2. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
Status of ETSAP TIAM (phase I)
● The database of ETSAP TIAM Phase I is available with the
information related a objective function value depending on the
TIMES /VEDA Version
● For documentation all files are listed in a file with a short descriptions
(a distinguish between base case and additional scenarios has been
made)
● A Final Report is available.
2 / 17
3. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
• An updated version of a common ETSAP-TIAM database for
energy systems analysis, including extensions provided by the
partners is for testing available, running with a documented
objective value and reproduced by several partners.
• A update of the file list was created.
• A short technical reports of the changes of the second ETSAP-
TIAM phase is availible.
• A final report on the activities of the second ETSAP-TIAM phase is
ongoing.
Status of ETSAP TIAM (phase II)
4. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
Contribution of partners to Phase II
4
Improvement Partner Description
Iron and Steel VITO More detail new process of Iron and steel production.
Estimation of residual steel production capacity is included.
Trades of Scrap and Ore are considered.
Wind IFE New wind technologies are included.
China database DTU Improvement of statistics and related bugs of China in the
base year.
New
sequestration
options
CMA New sequestration options are included. Also, Onshore
sequestration is limited to zero.
Nuclear CIEMAT New Nuclear technologies (including Uranium and Lithium)
are added to the model.
CCS in Industry ECN Process based approach for CCS technologies in industry
sector is added to the model.
Climate Modul UCL Improvement of the Climate modul
5. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
Scenario definition
5
Scenario Non climate change
scenarios in ETSAP-TIAM
Phase I
Non climate change
scenarios in ETSAP-TIAM
Phase II
CO2 reduction
Scenario (2 degree)
Base-Ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-Ph1
2D-Ph2
6. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
Primary Energy Consumption
6
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
WORLD-PrimaryEnergyConsumption(EJ)
Waste (non renewable)
Geo
Hydro, wind, solar, Ocean
Nuclear
Natural gas
Oil
Bio
Coal
7. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
Final Energy Consumption
7
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
WORLD-SectoralTotalFinalEnergyConsumption(EJ)
Agriculture
Transport
Households
Commercial
Industry
8. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
Electricity Generation
8
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
WORLD-ElectricityGeneration(TWh)
Others
Other Renewables
Biomass With CCS
Biomass / Waste ren.
Solar Storage
Solar
Wind
Hydro (incl. pump storage)
Nuclear
Natural Gas with CCS
Natural gas
Oil
Coal With CCS
Coal
9. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
CO2 Emission
9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
2020 2060 2100
WORLD-CO2Emission(GT)
Forestry
Upstream
Transportation
Residential
Industry
Electricity
Commercial
Agriculture
0
5
10
15
20
25
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
WORLD-CO2Sequestration(GT)
10. Markus Blesl Nov, 2014Comparison of ETSAP-TIAM phase I and phase II
China
10
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
2020 2060 2100
China-PrimaryEnergyConsumption(EJ)
Electricity import
Waste (non renewable)
Geo
Hydro, wind, solar,
Ocean
Nuclear
Natural gas
Oil
Bio
Coal
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
Base-ph1
Base-Ph2
2D-ph1
2D-Ph2
2020 2060 2100
China-SectoralTotalFinalEnergyConsumption(EJ)
Agriculture
Transport
Households
Commercial
Industry