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AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
22For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
 Executive Summary………………………..... 3
 Advantage India……………………………… 4
 Market Overview and Trends……………….. 5
 Growth Drivers……………………………….. 15
 Success Stories: Green Revolution, Rallis India………… 32
 Opportunities………………………………….. 36
 Useful Information……………………………. 40
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
33For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2nd largest
agricultural land
• At 179.9 million hectares, India holds the second largest agricultural land in the world.
Favourable climatic
conditions
• With 20 agri-climatic regions, all 15 major climates in the world exist in India. The country
also possesses 46 of the 60 soil types in the world.
Record production of
food grains
• Total food grains production in India reached an all-time high of 259.32 million tonnes
in FY12. Rice and wheat production in the country stood at 105.3 and 94.9 million tonnes,
respectively.
Largest producer of
major agricultural and
horticulture crops
• India is the largest producer of pulses, milk, tea, cashew and jute; and the second largest
producer of wheat, rice, fruits and vegetables, sugarcane, cotton and oilseeds.
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Kotak Securities, Aranca Research
Increasing farm
mechanisation
• India is one of the largest manufacturers of various farm equipments like tractors,
harvesters and tillers. India manufactures one-third of tractors in the world; the number of
tractors in the country is estimated to reach 16 million by 2030 from 4 million in 2012.
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
44
• The engineering sector is
delicensed; 100 per cent FDI is
allowed in the sector
• Due to policy support, there was
cumulative FDI of USD14.0 billion
into the sector over April 2000 –
February 2012, making up 8.6 per
cent of total FDI into the country in
that period
Growing demand
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ADVANTAGE INDIA
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, World Bank, FAOSTAT, Aranca Research
Robust demand
• A large population is the key driver
of demand for agricultural
products
• Rising urban and rural incomes
have also aided demand growth
• External demand has also been
growing especially from key
markets like the Middle East
Attractive opportunities
• Increasing demand for agricultural
inputs such as hybrid seeds and
fertilisers
• Promising opportunities in storage
facilities; potential storage
capacity expansion of 35 million
tonnes under the 12th Five Year
Plan
Policy support
• Government is increasing Minimum
Support Prices (MSPs) to ensure
higher crop production
• Schemes like Rashtriya Krishi Vikas
Yojana (RKVY) incentivises states
to increase private investment in
agriculture and allied sectors
• Launched National Food Security
Mission (NFSM) to increase
production of rice, wheat and pulses
Competitive advantages
• High proportion of agricultural land
(54.7 per cent or 179.9 million
hectares)
• Leading producer of jute, pulses;
second-largest producer of wheat,
paddy, fruits and vegetables
1960–61
Food grain
production:
69.3 million
tonnes
2011–12
Food grain
production:
259.3
million
tonnes
Advantage
India
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
55For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
EVOLUTION OF AGRICULTURE IN INDIA
Source: RBI, Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
Notes: NFSM - National Food Security Mission,
MNC - Multi National Company, MT - Metric Tonne, P.A. - Per Annum
• Stagnation in
agriculture
• Low growth in crop
and grain production
(0.4 and 0.1 per cent
p.a.)
• Food grain production
of 59.2 mt in 1952–53,
with a yield of 579.8
kg/ha
• Pioneering work of
agricultural scientists
and efforts of farmers
led to Green Revolution
• High Yield Variety
(HYV) of seeds,
increased use of
fertilizers and irrigation
resulted in a significant
spike in production
• Attained food security
and reduced import of
food grains
• Expanding cereal
production
• Economic reforms
introduced; greater
encouragement to
exports
• Surplus of production
of agricultural
commodities over
domestic demand
• India emerges as a net
exporter of agricultural
products
• Increase in population
and strong income
growth
• MNC players brought in
better technology
• Rise in institutional credit
for agriculture
• Government launched
NFSM to increase
production of commodities
• Schemes like National
Horticulture Mission
(NHM) and Bringing
Green Revolution in
Eastern India (BREI)
helped achieve record
production
• Commodity exchanges
helped in fair pricing of
commodities
1950s
1960-80
1980-2000
2000 onwards
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
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GROWTH IN AGRICULTURE … (1/2)
GDP of agriculture and allied sectors in India reached USD
151.8 billion in FY12
According to the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), the
agriculture and allied sector grew 2.8 per cent in FY12
Agriculture is the primary source of livelihood for about 58
per cent of India’s population
GDP by value added – size of agriculture and allied
activities (USD billion)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
129.0
136.5 136.6
138.0
147.7
151.8
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Note: GDP – Gross Domestic Product
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
CAGR: 3.3%
77For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Gross Capital Formation in agriculture and allied
activities (USD billion)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
At USD30.5 billion, agriculture accounted for 6.8 per cent of
total Gross Capital Formation in FY12
Under the FY14 Union Budget, planned outlay for various
schemes under the Department of Agriculture and
Cooperation (DAC) has been fixed at USD11.8 billion
Allocation to the Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana (RKVY) in
the FY14 budget has been increased to USD2.1 billion, a
rise of about 9 per cent from the previous financial year
Note: RKVY is a central government scheme providing funds to state
governments to spend on agriculture
19.2
22.0
26.5 27.3 27.3
30.5
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
AGRICULTURE
GROWTH IN AGRICULTURE … (2/2)
AUGUST 2013
CAGR: 9.7%
88
121.0 118.1 104.0 121.1 131.3
109.8 116.3
114.2
123.6
128.1
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Kharif Rabi
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Production of food grains (million tonnes) in Kharif
and Rabi seasons
Source: Finance Ministry, Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
Note: E - Second Advanced Estimates for FY12
There are two major agricultural seasons in India: Kharif
and Rabi
Kharif season lasts from April to September (summer); rice
(paddy) is the season’s main crop
Rabi season lasts from October to March (winter); wheat is
the season’s main crop
Total food grains production in India reached an all-time
high of 259.32 million tonnes in FY12
CAGR:2.9%
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
MAJOR SEASONS: KHARIF AND RABI … (1/2)
99For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Area sown in FY12* (lakh hectares)
Rabi Kharif
289
140
83
37
13
39
Wheat
Pulses
Oil seeds
Jowar
Maize
Rice
405
169
115
122
91
74
Paddy
Oilseeds
Pulses
Cotton
Bajra
Maize
Source: Finance Ministry, Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
Note: * Second Advanced Estimates for FY12
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
MAJOR SEASONS: KHARIF AND RABI … (2/2)
1010For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
PRODUCTION OF RICE AND WHEAT ON THE RISE
Production and yields of wheat and rice
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
During the last five years, production as well as yields of
both major crops - rice and wheat - increased significantly
Production of wheat and rice reached an all-time high in
FY12. Production of wheat reached 94.9 million tonnes, an
YoY increase of 9.2 per cent. Production of rice, on the
other hand, rose to 105.3 million tonnes, an YoY growth of
9.7 per cent
78.6 80.7 80.8
86.9
94.996.7
99.2
89.1
96
105.3
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
60
80
100
120
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Production of Wheat (million tonnes)
Production of Rice (million tonnes)
Yield of wheat (tonnes/ hectare) - RHS
Yield of rice (tonnes/ hectare)- RHS
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
1111For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
FRUIT AND VEGETABLE PRODUCTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE
Indian horticulture area and production
Source: National Horticulture Board , Assorted Articles, FAO Stat, Aranca Research
Note FY13* - Estimates, ** - CAGR Mentioned is for Production
India ranks 2nd in global production of fruits and vegetables, and is the largest producer of mango and banana, and has the
highest productivity of grapes in the world
National Horticulture Mission, National Horticulture Board, Technology Mission for Integrated Development of Horticulture in
North-East are some of the initiatives taken by the Government of India to boost the horticulture sector in the country
India’s horticulture production rose at a CAGR of 6.4 per cent during FY05-12
Fruit and vegetable production of top four countries
(2011)
166.9
182.8
191.8
211.2 214.7
223.1
240.5
257.3
265.9
10
15
20
25
150
200
250
300
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13*
Production (million tonnes) Area (million hectares)
122.2
74.9
25.4
16.9
473.1
146.6
35.3 13.5
China India USA Italy
Fruits (million tonnes) Vegetables (million tonnes)
AGRICULTURE
CAGR**:6.0%
AUGUST 2013
1212For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
SURGE IN DEMAND OF INDIAN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS … (1/2)
Agricultural exports from India (USD billion)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, World Trade Organisation,
Aranca Research
CAGR - Compound annual growth rate
India is among the 10 leading exporters of agricultural
products in the world; the country accounted for 2.07 per
cent of global agricultural trade in 2012
Total agricultural exports from India expanded at a CAGR of
25.2 per cent (to USD39 billion) over FY07-12
12.7
18.4 17.5 17.7
24.4
39.0
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
CAGR:25.2%
1313For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
SURGE IN DEMAND OF INDIAN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS … (2/2)
Key agricultural and allied sector exports
from India in FY12 (USD billion)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, APEDA, Aranca Research
India exported rice worth USD5.0 billion in FY12, accounting for nearly 12.8 per cent of total agricultural exports
Cotton and Guargum meal were the next largest export items in terms of value; they accounted for 11.5 per cent and 8.7
per cent, respectively, of total agricultural exports in FY12
Guargum emerged as major export commodity; the value of exports rose at a staggering CAGR of 334.6 per cent over
FY10-12
Exports of guargum meal (USD billion)
5.0 4.5
3.4 2.9 2.7
2.5
1.8
0.9 0.9 0.7
125.5
300.1
553.3
160.3
480.9
3,028.6
FY10 FY11 FY12
Quantity (000' tonnes) Value (USD millions)
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
1414For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
KEY AGRICULTURAL STATES AND THEIR CONTRIBUTIONS
Karnataka – largest
producer of maize
(4.09 million tonnes)
West Bengal – largest
producer of rice
(14.85 million tonnes)
Uttar Pradesh – largest
producer of wheat
(30.29 million tonnes)
Gujarat – largest
producer of cotton
(12.00 million bales)
Madhya Pradesh – largest
producer of pulses
(4.16 million tonnes)
Punjab and Haryana were the key
states of green revolution and
continue to be large producers of
food grains
Assam is India’s largest
producer of tea
Source: Department of Agriculture & Cooperation, Economic Survey FY13;
Note: All figures as of 2011-12
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
1515
GROWTH DRIVERS OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE
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Growth
drivers
Demand-side
drivers
Policy
support
Supply-side
drivers
• Hybrid and genetically
modified seeds
• Mechanisation
• Irrigational facilities
• Green Revolution in
Eastern India
• Growing institutional
credit
• Increasing MSPs
• Introduction of new
schemes
• Opening up of exports of
wheat and rice
• Population and income
growth
• Increasing exports
• Favourable
demographics
AGRICULTURE
Notes: MSP - Minimum Support Price
AUGUST 2013
1616For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
A LARGE POPULATION ENSURES HIGH DEMAND FOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
Population of India (million)
Source: Census of India 2011, Asian Development Bank
Aranca Research
India, the second-most populated country in the world, has
to meet food consumption needs of around 1,210 million
people
This is a key demand driver of agricultural growth in the
country
India’s consumption expenditure is likely to reach USD3.6
trillion by 2020, up from an estimated USD1.0 trillion in 2010
548
683
846
1,029
1,210
FY71 FY81 FY91 FY01 FY11
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
1717For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
INCOME GROWTH ALSO DRIVING AGRICULTURE DEMAND
Per capita income at factor cost (USD)
Source: Central Statistical Organisation, Aranca Research
Note : FY13* - Estimates for FY13
Domestic demand for agricultural and allied products has
not only been rising due to rising population, but also as a
result of greater consumption by a wealthier population
Over FY07-12, India’s per capita income increased at a
CAGR of 14.3 per cent to USD1,270 and is estimated to
reach USD1,432.2 in FY13*
Consumption expenditure in India is likely to reach USD3.6
trillion by 2020, up from an estimated USD1.0 trillion in 2010
Indian agriculture has also benefitted from rising external
demand and the sector’s wider participation in the global
economy
650
746
849
961
1,111
1,270
1,432
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13*
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
CAGR:14.3%
1818For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
GROWING AREA UNDER IRRIGATION … (1/2)
Area under irrigation (million hectares)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
Note: P is Provisional Estimate
India’s irrigation potential has steadily increased over the
years; as of March 2010 it stood at 108.2 million hectares
compared to 81.1 million hectares in FY92
In FY11, aided by central government funding, individual
states generated additional irrigation potential of 0.6 million
hectares under the Accelerated Irrigation Benefit
Programme (AIBP) 38.2
49.8
63.2
76.6
86.4
31.1
38.7
48.0
55.1 63.3
FY71 FY81 FY91 FY01 FY10P
Gross irrigated area Net irrigated area
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
1919For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
GROWING AREA UNDER IRRIGATION … (2/2)
Gross irrigated area under food grains
(‘000 hectares)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
Note: P is Provisional
Gross irrigated area under food grains is estimated to have
grown to 58.6 million hectares in FY10(P)
Of the wide variety of crops in India, rice and wheat are the
most irrigated
With growing investments in irrigation, the dependence on
monsoons has declined considerably over the years
30,117
37,851
44,866
53,609
58,641
FY71 FY81 FY91 FY01 FY10P
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
2020
352,835 346,501 342,836
393,836
545,109
607,658
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
INCREASING MECHANISATION OF FARMING … (1/2)
Number of tractors sold
Source: Department of Agriculture and
Cooperation, State of Indian Agriculture 2012-
13, ICRA
Aranca Research
Note: E – Estimetes
Mechanisation helps in raising farm income by increasing
productivity and limiting post-harvest losses
Growing sales of tractors and tillers in India reflects the
increasing level of mechanisation in farming; over FY07-
12, tractor sales rose at a CAGR of 11.5 per cent
India is the largest manufacturer of tractors in the
world, accounting for about one-third of global production
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
CAGR: 11.5%
2121
24,791
26,135
35,294
38,794
55,000
39,900
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 Apr - Dec 2011
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
INCREASING MECHANISATION OF FARMING … (2/2)
Number of tillers sold
Source: Department of Agriculture and
Cooperation, Aranca Research
Sale of tillers increased at a CAGR of 22 per cent over
FY07-11
The government has set up a number of Farm Machinery
Training and Testing Institutes to train farmers on the
operation and maintenance of agricultural equipment
DAC proposes to initiate National Mission on Agricultural
Mechanisation (NMAM) to spread the benefits of
mechanisation among all levels of farmers especially small
and marginal ones
CAGR: 22.0%
Notes: DAC - Dept. of Agriculture and Cooperation
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
2222
80 82 97 105 175 219
1,268
1,550
1,791
2,158
2,773 2,839
4
7
10
13
16
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Foundation seed production ('000 tonnes)
Certified seed production('000 tonnes) ( RHS)
Breeder seed production ('000 tonnes)
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
GROWING YIELD AND USE OF QUALITY SEEDS … (1/2)
Production of seeds (‘000 tonnes)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
P – Provisional estimate
The size of India’s seed industry was about USD1.6 billion
(estimate) in FY10
There has been strong growth in the use of hybrid seeds
due to their high yield and resistance
Usage of hybrid seeds has been more prevalent in cash
crops than food crops
In FY12, production of certified seeds increased to 2.84
million tonnes from 1.27 million tonnes in FY07
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
2323For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Food grain yields (kg/hectare)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, RBI, Aranca Research
Usage of hybrid seeds has boosted the yield of food grains
to 2,059 kg/ hectare in FY12 from 1,023 kg/ hectare in FY81
The government has been playing a proactive role in
promoting greater use of hybrid seeds; it encourages private
seed companies by providing a subsidy of 25 per cent of the
capital cost subject to a maximum of USD50,000 per unit
1,023
1,380
1,626
1,930
2,059
FY81 FY91 FY01 FY11 FY12
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
GROWING YIELD AND USE OF QUALITY SEEDS … (2/2)
2424For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
INSTITUTIONAL CREDIT TO AGRICULTURE ON A RISE … (1/2)
Institutional credit to agriculture (USD billion)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
Note: * Figures for FY12 are provisional
Institutional credit to the agriculture sector increased at a
CAGR of 17.4 per cent during FY07–12
Farmers are allowed to avail crop loans at an interest of 7
per cent
In FY12, the government increased the interest subvention
for timely repayment of crop loans to 3 per cent from 2 per
cent in FY11
34.7 37.7
47.7
59.5
72.1
76.8
8.9 10.1 9.6 13.2
16.3 18.3
4.3 5.3 5.6
7.3 9.2
11.3
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12*
Commercial Banks Cooperative Banks Regional Rural Banks
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
2525For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
INSTITUTIONAL CREDIT TO AGRICULTURE ON A RISE … (2/2)
Share of institutional credit to agriculture
Source: Annual Report on Agriculture 2010-11,
Aranca Research
Domestic banks (both private and public) are stipulated to
provide almost one-fifth (18 per cent) of their net bank credit
to agriculture
Banks are issuing Kisan Credit Card (KCC) to farmers to
provide timely and adequate credit support; by the end of
Oct, 2011, 107.8 million KCCs were issued to eligible
farmers 39.2%
8.0%
52.6%
15.7%
9.8%
74.5%
Co-operative Banks Regional Rural Banks Commercial Banks
FY01 FY11
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
2626For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
RISING MSPs INCENTIVISE FARMING … (1/2)
MSP of rice (USD per quintal)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
The Indian government increases MSPs regularly to
incentivise farmers to enhance production of crops and
ensure there is adequate supply
The MSP for rice was raised to USD23.0 per quintal in
FY13 from USD22.5 per quintal in FY12 18.5
19.7 20.0
21.9
22.5 23.0
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
Note: MSP is Minimum Support Price
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
CAGR: 10.9%
2727
38.5
43.6
48.5
65.8
66.8
70.9
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
RISING MSPs INCENTIVISE FARMING … (2/2)
MSP of Arhar (USD per quintal)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
Government has increased the MSP of pulses significantly
in the past three years to encourage production and thereby
reduce the supply shortage
MSP for arhar increased USD70.9 per tonnes in FY13 from
USD38.5 per quintal in FY08
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
CAGR: 19.9%
2828For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
FAVOURABLE POLICIES ARE SUPPORTING THE SECTOR GROWTH … (1/2)
National Food Security
Mission (NFSM)
• National Food Security Mission was launched in FY08 with an outlay of USD1.2 billion
during the 11th Five year plan
• It aimed at enhancing the production of rice, wheat and pulses by 10 million tonnes, 8
million tonnes and 2 million tonnes by FY12
Rajiv Krishi
Vikas Yojana (RKVY)
• Rajiv Krishi Vikas Yojana was launched in FY08 with an outlay of USD5.3 billion during
the 11th Five year plan
• RKVY aims at incentivising states to increase outlays for agriculture and allied activities
there by creating an increased focus on agriculture
Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI)
• 100 per cent Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is allowed under automatic route in storage
and ware housing including cold storages
• FDI policy for agriculture was amended to allow 100 per cent FDI under automatic route
for development of seeds
Bringing Green
Revolution in Eastern
India (BGREI)
• Scheme was launched in 2011, under RKVY, to strategically increase in productivity in
Eastern states
• BGREI actively promoted various technological interventions and emphasized on
collaborative work among institutions, officials and farmers
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Union Budget 2011-12, Aranca Research
Note: RKVY - Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
2929For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
FAVOURABLE POLICIES ARE SUPPORTING THE SECTOR GROWTH … (2/2)
Pulses villages
• Government has launched an initiative to spend USD 65.1 million to promote 60,000
‘pulses villages’ in rain fed areas for increasing crop productivity and strengthening market
linkages
Incentivising agricultural
research
• Realising that scientific and technical breakthroughs are critical to increasing agricultural
productivity, the government, in its FY14 budget, allocated USD711.4 million to incentivise
farm research
Regional Rural Bank
Credit Refinance Fund
• The government plans to set up a Regional Rural Bank Credit Refinance Fund with a
capital of USD2.1 billion to enhance the capacity of RRBs to disburse short term crop
loans to small and marginal farmers
• In budget for FY14, the government raised the target for agricultural credit by USD26.04
billion to USD145.8 billion
Bringing Green
Revolution in Eastern
India (BGREI)
• ISOPOM scheme was launched in 2004 to provide flexibility and promote crop
diversification; under ISOPOM, states can utilise the allotted funds to develop a crop of
their choice
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Union Budget 2011-12, Aranca Research
Note: RRB – Regional Rural Bank
ISOPOM - Integrated Scheme of Oilseeds, Pulses, Oil palm and Maize
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
3030
106.3 107.5
111.1
158.5
138.8
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
INCREASING FOCUS ON R&D IN AGRICULTURE
Expenditure on R&D in Agriculture by government
(USD millions)
Source: Indian Council of Agriculture, Ministry of
Agriculture, www.thefreedictionary.com Aranca Research
*Cultivars - A variety of a plant that has been created or selected
intentionally and maintained through cultivation.
Major Achievements in R&D in Agriculture
Over 2,300 high-yielding types and hybrid of crops have
been developed and approved for commercial cultivation
India is the first in the world to develop hybrid cultivars* of
cotton, grain pearl millet, castor and safflower, and second
to develop cultivars of rice and sorghum
High yield varieties of crop have been developed in India;
productivity of banana and potato has increased three-fold
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
CAGR: 11.7%
3131For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
BUDGET FY 14: AGRICULTURE REMAINS PRIORITY
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Union Budget 2013-14, Aranca Research
In the Union Budget FY14, the Government of India allocated USD145.8 billion for agriculture credit, an increase of
USD26.04 billion compared to FY13
Funds allotted to the Agriculture Ministry increased 22 per cent to USD5.63 billion; of this, USD711.4 million is planned for
farm research
Total plan outlay for agriculture in FY14 has been raised to USD3.56 billion from USD2.87 billion in FY13
Under the successful scheme of Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India (BGREI), the government allotted USD 208.3
million to improve agricultural production in Eastern states
Government plans to launch crop diversification programmes in states like Punjab and Haryana, and has allotted USD104.1
million to improve yields
National Food Security Mission, a scheme to bridge yields gap of major crops, has been provided USD468.7 million
Funds for the Integrated Watershed Programme FY14 has been increased from USD0.6 billion to USD1.12 billion
in FY13
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
3232For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
GREEN REVOLUTION: INDIA BECOMES SELF-SUFFICIENT IN FOOD GRAINS
Food grain production (million tonnes)
Source: Handbook of Indian Statistics, Aranca Research
The Green Revolution started around 1965 in India, especially in the states of Haryana and Punjab, to increase the
production of food grains
The movement helped the country to reduce imports and become self-sufficient in food grains
Food grain production more than doubled to 150.4 million tonnes in FY86 from 72.4 million tonnes in FY66
Agricultural infrastructure improved during this period with dependence on monsoons going down due to better irrigation
facilities
72.4
108.4 121.0
129.6
150.4
FY66 FY71 FY76 FY81 FY86
Green
Revolution
Double
cropping
existing
farmland
High
yielding
seeds
Use of
pesticides
and
fertilizers
Expansion
of farming
areas
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
3333
The Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India (BREI) started in 2011, with special focus on the production of rice and
wheat
The government used a cluster-based approach, private sector participation and strategic interventions relating to crop
production, water harvesting and recycling
The movement helped the region to increase productivity of rice, which was previously among the lowest in India
Rice production in Eastern states increased by about 20 per cent to 487.6 lakh tonnes in FY12 from 403.2 lakh tonnes in
FY10
BGREI has increased demand for farm machinery and equipment, and adoption of hybrid rice
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
EXTENDING GREEN REVOLUTION TO EASTERN INDIA
Rice production in Eastern states of India (lakh tonnes)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
403.2
54.8
36.0
41.1
15.4
487.6
74.4
72.0
60.3
34.2
0 100 200 300 400 500
Total for seven
states
Uttar Pradesh (East)
Bihar
Chhattisgarh
Jharkhand
FY12 FY10
AGRICULTURE
Bringing
Green
Revolution
to Eastern
India
Promotion of
high yield
varieties
Involvement
of private
sector
Ground and
rain water
utilisation
Cluster
based
approach
AUGUST 2013
3434For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
RALLIS INDIA: BENEFITTING FROM DEMAND OF AGRICULTURAL INPUTS … (1/2)
Major business segments
Note: PGN - Plant Growth Nutrients
Salient characteristics
• Rallis is a leading player in the agricultural inputs business and one of the largest player in agri chemical business
• Crop protection is the major segment for the company and it plans to expand its presence in seeds and PGN
• As part of the above mentioned plans, Rallis acquired a research-led seeds company ‘Metahelix’ and launched a PGN
product in the name of ‘Ralligold’
• Rallis India has set up Rallis Farm Management services to undertake contract farming
• Rallis Research centre has won the prestigious New Millennium Indian Technological Leadership Initiative award for a
molecule discovery
Crop protection Agri services
Contract farming Seeds and PGN
Rallis
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
3535For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Net sales (USD million)
Source: Company website, Aranca Research
Profit before taxes (USD million)
167.6
182.2 185.4
233.8
260.6
213.8
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 9MFY13
36.4
23.3
32.2
40.4
31.1 28.4
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 9MFY13
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
RALLIS INDIA: BENEFITTING FROM DEMAND OF AGRICULTURAL INPUTS … (2/2)
3636
OPPORTUNITIES
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Farm management services
• New agri business, which
provides inputs such as
seeds, fertilisers along with
providing advice and training
farmers on latest agricultural
practices
• It introduces efficiencies into the
whole gamut of agri practices
• Provides assistance to sell
products at appropriate prices
Agricultural inputs
• Limited arable land against
growing population makes
agricultural inputs crucial
• Huge opportunity exists for agri
input segments like seeds and
plant growth nutrients
• In India, commercial seeds only
account for minor percentage (25
per cent) and huge demand is
expected for quality branded
seeds
Logistics
• The 12th Five Year Plan
estimated a potential storage
capacity expansion of 35 million
tonnes
• Cold storage capacity needs to
grow rapidly from the current
level of 24 million tonnes
• Private warehouse operators are
supported by multiple income
streams, subsidy and available of
credit
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
3737For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
INITIATIVES THAT WILL FURTHER PROP UP THE SECTOR
FDI in multi – brand
retail
• The government has allowed up to 51 per cent FDI in multi-brand retail which will
positively influence agriculture and enable its modernisation even further
• Foreign investors are likely to bring in efficiencies, especially in food supply chains; they
are likely to invest in logistics such as warehouses and cold storages
• Direct procurement from farmers will likely result in higher prices for the farmer and lower
ones for the consumer
National Food Security
Bill
• Under the proposed National Food Security Bill, government guarantees beneficiaries a
prescribed quantity of food grains at heavily-discounted prices
• To meet the demand that could emanate from implementation of the bill, the government
will take measures to raise productivity
• The government is likely to invest more on the storage infrastructure, which will reduce
wastage and thereby lead to lower prices
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
3838
CONTRACT FARMING : CHANGING THE FARM DYNAMICS … (1/2)
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Companies
provide R&D and
agricultural
implements to
farmers
Regular and
timely payments
to farmers and
credit facilities
Reduces the price
risk fluctuations
and saves land
investments for
companies
Lesser logistics
cost for
both, farmers and
companies
Stable and steady
supply of quality
farm output for
companies
Foreign companies practicing contract farming in India
Company State Crop
Cargill India Pvt Ltd
Madhya
Pradesh
Wheat, Maize
and Soya bean
Hindustan Lever Ltd
Madhya
Pradesh
Wheat
ITC - IBD
Madhya
Pradesh
Soybean
Nestle India Ltd Punjab Milk
Pepsi Foods Pvt Ltd Punjab, TN
Chillies,
Groundnut,
seaweed,
Tomato and
Basmati Rice
Source: Company reports, Assorted articles, Aranca Research
AGRICULTURE
Contract
Farming in
India
AUGUST 2013
3939
CONTRACT FARMING : CHANGING THE FARM DYNAMICS … (2/2)
Source: Company Reports, Assorted Articles, Aranca Research
Note: PMG - Plastic Mulch Groundnut
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
• Contract farming agreement
with farmers in Punjab
• PMG technology sourced from
china
Pepsi Co
• Company supported farmers in
R&D and other farm activities
• Farmer started to grow two
crops in one year
Groundnut
• Yields increased to 3-4
tonnes per hectare, much
above national average of 1
tonnes per hectare
Model extended
to other states
• Created procurement centers to
procure Barley in Rajasthan
SAB Miller
• Provide higher-quality certified
seeds and training to 5,600
farmers in Rajasthan
Barley
• Increase in yields from 1.9
tons a hectare to 3.8 tonnes
a hectare within the space of
one year
Others followed
the model
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
4040
INDUSTRY ASSOCIATIONS … (1/2)
Autonomous Bodies
• National Institute of Agricultural Extension Management
Rajendranagar, Hyderabad–500 030, Andhra Pradesh
Phone: 040-24016702 to 706
Fax: 040-24015388
• National Institute of Agricultural Marketing (NIAM)
Bambala, Kota Road
Jaipur–302033, Rajasthan
Phone: 0141-2770027
Fax: 0141-2771938, 2770027
Boards
• Central Insecticides Board and Registration Committee
Machinary Store Building,
N.H.IV Faridabad
Phone: 0129 -2413002
• Coconut Development Board
Kera Bhavan, SRVHS Road, Kochi
Kerala–682011
Phone: 0484-2376265, 2377267, 2376553
Fax: 0484-2377902
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
4141
INDUSTRY ASSOCIATIONS … (2/2)
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
• National Dairy Development Board (NDDB)
PB No 40, Anand–388 001
Phone: 02692-260148/260149/260160
Fax: 02692-260157
• National Horticulture Board (NHB)
Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India
85, Institutional Area, Sector-18
Gurgaon–122015, Haryana
• National Oilseeds and Vegetable Oils Development Board
(NOVOD)
86, Institutional Area, Sector-18
Gurgaon–122015, Haryana
Councils
• Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR)
Krishi Bhavan, New Delhi 110 114
Phone: 91-11-25846010
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
4242
GLOSSARY … (1/2)
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
AIBP: Accelerated Irrigation Benefit Programme
Breeder seeds: Seeds move from germplasm ( research) stage to breeder stage
CAGR: Compound annual growth rate
Certified/quality seeds: Foundation seeds are further multiplied to get certified seeds, which are sold to farmers
FMTTI: Farm Machinery Training and Testing Institutes
Foundation seeds: Breeder seeds are multiplied as foundation seeds
FY: Indian financial year (April to March) – FY12 implies April 2011 to March 2012
KCC: Kisan Credit card
MSP: Minimum Support Prices
NFSM: National Food security mission
NMAM: National Mission on Agricultural Mechanisation
PGN: Plant Growth Nutrients
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
4343
GLOSSARY … (2/2)
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
RKVY: Rashtriya Krushi Vikas Yojana is a central government scheme providing funds to state governments to spend on
agriculture
Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013
4444
Year INR equivalent of one USD
2004-05 44.95
2005-06 44.28
2006-07 45.28
2007-08 40.24
2008-09 45.91
2009-10 47.41
2010-11 45.57
2011-12 47.94
2012-13 54.31
Exchange Rates (Fiscal Year)
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
EXCHANGE RATES
Year INR equivalent of one USD
2005 45.55
2006 44.34
2007 39.45
2008 49.21
2009 46.76
2010 45.32
2011 45.64
2012 54.69
2013 54.45
Exchange Rates (Calendar Year)
AGRICULTURE
Average for the year
AUGUST 2013
4545
India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) engaged Aranca to prepare this presentation and the same has been prepared by
Aranca in consultation with IBEF.
All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is solely and exclusively owned by IBEF. The
same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium
by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in
any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF.
This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this
presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of Aranca and IBEF’s knowledge and belief, the
content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional advice.
Aranca and IBEF neither recommend nor endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in
this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of
any reliance placed on this presentation.
Neither Aranca nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission on
the part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation.
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
DISCLAIMER
AGRICULTURE
AUGUST 2013

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Agriculture Sector Report _ August 2013

  • 1. 11 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
  • 2. 22For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org  Executive Summary………………………..... 3  Advantage India……………………………… 4  Market Overview and Trends……………….. 5  Growth Drivers……………………………….. 15  Success Stories: Green Revolution, Rallis India………… 32  Opportunities………………………………….. 36  Useful Information……………………………. 40 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 3. 33For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2nd largest agricultural land • At 179.9 million hectares, India holds the second largest agricultural land in the world. Favourable climatic conditions • With 20 agri-climatic regions, all 15 major climates in the world exist in India. The country also possesses 46 of the 60 soil types in the world. Record production of food grains • Total food grains production in India reached an all-time high of 259.32 million tonnes in FY12. Rice and wheat production in the country stood at 105.3 and 94.9 million tonnes, respectively. Largest producer of major agricultural and horticulture crops • India is the largest producer of pulses, milk, tea, cashew and jute; and the second largest producer of wheat, rice, fruits and vegetables, sugarcane, cotton and oilseeds. Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Kotak Securities, Aranca Research Increasing farm mechanisation • India is one of the largest manufacturers of various farm equipments like tractors, harvesters and tillers. India manufactures one-third of tractors in the world; the number of tractors in the country is estimated to reach 16 million by 2030 from 4 million in 2012. AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 4. 44 • The engineering sector is delicensed; 100 per cent FDI is allowed in the sector • Due to policy support, there was cumulative FDI of USD14.0 billion into the sector over April 2000 – February 2012, making up 8.6 per cent of total FDI into the country in that period Growing demand For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org ADVANTAGE INDIA Source: Ministry of Agriculture, World Bank, FAOSTAT, Aranca Research Robust demand • A large population is the key driver of demand for agricultural products • Rising urban and rural incomes have also aided demand growth • External demand has also been growing especially from key markets like the Middle East Attractive opportunities • Increasing demand for agricultural inputs such as hybrid seeds and fertilisers • Promising opportunities in storage facilities; potential storage capacity expansion of 35 million tonnes under the 12th Five Year Plan Policy support • Government is increasing Minimum Support Prices (MSPs) to ensure higher crop production • Schemes like Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana (RKVY) incentivises states to increase private investment in agriculture and allied sectors • Launched National Food Security Mission (NFSM) to increase production of rice, wheat and pulses Competitive advantages • High proportion of agricultural land (54.7 per cent or 179.9 million hectares) • Leading producer of jute, pulses; second-largest producer of wheat, paddy, fruits and vegetables 1960–61 Food grain production: 69.3 million tonnes 2011–12 Food grain production: 259.3 million tonnes Advantage India AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 5. 55For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org EVOLUTION OF AGRICULTURE IN INDIA Source: RBI, Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research Notes: NFSM - National Food Security Mission, MNC - Multi National Company, MT - Metric Tonne, P.A. - Per Annum • Stagnation in agriculture • Low growth in crop and grain production (0.4 and 0.1 per cent p.a.) • Food grain production of 59.2 mt in 1952–53, with a yield of 579.8 kg/ha • Pioneering work of agricultural scientists and efforts of farmers led to Green Revolution • High Yield Variety (HYV) of seeds, increased use of fertilizers and irrigation resulted in a significant spike in production • Attained food security and reduced import of food grains • Expanding cereal production • Economic reforms introduced; greater encouragement to exports • Surplus of production of agricultural commodities over domestic demand • India emerges as a net exporter of agricultural products • Increase in population and strong income growth • MNC players brought in better technology • Rise in institutional credit for agriculture • Government launched NFSM to increase production of commodities • Schemes like National Horticulture Mission (NHM) and Bringing Green Revolution in Eastern India (BREI) helped achieve record production • Commodity exchanges helped in fair pricing of commodities 1950s 1960-80 1980-2000 2000 onwards AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 6. 66For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH IN AGRICULTURE … (1/2) GDP of agriculture and allied sectors in India reached USD 151.8 billion in FY12 According to the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), the agriculture and allied sector grew 2.8 per cent in FY12 Agriculture is the primary source of livelihood for about 58 per cent of India’s population GDP by value added – size of agriculture and allied activities (USD billion) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research 129.0 136.5 136.6 138.0 147.7 151.8 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Note: GDP – Gross Domestic Product AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 CAGR: 3.3%
  • 7. 77For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Gross Capital Formation in agriculture and allied activities (USD billion) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research At USD30.5 billion, agriculture accounted for 6.8 per cent of total Gross Capital Formation in FY12 Under the FY14 Union Budget, planned outlay for various schemes under the Department of Agriculture and Cooperation (DAC) has been fixed at USD11.8 billion Allocation to the Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana (RKVY) in the FY14 budget has been increased to USD2.1 billion, a rise of about 9 per cent from the previous financial year Note: RKVY is a central government scheme providing funds to state governments to spend on agriculture 19.2 22.0 26.5 27.3 27.3 30.5 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 AGRICULTURE GROWTH IN AGRICULTURE … (2/2) AUGUST 2013 CAGR: 9.7%
  • 8. 88 121.0 118.1 104.0 121.1 131.3 109.8 116.3 114.2 123.6 128.1 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Kharif Rabi For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Production of food grains (million tonnes) in Kharif and Rabi seasons Source: Finance Ministry, Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research Note: E - Second Advanced Estimates for FY12 There are two major agricultural seasons in India: Kharif and Rabi Kharif season lasts from April to September (summer); rice (paddy) is the season’s main crop Rabi season lasts from October to March (winter); wheat is the season’s main crop Total food grains production in India reached an all-time high of 259.32 million tonnes in FY12 CAGR:2.9% AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 MAJOR SEASONS: KHARIF AND RABI … (1/2)
  • 9. 99For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Area sown in FY12* (lakh hectares) Rabi Kharif 289 140 83 37 13 39 Wheat Pulses Oil seeds Jowar Maize Rice 405 169 115 122 91 74 Paddy Oilseeds Pulses Cotton Bajra Maize Source: Finance Ministry, Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research Note: * Second Advanced Estimates for FY12 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 MAJOR SEASONS: KHARIF AND RABI … (2/2)
  • 10. 1010For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org PRODUCTION OF RICE AND WHEAT ON THE RISE Production and yields of wheat and rice Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research During the last five years, production as well as yields of both major crops - rice and wheat - increased significantly Production of wheat and rice reached an all-time high in FY12. Production of wheat reached 94.9 million tonnes, an YoY increase of 9.2 per cent. Production of rice, on the other hand, rose to 105.3 million tonnes, an YoY growth of 9.7 per cent 78.6 80.7 80.8 86.9 94.996.7 99.2 89.1 96 105.3 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 60 80 100 120 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Production of Wheat (million tonnes) Production of Rice (million tonnes) Yield of wheat (tonnes/ hectare) - RHS Yield of rice (tonnes/ hectare)- RHS AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 11. 1111For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org FRUIT AND VEGETABLE PRODUCTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE Indian horticulture area and production Source: National Horticulture Board , Assorted Articles, FAO Stat, Aranca Research Note FY13* - Estimates, ** - CAGR Mentioned is for Production India ranks 2nd in global production of fruits and vegetables, and is the largest producer of mango and banana, and has the highest productivity of grapes in the world National Horticulture Mission, National Horticulture Board, Technology Mission for Integrated Development of Horticulture in North-East are some of the initiatives taken by the Government of India to boost the horticulture sector in the country India’s horticulture production rose at a CAGR of 6.4 per cent during FY05-12 Fruit and vegetable production of top four countries (2011) 166.9 182.8 191.8 211.2 214.7 223.1 240.5 257.3 265.9 10 15 20 25 150 200 250 300 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13* Production (million tonnes) Area (million hectares) 122.2 74.9 25.4 16.9 473.1 146.6 35.3 13.5 China India USA Italy Fruits (million tonnes) Vegetables (million tonnes) AGRICULTURE CAGR**:6.0% AUGUST 2013
  • 12. 1212For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org SURGE IN DEMAND OF INDIAN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS … (1/2) Agricultural exports from India (USD billion) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, World Trade Organisation, Aranca Research CAGR - Compound annual growth rate India is among the 10 leading exporters of agricultural products in the world; the country accounted for 2.07 per cent of global agricultural trade in 2012 Total agricultural exports from India expanded at a CAGR of 25.2 per cent (to USD39 billion) over FY07-12 12.7 18.4 17.5 17.7 24.4 39.0 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 CAGR:25.2%
  • 13. 1313For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org SURGE IN DEMAND OF INDIAN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS … (2/2) Key agricultural and allied sector exports from India in FY12 (USD billion) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, APEDA, Aranca Research India exported rice worth USD5.0 billion in FY12, accounting for nearly 12.8 per cent of total agricultural exports Cotton and Guargum meal were the next largest export items in terms of value; they accounted for 11.5 per cent and 8.7 per cent, respectively, of total agricultural exports in FY12 Guargum emerged as major export commodity; the value of exports rose at a staggering CAGR of 334.6 per cent over FY10-12 Exports of guargum meal (USD billion) 5.0 4.5 3.4 2.9 2.7 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 125.5 300.1 553.3 160.3 480.9 3,028.6 FY10 FY11 FY12 Quantity (000' tonnes) Value (USD millions) AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 14. 1414For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org KEY AGRICULTURAL STATES AND THEIR CONTRIBUTIONS Karnataka – largest producer of maize (4.09 million tonnes) West Bengal – largest producer of rice (14.85 million tonnes) Uttar Pradesh – largest producer of wheat (30.29 million tonnes) Gujarat – largest producer of cotton (12.00 million bales) Madhya Pradesh – largest producer of pulses (4.16 million tonnes) Punjab and Haryana were the key states of green revolution and continue to be large producers of food grains Assam is India’s largest producer of tea Source: Department of Agriculture & Cooperation, Economic Survey FY13; Note: All figures as of 2011-12 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 15. 1515 GROWTH DRIVERS OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Growth drivers Demand-side drivers Policy support Supply-side drivers • Hybrid and genetically modified seeds • Mechanisation • Irrigational facilities • Green Revolution in Eastern India • Growing institutional credit • Increasing MSPs • Introduction of new schemes • Opening up of exports of wheat and rice • Population and income growth • Increasing exports • Favourable demographics AGRICULTURE Notes: MSP - Minimum Support Price AUGUST 2013
  • 16. 1616For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org A LARGE POPULATION ENSURES HIGH DEMAND FOR AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS Population of India (million) Source: Census of India 2011, Asian Development Bank Aranca Research India, the second-most populated country in the world, has to meet food consumption needs of around 1,210 million people This is a key demand driver of agricultural growth in the country India’s consumption expenditure is likely to reach USD3.6 trillion by 2020, up from an estimated USD1.0 trillion in 2010 548 683 846 1,029 1,210 FY71 FY81 FY91 FY01 FY11 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 17. 1717For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org INCOME GROWTH ALSO DRIVING AGRICULTURE DEMAND Per capita income at factor cost (USD) Source: Central Statistical Organisation, Aranca Research Note : FY13* - Estimates for FY13 Domestic demand for agricultural and allied products has not only been rising due to rising population, but also as a result of greater consumption by a wealthier population Over FY07-12, India’s per capita income increased at a CAGR of 14.3 per cent to USD1,270 and is estimated to reach USD1,432.2 in FY13* Consumption expenditure in India is likely to reach USD3.6 trillion by 2020, up from an estimated USD1.0 trillion in 2010 Indian agriculture has also benefitted from rising external demand and the sector’s wider participation in the global economy 650 746 849 961 1,111 1,270 1,432 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13* AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 CAGR:14.3%
  • 18. 1818For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWING AREA UNDER IRRIGATION … (1/2) Area under irrigation (million hectares) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research Note: P is Provisional Estimate India’s irrigation potential has steadily increased over the years; as of March 2010 it stood at 108.2 million hectares compared to 81.1 million hectares in FY92 In FY11, aided by central government funding, individual states generated additional irrigation potential of 0.6 million hectares under the Accelerated Irrigation Benefit Programme (AIBP) 38.2 49.8 63.2 76.6 86.4 31.1 38.7 48.0 55.1 63.3 FY71 FY81 FY91 FY01 FY10P Gross irrigated area Net irrigated area AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 19. 1919For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWING AREA UNDER IRRIGATION … (2/2) Gross irrigated area under food grains (‘000 hectares) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research Note: P is Provisional Gross irrigated area under food grains is estimated to have grown to 58.6 million hectares in FY10(P) Of the wide variety of crops in India, rice and wheat are the most irrigated With growing investments in irrigation, the dependence on monsoons has declined considerably over the years 30,117 37,851 44,866 53,609 58,641 FY71 FY81 FY91 FY01 FY10P AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 20. 2020 352,835 346,501 342,836 393,836 545,109 607,658 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org INCREASING MECHANISATION OF FARMING … (1/2) Number of tractors sold Source: Department of Agriculture and Cooperation, State of Indian Agriculture 2012- 13, ICRA Aranca Research Note: E – Estimetes Mechanisation helps in raising farm income by increasing productivity and limiting post-harvest losses Growing sales of tractors and tillers in India reflects the increasing level of mechanisation in farming; over FY07- 12, tractor sales rose at a CAGR of 11.5 per cent India is the largest manufacturer of tractors in the world, accounting for about one-third of global production AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 CAGR: 11.5%
  • 21. 2121 24,791 26,135 35,294 38,794 55,000 39,900 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 Apr - Dec 2011 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org INCREASING MECHANISATION OF FARMING … (2/2) Number of tillers sold Source: Department of Agriculture and Cooperation, Aranca Research Sale of tillers increased at a CAGR of 22 per cent over FY07-11 The government has set up a number of Farm Machinery Training and Testing Institutes to train farmers on the operation and maintenance of agricultural equipment DAC proposes to initiate National Mission on Agricultural Mechanisation (NMAM) to spread the benefits of mechanisation among all levels of farmers especially small and marginal ones CAGR: 22.0% Notes: DAC - Dept. of Agriculture and Cooperation AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 22. 2222 80 82 97 105 175 219 1,268 1,550 1,791 2,158 2,773 2,839 4 7 10 13 16 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Foundation seed production ('000 tonnes) Certified seed production('000 tonnes) ( RHS) Breeder seed production ('000 tonnes) For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWING YIELD AND USE OF QUALITY SEEDS … (1/2) Production of seeds (‘000 tonnes) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research P – Provisional estimate The size of India’s seed industry was about USD1.6 billion (estimate) in FY10 There has been strong growth in the use of hybrid seeds due to their high yield and resistance Usage of hybrid seeds has been more prevalent in cash crops than food crops In FY12, production of certified seeds increased to 2.84 million tonnes from 1.27 million tonnes in FY07 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 23. 2323For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Food grain yields (kg/hectare) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, RBI, Aranca Research Usage of hybrid seeds has boosted the yield of food grains to 2,059 kg/ hectare in FY12 from 1,023 kg/ hectare in FY81 The government has been playing a proactive role in promoting greater use of hybrid seeds; it encourages private seed companies by providing a subsidy of 25 per cent of the capital cost subject to a maximum of USD50,000 per unit 1,023 1,380 1,626 1,930 2,059 FY81 FY91 FY01 FY11 FY12 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 GROWING YIELD AND USE OF QUALITY SEEDS … (2/2)
  • 24. 2424For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org INSTITUTIONAL CREDIT TO AGRICULTURE ON A RISE … (1/2) Institutional credit to agriculture (USD billion) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research Note: * Figures for FY12 are provisional Institutional credit to the agriculture sector increased at a CAGR of 17.4 per cent during FY07–12 Farmers are allowed to avail crop loans at an interest of 7 per cent In FY12, the government increased the interest subvention for timely repayment of crop loans to 3 per cent from 2 per cent in FY11 34.7 37.7 47.7 59.5 72.1 76.8 8.9 10.1 9.6 13.2 16.3 18.3 4.3 5.3 5.6 7.3 9.2 11.3 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12* Commercial Banks Cooperative Banks Regional Rural Banks AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 25. 2525For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org INSTITUTIONAL CREDIT TO AGRICULTURE ON A RISE … (2/2) Share of institutional credit to agriculture Source: Annual Report on Agriculture 2010-11, Aranca Research Domestic banks (both private and public) are stipulated to provide almost one-fifth (18 per cent) of their net bank credit to agriculture Banks are issuing Kisan Credit Card (KCC) to farmers to provide timely and adequate credit support; by the end of Oct, 2011, 107.8 million KCCs were issued to eligible farmers 39.2% 8.0% 52.6% 15.7% 9.8% 74.5% Co-operative Banks Regional Rural Banks Commercial Banks FY01 FY11 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 26. 2626For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org RISING MSPs INCENTIVISE FARMING … (1/2) MSP of rice (USD per quintal) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research The Indian government increases MSPs regularly to incentivise farmers to enhance production of crops and ensure there is adequate supply The MSP for rice was raised to USD23.0 per quintal in FY13 from USD22.5 per quintal in FY12 18.5 19.7 20.0 21.9 22.5 23.0 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 Note: MSP is Minimum Support Price AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 CAGR: 10.9%
  • 27. 2727 38.5 43.6 48.5 65.8 66.8 70.9 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org RISING MSPs INCENTIVISE FARMING … (2/2) MSP of Arhar (USD per quintal) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research Government has increased the MSP of pulses significantly in the past three years to encourage production and thereby reduce the supply shortage MSP for arhar increased USD70.9 per tonnes in FY13 from USD38.5 per quintal in FY08 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 CAGR: 19.9%
  • 28. 2828For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org FAVOURABLE POLICIES ARE SUPPORTING THE SECTOR GROWTH … (1/2) National Food Security Mission (NFSM) • National Food Security Mission was launched in FY08 with an outlay of USD1.2 billion during the 11th Five year plan • It aimed at enhancing the production of rice, wheat and pulses by 10 million tonnes, 8 million tonnes and 2 million tonnes by FY12 Rajiv Krishi Vikas Yojana (RKVY) • Rajiv Krishi Vikas Yojana was launched in FY08 with an outlay of USD5.3 billion during the 11th Five year plan • RKVY aims at incentivising states to increase outlays for agriculture and allied activities there by creating an increased focus on agriculture Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) • 100 per cent Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is allowed under automatic route in storage and ware housing including cold storages • FDI policy for agriculture was amended to allow 100 per cent FDI under automatic route for development of seeds Bringing Green Revolution in Eastern India (BGREI) • Scheme was launched in 2011, under RKVY, to strategically increase in productivity in Eastern states • BGREI actively promoted various technological interventions and emphasized on collaborative work among institutions, officials and farmers Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Union Budget 2011-12, Aranca Research Note: RKVY - Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 29. 2929For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org FAVOURABLE POLICIES ARE SUPPORTING THE SECTOR GROWTH … (2/2) Pulses villages • Government has launched an initiative to spend USD 65.1 million to promote 60,000 ‘pulses villages’ in rain fed areas for increasing crop productivity and strengthening market linkages Incentivising agricultural research • Realising that scientific and technical breakthroughs are critical to increasing agricultural productivity, the government, in its FY14 budget, allocated USD711.4 million to incentivise farm research Regional Rural Bank Credit Refinance Fund • The government plans to set up a Regional Rural Bank Credit Refinance Fund with a capital of USD2.1 billion to enhance the capacity of RRBs to disburse short term crop loans to small and marginal farmers • In budget for FY14, the government raised the target for agricultural credit by USD26.04 billion to USD145.8 billion Bringing Green Revolution in Eastern India (BGREI) • ISOPOM scheme was launched in 2004 to provide flexibility and promote crop diversification; under ISOPOM, states can utilise the allotted funds to develop a crop of their choice Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Union Budget 2011-12, Aranca Research Note: RRB – Regional Rural Bank ISOPOM - Integrated Scheme of Oilseeds, Pulses, Oil palm and Maize AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 30. 3030 106.3 107.5 111.1 158.5 138.8 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org INCREASING FOCUS ON R&D IN AGRICULTURE Expenditure on R&D in Agriculture by government (USD millions) Source: Indian Council of Agriculture, Ministry of Agriculture, www.thefreedictionary.com Aranca Research *Cultivars - A variety of a plant that has been created or selected intentionally and maintained through cultivation. Major Achievements in R&D in Agriculture Over 2,300 high-yielding types and hybrid of crops have been developed and approved for commercial cultivation India is the first in the world to develop hybrid cultivars* of cotton, grain pearl millet, castor and safflower, and second to develop cultivars of rice and sorghum High yield varieties of crop have been developed in India; productivity of banana and potato has increased three-fold AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 CAGR: 11.7%
  • 31. 3131For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org BUDGET FY 14: AGRICULTURE REMAINS PRIORITY Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Union Budget 2013-14, Aranca Research In the Union Budget FY14, the Government of India allocated USD145.8 billion for agriculture credit, an increase of USD26.04 billion compared to FY13 Funds allotted to the Agriculture Ministry increased 22 per cent to USD5.63 billion; of this, USD711.4 million is planned for farm research Total plan outlay for agriculture in FY14 has been raised to USD3.56 billion from USD2.87 billion in FY13 Under the successful scheme of Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India (BGREI), the government allotted USD 208.3 million to improve agricultural production in Eastern states Government plans to launch crop diversification programmes in states like Punjab and Haryana, and has allotted USD104.1 million to improve yields National Food Security Mission, a scheme to bridge yields gap of major crops, has been provided USD468.7 million Funds for the Integrated Watershed Programme FY14 has been increased from USD0.6 billion to USD1.12 billion in FY13 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 32. 3232For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GREEN REVOLUTION: INDIA BECOMES SELF-SUFFICIENT IN FOOD GRAINS Food grain production (million tonnes) Source: Handbook of Indian Statistics, Aranca Research The Green Revolution started around 1965 in India, especially in the states of Haryana and Punjab, to increase the production of food grains The movement helped the country to reduce imports and become self-sufficient in food grains Food grain production more than doubled to 150.4 million tonnes in FY86 from 72.4 million tonnes in FY66 Agricultural infrastructure improved during this period with dependence on monsoons going down due to better irrigation facilities 72.4 108.4 121.0 129.6 150.4 FY66 FY71 FY76 FY81 FY86 Green Revolution Double cropping existing farmland High yielding seeds Use of pesticides and fertilizers Expansion of farming areas AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 33. 3333 The Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India (BREI) started in 2011, with special focus on the production of rice and wheat The government used a cluster-based approach, private sector participation and strategic interventions relating to crop production, water harvesting and recycling The movement helped the region to increase productivity of rice, which was previously among the lowest in India Rice production in Eastern states increased by about 20 per cent to 487.6 lakh tonnes in FY12 from 403.2 lakh tonnes in FY10 BGREI has increased demand for farm machinery and equipment, and adoption of hybrid rice For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org EXTENDING GREEN REVOLUTION TO EASTERN INDIA Rice production in Eastern states of India (lakh tonnes) Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research 403.2 54.8 36.0 41.1 15.4 487.6 74.4 72.0 60.3 34.2 0 100 200 300 400 500 Total for seven states Uttar Pradesh (East) Bihar Chhattisgarh Jharkhand FY12 FY10 AGRICULTURE Bringing Green Revolution to Eastern India Promotion of high yield varieties Involvement of private sector Ground and rain water utilisation Cluster based approach AUGUST 2013
  • 34. 3434For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org RALLIS INDIA: BENEFITTING FROM DEMAND OF AGRICULTURAL INPUTS … (1/2) Major business segments Note: PGN - Plant Growth Nutrients Salient characteristics • Rallis is a leading player in the agricultural inputs business and one of the largest player in agri chemical business • Crop protection is the major segment for the company and it plans to expand its presence in seeds and PGN • As part of the above mentioned plans, Rallis acquired a research-led seeds company ‘Metahelix’ and launched a PGN product in the name of ‘Ralligold’ • Rallis India has set up Rallis Farm Management services to undertake contract farming • Rallis Research centre has won the prestigious New Millennium Indian Technological Leadership Initiative award for a molecule discovery Crop protection Agri services Contract farming Seeds and PGN Rallis AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 35. 3535For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Net sales (USD million) Source: Company website, Aranca Research Profit before taxes (USD million) 167.6 182.2 185.4 233.8 260.6 213.8 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 9MFY13 36.4 23.3 32.2 40.4 31.1 28.4 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 9MFY13 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013 RALLIS INDIA: BENEFITTING FROM DEMAND OF AGRICULTURAL INPUTS … (2/2)
  • 36. 3636 OPPORTUNITIES For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Farm management services • New agri business, which provides inputs such as seeds, fertilisers along with providing advice and training farmers on latest agricultural practices • It introduces efficiencies into the whole gamut of agri practices • Provides assistance to sell products at appropriate prices Agricultural inputs • Limited arable land against growing population makes agricultural inputs crucial • Huge opportunity exists for agri input segments like seeds and plant growth nutrients • In India, commercial seeds only account for minor percentage (25 per cent) and huge demand is expected for quality branded seeds Logistics • The 12th Five Year Plan estimated a potential storage capacity expansion of 35 million tonnes • Cold storage capacity needs to grow rapidly from the current level of 24 million tonnes • Private warehouse operators are supported by multiple income streams, subsidy and available of credit Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 37. 3737For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org INITIATIVES THAT WILL FURTHER PROP UP THE SECTOR FDI in multi – brand retail • The government has allowed up to 51 per cent FDI in multi-brand retail which will positively influence agriculture and enable its modernisation even further • Foreign investors are likely to bring in efficiencies, especially in food supply chains; they are likely to invest in logistics such as warehouses and cold storages • Direct procurement from farmers will likely result in higher prices for the farmer and lower ones for the consumer National Food Security Bill • Under the proposed National Food Security Bill, government guarantees beneficiaries a prescribed quantity of food grains at heavily-discounted prices • To meet the demand that could emanate from implementation of the bill, the government will take measures to raise productivity • The government is likely to invest more on the storage infrastructure, which will reduce wastage and thereby lead to lower prices Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Aranca Research AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 38. 3838 CONTRACT FARMING : CHANGING THE FARM DYNAMICS … (1/2) For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Companies provide R&D and agricultural implements to farmers Regular and timely payments to farmers and credit facilities Reduces the price risk fluctuations and saves land investments for companies Lesser logistics cost for both, farmers and companies Stable and steady supply of quality farm output for companies Foreign companies practicing contract farming in India Company State Crop Cargill India Pvt Ltd Madhya Pradesh Wheat, Maize and Soya bean Hindustan Lever Ltd Madhya Pradesh Wheat ITC - IBD Madhya Pradesh Soybean Nestle India Ltd Punjab Milk Pepsi Foods Pvt Ltd Punjab, TN Chillies, Groundnut, seaweed, Tomato and Basmati Rice Source: Company reports, Assorted articles, Aranca Research AGRICULTURE Contract Farming in India AUGUST 2013
  • 39. 3939 CONTRACT FARMING : CHANGING THE FARM DYNAMICS … (2/2) Source: Company Reports, Assorted Articles, Aranca Research Note: PMG - Plastic Mulch Groundnut For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org • Contract farming agreement with farmers in Punjab • PMG technology sourced from china Pepsi Co • Company supported farmers in R&D and other farm activities • Farmer started to grow two crops in one year Groundnut • Yields increased to 3-4 tonnes per hectare, much above national average of 1 tonnes per hectare Model extended to other states • Created procurement centers to procure Barley in Rajasthan SAB Miller • Provide higher-quality certified seeds and training to 5,600 farmers in Rajasthan Barley • Increase in yields from 1.9 tons a hectare to 3.8 tonnes a hectare within the space of one year Others followed the model AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 40. 4040 INDUSTRY ASSOCIATIONS … (1/2) Autonomous Bodies • National Institute of Agricultural Extension Management Rajendranagar, Hyderabad–500 030, Andhra Pradesh Phone: 040-24016702 to 706 Fax: 040-24015388 • National Institute of Agricultural Marketing (NIAM) Bambala, Kota Road Jaipur–302033, Rajasthan Phone: 0141-2770027 Fax: 0141-2771938, 2770027 Boards • Central Insecticides Board and Registration Committee Machinary Store Building, N.H.IV Faridabad Phone: 0129 -2413002 • Coconut Development Board Kera Bhavan, SRVHS Road, Kochi Kerala–682011 Phone: 0484-2376265, 2377267, 2376553 Fax: 0484-2377902 For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 41. 4141 INDUSTRY ASSOCIATIONS … (2/2) For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org • National Dairy Development Board (NDDB) PB No 40, Anand–388 001 Phone: 02692-260148/260149/260160 Fax: 02692-260157 • National Horticulture Board (NHB) Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India 85, Institutional Area, Sector-18 Gurgaon–122015, Haryana • National Oilseeds and Vegetable Oils Development Board (NOVOD) 86, Institutional Area, Sector-18 Gurgaon–122015, Haryana Councils • Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) Krishi Bhavan, New Delhi 110 114 Phone: 91-11-25846010 AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 42. 4242 GLOSSARY … (1/2) For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org AIBP: Accelerated Irrigation Benefit Programme Breeder seeds: Seeds move from germplasm ( research) stage to breeder stage CAGR: Compound annual growth rate Certified/quality seeds: Foundation seeds are further multiplied to get certified seeds, which are sold to farmers FMTTI: Farm Machinery Training and Testing Institutes Foundation seeds: Breeder seeds are multiplied as foundation seeds FY: Indian financial year (April to March) – FY12 implies April 2011 to March 2012 KCC: Kisan Credit card MSP: Minimum Support Prices NFSM: National Food security mission NMAM: National Mission on Agricultural Mechanisation PGN: Plant Growth Nutrients AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 43. 4343 GLOSSARY … (2/2) For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org RKVY: Rashtriya Krushi Vikas Yojana is a central government scheme providing funds to state governments to spend on agriculture Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013
  • 44. 4444 Year INR equivalent of one USD 2004-05 44.95 2005-06 44.28 2006-07 45.28 2007-08 40.24 2008-09 45.91 2009-10 47.41 2010-11 45.57 2011-12 47.94 2012-13 54.31 Exchange Rates (Fiscal Year) For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org EXCHANGE RATES Year INR equivalent of one USD 2005 45.55 2006 44.34 2007 39.45 2008 49.21 2009 46.76 2010 45.32 2011 45.64 2012 54.69 2013 54.45 Exchange Rates (Calendar Year) AGRICULTURE Average for the year AUGUST 2013
  • 45. 4545 India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) engaged Aranca to prepare this presentation and the same has been prepared by Aranca in consultation with IBEF. All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is solely and exclusively owned by IBEF. The same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF. This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of Aranca and IBEF’s knowledge and belief, the content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional advice. Aranca and IBEF neither recommend nor endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of any reliance placed on this presentation. Neither Aranca nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission on the part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation. For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org DISCLAIMER AGRICULTURE AUGUST 2013