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Sterling Mortensen
President, Applying Lean Inc.
sterling@applyinglean.com
1Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 Number of products growing quickly
 New more complex products
 Number of features growing
exponentially
 Moving to common software platform
 Demand far exceeded ability to supply
2Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 Speed (Fast Processes)
 Less Work
 Because (Less of People’s Time is being
Wasted on Non-Value Added Work)
3Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
4Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Corporate Value
 $70 million program
cost avoidance in 20
months on Edgeline
 $27 million in annual
savings (FW lab budget
reduction) going
forward
 Program TTM reduced
by 1 year
 7.4x productivity
improvements
sustained during staff
& budget reductions
5Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 Theory of Constraints - Eliyahu Goldratt
 Global Optimization
 Queuing Theory – Don
Reinertsen
 Continuous Improvement
 Value Stream Maps + Information Flow
Discovered the Laws that make Lean work
6Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Natural Law’s
&
Human Psychology
7Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
2
1
3
5
4
8Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 Productivity is inversely related to
complexity
• Productivity is Restored by breaking
large complex projects into smaller –
Iterative Development projects
Productivity = a
Complexity
1
9Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Technology
delivery
Technology
delivery
Note the
consistent
“heartbeat”
Small Batch + Fixed Cadence
Technology
delivery
Technology
delivery
Technology
delivery
Technology
delivery
Technology
delivery
Technology
delivery
Product A delivery Product B delivery
10Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Going to small batch iterative development
reduced defects, every time the process
went faster, the quality got even better!
Quality Goes Up
as Time to Feedback Goes Down!
People are self motivated to improve quality if they
can see quickly that what they are doing has
problems. But if there is a long delay their
motivation drops significantly.
11Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
53%
Less
80%
Less 87%
Less
12Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Too much WIP (Work In Process)
is the greatest source of waste
•Use a Kanban system to keep the WIP
constant
•A constant WIP delivers a consistent r te of
delivery, which makes planning and status
more easy and accurate
13Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Cumulative Flow of Features
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
3/22/2004
4/5/2004
4/19/2004
5/3/2004
5/17/2004
5/31/2004
6/14/2004
6/28/2004
7/12/2004
7/26/2004
8/9/2004
8/23/2004
9/6/2004
9/20/2004
10/4/2004
10/18/2004
11/1/2004
11/15/2004
11/29/2004
12/13/2004
12/27/2004
1/10/2005
1/24/2005
2/7/2005
2/21/2005
3/7/2005
3/21/2005
Time
CumulativeFeatures
Cum Proposed
Cum Accepted
Cum Evaluated
Cum Designed
Cum Committed
Cum Completed
Cum Verified
WIP
WIP
>
500
WIP
>
900
Work In Process Example
14Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
800
85 99 100 100
950
92
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06
Time
FeaturesinWIP
48 months of inventory
20 features per month
2 1/2 months of inventory
39 features per month
15Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Throughput
Load
Optimal
Throughput
Kanban Control
16Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 Work on small chunks of work
 Take the work to completion
 Use Kanban system to control total WIP
17Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 Small batch = low
WIP
 high productivity
 Predictability
◦ Linear vs. non-
linear closure
 Manager
satisfaction
 Employee
satisfaction
 Get done sooner
◦ Continuous quality
reduces rework
◦ Better economics
Req’d
scope
18Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
1. Product Development is Learning
2. Product Development is high variability
3. Learning doesn’t happen in nice, phased
steps
4. Risk reduction requires accelerating learning
in high risk areas
5. Rate of learning = f(1/time to feedback)
19Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Done
WIP
Backlog
Average Closure Rate
Avg WIP Arrival Rate
Avg Backlog arrival rate
Eventual convergence
indicates that backlog
can be worked off.
Amount of WIP =
queue size. Queue
size has a direct
correlation to quality
and cycle time
Avg rates can be
computed using run
charts and, later, SPC
charts. Variance can
be accounted for to
yield predictability
20Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Jedi SysRDAll Analysis
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 7.1 7.2
Core Release Cycle
CondorRequirements
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
TimetoMain(days)
Total Submitted Total Started Total Committed
Total FW Implemented Total FW Verified Total Sol'n Verified
Time to Main [avg] Avg Time To Main Pre/Post Adoption of Lean (4/25/2005) UCL
21Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
• Uncertainty = Risk = Areas the learning is needed
• Focusing early iterations on high risk areas enables learning, reduces uncertainty
& risk
22Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 A requirement or feature chunk is not done
until it has passed ALL tests
◦ This means that tests have been run, defects fixed
◦ Demos if used are done and changes made based
on feedback
◦ Then the tests are rerun
◦ Learning is complete once ALL tests pass and demo
approved!
◦ No Credit is given until it is completely done!
23Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 “Continuous Flow is the Ultimate Objective of lean
production, and creating continuous flow has been
the goal of countless kaizen projects. We work at a
wide range of manufacturing facilities and see
many commendable efforts to create flow.
Unfortunately, we see very little of it actually
achieved.”
Mike Rother & Rick Harris from the book “Creating
Continuous flow”
24Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Cumulative Demand
Total Tasks Completed
Cumulative Actual
Potential savings of about 15%
in time with reduced headcount
Projected timeline with less resourceDO
Added features
Doing 15% more in the same timeline
+20
VR-Sep09
Tasks/Features
Highlights:
-Bocce (1) got defined in Nov07 with aggressive schedule, and added more features as OEM integrates
-Delivering more with reduced headcount, attrition management
-Improved efficiency due to
- Closer/direct interaction with OEM/AE for issue resolutions and responsiveness
- More knowledge gained as the team makes the progress along PLC
- Increased rigor in the overall review processes
25Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
LonePine Program EE deliverables for Lone Pine - End to end prediction with
accomplishment as on 7/25/2008
0
50
100
150
200
250
Sep-
07
Oct-
07
Nov-
07
Dec-
07
Jan-
08
Feb-
08
Mar-
08
Apr-
08
May-
08
Jun-
08
Jul-08 Aug-
08
Sep-
08
Oct-
08
Nov-
08
Dec-
08
Jan-
09
Feb-
09
Mar-
09
Time (months)
Deliverables
Cumulative Completed Completed Each Month Cumulative Started Cumulative Demand
Toda
y
If something is in WIP, it is
probably safe to assume there
has been progress. This graph
only shows completed
deliverables though.
The blue line reaching the red line
indicates that everything due for this
milestone should be started.
The gap between cumulative
completed and started indicates
WIP
As of on 7/25, EE HW is
pending with one deliverable
(ESD issue)
26Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
Each improvement opens the way
to find another improvement,
leading to continuous improvement
27Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
 Measure only Items Done
 Requirement chunks that are in process at
the end of an iteration continue on into the
next iteration, until they are done
 Variability is natural.
28Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
29Copyright Applying Lean Inc.

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Discovering Lean at Hewlett Packard Laserjet Division

  • 1. Sterling Mortensen President, Applying Lean Inc. sterling@applyinglean.com 1Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 2.  Number of products growing quickly  New more complex products  Number of features growing exponentially  Moving to common software platform  Demand far exceeded ability to supply 2Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 3.  Speed (Fast Processes)  Less Work  Because (Less of People’s Time is being Wasted on Non-Value Added Work) 3Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 5. Corporate Value  $70 million program cost avoidance in 20 months on Edgeline  $27 million in annual savings (FW lab budget reduction) going forward  Program TTM reduced by 1 year  7.4x productivity improvements sustained during staff & budget reductions 5Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 6.  Theory of Constraints - Eliyahu Goldratt  Global Optimization  Queuing Theory – Don Reinertsen  Continuous Improvement  Value Stream Maps + Information Flow Discovered the Laws that make Lean work 6Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 9.  Productivity is inversely related to complexity • Productivity is Restored by breaking large complex projects into smaller – Iterative Development projects Productivity = a Complexity 1 9Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 10. Technology delivery Technology delivery Note the consistent “heartbeat” Small Batch + Fixed Cadence Technology delivery Technology delivery Technology delivery Technology delivery Technology delivery Technology delivery Product A delivery Product B delivery 10Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 11. Going to small batch iterative development reduced defects, every time the process went faster, the quality got even better! Quality Goes Up as Time to Feedback Goes Down! People are self motivated to improve quality if they can see quickly that what they are doing has problems. But if there is a long delay their motivation drops significantly. 11Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 13. Too much WIP (Work In Process) is the greatest source of waste •Use a Kanban system to keep the WIP constant •A constant WIP delivers a consistent r te of delivery, which makes planning and status more easy and accurate 13Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 14. Cumulative Flow of Features 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 3/22/2004 4/5/2004 4/19/2004 5/3/2004 5/17/2004 5/31/2004 6/14/2004 6/28/2004 7/12/2004 7/26/2004 8/9/2004 8/23/2004 9/6/2004 9/20/2004 10/4/2004 10/18/2004 11/1/2004 11/15/2004 11/29/2004 12/13/2004 12/27/2004 1/10/2005 1/24/2005 2/7/2005 2/21/2005 3/7/2005 3/21/2005 Time CumulativeFeatures Cum Proposed Cum Accepted Cum Evaluated Cum Designed Cum Committed Cum Completed Cum Verified WIP WIP > 500 WIP > 900 Work In Process Example 14Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 15. 800 85 99 100 100 950 92 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Time FeaturesinWIP 48 months of inventory 20 features per month 2 1/2 months of inventory 39 features per month 15Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 17.  Work on small chunks of work  Take the work to completion  Use Kanban system to control total WIP 17Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 18.  Small batch = low WIP  high productivity  Predictability ◦ Linear vs. non- linear closure  Manager satisfaction  Employee satisfaction  Get done sooner ◦ Continuous quality reduces rework ◦ Better economics Req’d scope 18Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 19. 1. Product Development is Learning 2. Product Development is high variability 3. Learning doesn’t happen in nice, phased steps 4. Risk reduction requires accelerating learning in high risk areas 5. Rate of learning = f(1/time to feedback) 19Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 20. Done WIP Backlog Average Closure Rate Avg WIP Arrival Rate Avg Backlog arrival rate Eventual convergence indicates that backlog can be worked off. Amount of WIP = queue size. Queue size has a direct correlation to quality and cycle time Avg rates can be computed using run charts and, later, SPC charts. Variance can be accounted for to yield predictability 20Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 21. Jedi SysRDAll Analysis 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 7.1 7.2 Core Release Cycle CondorRequirements 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 TimetoMain(days) Total Submitted Total Started Total Committed Total FW Implemented Total FW Verified Total Sol'n Verified Time to Main [avg] Avg Time To Main Pre/Post Adoption of Lean (4/25/2005) UCL 21Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 22. • Uncertainty = Risk = Areas the learning is needed • Focusing early iterations on high risk areas enables learning, reduces uncertainty & risk 22Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 23.  A requirement or feature chunk is not done until it has passed ALL tests ◦ This means that tests have been run, defects fixed ◦ Demos if used are done and changes made based on feedback ◦ Then the tests are rerun ◦ Learning is complete once ALL tests pass and demo approved! ◦ No Credit is given until it is completely done! 23Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 24.  “Continuous Flow is the Ultimate Objective of lean production, and creating continuous flow has been the goal of countless kaizen projects. We work at a wide range of manufacturing facilities and see many commendable efforts to create flow. Unfortunately, we see very little of it actually achieved.” Mike Rother & Rick Harris from the book “Creating Continuous flow” 24Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 25. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Cumulative Demand Total Tasks Completed Cumulative Actual Potential savings of about 15% in time with reduced headcount Projected timeline with less resourceDO Added features Doing 15% more in the same timeline +20 VR-Sep09 Tasks/Features Highlights: -Bocce (1) got defined in Nov07 with aggressive schedule, and added more features as OEM integrates -Delivering more with reduced headcount, attrition management -Improved efficiency due to - Closer/direct interaction with OEM/AE for issue resolutions and responsiveness - More knowledge gained as the team makes the progress along PLC - Increased rigor in the overall review processes 25Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 26. LonePine Program EE deliverables for Lone Pine - End to end prediction with accomplishment as on 7/25/2008 0 50 100 150 200 250 Sep- 07 Oct- 07 Nov- 07 Dec- 07 Jan- 08 Feb- 08 Mar- 08 Apr- 08 May- 08 Jun- 08 Jul-08 Aug- 08 Sep- 08 Oct- 08 Nov- 08 Dec- 08 Jan- 09 Feb- 09 Mar- 09 Time (months) Deliverables Cumulative Completed Completed Each Month Cumulative Started Cumulative Demand Toda y If something is in WIP, it is probably safe to assume there has been progress. This graph only shows completed deliverables though. The blue line reaching the red line indicates that everything due for this milestone should be started. The gap between cumulative completed and started indicates WIP As of on 7/25, EE HW is pending with one deliverable (ESD issue) 26Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 27. Each improvement opens the way to find another improvement, leading to continuous improvement 27Copyright Applying Lean Inc.
  • 28.  Measure only Items Done  Requirement chunks that are in process at the end of an iteration continue on into the next iteration, until they are done  Variability is natural. 28Copyright Applying Lean Inc.