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The sky’s the limit for payments in Poland - Towards 10 billion tx p.a.
Consumers embrace card and mobile payments in Poland. Total volume of payments is expected to surpass 10 billion within next 5 years.
Surging payments industry in Poland
Poland's payment market is growing rapidly. The total number of payments exceeded 5.6 billion as of 2016 and it is estimated to top 6.4 billion in 2017. Most transactions executed in Poland involve payment cards and the share of cards in total payments exceeded 57%, corresponding to over 3.2 billion transactions in 2016. The fast growth in card transactions could be attributed to increasing frequency in card use and a gradual displacement of cash.
Mobile and Online payments
Introduction of NFC-HCE mobile payments by major banks in Poland and subsequent entry of Android Pay has initiated a rapid growth in mobile payments. The number of HCE/NFC cards jumped to over 400k as of Q2 2017 and the number is likely to double until the end of the year. Also, the domestic mobile payment scheme, developed by a group of banks led by PKO, has registered a strong growth in transactions and finished the 2016 year with nearly 8 million transactions.
Regulatory changes (PSD2) and competition
The nearing deadline for PSD2 implementation is heating up the competition. All existing players try to gain as many new clients as possible before the access to bank accounts is deregulated. The changes associated with PSD2 are expected to affect the market in 2018 and in subsequent years. The new regulatory regime meant to support innovation is likely to benefit ACH-based, cardless payment solutions and to offer new opportunities to fintech sector. A significant beneficiary could be also large merchants who will be able to circumvent traditional payment structures and reach directly to bank accounts of their clients via APIs. In general, PSD2 will affect many established business models, including banking, card schemes and traditional players in payments leveraging global brands.
Outlook
The growth in payment volumes in Poland is likely to continue as will the role of cards in overall payments. Thanks to the proliferation of POS terminals and alternative payment solutions, in particular, in sectors where they have not been applied before, e.g. in public administration, the Post Office, local authorities and in smallest stores etc, cash will continue to be displaced. Assuming that no change in current trends will occur, the total volume of payments in Poland is likely to reach 10 billion transactions within next five years.
For more on the topic please check the report: Payments in Poland: http://www.inteliace.com/en/00160_Payments_in_Poland_2017.html
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