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1icfi.com/aviation |
Opening Address
Additive Manufacturing
Briefings (AMB)
April 7, 2015, Palos Verdes
Dr. Vivek Saxena
Vice President, ICF International
Leader, Operations & Supply Chain Practice
2icfi.com/aviation |
Agenda
Introductions
An Additive Manufacturing Primer
AMB Focus is Aerospace Production
AMB Preview
3icfi.com/aviation |
ICF is one of the world’s largest and most experienced aviation
and aerospace consulting firms
INTRODUCTIONS
 52 years in business (founded 1963)
 100+ professional staff
− Dedicated exclusively to aviation and aerospace
− Blend of consulting professionals and experienced aviation executives
 Specialized, focused expertise and proprietary knowledge
 Broad functional capabilities
 More than 10,000 private sector and public sector assignments
 Backed by parent company ICF International (Over $1B 2014 revenue)
 Global presence –– offices around the world
New York  • Boston  • Ann Arbor  • London  • Singapore  • Beijing  • Hong Kong
Airports • Airlines • Aerospace & MRO • Asset Advisory • Safety & Security
joined ICF in 2012
joined ICF in 2011
joined ICF in 2007
4icfi.com/aviation |
ICF’s thought leadership on AM is recognized
in the aerospace markets
INTRODUCTIONS
5icfi.com/aviation |
In our AM survey, 80% participants want a conference
like AMB
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING SURVEY
Material
Supplier
37%
Tier 1 - Tier 2
Supplier
19%
Tier 1 With
Design
Authority
19%
OEM
12%
Services
13%
Survey Participants
Too little discussion of
real aerospace industry
concerns like supply
chain issues, business
impact and certification
60%
Useful to
disseminate
technology
20%
Too much
discussion of
technologies that
are not mature
enough yet
13%
Do not offer me useful
information to make decisions
7%
View on AM conferences
6icfi.com/aviation |
Almost half are pursuing AM capabilities in-house and 80%
are working on production parts
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING SURVEY
Strong internal
program
46%
Waiting to see if and
how it impacts my
business
33%
Partnering with
AM service
bureaus
7%
Partnering with
customers
7%
Partnering with both
customers & bureaus
7%
How are you pursuing AM?
Production
parts
40%
Tooling + Repairs
+ Parts
40%
None of the
above
13%
Prototypes for
development programs
7%
What is the focus of your AM?
7icfi.com/aviation |
Certification and lack of skilled talent are considered a
major barrier to AM adoption
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING SURVEY
Question: What is the biggest challenge for your business in adopting AM?
Qualification &
Certification
54%
Know-how and
talent
33%
Production
speed
13%
a) Affordability (Capex and NRE)
b) Know-how and talent
c) Unit cost with AM
d) Production speed
e) Qualification & Certification
Possible Answers Results
8icfi.com/aviation |
Agenda
Introductions
An Additive Manufacturing
Primer
AMB Focus is Aerospace Production
AMB Preview
9icfi.com/aviation |
Additive manufacturing can provide competitive advantage
Protrusions, bosses, and
flanges could be added
to simplified forged rings
Add Features
Whole Parts
Assemblies and complex
parts are prime
candidates
Repair
Blade tips and other
traditional additive
repairs
Tooling / Fixtures
AM is well suited to low
volume, high lead time
items such as tooling
Additive Manufacturing
1. Reduced Lead Times
2. Reduced Weight
3. Reduced Cost
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
10icfi.com/aviation |
Two main types of processes are used for aerospace
additive manufacturing
Source: ICF SH&E secondary research, interviews
Powder Bed Process
• Examples: SLS, EBM, LM
• Size limited by processing
chamber
• Good surface finish and
resolution
Direct Energy Deposition
• Examples: EBWM, PBWM, LENS
• Material deposited during
processing
• Relatively high material deposition
rates
• May require more post-processing
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
11icfi.com/aviation |
While AM technology focus has been on small and
complex parts (e.g. aero-engine components) ………
Source: ICF SH&E analysis, interviews and published sources
CFM Leap Fuel Nozzles
MTU Casing Features
P&W GTF Compressor Vanes
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
Turbomeca fuel injector
nozzles
12icfi.com/aviation |
Current technologies also allow the additive manufacture
of large parts
Source: ICF SH&E analysis, GE Aviation, Avio, Rolls Royce and NTi
GENX Ti-Al LPT Blade (Avio)
Target applications are complex-geometry high BTF parts
Trent XWB Front Bearing Housing
Norsk Titanium Aerostructures Preform
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
13icfi.com/aviation |
Applications with less stringent certification or safety
requirements such as spacecraft and UAVs heavily use AM
Source: SpaceX, Stratasys, ICF SH&E research
Examples of AM Spacecraft and Experimental Aircraft Parts
Spacecraft Components
SpaceX Engine Chamber
• Chamber for
production SpaceX
rocket engine made by
AM
UAV Components
• Using AM for many
components allowed
SelectTech to shorten
test & redesign cycle
SelectTech UAV
Experimental Aircraft
• Many military and
experimental aircraft
OEMs use AM to
rapidly iterate designs
and reduce lead times
for low-volume parts
Evektor Experimental Aircraft
Space & experimental vehicles have been prime candidates for near-term AM adoption
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
14icfi.com/aviation |
Additive manufacturing is just beginning to improve
aftermarket support to operators
RAF Tornado
• BAE producing protective
covers for cockpit radios and
guards for power take-off shafts
to sustain RAF Tornados via AM
• Parts first flew in December
2013
• These AM parts could cut RAF’s
maintenance costs by $1.9M
over four years
Air Transat A310
• In February 2014 the first AM
component – a small plastic crew
seat panel – flew on an Airbus
customer jetliner
• The aircraft was an A310 operators
by Air Transat
• Like most aircraft OEMs, Airbus is
working towards “on demand”
spare parts
Sources: Daily Mail, Airbus
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
15icfi.com/aviation |
A class of repairs have historically been additive
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
Rebuilt turbine
blade tip
As deposited DMD
turbine blade tip
Turbine blade
squealer tip is built
up using DMD
Repair of Turbine Components Using Direct Metal Deposition (DMD)
Source: DM3D, MT Additive
DMD includes a patented closed loop feedback control of the deposition process
16icfi.com/aviation |
Disruptive technologies in the long-cycle aerospace industry
take time to develop as evidenced by composites
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
Composites Penetration In Aerostructures
Sources: ICF International analysis, Boeing, Airbus, secondary research
20 years
40 years
% structural
weight
17icfi.com/aviation |
Roughly $250M out of $150B global
aerospace output is additive
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023
Pessimistic
Optimistic
• Uncertainties reflect the
embryonic stage of AM
development
• Just a few high-volume
parts in production have
the potential to greatly
increase total market
size
• Early adoption will be in
applications with lower
certification barriers
• Adoption of composites
offers a good learning
experience
Source: ICF International analysis, interviews, Wohler’s, Credit Suisse
Market size includes machine sales and parts production
$M USD
Additive manufacturing aerospace market projections
vary wildly
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
18icfi.com/aviation |
Agenda
Introductions
An Additive Manufacturing Primer
AMB Focus is Aerospace
Production
AMB Preview
19icfi.com/aviation |
Ultimately, AM parts will have to buy their way on to the
aircraft
Source: ICF SH&E analysis, interviews,
Projected AM Cost For Complex Titanium Casting
AMB FOCUS IS PRODUCTION
20icfi.com/aviation |
The AM value chain is evolving and the traditional supply
base may not be ready for the impact
AMB FOCUS IS PRODUCTION
The Additive Manufacturing Value Chain
Source: Roland Berger, ICF International research
Example
Companies
• ATI
• Carpenter
Technology
• Special Metals
(PCC)
• Perryman
• RTI
• Sciaky
• 3D Systems
• Arcam
• EOS
• ExOne
• Renishaw
• Stratasys
• SLM
• Altair
• Autodesk
• Dassault
• Witnin labs
• Geomagic
• Materialise
• Netfab
• Airbus
• Boeing
• GE
• Pratt & Whitney
• MTU
• GKN
• Service bureaus
like Sciaky
Powder / Wire Equipment
Design SW Process SW
Production
Software Enablers
Hardware
21icfi.com/aviation |
Quality assurance and certification
Source: ICF SH&E analysis, interviews,
AMB FOCUS IS PRODUCTION
• Standardization / specs
• Material characterization
• Machine variables
• Resolution, accuracy
• Process control
3. Regulatory
Approval
1. Technology
Readiness
2. Process
Repeatability
22icfi.com/aviation |
Agenda
Introductions
An Additive Manufacturing Primer
AMB Focus is Aerospace Production
AMB Preview
23icfi.com/aviation |
Case Studies Presentations
AMB PREVIEW
Mr. Paul DellaNeve
Corporate VP, Business Development
Ms. Laura Ely
Manager, Additive Manufacturing
Mr. Francisco Vega
VP, Sales & Marketing
Mr. Jesse Boyer
Fellow, Additive Manufacturing
24icfi.com/aviation |
Material Usage Panel
Mr. Art Kracke
VP, R&D and Business Development
Mr. William Wellock
Director, Strategic Customer Development
Mr. Dean Hackett
Vice President, AM&P
AMB PREVIEW
25icfi.com/aviation |
Material Usage Panel Themes
1. Emerging developments in materials
2. Price of Powder Metal (PM) and other AM materials
3. Material supply chain evolution in the future
4. Material suppliers influence on process / repeatability challenges
5. Intellectual property issues in AM
6. Industry standards and specs
AMB PREVIEW
26icfi.com/aviation |
Productivity Panel
Mr. Scott Sevcik
Manager, A&D Business Development
Mr. David Wilckens
Director of Business Development, Aerospace
Mr. Andrew Snow
SVP, EOS North America
Dr. Ming Zhou
VP, FE Solvers & Optimization
AMB PREVIEW
27icfi.com/aviation |
Productivity Panel Themes
1. Laydown / build rate improvement
2. Set up / changeover time reduction
3. Post processing reduction
4. Inspection time reduction / In-situ imaging etc.
5. Efficient design / optimization
AMB PREVIEW
28icfi.com/aviation |
Certification Panel
Dr. Michael Gorelik
Chief Scientist & Technical Advisor
Mr. David Hills
Director, Research & Technology
Mr. Michael Hayes
Technical Lead Engr., AM R&D
Mr. Richard Merlino
President, ADDAERO
AMB PREVIEW
29icfi.com/aviation |
Certification Panel Themes
1. Challenges in AM metal part certification
2. Lessons from history
3. Industry standards & specs
4. Safety margins
5. Assembly vs. part certification
AMB PREVIEW
Thanks and Questions
Vivek Saxena
Vice President, ICF Aviation
Aerospace Operations & Supply Chain Practice
+1 734 249 0961
vivek.saxena@icfi.com

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Opening Address: SpeedNews AMB Conference

  • 1. 1icfi.com/aviation | Opening Address Additive Manufacturing Briefings (AMB) April 7, 2015, Palos Verdes Dr. Vivek Saxena Vice President, ICF International Leader, Operations & Supply Chain Practice
  • 2. 2icfi.com/aviation | Agenda Introductions An Additive Manufacturing Primer AMB Focus is Aerospace Production AMB Preview
  • 3. 3icfi.com/aviation | ICF is one of the world’s largest and most experienced aviation and aerospace consulting firms INTRODUCTIONS  52 years in business (founded 1963)  100+ professional staff − Dedicated exclusively to aviation and aerospace − Blend of consulting professionals and experienced aviation executives  Specialized, focused expertise and proprietary knowledge  Broad functional capabilities  More than 10,000 private sector and public sector assignments  Backed by parent company ICF International (Over $1B 2014 revenue)  Global presence –– offices around the world New York  • Boston  • Ann Arbor  • London  • Singapore  • Beijing  • Hong Kong Airports • Airlines • Aerospace & MRO • Asset Advisory • Safety & Security joined ICF in 2012 joined ICF in 2011 joined ICF in 2007
  • 4. 4icfi.com/aviation | ICF’s thought leadership on AM is recognized in the aerospace markets INTRODUCTIONS
  • 5. 5icfi.com/aviation | In our AM survey, 80% participants want a conference like AMB ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING SURVEY Material Supplier 37% Tier 1 - Tier 2 Supplier 19% Tier 1 With Design Authority 19% OEM 12% Services 13% Survey Participants Too little discussion of real aerospace industry concerns like supply chain issues, business impact and certification 60% Useful to disseminate technology 20% Too much discussion of technologies that are not mature enough yet 13% Do not offer me useful information to make decisions 7% View on AM conferences
  • 6. 6icfi.com/aviation | Almost half are pursuing AM capabilities in-house and 80% are working on production parts ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING SURVEY Strong internal program 46% Waiting to see if and how it impacts my business 33% Partnering with AM service bureaus 7% Partnering with customers 7% Partnering with both customers & bureaus 7% How are you pursuing AM? Production parts 40% Tooling + Repairs + Parts 40% None of the above 13% Prototypes for development programs 7% What is the focus of your AM?
  • 7. 7icfi.com/aviation | Certification and lack of skilled talent are considered a major barrier to AM adoption ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING SURVEY Question: What is the biggest challenge for your business in adopting AM? Qualification & Certification 54% Know-how and talent 33% Production speed 13% a) Affordability (Capex and NRE) b) Know-how and talent c) Unit cost with AM d) Production speed e) Qualification & Certification Possible Answers Results
  • 8. 8icfi.com/aviation | Agenda Introductions An Additive Manufacturing Primer AMB Focus is Aerospace Production AMB Preview
  • 9. 9icfi.com/aviation | Additive manufacturing can provide competitive advantage Protrusions, bosses, and flanges could be added to simplified forged rings Add Features Whole Parts Assemblies and complex parts are prime candidates Repair Blade tips and other traditional additive repairs Tooling / Fixtures AM is well suited to low volume, high lead time items such as tooling Additive Manufacturing 1. Reduced Lead Times 2. Reduced Weight 3. Reduced Cost ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
  • 10. 10icfi.com/aviation | Two main types of processes are used for aerospace additive manufacturing Source: ICF SH&E secondary research, interviews Powder Bed Process • Examples: SLS, EBM, LM • Size limited by processing chamber • Good surface finish and resolution Direct Energy Deposition • Examples: EBWM, PBWM, LENS • Material deposited during processing • Relatively high material deposition rates • May require more post-processing ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
  • 11. 11icfi.com/aviation | While AM technology focus has been on small and complex parts (e.g. aero-engine components) ……… Source: ICF SH&E analysis, interviews and published sources CFM Leap Fuel Nozzles MTU Casing Features P&W GTF Compressor Vanes ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER Turbomeca fuel injector nozzles
  • 12. 12icfi.com/aviation | Current technologies also allow the additive manufacture of large parts Source: ICF SH&E analysis, GE Aviation, Avio, Rolls Royce and NTi GENX Ti-Al LPT Blade (Avio) Target applications are complex-geometry high BTF parts Trent XWB Front Bearing Housing Norsk Titanium Aerostructures Preform ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
  • 13. 13icfi.com/aviation | Applications with less stringent certification or safety requirements such as spacecraft and UAVs heavily use AM Source: SpaceX, Stratasys, ICF SH&E research Examples of AM Spacecraft and Experimental Aircraft Parts Spacecraft Components SpaceX Engine Chamber • Chamber for production SpaceX rocket engine made by AM UAV Components • Using AM for many components allowed SelectTech to shorten test & redesign cycle SelectTech UAV Experimental Aircraft • Many military and experimental aircraft OEMs use AM to rapidly iterate designs and reduce lead times for low-volume parts Evektor Experimental Aircraft Space & experimental vehicles have been prime candidates for near-term AM adoption ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
  • 14. 14icfi.com/aviation | Additive manufacturing is just beginning to improve aftermarket support to operators RAF Tornado • BAE producing protective covers for cockpit radios and guards for power take-off shafts to sustain RAF Tornados via AM • Parts first flew in December 2013 • These AM parts could cut RAF’s maintenance costs by $1.9M over four years Air Transat A310 • In February 2014 the first AM component – a small plastic crew seat panel – flew on an Airbus customer jetliner • The aircraft was an A310 operators by Air Transat • Like most aircraft OEMs, Airbus is working towards “on demand” spare parts Sources: Daily Mail, Airbus ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
  • 15. 15icfi.com/aviation | A class of repairs have historically been additive ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER Rebuilt turbine blade tip As deposited DMD turbine blade tip Turbine blade squealer tip is built up using DMD Repair of Turbine Components Using Direct Metal Deposition (DMD) Source: DM3D, MT Additive DMD includes a patented closed loop feedback control of the deposition process
  • 16. 16icfi.com/aviation | Disruptive technologies in the long-cycle aerospace industry take time to develop as evidenced by composites ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER Composites Penetration In Aerostructures Sources: ICF International analysis, Boeing, Airbus, secondary research 20 years 40 years % structural weight
  • 17. 17icfi.com/aviation | Roughly $250M out of $150B global aerospace output is additive $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 Pessimistic Optimistic • Uncertainties reflect the embryonic stage of AM development • Just a few high-volume parts in production have the potential to greatly increase total market size • Early adoption will be in applications with lower certification barriers • Adoption of composites offers a good learning experience Source: ICF International analysis, interviews, Wohler’s, Credit Suisse Market size includes machine sales and parts production $M USD Additive manufacturing aerospace market projections vary wildly ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING PRIMER
  • 18. 18icfi.com/aviation | Agenda Introductions An Additive Manufacturing Primer AMB Focus is Aerospace Production AMB Preview
  • 19. 19icfi.com/aviation | Ultimately, AM parts will have to buy their way on to the aircraft Source: ICF SH&E analysis, interviews, Projected AM Cost For Complex Titanium Casting AMB FOCUS IS PRODUCTION
  • 20. 20icfi.com/aviation | The AM value chain is evolving and the traditional supply base may not be ready for the impact AMB FOCUS IS PRODUCTION The Additive Manufacturing Value Chain Source: Roland Berger, ICF International research Example Companies • ATI • Carpenter Technology • Special Metals (PCC) • Perryman • RTI • Sciaky • 3D Systems • Arcam • EOS • ExOne • Renishaw • Stratasys • SLM • Altair • Autodesk • Dassault • Witnin labs • Geomagic • Materialise • Netfab • Airbus • Boeing • GE • Pratt & Whitney • MTU • GKN • Service bureaus like Sciaky Powder / Wire Equipment Design SW Process SW Production Software Enablers Hardware
  • 21. 21icfi.com/aviation | Quality assurance and certification Source: ICF SH&E analysis, interviews, AMB FOCUS IS PRODUCTION • Standardization / specs • Material characterization • Machine variables • Resolution, accuracy • Process control 3. Regulatory Approval 1. Technology Readiness 2. Process Repeatability
  • 22. 22icfi.com/aviation | Agenda Introductions An Additive Manufacturing Primer AMB Focus is Aerospace Production AMB Preview
  • 23. 23icfi.com/aviation | Case Studies Presentations AMB PREVIEW Mr. Paul DellaNeve Corporate VP, Business Development Ms. Laura Ely Manager, Additive Manufacturing Mr. Francisco Vega VP, Sales & Marketing Mr. Jesse Boyer Fellow, Additive Manufacturing
  • 24. 24icfi.com/aviation | Material Usage Panel Mr. Art Kracke VP, R&D and Business Development Mr. William Wellock Director, Strategic Customer Development Mr. Dean Hackett Vice President, AM&P AMB PREVIEW
  • 25. 25icfi.com/aviation | Material Usage Panel Themes 1. Emerging developments in materials 2. Price of Powder Metal (PM) and other AM materials 3. Material supply chain evolution in the future 4. Material suppliers influence on process / repeatability challenges 5. Intellectual property issues in AM 6. Industry standards and specs AMB PREVIEW
  • 26. 26icfi.com/aviation | Productivity Panel Mr. Scott Sevcik Manager, A&D Business Development Mr. David Wilckens Director of Business Development, Aerospace Mr. Andrew Snow SVP, EOS North America Dr. Ming Zhou VP, FE Solvers & Optimization AMB PREVIEW
  • 27. 27icfi.com/aviation | Productivity Panel Themes 1. Laydown / build rate improvement 2. Set up / changeover time reduction 3. Post processing reduction 4. Inspection time reduction / In-situ imaging etc. 5. Efficient design / optimization AMB PREVIEW
  • 28. 28icfi.com/aviation | Certification Panel Dr. Michael Gorelik Chief Scientist & Technical Advisor Mr. David Hills Director, Research & Technology Mr. Michael Hayes Technical Lead Engr., AM R&D Mr. Richard Merlino President, ADDAERO AMB PREVIEW
  • 29. 29icfi.com/aviation | Certification Panel Themes 1. Challenges in AM metal part certification 2. Lessons from history 3. Industry standards & specs 4. Safety margins 5. Assembly vs. part certification AMB PREVIEW
  • 30. Thanks and Questions Vivek Saxena Vice President, ICF Aviation Aerospace Operations & Supply Chain Practice +1 734 249 0961 vivek.saxena@icfi.com