2. Energy Generation and the
Terawatt (TW) Challenge
• Humanity uses 12 TW of power today
– 1 TW = 1,000 GW (Gigawatts)
• World will need 15 TW by 2012
• Only 5 known sources of energy are available on a TW scale*
– Fossil fuels: Coal, oil, gas
– Nuclear fuels
– Solar
• Only inherently distributed solution
• No fuel cost
*Prof. Nathan Lewis,
http://nsl.caltech.edu/
3. Sun – Our Free Fuel!
The earth receives more energy from the sun in just over one hour
than the world uses in an entire year
10. Source: Christopher O’Brien of Sharp Solar at EESI climate change meeting 2005
Example of successful long term
solar incentives
11. Growing Competitiveness of Solar
Source: McKinsey.
(1) kWh = kilowatt hour; kWp = kilowatt peak; TWh = terawatt hour; Wp = watt peak; the annual solar yield is the amount of electricity
generated by a south-facing 1 kW peak-rated module in 1 year, or the equivalent number of hours that the module operates at peak rating.
(2) Tier 4 and 5 are names of regulated forms of electricity generation and usage.
(3) Unsubsidized cost to end users of solar energy equals cost of conventional electricity.
Annual solar energy yield (kWh/kWp(1))
Grid Parity as of(3)
Today
Size of electricity
market TWh a year(1)
Averagepowerpriceperhousehold($/kWh(1))
1,000 1,500 2,000500
$0.3
$0.2
$0.1
$0.0
Costperwattatpeakhours($/Wp(1))
China
India
Greece
Texas
Australia
SpainNew YorkFranceFinland
Japan
Germany
Sweden
Netherlands
Denmark
California Tier 4(2)
2020
California Tier 5(2)
Hawaii
Italy
California
$8.0
$6.0
$4.0
$2.0
Norway
United
Kingdom
South Korea
12. In deregulated regions, fuel price
depends on the marginal fuel
Marginal Fuel Type for Electricity Production
RMP
Source: Energy Velocity, NERC ES&D
Hydro
Coal
Natural Gas
Primary Fuel Type
Petro
Discussion
Prices of the fuel type that sets the
marginal price of electricity most
impact electricity price
Natural gas sets the price for
electricity in the Northeast, California,
and Texas
This coincides with the regions with
the highest average electricity prices
and regions with deregulated markets
Deregulated Regions
13. HelioVolt Introduction
• Commercializing high-efficiency thin-film modules based on a
proprietary CIGS manufacturing process
• Founded in 2001 in Austin TX
– Headquarters, Manufacturing and R&D (122,400 sqft)
– 20 MW manufacturing capacity
– Customer samples – Q1 2010; Certified product - Q3 2010
– Production ramp Factory 1 during H1 2010
– Production ramp Factory 2 during H1 2012
15
14. HelioVolt Confidential
and Proprietary 16
Our Process vs. Alternatives
Our Process
Glass In Module Out
Glass
Preparation
FASST® CIGS
Process
Module
Formation
Final Assembly
& Test
Competitors’ CIGS Cell-Based Processes
Substrate In Module Out
Substrate
Preparation
CIGS
Process
Contact & Grid
Formation
Cell Cut & Sort Cell Stringing
Silicon Process
Polysilicon Ingot Wafer Solar Cell Solar Module
Final Assembly
& Test
Source: Wall Street research.
15. Solar Product Availability
• Crystalline Silicon ~ 18% conversion efficiency
• Multi-crystalline Silicon ~ 14%
• Amorphous Silicon ~ 6-8%
– Flexible and rigid
• Cadmium Telluride ~ 9-10%
– First Solar capturing significant market share for
central power applications
• CIS/CIGS ~10-12%
– New commercial availability entering the market
in 2010
85% of
current market
15% of
current market
but fastest
growing segment
17
17. Competitive Manufacturing Cost Potential is Key!
Source: Greentech Media and Prometheus Institute.
$1.26
$0.98
$0.89
$0.80
$61
$174
$100
$54
$76
$105
$52
$65
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
2008E 2010E 2012E 2015E
Asia Multi-Si Euro Multi-Si Integ. Multi-Si Super Mono Si a-Si CdTe CIGS
Asia Poly
($/kg)
Euro Poly
($/kg)
18. Opportunities for a More Efficient Value Chain
20
Customer
Installer
Power Purchase
Agreement
Financing
If buy power
LLC
Financing
If own system
Integrator/
System Designer
Future Integrated Products
Opportunity for
Integration & System
Cost Reduction
Opportunity for
Pre-engineered
Solutions
PV Module
Mfgr
Mounting &
Wiring
System Mfgr
Inverter
Mfgr
19. Solar Systems Around the World
Utility Scale Commercial Roof Top Systems
Google HQ - CaliforniaSolar farm - Germany
Austin City HallResidential roof - California
Building Integrated
Hong Kong Science Center
21
21. Example: Correlation between Daily PV
Power Production and Energy
Consumption of an Office Building in Spain
24h-Energy Profile
0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
24:00
ElectricalEnergy[arb.units]
Low Tariff Low TariffHigh Tariff
Electricity supplied by
Utility
Fed-In
Energy
Solar Energy
Energy consumption of building
Electricity supplied by
Utility
Source: RWE Energie AG and RSS GmbH
23
22. In Summary –
Rapidly Growing Global Market
• Tremendous cost reductions making solar energy more
affordable than ever
• Grid parity in many markets
• Financial services innovation and business models
developing – PPAs, PACE
• Technological breakthroughs and system integration
continuing to drive low cost of solar energy
– Key! - long term efficiency and reliability with exceptional
performance
Some areas have more production potential than others, but luckily, not too many people live in those blue regions.
(point out Germany, Spain, the US, and what we can see of Japan, because on the next slide we see ……
HelioVolt Corporation
To examine
Find source
Tie contour lines to numbers
1/30/2015
Key Point: To Compare HelioVolt process to Others
Emphasize standard component vs. Cell-based CIGS processes
Cell Module conversion cost estimate ~$0.20-0.30
Bring market clearing bar back in?
Can plot a line through the average module price