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(Number Of Missions) x AO x R
Cost Effectiveness (CE)                                                     CE =
                                                                                                   LCC
For Maintainable Products                                                        = Successful Missions / $
       Effectiveness is defined as a figure-of-merit
       judging the opportunity for producing the               R = Mission Reliability
       intended results                                        MTBF = Mean Time Between Failures
                                                               MTTR = Mean Time To Repair
                                                               MDT = Mean Down Time
                                                               LCC = Life Cycle Cost
                                                               AO = Operational Availability
                                  R
                                                                                                                  Cost
                                                                                                              Effectiveness
                                                                                                                  (CS)
                                                                                                                Analysis

                                                                                          Availability
                                                                                           Analysis      AO
                                                        MTTR
                                                                                                                          $
    Reliability                       Maintainability           Supportability
                                                                                  MDT
     Analysis        MTBF               Analysis                  Analysis




                                                                                             LCC
                                                                                            Analysis

http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera
Hilaire Ananda Perera
Long Term Quality Assurance
Parameters Related
                                   To
                         Cost Effectiveness (CE)

                                           Reliability (R)
                                                                  β
                                                 T     .Γ 1   1
                                                MTBF          β
                                  R        e
       T = Misson Time
       MTBF = Mean Time Between Failure
       β = Weibull Shape Parameter
       β = 1 for Exponential Distribution



                            Operational Availability (AO)

                                                 MTBF
                                  AO =
                                               MTBF + MDT

                             MDT = MADT + MLDT + MTTR

       MADT = Mean Administrative Delay Time
       MLDT = Mean Logistic Delay Time
       MTTR = Mean Time To Repair



                                  Life Cycle Cost (LCC)

                                    LCC = CD + CI + COS

       CD = Development Cost
       CI = Investment Cost (Recurring and Non-Recurring)
       COS = Operating and Support Cost



http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera
Hilaire Ananda Perera
Long Term Quality Assurance
Description of Parameters
                        Related To Cost Effectiveness

Reliability:      Reliable equipment has a high probability of performing its required
function without failure for a stated period of time when subjected to specified
operational conditions of use and environment. At the conceptual stage, the reliability
requirements should be considered at the same time as the performance parameters. The
operational use and environment, therefore, need to be taken into account at the outset of
the design process. The design should also be robust to expected variations in production
processes and quality of materials and components. Reliability is better described by the
Weibull distribution than the exponential. An advantage of the Weibull distribution is
that it represents a whole family of curves, which, depending on the choice of β, can
represent many other distributions. Γ (1 + 1/β ) is the Euler Gamma Function evaluated
at the value of (1 + 1/β )


Operational Availability: Operational Availability is a measure of the average
availability over a period of time and it includes all experienced sources of downtime,
such as administrative downtime, logistic downtime, etc. It reflects the real-world
operating environment, thereby making it the preferred and most readily available metric
for assuring quantitative performance. The operational availability is the availability that
the customer actually experiences. It is essentially a posteriori availability based on actual
events that happened to the system. In many cases, operational availability cannot be
controlled by the manufacturer due to variation in location, resources and other factors
that are the sole province of the end user of the product.


Life Cycle Cost:          Life Cycle Cost analysis should proceed concurrently with and
complement other design analysis activities. Since engineers or design specialists have
the primary role in evolving the final design, they can most effectively take the lead in
performing beneficial life cycle cost design trade studies. The design-to-cost (DTC)
concept is a key factor in a program’s life cycle cost management efforts. DTC is a
management concept that is used to control a product’s life cycle cost. The concept is
implemented by establishing rigorous cost goals for the new product early in the design
or acquisition cycle. Life cycle costs are closely related to the reliability of equipment as
demonstrated in the field. Therefore, both realistic and adequate reliability tests are
essential to develop and demonstrate equipment with satisfactory and known reliability
characteristics prior to production commitment decisions. To achieve life cycle costing
objectives, managers will have to make many difficult decisions concerning the
conditions and duration of test programs, and what actions to take based on test results.
Life cycle cost analysis methods will vary from application to application. They are
generally characterized by use of life cycle cost models to estimate and compare the life
cycle cost of alternatives.


http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera
Hilaire Ananda Perera
Long Term Quality Assurance
Use of Cost Effectiveness (CE) Equation
                                                                             Parameter               Past Unit     New Unit   Future Unit
                                                                                                        (A)          (B)          (C)
                                                                   Number of Missions                  1000         1000         1000
                                           B
                                                                   Operational Availability            0.800        0.985        0.990

                                                                   Reliability                         0.750        0.990        0.999
                               Worst                 ?
                                                          C

                                                                   Successful Missions                  600          975         989
                                       Trade-off
                                         Area                      Life Cycle Cost                     70000        90000       80000
   LCC


                                                                      The Product could fail (10 out of 1000
                               ?                                      times) during the operating time, product
                                                   Best
                                                                      can be repaired (15 out of 1000 times)
                                                                      within the required restoration time, and
                                               A                      made available for continued operation 975
                                                                      out of 1000 times

                                                                                 CE_A = 0.0085
                           Successful Missions                                   CE_B = 0.0108
                                                                                 CE_C = 0.0123

              Cost Effectiveness equation (Successful Misions / $ ) is helpful for understanding benchmarks , past, present, and future
              status as shown in Figure for understanding trade-off information. The lower right hand corner of figure brings much joy
              and happiness often described as “bang for the buck”. The upper left hand corner brings much grief. The remaining two
              corners raise questions about worth and value


http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera
Hilaire Ananda Perera
Long Term Quality Assurance
Possible Outcomes From Trade-Off Studies
                      F is preferable: Successful Missions are equal         F is preferable: Cost is equal
                                       F costs less                                           F has more Successful Missions


          LCC                                      G
                                                                       LCC

                                                                                          G                F
                                                   F


                                       Successful Missions                              Successful Missions

                                                                             F is preferable If ∆SM is worth more than ∆C :
                     F is preferable: F costs less
                                                                             F has more Successful Missions
                                      F has more Successful Missions         G costs less
                                                                                                                 F

        LCC                                                            LCC
                                                             F                                                 ∆C
                                           G
                                                                                         G
                                                                                                     ∆SM




                                       Successful Missions                              Successful Missions




                    Cost Effectiveness equation is useful for trade-off studies as shown in
                                             the above outcomes

http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera
Hilaire Ananda Perera
Long Term Quality Assurance

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Cost effectiveness for maintainable products

  • 1. (Number Of Missions) x AO x R Cost Effectiveness (CE) CE = LCC For Maintainable Products = Successful Missions / $ Effectiveness is defined as a figure-of-merit judging the opportunity for producing the R = Mission Reliability intended results MTBF = Mean Time Between Failures MTTR = Mean Time To Repair MDT = Mean Down Time LCC = Life Cycle Cost AO = Operational Availability R Cost Effectiveness (CS) Analysis Availability Analysis AO MTTR $ Reliability Maintainability Supportability MDT Analysis MTBF Analysis Analysis LCC Analysis http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera Hilaire Ananda Perera Long Term Quality Assurance
  • 2. Parameters Related To Cost Effectiveness (CE) Reliability (R) β T .Γ 1 1 MTBF β R e T = Misson Time MTBF = Mean Time Between Failure β = Weibull Shape Parameter β = 1 for Exponential Distribution Operational Availability (AO) MTBF AO = MTBF + MDT MDT = MADT + MLDT + MTTR MADT = Mean Administrative Delay Time MLDT = Mean Logistic Delay Time MTTR = Mean Time To Repair Life Cycle Cost (LCC) LCC = CD + CI + COS CD = Development Cost CI = Investment Cost (Recurring and Non-Recurring) COS = Operating and Support Cost http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera Hilaire Ananda Perera Long Term Quality Assurance
  • 3. Description of Parameters Related To Cost Effectiveness Reliability: Reliable equipment has a high probability of performing its required function without failure for a stated period of time when subjected to specified operational conditions of use and environment. At the conceptual stage, the reliability requirements should be considered at the same time as the performance parameters. The operational use and environment, therefore, need to be taken into account at the outset of the design process. The design should also be robust to expected variations in production processes and quality of materials and components. Reliability is better described by the Weibull distribution than the exponential. An advantage of the Weibull distribution is that it represents a whole family of curves, which, depending on the choice of β, can represent many other distributions. Γ (1 + 1/β ) is the Euler Gamma Function evaluated at the value of (1 + 1/β ) Operational Availability: Operational Availability is a measure of the average availability over a period of time and it includes all experienced sources of downtime, such as administrative downtime, logistic downtime, etc. It reflects the real-world operating environment, thereby making it the preferred and most readily available metric for assuring quantitative performance. The operational availability is the availability that the customer actually experiences. It is essentially a posteriori availability based on actual events that happened to the system. In many cases, operational availability cannot be controlled by the manufacturer due to variation in location, resources and other factors that are the sole province of the end user of the product. Life Cycle Cost: Life Cycle Cost analysis should proceed concurrently with and complement other design analysis activities. Since engineers or design specialists have the primary role in evolving the final design, they can most effectively take the lead in performing beneficial life cycle cost design trade studies. The design-to-cost (DTC) concept is a key factor in a program’s life cycle cost management efforts. DTC is a management concept that is used to control a product’s life cycle cost. The concept is implemented by establishing rigorous cost goals for the new product early in the design or acquisition cycle. Life cycle costs are closely related to the reliability of equipment as demonstrated in the field. Therefore, both realistic and adequate reliability tests are essential to develop and demonstrate equipment with satisfactory and known reliability characteristics prior to production commitment decisions. To achieve life cycle costing objectives, managers will have to make many difficult decisions concerning the conditions and duration of test programs, and what actions to take based on test results. Life cycle cost analysis methods will vary from application to application. They are generally characterized by use of life cycle cost models to estimate and compare the life cycle cost of alternatives. http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera Hilaire Ananda Perera Long Term Quality Assurance
  • 4. Use of Cost Effectiveness (CE) Equation Parameter Past Unit New Unit Future Unit (A) (B) (C) Number of Missions 1000 1000 1000 B Operational Availability 0.800 0.985 0.990 Reliability 0.750 0.990 0.999 Worst ? C Successful Missions 600 975 989 Trade-off Area Life Cycle Cost 70000 90000 80000 LCC The Product could fail (10 out of 1000 ? times) during the operating time, product Best can be repaired (15 out of 1000 times) within the required restoration time, and A made available for continued operation 975 out of 1000 times CE_A = 0.0085 Successful Missions CE_B = 0.0108 CE_C = 0.0123 Cost Effectiveness equation (Successful Misions / $ ) is helpful for understanding benchmarks , past, present, and future status as shown in Figure for understanding trade-off information. The lower right hand corner of figure brings much joy and happiness often described as “bang for the buck”. The upper left hand corner brings much grief. The remaining two corners raise questions about worth and value http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera Hilaire Ananda Perera Long Term Quality Assurance
  • 5. Possible Outcomes From Trade-Off Studies F is preferable: Successful Missions are equal F is preferable: Cost is equal F costs less F has more Successful Missions LCC G LCC G F F Successful Missions Successful Missions F is preferable If ∆SM is worth more than ∆C : F is preferable: F costs less F has more Successful Missions F has more Successful Missions G costs less F LCC LCC F ∆C G G ∆SM Successful Missions Successful Missions Cost Effectiveness equation is useful for trade-off studies as shown in the above outcomes http://www.linkedin.com/in/hilaireperera Hilaire Ananda Perera Long Term Quality Assurance