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Seismic Risk:  An Introduction
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Background ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Earthquake Background Mongolian Legend
[object Object],Earthquake Background Japanese Legend
Earthquake  Risk Risk Vulnerability Site Effects Hazard Probability of ground motion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Probability of damage and losses
Seismic Hazard Assessment
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Historical Background
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Modern Studies
Earthquake Sources
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Earthquake Sources
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Structure of Earth
Structure of Earth
Structure of Earth
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Plate Tectonics
Plate Tectonics
Earth’s Plates
Earth’s Plates
Drift of Indian Subcontinent
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Plate Tectonics
Prehistoric Flora and Fauna
Elastic Rebound Theory
Example of Fault Rupture Chile Earthquake
Example of Fault Rupture Taiwan Earthquake
Example of Fault Rupture Kobe Earthquake
Example of Fault Rupture Kobe Earthquake
Example of Fault Rupture Kobe Earthquake
Earthquake Waves ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Earthquake Waves
Earthquake Magnitude ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Earthquake  Intensity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Indian Seismicity
Seismic Hazard
Assessment of Site Effects
Influence of Local Conditions Maximum ground motion also depends on local soil/rock properties Maximum ground displacement in Northridge earthquake (1994) 10 km
Mumbai Description
Influence of Local Conditions Anjar Town-Plan and Local Soil Conditions
Seismic Hazard ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Seismic Vulnerability Assessment
Seismic Vulnerability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Urban Construction Practice Engineered Constructions ,[object Object],[object Object],Non-Engineered Constructions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Seismic Vulnerability ,[object Object],V VI VII VIII IX X XI 50% 100% 0% % DAMAGE EARTHQUAKE INTENSITY (MSK) Non-engineered Masonry RCC Steel
Seismic Vulnerability Number of building collapses in Mumbai –  without any earthquake ,[object Object],Year Collapses 1993-94 236 1994-95 253 1995-96 224 1996-97 272 1997-98 259 1998-99 305 1999-00 154 2000-01 260 2001-02 273
Seismic Risk
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Earthquake Risk
Example :: Mumbai Research indicates following scenario for an earthquake disaster in Mumbai (2001) Estimated number of fatalities and injuries due to building collapse Time MSK VI MSK VII MSK VIII Midnight 11,200 42,600 100,100 6 A.M. 9,000 34,000 80,000 12 Noon 6,700 25,500 60,100 Time MSK VI MSK VII MSK VIII Midnight 31,400 118,400 277,600 6 A.M. 25,000 94,600 222,100 12 Noon 18,800 71,000 166,500
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Summary
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Summary
Thank You

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Seismic Risk in Cities: Assessing Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk