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Bo Peng • @bo_p
Iterative design for data science projects
for QCon San Francisco • Nov 7, 2016
InfoQ.com: News & Community Site
• 750,000 unique visitors/month
• Published in 4 languages (English, Chinese, Japanese and Brazilian
Portuguese)
• Post content from our QCon conferences
• News 15-20 / week
• Articles 3-4 / week
• Presentations (videos) 12-15 / week
• Interviews 2-3 / week
• Books 1 / month
Watch the video with slide
synchronization on InfoQ.com!
https://www.infoq.com/presentations/
iterative-design-data-science
Purpose of QCon
- to empower software development by facilitating the spread of
knowledge and innovation
Strategy
- practitioner-driven conference designed for YOU: influencers of
change and innovation in your teams
- speakers and topics driving the evolution and innovation
- connecting and catalyzing the influencers and innovators
Highlights
- attended by more than 12,000 delegates since 2007
- held in 9 cities worldwide
Presented at QCon San Francisco
www.qconsf.com
http://heritagehealthprize.com
Goal: Create an algorithm
that predicts how many
days a patient will spend in
a hospital in the next year.
case study: heritage health prize
approach
2
1,363
25,316
years
teams
entries
http://heritagehealthprize.com
case study: heritage health prize
approach
score
time (in months)
constant value
all zeros
goal
http://heritagehealthprize.com
case study: heritage health prize
approach
score
time (in months)
constant value
all zeros
goal
http://heritagehealthprize.com
case study: heritage health prize
approach
score
time (in months)
constant value
all zeros
goal
http://heritagehealthprize.com
case study: heritage health prize
approach
score
time (in months)
constant value
all zeros
goal
http://heritagehealthprize.com
case study: heritage health prize
approach
score
time (in months)
constant value
all zeros
goal
http://heritagehealthprize.com
case study: heritage health prize
approach
score
time (in months)
constant value
all zeros
goal
http://heritagehealthprize.com
case study: heritage health prize
approach
score
constant value
all zeros
goal
What can we learn from this?
Solving business problems can rarely be
reduced to minimizing a model’s RMSE.
score
constant value
all zeros
goal
Contests are fun.
Solving business problems can rarely be
reduced to minimizing a model’s RMSE.
score
constant value
all zeros
goal
Contests are fun.
Solving business problems can rarely be
reduced to minimizing a model’s RMSE.
agenda
- A common approach to data science
- The design approach:
- a simple model goes along way (eDiscovery)
- finding & recommending experts within P&G
How simple models + design go a long way
Data driven e-discovery for Daegis
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
aboutpatent
not
aboutpatent
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
aboutpatent
not
aboutpatent
turn over to plaintiff
don’t
turn over to plaintiff
adverse inference
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
aboutpatent
not
aboutpatent
turn over to plaintiff
don’t
turn over to plaintiff
adverse inference
give away trade secrets
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
aboutpatent
not
aboutpatent
turn over to plaintiff
don’t
turn over to plaintiff
adverse inference
give away trade secrets
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
turn over to plaintiff
don’t
turn over to plaintiff
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
create a “document map”
algorithm design
patents
marketing
finances
fantasy football
lunch
coffee
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
create a “document map”
fantasy football
algorithm design
patents
lunch
marketing
finances
coffee
review away shades of grey
reduce reviews by 90-99%
data-driven e-discovery
daegis
care about design.
simple, powerful interfaces relay analytics better.
iterative problem solving
generate ideas
build prototypeevaluate
rapid
iterations
plan, build, test, and iterate as quickly as possible
Procter & Gamble
Data driven expertise exploration
data-driven expertise exploration
procter & gamble
data-driven expertise exploration
procter & gamble
High level goals:
- reveal areas of expertise
- evaluate connectivity within experts
data-driven expertise exploration
procter & gamble
Lorem Ipsum: a narrative about blankets.
Author: Charlie Brown
Date: 31 Jan 2012
Lorem Ipsum is a dummy text used when typesetting or marking up documents. It has a long
history starting from the 1500s and is still used in digital millennium for typesetting electronic
documents, page designs, etc.
In itself, the original text of Lorem Ipsum might have been taken from an ancient Latin book
that was written about 50 BC. Nevertheless, Lorem Ipsum’s words have been changed so
they don’t read as a proper text.
Naturally, page designs that are made for text documents must contain some text rather than
placeholder dots or something else. However, should they contain proper English words and
sentences almost every reader will deliberately try to interpret it eventually, missing the
design itself.
However, a placeholder text must have a natural distribution of letters and punctuation or
otherwise the markup will look strange and unnatural. That’s what Lorem Ipsum helps to
achieve.
I would like to thank Peppermint Pattyfor her support on studying Lorem
Ipsum as well as the infinite wisdom of Linus van Peltand his willingness to use
his blanket in my experiments.
data-driven expertise exploration
procter & gamble
vs.
vs.
iterative problem solving
generate ideas
build prototypeevaluate
rapid
iterations
plan, build, test, and iterate as quickly as possible
High level goals:
- reveal areas of expertise
- evaluate connectivity within experts
High level goals:
- reveal areas of expertise
- evaluate connectivity within experts
let’s compare countries.
+ 1
10 5 5 20
8 25 2 5
12 3 30 10
1 20 25 50
10 5 5 20
8 25 2 5
12 3 30 10
1 20 25 50
10 5 5 20
8 25 2 5
12 3 30 10
1 20 25 50
10 5 5 20
8 25 2 5
12 3 30 10
1 20 25 50
design influences data science.
care about design.
Iterative design for data science projects
Bo Peng • @bo_p
for QCon San Francisco • Thanks!
Watch the video with slide
synchronization on InfoQ.com!
https://www.infoq.com/presentations/
iterative-design-data-science

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Iterative Design for Data Science Projects