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Growth of Distributed Solar Power
Iga Hallberg -
Vice President Business Development
Energy Generation and the
Terawatt (TW) Challenge
• Humanity uses 12 TW of power today
– 1 TW = 1,000 GW (Gigawatts)
• World will need 15 TW by 2012
• Only 5 known sources of energy are available on a TW scale*
– Fossil fuels: Coal, oil, gas
– Nuclear fuels
– Solar
• Only inherently distributed solution
• No fuel cost
*Prof. Nathan Lewis,
http://nsl.caltech.edu/
Sun – Our Free Fuel!
The earth receives more energy from the sun in just over one hour
than the world uses in an entire year
Global solar resources
4
Northern Suburb of Tokyo
Global Solar Demand
Source: Jeffries International, 2010
Policy Driven Demand
MW
PV and Renewable Incentives
8
Source: Christopher O’Brien of Sharp Solar at EESI climate change meeting 2005
Example of successful long term
solar incentives
Growing Competitiveness of Solar
Source: McKinsey.
(1) kWh = kilowatt hour; kWp = kilowatt peak; TWh = terawatt hour; Wp = watt peak; the annual solar yield is the amount of electricity
generated by a south-facing 1 kW peak-rated module in 1 year, or the equivalent number of hours that the module operates at peak rating.
(2) Tier 4 and 5 are names of regulated forms of electricity generation and usage.
(3) Unsubsidized cost to end users of solar energy equals cost of conventional electricity.
Annual solar energy yield (kWh/kWp(1))
Grid Parity as of(3)
Today
Size of electricity
market TWh a year(1)
Averagepowerpriceperhousehold($/kWh(1))
1,000 1,500 2,000500
$0.3
$0.2
$0.1
$0.0
Costperwattatpeakhours($/Wp(1))
China
India
Greece
Texas
Australia
SpainNew YorkFranceFinland
Japan
Germany
Sweden
Netherlands
Denmark
California Tier 4(2)
2020
California Tier 5(2)
Hawaii
Italy
California
$8.0
$6.0
$4.0
$2.0
Norway
United
Kingdom
South Korea
In deregulated regions, fuel price
depends on the marginal fuel
Marginal Fuel Type for Electricity Production
RMP
Source: Energy Velocity, NERC ES&D
Hydro
Coal
Natural Gas
Primary Fuel Type
Petro
Discussion
 Prices of the fuel type that sets the
marginal price of electricity most
impact electricity price
 Natural gas sets the price for
electricity in the Northeast, California,
and Texas
 This coincides with the regions with
the highest average electricity prices
and regions with deregulated markets
Deregulated Regions
HelioVolt Introduction
• Commercializing high-efficiency thin-film modules based on a
proprietary CIGS manufacturing process
• Founded in 2001 in Austin TX
– Headquarters, Manufacturing and R&D (122,400 sqft)
– 20 MW manufacturing capacity
– Customer samples – Q1 2010; Certified product - Q3 2010
– Production ramp Factory 1 during H1 2010
– Production ramp Factory 2 during H1 2012
15
HelioVolt Confidential
and Proprietary 16
Our Process vs. Alternatives
Our Process
Glass In Module Out
Glass
Preparation
FASST® CIGS
Process
Module
Formation
Final Assembly
& Test
Competitors’ CIGS Cell-Based Processes
Substrate In Module Out
Substrate
Preparation
CIGS
Process
Contact & Grid
Formation
Cell Cut & Sort Cell Stringing
Silicon Process
Polysilicon Ingot Wafer Solar Cell Solar Module
Final Assembly
& Test
Source: Wall Street research.
Solar Product Availability
• Crystalline Silicon ~ 18% conversion efficiency
• Multi-crystalline Silicon ~ 14%
• Amorphous Silicon ~ 6-8%
– Flexible and rigid
• Cadmium Telluride ~ 9-10%
– First Solar capturing significant market share for
central power applications
• CIS/CIGS ~10-12%
– New commercial availability entering the market
in 2010
85% of
current market
15% of
current market
but fastest
growing segment
17
Final Assembly
& Test
Module
Formation
FASST® CIGS
Process
Glass
Preparation
HelioVolt Module Production Process
Glass In
Module Out
Competitive Manufacturing Cost Potential is Key!
Source: Greentech Media and Prometheus Institute.
$1.26
$0.98
$0.89
$0.80
$61
$174
$100
$54
$76
$105
$52
$65
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
2008E 2010E 2012E 2015E
Asia Multi-Si Euro Multi-Si Integ. Multi-Si Super Mono Si a-Si CdTe CIGS
Asia Poly
($/kg)
Euro Poly
($/kg)
Opportunities for a More Efficient Value Chain
20
Customer
Installer
Power Purchase
Agreement
Financing
If buy power
LLC
Financing
If own system
Integrator/
System Designer
Future Integrated Products
Opportunity for
Integration & System
Cost Reduction
Opportunity for
Pre-engineered
Solutions
PV Module
Mfgr
Mounting &
Wiring
System Mfgr
Inverter
Mfgr
Solar Systems Around the World
Utility Scale Commercial Roof Top Systems
Google HQ - CaliforniaSolar farm - Germany
Austin City HallResidential roof - California
Building Integrated
Hong Kong Science Center
21
Atlantic City Convention Center, NJ
2.3MW Largest rooftop solar PV project in North America
22
Example: Correlation between Daily PV
Power Production and Energy
Consumption of an Office Building in Spain
24h-Energy Profile
0:00
6:00
12:00
18:00
24:00
ElectricalEnergy[arb.units]
Low Tariff Low TariffHigh Tariff
Electricity supplied by
Utility
Fed-In
Energy
Solar Energy
Energy consumption of building
Electricity supplied by
Utility
Source: RWE Energie AG and RSS GmbH
23
In Summary –
Rapidly Growing Global Market
• Tremendous cost reductions making solar energy more
affordable than ever
• Grid parity in many markets
• Financial services innovation and business models
developing – PPAs, PACE
• Technological breakthroughs and system integration
continuing to drive low cost of solar energy
– Key! - long term efficiency and reliability with exceptional
performance
THANK YOU!
IGA HALLBERG
512-767-6030
IHALLBERG@HELIOVOLT.COM
World’s Highest Performance,
Lowest Cost, & Most Versatile
Solar Power Platform

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April 27 Ut Presentation

  • 1. Growth of Distributed Solar Power Iga Hallberg - Vice President Business Development
  • 2. Energy Generation and the Terawatt (TW) Challenge • Humanity uses 12 TW of power today – 1 TW = 1,000 GW (Gigawatts) • World will need 15 TW by 2012 • Only 5 known sources of energy are available on a TW scale* – Fossil fuels: Coal, oil, gas – Nuclear fuels – Solar • Only inherently distributed solution • No fuel cost *Prof. Nathan Lewis, http://nsl.caltech.edu/
  • 3. Sun – Our Free Fuel! The earth receives more energy from the sun in just over one hour than the world uses in an entire year
  • 6. Global Solar Demand Source: Jeffries International, 2010
  • 8. PV and Renewable Incentives 8
  • 9.
  • 10. Source: Christopher O’Brien of Sharp Solar at EESI climate change meeting 2005 Example of successful long term solar incentives
  • 11. Growing Competitiveness of Solar Source: McKinsey. (1) kWh = kilowatt hour; kWp = kilowatt peak; TWh = terawatt hour; Wp = watt peak; the annual solar yield is the amount of electricity generated by a south-facing 1 kW peak-rated module in 1 year, or the equivalent number of hours that the module operates at peak rating. (2) Tier 4 and 5 are names of regulated forms of electricity generation and usage. (3) Unsubsidized cost to end users of solar energy equals cost of conventional electricity. Annual solar energy yield (kWh/kWp(1)) Grid Parity as of(3) Today Size of electricity market TWh a year(1) Averagepowerpriceperhousehold($/kWh(1)) 1,000 1,500 2,000500 $0.3 $0.2 $0.1 $0.0 Costperwattatpeakhours($/Wp(1)) China India Greece Texas Australia SpainNew YorkFranceFinland Japan Germany Sweden Netherlands Denmark California Tier 4(2) 2020 California Tier 5(2) Hawaii Italy California $8.0 $6.0 $4.0 $2.0 Norway United Kingdom South Korea
  • 12. In deregulated regions, fuel price depends on the marginal fuel Marginal Fuel Type for Electricity Production RMP Source: Energy Velocity, NERC ES&D Hydro Coal Natural Gas Primary Fuel Type Petro Discussion  Prices of the fuel type that sets the marginal price of electricity most impact electricity price  Natural gas sets the price for electricity in the Northeast, California, and Texas  This coincides with the regions with the highest average electricity prices and regions with deregulated markets Deregulated Regions
  • 13. HelioVolt Introduction • Commercializing high-efficiency thin-film modules based on a proprietary CIGS manufacturing process • Founded in 2001 in Austin TX – Headquarters, Manufacturing and R&D (122,400 sqft) – 20 MW manufacturing capacity – Customer samples – Q1 2010; Certified product - Q3 2010 – Production ramp Factory 1 during H1 2010 – Production ramp Factory 2 during H1 2012 15
  • 14. HelioVolt Confidential and Proprietary 16 Our Process vs. Alternatives Our Process Glass In Module Out Glass Preparation FASST® CIGS Process Module Formation Final Assembly & Test Competitors’ CIGS Cell-Based Processes Substrate In Module Out Substrate Preparation CIGS Process Contact & Grid Formation Cell Cut & Sort Cell Stringing Silicon Process Polysilicon Ingot Wafer Solar Cell Solar Module Final Assembly & Test Source: Wall Street research.
  • 15. Solar Product Availability • Crystalline Silicon ~ 18% conversion efficiency • Multi-crystalline Silicon ~ 14% • Amorphous Silicon ~ 6-8% – Flexible and rigid • Cadmium Telluride ~ 9-10% – First Solar capturing significant market share for central power applications • CIS/CIGS ~10-12% – New commercial availability entering the market in 2010 85% of current market 15% of current market but fastest growing segment 17
  • 16. Final Assembly & Test Module Formation FASST® CIGS Process Glass Preparation HelioVolt Module Production Process Glass In Module Out
  • 17. Competitive Manufacturing Cost Potential is Key! Source: Greentech Media and Prometheus Institute. $1.26 $0.98 $0.89 $0.80 $61 $174 $100 $54 $76 $105 $52 $65 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 2008E 2010E 2012E 2015E Asia Multi-Si Euro Multi-Si Integ. Multi-Si Super Mono Si a-Si CdTe CIGS Asia Poly ($/kg) Euro Poly ($/kg)
  • 18. Opportunities for a More Efficient Value Chain 20 Customer Installer Power Purchase Agreement Financing If buy power LLC Financing If own system Integrator/ System Designer Future Integrated Products Opportunity for Integration & System Cost Reduction Opportunity for Pre-engineered Solutions PV Module Mfgr Mounting & Wiring System Mfgr Inverter Mfgr
  • 19. Solar Systems Around the World Utility Scale Commercial Roof Top Systems Google HQ - CaliforniaSolar farm - Germany Austin City HallResidential roof - California Building Integrated Hong Kong Science Center 21
  • 20. Atlantic City Convention Center, NJ 2.3MW Largest rooftop solar PV project in North America 22
  • 21. Example: Correlation between Daily PV Power Production and Energy Consumption of an Office Building in Spain 24h-Energy Profile 0:00 6:00 12:00 18:00 24:00 ElectricalEnergy[arb.units] Low Tariff Low TariffHigh Tariff Electricity supplied by Utility Fed-In Energy Solar Energy Energy consumption of building Electricity supplied by Utility Source: RWE Energie AG and RSS GmbH 23
  • 22. In Summary – Rapidly Growing Global Market • Tremendous cost reductions making solar energy more affordable than ever • Grid parity in many markets • Financial services innovation and business models developing – PPAs, PACE • Technological breakthroughs and system integration continuing to drive low cost of solar energy – Key! - long term efficiency and reliability with exceptional performance
  • 24. World’s Highest Performance, Lowest Cost, & Most Versatile Solar Power Platform

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. 1/30/2015
  2. Some areas have more production potential than others, but luckily, not too many people live in those blue regions. (point out Germany, Spain, the US, and what we can see of Japan, because on the next slide we see ……
  3. HelioVolt Corporation
  4. To examine Find source Tie contour lines to numbers
  5. 1/30/2015
  6. Key Point: To Compare HelioVolt process to Others Emphasize standard component vs. Cell-based CIGS processes Cell  Module conversion cost estimate ~$0.20-0.30
  7. Bring market clearing bar back in? Can plot a line through the average module price
  8. 1/30/2015
  9. 1/30/2015