SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 21
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
U.S. employment situation: September 2013
Release date: October 22, 2013
Healthier growth returned in February,
but variance remains
U.S. employment situation: February 2016 March 4, 2016
February 2016 employment summary
• After a slow January, February returned back to normal levels of grow with 242,000 net new jobs. Although year-to-date figures are down
compared to 2015, January saw significant upward revisions to 172,000 jobs, improving the year’s initial performance. Despite global tensions
and economic shifts, the U.S. economy seems to be holding its own, although certain sectors such as energy and trade could be impacted by
fluctuations in domestic and international demand.
• Hourly wage growth fell slightly to 2.2 percent, but is still outperforming inflation at 0.0 percent. Over the past two years, wages have
increased 3.8 times faster than inflation; while this should be increasing consumer spending, the personal consumption expenditures
component of GDP has fallen in seasonally adjusted annual terms to 1.5 percent, compared to the 2015 average of 1.8 percent.
• Unemployment remained steady at 4.9 percent in February, keeping it below 5.0 percent for the second month since before the recession. On
the other hand, total unemployment dipped by 20 basis points to 9.7 percent as the number of marginally detached workers continues to
decline.
• At the industry level, most subsectors witnessed some level of improvement, while mining and logging contracted yet again by 18,000. More
volatile was manufacturing, which dropped into negative territory in February as well, along with transportation and warehousing. Professional
and business services (PBS), previously the consistent leader in the recovery, is still growing, albeit at a slower rate than education and
health, retail trade and leisure and hospitality, in turn bringing down office-using industries’ contributions to monthly gains.
• High-performing local markets continue to add jobs at a blistering pace, although their rates of growth have begun to soften as talent
shortages and a lack of slack in the labor market make current absolute levels of growth more difficult. Silicon Valley once again led the pack
with 4.4-percent growth, while tech hubs such as San Francisco and Portland aren’t far behind at 3.7 and 3.8 percent, respectively. At 3.0 and
2.9 percent, Atlanta and Dallas continue to witness the positive effects of diverse corporate expansion and migration, as rapid employment
growth is translating into demand for space, aided by structurally high vacancy providing increased and more affordable options for tenants.
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
February 2016 labor market at a glance
+242,000
(65 consecutive months
of growth)
1-month net change
+2,672,000
(+1.9% y-o-y)
12-month change
+779,000
10-year average annual growth
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
4.9%
Unemployment rate
-60bp
12-month change in unemployment
7.0%
10-year average unemployment
5,607,000
(+3.8% y-o-y)
Job openings
5,361,000
(+2.3% y-o-y)
Hires
3,055,000
(+2.1% y-o-y)
Quits
242,000 net new jobs in February brings growth back to normal
levels; January revised upwards for YTD gains of 414,000
360,000
226,000
243,000
96,000
110,000
88,000
106,000
122,000
221,000
183,000
164,000
196,000
360,000
226,000
243,000
96,000
110,000
88,000
160,000
150,000
161,000
225,000
203,000
214,000
197,000
280,000
141,000
203,000
199,000
201,000
149,000
202,000
164,000
237,000
274,000
84,000
166,000
188,000
225,000
330,000
236,000
286,000
249,000
213,000
250,000
221,000
423,000
329,000
221,000
265,000
84,000
251,000
273,000
228,000
277,000
150,000
149,000
295,000
280,000
262,000
172,000
242,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
1-monthnetchange
4
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Unemployment remained stable at 4.9 percent as job and labor
force growth even each other out
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
-1,000.0
-800.0
-600.0
-400.0
-200.0
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
Unemploymentrate(%)
1-monthnetchange(thousands)
Monthly employment change Unemployment rate
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
5
At the end of 2015, job openings evened out to a steady rate of
roughly 5,300 per month, but have yet to rise further
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
6
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Jobopenings(thousands)
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
Consumerconfidenceindex
Although consumer confidence dropped to 92.2 in February, it
has stayed within a similar range for past six months
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
7
Wage growth still well above CPI growth, but slowing; over past
two years, up 4.2 percent vs. 1.1 percent for inflation
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
8
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
12-month%change
Hourly wage growth CPI growth
-18.0
-16.0
-12.0
-9.8
-5.3
-4.0
0.7
2.0
2.0
6.0
12.0
12.0
17.0
19.0
23.0
48.0
54.9
57.4
86.0
-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Mining and logging
Manufacturing
Durable goods
Temporary help services
Transportation and warehousing
Nondurable goods
Wholesale trade
Utilities
Motor vehicles and parts
Financial activities
Government
Information
Other services
Construction
Professional and business services
Leisure and hospitality
Retail trade
Health care and social assistance
Education and health services
1-month net change (thousands)
Monthly subsector gains improved in most cases compared to
January, but PBS increases remains below previous levels
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
9
Education and health
Retail trade
Leisure and hospitality
All other subsectors
Top three
subsectors
responsible for
78.1 percent of
monthly
growth.
-141.0
-34.0
11.2
12.0
27.3
41.0
46.0
51.7
66.0
68.0
75.0
86.0
142.0
253.0
338.6
446.0
610.0
634.5
698.0
-200 0 200 400 600 800
Mining and logging
Durable goods
Utilities
Manufacturing
Motor vehicles and parts
Information
Nondurable goods
Wholesale trade
Other services
Transportation and warehousing
Government
Temporary help services
Financial activities
Construction
Retail trade
Leisure and hospitality
Professional and business services
Health care and social assistance
Education and health services
12-month net change (thousands)
Education and health
PBS
Leisure and hospitality
Retail trade
Financial activities
Manufacturing
All other jobs
Education and health continues to grow its lead, with annual
gains approaching 700,000 jobs
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
10
Core subsectors added 84.1 percent
of all jobs over the past 12 months.
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
Unemploymentrate(%)
For the seventh consecutive month, bachelor’s degree
unemployment remains at natural low of 2.5 percent
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
11
Stunted PBS growth pulling down the office-using industries,
although information is making a comeback
-300
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Information Professional and business services Financial activities
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
12
Tech dropped below the 6.0-percent threshold for the first time
since 2014 as talent shortage makes sustained growth difficult
-11.0
-9.0
-7.0
-5.0
-3.0
-1.0
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
High-tech Energy, Mining, and Utilities Office-using industries Total non-farm
Source: JLL Research, Moody’s. Note: Due to data lags, high-tech employment only available through January 2015.
13
12-month%change(jobs)
Energy up by 20 basis points to -6.9 percent, but still shedding
jobs at an accelerated rate
Year-on-year percent employment growth
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
14
Initial claims are rising slightly, but have yet to break the
285,000 mark
Source: JLL Research, U.S. Department of Labor
15
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
650,000
700,000
Claims
Initial claims 4-week moving average
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Hiresandquits(thousands)
Hires Quits
Employee confidence surged at the end of 2015, with quits
breaking the 3.0-million mark
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Although still above average, leading metro areas seeing slight
slowdown in growth as job creation becomes difficult to sustain
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
17
Silicon Valley
4.4%
San
Francisco
3.7%
Atlanta
3.0%
Austin
3.8%
Salt Lake
City
3.0%
Portland
3.8%
Seattle
3.0%
Charlotte
3.3%
0.6%
0.8%
1.3%
1.7%
1.7%
2.2%
2.2%
2.2%
2.9%
3.0%
3.0%
4.4%
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0%
Chicago
Houston
Philadelphia
Boston
New York
Los Angeles
Washington, DC
South Florida
Dallas
Seattle
Atlanta
San Francisco
12-month % change
Among key markets, West Coast and Sun Belt continue to lead
by a significant margin
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
18
Total unemployment dipped by 20bp to 9.7 percent as the
number of marginally detached workers falls
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
Total unemployment U-6 10-year average
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
19
The labor force participation rate rose moderately to 62.9
percent, offsetting potential declines in unemployment
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
20
60.0%
61.0%
62.0%
63.0%
64.0%
65.0%
66.0%
67.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Laborforceparticipationrate(%)
©2015 Jones Lang LaSalle Research IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
For more information, please contact:
Ben Breslau
Managing Director - Americas Research
Benjamin.Breslau@am.jll.com
Phil Ryan
Research Analyst – Office and Economy Research
Phil.Ryan@am.jll.com
Or, find more employment, business and real estate research at jll.com.
>>> Click here to check it out.

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

Was ist angesagt? (20)

What's on the horizon for the U.S. Skyline?
What's on the horizon for the U.S. Skyline?What's on the horizon for the U.S. Skyline?
What's on the horizon for the U.S. Skyline?
 
U.S. employment update and outlook: December 2014
U.S. employment update and outlook: December 2014U.S. employment update and outlook: December 2014
U.S. employment update and outlook: December 2014
 
Federal agency cybersecurity funding
Federal agency cybersecurity fundingFederal agency cybersecurity funding
Federal agency cybersecurity funding
 
September 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
September 2016 U.S. employment update and outlookSeptember 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
September 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
U.S. Construction Perspective Q3 2015
U.S. Construction Perspective Q3 2015U.S. Construction Perspective Q3 2015
U.S. Construction Perspective Q3 2015
 
U.S. office market statistics (Q4 2014) and 2015 outlook
U.S. office market statistics (Q4 2014) and 2015 outlook U.S. office market statistics (Q4 2014) and 2015 outlook
U.S. office market statistics (Q4 2014) and 2015 outlook
 
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlookQ1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
 
U.S. Office market statistics, trends and outlook: Q3 2015
U.S. Office market statistics, trends and outlook: Q3 2015U.S. Office market statistics, trends and outlook: Q3 2015
U.S. Office market statistics, trends and outlook: Q3 2015
 
U.S. office market statistics: Q3 2014
U.S. office market statistics: Q3 2014U.S. office market statistics: Q3 2014
U.S. office market statistics: Q3 2014
 
U.S. law firm revenues are up, but so are office rents.
U.S. law firm revenues are up, but so are office rents.U.S. law firm revenues are up, but so are office rents.
U.S. law firm revenues are up, but so are office rents.
 
Detroit's Year in Charts: 2015
Detroit's Year in Charts: 2015Detroit's Year in Charts: 2015
Detroit's Year in Charts: 2015
 
October 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
October 2016 U.S. employment update and outlookOctober 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
October 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
U.S. employment update and outlook: October 2014
U.S. employment update and outlook: October 2014U.S. employment update and outlook: October 2014
U.S. employment update and outlook: October 2014
 
U.S. employment update and outlook: November 2014
U.S. employment update and outlook: November 2014U.S. employment update and outlook: November 2014
U.S. employment update and outlook: November 2014
 
Plus Review 3Q 2010
Plus Review 3Q 2010Plus Review 3Q 2010
Plus Review 3Q 2010
 
Minneapolis–St. Paul Employment Update | September 2016
Minneapolis–St. Paul Employment Update | September 2016Minneapolis–St. Paul Employment Update | September 2016
Minneapolis–St. Paul Employment Update | September 2016
 
Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | December 2015
Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | December 2015Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | December 2015
Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | December 2015
 
Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | March 2016
Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | March 2016Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | March 2016
Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | March 2016
 
U.S. construction trends and outlook (Q4 2014)
U.S. construction trends and outlook (Q4 2014)U.S. construction trends and outlook (Q4 2014)
U.S. construction trends and outlook (Q4 2014)
 
Colliers na office_2014_q3_final
Colliers na office_2014_q3_finalColliers na office_2014_q3_final
Colliers na office_2014_q3_final
 

Andere mochten auch

Chapter 1 section 2: What is a Civillization notes
Chapter 1 section 2: What is a Civillization notesChapter 1 section 2: What is a Civillization notes
Chapter 1 section 2: What is a Civillization notes
quesoqueen
 
ΔΙΕΘΝΙΣΜΟΣ -ΠΑΓΚΟΣΜΙΟΠΟΙΗΣΗ
ΔΙΕΘΝΙΣΜΟΣ -ΠΑΓΚΟΣΜΙΟΠΟΙΗΣΗΔΙΕΘΝΙΣΜΟΣ -ΠΑΓΚΟΣΜΙΟΠΟΙΗΣΗ
ΔΙΕΘΝΙΣΜΟΣ -ΠΑΓΚΟΣΜΙΟΠΟΙΗΣΗ
Eleni Kots
 
ΕΛΛΑΔΑ -ΒΑΛΚΑΝΙΑ (ΕΙΡΗΝΗ)
ΕΛΛΑΔΑ -ΒΑΛΚΑΝΙΑ (ΕΙΡΗΝΗ)ΕΛΛΑΔΑ -ΒΑΛΚΑΝΙΑ (ΕΙΡΗΝΗ)
ΕΛΛΑΔΑ -ΒΑΛΚΑΝΙΑ (ΕΙΡΗΝΗ)
Eleni Kots
 

Andere mochten auch (20)

Industrial real estate in South Africa
Industrial real estate in South AfricaIndustrial real estate in South Africa
Industrial real estate in South Africa
 
Africa Press List - User-Client how to create a press release
Africa Press List - User-Client   how to create a press releaseAfrica Press List - User-Client   how to create a press release
Africa Press List - User-Client how to create a press release
 
THE INAUGURAL TOTAL MARKET INDUSTRY CONFERENCE AND CROSS-CULTURAL MARKETING...
THE INAUGURAL TOTAL MARKET INDUSTRY  CONFERENCE  AND CROSS-CULTURAL MARKETING...THE INAUGURAL TOTAL MARKET INDUSTRY  CONFERENCE  AND CROSS-CULTURAL MARKETING...
THE INAUGURAL TOTAL MARKET INDUSTRY CONFERENCE AND CROSS-CULTURAL MARKETING...
 
Chapter 1 section 2: What is a Civillization notes
Chapter 1 section 2: What is a Civillization notesChapter 1 section 2: What is a Civillization notes
Chapter 1 section 2: What is a Civillization notes
 
European Industrial & Logistics Capital Markets Q1 2016
European Industrial & Logistics Capital Markets Q1 2016	European Industrial & Logistics Capital Markets Q1 2016
European Industrial & Logistics Capital Markets Q1 2016
 
The Panic of 1837
The Panic of 1837The Panic of 1837
The Panic of 1837
 
Larong Pinoy Direct Marketing Promotions
Larong Pinoy Direct Marketing PromotionsLarong Pinoy Direct Marketing Promotions
Larong Pinoy Direct Marketing Promotions
 
Journey
JourneyJourney
Journey
 
Burr hamilton duel
Burr   hamilton duelBurr   hamilton duel
Burr hamilton duel
 
Manifest Destiny
Manifest DestinyManifest Destiny
Manifest Destiny
 
Carles tomas i puig del hipertexto al hipermedia
Carles tomas i puig del hipertexto al hipermediaCarles tomas i puig del hipertexto al hipermedia
Carles tomas i puig del hipertexto al hipermedia
 
Cross cultural issues in international marketing
Cross cultural issues in international marketingCross cultural issues in international marketing
Cross cultural issues in international marketing
 
ΔΙΕΘΝΙΣΜΟΣ -ΠΑΓΚΟΣΜΙΟΠΟΙΗΣΗ
ΔΙΕΘΝΙΣΜΟΣ -ΠΑΓΚΟΣΜΙΟΠΟΙΗΣΗΔΙΕΘΝΙΣΜΟΣ -ΠΑΓΚΟΣΜΙΟΠΟΙΗΣΗ
ΔΙΕΘΝΙΣΜΟΣ -ΠΑΓΚΟΣΜΙΟΠΟΙΗΣΗ
 
ΕΘΝΙΚΗ ΟΜΟΨΥΧΙΑ
ΕΘΝΙΚΗ ΟΜΟΨΥΧΙΑΕΘΝΙΚΗ ΟΜΟΨΥΧΙΑ
ΕΘΝΙΚΗ ΟΜΟΨΥΧΙΑ
 
ΕΙΡΗΝΗ -ΠΟΛΕΜΟΣ
ΕΙΡΗΝΗ -ΠΟΛΕΜΟΣΕΙΡΗΝΗ -ΠΟΛΕΜΟΣ
ΕΙΡΗΝΗ -ΠΟΛΕΜΟΣ
 
Portfolio 2015
Portfolio 2015Portfolio 2015
Portfolio 2015
 
ΕΛΛΑΔΑ -ΒΑΛΚΑΝΙΑ (ΕΙΡΗΝΗ)
ΕΛΛΑΔΑ -ΒΑΛΚΑΝΙΑ (ΕΙΡΗΝΗ)ΕΛΛΑΔΑ -ΒΑΛΚΑΝΙΑ (ΕΙΡΗΝΗ)
ΕΛΛΑΔΑ -ΒΑΛΚΑΝΙΑ (ΕΙΡΗΝΗ)
 
ΟΙΚΟΛΟΓΙΚΗ ΑΓΩΓΗ
ΟΙΚΟΛΟΓΙΚΗ ΑΓΩΓΗΟΙΚΟΛΟΓΙΚΗ ΑΓΩΓΗ
ΟΙΚΟΛΟΓΙΚΗ ΑΓΩΓΗ
 
ΕΛΕΥΘΕΡΙΑ
ΕΛΕΥΘΕΡΙΑΕΛΕΥΘΕΡΙΑ
ΕΛΕΥΘΕΡΙΑ
 
ΚΑΤΑΝΑΛΩΤΙΣΜΟΣ
ΚΑΤΑΝΑΛΩΤΙΣΜΟΣΚΑΤΑΝΑΛΩΤΙΣΜΟΣ
ΚΑΤΑΝΑΛΩΤΙΣΜΟΣ
 

Ähnlich wie March 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook

Ähnlich wie March 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook (20)

November 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
November 2015 U.S. employment update and outlookNovember 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
November 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
November 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
November 2016 U.S. employment update and outlookNovember 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
November 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
December 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
December 2015 U.S. employment update and outlookDecember 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
December 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
October 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
October 2015 U.S. employment update and outlookOctober 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
October 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
US employment rate data and trends – December 2016
US employment rate data and trends – December 2016 US employment rate data and trends – December 2016
US employment rate data and trends – December 2016
 
June 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
June 2015 U.S. employment update and outlookJune 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
June 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
U.S. unemployment rate data and trends: February 2014
U.S. unemployment rate data and trends: February 2014U.S. unemployment rate data and trends: February 2014
U.S. unemployment rate data and trends: February 2014
 
April 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
April 2015 U.S. employment update and outlookApril 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
April 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
May 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
May 2018 U.S. employment update and outlookMay 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
May 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
U.S. employment update and outlook: January 2015
U.S. employment update and outlook: January 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook: January 2015
U.S. employment update and outlook: January 2015
 
US employment rate data and trends – January 2017
US employment rate data and trends – January 2017US employment rate data and trends – January 2017
US employment rate data and trends – January 2017
 
U.S. employment rate data and trends: August 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends: August 2014 U.S. employment rate data and trends: August 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends: August 2014
 
U.S. employment rate data and trends June 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends June 2014U.S. employment rate data and trends June 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends June 2014
 
May 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
May 2015 U.S. employment update and outlookMay 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
May 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
September 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
September 2015 U.S. employment update and outlookSeptember 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
September 2015 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
May 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
May 2017 U.S. employment update and outlookMay 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
May 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
U.S. employment rate data and trends April 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends April 2014U.S. employment rate data and trends April 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends April 2014
 
U.S. employment rate data and trends: March 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends: March 2014U.S. employment rate data and trends: March 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends: March 2014
 
U.S. employment rate data and trends May 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends May 2014U.S. employment rate data and trends May 2014
U.S. employment rate data and trends May 2014
 
Minneapolis–St. Paul Employment Update | August 2016
Minneapolis–St. Paul Employment Update | August 2016Minneapolis–St. Paul Employment Update | August 2016
Minneapolis–St. Paul Employment Update | August 2016
 

Mehr von JLL

Mehr von JLL (20)

September 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
September 2018 U.S. employment update and outlookSeptember 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
September 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
August 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
August 2018 U.S. employment update and outlookAugust 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
August 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
July 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
July 2018 U.S. employment update and outlookJuly 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
July 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
June 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
June 2018 U.S. employment update and outlookJune 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
June 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
Capital Markets: Slicing the debt pie
Capital Markets: Slicing the debt pieCapital Markets: Slicing the debt pie
Capital Markets: Slicing the debt pie
 
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, March 2018
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, March 2018JLL Retail: Store closure summary, March 2018
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, March 2018
 
March 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
March 2018 U.S. employment update and outlookMarch 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
March 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
February 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
February 2018 U.S. employment update and outlookFebruary 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
February 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
January 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
January 2018 U.S. employment update and outlookJanuary 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
January 2018 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
December 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
December 2017 U.S. employment update and outlookDecember 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
December 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
JLL London Office Market Seminar
JLL London Office Market SeminarJLL London Office Market Seminar
JLL London Office Market Seminar
 
November 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
November 2017 U.S. employment update and outlookNovember 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
November 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
Central London Office Market Report Q3 2017
Central London Office Market Report Q3 2017Central London Office Market Report Q3 2017
Central London Office Market Report Q3 2017
 
2017 JLL Energy Outlook
2017 JLL Energy Outlook2017 JLL Energy Outlook
2017 JLL Energy Outlook
 
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, October 2017
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, October 2017 JLL Retail: Store closure summary, October 2017
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, October 2017
 
2017 Law Firm office market overview
2017 Law Firm office market overview2017 Law Firm office market overview
2017 Law Firm office market overview
 
October 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
October 2017 U.S. employment update and outlookOctober 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
October 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, September 2017
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, September 2017 JLL Retail: Store closure summary, September 2017
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, September 2017
 
September 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
September 2017 U.S. employment update and outlookSeptember 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
September 2017 U.S. employment update and outlook
 
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, August 2017
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, August 2017JLL Retail: Store closure summary, August 2017
JLL Retail: Store closure summary, August 2017
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
Adnet Communications
 
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
dipikadinghjn ( Why You Choose Us? ) Escorts
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf
 
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri 6297143586 Call Hot Ind...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri  6297143586 Call Hot Ind...Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri  6297143586 Call Hot Ind...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Wadgaon Sheri 6297143586 Call Hot Ind...
 
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 25.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 25.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 25.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 25.pdf
 
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdf
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdfIndore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdf
Indore Real Estate Market Trends Report.pdf
 
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
VIP Independent Call Girls in Andheri 🌹 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Mumbai Escorts...
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf
 
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Talegaon Dabhade 6297143586 Call Hot ...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Talegaon Dabhade  6297143586 Call Hot ...Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Talegaon Dabhade  6297143586 Call Hot ...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Talegaon Dabhade 6297143586 Call Hot ...
 
TEST BANK For Corporate Finance, 13th Edition By Stephen Ross, Randolph Weste...
TEST BANK For Corporate Finance, 13th Edition By Stephen Ross, Randolph Weste...TEST BANK For Corporate Finance, 13th Edition By Stephen Ross, Randolph Weste...
TEST BANK For Corporate Finance, 13th Edition By Stephen Ross, Randolph Weste...
 
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service NashikHigh Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
 
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
20240429 Calibre April 2024 Investor Presentation.pdf
 
Stock Market Brief Deck (Under Pressure).pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck (Under Pressure).pdfStock Market Brief Deck (Under Pressure).pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck (Under Pressure).pdf
 
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
 
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
 
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
VIP Call Girl Service Andheri West ⚡ 9920725232 What It Takes To Be The Best ...
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 21.pdf
 
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home Delivery
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home DeliveryPooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home Delivery
Pooja 9892124323 : Call Girl in Juhu Escorts Service Free Home Delivery
 
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
VIP Call Girl in Mira Road 💧 9920725232 ( Call Me ) Get A New Crush Everyday ...
 
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
 
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
 

March 2016 U.S. employment update and outlook

  • 1. U.S. employment situation: September 2013 Release date: October 22, 2013 Healthier growth returned in February, but variance remains U.S. employment situation: February 2016 March 4, 2016
  • 2. February 2016 employment summary • After a slow January, February returned back to normal levels of grow with 242,000 net new jobs. Although year-to-date figures are down compared to 2015, January saw significant upward revisions to 172,000 jobs, improving the year’s initial performance. Despite global tensions and economic shifts, the U.S. economy seems to be holding its own, although certain sectors such as energy and trade could be impacted by fluctuations in domestic and international demand. • Hourly wage growth fell slightly to 2.2 percent, but is still outperforming inflation at 0.0 percent. Over the past two years, wages have increased 3.8 times faster than inflation; while this should be increasing consumer spending, the personal consumption expenditures component of GDP has fallen in seasonally adjusted annual terms to 1.5 percent, compared to the 2015 average of 1.8 percent. • Unemployment remained steady at 4.9 percent in February, keeping it below 5.0 percent for the second month since before the recession. On the other hand, total unemployment dipped by 20 basis points to 9.7 percent as the number of marginally detached workers continues to decline. • At the industry level, most subsectors witnessed some level of improvement, while mining and logging contracted yet again by 18,000. More volatile was manufacturing, which dropped into negative territory in February as well, along with transportation and warehousing. Professional and business services (PBS), previously the consistent leader in the recovery, is still growing, albeit at a slower rate than education and health, retail trade and leisure and hospitality, in turn bringing down office-using industries’ contributions to monthly gains. • High-performing local markets continue to add jobs at a blistering pace, although their rates of growth have begun to soften as talent shortages and a lack of slack in the labor market make current absolute levels of growth more difficult. Silicon Valley once again led the pack with 4.4-percent growth, while tech hubs such as San Francisco and Portland aren’t far behind at 3.7 and 3.8 percent, respectively. At 3.0 and 2.9 percent, Atlanta and Dallas continue to witness the positive effects of diverse corporate expansion and migration, as rapid employment growth is translating into demand for space, aided by structurally high vacancy providing increased and more affordable options for tenants. Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 3. February 2016 labor market at a glance +242,000 (65 consecutive months of growth) 1-month net change +2,672,000 (+1.9% y-o-y) 12-month change +779,000 10-year average annual growth Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 4.9% Unemployment rate -60bp 12-month change in unemployment 7.0% 10-year average unemployment 5,607,000 (+3.8% y-o-y) Job openings 5,361,000 (+2.3% y-o-y) Hires 3,055,000 (+2.1% y-o-y) Quits
  • 4. 242,000 net new jobs in February brings growth back to normal levels; January revised upwards for YTD gains of 414,000 360,000 226,000 243,000 96,000 110,000 88,000 106,000 122,000 221,000 183,000 164,000 196,000 360,000 226,000 243,000 96,000 110,000 88,000 160,000 150,000 161,000 225,000 203,000 214,000 197,000 280,000 141,000 203,000 199,000 201,000 149,000 202,000 164,000 237,000 274,000 84,000 166,000 188,000 225,000 330,000 236,000 286,000 249,000 213,000 250,000 221,000 423,000 329,000 221,000 265,000 84,000 251,000 273,000 228,000 277,000 150,000 149,000 295,000 280,000 262,000 172,000 242,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1-monthnetchange 4 Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 5. Unemployment remained stable at 4.9 percent as job and labor force growth even each other out 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% -1,000.0 -800.0 -600.0 -400.0 -200.0 0.0 200.0 400.0 600.0 Unemploymentrate(%) 1-monthnetchange(thousands) Monthly employment change Unemployment rate Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 5
  • 6. At the end of 2015, job openings evened out to a steady rate of roughly 5,300 per month, but have yet to rise further Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 6 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Jobopenings(thousands)
  • 7. 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 Consumerconfidenceindex Although consumer confidence dropped to 92.2 in February, it has stayed within a similar range for past six months Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 7
  • 8. Wage growth still well above CPI growth, but slowing; over past two years, up 4.2 percent vs. 1.1 percent for inflation Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8 -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 12-month%change Hourly wage growth CPI growth
  • 9. -18.0 -16.0 -12.0 -9.8 -5.3 -4.0 0.7 2.0 2.0 6.0 12.0 12.0 17.0 19.0 23.0 48.0 54.9 57.4 86.0 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 Mining and logging Manufacturing Durable goods Temporary help services Transportation and warehousing Nondurable goods Wholesale trade Utilities Motor vehicles and parts Financial activities Government Information Other services Construction Professional and business services Leisure and hospitality Retail trade Health care and social assistance Education and health services 1-month net change (thousands) Monthly subsector gains improved in most cases compared to January, but PBS increases remains below previous levels Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9 Education and health Retail trade Leisure and hospitality All other subsectors Top three subsectors responsible for 78.1 percent of monthly growth.
  • 10. -141.0 -34.0 11.2 12.0 27.3 41.0 46.0 51.7 66.0 68.0 75.0 86.0 142.0 253.0 338.6 446.0 610.0 634.5 698.0 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Mining and logging Durable goods Utilities Manufacturing Motor vehicles and parts Information Nondurable goods Wholesale trade Other services Transportation and warehousing Government Temporary help services Financial activities Construction Retail trade Leisure and hospitality Professional and business services Health care and social assistance Education and health services 12-month net change (thousands) Education and health PBS Leisure and hospitality Retail trade Financial activities Manufacturing All other jobs Education and health continues to grow its lead, with annual gains approaching 700,000 jobs Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 10 Core subsectors added 84.1 percent of all jobs over the past 12 months.
  • 11. 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Unemploymentrate(%) For the seventh consecutive month, bachelor’s degree unemployment remains at natural low of 2.5 percent Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11
  • 12. Stunted PBS growth pulling down the office-using industries, although information is making a comeback -300 -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Information Professional and business services Financial activities Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 12
  • 13. Tech dropped below the 6.0-percent threshold for the first time since 2014 as talent shortage makes sustained growth difficult -11.0 -9.0 -7.0 -5.0 -3.0 -1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 High-tech Energy, Mining, and Utilities Office-using industries Total non-farm Source: JLL Research, Moody’s. Note: Due to data lags, high-tech employment only available through January 2015. 13 12-month%change(jobs)
  • 14. Energy up by 20 basis points to -6.9 percent, but still shedding jobs at an accelerated rate Year-on-year percent employment growth Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 14
  • 15. Initial claims are rising slightly, but have yet to break the 285,000 mark Source: JLL Research, U.S. Department of Labor 15 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 500,000 550,000 600,000 650,000 700,000 Claims Initial claims 4-week moving average
  • 16. 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Hiresandquits(thousands) Hires Quits Employee confidence surged at the end of 2015, with quits breaking the 3.0-million mark Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 17. Although still above average, leading metro areas seeing slight slowdown in growth as job creation becomes difficult to sustain Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 17 Silicon Valley 4.4% San Francisco 3.7% Atlanta 3.0% Austin 3.8% Salt Lake City 3.0% Portland 3.8% Seattle 3.0% Charlotte 3.3%
  • 18. 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 4.4% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% Chicago Houston Philadelphia Boston New York Los Angeles Washington, DC South Florida Dallas Seattle Atlanta San Francisco 12-month % change Among key markets, West Coast and Sun Belt continue to lead by a significant margin Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 18
  • 19. Total unemployment dipped by 20bp to 9.7 percent as the number of marginally detached workers falls 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% Total unemployment U-6 10-year average Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 19
  • 20. The labor force participation rate rose moderately to 62.9 percent, offsetting potential declines in unemployment Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 20 60.0% 61.0% 62.0% 63.0% 64.0% 65.0% 66.0% 67.0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Laborforceparticipationrate(%)
  • 21. ©2015 Jones Lang LaSalle Research IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof. For more information, please contact: Ben Breslau Managing Director - Americas Research Benjamin.Breslau@am.jll.com Phil Ryan Research Analyst – Office and Economy Research Phil.Ryan@am.jll.com Or, find more employment, business and real estate research at jll.com. >>> Click here to check it out.