Weitere ähnliche Inhalte Mehr von IBMGovernmentCA (20) Kürzlich hochgeladen (20) Innovation Matters - Bernie Meyerson1. Dr. Bernard Meyerson – IBM Fellow, Vice President of Innovation, CHQ
Why Innovation Matters: Big
Data, Data Babies and the
Analytics in Between
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
2. Why Innovate?
“What is the most important capability required for growth?”
Ability to innovate
Ability to allocate the best talent
Ability to manage a global organization
Ability to allocate capital
Ability to manage increasing regulation costs
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Source: McKinsey survey of 9,345 global executives 07
McKinsey Global Survey 2010:
2007
84% of executives say Innovation is extremely or very important to their companies’ growth strategy
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
3. Key Elements of Sustainable Innovation
A short list of Innovation Essentials
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
4. Essential #1; T-Shaped Innovators
Requirement: Deep, Expert-Thinking, with Broad Complex-Communications Skills
Broad across many
Many team-oriented projects completed
(resume: outcomes, accomplishments & awards)
Many disciplines Many systems
(understanding & communications) (understanding & communications)
(analytic thinking & problem solving)
(analytic thinking & problem solving)
Deep in one discipline
Deep in one system
Deep in at least one
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
5. A Call to Alms:-})
Talented techies deserve ‘rock star’ treatment: IBM
BARRIE McKENNA
OTTAWA — The Globe and Mail
Published Tuesday, Nov. 06 2012, 5:53 PM EST
Last updated Tuesday, Nov. 06 2012, 5:55 PM EST
Canada and the United States need to get back to treating – and compensating – their leading
technology creators like “rock stars,” says IBM’s global head of innovation.
“An economy is only as good as its supply of talent,” explained Bernard Meyerson,
International Business Machine Corp.’s vice-president of innovation and relations with
universities. “Physical infrastructure is nice to have, but without good people, you get awful
results.”
Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
6. Outcomes; The “AHA” Moments
Extraordinary Innovators Create Innovations That Matter
1944: 1948: 1956: 1957: 1964: 1966: 1967: 1970: 1971:
Mark 1 SSEC RAMAC FORTRAN System/360 One-Device Fractals Relational Speech
Memory Cell Database Recognition
Nobel Prizes:
1973: 1979: 1980: 1986: 1987: 1990: 1994: 1993: RS/6000 SP
Winchester Thin Film RISC Scanning High Temperature Chemically SIGe 1996,97: Deep Blue
Disk Recording Tunneling Superconductivity Amplified
Heads Microscope Photoresists
2004: 2006: 2008: 2010:
1997: 1998: 1998:
2002: Blue Gene 5-stage Carbon World’s First Petaflop Watson
Copper Silicon-on- Microdrive
Interconnect Insulator Millipede The fastest Nanotube Ring Supercomputer
Wiring supercomputer Oscillator
in the world
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
7. Valuing Continuous Innovation;
Beyond The “AHA!” Moment
Never Undervalue Ongoing Innovation
Disk Drives
–If IBM had not continued to innovate in this
field, today’s laptops would weigh
approximately 250,000 Tons
x2
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
8. Essential #2: Innovators Need INFRASTRUCTURE
Enabling Collaborative Innovation (Outreach Matters)
Pangoo
China
Zurich Tokyo
Almaden Watson Haifa
Austin India
Brazil
IBM Research Lab
Global, Smarter Planet Collaborations
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
9. Essential #3: Dynamics: Innovators Must Evolve
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
Corporate Collaborative Work on client Create business Collaborative
funded Team problems advantage for clients partnerships
Shared agenda Industry-focused Emerging markets
Technology
Effectiveness research
transfer
Global
Collaborative Collaboration
Innovation
Research in the
Marketplace
Joint Programs
Centrally Funded
Inter-disciplinary collaboration in the market and across the globe
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
10. The Extraordinary Trajectory;
A Quick Review of How We Got “Here”,
And
Why Innovation Must Now Accelerate
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
11. Moore’s Law – Connecting Scaling and Economics
Number of devices integrated on a chip of fixed area doubles
every 12-18 months
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
12. Scaling in the Past vs. Scaling Now
1.40 Channel Scaling
High-k / Metal Gate
1.35 Body Controlled Devices
1.30 Reduced Gate Height
Relative Performance
Advanced BEOL Dielectric
1.25
1.20
1.15 Scaling In The Past…
1.10
1.05 Higher Capacitance
1.00
0.95 Higher Resistance
0.90
0.85
New Scaling Requirements;
0.80 Reduced Stress
Massive Innovation
Scaling Now
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
13. Materials Innovation
Elements Employed in Silicon Technology
Before 90’s
90’s through 2005
Beyond 2006
This has gotten unimaginably EXPENSIVE!!!
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
14. Issue First Raised in 2004;
Is There a Sustainable Business Model?
Chip Making R&D Versus Revenues
(Worldwide in Permission, VLSI inc.
~$2.3B
6
With $M)
10
Reminder; The industry trend has been 5
10
for R&D Expenses to outpace revenues Estimated cost to develop the
1022-nm CMOS logic process
4
2004-2020 Projected CAGR 1,800
3
Revenues ~ 6.5% 1,600 10
R&D ~ 12.2%
$1.1B
extrapolated
2
1,400 10
Process development Process ramp-up
R&D Revenue 1,200 1
Expenses Growth 10 Total RD & E (Chip + Eq)
Costs ($M)
12.2% 6.5%
1,000 Semiconductor Revenues
0
2004 - 2010 CAGR 10
800 70
This was/is NOT sustainable 600
60
400
50
Revenue/RD&E
Fiscal reality drove our industry to 200
40
consolidate around Innovation 0
30
180nm 130nm 90nm 65nm 45nm 32nm 22nm
Networks. Source: IBS Global System IC Service Management Report, April 2006.
20
10
The predicted consolidation continues
virtually unabated. 3002 NO
0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Year
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
15. Information Technology in the “Post-Silicon” Era
The “Silicon Era” is rapidly(~10 years) coming to an end.
– While silicon will be the semiconductor of choice for several decades to come,
devices themselves will play a minimal role in driving future IT performance.
– Deep integration of hardware, software, system, and network functionality, will
absorb the “slack” created by the absence of raw silicon performance gains.
– Viable “post-silicon” technology requires >1B simultaneously functional devices
The tremendous investments associated with the
innovations required to continue driving device density will
prompt ever greater consolidation in this industry.
Despite all the challenges cited here, Innovation in
Information Technology will drive ever more rapid
advances in its capabilities
Dr. Bernard S. Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2010 IBM Corporation
16. New Drivers of Progress in
Information Technology
Dr. Bernard S. Meyerson , October, 2012
2012 Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
17. A New Paradigm For Systems
Switching
Storage Memory
Scale In
Processor
Dr. Bernard S. Meyerson , October, 2012 Collaborative Innovation
18. IBM Canada Research and Development Centre
Water Brain
Applied Research +
Innovation Centre
HPC & Agile
Cities Computing
Energy
18 Collaborative Innovation
19. The IBM Canada R&D Centre Mission
Announced April 10, 2012
Focus on Agile Computing and Smarter Infrastructure
–Agile computing enabling Smarter;
• Healthcare
• Water
• Energy
• Cities
High Performance Computing Infrastructure Partners
–University of Toronto
–Western University
–Canadian Leadership Data Centre
Collaboration is foundational and key to success
–Seven University partners
–Ontario Centre of Excellence (OCE) to enable industry
participation
–Federal and provincial government engagements
–IBM Research and Lab support
–Cross discipline and cross-university collaboration
19 Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
20. Collaboration at Work – The Southern Ontario Smart Computing Innovation Platform
Western UofO
IBM Canada
McMaster
UofT
IBM Canada
Software Lab
Waterloo R&D Centre Queen’s
HPC & Cloud
UOIT Others Infrastructure
Small & Medium Enterprises
Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
22. Announced today @ 10:30am, EST
University Partnership on Analytics Skills
Develop and implement a model of cooperation that:
a) Enhances education, training and research collaboration in the areas of Analytics between IBM
and Post-Secondary educational institutions in Nova Scotia and the Atlantic Canada region,
b) Increases the number of individuals with education, training, experience and certification in
Analytics throughout Nova Scotia and the Atlantic Canada region, and
c) Engages Nova Scotia’s post-secondary educational institutions as key partners in research and
development for the creation of essential skills and applications in Analytics.
Specific actions and investment to facilitate three pillars of partnership:
Curriculum Technology
Research &
Development Installation &
Development
& Delivery Support
Led by Post-Secondary IBM donation of HW (SUR Forward looking, building
institutions, building on Grant) and SW (Academic on the critical mass of
existing programs, Initiative) to develop a skills, technology
materials and case provincial cloud to support infrastructure and
studies curriculum deployment additional industrial /
and skills development government partners
22 Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
23. How Do We Focus IT Innovation
In This New Era?
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
24. The Grand Challenges
In 2008 We Asked The IBM Community To Identify
Global, Societal, Grand Challenges
Innovation Jam 2008-Crowd Sourcing the Future
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
25. Global Challenge: Food
Eliminating the millions of tons of
food thrown away annually in
the US and UK could lift more
than a billion people
out of hunger worldwide
Image Source: Sun
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
26. Global Challenge:
Transportation
Today there are
1 Billion cars on the
road. That number will
double in 2020
Congested roadways
cost $78 Billion
annually in the form of
4.2 Billion lost
working hours and
2.9 billion gallons of
wasted gas.
Collaborative Innovation © IBM Corporation
Dr. Bernard S. Meyerson
27. Global Challenge: Healthcare
$475 Billion
Estimated U.S. healthcare spending each year on administrative
and clinical waste, fraud and abuse and other waste.1
1.5 Million
Errors in the way medications are prescribed, delivered and
taken harm 1.5 million people in the U.S. every year.2
Collaborative Innovation © IBM Corporation
Dr. Bernard S. Meyerson
28. Our Thesis:
These Problems Result in Large Part From
Our Inability to Utilize VAST AMOUNTS OF
INFORMATION Effectively
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
29. “Big” Data Is REALLY BIG
“Every two days now we create as
much information as we did from the
dawn of civilization up until 2003.”
~ Eric Schmidt, CEO Google
29 Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
30. “Data is the New Oil”
In its raw form, oil has little value.
Once processed & refined, it helps
power the world.
30 Dr. Bernard S. Meyerson , October, 2012Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012
Collaborative Ann Winbald,
© 2011 IBM Corporation
Co-founder Hummer
Winbald Venture Capital
31. To Understand and Effectively Utilize
Big Data
We Need a New Suite of Tools:
Analytics
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
32. Why Analytics?
“Looks like you have all the data, what’s the holdup?”
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
33. -The Outcome of Innovation Jam 2008-
We Believe It Is The Responsibility of Those Who
Create and Deploy Such Advanced Information
Technology To Step Up and Create a “Smarter Planet”
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
34. The Concept of a Smarter Planet
Is Solutions for Society
Smart Traffic Intelligent Smart Food Smart Smart Energy Smart Retail
Systems Oil field Systems Healthcare Grids
technologies
Smart Water Smart Supply Smart Smart Smart Smart Cities
Management Chains Countries Weather Regions
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
35. Why Begin With Issues of a Smarter City?
Consider Future Population Demographics
7000
6000
Population (millions)
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Urban Population Rural Population
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
36. Ensuring a Future:
-Smarter Healthcare-
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
37. Big Data & Predictive Analytics in Healthcare
Toronto Hospital for Sick Children
Sources
Predict Baby Crashing
~24 hrs
Files, TCP
Sockets
Correlating blood oxygenation with blood pressure to predict “Baby crashing”
Nosocomial Infection Prediction
Monitoring heart rate variability with other information to predict sepsis
Alarms up to 24 hours earlier than by experienced ICU Nurses
Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
38. One Element of a Smarter City:
-Smarter Transportation-
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
39. The Smart Principle: Integrating real-world data with
analytics allows one to be Proactive vs Reactive
Operational/ Transactional Insights System wide control
Road Usage
Optimization,
GHG emission
models
• Toll collection only -
Operational/ • More granular • Dynamic and
Transactional
disconnected charging, by location congestion based
operational data pricing
• Analysis of traffic
Development
• Transaction data from patterns to manage • Route planning and
Business
the management of city congestion. advice, shippers,
payments concrete haulers,
• Modeling traffic to
limo companies,
• Little automated use predict and manage
theatres, taxis etc
is made of real-time entire system
traffic data • City-wide, dynamic
traffic optimization
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
40. Smarter Transportation: Predicting Traffic Flow
•10 minute-ahead volume forecast (blue) vs. actual •10 minute-ahead speed forecast (blue) vs. actual
value (black) value (black).
Data Analytics in Action
Singaporeans now get there Faster, Cheaper, and Greener
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation
43. The Intelligent Operations Center, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
The Challenge; Evolve from Reactive to Proactive Operations
History; Flooding in 2010 resulted in 110 deaths.
Proactive emergency response is crucial
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
46. “Big Data’s” Impact on Public Safety:
Example; Blue CRUSH in Memphis, TN & Richmond, VA
Memphis Blue CRUSH Map
Blue CRUSH predictive analysis for officer deployment & risk management generated
easy-to-read crime maps every four hours
Richmond, VA: Violent crime decreased in the first year by 32%, another 40% thereafter,
moving Richmond from #5 on the list of the most dangerous US cities to #99
Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
47. Big Data in Big Business
-”Impact” Takes on a Whole New
Meaning-
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation © 2011 IBM Corporation
48. Collaborative Innovation: Statoil & IBM
Operational process optimization and
equipment monitoring
Accelerated production and increased
reserves, in addition to standardization and
automation of work processes, OLF
estimated value of US$50 Billion over five
years (ref. Norwegian Oil Industry Association [OLF])
Environmental Factors
Collaborative Innovation © IBM Corporation
Dr. Bernard S. Meyerson
49. Cyber; The Next Battleground for Analytics
http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/americas/united-states/121012/panetta-us-cyber-security-threat-pre-911-moment
49 Collaborative Innovation © 2010 IBM Corporation
50. The New Realities of Innovation
The Innovators of tomorrow require a new mix of
skills to manage complex systems of systems
producing BIG DATA.
Data Analytics can extract unprecedented insights
from BIG DATA, and within a decade will become as
common a “tool” as the pocket calculator.
We, the Information Technology industry, and our
partners in its use, have a responsibility to enable
solutions for a Smarter Planet, with all the societal
benefits that entails.
Dr. Bernard Meyerson Collaborative Innovation , Nov. 8, 2012 © 2011 IBM Corporation