivalent Yield = Tax Exempt Yield / (1 – Federal Tax Rate)
• 2018 tax brackets, however not all tax brackets are represented
herein.
• End of day yields are used.
June 15, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Copyright Š 2018 Rieger Report LLC. All rights reserved. Redistribution in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission of the Rieger Report LLC. All information
provided by the Rieger Report LLC is for informational purposes only, impersonal, and not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group or persons. It should not be
considered financial advice. The Rieger Report LLC receives compensation in connection with licensing its research, advertising on its website, speaking and consulting services.
Past performance of any investment product or index referenced in the Rieger Report is not an indication of or guarantee of future results.
The Rieger Report LLC is not an investment advisor, and the Rieger Report LLC makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in any such investment fund or other
investment vehicle. A decision to invest in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle should not be made in reliance on any statements set forth in this document.
Prospective investors are advised to make an investment in any such fund or other vehicle only after carefully considering the risks associated with investing in such funds, as
detailed in an offering memorandum or similar document that is prepared by or on behalf of the issuer of the investment fund or other investment product or vehicle. A financial
advisor should be contacted to determine what may be best for your individual needs. The Rieger Report LLC is not a financial or tax advisor. A tax advisor should be consulted to
evaluate the impact of any tax-exempt securities on portfolios and the tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. No legal relationship is created between
you and Rieger Report LLC.
The Rieger Report LLC does not act as a fiduciary or investment advisor. While the Rieger Report LLC has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, the Rieger
Report LLC does not perform any audit or undertake verification of any information it receives.
The Rieger Report Rankings are opinions of relative ranking among the peer group analyzed as of the date expressed and not statements of facts. Rieger Report model portfolios
are intended for illustration only. Any opinion or analysis decisions are not to be construed as recommendations to purchase, hold or sell any securities or to make any investment
decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security. The Rieger Report LLC does not assume any obligation to update the content in this publication in any form or format.
Your use of any information from this document or presentation is at your own risk and without recourse against Rieger Report LLC, its members, managers, or employees. To the
maximum extent permitted by law, Rieger Report LLC disclaims any and all liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, and/or opinions prove to be inaccurate,
incomplete or unreliable, or result in any investment or other losses.

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Rieger report june 17 2018 munis corporates

  • 1. AAA Municipal Bond v. U.S. Treasury & Corporate Bonds June 15, 2018 JR Rieger jrrieger@yahoo.com | (516) 524-1110 | theriegerreport.com
  • 2. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 6/15/2018 Municipal Bond Market: Key Takeaways • Nominal yields: Post QE: muni nominal yields now appear rich relative to short term historical pattern. Nominal yields for 20 year and longer AAA municipal bonds are equal to or are modestly higher than U.S. Treasury bond yields. (Pre QE the muni to treasury yield ratio was in the 80% - 85% range) • Taxable equivalent yields: • In the 0 – 10 year range most Taxable Equivalent Yields (TEY) for AAA municipal bonds still show value for most tax brackets. • On the longer end of the curve, AAA munis and their TEYs show value for the higher tax brackets(37% and 35%) as those brackets tend to benefit most from the tax exempt interest. • Munis v. high quality corporate bonds, such as Apple Inc., AAA muni Taxable Equivalent Yields for the higher tax brackets are competitive. At lower tax brackets, Apple Inc. bond yields remain relatively favorable in comparison to AAA municipal bonds yields. • Bond ETFs: • The larger investment grade municipal bond ETFs tend to have shorter duration than investment grade corporate bond ETFs and TEYs that are comparable when using the highest tax bracket (37%).
  • 3. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: The Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation, MBIS Municipal Yield Curves, U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield. 73% 80% 90% 100% 101% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 105% 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 %ofUSTYield Yield% Year 6/15/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields v. U.S. Treasury Bond AAA Muni Yield US Treasury Yield % of UST Yield Historical Average (Pre Quantitative Easing)
  • 4. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Yield% Year 6/15/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent Yields v. Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields AAA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10% Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal data sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS Municipal Yield Curves. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield.
  • 5. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Yield% Year 6/15/2018 AA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent Yields v. Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields AA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10% Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal data sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS Municipal Yield Curves. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield.
  • 6. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 6/15/2018 Bond Exchange Traded Funds (a sampling) • The Larger Investment Grade Municipal Bond ETFs: • Tend to have shorter durations than larger investment grade corporate bond ETFs. This is a natural reflectiong of the investment grade municipal bond market – which is currently tracking approximately 2.5 years shorter in duration to corporate bonds. • Have comparable Taxable Equivalent Yields (TEYs) relative to investment grade corporate bond ETFs. (When using the highest tax bracket (37%) in the calculation) Note: Not all municipal and corporate bond ETFs selected for the example table on page 7. Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: VanEck www.vaneck.com, iShares by BlackRock www.ishares.com, The Vanguard Group www.vanguard.com. Table is provided for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield calculated at an assumed 37% tax rate.
  • 7. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Data as of 6/15/2018. Sources: VanEck www.vaneck.com, iShares by BlackRock www.ishares.com, The Vanguard Group www.vanguard.com. Table is provided for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield calculated at an assumed 37% tax rate. 6/15/2018 I.G. Municipal Bond ETFs v. I. G. Corporate Bond ETFs Intermediate National Municipal Bond National Municipal Bond National Municipal Bond Intermediate Corporate Bond I.G. Corporate Bond VanEck Vectors AMT-Free Intermediate Municipal (ITM) iShares National Municipal (MUB) Vanguard National Municipal (VTEB) Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate (VCIT) iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate (LQD) Yield 2.49% (TEY at 37% = 3.95%) 2.39% (TEY at 37% = 3.79%) 2.52% (TEY at 37% = 4%) 4.07% 4.09% Duration 6.94 5.95 5.6 6.4 8.43 Assets Under Management $1.6billion $9.5billion $3.2billion $20.1billion $32.1billion Management Fee 24bps 7bps (25bps prior to 18bps in fee wavers until May 2023) 9bps 7bps 15bps
  • 8. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com • Municipal bond yields: the Bond Buyer Data Workstation https://dataworkstation.bondbuyer.com/ • Municipal bond yields: MBIS https://mbis.com/ • Apple Inc. bond yields: SQX https://sqx.com/ • U.S. Treasury bond yields: U.S. Department of Treasury https://www.treasury.gov Sources Used in this Report
  • 9. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Notes: • Taxable Equivalent Yield = Tax Exempt Yield / (1 – Federal Tax Rate) • 2018 tax brackets, however not all tax brackets are represented herein. • End of day yields are used.
  • 10. June 15, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Copyright Š 2018 Rieger Report LLC. All rights reserved. Redistribution in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission of the Rieger Report LLC. All information provided by the Rieger Report LLC is for informational purposes only, impersonal, and not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group or persons. It should not be considered financial advice. The Rieger Report LLC receives compensation in connection with licensing its research, advertising on its website, speaking and consulting services. Past performance of any investment product or index referenced in the Rieger Report is not an indication of or guarantee of future results. The Rieger Report LLC is not an investment advisor, and the Rieger Report LLC makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle. A decision to invest in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle should not be made in reliance on any statements set forth in this document. Prospective investors are advised to make an investment in any such fund or other vehicle only after carefully considering the risks associated with investing in such funds, as detailed in an offering memorandum or similar document that is prepared by or on behalf of the issuer of the investment fund or other investment product or vehicle. A financial advisor should be contacted to determine what may be best for your individual needs. The Rieger Report LLC is not a financial or tax advisor. A tax advisor should be consulted to evaluate the impact of any tax-exempt securities on portfolios and the tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. No legal relationship is created between you and Rieger Report LLC. The Rieger Report LLC does not act as a fiduciary or investment advisor. While the Rieger Report LLC has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, the Rieger Report LLC does not perform any audit or undertake verification of any information it receives. The Rieger Report Rankings are opinions of relative ranking among the peer group analyzed as of the date expressed and not statements of facts. Rieger Report model portfolios are intended for illustration only. Any opinion or analysis decisions are not to be construed as recommendations to purchase, hold or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security. The Rieger Report LLC does not assume any obligation to update the content in this publication in any form or format. Your use of any information from this document or presentation is at your own risk and without recourse against Rieger Report LLC, its members, managers, or employees. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Rieger Report LLC disclaims any and all liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, and/or opinions prove to be inaccurate, incomplete or unreliable, or result in any investment or other losses.