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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor
June 2012

                                       18.06.12
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  Technical details                                                                                                                                    brand logo
                                                                                                                                                          here
                                                                                                                                                           2



• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents
  conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 7th June – 13th June 2012
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using
  census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private
  sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly
  Public Sector Employment series data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to
  computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
  “don’t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless
  otherwise stated




© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
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Around a third support independence for Scotland while over                                                                                                               brand logo
                                                                                                                                                                             here
half are opposed                                                                                                                                                              3


 Q: Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country?

                                                      All                                                                                   All who are certain to vote




                 ‘Yes’ change since January: -5%                                                                                   ‘Yes’ change since January: -4%
 Base: All (1,003); All certain to vote (795). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012


 © Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
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Alex Salmond remains the most popular party leader though his approval logo
                                                                     brand
                                                                        here
rating has fallen by 9 points                                            4

Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime
Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?

                                                                                                                                                   Don’t know   Net satisfaction   Net satisfaction
                                             Dissatisfied                         Satisfied                                                                                         change (Jan
                                                                                                                                                                                        ’12)

    Alex Salmond                                                                40                                 53                                  7%           +13%                -9%


 David Cameron                                                        70                               24                                              6%           -46%               -18%


 Johann Lamont                                                                      29                     38                                          33%           +9%               +15%


  Ruth Davidson                                                                    32                  26                                              42%           -7%                +5%


      Willie Rennie                                                                   28              24                                               48%           -4%                +7%


    Patrick Harvie                                                                       15             27                                             58%          +12%                N/A


                                      -80           -60           -40           -20             0           20             40              60
Base: 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012


© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
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                                                                                                                                                       brand logo
Satisfaction with party leaders - trends                                                                                                                  here
                                                                                                                                                           5

Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish
Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/the Scottish Green Party?




                                                                                                                                                           53%


                                                                                                                                                           38%
                                                                                                                                                           27%
                                                                                                                                                           26%
                                                                                                                                                           24%
                                                                                                                                                           24%




Base: Adults (18+) in Scotland. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.


© Ipsos MORI   Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential   Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
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Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269                                                                                                                    @IpsosMORIScot         18.6.12

christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264

© Ipsos MORI   This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.

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Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012

  • 1. Paste co- Paste brand logo co-brand logo here here Scottish Public Opinion Monitor June 2012 18.06.12
  • 2. Paste co- Technical details brand logo here 2 • This presents the topline results from Scotland • Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents conducted by telephone • Fieldwork dates: 7th June – 13th June 2012 • Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data • Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories • Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless otherwise stated © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 3. Paste co- Around a third support independence for Scotland while over brand logo here half are opposed 3 Q: Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country? All All who are certain to vote ‘Yes’ change since January: -5% ‘Yes’ change since January: -4% Base: All (1,003); All certain to vote (795). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 4. Paste co- Alex Salmond remains the most popular party leader though his approval logo brand here rating has fallen by 9 points 4 Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives? Don’t know Net satisfaction Net satisfaction Dissatisfied Satisfied change (Jan ’12) Alex Salmond 40 53 7% +13% -9% David Cameron 70 24 6% -46% -18% Johann Lamont 29 38 33% +9% +15% Ruth Davidson 32 26 42% -7% +5% Willie Rennie 28 24 48% -4% +7% Patrick Harvie 15 27 58% +12% N/A -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Base: 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012 © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 5. Paste co- brand logo Satisfaction with party leaders - trends here 5 Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/the Scottish Green Party? 53% 38% 27% 26% 24% 24% Base: Adults (18+) in Scotland. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults. © Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  • 6. Paste co- brand logo here Thank you mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 @IpsosMORIScot 18.6.12 christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264 © Ipsos MORI This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.