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2015 Individual Exchange information, 
last updated November 19, 2014 
The content that follows is based on approved 2015 individual 
exchange offering data from state and federal exchanges, and is current 
as of November 19, 2014. 
We have approved data for all 50 states and D.C., covering 499 rating 
areas and 3,144 counties across the entire U.S. 
Please note: This report does not include off-exchange rates. For 
additional methodological details about how each of the charts was 
calculated, please see the appendix. 
Please contact us at reformcenter@mckinsey.com with any questions. 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across 50 states and D.C.+ Average across 50 states and D.C. 
New entrants 
in 2015 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
silver plan 73% $ 
265 
Maximum decrease Maximum increase 
+43% 
+28% 
+28% 
By the Numbers 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 282 total) 
70 
2015 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Percentage of subsidy-eligible 
population across 50 states and D.C.* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
Ranges across all rating areas in 50 states and D.C. 
1.4x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
26% 
+$169 
-$118 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
-33% 
-29% 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019. 
2015 
2014 
-30%
70 New Entrants 
BY CARRIER TYPE BY EXPERIENCE 
Provider** 
14% 
Medicaid 
11% 
Regional 
/ Local 
9% 
CO-OP 
6% 
Blues 
1% 
*Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
**Includes provider-based entrants offering coverage in other lines of business. 
70 new entrants* in 2015 across the U.S. 
National 
59% 
New to individual 
2014 
exchange 
presence in 
other states 
13% 
insurance 
20% 
Off-exchange 
in state, 
no 2014 
exchange 
presence 
Off-exchange in 
state, 2014 exchange 
presence in other state(s) 
44% 
23% 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 19, 2014. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform
Lowest-price silver net premium change 
Net premium change in 2014 lowest-price silver to 2015 lowest-price silver 
$ PMPY premium change for all QHP-eligible consumers 
SOURCE: Mckinsey Center for US Health Reform; Mckinsey Advanced Healthcare Analytics; data 
from federal and state exchanges as of Novemver, 15 2014. Last updated November 26, 2014. 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform
WA 
Details about 2015 individual exchange filings 
MT 
ID 
UT 
AZ 
CO 
ND 
SD 
MN 
MO 
WI 
VT ME 
MI 
IN 
KY 
TN 
PA 
WV VA 
AL GA 
SC 
LA 
NE 
KS 
OK AR 
HI 
AK 
OR 
IA 
FL 
OH 
NY 
TX 
NV 
CA 
IL 
NH 
MA 
CT 
NJ 
RI 
DE 
MD 
DC 
State by State 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
NM 
NC 
MS 
WY 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Alabama 
02 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+9% 
+9% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
2.5x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-2% 
-2% +9% 
-3% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 91% 
7% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$92 
-$22 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Alaska 
02 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
0.8x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 100% 
0% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$99 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
+28% 
+28% 
+28% 
2015 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Arizona 
08 03 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 10 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2014 
2015 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
0.9x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 7% 
93% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$70 
-$238 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
+4% 
+13% 
-18% 
-21% +10% 
-10% 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 
times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times. Reduction in 
number of existing carriers due to 2 instances of a carrier with 2 filing names in 2014 now filing under 1 name in 2015 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Arkansas 
03 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 3 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Range across rating areas in state 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.5x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 98% 
2% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$119 
-$55 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
2nd lowest-price 
silver 
plans 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
-8% +8% 
-7% 
-9% 
2015 
2014 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
California 
10 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents++ from 
2014 (of 11 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+12% 
+6% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.0x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-2% 
-3% +10% 
-2% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 85% 
14% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$143 
-$52 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
2015 
2014 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
++Reflects withdrawal of one 2014 carrier in November, 2013 income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Colorado 
10 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
-28% +2% 
-29% 
silver plan 58% 
42% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
-30% -$248 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 10 total) 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.1x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver 
plans 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$50 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
NOTE: Due to changes in Colorado rating areas, only plans from the most populated combined 
2014 regions used in comparison with new 2015 regions *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
New entrants 
in 2015 
Maximum decrease Maximum increase 
-19% 
-2% 
-8% 
+$207 
-$21 
Connecticut 
03 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 3 total) 
2015 
2014 More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
Range across rating areas in state 
2.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans +1% 
+3% 
silver plan 96% 
4% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
$ 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
Last updated November 19, 2019. 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times
District of Columbia 
03 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
+9% 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 3 total) 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
0.9x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
+1% 
+5% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-40% 
price silver plan 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
60% 
-$73 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
2015 
Plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+$30 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Delaware 
02 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-3% 
+4% 
+4% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 100% 
0% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$35 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Florida 
11 03 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 11 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2014 
2015 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+40% 
+24% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
0.6x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-29% 
-22% +24% 
-18% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 80% 
17% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$246 
-$90 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Georgia 
05 04 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 5 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Range across rating areas in state 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.9x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
+24% 
+10% 
-21% 
-23% 
-30% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 93% 
6% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$292 
-$99 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
2nd lowest-price 
silver 
plans 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
+23% 
2015 
2014 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Hawaii 
02 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
0.7x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 100% 
0% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$122 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
+14% 
+10% 
+9% 
2015 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Idaho 
04 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states 
is counted 3 times 
2015 
2015 
2014 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+13% 
+9% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.4x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-10% 
-12% +10% 
-12% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 77% 
23% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$173 
-$76 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Illinois 
05 03 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 7 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 
states is counted 3 times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to 2 instances of a carrier 
with 2 filing names in 2014 now filing under 1 name in 2015 
2015 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+19% 
+13% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-3% 
-3% +12% 
-7% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 72% 
28% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$108 
-$89 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
New entrants 
in 2015 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans 
in 3 states is counted 3 times. 
2015 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
-$79 
Indiana 
04 05 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
Range across rating areas in state 
2.0x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-23% +10% 
-25% 
-27% 
silver plan 46% 
53% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
+8% 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+10% 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019. 
+$100
Iowa 
04 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states 
is counted 3 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+13% 
+13% 
+13% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.0x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-18% 
-18% 
-14% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 81% 
19% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$373 
-$119 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
2015 
2014 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Kansas 
04 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states 
is counted 3 times 
2014 
2015 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
0.8x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-11% 
+19% 
-13% +2% 
+11% 
-1% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 7% 
93% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$34 
-$254 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Kentucky 
03 02 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 3 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Range across rating areas in state 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.3x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
-17% +14% 
+18% 
+9% 
-9% 
-19% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 43% 
56% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans 
in 3 states is counted 3 times. 
2015 
2014 
+$783 
-$160 
2nd lowest-price 
silver 
plans 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Louisiana 
05 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 5 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states 
is counted 3 times 
2015 
2015 
2014 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+9% 
+6% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.3x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-3% 
+8% 
-6% 
-2% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 41% 
55% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$207 
-$119 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
+$65 
-$44 
Maine 
02 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans 
in 3 states is counted 3 times. 
2015 
2015 
2014 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.4x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
-7% 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
-3% 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans -4% 
+1% 
silver plan 50% 
48% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family 
size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
+$81 
-$54 
Maryland 
05 02 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 6 total) 
New entrants 
in 2015 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 
states is counted 3 times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to an instance of a carrier 
with multiple filing names in 2014 now filing under 1 name in 2015. 
2015 
2015 
2014 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
Range across rating areas in state 
1.4x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
+14% 
+7% 
+7% 
-22% 
-1% 
-2% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
silver plan 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
49% 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Maximum decrease $Maximum increase 
-1% 51% 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Massachusetts 
09 02 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 10 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.1x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 72% 
28% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$255 
-$213 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
+7% 
+10% 
-3% 
-14% 
-6% 
SOURCE: Individual market exchange information available through state and federal exchanges income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
with active window shopping as of November 13, 2014. Last updated November 14, 2014
Michigan 
10 04 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans 
in 3 states is counted 3 times. 
2015 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+13% 
+15% 
+7% 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 10 total) 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
2.0x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-2% 
-3% 
-6% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 99% 
1% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$283 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $Maximum increase 
-$65 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Minnesota 
04 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 5 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.6x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 85% 
15% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$195 
-$205 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
+43% 
+25% 
+26% 
-2% 
-8% 
-8% 
SOURCE: Individual market exchange information available through state and federal exchanges income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
with active window shopping as of November 13, 2014. Last updated November 14, 2014
Mississippi 
02 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.8x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-33% 
-24% 
-26% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 78% 
21% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$325 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $Maximum increase 
-$105 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
+6% 
2015 
2014 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Missouri 
04 03 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.3x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 52% 
45% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
+18% 
+18% 
+23% 
-6% 
-10% 
-12% 
2015 
2014 
+$70 
-$96 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Montana 
03 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 3 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2015 
2014 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+3% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.5x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-3% 
-8% 
-8% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 78% 
22% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$61 
-$73 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Nebraska 
03 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+13% 
+17% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.0x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans -3% 
+17% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 100% 
0% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$96 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Nevada 
04 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
2015 
2015 
2014 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.3x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans +1% 
+10% 
-18% 
-7% 
-5% 
silver plan 78% 
22% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
+$39 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
-$33 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
New Hampshire 
01 04 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 1 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
3.8x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-17% 
-18% 
-15% 
0% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 100% Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
-$147 
silver plan 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
New Jersey 
03 02 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 3 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.9x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
+2% 
-1% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 100% 
0% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$153 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
New Mexico 
04 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans -12% 
-14% 
-11% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 77% 
23% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$64 
-$170 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
New York 
18 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 19 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Range across rating areas in state 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.1x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
+11% 
+6% 
+13% 
-2% 
-11% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-73% 
price silver plan 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
27% 
-$324 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019. 
+$106
North Carolina 
02 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+16% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.5x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-14% 
-16% 
+21% 
+21% 
-14% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 39% 
60% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$69 
-$78 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
North Dakota 
03 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 3 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+7% 
+8% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-1% 
+7% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 34% 
66% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$66 
-$55 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Ohio 
11 05 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 
times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to 2013 acquisition. 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+13% 
+12% 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 12 total) 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.8x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-22% 
-4% 
-8% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 63% 
37% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$148 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
+17% 
-$53 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Oklahoma 
03 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 6 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2014 
2015 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+22% 
+15% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
0.8x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans -2% 
-7% +11% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 9% 
90% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$71 
-$103 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Oregon 
10 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 11 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Range across rating areas in state 
$ 
Maximum decrease Maximum increase 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.1x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 99% 
1% 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
-$1 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
+10% 
+10% 
+9% 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019. 
+$139
Pennsylvania 
10 03 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 10 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+16% 
+16% 
+16% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-8% 
-1% 
-11% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 83% 
17% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$272 
-$80 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Rhode Island 
02 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
New entrants 
in 2015 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
-5% 
-11% 
-12% 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
Range across rating areas in state 
2.0x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
silver plan 83% 
17% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
-$249 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
Last updated November 19, 2019. 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
+$102
South Carolina 
04 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+3% 
+8% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
2.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-17% 
-6% +5% 
-6% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 35% 
65% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$110 
-$67 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
South Dakota 
03 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 3 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-9% 
-15% 
-15% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 93% 
6% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$103 
-$214 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
+1% 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Tennessee 
04 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
-6% 
-7% 
+10% 
+16% 
+15% 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 4 total) 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.5x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
silver plan 63% 
36% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$60 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
-$18 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
-7% 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Texas 
11 03 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 12 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+26% 
+17% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.5x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-6% +16% 
-4% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 88% 
12% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$162 
-$40 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Utah 
06 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 6 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+10% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-3% 
+14% 
+3% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 92% 
6% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$148 
-$67 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 8 total) 
New entrants 
in 2015 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
2015 
2014 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
-$16 
Virginia 
08 01 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Range across rating areas in state 
1.1x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
+12% 
+8% 
+6% 
-3% 
silver plan 99% 
1% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$73 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Vermont 
02 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
2014 
2015 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
0.9x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans +6% 
+7% 
+8% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 100% 
0% 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
+$153 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 8 total) 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
-9% +4% 
-19% 
-10% 
-$189 
Washington 
08 02 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.6x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
silver plan 35% 
64% 
Will see net premium 
increase in lowest-price 
Will see net premium 
decrease in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$181 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
West Virginia 
01 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+9% 
+9% 
+9% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.2x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 100% 
0% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest- price 
silver plan 
+$60 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 
times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to an instance of a carrier with multiple filing names in 
2014 now filing under 1 name in 2015.. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Wisconsin 
13 02 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 13 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+9% 
+7% 
+8% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
1.3x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
-15% 
-8% 
-10% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 51% 
47% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$125 
-$112 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
Wyoming 
02 00 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 
Incumbents from 
2014 (of 2 total) 
More plans offered 
compared to 2014 
2015 
2014 
+Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times 
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
+10% 
+8% 
Subsidy-eligible population 
across state* 
Weighted average 
annual change* 
New entrants 
in 2015 
2.4x 
Lowest-price 
bronze plans 
Lowest-price 
silver plans 
2nd lowest-price 
silver plans 
+10% 
Will see net 
premium increase 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 100% 
0% 
Will see net 
premium decrease 
in lowest-price 
silver plan 
+$222 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Range across rating areas in state 
Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 
*Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, 
income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. 
SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. 
Last updated November 19, 2019.
EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 
How to read the charts 
2015 
2014 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
Appendix 
CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION 
How to read the charts 00 00 
To understand how carrier participation is changing 
exchange competitive dynamics, we compared the carriers 
competing on the exchanges in 2014 and 2015. 
The carrier count represents the number of unique carriers 
offering products in at least one county within a state. (Not all 
carriers offer products in every county within a state.) Carrier 
count is as it appears to consumers shopping on exchanges. 
Specifically, the count is the number of carriers that offer 
plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is 
counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 
different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times. 
“Incumbents from 2014” represents the number of carriers 
that filed exchange plans in a given state in both 2014 
and 2015. 
“Of XX total” represents the number of 2014 exchange 
carriers in a given state. (If that number is greater than the 
number of incumbents filing in 2015, one or more 
incumbents left that state’s exchange market in 2015.) 
“New entrants in 2015” represents the number of carriers 
filing 2015 exchange plans that did not participate in 2014. 
To understand how consumers’ choice of products is 
changing, we compared the number of exchange products 
offered in 2014 and 2015. 
“Total across state” was calculated by determining the total 
number of plans (in all metals levels) in each rating area and 
then adding those numbers together. 
“Plans offered compared to 2014” represents the difference 
between the total number of 2015 exchange plans offered in 
a given state and all 2014 exchange plans offered in that 
same state; plans were counted uniquely at a rating area 
level (i.e., each plan in each rating area counts as 1). 
On the summary slide (“By the Numbers”), this difference 
represents an average of each state's 2014 vs. 2015 total 
exchange product offerings.
PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 
How to -19% read +14% 
the charts 
-17% 
+13% 
-21% +15% 
IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES 
How to read the charts 
38% 
62% 
McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 
To understand how premium price changes impact 
affordability, we calculated the premium price change 
in the lowest-price bronze, lowest-price silver, and 
second-lowest-price silver plans available in every 
rating area within a given state between 2014 and 
2015. In both years, we used the gross per member 
per month (PMPM) premium price (before any 
subsidies) for a 40-year-old non-smoker. 
“Maximum decrease / increase” represents the 
maximum percentage change in premiums across all 
rating areas in a given state, for each specified price 
point (i.e., lowest-price bronze, lowest-price silver, and 
second-lowest-price silver plans). (On the summary 
slide, it represents the maximum change across all 
rating areas in all states analyzed.) 
Each percentage represents a premium price change 
in one specific rating area (whichever rating area has 
the maximum decrease or maximum increase across 
the entire state). It does not represent premium 
changes seen across the entire state. 
+$19 
-$22 
Appendix 
To understand the net premium changes that 
subsidy-eligible individuals will face, we calculated the 
weighted average change in net premiums between 2014 
and 2015 for the lowest-price silver plan in each rating 
area. We assumed that all individuals will redetermine 
their subsidy eligibility in 2015. 
First, we established a distribution of subsidy-eligible 
individuals (at a household level) in each rating area, 
using public sources (Census Bureau, ACS, SAHIE). 
Next, we combined this population distribution with 
data about 2014 and 2015 lowest-price silver plan net 
premiums, calculating per member per month net 
premiums at a household level. To estimate net premiums, 
we used income level and household size to determine the 
relative premium cap for each household unit. Then, we 
calculated the second-lowest-price silver premium based 
on the median age for each age bucket combined with 
household size to determine relative subsidy, and applied 
that to the lowest-price silver to calculate net premium of 
the lowest-price silver plan. Finally, we used the 2014 and 
2015 net premiums to calculate weighted average rate 
changes for the 51 states individually and collectively.

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McKinsey 2015 Individual Rate Filings as of November 19

  • 1. 2015 Individual Exchange information, last updated November 19, 2014 The content that follows is based on approved 2015 individual exchange offering data from state and federal exchanges, and is current as of November 19, 2014. We have approved data for all 50 states and D.C., covering 499 rating areas and 3,144 counties across the entire U.S. Please note: This report does not include off-exchange rates. For additional methodological details about how each of the charts was calculated, please see the appendix. Please contact us at reformcenter@mckinsey.com with any questions. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform
  • 2. CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across 50 states and D.C.+ Average across 50 states and D.C. New entrants in 2015 More plans offered compared to 2014 silver plan 73% $ 265 Maximum decrease Maximum increase +43% +28% +28% By the Numbers Incumbents from 2014 (of 282 total) 70 2015 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Percentage of subsidy-eligible population across 50 states and D.C.* Weighted average annual change* Ranges across all rating areas in 50 states and D.C. 1.4x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan 26% +$169 -$118 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times -33% -29% SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019. 2015 2014 -30%
  • 3. 70 New Entrants BY CARRIER TYPE BY EXPERIENCE Provider** 14% Medicaid 11% Regional / Local 9% CO-OP 6% Blues 1% *Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times **Includes provider-based entrants offering coverage in other lines of business. 70 new entrants* in 2015 across the U.S. National 59% New to individual 2014 exchange presence in other states 13% insurance 20% Off-exchange in state, no 2014 exchange presence Off-exchange in state, 2014 exchange presence in other state(s) 44% 23% SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 19, 2014. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform
  • 4. Lowest-price silver net premium change Net premium change in 2014 lowest-price silver to 2015 lowest-price silver $ PMPY premium change for all QHP-eligible consumers SOURCE: Mckinsey Center for US Health Reform; Mckinsey Advanced Healthcare Analytics; data from federal and state exchanges as of Novemver, 15 2014. Last updated November 26, 2014. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform
  • 5. WA Details about 2015 individual exchange filings MT ID UT AZ CO ND SD MN MO WI VT ME MI IN KY TN PA WV VA AL GA SC LA NE KS OK AR HI AK OR IA FL OH NY TX NV CA IL NH MA CT NJ RI DE MD DC State by State McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform NM NC MS WY SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 6. Alabama 02 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +9% +9% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 2.5x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -2% -2% +9% -3% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 91% 7% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$92 -$22 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 7. Alaska 02 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 0.8x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 100% 0% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$99 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. +28% +28% +28% 2015 SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 8. Arizona 08 03 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 10 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2014 2015 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 0.9x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 7% 93% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$70 -$238 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. +4% +13% -18% -21% +10% -10% +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to 2 instances of a carrier with 2 filing names in 2014 now filing under 1 name in 2015 SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 9. Arkansas 03 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 3 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Range across rating areas in state Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.5x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 98% 2% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$119 -$55 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 2nd lowest-price silver plans *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. -8% +8% -7% -9% 2015 2014 SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 10. California 10 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents++ from 2014 (of 11 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +12% +6% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.0x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -2% -3% +10% -2% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 85% 14% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$143 -$52 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 2015 2014 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, ++Reflects withdrawal of one 2014 carrier in November, 2013 income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 11. Colorado 10 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase -28% +2% -29% silver plan 58% 42% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price -30% -$248 Incumbents from 2014 (of 10 total) Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.1x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$50 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state More plans offered compared to 2014 NOTE: Due to changes in Colorado rating areas, only plans from the most populated combined 2014 regions used in comparison with new 2015 regions *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 12. 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state New entrants in 2015 Maximum decrease Maximum increase -19% -2% -8% +$207 -$21 Connecticut 03 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS Incumbents from 2014 (of 3 total) 2015 2014 More plans offered compared to 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* Range across rating areas in state 2.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans +1% +3% silver plan 96% 4% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan $ *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. Last updated November 19, 2019. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times
  • 13. District of Columbia 03 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase +9% Incumbents from 2014 (of 3 total) Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 0.9x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans +1% +5% Will see net premium increase in lowest-40% price silver plan Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan 60% -$73 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state 2015 Plans offered compared to 2014 +$30 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 14. Delaware 02 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -3% +4% +4% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 100% 0% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$35 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 15. Florida 11 03 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 11 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2014 2015 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +40% +24% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 0.6x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -29% -22% +24% -18% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 80% 17% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$246 -$90 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 16. Georgia 05 04 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 5 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Range across rating areas in state Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.9x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans +24% +10% -21% -23% -30% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 93% 6% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$292 -$99 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform 2nd lowest-price silver plans *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. +23% 2015 2014 SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 17. Hawaii 02 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 0.7x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 100% 0% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$122 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. +14% +10% +9% 2015 SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 18. Idaho 04 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times 2015 2015 2014 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +13% +9% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.4x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -10% -12% +10% -12% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 77% 23% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$173 -$76 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 19. Illinois 05 03 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 7 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to 2 instances of a carrier with 2 filing names in 2014 now filing under 1 name in 2015 2015 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +19% +13% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -3% -3% +12% -7% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 72% 28% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$108 -$89 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 20. CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) New entrants in 2015 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times. 2015 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES -$79 Indiana 04 05 Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* Range across rating areas in state 2.0x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -23% +10% -25% -27% silver plan 46% 53% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform +8% More plans offered compared to 2014 +10% *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019. +$100
  • 21. Iowa 04 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +13% +13% +13% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.0x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -18% -18% -14% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 81% 19% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$373 -$119 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 2015 2014 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 22. Kansas 04 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times 2014 2015 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 0.8x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -11% +19% -13% +2% +11% -1% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 7% 93% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$34 -$254 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 23. Kentucky 03 02 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 3 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Range across rating areas in state Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.3x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans -17% +14% +18% +9% -9% -19% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 43% 56% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times. 2015 2014 +$783 -$160 2nd lowest-price silver plans *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 24. Louisiana 05 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 5 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times 2015 2015 2014 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +9% +6% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.3x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -3% +8% -6% -2% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 41% 55% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$207 -$119 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 25. +$65 -$44 Maine 02 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times. 2015 2015 2014 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.4x Lowest-price bronze plans -7% Lowest-price silver plans -3% 2nd lowest-price silver plans -4% +1% silver plan 50% 48% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 26. +$81 -$54 Maryland 05 02 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 6 total) New entrants in 2015 More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to an instance of a carrier with multiple filing names in 2014 now filing under 1 name in 2015. 2015 2015 2014 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* Range across rating areas in state 1.4x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans +14% +7% +7% -22% -1% -2% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan 49% McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Maximum decrease $Maximum increase -1% 51% *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 27. Massachusetts 09 02 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 10 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.1x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 72% 28% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$255 -$213 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, +7% +10% -3% -14% -6% SOURCE: Individual market exchange information available through state and federal exchanges income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. with active window shopping as of November 13, 2014. Last updated November 14, 2014
  • 28. Michigan 10 04 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state; i.e.,a carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times. 2015 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +13% +15% +7% Incumbents from 2014 (of 10 total) Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 2.0x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -2% -3% -6% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 99% 1% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$283 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $Maximum increase -$65 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 29. Minnesota 04 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 5 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.6x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 85% 15% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$195 -$205 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, +43% +25% +26% -2% -8% -8% SOURCE: Individual market exchange information available through state and federal exchanges income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. with active window shopping as of November 13, 2014. Last updated November 14, 2014
  • 30. Mississippi 02 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.8x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -33% -24% -26% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 78% 21% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$325 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $Maximum increase -$105 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. +6% 2015 2014 SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 31. Missouri 04 03 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.3x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 52% 45% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. +18% +18% +23% -6% -10% -12% 2015 2014 +$70 -$96 SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 32. Montana 03 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 3 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2015 2014 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +3% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.5x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -3% -8% -8% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 78% 22% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$61 -$73 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 33. Nebraska 03 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +13% +17% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.0x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -3% +17% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 100% 0% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$96 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 34. Nevada 04 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) 2015 2015 2014 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.3x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans +1% +10% -18% -7% -5% silver plan 78% 22% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state +$39 More plans offered compared to 2014 -$33 2nd lowest-price silver plans *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 35. New Hampshire 01 04 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 1 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 3.8x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -17% -18% -15% 0% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 100% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price -$147 silver plan McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 36. New Jersey 03 02 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 3 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.9x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans +2% -1% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 100% 0% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$153 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 37. New Mexico 04 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -12% -14% -11% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 77% 23% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$64 -$170 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 38. New York 18 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 19 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Range across rating areas in state Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.1x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans +11% +6% +13% -2% -11% Will see net premium increase in lowest-73% price silver plan Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan 27% -$324 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019. +$106
  • 39. North Carolina 02 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +16% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.5x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -14% -16% +21% +21% -14% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 39% 60% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$69 -$78 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 40. North Dakota 03 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 3 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +7% +8% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -1% +7% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 34% 66% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$66 -$55 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 41. Ohio 11 05 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to 2013 acquisition. PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +13% +12% Incumbents from 2014 (of 12 total) Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.8x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -22% -4% -8% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 63% 37% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$148 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase +17% -$53 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 42. Oklahoma 03 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 6 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2014 2015 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +22% +15% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 0.8x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -2% -7% +11% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 9% 90% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$71 -$103 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 43. Oregon 10 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 11 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Range across rating areas in state $ Maximum decrease Maximum increase Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.1x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 99% 1% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan -$1 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform +10% +10% +9% *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019. +$139
  • 44. Pennsylvania 10 03 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 10 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +16% +16% +16% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -8% -1% -11% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 83% 17% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$272 -$80 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 45. Rhode Island 02 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state New entrants in 2015 More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase -5% -11% -12% Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* Range across rating areas in state 2.0x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans silver plan 83% 17% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan -$249 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. Last updated November 19, 2019. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times +$102
  • 46. South Carolina 04 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +3% +8% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 2.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -17% -6% +5% -6% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 35% 65% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$110 -$67 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 47. South Dakota 03 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 3 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -9% -15% -15% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 93% 6% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$103 -$214 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. +1% SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 48. Tennessee 04 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase -6% -7% +10% +16% +15% Incumbents from 2014 (of 4 total) Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.5x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans silver plan 63% 36% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$60 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 -$18 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, -7% SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 49. Texas 11 03 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 12 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +26% +17% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.5x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -6% +16% -4% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 88% 12% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$162 -$40 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 50. Utah 06 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 6 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +10% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -3% +14% +3% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 92% 6% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$148 -$67 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 51. 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 8 total) New entrants in 2015 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase 2015 2014 Weighted average annual change* -$16 Virginia 08 01 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS More plans offered compared to 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Range across rating areas in state 1.1x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans +12% +8% +6% -3% silver plan 99% 1% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$73 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 52. Vermont 02 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) 2014 2015 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 0.9x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans +6% +7% +8% Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 100% 0% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state +$153 More plans offered compared to 2014 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 53. 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 8 total) +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase -9% +4% -19% -10% -$189 Washington 08 02 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.6x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans silver plan 35% 64% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$181 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state More plans offered compared to 2014 *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 54. West Virginia 01 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +9% +9% +9% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.2x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans Will see net premium increase in lowest- price silver plan 100% 0% Will see net premium decrease in lowest- price silver plan +$60 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times. Reduction in number of existing carriers due to an instance of a carrier with multiple filing names in 2014 now filing under 1 name in 2015.. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 55. Wisconsin 13 02 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 13 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +9% +7% +8% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 1.3x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans -15% -8% -10% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 51% 47% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$125 -$112 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 56. Wyoming 02 00 CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS 2015 filed carriers across state+ Total across state Incumbents from 2014 (of 2 total) More plans offered compared to 2014 2015 2014 +Based on the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES +10% +8% Subsidy-eligible population across state* Weighted average annual change* New entrants in 2015 2.4x Lowest-price bronze plans Lowest-price silver plans 2nd lowest-price silver plans +10% Will see net premium increase in lowest-price silver plan 100% 0% Will see net premium decrease in lowest-price silver plan +$222 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Range across rating areas in state Maximum decrease $ Maximum increase *Based on a weighted average net premium across all subsidy-eligible individuals; accounts for age, family size, income, and geography. Totals may not add up to 100% in cases where some individuals see no change. SOURCE: Publicly available product data on federal and state exchanges as of November 18, 2019. Last updated November 19, 2019.
  • 57. EXCHANGE PRODUCT OFFERINGS How to read the charts 2015 2014 McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform Appendix CARRIER EXCHANGE PARTICIPATION How to read the charts 00 00 To understand how carrier participation is changing exchange competitive dynamics, we compared the carriers competing on the exchanges in 2014 and 2015. The carrier count represents the number of unique carriers offering products in at least one county within a state. (Not all carriers offer products in every county within a state.) Carrier count is as it appears to consumers shopping on exchanges. Specifically, the count is the number of carriers that offer plans in each state, i.e., carrier that offers plans in 3 states is counted 3 times, and a carrier that offers plans under 2 different carrier names in one state is counted 2 times. “Incumbents from 2014” represents the number of carriers that filed exchange plans in a given state in both 2014 and 2015. “Of XX total” represents the number of 2014 exchange carriers in a given state. (If that number is greater than the number of incumbents filing in 2015, one or more incumbents left that state’s exchange market in 2015.) “New entrants in 2015” represents the number of carriers filing 2015 exchange plans that did not participate in 2014. To understand how consumers’ choice of products is changing, we compared the number of exchange products offered in 2014 and 2015. “Total across state” was calculated by determining the total number of plans (in all metals levels) in each rating area and then adding those numbers together. “Plans offered compared to 2014” represents the difference between the total number of 2015 exchange plans offered in a given state and all 2014 exchange plans offered in that same state; plans were counted uniquely at a rating area level (i.e., each plan in each rating area counts as 1). On the summary slide (“By the Numbers”), this difference represents an average of each state's 2014 vs. 2015 total exchange product offerings.
  • 58. PREMIUM CHANGES FROM 2014 How to -19% read +14% the charts -17% +13% -21% +15% IMPACT OF PREMIUM CHANGES How to read the charts 38% 62% McKinsey Center for U.S. Health System Reform To understand how premium price changes impact affordability, we calculated the premium price change in the lowest-price bronze, lowest-price silver, and second-lowest-price silver plans available in every rating area within a given state between 2014 and 2015. In both years, we used the gross per member per month (PMPM) premium price (before any subsidies) for a 40-year-old non-smoker. “Maximum decrease / increase” represents the maximum percentage change in premiums across all rating areas in a given state, for each specified price point (i.e., lowest-price bronze, lowest-price silver, and second-lowest-price silver plans). (On the summary slide, it represents the maximum change across all rating areas in all states analyzed.) Each percentage represents a premium price change in one specific rating area (whichever rating area has the maximum decrease or maximum increase across the entire state). It does not represent premium changes seen across the entire state. +$19 -$22 Appendix To understand the net premium changes that subsidy-eligible individuals will face, we calculated the weighted average change in net premiums between 2014 and 2015 for the lowest-price silver plan in each rating area. We assumed that all individuals will redetermine their subsidy eligibility in 2015. First, we established a distribution of subsidy-eligible individuals (at a household level) in each rating area, using public sources (Census Bureau, ACS, SAHIE). Next, we combined this population distribution with data about 2014 and 2015 lowest-price silver plan net premiums, calculating per member per month net premiums at a household level. To estimate net premiums, we used income level and household size to determine the relative premium cap for each household unit. Then, we calculated the second-lowest-price silver premium based on the median age for each age bucket combined with household size to determine relative subsidy, and applied that to the lowest-price silver to calculate net premium of the lowest-price silver plan. Finally, we used the 2014 and 2015 net premiums to calculate weighted average rate changes for the 51 states individually and collectively.