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mHealth perspectives towards 2015
                        and

             Professor Ilkka Korhonen
       Department of Biomedical Engineering
 Tampere University of Technology, Tampere, Finland


                September 1st, 2011
                    EMBC 2011
2
Key messages

1. Chronic disease prevention and management
   is our biggest challenge
    To efficiently prevent and manage them a
   behavioral change is needed
2. Co-creation of health – citizen to be
   understood as a key co-producer of health
3. Personal health systems and mHealth are key
   tools to support co-production of health
  a)   Smart phone as a platform
  b)   Connected devices
  c)   Persuasive technologies
  d)   Challenge: from data to decision support

                              HIC2011             3.8.2011
3




CHRONIC DISEASE
CHALLENGE

                  3.8.2011
4
     Chronic conditions


• According to the WHO, 77% of the
  disease burden in Europe are accounted
  for disorders related to lifestyles.       Direct healthcare costs in Finland:
                                             Cardiovascular       17%
• Prevalence of chronic conditions is        Mental health        13%
  rapidly increasing                         Respiratory          11%
                                             Lost production in Finland:
                                             Mental health        22%
                                             Musculo-sceletal     22%
• Chronic or long-term conditions make
  >70% of all health care costs
   • Costs due complications caused
     (partially) by sub-optimal management
   • Investment on better management
      return of investment through
     decreased # of complications
5




CITIZEN AS A CO-PRODUCER
OF HEALTH

                           3.8.2011
Citizen behavior and health
           outcomes are closely linked
                                                                     Determinants of
• Behavioral changes would significantly reduce                       health status
  life style diseases and improve wellbeing
    • 70–90% of cardiovascular disease, type II diabetes and
      stroke would be avoided (Willet, 2002)                                             Social
                                                                                         (15%)
                                                                                                         Environmental
• Individuals with healthy lifestyles:                            Behavioral                                  (5%)
                                                                    (40%)
    • 50% reduction in health care costs (Pronk et al., 1999)
                                                                                                Health Care
    • 14 longer expected life time (Khaw, 2009)
                                                                                                  (10%)

• Behavioral change requires interventions to lifestyles                             Genetic
    • Life style changes cannot be prescribed – they have to be                       (30%)
      marketed and promoted
    • Life style is very personal and impacted by complex
      motivational and value-based factors
    • Personal health systems facilitate behavioral change
                                                                      McGinnis et al., Health Affairs 21(2), 2002
 Actual health outcomes are largely produced by
  the citizen behaviors – not by health care
  procedures (alone)
    • Also other stakeholders in the society
Century of behavior change

“The 19th Century has been called the Century of Hygiene. That is,
in the 19th Century more lives were saved or extended due to an
improved understanding of hygiene and public health than to any
other single cause.

The 20th Century was the Century of Medicine. Vaccines,
antibiotics, transfusions, and chemotherapy all helped to contribute
to longer, healthier lives. In 1900, the life expectancy of an American
was 49 years. In 2000, it was 77 years.

The 21st century will be the Century of Behavior Change. Medicine
is still making fundamental discoveries that can extend lives, but
changing daily, long-term behavior is the key to adding years and
quality to our lives. This will involve reducing risky behavior and
making changes in exercise and nutrition.”

Brian Wansink, Cornell University
8




Catalysing behavioral change with
PERSONAL HEALTH SYSTEMS


                                    3.8.2011
Personal Health Systems =
      Health and Wellness Technologies
         Designed for the Consumer

Monitoring + Connectivity + Analysis + Feedback
10

Engineering building blocks:
mHealth, personal monitoring, wearable
monitoring, signal processing and interpretation
1
                                                                     1

Services and technologies designed in parallel




              Services create needs for
              new technology products

           Services          Technologies

                Technologies enable
                    new services

                 Environment:
                 Organisational structures, laws,
                 regulations, guidelines, advocacy
                 groups, media
                                            © Niilo Saranummi, VTT
1
                                    2
PHS Keys

1. Self-monitoring

2. Personal and personalised
   feedback

3. Persuation



                               3.8.2011
Benefits of self-monitoring

• Daily weight monitoring helps in
  weigh loss and weight maintenance
    (Kayman et al., 1990; Linde et al., 2004; Wing et al., 2006)


• Regular diet and energy
  consumption monitoring supports
  weight loss and may decrease food
  intake (Baker & Kirschenbaum, 1993; Perri et al., 1989;
    Foreyt, 2005)


• Step monitoring increases exercising
  and improved body composition and
  blood pressure (Bravata et al., 2007; Clemes 2009)

• Self-monitoring is the most effieicnt                            Wing et al., 2006
  method for getting rid of bad habits
    (Quinn, 2010)
1
From monitoring to personal              4
feedback via intelligent analysis




                  HIC 2011          3.8.2011
1
From information sharing to                             5
persuation - nudging

• Knowledge-behavior gap: most citizen have
  sufficient information about healthy lifestyles but
  this information does not transform into
  behaviors
  • It is unlikely that more information alone would
    significantly improve the situation
• Reasons? Human being is not a rational actor
  • Most of our daily behaviors are automatic – not
    deliberate – decisions
     Organise environment and information to help to
    make better automatic decisions!
1
                                             6
Framing effects matter




                         Source: Dan Ariely,
                         Predictably Irrational
                         (2008)
1
Example: Choice architecture – framing                         impact
                                                                    7

           SUBSCRIPTIONS

           Welcome to
           The Economist Subscription Centre

           Pick the type of subscription you want to buy
           or renew.

             Economist.com subscription - US $59.00
           One-year subscription to Economist.com.            68%
           Includes online access to all articles from
           The Economist since 1997.

             Print & Web subscription - US $125.00
           One-year subscription to the print edition of      32%
           The Economist and online access to all
           articles from The Economist since 1997.
                                                           Source: Dan Ariely,
                                                           Predictably Irrational
                                                           (2008)
1
Choice architecture – nudging impact                                          8

           SUBSCRIPTIONS

           Welcome to
           The Economist Subscription Centre

           Pick the type of subscription you want to buy
           or renew.

             Economist.com subscription - US $59.00
           One-year subscription to Economist.com.
           Includes online access to all articles from
           The Economist since 1997.

             Print subscription - US $125.00
           One-year subscription to the print edition of
           The Economist.

             Print & Web subscription - US $125.00         Source: Dan Ariely,
                                                           Predictably Irrational
           One-year subscription to the print edition of   (2008)
           The Economist and online access to all
           articles from The Economist since 1997.
1

Choice architecture –                                                                                   9


predictably irrational
       SUBSCRIPTIONS                                      SUBSCRIPTIONS

      Welcome to                                          Welcome to
      The Economist Subscription Centre                   The Economist Subscription Centre

      Pick the type of subscription you want to buy or    Pick the type of subscription you want to buy or
      renew.                                              renew.

        Economist.com subscription - US $59.00              Economist.com subscription - US $59.00
      One-year subscription to Economist.com.             One-year subscription to Economist.com.
      Includes online access to all articles from         Includes online access to all articles from
      The Economist since 1997.                           The Economist since 1997.
                                                    68                                                  16
        Print & Web subscription - US $125.00              Print subscription - US $125.00
      One-year subscription to the print edition of The   One-year subscription to the print edition of The
      Economist and online access to all articles from    Economist.                                    0
      The Economist since 1997.
                                                    32      Print & Web subscription - US $125.00
                                                          One-year subscription to the print edition of The
                                                          Economist and online access to all articles from
                                                          The Economist since 1997.
                                                                                                        84




                                                                        Source: Dan Ariely,
                                                                        Predictably Irrational
                                                                        (2008)
2
                                                         0




              Setup:
              • Normal weight and overweight consumers
              • Ads shown before lunch
 Arranging and framing insurance adds (control)
                  • Car information
helps people to make better adds
                  • Exercise choices
              • Eaten calories measured
   Choice architectures matter
            • Consumers unaware of
 use them deliberately in design! actual purpose of
                 the study (“ad rating study”)




                    HIC 2011                      3.8.2011
2
                                             1




Smart phone as a key platform for PHS
MHEALTH TRENDS


                                        3.8.2011
Phases of ICT development

 PCs                                 PCs connected to Internet
                                                                           MOBILE INTERNET
 Slow or no connections              Fixed broadband
                                                                           Mobile took the lead with
 Business-driven                     Consumer- and business-driven
                            “History suggests the mobile Internet has potential tophones, tablets,
 One architecture: Client-Server     Megatrend (OECD -centric)
                                                                           smart create
                                      more wealth than prior computing cycles based SIMs
                            / destroyOne architecture: Web
 Office automation and process
                                                                           embedded
                                                                                      on
                                                                           Location-awareness and
 development                10x userNew business models
                                      multiplier effect.                   gadget integration
                          Regarding pace of change, more users will likely broadband with
                                                                       Mobile
                          connect to the Internet via mobile devices than desktop
                                                                       capacity and quality issues
                                                      Connected
                          PCs within 5 years”.        life
                                                                       Cloud
                                                                       Consumer- and utility-driven
                          Morgan Stanley (The Mobile Internet Report, 2009)
Main-                                Internet      Connecting            Size bigger than in cycle #4
             Mini      PC            2.0
frame                     In fact, the sales of smart phones exceeded Gigatrend (global)
                                                   world to the          the sales of
                                                   Intenet               Three or four architectures:
                          PCs inInternet
                                   February 2011.                        Emb, web, app, broadcast
                                              Connecting
                                                                         cache
                                              people
                    “The dominant design is the Internet and the future of mobility is
                                                                         New ecosystem-centric
                    the future of Internet” (Matti Mäkelin, Nexec Oy)    business models

Inflection
points
             1970s- 1981-        1996-                   2010


                                                                 (c) Matti Mäkelin, Nexec Oy, Finland
2
                                                               3
Smart phones

•   Inherently personal
•   ”Always” at hand
•   Contextual
•   Perceived as trusted store for personal information
•   Good for consuming content
•   Excellent for short notes and measurements
•   Excellent as hubs for connected sensors
•   Designed for connectivity and communication
•   Rich UI

 Smart phones are the media for large scale consumer
targeted eHealth services


                                                          3.8.2011
mHealth application market today
•   Share of mHealth apps is 3% of the total, i.e. ~17000 apps
•   Usually the business model is the pay-per-download
•   Ratio of paid/total mHealth application is 70-90%, which is 10-20% higher
    than the average for all applications.
mHealth market is taking off seriously
    (Mobile Health Market Report 2010-2015, research2guidance, Nov 2010)

•   1.4B smartphone users in 2015
•   500 million users have downloaded at least one mHealth application by 2015
•   mHealth market revenue will grow to US$ 6 billion by the end of 2015
•   New smartphone based mHealth market model gives a push for the traditional mHealth
    market to advance from the trial stage
•   Total number of downloaded mHealth applications will grow from 275 million (2010) to almost
    1.4 billion (2015), from which 15% are paid.
mHealth application categories
(Source: Research4guidance 2010)
Traditional vs. new mHealth market model




                           (c) Research4guidance 2010
mHealth
is
democratic
mHealth reduces provider revenues




           Source: Healthhcare unwired, New business models delivering care anywhere,
           Health Research Institute, PricewaterhouseCoopers, September 2010
Take home messages

• Century of behavior change
• Chronic disease prevention and management will not
  succeed without the citizen as an active participant – co-
  producer of health
• Consumer health – design eHealth solutions for the citizen
   • Behavioral psychology and economics, marketing, design
• We must focus on improving health (instead of improving
  just healthcare)
• mHealth = eHealth – convergence
   •   Smart phone is the future way of accessing Internet
   •   Game will change within next 5 years
   •   Great challenge: automation of data processing and feedback
• mHealth will destroy old business – and create new
   •   In which category do you want to be?
(c) Frog design 2010
Thank you!



                    Ilkka Korhonen
                       Professor
             Dept Biomedical Engineering
             Tampere University of Finland
                ilkka.korhonen@tut.fi

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mHealth perspectives towards 2015

  • 1. mHealth perspectives towards 2015 and Professor Ilkka Korhonen Department of Biomedical Engineering Tampere University of Technology, Tampere, Finland September 1st, 2011 EMBC 2011
  • 2. 2 Key messages 1. Chronic disease prevention and management is our biggest challenge  To efficiently prevent and manage them a behavioral change is needed 2. Co-creation of health – citizen to be understood as a key co-producer of health 3. Personal health systems and mHealth are key tools to support co-production of health a) Smart phone as a platform b) Connected devices c) Persuasive technologies d) Challenge: from data to decision support HIC2011 3.8.2011
  • 4. 4 Chronic conditions • According to the WHO, 77% of the disease burden in Europe are accounted for disorders related to lifestyles. Direct healthcare costs in Finland: Cardiovascular 17% • Prevalence of chronic conditions is Mental health 13% rapidly increasing Respiratory 11% Lost production in Finland: Mental health 22% Musculo-sceletal 22% • Chronic or long-term conditions make >70% of all health care costs • Costs due complications caused (partially) by sub-optimal management • Investment on better management  return of investment through decreased # of complications
  • 5. 5 CITIZEN AS A CO-PRODUCER OF HEALTH 3.8.2011
  • 6. Citizen behavior and health outcomes are closely linked Determinants of • Behavioral changes would significantly reduce health status life style diseases and improve wellbeing • 70–90% of cardiovascular disease, type II diabetes and stroke would be avoided (Willet, 2002) Social (15%) Environmental • Individuals with healthy lifestyles: Behavioral (5%) (40%) • 50% reduction in health care costs (Pronk et al., 1999) Health Care • 14 longer expected life time (Khaw, 2009) (10%) • Behavioral change requires interventions to lifestyles Genetic • Life style changes cannot be prescribed – they have to be (30%) marketed and promoted • Life style is very personal and impacted by complex motivational and value-based factors • Personal health systems facilitate behavioral change McGinnis et al., Health Affairs 21(2), 2002  Actual health outcomes are largely produced by the citizen behaviors – not by health care procedures (alone) • Also other stakeholders in the society
  • 7. Century of behavior change “The 19th Century has been called the Century of Hygiene. That is, in the 19th Century more lives were saved or extended due to an improved understanding of hygiene and public health than to any other single cause. The 20th Century was the Century of Medicine. Vaccines, antibiotics, transfusions, and chemotherapy all helped to contribute to longer, healthier lives. In 1900, the life expectancy of an American was 49 years. In 2000, it was 77 years. The 21st century will be the Century of Behavior Change. Medicine is still making fundamental discoveries that can extend lives, but changing daily, long-term behavior is the key to adding years and quality to our lives. This will involve reducing risky behavior and making changes in exercise and nutrition.” Brian Wansink, Cornell University
  • 8. 8 Catalysing behavioral change with PERSONAL HEALTH SYSTEMS 3.8.2011
  • 9. Personal Health Systems = Health and Wellness Technologies Designed for the Consumer Monitoring + Connectivity + Analysis + Feedback
  • 10. 10 Engineering building blocks: mHealth, personal monitoring, wearable monitoring, signal processing and interpretation
  • 11. 1 1 Services and technologies designed in parallel Services create needs for new technology products Services Technologies Technologies enable new services Environment: Organisational structures, laws, regulations, guidelines, advocacy groups, media © Niilo Saranummi, VTT
  • 12. 1 2 PHS Keys 1. Self-monitoring 2. Personal and personalised feedback 3. Persuation 3.8.2011
  • 13. Benefits of self-monitoring • Daily weight monitoring helps in weigh loss and weight maintenance (Kayman et al., 1990; Linde et al., 2004; Wing et al., 2006) • Regular diet and energy consumption monitoring supports weight loss and may decrease food intake (Baker & Kirschenbaum, 1993; Perri et al., 1989; Foreyt, 2005) • Step monitoring increases exercising and improved body composition and blood pressure (Bravata et al., 2007; Clemes 2009) • Self-monitoring is the most effieicnt Wing et al., 2006 method for getting rid of bad habits (Quinn, 2010)
  • 14. 1 From monitoring to personal 4 feedback via intelligent analysis HIC 2011 3.8.2011
  • 15. 1 From information sharing to 5 persuation - nudging • Knowledge-behavior gap: most citizen have sufficient information about healthy lifestyles but this information does not transform into behaviors • It is unlikely that more information alone would significantly improve the situation • Reasons? Human being is not a rational actor • Most of our daily behaviors are automatic – not deliberate – decisions  Organise environment and information to help to make better automatic decisions!
  • 16. 1 6 Framing effects matter Source: Dan Ariely, Predictably Irrational (2008)
  • 17. 1 Example: Choice architecture – framing impact 7 SUBSCRIPTIONS Welcome to The Economist Subscription Centre Pick the type of subscription you want to buy or renew. Economist.com subscription - US $59.00 One-year subscription to Economist.com. 68% Includes online access to all articles from The Economist since 1997. Print & Web subscription - US $125.00 One-year subscription to the print edition of 32% The Economist and online access to all articles from The Economist since 1997. Source: Dan Ariely, Predictably Irrational (2008)
  • 18. 1 Choice architecture – nudging impact 8 SUBSCRIPTIONS Welcome to The Economist Subscription Centre Pick the type of subscription you want to buy or renew. Economist.com subscription - US $59.00 One-year subscription to Economist.com. Includes online access to all articles from The Economist since 1997. Print subscription - US $125.00 One-year subscription to the print edition of The Economist. Print & Web subscription - US $125.00 Source: Dan Ariely, Predictably Irrational One-year subscription to the print edition of (2008) The Economist and online access to all articles from The Economist since 1997.
  • 19. 1 Choice architecture – 9 predictably irrational SUBSCRIPTIONS SUBSCRIPTIONS Welcome to Welcome to The Economist Subscription Centre The Economist Subscription Centre Pick the type of subscription you want to buy or Pick the type of subscription you want to buy or renew. renew. Economist.com subscription - US $59.00 Economist.com subscription - US $59.00 One-year subscription to Economist.com. One-year subscription to Economist.com. Includes online access to all articles from Includes online access to all articles from The Economist since 1997. The Economist since 1997. 68 16 Print & Web subscription - US $125.00 Print subscription - US $125.00 One-year subscription to the print edition of The One-year subscription to the print edition of The Economist and online access to all articles from Economist. 0 The Economist since 1997. 32 Print & Web subscription - US $125.00 One-year subscription to the print edition of The Economist and online access to all articles from The Economist since 1997. 84 Source: Dan Ariely, Predictably Irrational (2008)
  • 20. 2 0 Setup: • Normal weight and overweight consumers • Ads shown before lunch Arranging and framing insurance adds (control) • Car information helps people to make better adds • Exercise choices • Eaten calories measured Choice architectures matter • Consumers unaware of  use them deliberately in design! actual purpose of the study (“ad rating study”) HIC 2011 3.8.2011
  • 21. 2 1 Smart phone as a key platform for PHS MHEALTH TRENDS 3.8.2011
  • 22. Phases of ICT development PCs PCs connected to Internet MOBILE INTERNET Slow or no connections Fixed broadband Mobile took the lead with Business-driven Consumer- and business-driven “History suggests the mobile Internet has potential tophones, tablets, One architecture: Client-Server Megatrend (OECD -centric) smart create more wealth than prior computing cycles based SIMs / destroyOne architecture: Web Office automation and process embedded on Location-awareness and development 10x userNew business models multiplier effect. gadget integration Regarding pace of change, more users will likely broadband with Mobile connect to the Internet via mobile devices than desktop capacity and quality issues Connected PCs within 5 years”. life Cloud Consumer- and utility-driven Morgan Stanley (The Mobile Internet Report, 2009) Main- Internet Connecting Size bigger than in cycle #4 Mini PC 2.0 frame In fact, the sales of smart phones exceeded Gigatrend (global) world to the the sales of Intenet Three or four architectures: PCs inInternet February 2011. Emb, web, app, broadcast Connecting cache people “The dominant design is the Internet and the future of mobility is New ecosystem-centric the future of Internet” (Matti Mäkelin, Nexec Oy) business models Inflection points 1970s- 1981- 1996- 2010 (c) Matti Mäkelin, Nexec Oy, Finland
  • 23. 2 3 Smart phones • Inherently personal • ”Always” at hand • Contextual • Perceived as trusted store for personal information • Good for consuming content • Excellent for short notes and measurements • Excellent as hubs for connected sensors • Designed for connectivity and communication • Rich UI  Smart phones are the media for large scale consumer targeted eHealth services 3.8.2011
  • 24. mHealth application market today • Share of mHealth apps is 3% of the total, i.e. ~17000 apps • Usually the business model is the pay-per-download • Ratio of paid/total mHealth application is 70-90%, which is 10-20% higher than the average for all applications.
  • 25. mHealth market is taking off seriously (Mobile Health Market Report 2010-2015, research2guidance, Nov 2010) • 1.4B smartphone users in 2015 • 500 million users have downloaded at least one mHealth application by 2015 • mHealth market revenue will grow to US$ 6 billion by the end of 2015 • New smartphone based mHealth market model gives a push for the traditional mHealth market to advance from the trial stage • Total number of downloaded mHealth applications will grow from 275 million (2010) to almost 1.4 billion (2015), from which 15% are paid.
  • 26. mHealth application categories (Source: Research4guidance 2010)
  • 27. Traditional vs. new mHealth market model (c) Research4guidance 2010
  • 29. mHealth reduces provider revenues Source: Healthhcare unwired, New business models delivering care anywhere, Health Research Institute, PricewaterhouseCoopers, September 2010
  • 30. Take home messages • Century of behavior change • Chronic disease prevention and management will not succeed without the citizen as an active participant – co- producer of health • Consumer health – design eHealth solutions for the citizen • Behavioral psychology and economics, marketing, design • We must focus on improving health (instead of improving just healthcare) • mHealth = eHealth – convergence • Smart phone is the future way of accessing Internet • Game will change within next 5 years • Great challenge: automation of data processing and feedback • mHealth will destroy old business – and create new • In which category do you want to be?
  • 32. Thank you! Ilkka Korhonen Professor Dept Biomedical Engineering Tampere University of Finland ilkka.korhonen@tut.fi