Immigration and the EU Referendum

1
Immigration and the EU Referendum
10.05.2016

2
Over half believe the Govt. should have total control over
immigration even it means coming out of the EU
Which of the following statements do you most agree with?
Don't know
It is beneficial for Britain to remain in the EU,
even if this means the Government does not
have total control over the number of people
who come into Britain
The Government should have total control over
who comes into Britain, even if this means
coming out of the EU to achieve it
55%
33%
12%
Base: 4,002 British adults, aged 18+, surveyed online between 14-25 April 2016

3
Opinion is more divided on whether we should accept free movement
of peoples in return for access to the EU single market
Don't know
Britain should continue to allow European
Union citizens to come and live and work in
Britain in return for access to the EU single
market
Britain should stop European Union citizens
coming to live and work in Britain with new
immigration rules even if that restricted
Britain's access to the EU single market
And now thinking if Britain votes to leave the European Union on 23 June
which of the following statements comes closest to your view?
39%
42%
19%

4
EU immigration will be one of the key issues that
decides how people will vote in the EU referendum
Looking ahead to the referendum on Britain’s membership of the European
Union on 23 June, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to
you in helping you decide which way to vote?
57%
48%
50%
40%
46%
37%
26%
47%
36%
26%
24%
17%
25%
32%
46%
42%
The impact on Britain's economy
The number of immigrants coming into Britain
Britain's ability to make it's own laws
Britain's ability to trade with countries in the European Union
The impact on British jobs
The impact on the rights of British workers
The ability to travel in the European Union
The cost of EU immigration on Britain's welfare system
Britain's relationship with other countries
Britain's status in the world
The ability of British citizens to live and work in other European Union countries
The impact on funding for British universities and scientists
The impact on me personally
Regulations by the European Union on British businesses
The impact on British national security
The number of refugees coming to Britain to claim asylum

5
For others, Immigration is seen as important
as the economy
And which of these issues, if any, do you think will be the most important
for the British public overall on how they will vote in the EU referendum
on 23 June?
24%
24%
9%
2%
4%
1%
1%
8%
2%
1%
1%
*
2%
1%
3%
5%
1%
1%
10%
The impact on Britain's economy
The number of immigrants coming into Britain
Britain's ability to make it's own laws
Britain's ability to trade with countries in the European Union
The impact on British jobs
The impact on the rights of British workers
The ability to travel in the European Union
The cost of EU immigration on Britain's welfare system
Britain's relationship with other countries
Britain's status in the world
The ability of British citizens to live and work in other European Union countries
The impact on funding for British universities and scientists
The impact on me personally
Regulations by the European Union on British businesses
The impact on British national security
The number of refugees coming to Britain to claim asylum
Other
None of the above
Don't know

6
Two-thirds think that number of EU immigrants will
decrease if Britain leaves the EU
Please tell me whether you think that the number of EU immigrants coming into
the UK would increase, decrease or stay the same over the next five years if Britain
were to leave the EU?
8% 6% 4% 7%
30%
20%
46%
28%
36%
36%
36%
43%
18%
27%
8%
15%
5% 7%
3% 5%
4% 4% 3% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
GB Total Remain voters Leave voters May change mind
Increase a lot Increase a little Stay about the same Decrease a little Decrease a lot Don't know

7
But no clear agreement on whether net migration
targets will be met if Britain leaves EU
If Britain leaves the EU, net migration (the number of people coming into Britain
minus the number of migrants leaving Britain) can be reduced to the government’s
target of ‘tens of thousands’ per year by 2020
13% 12% 8% 10%
7%
12%
2% 2%
15%
25%
6%
14%
22%
25%
16%
21%
30%
12%
40%
42%
14%
3%
29%
10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
GB Total Remain voters Leave voters May change mind
Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither agree nor disagree Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don't know

8
Brexit voters more stable than remain voters even when it
Would you still vote to remain in/leave the European Union, or not?
46%
57%
72%
82%
10%
8%
5%
3%
44%
35%
23%
14%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
+100,000
+50,000
+10,000
Current level of 260,000
Still vote remain Switch to leave Unsure
70%
77%
84%
91%
6%
4%
3%
1%
24%
19%
13%
8%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
-100,000
-50,000
-10,000
Current level of 260,000
Still vote to leave Switch to remain Unsure
comes to more favourable immigration numbers
Base: 1,808 remain voters Base: 1,651 leave voters
Remain voters Leave voters
IncreaseinEUimmigration
DecreaseinEUimmigration

9
There has been a move in the number of people saying we
are getting the conversation on immigration right, but
we’re still polarised on the issue
Generally speaking, do you think that the issue of immigration has been discussed in
Britain too much, too little or about the right amount over the last few months?
11%
20%
62%
7%
27%
28%
37%
8%
25%
31%
36%
8%
It has been discussed too much
It has been discussed about the right
amount
It has been discussed too little
Don't know
2011
2015
2016

10
The majority think that even if Britain stays in the EU, we should
campaign for tighter immigration controls
Don't know
Britain should accept the current rights of European
Union citizens to come and live and work in Britain
Britain should continue to campaign for
greater controls on European Union citizens
coming to live and work in Britain
68%
24%
9%
If Britain votes to remain in the EU on 23 June, which of the following statements comes
closest to your view?

11
There is still majority support for reducing immigration levels
Do you think that the number of immigrants to Britain nowadays should be increased a lot,
increased a little, remain the same as it is, reduced a little or reduced a lot?
5%
6%
23%
22%
40%
4%
2015
Increased a lot
Increased a little
Remain the same
Reduced a little
Reduced a lot
Don't know
3%
6%
24%
20%
42%
5%
2016
Increased a lot
Increased a little
Remain the same
Reduced a little
Reduced a lot
Don't know

12
And six in ten people remain dissatisfied with government on
how it is dealing with immigration
Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the current government is
dealing with immigration?
2%
10%
25%
32%
28%
3%
2015
Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Neither satisfied nor
dissatisfied
Fairly dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
Don't know
1%
8%
25%
28%
34%
4%
2016
Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Neither satisfied nor
dissatisfied
Fairly dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
Don't know

www.ipsos-mori.com
13
Bobby Duffy
Managing Director, Ipsos MORI Social Research Institute
bobby.duffy@ipsos.com
For more information
Kully Kaur-Ballagan
Research Director
kully.kaur-ballagan@ipsos.com
Glenn Gottfried
Research Manager
glenn.gottfried@ipsos.com

Immigration and the EU Referendum

Empfohlen

Empfohlen

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

Was ist angesagt? (20)

Andere mochten auch

Andere mochten auch (19)

Ähnlich wie Immigration and the EU Referendum

Ähnlich wie Immigration and the EU Referendum (20)

Mehr von Ipsos UK

Mehr von Ipsos UK (20)

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

Immigration and the EU Referendum