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State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
1
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
2State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
CONTENTS
WHAT’S THE BRITISH MOOD?
WHO IS TRUSTED IN THE AGE OF FAKE NEWS?
BREXIT CONCERNS – DEAL OR NO DEAL?
VIEWS ON IMMIGRATION
HAVE THE KIDS GONE WILD OR MILD?
CONCERN ABOUT HOUSING ON THE RISE
ARE BRITS TIRING OF AUSTERITY?
THE NHS TURNS 70
BRITONS ARE WORRIED ABOUT EQUALITY
RECORD BREAKING SUMMER
OUR 2018 HIGHLIGHTS
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
3State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
What’s the British
mood?
4State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
%
20%
40%
60%
80%
:Source Ipsos Global AdvisorBase: Representative sample of British adults aged 16-64. c.1,000 per month
GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU SAY THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE HEADING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION,
September ’18
OR ARE THEY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 2015 General
Election
EU
Referendum
2017 General
Election
WRONG
DIRECTION 70%
RIGHT
DIRECTION 30%
0
National unease has been growing since 2015,
with seven in ten currently thinking the UK is headed in the ‘wrong direction’
2010 2018
5State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING BRITAIN TODAY?
NHS
UNEMPLOYMENT
ECONOMY
DEFENCE/TERRORISM
IMMIGRATION
EU/EUROPE/BREXIT
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
May
2010
Feb
2011
Nov
2011
Aug
2012
May
2013
Feb
2014
Nov
2014
Aug
2015
May
2016
Feb
2017
Nov
2017
Aug
2018
Top mentions %
November ‘18
Concern about the EU has risen considerably since 2010,
while worries about the economy have fallen in priority
:Source Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: Representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
6State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
-47
Lowest point
July 2008, (-64)
Net Optimism
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE,
STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OF THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
However, we still have high – and worsening – levels of economic pessimism
:Source Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
1998 2018
7State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Meanwhile in November, concern around crime reached
its highest point since August 2011
WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING BRITAIN TODAY?
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
May day riots
Riots across
England
Lowest score since
March 1991 (8%)
Highest score since
August 2011 (27%)
CRIMETop mentions %
:Source Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: Representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home.
1997 2018
8State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
25%
39%
42%
35%
30%
28%
25%
33%
32%
27%
23%
34%
29%
28%
42%
32%
25%
16%
25%
36%
32%
34%
47%
34%
51%
25%
33%
22%
24%
28%
14%
20%
19%
18%
22%
71%
61%
60%
59%
52%
48%
48%
46%
46%
44%
41%
39%
35%
34%
34%
34%
33%
33%
32%
30%
30%
30%
30%
28%
25%
24%
21%
17%
14%
14%
14%
12%
10%
9%
5%
Great Britain
Romania
China
Poland
Hungary
Denmark
South Korea
Germany
Singapore
Italy
Japan
Russia
Belgium
Malaysia
Spain
Sweden
India
Colombia
Switzerland
Australia
Canada
New Zealand
South Africa
Netherlands
Chile
France
Turkey
Peru
Serbia
Argentina
United States
Thailand
Brazil
Mexico
Montenegro
% Guessing knives as the biggest cause of deathCountry
Actual % of deaths caused
by knives or sharp objects
GREAT BRITAIN
THINKING ABOUT PEOPLE WHO
ARE KILLED BY OTHER PEOPLE IN
[COUNTRY] IN 2015, DO YOU
THINK MORE PEOPLE WERE
KILLED BY FIREARMS, SHARP
OBJECTS SUCH AS KNIVES OR
OTHER PHYSICAL VIOLENCE?
CHOOSE THE ONE OPTION THAT
YOU THINK RESULTED IN THE
MOST DEATHS
In 2018 Britain was
the nation most likely
to overestimate the
level of knife crime
Source: Perils of Perception 2018
Base: 28,000 adults across 35 countries (1,000 GB)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
9State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Who is trusted
fake news?
in the age of
10State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
I AM CONFIDENT THAT THE
AVERAGE PERSON IN [COUNTRY]
CAN TELL REAL NEWS FROM
‘FAKE NEWS’
DISAGREE
AGREE
Britons are among the
least likely in the world to
think their fellow citizens
can distinguish between
real and fake news
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 13,500 adults across 27 countries (500 GB)
41%
69%
60%
60%
58%
55%
54%
46%
44%
44%
44%
40%
40%
39%
39%
38%
38%
37%
37%
36%
34%
32%
29%
29%
28%
27%
26%
26%
48%
23%
34%
29%
34%
39%
27%
48%
50%
51%
49%
49%
56%
48%
47%
51%
45%
53%
48%
51%
59%
53%
53%
62%
59%
61%
52%
64%
Total
Hungary
Malaysia
Saudi Arabia
China
India
Spain
Peru
Chile
Mexico
Serbia
Russia
Turkey
Canada
Poland
Brazil
France
Argentina
South Korea
Australia
South Africa
Belgium
Germany
US
Great Britain
Italy
Japan
Sweden
GREAT BRITAIN
11State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
But they are also one of the
least likely to admit that
they’ve been fooled by
a fake news story
I HAVE FALSELY BELIEVED A
NEWS STORY WAS REAL UNTIL I
FOUND OUT IT WAS FAKE
DISAGREE
AGREE
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 13,500 adults across 27 countries (500 GB)
48%
62%
58%
58%
57%
57%
56%
55%
55%
55%
54%
54%
51%
50%
50%
49%
48%
48%
46%
46%
45%
45%
43%
35%
34%
33%
33%
29%
40%
29%
29%
29%
39%
29%
34%
37%
33%
29%
41%
43%
41%
45%
41%
39%
39%
39%
39%
42%
39%
38%
40%
51%
46%
54%
63%
62%
Total
Brazil
Saudi Arabia
South Korea
Peru
Spain
China
India
Poland
Sweden
Chile
Mexico
Argentina
Malaysia
South Africa
Russia
Canada
Serbia
Australia
US
Belgium
Germany
France
Hungary
Japan
Great Britain
Turkey
Italy
GREAT BRITAIN
12State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
In Britain, the media,
politicians and social media
all get the blame for the
spread of fake news
PEOPLE OFTEN GET LOTS OF THINGS
WRONG ABOUT THEIR COUNTRIES
AND HOW THEY’RE CHANGING, FOR
EXAMPLE, WHAT PROPORTION OF
THE POPULATION ARE IMMIGRANTS,
OR WHETHER CRIME IS GOING UP OR
DOWN. WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO
YOU THINK ARE THE BIGGEST
REASONS FOR THIS?
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: c.1,000 residents aged 16-64 in
Great Britain, 22 June-6 July 2018
41%
52%
49%
56%
57%
60%
THE MEDIA MISLEADS PEOPLE
POLITICIANS MISLEAD PEOPLE
SOCIAL MEDIA MISLEADS PEOPLE
Top 3 responses from Great BritainGreat Britain
Globally
13State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
96%
92%
89%
87%
86%
85%
83%
78%
76%
62%
62%
62%
62%
52%
48%
45%
41%
40%
34%
30%
26%
22%
19%
16%
Nurses
Doctors
Teachers
Engineers
Professors
Scientists
Judges
Members of the Armed Forces
The Police
Television news readers
Clergy/priests
The ordinary man/woman in the street
Civil Servants
Pollsters
Charity chief executives
Trade union officials
Bankers
Local councillors
Business leaders
Estate agents
Journalists
Government Ministers
Politicians generally
Advertising executives
% trust to tell the truth
But politicians aren’t
the most mistrusted profession
this year - advertising execs
come in bottom spot
NOW I WILL READ YOU A LIST OF
DIFFERENT TYPES OF PEOPLE. FOR
EACH WOULD YOU TELL ME IF
YOU GENERALLY TRUST THEM TO
TELL THE TRUTH OR NOT?
Source: Ipsos MORI Veracity Index 2018
Base: 1,001 British adults aged 15+,
fieldwork 12-21 October 2018
14State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Trust in some experts has risen over time
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Civil Servants – 62% (+37 ppt since 1983)
Doctors – 92% (+10 ppt since 1983)
Bankers – 41% (+12 ppt since 2011)
Journalists – 26% (+7 ppt since 1983)
TU officials – 45% (+27 ppt since 1983)
Scientists – 85% (+22 ppt since 1997
The Police – 76% (+17 ppt since 1983)
Clergy/Priests – 62% (-23 ppt since 1983)
Source: Ipsos MORI Veracity IndexBase: c1,000 British adults aged 18+ each year
1983 2018
15State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
But Britons remain
heavily sceptical of
political parties, the
media and the Government
HOW MUCH CONFIDENCE, IF
ANY, DO YOU HAVE IN THE
FOLLOWING?
Source: Global Advisor
Base: 1,000+ British adults 18+, 26 June – July 2018.
56%
47%
52%
56%
66%
65%
79%
42%
52%
57%
63%
70%
73%
79%
% lack confidence/no confidence
POLITICAL PARTIES
MEDIA
GOVERNMENT
BIG COMPANIES
BANKS
INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS
JUSTICE SYSTEM
GLOBAL AVERAGE
2016
81%
68%
66%
61%
59%
52%
59%
Great Britain 2018
Globally 2018
16State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
IT’S TOO RISKY TO ELECT
POLITICAL PARTIES OR LEADERS
WITH RADICAL IDEAS WHO
HAVEN’T BEEN IN POWER BEFORE
39%
57%
54%
52%
50%
48%
46%
44%
43%
40%
40%
38%
37%
36%
36%
35%
34%
33%
32%
31%
31%
29%
28%
27%
24%
Total
Peru
Brazil
Russia
India
South Africa
Mexico
Germany
Malaysia
Argentina
Chile
Japan
Poland
Belgium
US
Canada
France
Turkey
Australia
Hungary
Spain
South Korea
Great Britain
Sweden
Italy
GREAT BRITAIN
% Strongly agree/tend to agree
And are among the
least risk averse to electing
an untested party or leader
with radical ideas
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 17,203 adults aged 16-64 across 26
countries, June 26-July 9 2018.
State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
17
deal or no deal?
concerns -
Brexit
18State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU
VOTED IN THE EU REFERENDUM,
DO YOU BELIEVE THAT BRITAIN’S
EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN
UNION IS WORKING OUT BETTER
OR WORSE, OR ABOUT THE SAME
AS YOU EXPECTED?
Attitudes to how Brexit is
being handled have
become more negative
over the year
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
4%
43%
49%
4%
4%
24%
37%
33%
May 2018
BETTER
ABOUT THE SAME
WORSE
DON’T KNOW
October 2018
19State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Britain’s economy over
26%
38%
26%
15%
9%
13%
49%
49%
55%
May 2016
July 2016
Dec 2018
39%
55%
45%
11%
11%
10%
35%
24%
34%
May 2016
July 2016
Dec 2018
the next five years
18%
21%
18%
46%
39%
37%
29%
36%
41%
May 2016
July 2016
Dec 2018
Britain’s economy over
the next ten to
twenty years
Your own standard of
living
BETTER WORSEMAKES NO DIFFERENCE
NOW THAT BRITAIN HAS VOTED
TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION,
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU THINK
IT WILL BE BETTER OR WORSE
FOR XXX, OR WILL IT MAKE NO
DIFFERENCE?
And people are more
pessimistic about the
short term impact of Brexit
on the economy than they
were just after the
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c.1,000 British adults 18+ each month
referendum
20State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
IN 2016, INTERNATIONAL
INVESTMENT INTO THE UK WAS
AROUND £146BN. TO THE BEST
OF YOUR KNOWLEDGE, WHAT
SHARE OF THIS TOTAL AMOUNT
DO YOU THINK COMES FROM
THE FOLLOWING?
Even while underestimating
how much investment
into the UK comes from
EU countries
Source: Ipsos MORI/Kings College
Base: 2,206 adults aged 18-75 across the
UK. Interviews conducted online 28
September-3 October 2018.
<1%
1%
13%
23%
63%
17%
12%
19%
16%
36%
EU COUNTRIES
DIFFERENCE IN
PERCEPTION V REALITY
-27
REST OF THE WORLD
USA
JAPAN
CHINA
-7
+6
+11
+17
Average guess
Reality
21State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Britain’s ability to make
59%
59%
55%
15%
16%
17%
20%
21%
24%
May 2016
July 2016
Dec 2018
47% 24% 22%Dec 2018
decisions in its own best
Britain’s control over
immigration from the
EU
BETTER WORSEMAKES NO DIFFERENCE
interests
Britain’s control over
immigration from
outside the EU
35% 39% 20%Dec 2018
NOW THAT BRITAIN HAS VOTED
TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION,
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU THINK
IT WILL BE BETTER OR WORSE
FOR XXX, OR WILL IT MAKE NO
DIFFERENCE?
However, the public still
think Brexit will be
better for UK sovereignty
and immigration control
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 1,000 British adults 18+ each month
22State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
There is no clear public consensus about what happens next
PARLIAMENT IS EXPECTED TO VOTE ON THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT ON DECEMBER 11TH. IF PARLIAMENT DOES NOT VOTE IN
FAVOUR OF THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT, WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD DO NEXT?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,049 British adults 18+, 30 October-5 December 2018
4%
1%
6%
10%
10%
11%
19%
20%
20%
HOLD A SECOND VOTE IN PARLIAMENT ON THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT
ASK THE EU TO REOPEN NEGOTIATIONS TO SEEK A DIFFERENT DEAL
CALL A GENERAL ELECTION
CALL A REFERENDUM ON WHETHER OR NOT TO ACCEPT THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT
CALL A REFERENDUM ON WHETHER OR NOT BRITAIN SHOULD LEAVE THE EU
CALL-OFF BREXIT ALTOGETHER WITHOUT A REFERENDUM
ALLOW BRITAIN TO LEAVE THE EU WITHOUT A DEAL
NONE OF THE ABOVE
DON’T KNOW
23State of the Nation: 2018 | November 2018 | Public
Are views
immigration?
changing on
24State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING BRITAIN TODAY?
Public concern about immigration has fallen considerably since the vote
for Brexit in 2016
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
ImmigrationTop mentions %
%
Border controls relaxed
for “A8” EU Countries
(Poland, etc.)
EU Border controls relaxed for
Romanians and Bulgarians
Highest concern ever
recorded (56%)
EU
Referendum
1997 2018
25State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Views on the benefits of migration have also become more positive since 2015
ON A SCALE OF 0-10, HAS MIGRATION HAD A POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE IMPACT ON BRITAIN? (0 IS ‘VERY NEGATIVE’, 10 IS ‘VERY
POSITIVE’) 0-4 = NEGATIVE, 5 = NEUTRAL, 6-10 = POSITIVE
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018; 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted
online 9-13 March 2018; c2,000 GB adults aged 18+ conducted online February 2015-October 2016
33% 35%
38%
43% 44%
19%
17% 18%
19% 20%
44%
42%
40%
32%
30%
5% 6%
5% 5% 6%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
EU
Referendum
May 2018
NEGATIVE 32%
POSITIVE 44%
NEUTRAL 18%
DON’T KNOW 6%
FEB 15 APR 2018
26State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
EU Referendum
REDUCE 56%
INCREASE 12%
10% 9% 8%
10%
23% 24%
27%
30%
62% 62%
60%
54%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2015 2016 2017 2018
May ‘18
REMAIN THE SAME 27%
Source: Ipsos MORI, Attitudes to Immigration.
Although the majority still want to see immigration numbers reduced
DO YOU THINK THE NUMBER OF IMMIGRANTS COMING TO BRITAIN NOWADAYS SHOULD BE INCREASED A LOT, INCREASED A
LITTLE, REMAIN THE SAME AS IT IS, REDUCED A LITTLE, OR REDUCED A LOT?
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018; 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted
online 9-13 March 2018; c2,000 GB adults aged 18+ conducted online February 2015-October 2016
27State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
39%
27%
19%
14%
12%
The discussions since the vote to leave the EU have
highlighted how much immigrants contribute to the UK, so
feel more positive or less worried about immigration than I did
before the vote to leave
I am reassured that fewer immigrants will come to the UK
once we actually leave the EU, so I feel more positive or less
worried about immigration than I did before the vote to leave
None of these
There are fewer immigrants coming to the UK already, so I feel
more positive or less worried about immigration than I did
before the vote to leave
Don’t know
41%*
*People selecting either one of these options
SOME PEOPLE’S OPINIONS ON
IMMIGRATION HAVE SHIFTED
SINCE THE VOTE TO LEAVE THE
EU. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING
IF ANY, APPLY TO YOUR VIEWS?
YOU CAN CHOOSE AS MANY AS
YOU LIKE
Those who have
become more positive
about immigration are
split as to why
Base: All who say they have become more positive about immigration since EU Referendum (218),
conducted online 11-14 May 2018
Source: Ipsos MORI, Attitudes to Immigration.
28State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
37%
27%
27%
21%
27%
22%
21%
20%
19%
28%
30%
30%
9%
13%
11%
16%
3%
4%
5%
6%
5%
6%
6%
7%
DOCTORS
ENGINEERS
TEACHERS
COMPUTER AND TECHNOLOGY EXPERTS
THERE SHOULD BE NO
CAP ON NUMBERS AT
ALL
THE CAP SHOULD BE
INCREASED SO MORE
VISAS ARE ISSUED
THE CAP SHOULD
REMAIN AT PRESENT
LEVEL
THE CAP SHOULD BE
REDUCED SO THAT
FEWER VISAS ARE
ISSUSED
NO VISAS SHOULD BE
ISSUED TO THIS
GROUP AT ALL
DON’T KNOW
FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING TYPES
OF SKILLED WORKERS WHO HAVE
RECENTLY HAD VISA APPLICATIONS
REFUSED, WHAT DO YOU THINK THE
GOVERNMENT POLICY
SHOULD BE?
There is support for
softening any cap on
non-EU visa applications for
doctors, teachers and other
skilled workers
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,015 British adults 18+, 18th-22nd May 2018.
29State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
24%
43%
61%
63%
43%
24%
12%
9%
I AM ASHAMED OF HOW BRITAIN HAS
TREATED THE WINDRUSH GENERATION
THE WINDRUSH SCANDAL IS MAINLY A RESULT
OF GOVERNMENT INCOMPENTENCE AND NOT
BECAUSE OF THE RULES OF IMMIGRATION
THE EXPERIENCE OF PEOPLE CAUGHT UP IN THE WINDRUSH
SCANDAL SHOW THAT THE BRITISH GOVERNMENT IS BEING
TOO HOSTILE TOWARDS IMMIGRANTS
ISSUES EXPERIENCED BY THOSE CAUGHT UP IN THE WINDRUSH
SCANDAL ARE BAD, HOWEVER, THIS IS THE UNFORTUNATE SIDE
EFFECT OF CONTROLLING ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION
DISAGREE
AGREE
HOW STRONGLY DO YOU AGREE
OR DISAGREE WITH THE
FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
The Windrush scandal has
left a scar on immigration
policy, but most blame
government incompetence
not policy
Source: Ipsos MORI, Attitudes to Immigration
Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged
18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
30State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
23%
64%
14%
THE PRIORITY SHOULD BE ENSURING THAT ILLEGAL
IMMIGRANTS ARE DEPORTED, EVEN IF THAT MEANS
SOME PEOPLE WHO HAVE THE LEGAL RIGHT TO LIVE
IN BRITAIN ARE FORCED TO LEAVE IF THEY CANNOT
PROVE IT
THE PRIORITY SHOULD BE ENSURING THAT PEOPLE
WHO HAVE THE LEGAL RIGHT TO LIVE IN BRITAIN
ARE NOT WRONGLY FORCED TO LEAVE BECAUSE
THEY MAY NOT HAVE THE RIGHT EVIDENCE PROVING
THEY HAVE THE RIGHT TO STAY, EVEN IF THIS MEANS
ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS ARE NOT DEPORTED
DON’T KNOW
WHEN DEALING WITH ILLEGAL
IMMIGRANTS WHICH OF THESE
PRIORITIES COMES CLOSEST TO
YOUR VIEWS?
The majority favour an
immigration system that
protects people who have the
legal right to be in Britain,
rather than one which
prioritises deporting
illegal immigrants
Source: Ipsos MORI, Attitudes to Immigration
Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged
18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
31State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Have the kids gone
wild or mild?
32State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
86%
85%
77%
72%
70%
70%
64%
57%
57%
28%
15%
89%
90%
83%
84%
56%
76%
76%
63%
67%
5%
TAKING HEROIN
TAKING COCAINE
TAKING DANCE DRUGS E.G. ECSTASY, SPEED
SMOKING CANNABIS
BINGE DRINKING
SMOKING CIGARETTES
SNIFFING SOLVENTS OR GLUE
HAVING SEX WITHOUT USING A CONDOM
WALKING ALONE AT NIGHT IN AN AREA STRANGE TO YOU
HAVING AN ALCOHOLIC DRINK
HAVING SEX USING CONDOMS
Generation Z in 2018
Millennials in 2004
(those aged 11-
15 years)
(those aged 11-
15 years)
% THINK IT’S VERY RISKY
As Gen Z start to
emerge, they are less
worried about risky
behaviour than millennials
were at the same age –
except for binge drinking
Source: Young People Omnibus 2018/Nestle
Family Monitor Survey of Young People’s
Attitudes 2004
Base: 300 11-15 year olds, 5 February-6 April 2018
33State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Just 36% of
13-15 year olds
tried alcohol in
2016, down
from 76% in
2000
Drug use less
uniform change
– but marijuana
down 12
percentage
points in US
Criminal behaviour
falling:
• Detained young
people down
48% across
Europe
2008-15
• In UK 260,000 offences
by Millennials 10-17
years olds, down to
73,000 for Gen Z
36% of Millennial high schoolers said
were sexually active, down to
30% for Gen Z (though unprotected
sex same proportion of sexually active)
Across the world Gen Z seem to be more sensible than their older counterparts
34State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Gen Z
starting point
PRE WAR 74%
GENERATION X 66%
BABY BOOMERS 63%
MILLENIALS 62%
GENERATION Z 62%
Generation Z are also more likely to trust the average person in the street
compared with Millennials when they were younger
% GENERALLY TRUSTING THE MAN/WOMAN ON THE STREET TO TELL THE TRUTH
Source: Ipsos MORI Veracity Index
Base: c. 1,000 people per month
35State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
71% 70% 69% 71% 71% 72% 73%
80% 78%
81% 81%
78% 79% 77%
74%
13% 12% 11% 9% 11%
8% 9% 7%
10% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11%
14%
79%
84% 86%
82% 81% 80% 78%
75%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Base: All participants in England and Wales, attending state secondary/middle schools, circa 2,500 pupils each year Source: Ipsos MORI, Young People Omnibus/Sutton Trust
% saying it is important
to go to university
UNLIKELY 11%
LIKELY 77%
Tuition fees rise to
£3,000
Tuition fees rise to
£9,000
Three in four young people say they are likely to go to university when they are
old enough, even though the percentage saying it’s important drifts down
LIKELIHOOD OF ATTENDING UNIVERSITY
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
36State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Concern
about housing
is on the rise
37State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
27%
£0
£50,000
£100,000
£150,000
£200,000
£250,000
0
5
10
15
20
25
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
R = 0.62
R = 0.18 up to Feb’13
0.81 after Mar’13
%
Top mentions % Housing UK Average house price
The link between rising house prices and concern about housing has been
strengthening over the last decade
WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING BRITAIN TODAY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index (c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month); Nationwide House Price IndexBase: Representative sample of British adults aged 16-64. c.1,000 per month
38State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
63%
42%
37%
34%
17%
14%
12%
9%
7%
7%
2%
2%
BEING ABLE TO RAISE
ENOUGH DEPOSIT
THE GENERAL AVAILABILITY OF MORTGAGES
SHORTAGE OF THE RIGHT TYPE OF PROPERTY
PEOPLE WANT TO BUY
JOB SECURITY
RISING PROPERTY PRICES
HOUSEHOLD FINANCES
CONCERN ABOUT RISE IN INTEREST RATES
FEES RELATED TO BUYING A HOUSE
SHORTAGE OF PROPERTY FOR SALE
THE LEVEL OF STAMP DUTY/TAXATION
FALLING PROPERTY PRICES
DON’T KNOW
NOW THINKING ABOUT THE
CURRENT SITUATION, WHICH
TWO OR THREE OF THESE, IF ANY,
DO YOU THINK ARE THE MAIN
BARRIERS TO PEOPLE IN GENERAL
BEING ABLE TO BUY A PROPERTY?
Being able to raise enough
for a deposit is perceived
as the main barrier to
buying among many
Source: Halifax/Ipsos MORI Housing Market Confidence Tracker
Base: 1,993 GB adults 16+, interviewed between
16 March-11 April 2018
39State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Couple, Birmingham
 Has been renting for nine years
 Now living with his partner in a 1
bedroom flat
 Was previously living in a flatshare with
six people which felt like a hostel and
had mould and condensation issues
 They had to find a flat in 1 month
Putting in an offer and moving in
August
Searching & viewing
July 2017
Went on seven
viewings and felt
pressured by letting
agents to act quickly
Did not know the
council tax
amount or energy
providers for a
few weeks
Gave notice to
his landlord and
had one month
to move out
Put an offer down
after 25 min of
viewing. Was not
aware of the
tenure length or
the conditions to
get the deposit
back
Started
looking online
and went to
letting agents
Asked previous
landlord for more
time but they had
already found a
new tenant
Lack of necessary
information
Anxiety Lack of adequate timeTime pressure
While private renters are also faced with significant challenges
40State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Including finding somewhere suitable to live
The biggest challenge is finding a
suitable house. Anything suitable is
usually snapped up very quickly, so you
don't really have time to assess the house
properly.
INTERVIEW WITH A PRIVATE RENTER LIVING WITH CHILDREN IN BELFAST
From Private Renters’ customer journeys
41State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
57%
51%
33%
27%
26%
47%
28%
30%
31%
21%
HOUSE PRICES ARE TOO HIGH
RENTS ARE TOO HIGH
LACK OF SOCIAL HOUSING
THE SIZE OF DEPOSITS REQUIRED TO BUY A
HOUSE/GET A MORTAGE BEING TOO HIGH
TOO MANY PEOPLE FROM ABROAD
BUYING HOME TO LIVE IN/TO RENT OUT
London
Great Britain
Top 5 issues
WHICH IF ANY, OF THE
FOLLOWING DO YOU SEE AS THE
3 MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEMS
FACING THE HOUSING MARKET…?
Affordability is also
an issue across the
housing market,
especially in London
Base: 1,000 London adults (online), Oct-Nov 2018
1,009 GB adults (online), Oct 2014
Source: Ipsos MORI/London Councils and Ipsos MORI/JLL
42State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Base: 1,006 GB adults among 19,786 adults (online),
Aug-Sept 2018
HOW GOOD OR POOR WOULD YOU
RATE THE CURRENT QUALITY OF THE
NEW HOUSING SUPPLY?
Source: Ipsos MORI/Global Infrastructure Investors Association
42%
38%
69%
60%
59%
59%
55%
53%
53%
51%
49%
48%
48%
46%
45%
44%
42%
40%
38%
38%
38%
36%
33%
31%
29%
29%
28%
27%
25%
25%
20%
Global
G8
Saudi Arabia
India
Serbia
Turkey
Hungary
Colombia
Malaysia
Chile
US
Australia
France
Peru
Canada
Belgium
Japan
Czech Republic
Mexico
Poland
Russia
South Korea
Romania
Great Britain
Italy
Spain
Argentina
South Africa
Germany
Sweden
Brazil
% VERY/FAIRLY GOOD
GREAT BRITAIN
G8 COUNTRIESThe quality of Britain’s
housing supply does
not compare well
internationally – it’s
below the global and
G8 average
43State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2017 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
45%
40%
40%
31%
30%
30%
28%
24%
15%
12%
Base: 1,006 GB adults among 19,786 adults
(online), Aug-Sept 2018
Source: Ipsos MORI/Global Infrastructure Investors Association
RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE – TRACK/STATIONS
NEW HOUSING SUPPLY
THE LOCAL ROAD NETWORK
MOTORWAY/MAJOR ROAD NETWORK
FLOOD DEFENCES
ENERGY GENERATING INFRASTRUCTURE
DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE – HIGH SPEED
BROADBAND*
WATER SUPPLY AND SEWERAGE
NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURE TO GENERATE
ENERGY
AIRPORTS
WHICH OF THESE TYPES OF
INFRASTRUCTURE, IF ANY, DO YOU
THINK SHOULD BE MADE A PRIORITY
FOR INVESTMENT FOR [COUNTRY]?
And a new housing
supply is competing
with many other
infrastructure priorities
* ‘Digital infrastructure such as high speed
broadband, full fibre networks (FTTP), 5G’
44State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
42%
73%
58%
17%
3%
7%
I’M FINE WITH FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN
NEW INFRASTRUCTURE IN GB IF IT MEANS
IT GETS BUILT MORE QUICKLY
INVESTING IN INFRASTRUCTURE IS VITAL
TO GB’S FUTURE ECONOMIC GROWTH
DISAGREEAGREE
AS A COUNTRY WE ARE NOT DOING
ENOUGH TO MEET OUR INFRASTRUCTURE
NEEDS
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU
AGREE OR DISAGREE…?
Solution? The public agree
we need to invest more
into infrastructure,
and are open to
foreign investment
Base: c.1,000 British adults, online panel, Aug-Sept 2018 Source: Ipsos MORI/GIIA
State of the Nation: 2018 | November 2018 | Public 45
austerity?
Are Brits
tiring of
46State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
AFFECTED 31%
NOT AFFECTED 62%
33%
23%
27%
33%
59%
76%
72%
66%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
The number of people feeling the impact of cuts has stabilised but remains
around a third, compared with a quarter in 2015
AS YOU MAY KNOW OVER RECENT YEARS THE GOVERNMENT HAS ANNOUNCED A NUMBER OF SPENDING CUTS TO HELP REDUCE
THE NATIONAL DEFICIT. TO WHAT EXTENT, IF AT ALL, HAVE YOU AND YOUR FAMILY BEEN AFFECTED BY THE CUTS SO FAR ?
Base: c1,000 British adults each month Source: Deloitte LLP for The State of the State 2018
2012 2018
47State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
76%
61%
56%
46%
59%
63% 62%
14%
20%
23%
33%
27% 26% 27%
7%
12%
15%
18%
12%
10%
9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
GOVERNMENT SERVICES
SHOULD BE EXTENDED, EVEN
IF IT MEANS SOME INCREASES
TO TAXES 62%
THINGS SHOULD BE LEFT AS
THEY ARE 27%
TAXES SHOULD BE CUT, EVEN
IT MEANS SOME REDUCTION
IN GOVERNMENT SERVICES 9%
Extending government services, even if this means some tax increases,
is now supported by almost two thirds
PEOPLE HAVE DIFFERENT VIEWS ABOUT WHETHER IT IS MORE IMPORTANT TO REDUCE TAXES OR KEEP UP GOVERNMENT SPENDING.
HOW ABOUT YOU? WHICH OF THESE STATEMENTS COMES CLOSEST TO YOUR OWN VIEW?
Base: c1,000 British adults each month Source: Deloitte LLP for The State of the State 2018
48State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
32%
33%
38%
39%
44%
44%
54%
24%
28%
29%
23%
10%
24%
22%
THE NHS
OPPORTUNITIES FOR YOUNG PEOPLE
THE WAY YOUR AREA IS POLICED
PUBLIC TRANSPORT
THE QUALITY OF THE ENVIRONMENT
SKILLS IN BRITAIN’S WORKFORCE
THE QUALITY OF EDUCATION
WORSE
BETTER
THINKING ABOUT … OVER THE
NEXT FEW YEARS DO YOU EXPECT
IT TO GET BETTER, GET WORSE,
OR STAY THE SAME?
We are notably pessimistic
about the NHS,
opportunities for young
people and policing
Base: 1,026 British adults 18+ 22nd-27th June 2018
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
State of the Nation 2018 | Public 49
the NHS
This is particularly
significant as
turns 70
50State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
45%
73%
72%
71%
64%
63%
62%
58%
58%
56%
55%
55%
54%
51%
50%
46%
46%
39%
34%
33%
30%
26%
25%
20%
20%
18%
18%
16%
14%
33%
18%
20%
22%
25%
22%
26%
29%
28%
31%
31%
31%
29%
30%
43%
29%
39%
49%
58%
38%
31%
37%
31%
39%
39%
25%
36%
39%
42%
23%
9%
9%
7%
11%
15%
12%
13%
15%
13%
14%
15%
18%
19%
7%
25%
16%
12%
8%
29%
39%
37%
44%
42%
41%
57%
47%
45%
45%
World
Great Britain
Malaysia
Australia
Belgium
United States
Canada
Spain
Argentina
Germany
France
India
Saudi Arabia
Sweden
South Korea
South Africa
Turkey
China
Japan
Italy
Chile
Mexico
Colombia
Hungary
Peru
Brazil
Serbia
Russia
Poland
POOR
GOOD
GREAT BRITAIN
HOW WOULD YOU RATE THE
QUALITY OF HEALTHCARE THAT
YOU AND YOUR FAMILY HAVE
ACCESS TO IN YOUR COUNTRY?
Britons are the most
likely in the world
to rate their health
service as good
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 23, 249 online adults aged 16-64 across
28 countries, May 25-June 8 2018
51State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
55%
85%
80%
74%
70%
70%
70%
69%
67%
66%
64%
60%
60%
60%
57%
57%
55%
52%
48%
46%
46%
43%
42%
41%
39%
33%
32%
24%
15%
30%
11%
14%
20%
22%
20%
24%
18%
26%
18%
26%
27%
24%
33%
28%
31%
32%
36%
39%
18%
39%
37%
33%
38%
39%
53%
31%
51%
62%
15%
4%
6%
7%
8%
11%
7%
13%
8%
16%
10%
13%
16%
8%
15%
12%
13%
12%
13%
36%
15%
20%
25%
22%
22%
14%
37%
25%
23%
World
Great Britain
Hungary
Sweden
Spain
Chile
France
Colombia
Canada
Brazil
Italy
Argentina
Peru
Australia
Mexico
South Africa
Germany
Russia
United States
Turkey
India
China
Malaysia
Saudi Arabia
Serbia
Belgium
Poland
South Korea
Japan
DISAGREE
AGREE
GREAT BRITAIN
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE
OR DISAGREE WITH THE
FOLLOWING STATEMENT – THE
HEALTHCARE SYSTEM IN MY
COUNTRY IS OVERSTRETCHED?
However, they are also
the most likely to say
their health service is
‘overstretched’
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 23, 249 online adults aged 16-64 across
28 countries, May 25-June 8 2018.
52State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI / NHS Providers 2018
68%
58%
40%
40%
33%
24%
23%
3%
Base: 917 English adults 18+, interviewed between 26-29 April 2018
URGENT AND EMERGENCY CARE SUCH
AS A&E AND AMUBLANCE SERVICES
MENTAL HEALTH SERVICES
COMMUNITY AND SOCIAL CARE SERVICES, SUCH
AS SUPPORTING PEOPLE WITH DAY-TO-DAY NEEDS
CHILDREN’S SERVICES
PRIMARY CARE, INCLUDING GENERAL
PRACTICE AND PHARMACY
ROUTINE PLANNED SURGERY, FOR EXAMPLE HIP,
KNEE AND CATARACT OPERATIONS
PUBLIC HEALTH INITIATIVES TO PREVENT MORE
PEOPLE FROM BECOMING UNHEALTHY AND ILL
NONE OF THESE
IF THE GOVERNMENT WERE TO
DEVOTE MORE FUNDING TO
HEALTH AND CARE SERVICES,
WHICH THREE, IF ANY, OF THE
FOLLOWING DO YOU THINK IT
SHOULD PRIORITISE IN TERMS OF
SPENDING?
The public’s priority for
extra funding is urgent
and emergency care,
with mental health second
53State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 2018
1%
5%
20%
21%
38%
55%
55%
Base: 1,026 British adults 18+ 22-27 June 2018
INCREASE THE TAXES THAT I PAY
MORE CHARGES FOR NHS SERVICES FOR
PEOPLE ON HIGH INCOME
MORE CHARGES FOR NHS SERVICES FOR
EVERYONE
HIGHER GOVERNMENT BORROWING
REDUCED SPENDING ON OTHER PUBLIC
SERVICES
OTHER
NHS SHOULD NOT RECEIVE ANY FUNDING
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING, IF
ANY, WOULD YOU SUPPORT TO
PAY FOR THE INCREASED FUNDING
FOR THE NHS THAT THE
GOVERNMENT HAS ANNOUNCED?
And they are willing to put
their money where their
mouth is, with over half
saying they would personally
pay more taxes
54State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
14%
49%
33%
4%
Base: Online survey of 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75
conducted 9-13 March 2018
THE EXTRA FUNDING IS ENOUGH TO LEAD
DON’T KNOW
TO IMPROVEMENTS IN NHS SERVICES
THE EXTRA FUNDING IS ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN
THE CURRENT LEVELS OF NHS SERVICES, BUT
NOT LEAD TO IMPROVEMENTS
THE EXTRA FUNDING IS NOT ENOUGH
AND NHS SERVICES WILL GET WORSE
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 2018
AS YOU MAY KNOW THE
GOVERNMENT HAS RECENTLY
ANNOUNCED THAT IT WILL BE
PROVIDING AN EXTRA £20BILLION A
YEAR FOR THE NHS FOR THE NEXT
FIVE YEARS, AN INCREASE OF 3.4%.
WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE EFFECT
THIS EXTRA FUNDING WILL HAVE ON
THE NHS, WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING
IS CLOSEST TO YOUR OPINION?
Although, few think the
announced increase in funding
is enough to lead to
improvements
55State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Base: 1,463 UK Adults 15+ Source: Ipsos MORI/Deloitte LLP for the State of the State 2018
68%
59%
25%
13%
9%
20%
30%
62%
75%
85%
CHARGING A FEE TO PEOPLE WITH A
PERSONAL ANNUAL INCOME OF OVER
£46,000 TO VISIT A GP
CHARGING A FEE FOR MISSING A GP
APPOINTMENT WITHOUT CANCELLING IN
ADVANCE
CHARGING A FEE TO GET A GP
APPOINTMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS
CHARGING A FEE TO PEOPLE WHO ARE
NOT UK CITIZENS TO VISIT A GP
CHARGING A FEE TO VISIT A GP
UNACCEPTABLEACCEPTABLE
THINKING ABOUT THE NHS
SPECIFICALLY, HOW
ACCEPTABLE OR
UNACCEPTABLE DO YOU FEEL
IT IS TO CHARGE A FEE FOR
EACH OF THE FOLLOWING…?
Other options for raising
funds receive mixed levels
of support
56State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
And the public think change is needed within social care too
It’s not working! For me, personally,
I don’t think you can continue with
this. That gap’s going to get bigger
and bigger.“
PARTICIPANT FROM A DELIBERATIVE EVENT IN THE LEEDS
From Public attitudes to social care funding reform
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
57State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Britons are
worried about
equality
58State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
DISAGREEAGREE
India
Spain
China
Serbia
Argentina
Mexico
Malaysia
Russia
Turkey
Saudi Arabia
Chile
Peru
Hungary
Italy
France
Belgium
South Africa
Brazil
Poland
Canada
United States
South Korea
Sweden
Australia
Germany
Great Britain
Japan
66% 62%
62% 66%
58% 64%
55% 62%
57% 59%
53% 64%
59% 53%
50% 63%
55% 55%
53% 55%
51% 56%
48% 53%
43% 49%
44% 47%
40% 44%
37% 46%
37% 40%
34% 39%
36% 36%
30% 41%
27% 43%
22% 44%
22% 42%
28% 36%
25% 34%
20% 30%
20% 25%
64%
64%
61%
59%
58%
58%
56%
56%
55%
54%
53%
50%
46%
46%
42%
42%
38%
37%
36%
35%
35%
33%
32%
32%
30%
25%
22%
30%
28%
33%
35%
34%
40%
33%
32%
41%
30%
43%
48%
42%
46%
42%
42%
53%
53%
46%
52%
53%
60%
62%
54%
56%
60%
58%
GREAT BRITAIN
Women
agree (%)
Men
agree (%)
WHEN IT COMES TO GIVING WOMEN
EQUAL RIGHTS WITH MEN, THINGS
HAVE GONE FAR ENOUGH IN MY
COUNTRY?
Only one in four Britons
agree that giving women equal
rights has gone far enough –
among the lowest in the world
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 23,249 online adults aged 16-64 across
28 countries, May 25-June 8 2018
59State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
WHICH TWO OR THREE, IF ANY OF
THE FOLLOWING, DO YOU THINK ARE
THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUES FACING
WOMEN AND GIRLS IN BRITAIN ?
Equal pay is seen as the
most important issue
facing women and girls in Britain,
closely followed by
sexual harassment
20%
28%
13%
32%
19%
20%
21%
22%
24%
30%
Great Britain
EQUAL PAY
SEXUAL HARASSMENT
SEXUALISATION OF WOMEN IN MEDIA
SEXUAL VIOLENCE
DOMESTIC ABUSE
Globally
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 23,249 online adults aged 16-64 across
28 countries, May 25-June 8 2018
TOP 5 ISSUES
60State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
2120
2115
2100
2025
2090
2025
2080
2025
2070
2025
2060
2055
2050
2045
2040
2035
2030
2025
2020
Median guess
Gap:
82
years
AT THE CURRENT RATE OF PROGRESS,
IN WHICH YEAR WILL MEN AND
WOMEN HAVE EQUAL PAY IN
[COUNTRY]?
Although both Britons
and Americans are far
too optimistic in
predicting when equal pay
will be achieved
Average guess of when
pay equality will be
achieved 2035
Pay equality predicted
to be achieved by
2117
Pay equality predicted
to be achieved by 2059
Gap:
31
years
Average guess of when pay
equality will be achieved
2028
Source: Ipsos Global Adviser
Base: 1,000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018
61State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
36 80
38 73
44 75
51 81
37 60
40 60
31 51
63 81
50 68
30 42
21 32
41 50
30 32
Denmark
Netherlands
France
United States
Germany
Belgium
Italy
Sweden
Great Britain
Hungary
Poland
Spain
Romania
Country
Avg. guess
(39)
Actual
(60)
-44%
-35%
-31%
-30%
-23%
-20%
-20%
-18%
-18%
-12%
-11%
-9%
-2%
too high% point diff. between avg. guess & actualtoo low
OUT OF EVERY 100 WOMEN IN
[COUNTRY] HOW MANY DO YOU
THINK SAY THEY HAVE
EXPERIENCED ANY FORM OF
SEXUAL HARASSMENT SINCE THE
AGE OF 15?
And across the world,
nations underestimate
the level of sexual
harassment experienced
by women
Source: Perils of Perception 2018
Base: 28,000 adults across 35 countries (1,000 GB)
62State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
15%
11%
66%
9%
I WOULD NOT BE
I WOULD BE SLIGHTLY CONCERNED
I WOULD BE VERY CONCERNED
DON’T KNOW
CONCERNED AT ALL
PLEASE SAY HOW YOU THINK YOU
WOULD FEEL IN EACH OF THE
FOLLOWING SITUATIONS: A MEMBER
OF THE ROYAL FAMILY MARRYING
SOMEBODY OF THE SAME SEX
As Prince Harry married
Meghan Markle this year,
the majority said they wouldn’t
mind if a member of the royal
family married somebody
of the same sex
Source: Kings College London Polling Club/Ipsos MORI
Base: 1,681 British online adults, 16-75, 23-27 February 2018
63State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
PRINCE HARRY
THE QUEEN
WHICH TWO OR THREE MEMBERS OF THE ROYAL FAMILY DO YOU LIKE THE MOST? (UNPROMPTED)
Meanwhile the younger generation of royals has become the most popular
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 2018Base: 1000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018
1984 2018
PRINCE WILLIAM
62%
58%
47%
PRINCE PHILLIP
12%
PRINCE CHARLES
9%
PRINCESS ANNE
8%
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
64State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
David Attenborough
the environment
(and the record
got Britain talking about
breaking summer)
65State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
IN YOUR VIEW, WHAT ARE THE THREE
MOST IMPORTANT ENVIRONMENTAL
ISSUES FACING BRITAIN TODAY? THAT
IS THE, THE TOP ENVIRONMENTAL
ISSUES YOU FEEL SHOULD RECEIVE
THE GREATEST ATTENTION FROM
YOUR LOCAL LEADERS?
Britain’s concern about
about dealing with waste
is higher than the
rest of the world
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 1000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018.
11%
14%
24%
30%
30%
28%
29%
29%
29%
46%
Great Britain DEALING WITH WASTE
GLOBAL WARMING
FUTURE ENERGY SUPPLIES
OVERPOPULATION
OVERPACKING PRODUCTS
Globally
66State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
UNCONCERNED
CONCERNED
41%
44%
10%
3%
NET
13%
85%
AS YOU MAY KNOW, THERE HAS BEEN
A LOT OF DISCUSSION RECENTLY
ABOUT THE EFFECTS ON THE
ENVIRONMENT OF PLASTIC
PACKAGING, PLASTIC BAGS, AND
OTHER DISPOSABLE OBJECTS WHICH
CANNOT BE RECYCLED. HOW
CONCERNED IF AT ALL WOULD YOU
SAY YOU ARE ABOUT THIS ISSUE?
With the majority of Britons
concerned about the over
packaging of consumer goods
VERY CONCERNED
FAIRLY CONCERNED
NOT VERY CONCERNED
NOT AT ALL CONCERNED
DON’T KNOW 2%Source: Kings College London Polling Club/Ipsos MORI
Base: 1,681 British online adults, 16-75, 23-27 February 2018
67State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
66%
49%
39%
20%
12%
12%
7%
9%
% WHO WOULD PERSONALLY DO
EACH TO REDUCE THE PROBLEMS
CAUSED BY UNNECESSARY
USE OF PLASTIC
Brits are more likely
to change their behaviours
than pay more to tackle the
overuse of plastic
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
RE-USE DISPOSABLE ITEMS SUCH AS PLASTIC BAGS AND PLASTIC BOTTLES
BUY MORE PRODUCTS MADE FROM RECYCLED MATERIALS
STOP BUYING GOODS THAT HAVE NON-RECYCLABLE PACKAGING
STOP GOING TO RETAILERS WHICH USE A LOT OF NON-RECYCLABLE PACKING
PAY MORE COUNCIL TAX SO RECYCLING FACILITIES CAN
ALLOW A WIDER RANGE OF ITEMS TO BE RECYCLED
PAY EXTRA FOR GOODS THAT HAVE NO NON-RECYCLABLE PACKAGING
NONE OF THESE
DON’T KNOWBase: 1000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018.
68State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
As they don’t want to see an increase in their bills…
I think a lot of people want to do the
right thing and have good intentions, but
if it’s a choice between cost and doing
the right thing, it will come down to cost.
PARTICIPANT FROM A DELIBERATIVE EVENT IN SLEAFORD
From Public attitudes to long-term infrastructure
69State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
WHO IF ANYBODY DO YOU BELIEVE
SHOULD TAKE MOST RESPONSIBILITY
FOR FINDING A WAY TO REDUCE THE
AMOUNT OF UNNECESSARY
PACKAGING WHICH IS SOLD?
But consumers don’t want
to do it all on their own –
sellers of goods need to
take responsibility too
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
Base: 1,000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018
8%
16%
10%
20%
37%
4%
11%
12%
26%
39%
Great Britain
ALL OF THE ABOVE
PACKAGED GOOD PRODUCERS
SELLERS OF PACKAGED GOODS
THE GOVERNMENT
CONSUMERS
Globally
Top 5 issues
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
70State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Our 2018
highlights
71State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Visit our website for our past and
current editions of Understanding
Society
Visit our Almanac microsite for the archive
of all Ipsos MORI end of year reviews
72State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
Visit our Beyond Binary microsite for
the full report
Visit our Ipsos Thinks microsite for the
full report
73State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
AI in HealthcarePrivate renters’
journeys
What worries
the world
Public views on
the NHS at 70
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and
may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
74State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public
For more information…
Gideon Skinner
Gideon.Skinner@Ipsos.com
Sophie Wilson
Sophie.Wilson@Ipsos.com
Cameron Garrett
Cameron.Garrett@Ipsos.com

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Britons divided on Brexit amid uncertainty

  • 1. State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 1
  • 2. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 2State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public CONTENTS WHAT’S THE BRITISH MOOD? WHO IS TRUSTED IN THE AGE OF FAKE NEWS? BREXIT CONCERNS – DEAL OR NO DEAL? VIEWS ON IMMIGRATION HAVE THE KIDS GONE WILD OR MILD? CONCERN ABOUT HOUSING ON THE RISE ARE BRITS TIRING OF AUSTERITY? THE NHS TURNS 70 BRITONS ARE WORRIED ABOUT EQUALITY RECORD BREAKING SUMMER OUR 2018 HIGHLIGHTS
  • 3. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 3State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public What’s the British mood?
  • 4. 4State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public % 20% 40% 60% 80% :Source Ipsos Global AdvisorBase: Representative sample of British adults aged 16-64. c.1,000 per month GENERALLY SPEAKING, WOULD YOU SAY THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE HEADING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION, September ’18 OR ARE THEY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 2015 General Election EU Referendum 2017 General Election WRONG DIRECTION 70% RIGHT DIRECTION 30% 0 National unease has been growing since 2015, with seven in ten currently thinking the UK is headed in the ‘wrong direction’ 2010 2018
  • 5. 5State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING BRITAIN TODAY? NHS UNEMPLOYMENT ECONOMY DEFENCE/TERRORISM IMMIGRATION EU/EUROPE/BREXIT 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% May 2010 Feb 2011 Nov 2011 Aug 2012 May 2013 Feb 2014 Nov 2014 Aug 2015 May 2016 Feb 2017 Nov 2017 Aug 2018 Top mentions % November ‘18 Concern about the EU has risen considerably since 2010, while worries about the economy have fallen in priority :Source Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: Representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 6. 6State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 -47 Lowest point July 2008, (-64) Net Optimism DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OF THE NEXT 12 MONTHS? However, we still have high – and worsening – levels of economic pessimism :Source Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month 1998 2018
  • 7. 7State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Meanwhile in November, concern around crime reached its highest point since August 2011 WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING BRITAIN TODAY? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% May day riots Riots across England Lowest score since March 1991 (8%) Highest score since August 2011 (27%) CRIMETop mentions % :Source Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: Representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home. 1997 2018
  • 8. 8State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 25% 39% 42% 35% 30% 28% 25% 33% 32% 27% 23% 34% 29% 28% 42% 32% 25% 16% 25% 36% 32% 34% 47% 34% 51% 25% 33% 22% 24% 28% 14% 20% 19% 18% 22% 71% 61% 60% 59% 52% 48% 48% 46% 46% 44% 41% 39% 35% 34% 34% 34% 33% 33% 32% 30% 30% 30% 30% 28% 25% 24% 21% 17% 14% 14% 14% 12% 10% 9% 5% Great Britain Romania China Poland Hungary Denmark South Korea Germany Singapore Italy Japan Russia Belgium Malaysia Spain Sweden India Colombia Switzerland Australia Canada New Zealand South Africa Netherlands Chile France Turkey Peru Serbia Argentina United States Thailand Brazil Mexico Montenegro % Guessing knives as the biggest cause of deathCountry Actual % of deaths caused by knives or sharp objects GREAT BRITAIN THINKING ABOUT PEOPLE WHO ARE KILLED BY OTHER PEOPLE IN [COUNTRY] IN 2015, DO YOU THINK MORE PEOPLE WERE KILLED BY FIREARMS, SHARP OBJECTS SUCH AS KNIVES OR OTHER PHYSICAL VIOLENCE? CHOOSE THE ONE OPTION THAT YOU THINK RESULTED IN THE MOST DEATHS In 2018 Britain was the nation most likely to overestimate the level of knife crime Source: Perils of Perception 2018 Base: 28,000 adults across 35 countries (1,000 GB)
  • 9. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 9State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Who is trusted fake news? in the age of
  • 10. 10State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public I AM CONFIDENT THAT THE AVERAGE PERSON IN [COUNTRY] CAN TELL REAL NEWS FROM ‘FAKE NEWS’ DISAGREE AGREE Britons are among the least likely in the world to think their fellow citizens can distinguish between real and fake news Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 13,500 adults across 27 countries (500 GB) 41% 69% 60% 60% 58% 55% 54% 46% 44% 44% 44% 40% 40% 39% 39% 38% 38% 37% 37% 36% 34% 32% 29% 29% 28% 27% 26% 26% 48% 23% 34% 29% 34% 39% 27% 48% 50% 51% 49% 49% 56% 48% 47% 51% 45% 53% 48% 51% 59% 53% 53% 62% 59% 61% 52% 64% Total Hungary Malaysia Saudi Arabia China India Spain Peru Chile Mexico Serbia Russia Turkey Canada Poland Brazil France Argentina South Korea Australia South Africa Belgium Germany US Great Britain Italy Japan Sweden GREAT BRITAIN
  • 11. 11State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public But they are also one of the least likely to admit that they’ve been fooled by a fake news story I HAVE FALSELY BELIEVED A NEWS STORY WAS REAL UNTIL I FOUND OUT IT WAS FAKE DISAGREE AGREE Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 13,500 adults across 27 countries (500 GB) 48% 62% 58% 58% 57% 57% 56% 55% 55% 55% 54% 54% 51% 50% 50% 49% 48% 48% 46% 46% 45% 45% 43% 35% 34% 33% 33% 29% 40% 29% 29% 29% 39% 29% 34% 37% 33% 29% 41% 43% 41% 45% 41% 39% 39% 39% 39% 42% 39% 38% 40% 51% 46% 54% 63% 62% Total Brazil Saudi Arabia South Korea Peru Spain China India Poland Sweden Chile Mexico Argentina Malaysia South Africa Russia Canada Serbia Australia US Belgium Germany France Hungary Japan Great Britain Turkey Italy GREAT BRITAIN
  • 12. 12State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public In Britain, the media, politicians and social media all get the blame for the spread of fake news PEOPLE OFTEN GET LOTS OF THINGS WRONG ABOUT THEIR COUNTRIES AND HOW THEY’RE CHANGING, FOR EXAMPLE, WHAT PROPORTION OF THE POPULATION ARE IMMIGRANTS, OR WHETHER CRIME IS GOING UP OR DOWN. WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK ARE THE BIGGEST REASONS FOR THIS? Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: c.1,000 residents aged 16-64 in Great Britain, 22 June-6 July 2018 41% 52% 49% 56% 57% 60% THE MEDIA MISLEADS PEOPLE POLITICIANS MISLEAD PEOPLE SOCIAL MEDIA MISLEADS PEOPLE Top 3 responses from Great BritainGreat Britain Globally
  • 13. 13State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 96% 92% 89% 87% 86% 85% 83% 78% 76% 62% 62% 62% 62% 52% 48% 45% 41% 40% 34% 30% 26% 22% 19% 16% Nurses Doctors Teachers Engineers Professors Scientists Judges Members of the Armed Forces The Police Television news readers Clergy/priests The ordinary man/woman in the street Civil Servants Pollsters Charity chief executives Trade union officials Bankers Local councillors Business leaders Estate agents Journalists Government Ministers Politicians generally Advertising executives % trust to tell the truth But politicians aren’t the most mistrusted profession this year - advertising execs come in bottom spot NOW I WILL READ YOU A LIST OF DIFFERENT TYPES OF PEOPLE. FOR EACH WOULD YOU TELL ME IF YOU GENERALLY TRUST THEM TO TELL THE TRUTH OR NOT? Source: Ipsos MORI Veracity Index 2018 Base: 1,001 British adults aged 15+, fieldwork 12-21 October 2018
  • 14. 14State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Trust in some experts has risen over time 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Civil Servants – 62% (+37 ppt since 1983) Doctors – 92% (+10 ppt since 1983) Bankers – 41% (+12 ppt since 2011) Journalists – 26% (+7 ppt since 1983) TU officials – 45% (+27 ppt since 1983) Scientists – 85% (+22 ppt since 1997 The Police – 76% (+17 ppt since 1983) Clergy/Priests – 62% (-23 ppt since 1983) Source: Ipsos MORI Veracity IndexBase: c1,000 British adults aged 18+ each year 1983 2018
  • 15. 15State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public But Britons remain heavily sceptical of political parties, the media and the Government HOW MUCH CONFIDENCE, IF ANY, DO YOU HAVE IN THE FOLLOWING? Source: Global Advisor Base: 1,000+ British adults 18+, 26 June – July 2018. 56% 47% 52% 56% 66% 65% 79% 42% 52% 57% 63% 70% 73% 79% % lack confidence/no confidence POLITICAL PARTIES MEDIA GOVERNMENT BIG COMPANIES BANKS INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS JUSTICE SYSTEM GLOBAL AVERAGE 2016 81% 68% 66% 61% 59% 52% 59% Great Britain 2018 Globally 2018
  • 16. 16State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public IT’S TOO RISKY TO ELECT POLITICAL PARTIES OR LEADERS WITH RADICAL IDEAS WHO HAVEN’T BEEN IN POWER BEFORE 39% 57% 54% 52% 50% 48% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 38% 37% 36% 36% 35% 34% 33% 32% 31% 31% 29% 28% 27% 24% Total Peru Brazil Russia India South Africa Mexico Germany Malaysia Argentina Chile Japan Poland Belgium US Canada France Turkey Australia Hungary Spain South Korea Great Britain Sweden Italy GREAT BRITAIN % Strongly agree/tend to agree And are among the least risk averse to electing an untested party or leader with radical ideas Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 17,203 adults aged 16-64 across 26 countries, June 26-July 9 2018.
  • 17. State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 17 deal or no deal? concerns - Brexit
  • 18. 18State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU VOTED IN THE EU REFERENDUM, DO YOU BELIEVE THAT BRITAIN’S EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION IS WORKING OUT BETTER OR WORSE, OR ABOUT THE SAME AS YOU EXPECTED? Attitudes to how Brexit is being handled have become more negative over the year Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: c.1,000 British adults each month 4% 43% 49% 4% 4% 24% 37% 33% May 2018 BETTER ABOUT THE SAME WORSE DON’T KNOW October 2018
  • 19. 19State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Britain’s economy over 26% 38% 26% 15% 9% 13% 49% 49% 55% May 2016 July 2016 Dec 2018 39% 55% 45% 11% 11% 10% 35% 24% 34% May 2016 July 2016 Dec 2018 the next five years 18% 21% 18% 46% 39% 37% 29% 36% 41% May 2016 July 2016 Dec 2018 Britain’s economy over the next ten to twenty years Your own standard of living BETTER WORSEMAKES NO DIFFERENCE NOW THAT BRITAIN HAS VOTED TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION, TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU THINK IT WILL BE BETTER OR WORSE FOR XXX, OR WILL IT MAKE NO DIFFERENCE? And people are more pessimistic about the short term impact of Brexit on the economy than they were just after the Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: c.1,000 British adults 18+ each month referendum
  • 20. 20State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public IN 2016, INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT INTO THE UK WAS AROUND £146BN. TO THE BEST OF YOUR KNOWLEDGE, WHAT SHARE OF THIS TOTAL AMOUNT DO YOU THINK COMES FROM THE FOLLOWING? Even while underestimating how much investment into the UK comes from EU countries Source: Ipsos MORI/Kings College Base: 2,206 adults aged 18-75 across the UK. Interviews conducted online 28 September-3 October 2018. <1% 1% 13% 23% 63% 17% 12% 19% 16% 36% EU COUNTRIES DIFFERENCE IN PERCEPTION V REALITY -27 REST OF THE WORLD USA JAPAN CHINA -7 +6 +11 +17 Average guess Reality
  • 21. 21State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Britain’s ability to make 59% 59% 55% 15% 16% 17% 20% 21% 24% May 2016 July 2016 Dec 2018 47% 24% 22%Dec 2018 decisions in its own best Britain’s control over immigration from the EU BETTER WORSEMAKES NO DIFFERENCE interests Britain’s control over immigration from outside the EU 35% 39% 20%Dec 2018 NOW THAT BRITAIN HAS VOTED TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION, TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU THINK IT WILL BE BETTER OR WORSE FOR XXX, OR WILL IT MAKE NO DIFFERENCE? However, the public still think Brexit will be better for UK sovereignty and immigration control Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: c. 1,000 British adults 18+ each month
  • 22. 22State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public There is no clear public consensus about what happens next PARLIAMENT IS EXPECTED TO VOTE ON THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT ON DECEMBER 11TH. IF PARLIAMENT DOES NOT VOTE IN FAVOUR OF THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT, WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD DO NEXT? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,049 British adults 18+, 30 October-5 December 2018 4% 1% 6% 10% 10% 11% 19% 20% 20% HOLD A SECOND VOTE IN PARLIAMENT ON THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT ASK THE EU TO REOPEN NEGOTIATIONS TO SEEK A DIFFERENT DEAL CALL A GENERAL ELECTION CALL A REFERENDUM ON WHETHER OR NOT TO ACCEPT THE WITHDRAWAL AGREEMENT CALL A REFERENDUM ON WHETHER OR NOT BRITAIN SHOULD LEAVE THE EU CALL-OFF BREXIT ALTOGETHER WITHOUT A REFERENDUM ALLOW BRITAIN TO LEAVE THE EU WITHOUT A DEAL NONE OF THE ABOVE DON’T KNOW
  • 23. 23State of the Nation: 2018 | November 2018 | Public Are views immigration? changing on
  • 24. 24State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING BRITAIN TODAY? Public concern about immigration has fallen considerably since the vote for Brexit in 2016 Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 ImmigrationTop mentions % % Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.) EU Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians Highest concern ever recorded (56%) EU Referendum 1997 2018
  • 25. 25State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Views on the benefits of migration have also become more positive since 2015 ON A SCALE OF 0-10, HAS MIGRATION HAD A POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE IMPACT ON BRITAIN? (0 IS ‘VERY NEGATIVE’, 10 IS ‘VERY POSITIVE’) 0-4 = NEGATIVE, 5 = NEUTRAL, 6-10 = POSITIVE Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018; 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 9-13 March 2018; c2,000 GB adults aged 18+ conducted online February 2015-October 2016 33% 35% 38% 43% 44% 19% 17% 18% 19% 20% 44% 42% 40% 32% 30% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 EU Referendum May 2018 NEGATIVE 32% POSITIVE 44% NEUTRAL 18% DON’T KNOW 6% FEB 15 APR 2018
  • 26. 26State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public EU Referendum REDUCE 56% INCREASE 12% 10% 9% 8% 10% 23% 24% 27% 30% 62% 62% 60% 54% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2015 2016 2017 2018 May ‘18 REMAIN THE SAME 27% Source: Ipsos MORI, Attitudes to Immigration. Although the majority still want to see immigration numbers reduced DO YOU THINK THE NUMBER OF IMMIGRANTS COMING TO BRITAIN NOWADAYS SHOULD BE INCREASED A LOT, INCREASED A LITTLE, REMAIN THE SAME AS IT IS, REDUCED A LITTLE, OR REDUCED A LOT? Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018; 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 9-13 March 2018; c2,000 GB adults aged 18+ conducted online February 2015-October 2016
  • 27. 27State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 39% 27% 19% 14% 12% The discussions since the vote to leave the EU have highlighted how much immigrants contribute to the UK, so feel more positive or less worried about immigration than I did before the vote to leave I am reassured that fewer immigrants will come to the UK once we actually leave the EU, so I feel more positive or less worried about immigration than I did before the vote to leave None of these There are fewer immigrants coming to the UK already, so I feel more positive or less worried about immigration than I did before the vote to leave Don’t know 41%* *People selecting either one of these options SOME PEOPLE’S OPINIONS ON IMMIGRATION HAVE SHIFTED SINCE THE VOTE TO LEAVE THE EU. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING IF ANY, APPLY TO YOUR VIEWS? YOU CAN CHOOSE AS MANY AS YOU LIKE Those who have become more positive about immigration are split as to why Base: All who say they have become more positive about immigration since EU Referendum (218), conducted online 11-14 May 2018 Source: Ipsos MORI, Attitudes to Immigration.
  • 28. 28State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 37% 27% 27% 21% 27% 22% 21% 20% 19% 28% 30% 30% 9% 13% 11% 16% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 7% DOCTORS ENGINEERS TEACHERS COMPUTER AND TECHNOLOGY EXPERTS THERE SHOULD BE NO CAP ON NUMBERS AT ALL THE CAP SHOULD BE INCREASED SO MORE VISAS ARE ISSUED THE CAP SHOULD REMAIN AT PRESENT LEVEL THE CAP SHOULD BE REDUCED SO THAT FEWER VISAS ARE ISSUSED NO VISAS SHOULD BE ISSUED TO THIS GROUP AT ALL DON’T KNOW FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING TYPES OF SKILLED WORKERS WHO HAVE RECENTLY HAD VISA APPLICATIONS REFUSED, WHAT DO YOU THINK THE GOVERNMENT POLICY SHOULD BE? There is support for softening any cap on non-EU visa applications for doctors, teachers and other skilled workers Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 1,015 British adults 18+, 18th-22nd May 2018.
  • 29. 29State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 24% 43% 61% 63% 43% 24% 12% 9% I AM ASHAMED OF HOW BRITAIN HAS TREATED THE WINDRUSH GENERATION THE WINDRUSH SCANDAL IS MAINLY A RESULT OF GOVERNMENT INCOMPENTENCE AND NOT BECAUSE OF THE RULES OF IMMIGRATION THE EXPERIENCE OF PEOPLE CAUGHT UP IN THE WINDRUSH SCANDAL SHOW THAT THE BRITISH GOVERNMENT IS BEING TOO HOSTILE TOWARDS IMMIGRANTS ISSUES EXPERIENCED BY THOSE CAUGHT UP IN THE WINDRUSH SCANDAL ARE BAD, HOWEVER, THIS IS THE UNFORTUNATE SIDE EFFECT OF CONTROLLING ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION DISAGREE AGREE HOW STRONGLY DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? The Windrush scandal has left a scar on immigration policy, but most blame government incompetence not policy Source: Ipsos MORI, Attitudes to Immigration Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
  • 30. 30State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 23% 64% 14% THE PRIORITY SHOULD BE ENSURING THAT ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS ARE DEPORTED, EVEN IF THAT MEANS SOME PEOPLE WHO HAVE THE LEGAL RIGHT TO LIVE IN BRITAIN ARE FORCED TO LEAVE IF THEY CANNOT PROVE IT THE PRIORITY SHOULD BE ENSURING THAT PEOPLE WHO HAVE THE LEGAL RIGHT TO LIVE IN BRITAIN ARE NOT WRONGLY FORCED TO LEAVE BECAUSE THEY MAY NOT HAVE THE RIGHT EVIDENCE PROVING THEY HAVE THE RIGHT TO STAY, EVEN IF THIS MEANS ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS ARE NOT DEPORTED DON’T KNOW WHEN DEALING WITH ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS WHICH OF THESE PRIORITIES COMES CLOSEST TO YOUR VIEWS? The majority favour an immigration system that protects people who have the legal right to be in Britain, rather than one which prioritises deporting illegal immigrants Source: Ipsos MORI, Attitudes to Immigration Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
  • 31. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 31State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Have the kids gone wild or mild?
  • 32. 32State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 86% 85% 77% 72% 70% 70% 64% 57% 57% 28% 15% 89% 90% 83% 84% 56% 76% 76% 63% 67% 5% TAKING HEROIN TAKING COCAINE TAKING DANCE DRUGS E.G. ECSTASY, SPEED SMOKING CANNABIS BINGE DRINKING SMOKING CIGARETTES SNIFFING SOLVENTS OR GLUE HAVING SEX WITHOUT USING A CONDOM WALKING ALONE AT NIGHT IN AN AREA STRANGE TO YOU HAVING AN ALCOHOLIC DRINK HAVING SEX USING CONDOMS Generation Z in 2018 Millennials in 2004 (those aged 11- 15 years) (those aged 11- 15 years) % THINK IT’S VERY RISKY As Gen Z start to emerge, they are less worried about risky behaviour than millennials were at the same age – except for binge drinking Source: Young People Omnibus 2018/Nestle Family Monitor Survey of Young People’s Attitudes 2004 Base: 300 11-15 year olds, 5 February-6 April 2018
  • 33. 33State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Just 36% of 13-15 year olds tried alcohol in 2016, down from 76% in 2000 Drug use less uniform change – but marijuana down 12 percentage points in US Criminal behaviour falling: • Detained young people down 48% across Europe 2008-15 • In UK 260,000 offences by Millennials 10-17 years olds, down to 73,000 for Gen Z 36% of Millennial high schoolers said were sexually active, down to 30% for Gen Z (though unprotected sex same proportion of sexually active) Across the world Gen Z seem to be more sensible than their older counterparts
  • 34. 34State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Gen Z starting point PRE WAR 74% GENERATION X 66% BABY BOOMERS 63% MILLENIALS 62% GENERATION Z 62% Generation Z are also more likely to trust the average person in the street compared with Millennials when they were younger % GENERALLY TRUSTING THE MAN/WOMAN ON THE STREET TO TELL THE TRUTH Source: Ipsos MORI Veracity Index Base: c. 1,000 people per month
  • 35. 35State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 71% 70% 69% 71% 71% 72% 73% 80% 78% 81% 81% 78% 79% 77% 74% 13% 12% 11% 9% 11% 8% 9% 7% 10% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11% 14% 79% 84% 86% 82% 81% 80% 78% 75% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Base: All participants in England and Wales, attending state secondary/middle schools, circa 2,500 pupils each year Source: Ipsos MORI, Young People Omnibus/Sutton Trust % saying it is important to go to university UNLIKELY 11% LIKELY 77% Tuition fees rise to £3,000 Tuition fees rise to £9,000 Three in four young people say they are likely to go to university when they are old enough, even though the percentage saying it’s important drifts down LIKELIHOOD OF ATTENDING UNIVERSITY
  • 36. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 36State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Concern about housing is on the rise
  • 37. 37State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 27% £0 £50,000 £100,000 £150,000 £200,000 £250,000 0 5 10 15 20 25 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 R = 0.62 R = 0.18 up to Feb’13 0.81 after Mar’13 % Top mentions % Housing UK Average house price The link between rising house prices and concern about housing has been strengthening over the last decade WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FACING BRITAIN TODAY? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index (c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month); Nationwide House Price IndexBase: Representative sample of British adults aged 16-64. c.1,000 per month
  • 38. 38State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 63% 42% 37% 34% 17% 14% 12% 9% 7% 7% 2% 2% BEING ABLE TO RAISE ENOUGH DEPOSIT THE GENERAL AVAILABILITY OF MORTGAGES SHORTAGE OF THE RIGHT TYPE OF PROPERTY PEOPLE WANT TO BUY JOB SECURITY RISING PROPERTY PRICES HOUSEHOLD FINANCES CONCERN ABOUT RISE IN INTEREST RATES FEES RELATED TO BUYING A HOUSE SHORTAGE OF PROPERTY FOR SALE THE LEVEL OF STAMP DUTY/TAXATION FALLING PROPERTY PRICES DON’T KNOW NOW THINKING ABOUT THE CURRENT SITUATION, WHICH TWO OR THREE OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK ARE THE MAIN BARRIERS TO PEOPLE IN GENERAL BEING ABLE TO BUY A PROPERTY? Being able to raise enough for a deposit is perceived as the main barrier to buying among many Source: Halifax/Ipsos MORI Housing Market Confidence Tracker Base: 1,993 GB adults 16+, interviewed between 16 March-11 April 2018
  • 39. 39State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Couple, Birmingham  Has been renting for nine years  Now living with his partner in a 1 bedroom flat  Was previously living in a flatshare with six people which felt like a hostel and had mould and condensation issues  They had to find a flat in 1 month Putting in an offer and moving in August Searching & viewing July 2017 Went on seven viewings and felt pressured by letting agents to act quickly Did not know the council tax amount or energy providers for a few weeks Gave notice to his landlord and had one month to move out Put an offer down after 25 min of viewing. Was not aware of the tenure length or the conditions to get the deposit back Started looking online and went to letting agents Asked previous landlord for more time but they had already found a new tenant Lack of necessary information Anxiety Lack of adequate timeTime pressure While private renters are also faced with significant challenges
  • 40. 40State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Including finding somewhere suitable to live The biggest challenge is finding a suitable house. Anything suitable is usually snapped up very quickly, so you don't really have time to assess the house properly. INTERVIEW WITH A PRIVATE RENTER LIVING WITH CHILDREN IN BELFAST From Private Renters’ customer journeys
  • 41. 41State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 57% 51% 33% 27% 26% 47% 28% 30% 31% 21% HOUSE PRICES ARE TOO HIGH RENTS ARE TOO HIGH LACK OF SOCIAL HOUSING THE SIZE OF DEPOSITS REQUIRED TO BUY A HOUSE/GET A MORTAGE BEING TOO HIGH TOO MANY PEOPLE FROM ABROAD BUYING HOME TO LIVE IN/TO RENT OUT London Great Britain Top 5 issues WHICH IF ANY, OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU SEE AS THE 3 MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEMS FACING THE HOUSING MARKET…? Affordability is also an issue across the housing market, especially in London Base: 1,000 London adults (online), Oct-Nov 2018 1,009 GB adults (online), Oct 2014 Source: Ipsos MORI/London Councils and Ipsos MORI/JLL
  • 42. 42State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Base: 1,006 GB adults among 19,786 adults (online), Aug-Sept 2018 HOW GOOD OR POOR WOULD YOU RATE THE CURRENT QUALITY OF THE NEW HOUSING SUPPLY? Source: Ipsos MORI/Global Infrastructure Investors Association 42% 38% 69% 60% 59% 59% 55% 53% 53% 51% 49% 48% 48% 46% 45% 44% 42% 40% 38% 38% 38% 36% 33% 31% 29% 29% 28% 27% 25% 25% 20% Global G8 Saudi Arabia India Serbia Turkey Hungary Colombia Malaysia Chile US Australia France Peru Canada Belgium Japan Czech Republic Mexico Poland Russia South Korea Romania Great Britain Italy Spain Argentina South Africa Germany Sweden Brazil % VERY/FAIRLY GOOD GREAT BRITAIN G8 COUNTRIESThe quality of Britain’s housing supply does not compare well internationally – it’s below the global and G8 average
  • 43. 43State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2017 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only 45% 40% 40% 31% 30% 30% 28% 24% 15% 12% Base: 1,006 GB adults among 19,786 adults (online), Aug-Sept 2018 Source: Ipsos MORI/Global Infrastructure Investors Association RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE – TRACK/STATIONS NEW HOUSING SUPPLY THE LOCAL ROAD NETWORK MOTORWAY/MAJOR ROAD NETWORK FLOOD DEFENCES ENERGY GENERATING INFRASTRUCTURE DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE – HIGH SPEED BROADBAND* WATER SUPPLY AND SEWERAGE NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURE TO GENERATE ENERGY AIRPORTS WHICH OF THESE TYPES OF INFRASTRUCTURE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK SHOULD BE MADE A PRIORITY FOR INVESTMENT FOR [COUNTRY]? And a new housing supply is competing with many other infrastructure priorities * ‘Digital infrastructure such as high speed broadband, full fibre networks (FTTP), 5G’
  • 44. 44State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 42% 73% 58% 17% 3% 7% I’M FINE WITH FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN NEW INFRASTRUCTURE IN GB IF IT MEANS IT GETS BUILT MORE QUICKLY INVESTING IN INFRASTRUCTURE IS VITAL TO GB’S FUTURE ECONOMIC GROWTH DISAGREEAGREE AS A COUNTRY WE ARE NOT DOING ENOUGH TO MEET OUR INFRASTRUCTURE NEEDS TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE…? Solution? The public agree we need to invest more into infrastructure, and are open to foreign investment Base: c.1,000 British adults, online panel, Aug-Sept 2018 Source: Ipsos MORI/GIIA
  • 45. State of the Nation: 2018 | November 2018 | Public 45 austerity? Are Brits tiring of
  • 46. 46State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public AFFECTED 31% NOT AFFECTED 62% 33% 23% 27% 33% 59% 76% 72% 66% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% The number of people feeling the impact of cuts has stabilised but remains around a third, compared with a quarter in 2015 AS YOU MAY KNOW OVER RECENT YEARS THE GOVERNMENT HAS ANNOUNCED A NUMBER OF SPENDING CUTS TO HELP REDUCE THE NATIONAL DEFICIT. TO WHAT EXTENT, IF AT ALL, HAVE YOU AND YOUR FAMILY BEEN AFFECTED BY THE CUTS SO FAR ? Base: c1,000 British adults each month Source: Deloitte LLP for The State of the State 2018 2012 2018
  • 47. 47State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 76% 61% 56% 46% 59% 63% 62% 14% 20% 23% 33% 27% 26% 27% 7% 12% 15% 18% 12% 10% 9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 GOVERNMENT SERVICES SHOULD BE EXTENDED, EVEN IF IT MEANS SOME INCREASES TO TAXES 62% THINGS SHOULD BE LEFT AS THEY ARE 27% TAXES SHOULD BE CUT, EVEN IT MEANS SOME REDUCTION IN GOVERNMENT SERVICES 9% Extending government services, even if this means some tax increases, is now supported by almost two thirds PEOPLE HAVE DIFFERENT VIEWS ABOUT WHETHER IT IS MORE IMPORTANT TO REDUCE TAXES OR KEEP UP GOVERNMENT SPENDING. HOW ABOUT YOU? WHICH OF THESE STATEMENTS COMES CLOSEST TO YOUR OWN VIEW? Base: c1,000 British adults each month Source: Deloitte LLP for The State of the State 2018
  • 48. 48State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 32% 33% 38% 39% 44% 44% 54% 24% 28% 29% 23% 10% 24% 22% THE NHS OPPORTUNITIES FOR YOUNG PEOPLE THE WAY YOUR AREA IS POLICED PUBLIC TRANSPORT THE QUALITY OF THE ENVIRONMENT SKILLS IN BRITAIN’S WORKFORCE THE QUALITY OF EDUCATION WORSE BETTER THINKING ABOUT … OVER THE NEXT FEW YEARS DO YOU EXPECT IT TO GET BETTER, GET WORSE, OR STAY THE SAME? We are notably pessimistic about the NHS, opportunities for young people and policing Base: 1,026 British adults 18+ 22nd-27th June 2018 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
  • 49. State of the Nation 2018 | Public 49 the NHS This is particularly significant as turns 70
  • 50. 50State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 45% 73% 72% 71% 64% 63% 62% 58% 58% 56% 55% 55% 54% 51% 50% 46% 46% 39% 34% 33% 30% 26% 25% 20% 20% 18% 18% 16% 14% 33% 18% 20% 22% 25% 22% 26% 29% 28% 31% 31% 31% 29% 30% 43% 29% 39% 49% 58% 38% 31% 37% 31% 39% 39% 25% 36% 39% 42% 23% 9% 9% 7% 11% 15% 12% 13% 15% 13% 14% 15% 18% 19% 7% 25% 16% 12% 8% 29% 39% 37% 44% 42% 41% 57% 47% 45% 45% World Great Britain Malaysia Australia Belgium United States Canada Spain Argentina Germany France India Saudi Arabia Sweden South Korea South Africa Turkey China Japan Italy Chile Mexico Colombia Hungary Peru Brazil Serbia Russia Poland POOR GOOD GREAT BRITAIN HOW WOULD YOU RATE THE QUALITY OF HEALTHCARE THAT YOU AND YOUR FAMILY HAVE ACCESS TO IN YOUR COUNTRY? Britons are the most likely in the world to rate their health service as good Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 23, 249 online adults aged 16-64 across 28 countries, May 25-June 8 2018
  • 51. 51State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 55% 85% 80% 74% 70% 70% 70% 69% 67% 66% 64% 60% 60% 60% 57% 57% 55% 52% 48% 46% 46% 43% 42% 41% 39% 33% 32% 24% 15% 30% 11% 14% 20% 22% 20% 24% 18% 26% 18% 26% 27% 24% 33% 28% 31% 32% 36% 39% 18% 39% 37% 33% 38% 39% 53% 31% 51% 62% 15% 4% 6% 7% 8% 11% 7% 13% 8% 16% 10% 13% 16% 8% 15% 12% 13% 12% 13% 36% 15% 20% 25% 22% 22% 14% 37% 25% 23% World Great Britain Hungary Sweden Spain Chile France Colombia Canada Brazil Italy Argentina Peru Australia Mexico South Africa Germany Russia United States Turkey India China Malaysia Saudi Arabia Serbia Belgium Poland South Korea Japan DISAGREE AGREE GREAT BRITAIN TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENT – THE HEALTHCARE SYSTEM IN MY COUNTRY IS OVERSTRETCHED? However, they are also the most likely to say their health service is ‘overstretched’ Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 23, 249 online adults aged 16-64 across 28 countries, May 25-June 8 2018.
  • 52. 52State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Source: Ipsos MORI / NHS Providers 2018 68% 58% 40% 40% 33% 24% 23% 3% Base: 917 English adults 18+, interviewed between 26-29 April 2018 URGENT AND EMERGENCY CARE SUCH AS A&E AND AMUBLANCE SERVICES MENTAL HEALTH SERVICES COMMUNITY AND SOCIAL CARE SERVICES, SUCH AS SUPPORTING PEOPLE WITH DAY-TO-DAY NEEDS CHILDREN’S SERVICES PRIMARY CARE, INCLUDING GENERAL PRACTICE AND PHARMACY ROUTINE PLANNED SURGERY, FOR EXAMPLE HIP, KNEE AND CATARACT OPERATIONS PUBLIC HEALTH INITIATIVES TO PREVENT MORE PEOPLE FROM BECOMING UNHEALTHY AND ILL NONE OF THESE IF THE GOVERNMENT WERE TO DEVOTE MORE FUNDING TO HEALTH AND CARE SERVICES, WHICH THREE, IF ANY, OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU THINK IT SHOULD PRIORITISE IN TERMS OF SPENDING? The public’s priority for extra funding is urgent and emergency care, with mental health second
  • 53. 53State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 2018 1% 5% 20% 21% 38% 55% 55% Base: 1,026 British adults 18+ 22-27 June 2018 INCREASE THE TAXES THAT I PAY MORE CHARGES FOR NHS SERVICES FOR PEOPLE ON HIGH INCOME MORE CHARGES FOR NHS SERVICES FOR EVERYONE HIGHER GOVERNMENT BORROWING REDUCED SPENDING ON OTHER PUBLIC SERVICES OTHER NHS SHOULD NOT RECEIVE ANY FUNDING WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING, IF ANY, WOULD YOU SUPPORT TO PAY FOR THE INCREASED FUNDING FOR THE NHS THAT THE GOVERNMENT HAS ANNOUNCED? And they are willing to put their money where their mouth is, with over half saying they would personally pay more taxes
  • 54. 54State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 14% 49% 33% 4% Base: Online survey of 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 9-13 March 2018 THE EXTRA FUNDING IS ENOUGH TO LEAD DON’T KNOW TO IMPROVEMENTS IN NHS SERVICES THE EXTRA FUNDING IS ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN THE CURRENT LEVELS OF NHS SERVICES, BUT NOT LEAD TO IMPROVEMENTS THE EXTRA FUNDING IS NOT ENOUGH AND NHS SERVICES WILL GET WORSE Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 2018 AS YOU MAY KNOW THE GOVERNMENT HAS RECENTLY ANNOUNCED THAT IT WILL BE PROVIDING AN EXTRA £20BILLION A YEAR FOR THE NHS FOR THE NEXT FIVE YEARS, AN INCREASE OF 3.4%. WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE EFFECT THIS EXTRA FUNDING WILL HAVE ON THE NHS, WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING IS CLOSEST TO YOUR OPINION? Although, few think the announced increase in funding is enough to lead to improvements
  • 55. 55State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Base: 1,463 UK Adults 15+ Source: Ipsos MORI/Deloitte LLP for the State of the State 2018 68% 59% 25% 13% 9% 20% 30% 62% 75% 85% CHARGING A FEE TO PEOPLE WITH A PERSONAL ANNUAL INCOME OF OVER £46,000 TO VISIT A GP CHARGING A FEE FOR MISSING A GP APPOINTMENT WITHOUT CANCELLING IN ADVANCE CHARGING A FEE TO GET A GP APPOINTMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS CHARGING A FEE TO PEOPLE WHO ARE NOT UK CITIZENS TO VISIT A GP CHARGING A FEE TO VISIT A GP UNACCEPTABLEACCEPTABLE THINKING ABOUT THE NHS SPECIFICALLY, HOW ACCEPTABLE OR UNACCEPTABLE DO YOU FEEL IT IS TO CHARGE A FEE FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING…? Other options for raising funds receive mixed levels of support
  • 56. 56State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public And the public think change is needed within social care too It’s not working! For me, personally, I don’t think you can continue with this. That gap’s going to get bigger and bigger.“ PARTICIPANT FROM A DELIBERATIVE EVENT IN THE LEEDS From Public attitudes to social care funding reform
  • 57. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 57State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Britons are worried about equality
  • 58. 58State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public DISAGREEAGREE India Spain China Serbia Argentina Mexico Malaysia Russia Turkey Saudi Arabia Chile Peru Hungary Italy France Belgium South Africa Brazil Poland Canada United States South Korea Sweden Australia Germany Great Britain Japan 66% 62% 62% 66% 58% 64% 55% 62% 57% 59% 53% 64% 59% 53% 50% 63% 55% 55% 53% 55% 51% 56% 48% 53% 43% 49% 44% 47% 40% 44% 37% 46% 37% 40% 34% 39% 36% 36% 30% 41% 27% 43% 22% 44% 22% 42% 28% 36% 25% 34% 20% 30% 20% 25% 64% 64% 61% 59% 58% 58% 56% 56% 55% 54% 53% 50% 46% 46% 42% 42% 38% 37% 36% 35% 35% 33% 32% 32% 30% 25% 22% 30% 28% 33% 35% 34% 40% 33% 32% 41% 30% 43% 48% 42% 46% 42% 42% 53% 53% 46% 52% 53% 60% 62% 54% 56% 60% 58% GREAT BRITAIN Women agree (%) Men agree (%) WHEN IT COMES TO GIVING WOMEN EQUAL RIGHTS WITH MEN, THINGS HAVE GONE FAR ENOUGH IN MY COUNTRY? Only one in four Britons agree that giving women equal rights has gone far enough – among the lowest in the world Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 23,249 online adults aged 16-64 across 28 countries, May 25-June 8 2018
  • 59. 59State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public WHICH TWO OR THREE, IF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING, DO YOU THINK ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUES FACING WOMEN AND GIRLS IN BRITAIN ? Equal pay is seen as the most important issue facing women and girls in Britain, closely followed by sexual harassment 20% 28% 13% 32% 19% 20% 21% 22% 24% 30% Great Britain EQUAL PAY SEXUAL HARASSMENT SEXUALISATION OF WOMEN IN MEDIA SEXUAL VIOLENCE DOMESTIC ABUSE Globally Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 23,249 online adults aged 16-64 across 28 countries, May 25-June 8 2018 TOP 5 ISSUES
  • 60. 60State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 2120 2115 2100 2025 2090 2025 2080 2025 2070 2025 2060 2055 2050 2045 2040 2035 2030 2025 2020 Median guess Gap: 82 years AT THE CURRENT RATE OF PROGRESS, IN WHICH YEAR WILL MEN AND WOMEN HAVE EQUAL PAY IN [COUNTRY]? Although both Britons and Americans are far too optimistic in predicting when equal pay will be achieved Average guess of when pay equality will be achieved 2035 Pay equality predicted to be achieved by 2117 Pay equality predicted to be achieved by 2059 Gap: 31 years Average guess of when pay equality will be achieved 2028 Source: Ipsos Global Adviser Base: 1,000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018
  • 61. 61State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 36 80 38 73 44 75 51 81 37 60 40 60 31 51 63 81 50 68 30 42 21 32 41 50 30 32 Denmark Netherlands France United States Germany Belgium Italy Sweden Great Britain Hungary Poland Spain Romania Country Avg. guess (39) Actual (60) -44% -35% -31% -30% -23% -20% -20% -18% -18% -12% -11% -9% -2% too high% point diff. between avg. guess & actualtoo low OUT OF EVERY 100 WOMEN IN [COUNTRY] HOW MANY DO YOU THINK SAY THEY HAVE EXPERIENCED ANY FORM OF SEXUAL HARASSMENT SINCE THE AGE OF 15? And across the world, nations underestimate the level of sexual harassment experienced by women Source: Perils of Perception 2018 Base: 28,000 adults across 35 countries (1,000 GB)
  • 62. 62State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 15% 11% 66% 9% I WOULD NOT BE I WOULD BE SLIGHTLY CONCERNED I WOULD BE VERY CONCERNED DON’T KNOW CONCERNED AT ALL PLEASE SAY HOW YOU THINK YOU WOULD FEEL IN EACH OF THE FOLLOWING SITUATIONS: A MEMBER OF THE ROYAL FAMILY MARRYING SOMEBODY OF THE SAME SEX As Prince Harry married Meghan Markle this year, the majority said they wouldn’t mind if a member of the royal family married somebody of the same sex Source: Kings College London Polling Club/Ipsos MORI Base: 1,681 British online adults, 16-75, 23-27 February 2018
  • 63. 63State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% PRINCE HARRY THE QUEEN WHICH TWO OR THREE MEMBERS OF THE ROYAL FAMILY DO YOU LIKE THE MOST? (UNPROMPTED) Meanwhile the younger generation of royals has become the most popular Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 2018Base: 1000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018 1984 2018 PRINCE WILLIAM 62% 58% 47% PRINCE PHILLIP 12% PRINCE CHARLES 9% PRINCESS ANNE 8%
  • 64. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 64State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public David Attenborough the environment (and the record got Britain talking about breaking summer)
  • 65. 65State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public IN YOUR VIEW, WHAT ARE THE THREE MOST IMPORTANT ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES FACING BRITAIN TODAY? THAT IS THE, THE TOP ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES YOU FEEL SHOULD RECEIVE THE GREATEST ATTENTION FROM YOUR LOCAL LEADERS? Britain’s concern about about dealing with waste is higher than the rest of the world Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 1000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018. 11% 14% 24% 30% 30% 28% 29% 29% 29% 46% Great Britain DEALING WITH WASTE GLOBAL WARMING FUTURE ENERGY SUPPLIES OVERPOPULATION OVERPACKING PRODUCTS Globally
  • 66. 66State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public UNCONCERNED CONCERNED 41% 44% 10% 3% NET 13% 85% AS YOU MAY KNOW, THERE HAS BEEN A LOT OF DISCUSSION RECENTLY ABOUT THE EFFECTS ON THE ENVIRONMENT OF PLASTIC PACKAGING, PLASTIC BAGS, AND OTHER DISPOSABLE OBJECTS WHICH CANNOT BE RECYCLED. HOW CONCERNED IF AT ALL WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE ABOUT THIS ISSUE? With the majority of Britons concerned about the over packaging of consumer goods VERY CONCERNED FAIRLY CONCERNED NOT VERY CONCERNED NOT AT ALL CONCERNED DON’T KNOW 2%Source: Kings College London Polling Club/Ipsos MORI Base: 1,681 British online adults, 16-75, 23-27 February 2018
  • 67. 67State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public 66% 49% 39% 20% 12% 12% 7% 9% % WHO WOULD PERSONALLY DO EACH TO REDUCE THE PROBLEMS CAUSED BY UNNECESSARY USE OF PLASTIC Brits are more likely to change their behaviours than pay more to tackle the overuse of plastic Source: Ipsos Global Advisor RE-USE DISPOSABLE ITEMS SUCH AS PLASTIC BAGS AND PLASTIC BOTTLES BUY MORE PRODUCTS MADE FROM RECYCLED MATERIALS STOP BUYING GOODS THAT HAVE NON-RECYCLABLE PACKAGING STOP GOING TO RETAILERS WHICH USE A LOT OF NON-RECYCLABLE PACKING PAY MORE COUNCIL TAX SO RECYCLING FACILITIES CAN ALLOW A WIDER RANGE OF ITEMS TO BE RECYCLED PAY EXTRA FOR GOODS THAT HAVE NO NON-RECYCLABLE PACKAGING NONE OF THESE DON’T KNOWBase: 1000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018.
  • 68. 68State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public As they don’t want to see an increase in their bills… I think a lot of people want to do the right thing and have good intentions, but if it’s a choice between cost and doing the right thing, it will come down to cost. PARTICIPANT FROM A DELIBERATIVE EVENT IN SLEAFORD From Public attitudes to long-term infrastructure
  • 69. 69State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public WHO IF ANYBODY DO YOU BELIEVE SHOULD TAKE MOST RESPONSIBILITY FOR FINDING A WAY TO REDUCE THE AMOUNT OF UNNECESSARY PACKAGING WHICH IS SOLD? But consumers don’t want to do it all on their own – sellers of goods need to take responsibility too Source: Ipsos Global Advisor Base: 1,000+ British adults 18+, June-July 2018 8% 16% 10% 20% 37% 4% 11% 12% 26% 39% Great Britain ALL OF THE ABOVE PACKAGED GOOD PRODUCERS SELLERS OF PACKAGED GOODS THE GOVERNMENT CONSUMERS Globally Top 5 issues
  • 70. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 70State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Our 2018 highlights
  • 71. 71State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Visit our website for our past and current editions of Understanding Society Visit our Almanac microsite for the archive of all Ipsos MORI end of year reviews
  • 72. 72State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public Visit our Beyond Binary microsite for the full report Visit our Ipsos Thinks microsite for the full report
  • 73. 73State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public AI in HealthcarePrivate renters’ journeys What worries the world Public views on the NHS at 70
  • 74. © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 74State of the Nation: 2018 | December 2018 | Public For more information… Gideon Skinner Gideon.Skinner@Ipsos.com Sophie Wilson Sophie.Wilson@Ipsos.com Cameron Garrett Cameron.Garrett@Ipsos.com