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Indian Auto Industry
Facts
• Second Largest two wheeler manufacturer
  in the world
• Largest tractor and three wheeler
  manufacturers in the world
• Fourth largest Commercial vehicle market
  in the world
• Eleventh largest passenger car market in
  the world




Trends                                        Growth Potential
                                              •Can become World’s third largest
• Growth of exports of 33.57 % FY 2011-12.    automobile market in 2030.
• Output of commercial vehicles has grown
  2.8 times compared to the 2.2 times         •By 2016, Automotive sector can DOUBLE its
  increase in passenger cars                  percentage contribution to GDP from current
• For every passenger car turned out, there   levels of 5% (US$50 billion) to 10% ($180
                                              billion).
  are almost 7 two-wheelers produced
The Growth Journey
  Pre 1983             1983-1993                1993-2012
Closed market        Japanisation - GOI-       Delicensing of sector in
                     Suzuki joint venture to   1993
                     form Maruti Udyog         • Global major OEMs
• Growth of market                             start assembly in India
limited by supply    • Joint ventures with     (Toyota, GM, Ford,
                     companies in              Honda, Hyundai)
• Outdated models
                     commercial vehicles and   • Imports allowed from
Players              components                                           Era of
                                               April 2001; alignment of
• Hindustan Motors                                                        globalisation and
                     Players                   duty on components
• Premier                                      and parts to ASEAN         evolution of India
                     • Maruti Udyog            levels                     as a global
• Telco              • Hindustan Motors                                   manufacturing hub
                                               • Implementation of
• Ashok Leyland      • Premier                 VAT
• Mahindra &         • Telco
Mahindra
                     • Ashok Leyland
                     • Mahindra & Mahindra
Automotive Companies in India
Major Indian Companies   Major Multi-national companies
Booming Indian Economy
Key Growth Drivers
Auto Industry Numbers
•   Overall Market
•   Over all Production increased to 14.82 million vehicles in 2010-11 from 11.17
    million vehicles in 2009-10
•   Passenger vehicles increased marginally from 1.95 million from 1.83 million
•   Two-wheelers increased from 9.11 million to 9.51 million

•   Domestic Market
•   Vehicles sold including PV,CV 2W and 3W in 2008-09 was 9.72 million as
    compared to 9.65 million in 2007-08.



•   Exports
•   Sales was 1.53 million units in 2008-09
•   As per the Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2006-2016 total turnover of the
    automotive industry in India would be in the order of US$ 122 billion-159 billion
    in 2016
Category wise numbers
                       Dominated by Motorcycles 80% , Scooters 14% Mopeds 6%

   Two Wheeler         Domestic - 7.25mn units . Hero mocorp.35% & Bajaj 32% share     CAGR – 9.5%
                       Exports 819000 units (07-08) . Bajaj Auto 59% TVS 17% share     CAGR – 41%



                      Dominated by Cars 78% , MUV/SUV 22%
Passenger Vehicles    Domestic – 1.5mn units Maruti-46% Tata-15% Hyundai 14%           CAGR -14.8%
                      Exports - 217000 units (07-08) Maruti 66% Hyundai 24%            CAGR – 26%


                       Dominated by M&HCV – Goods 48% Passenger 38% , Rest by LCV -14%
Commercial Vehicles    Domestic – 487 thousand units , Tata-62% Ashok Leyland -15%     CAGR- 22%
                       Exports – 59 thousand units, Tata 67% Ashok Leyland 12%         CAGR -30.6%


                      Dominated by Passenger Carriers with 64% share , Goods Carrier -36%
  Three Wheeler       Domestic – 365 thousand units , Bajaj -42% Piaggio-41%         CAGR- 10.5%
                      Export – 141 thousand units , Bajaj -97%                       CAGR -44.5%
Production data
The Indian Auto Components
                  Market
•   Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
•   Replacement Parts Production and Distribution : e.g. Air
    filters, oil filers and replacement lights
•   Rubber Fabrication : tyres, hoses, belts etc.
•   Estimated component market size is US$ 8.7 bn
•   The exports of auto components industry has grown at a
    rate of nearly 30 per cent CAGR over the last four years.
Second Hand Automobile Market
•   Used car market demand : 1.4 million cars annually
•   Market Structure :
     – Organized : 10%
     – Unorganized : 90%
           • Vendor Based – 30%
           • Direct Dealings – 70%
•   Certified used car dealers in India are – Maruti TrueValue, Honda Auto Terrace,
    Ford Assured, Toyota U Trust, Hyundai Advantage, Mahindra and Mahindra’s First
    Choice, General Motors - Chevrolet-OK
•   Unorganized market lacks services like -warranties, OEM equipments, insurance
    and taxes
•   Second hand market expected to grow at 12-15 per cent in the next five years to
    touch a robust 2.5 million units and a turnover of Rs 50 thousand crore
•   Estimations are that 50 percent of the used cars sales will be brought under
    organized car market by 2013
Economic Factors

     1 year                    1-5 year                  5-10 years
                            •Investment           in   •Growing         working
•Increased access to        Infrastructure spending    population (441 million
credit and lower interest   can       boost      the   people in 2015/16)
loans                       commercial      vehicles
                            segment.                   •Upward migration of
                                                       household income levels
                                                       (600 million people have
                                                       annual income of more
                                                       than $10,200)
                                                       •Middle class expanding
                                                       by 30 - 40 million every
                                                       year




                       Can propel growth
Economic Factors
     1 year                       1-5 year                    5-10 years
                                                            •Non- availability of
                               •Non-availability of Key     supplier    base    with
•Impact     of    delayed      raw material (like Steel)    demanded       capability
monsoon       (85%     of      at cheap price.              (Quality and Quantity).
normal,        subsequent
impact      on     paddy                                    •Poor    execution     of
cultivation) on rural          •Possible increase of        Infrastructure
demand.                        interest rates (by 2-2.5%    investments.
                               BPLR)       because     of   (Construction          of
                               planned       government     Highways of 16km per
                               borrowing.                   day against the target of
                                                            32 km per day)
                                                            •Increase in crude oil
                                                            price($ 35/barrel to $ 70/
                                                            barrel in 14 months).




                            Can Stunt Growth
Social Factors
                                                   •   A perfect marriage of rise in disposable income
•   Rapid Urbanization of semi urban regions           and demographic dividend (From US$ 556 per
•   Rising aspirational levels. Improvement in         annum US$ 1150 by 2015)
    living standards of middle class
•   Increased spending on Fashion & lifestyle
    comforts.
•   Seeking “Value for money”- consumer behavior
•    Increasing customer emphasis on aesthetics
    and comfort.
Technological Factors
India as a Testing Hub : NATRIP
RATIO ANALYSIS
Key Financial Ratios of maruti suzuki
Key Financial Ratios of Tata Motors
FUTURE GROWTH
     According to the Society of Indian
     Automobile Manufacturers,
     •Annual vehicle sales are
     projected to increase to 5
     million by 2015
     •more than 9 million by 2020.
     •By 2050, India is expected to
     top the world in car volumes
     with approximately 611 million
     vehicles on the nation's roads.
India : A Developing Hub for Compact Cars
 Compact cars account for 70% of the total car market.
 Compact car sales increasing at about 20% each year
 Excise duty on small cars increased from 22% to 24% in the present budget.
 Maruti Suzuki :
                                                             Tata Motors :
  • New car plant to make 2,50,000 cars per
                                                                 Tata Nano became a big success gaining
    annum (total 10,00,000 cars/annum)                           worldwide popularity with Tata planning to
  • total investment worth 6,000 crores.                         increase capacity
 Hyundai :
      Already a big player in the small car segment         Toyota :
   Increase capacity to 600,000 cars per                     • Toyota Kirloskar motors planning to launch
     annum over next 1 year.                                   its own small car in India by 2013
•    plans to hire 877 more workers to add a
     third shift at its Montgomery, Ala. plant               General Motors :
 Nissan :                                                    • New Capacity to manufacture small cars at
  • Micra, UK  India                                         its Talegaon, Maharashtra plant with 80%
                                                              local inputs.
     – Four more models in India, involving       a total       Brought in Spark small car in 2007
       investment of over Rs 2,000 crore.
                                                             Nissan-Renault :
   Ford :                                                            50:50 JV, to make 400,000 cars a year with
                                                                 an investment of over US $ 1 billion.
  • Plans to unveil its new small car with 1.2 ltr                Coming up with the $2500 car to compete with
  engine by 2013                                                 Tata Nano in 2013.
 Honda :
      Investing US $ 250 million in a new plant in          VW :
    Rajasthan with capacity of 60,000 car per                 • Investing 500 million euro to import parts
    year (First car to roll out in 2009).                     from India for next five years
Break through future trends
•India will be a Automotive hub, led by small cars and auto component domains

•Export of automotive components to ASEAN,BRIC,EU and USA for OEMs as well as
Aftermarket

•Booming Automobiles (Particularly cars) second sales and remodeling

•Increased deployment of IT-enabled Automobile support systems like GPS,ABS,ASR and
Safety systems
.


•Quality Certification (Deming, Six Sigma,TQM,TS16949) amongst suppliers have attained
critical mass and the entire market will follow to get quality certifications.

•Will be a hub for optimal cost, high quality vehicular testing and terrain data acquisition
services

•Alternate fuel (Bio fuel, electricity) and environment friendly green engines (Bharat
emission norms)
References
•   www.acmainfo.com
•   www.wikipedia.org
•   www.siamindia.com
•   www.ibef.org
•   Ernst & Young Auto Track
•   www.economywatch.com
•   www.business-standard.com
•   The Economic Times
•   Hindu Business Line
•   www.automobileindia.com
•   automobiles.mapsofindia.com
Automotive industry analysis

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Automotive industry analysis

  • 1.
  • 2. Indian Auto Industry Facts • Second Largest two wheeler manufacturer in the world • Largest tractor and three wheeler manufacturers in the world • Fourth largest Commercial vehicle market in the world • Eleventh largest passenger car market in the world Trends Growth Potential •Can become World’s third largest • Growth of exports of 33.57 % FY 2011-12. automobile market in 2030. • Output of commercial vehicles has grown 2.8 times compared to the 2.2 times •By 2016, Automotive sector can DOUBLE its increase in passenger cars percentage contribution to GDP from current • For every passenger car turned out, there levels of 5% (US$50 billion) to 10% ($180 billion). are almost 7 two-wheelers produced
  • 3. The Growth Journey Pre 1983 1983-1993 1993-2012 Closed market Japanisation - GOI- Delicensing of sector in Suzuki joint venture to 1993 form Maruti Udyog • Global major OEMs • Growth of market start assembly in India limited by supply • Joint ventures with (Toyota, GM, Ford, companies in Honda, Hyundai) • Outdated models commercial vehicles and • Imports allowed from Players components Era of April 2001; alignment of • Hindustan Motors globalisation and Players duty on components • Premier and parts to ASEAN evolution of India • Maruti Udyog levels as a global • Telco • Hindustan Motors manufacturing hub • Implementation of • Ashok Leyland • Premier VAT • Mahindra & • Telco Mahindra • Ashok Leyland • Mahindra & Mahindra
  • 4. Automotive Companies in India Major Indian Companies Major Multi-national companies
  • 7. Auto Industry Numbers • Overall Market • Over all Production increased to 14.82 million vehicles in 2010-11 from 11.17 million vehicles in 2009-10 • Passenger vehicles increased marginally from 1.95 million from 1.83 million • Two-wheelers increased from 9.11 million to 9.51 million • Domestic Market • Vehicles sold including PV,CV 2W and 3W in 2008-09 was 9.72 million as compared to 9.65 million in 2007-08. • Exports • Sales was 1.53 million units in 2008-09 • As per the Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2006-2016 total turnover of the automotive industry in India would be in the order of US$ 122 billion-159 billion in 2016
  • 8. Category wise numbers Dominated by Motorcycles 80% , Scooters 14% Mopeds 6% Two Wheeler Domestic - 7.25mn units . Hero mocorp.35% & Bajaj 32% share CAGR – 9.5% Exports 819000 units (07-08) . Bajaj Auto 59% TVS 17% share CAGR – 41% Dominated by Cars 78% , MUV/SUV 22% Passenger Vehicles Domestic – 1.5mn units Maruti-46% Tata-15% Hyundai 14% CAGR -14.8% Exports - 217000 units (07-08) Maruti 66% Hyundai 24% CAGR – 26% Dominated by M&HCV – Goods 48% Passenger 38% , Rest by LCV -14% Commercial Vehicles Domestic – 487 thousand units , Tata-62% Ashok Leyland -15% CAGR- 22% Exports – 59 thousand units, Tata 67% Ashok Leyland 12% CAGR -30.6% Dominated by Passenger Carriers with 64% share , Goods Carrier -36% Three Wheeler Domestic – 365 thousand units , Bajaj -42% Piaggio-41% CAGR- 10.5% Export – 141 thousand units , Bajaj -97% CAGR -44.5%
  • 10. The Indian Auto Components Market • Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) • Replacement Parts Production and Distribution : e.g. Air filters, oil filers and replacement lights • Rubber Fabrication : tyres, hoses, belts etc. • Estimated component market size is US$ 8.7 bn • The exports of auto components industry has grown at a rate of nearly 30 per cent CAGR over the last four years.
  • 11. Second Hand Automobile Market • Used car market demand : 1.4 million cars annually • Market Structure : – Organized : 10% – Unorganized : 90% • Vendor Based – 30% • Direct Dealings – 70% • Certified used car dealers in India are – Maruti TrueValue, Honda Auto Terrace, Ford Assured, Toyota U Trust, Hyundai Advantage, Mahindra and Mahindra’s First Choice, General Motors - Chevrolet-OK • Unorganized market lacks services like -warranties, OEM equipments, insurance and taxes • Second hand market expected to grow at 12-15 per cent in the next five years to touch a robust 2.5 million units and a turnover of Rs 50 thousand crore • Estimations are that 50 percent of the used cars sales will be brought under organized car market by 2013
  • 12. Economic Factors 1 year 1-5 year 5-10 years •Investment in •Growing working •Increased access to Infrastructure spending population (441 million credit and lower interest can boost the people in 2015/16) loans commercial vehicles segment. •Upward migration of household income levels (600 million people have annual income of more than $10,200) •Middle class expanding by 30 - 40 million every year Can propel growth
  • 13. Economic Factors 1 year 1-5 year 5-10 years •Non- availability of •Non-availability of Key supplier base with •Impact of delayed raw material (like Steel) demanded capability monsoon (85% of at cheap price. (Quality and Quantity). normal, subsequent impact on paddy •Poor execution of cultivation) on rural •Possible increase of Infrastructure demand. interest rates (by 2-2.5% investments. BPLR) because of (Construction of planned government Highways of 16km per borrowing. day against the target of 32 km per day) •Increase in crude oil price($ 35/barrel to $ 70/ barrel in 14 months). Can Stunt Growth
  • 14. Social Factors • A perfect marriage of rise in disposable income • Rapid Urbanization of semi urban regions and demographic dividend (From US$ 556 per • Rising aspirational levels. Improvement in annum US$ 1150 by 2015) living standards of middle class • Increased spending on Fashion & lifestyle comforts. • Seeking “Value for money”- consumer behavior • Increasing customer emphasis on aesthetics and comfort.
  • 16. India as a Testing Hub : NATRIP
  • 18. Key Financial Ratios of maruti suzuki
  • 19. Key Financial Ratios of Tata Motors
  • 20. FUTURE GROWTH According to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers, •Annual vehicle sales are projected to increase to 5 million by 2015 •more than 9 million by 2020. •By 2050, India is expected to top the world in car volumes with approximately 611 million vehicles on the nation's roads.
  • 21. India : A Developing Hub for Compact Cars  Compact cars account for 70% of the total car market.  Compact car sales increasing at about 20% each year  Excise duty on small cars increased from 22% to 24% in the present budget.  Maruti Suzuki :  Tata Motors : • New car plant to make 2,50,000 cars per Tata Nano became a big success gaining annum (total 10,00,000 cars/annum) worldwide popularity with Tata planning to • total investment worth 6,000 crores. increase capacity  Hyundai :  Already a big player in the small car segment  Toyota :  Increase capacity to 600,000 cars per • Toyota Kirloskar motors planning to launch annum over next 1 year. its own small car in India by 2013 • plans to hire 877 more workers to add a third shift at its Montgomery, Ala. plant  General Motors :  Nissan : • New Capacity to manufacture small cars at • Micra, UK  India its Talegaon, Maharashtra plant with 80% local inputs. – Four more models in India, involving a total Brought in Spark small car in 2007 investment of over Rs 2,000 crore.  Nissan-Renault :  Ford :  50:50 JV, to make 400,000 cars a year with an investment of over US $ 1 billion. • Plans to unveil its new small car with 1.2 ltr  Coming up with the $2500 car to compete with engine by 2013 Tata Nano in 2013.  Honda :  Investing US $ 250 million in a new plant in  VW : Rajasthan with capacity of 60,000 car per • Investing 500 million euro to import parts year (First car to roll out in 2009). from India for next five years
  • 22. Break through future trends •India will be a Automotive hub, led by small cars and auto component domains •Export of automotive components to ASEAN,BRIC,EU and USA for OEMs as well as Aftermarket •Booming Automobiles (Particularly cars) second sales and remodeling •Increased deployment of IT-enabled Automobile support systems like GPS,ABS,ASR and Safety systems . •Quality Certification (Deming, Six Sigma,TQM,TS16949) amongst suppliers have attained critical mass and the entire market will follow to get quality certifications. •Will be a hub for optimal cost, high quality vehicular testing and terrain data acquisition services •Alternate fuel (Bio fuel, electricity) and environment friendly green engines (Bharat emission norms)
  • 23. References • www.acmainfo.com • www.wikipedia.org • www.siamindia.com • www.ibef.org • Ernst & Young Auto Track • www.economywatch.com • www.business-standard.com • The Economic Times • Hindu Business Line • www.automobileindia.com • automobiles.mapsofindia.com