Weitere ähnliche Inhalte Ähnlich wie Scottish Independence Referendum Poll for Evening Standard (20) Kürzlich hochgeladen (20) Scottish Independence Referendum Poll for Evening Standard1. 1
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
Scottish Independence Referendum Poll for Evening Standard
September 2014 2. 2
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
Should Scotland be an independent country? Which way are you most inclined to vote?
Voting intention amongst those certain to vote (excluding don’t know/refused)
Base: All registered and certain to vote (excluding don’t know and refused) (886). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014
Yes 47%
No 53%
All certain to vote (excluding don’t know and refused) 3. 3
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
Should Scotland be an independent country? Which way are you most inclined to vote?
Referendum voting intention
Base: All registered to vote (980); all certain to vote (926). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014
Yes 44%
No 50%
Don’t know/ refused 6%
All voters
Yes 45%
No 50%
Don’t know/
refused 4%
Certain to vote 4. 4
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
Voting intention by gender
Base: All certain to vote (926). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014
51%
45%
Yes
Don’t know/refused
No
40%
3%
6%
55% 5. 5
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
47%
50%
4%
Voting intention by age group
Yes
No
Don’t know/refused
53%
46%
70%
25%
5%
31%
63%
6%
16-24
25-34
35-54
55+
Base: All certain to vote (926). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014 6. 6
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
Regardless of how you intend to vote, what do you think the result will be? Do you think…?
Outcome
Base: All registered to vote (980). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014
Yes will win 30%
No will win 46%
Don't know 24%
Outcome 7. 7
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
Which of these has been more important in your decision to vote Yes/No – because you are hopeful for the future if the Yes/No side wins, or because you are fearful for the future if the Yes/No side loses?
Factors behind vote – fear or hope?
All expressing an opinion (923). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014
Hopeful 57%
Fearful 38%
Neither 2%
Don't know 3%
Hopeful 80%
Fearful 16%
Neither 2%
Don't know 3%
Hopeful 36%
Fearful 58%
Neither 2%
Don't know 3%
Overall
Yes supporters
No supporters 8. 8
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
Which of these has been more important in your decision to vote Yes/No – because of the practical consequences of the result, or because of your feelings of national identity?
Factors behind vote – practical consequences or national identity?
All expressing an opinion (923). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014
Practical consequences 74%
National identity 19%
Neither 2%
Don't know 3%
Practical consequences 70%
National identity 24%
Neither 4%
Don't know 2%
Practical consequences 78%
National identity 15%
Neither 2%
Don't know 5%
Overall
Yes supporters
No supporters 9. 9
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
As far as you know, are you registered to vote in the Scottish independence referendum?
Voter registration
Base: All (991). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014
Yes 99%
No 1%
Don't know *%
Registered to vote?
Registered before 89%
First time registered 11%
Registered before?
Base: All registered to vote (980). Data collected among 991 Scottish adults 16+, September 16th – 17th 2014 10. 10
Version 1 | Public
© Ipsos MORI
Technical details
•This presents the topline results from the final Ipsos MORI Scottish Referendum poll for the Evening Standard.
•Results are based on a survey of 991 adults aged 16+, including 980 respondents registered to vote, conducted by telephone.
•Fieldwork dates: 16th September – 17th September 2014
•Data are weighted by: age, sex, region and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public- private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data
•Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories
•Results are based on all respondents registered to vote (980) unless otherwise stated. 11. 11
© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public
Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269
gideon.skinner@ipsos.com | 020 7347 3260 @IpsosMORIScot
@IpsosMORI