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Aon Risk Solutions
Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. Empower Results®
Underrated threats?
Research into the evolving world of risk
42
1
?
5?
?
376
33
8
11
15
?
946
25
4014
27
17
?
2	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Introduction	3
Insurable vs Uninsurable Risk	 6
Respondent Profile	 7
Computer Crimes / Hacking / Viruses / Malicious Codes	 9
Interdependency of Risk	 11
Pandemic Risk / Health Crisis	 13
Pension Scheme Funding Risk	 15
Terrorism Risk	 17
Creativity in the Insurance Industry	 19
Increased Focus on Risk Management Spend	 21
Failure to Attract or Retain Top Talent	 23
Unethical Behaviour	 25
Methodology	27
Aon at a Glance	 28
Key Contacts	 29
3	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Global Risk Management Survey Risk Ranking
*Where two risks are shown under the same number, that indicates a tie.
As part of our efforts to help companies stay abreast of emerging
issues and learn what their peers are doing to manage risks and
capture opportunities, we have conducted the fourth biennial
Global Risk Management Survey (GRMS). It gathered input from
1,415 respondents from 70 countries in all regions of the world and
from companies of all sizes and has the most comprehensive peer-
provided risk data in the industry, capturing the latest risk trends
and priorities companies face.
The report unveiled the top 50 risks as well as hidden risks facing
organisations today, illustrating the importance of no longer
evaluating risk in isolation but considering the relationship of risks
to establish and maintain a successful risk management programme.
The top risks facing organisations today are:
Introduction
1 Economic slowdown / slow recovery
2 Regulatory / legislative changes
3 Increasing competition
4 Damage to reputation / brand
5 Failure to attract or retain top talent
6 Failure to innovate / meet customer needs
7 Business interruption
8 Commodity price risk
9 Cash flow / liquidity risk
10 Political risk / uncertainties
11 Exchange rate fluctuation
12 Technology failure / system failure
13 Third-party liability
14 Distribution or supply chain failure
15 Capital availability / credit risk
16 Weather / natural disasters
17 Property damage
18 Computer crime / hacking / viruses / malicious codes
19 Growing burden and consequences of corporate governance / compliance
20 Counter party credit risk
21 Lack of technology / infrastructure to support business needs
22 Inadequate succession planning
23 Failure of disaster recovery plan / business continuity plan
24 Crime / theft / fraud / employee dishonesty
25 Injury to workers
26 Workforce shortage
27 Merger / acquisition / restructuring
28 Environmental risk
29 Loss of intellectual property / data
30 Failure to implement or communicate strategy
31 Interest rate fluctuation
32 Globalization / emerging markets
Natural resource scarcity / availability of raw materials
34 Directors & Officers personal liability
Understaffing
36 Product recall
37 Corporate social responsibility / sustainability
38 Climate change
39 Absenteeism
40 Social media
Asset value volatility
42 Share price volatility
43 Unethical behavior
44 Pandemic risk / health crisis
45 Outsourcing
46 Terrorism / sabotage
47 Pension scheme funding
48 Sovereign debt
49 Harassment / discrimination
Kidnap and ransom / extortion
4	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Damage to brand and reputation, ranked #4, is listed as a key risk
but many other lower ranking risks for example, Unethical
Behaviour, ranked #43, or Social Media risks, ranked #40, could
have a huge impact on brand and reputation.
This constellation effect of, or interconnectivity between risks
might not always have been recognised by organisations, but
could have a significant impact on their approach to risk
management and overall business performance.
The above and several additional findings invoked further
questions as we were very surprised by some of the outcomes.
To double check those findings and to get a more holistic view
of the perception of those threats from an audience that has
a broad depth of knowledge and global experience across
a multitude of different industries, we decided to conduct
more research with Executive and Non-Executive Directors
of captive companies which Aon manages to gain their insight
and perspectives.
Hence, our first research report into the perceived importance of
risks as seen by captive directors was created and launched. The
research includes responses from over 100 Executive and Non-
Executive Directors and the areas we wanted to find out more
about are covered in the following list of questions:
Survey Questions:
1 Given the recent cyber-attack on Associate Press relating
to a false report on an attack on the White House, which
had a temporary but immediate impact on the Stock
Market, do you feel that at ranking of #18 computer
crimes / hacking / viruses / malicious codes is underrated?
2	 As a result of the Japanese tsunami, 41% of affected
companies interviewed by the Business Continuity Institute
stated that it took more than 6 months for their supply
chain to fully recover. Do you think risks are becoming
more interdependent in this global economy?
3	 With the dramatic increase in numbers of international
travelers globally from 683 million journeys in 2000 to over
1 billion journeys in 2011, do you think that the pandemic
risk/health crisis ranked at #44 is underrated?
4	 Given research indicates both private and public defined-
benefit pension plans are currently less than 75% funded,
would you agree with the ranking of pension scheme
funding at #47?
5	 Does the insurance industry need to be more creative
around product development to meet increasingly
complex risk exposures? Please rank between 1 and 10
with 1 being no need and 10 being absolute must.
Introduction
5	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
6	 Are you surprised that with the current political unrest in
various parts of the world, plus the recent terror attacks in
the US, the terrorism risk is only ranked at #46?
7	 Has the organisation(s) you represent, increased the focus
on risk management with additional spend/resources on
programmes in the last 12 months?
8	 Failure to attract or retain top talent is a main concern for
organisations. However, only 56% of respondents to the
Global Risk Management Survey who ranked this risk at #5
actually have talent attraction and retention plans in place.
Do you feel the complexity of these risks have been fully
understood by organisations?
9	 The effect of unethical behaviour can have huge
implications on a company’s brand and survival. At
a ranking of #43 do you feel the connection between
unethical behaviour and damage to reputation/brand
is fully appreciated?
In conducting this and other research, it has become clear
that risks are growing in complexity, becoming increasingly
interdependent, and require more innovative and creative
solutions. This is illustrated in the following Insurable versus
Uninsurable Risk Exhibit.
The majority of the top 10 risks are uninsurable or only partially
insurable and the view is similar for the remaining risks.
Natural catastrophes are a good example of this; while
insurance exists to cover some of the loss, the large economic
loss, especially in developing countries, is typically a multiple
of insured losses. By way of example, according to Aon Benfield,
global economic losses caused by Natural Catastrophes for the
first 6 months of 2013 were USD85 billion while reported insured
losses were only around USD20 billion. Clearly there is a gap.
The question is how, and if, as an industry, we can fill these gaps?
All of us, risk managers, risk advisors and insurance carriers must
continue to evolve and innovate to stay relevant in this rapidly
changing business environment.
Risk managers need to become more multi-dimensional about
their understanding of risk, risk advisors must do a better job of
educating and consulting with our clients on all aspects of risk
and beyond the insurable risk, and insurance carriers need to be
more flexible and creative in providing solutions around these
complex exposures.
Introduction
6	Underratedthreats | AonRiskSolutions
1
Economicslowdown/
slowrecovery
2
Regulatory/
legislativechanges
3
Increasing
competition
4
Damageto
reputation/brand
5
Failuretoattract
orretaintoptalent
6
Failuretoinnovate/
meetcustomerneeds
7
Business
interruption
8
Commodity
pricerisk
9
Cashflow/
liquidityrisk
10
Politicalrisk/
uncertainties
11
Exchangerate
fluctuation
12
Technologyfailure/
systemfailure
13
Third-partyliability
14
Distributionor
supplychainfailure
15
Capitalavailability/
creditrisk
16
Weather/
naturaldisasters
17
Property
damage
18
Computercrime/
hacking/viruses/
maliciouscodes
19
Growingburden
andconsequences
ofcorporate
governance/compliance
20
Counterparty
creditrisk
21
Lackoftechnology/
infrastructure
tosupportbusinessneeds
22
Inadequate
successionplanning
23
Failureofdisaster
recoveryplan/business
continuityplan
24
Crime/theft/fraud/
employeedishonesty
25
Injuryto
workers
26
Workforce
shortage
27
Merger/acquisition/
restructuring
28
Environmental
risk
29
Lossofintellectual
property/data
30
Failuretoimplement
orcommunicatestrategy
31
Interestratefluctuation
32
Globalization/
emergingmarkets
Naturalresourcescarcity/
availabilityofrawmaterials
34
DirectorsOfficers
personalliability
34
Understaffing
36
Productrecall
37
Corporatesocial
responsibility/
sustainability
38
Climatechange
39
Absenteeism
40
Socialmedia
Assetvaluevolatility
42
Sharepricevolatility
43
Unethicalbehavior
44
Pandemicrisk/
healthcrisis
45
Outsourcing
46
Terrorism/sabotage
47
Pensionschemefunding
48
Sovereigndebt
49
Harassment/
discrimination
Kidnapandransom/
extortion
InsurablevsUninsurableRisk
Introduction
UninsurableRisk
InsurableRisk
PartiallyInsurableRisk
Respondent Profile
This is Aon’s first research report into the perceived
importance of risks as seen by Captive Directors. It analyses
the responses from over 100 organisations representing
a broad range of countries, revenue sizes and business sectors.
It presents key findings from the 2013 Global Risk Management
Survey and asks Captive Executive and Non-Executive
Directors for their opinions on the rankings of various risks
and findings as identified by over 1,400 risk decision makers
including risk managers, CFOs and CEOs globally.
7	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
8	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Respondent Profile
 USD 1B
 USD 1B
Not Available
Research Respondents by Revenue
24%
64%
12%
Research Respondents by Region
Americas
37%
EMEA
46%
APAC
8%
Multiple
10%
9	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Computer Crimes / Hacking /
Viruses / Malicious Codes
Given the recent cyber-attack on Associate Press relating to a false report on an attack
on the White House, which had a temporary but immediate impact on the Stock Market,
do you feel that at ranking of #18 computer crimes / hacking / viruses / malicious codes
is underrated?
Respondents’ View
Overall 83 percent of respondents feel that computer crimes /
hacking / viruses / malicious codes ranking of #18 in the Global
Risk Management Survey was severely or perhaps underrated.
This finding remained consistent along regional and
revenue breakouts.
Aon’s View
We completely agree with the view of the respondents that
this risk continues to be hugely underestimated.
Successful businesses increasingly use technology to increase
sales, maximise efficiency and reduce expenses. Evolving
technologies such as cloud computing, social media, mobile
devices and big data analytics have helped entities achieve
profits and reach operational goals.
However, these same businesses face an increasingly diverse
and sophisticated array of threats to the security of their
information management systems. Cyber theft, fraud,
sabotage, espionage, and hacking (including from
governments) are more frequent in the social media age and
the associated costs with information security breaches are
increasing for entities in every industry sector – from Retail,
Financial Institutions, Healthcare, Hospitality, Media,
Communications, Technology, Consulting and Professional
Services to Manufacturing and Transportation.
The legal exposure, reputational harm and business
interruptions that may result can wreak havoc on a company’s
bottom line.
We believe our Chief Executive Officer, Gregory C. Case, said it
best: “Our advice is that companies should understand that
cyber risk is no longer on the horizon.”
9	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
10	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Multiple
59%
8%
8%
24%
59%
11%
63%
0%
13%
25%
7%
24%
56%
0%
22%22%
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
33%
58%
4%
4% 9%
9%
57%
25%
25%
8%
67%
No
0%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
10%
7%
58%
25%
83%saidriskwas
underrated
No Unsure Yes, perhaps Yes, severely
Computer Crimes / Hacking / Viruses / Malicious Codes
11	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Interdependency of Risk
As a result of the Japanese tsunami, 41% of affected companies interviewed by the
Business Continuity Institute stated that it took more than 6 months for their supply
chain to fully recover. Do you think risks are becoming more interdependent in this
global economy?
Respondents’ View
Respondents to this research overwhelmingly indicated,
by nearly a 9 in 10 margin, that risks are becoming more
interdependent.
Aon’s View
In today’s globally interdependent environment, risks to
businesses, no longer isolated by industry or geography, are
becoming complex in nature and global in consequence. This
has been clearly illustrated in the past two Global Risk
Management Survey findings which highlight the
interdependency among many of the identified top risks
as well as risks outside of the top 10 rankings.
For example, political risk can impair an organisation’s ability
to procure raw materials or energy from affected foreign
nations, posing a threat to supply chain and leading to business
interruption and damages to reputation. A company with
damaged reputation might find it hard to attract talent and
the lack of talent would result in failure to innovate and meet
customer needs.
The list goes on. This interdependency between risks shows
that organisations can no longer evaluate risk in isolation but
must consider their interconnectedness. Failure to do so could
result in underestimating the impact of risks and misdirect
a company’s risk management priorities.
With the complexity and interconnectivity of risks rising, so are
the responsibilities of those who are tasked to control, manage
and mitigate them. Therefore, can one individual know
enough about managing the threats? Should a company’s risks
be managed by a team of strategic experts not necessarily part
of the organisation or even by the directors responsible for the
respective business areas? Questions only to be answered on
an individual basis, but collectively their answers could herald
a change in the role of risk management in the future.
11	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Political risk
Damage toreputation
Businessinterruption
Failure to innovate /
meet customer needs
Disruption to
supply chain
Failure to attract or
retain top talent
12	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Multiple
95%
5%
85%
7%
88%
0%
13%
9%
0%
89%
0%
11%
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
83%
8%
8%
5%
5%
91%
17%
83%
0%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
7%
5%
88%
No, not really Unsure Yes, absolutely
Interdependency of Risk
13	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Pandemic Risk /
Health Crisis
With the dramatic increase in numbers of international travelers globally from 683 million
journeys in 2000 to over 1 billion journeys in 2011, do you think that the pandemic risk/
health crisis ranked at #44 is underrated?
Respondents’ View
With the number of international travelers increasing year on
year and resistance to antibiotics growing in the developed
world, the low-ranking of pandemic or health crisis risk ranked
at #44 was another unexpected result in our original survey. We
were shocked to see that respondents were undecided on this
ranking; 39 percent saw it as underrated but 42 percent did not,
and we as the solutions advisors have a completely different
view to our clients.
Aon’s View
On the 2nd of April 2003 the outbreak of SARS led to the first
travel restriction imposed onto Hong Kong and the Guandong
province in southern China, by 23rd of April this was extended
to Toronto and Beijing and by May 17th it included Taipei. It
then took over 6 weeks for all travel alerts to be lifted and for
the global economy to be running as before.
Say your company relied on a key supplier based in southern
China, not only would there have been a massive disruption
to your supply chain, but you might not have been able to go
anywhere in the region to source an alternative supplier. This
in turn could have led to production issues, which then
probably created customer complaints, potential reputational
damage and in the end to a decline in sales causing a seriously
detrimental impact on your bottom line.
In fact, the cost of SARS for the world economy as a whole
was close to USD40 billion and even regions which had no
noticeable outbreak, like Eastern Europe and Russia suffered
a decline of 0.06 percent in GDP in 2003.
With China being an even bigger economic powerhouse now than
it was in 2003 we can only imagine the massive increase in impact
on the world economy if a similar situation would arise today.
The best solution to pandemic risk therefore is a consulting
process that helps businesses to identify the risks at their specific
organisation, build quantitative scenarios that help to
understand how their particular pandemic exposure will impact
their operations and revenues (e.g., what rate of absenteeism
might their organisation expect; how will their supply chain be
affected; how will demand for their goods and services be
impacted; how will their benefits costs change) and ultimately
build scenarios to determine which interventions are most
worthy of their investment.
So, while it is not a frequent occurrence, the severity of impact
on a business from a pandemic can be incredibly high and
should not be underestimated.
13	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
14	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Multiple
38%
22%
41%
17%
33%
50%
13%
38%
50%
44%
22%
33%
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
29%
42%
29%
43%
18%
38%
8%
33%
58%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
42%
39%
20%
No, not really Unsure Yes, absolutely
Pandemic Risk / Health Crisis
15	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Pension Scheme
Funding Risk
Given research indicates both private and public defined-benefit pension plans are
currently less than 75% funded, would you agree with the ranking of pension scheme
funding at #47?
Respondents’ View
With the world’s population living longer and staying more
active in their retirement and research that shows that private
and public defined- benefit pension plans are currently less
than 75 percent funded, we felt that a ranking of #47 for the
risk of pension scheme funding seems low. However, only
36 percent of the respondents agreed with our view and
27 percent thought it was rated correctly which further
surprised us.
Aon’s View
The low ranking could be reflective of the respondent base
and their familiarity with the risk. This is clearly illustrated by
38 percent of respondents indicating unsure. Maybe the
importance of pension scheme funding does not rank at the
top of the most pressing C-suite issues, however not effectively
monitoring or allocating the appropriate resources to manage
this risk could lead to an unexpected and damaging effect to
your balance sheet.
15	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
16	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Multiple
46%
32%
22%
37%
37%
25%
50%
25%
26%
44%
56%
0%
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
33%
33%
33%
37%
37%
26%
50%
33%
17%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
36%
27%
38%
No, not really Unsure Yes, absolutely
Pension Scheme Funding Risk
17	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Terrorism Risk
Are you surprised that with the current political unrest in various parts of the world, plus
the recent terror attacks in the US, the terrorism risk is only ranked at #46?
Respondents’ View
Fifty-two percent of respondents stated that at a ranking of
#46, terrorism risk was ranked too low, while surprisingly 41
percent were not shocked by its ranking. It was the larger
organisations (over USD 1 billion) who were the least
surprised by the findings.
Aon’s View
It is barely conceivable that a little over a decade after one of
the most impactful risk events in recent world history, the
ranking for terrorism is so low. Not a day goes by without
news of political unrest and terrorist attacks which are taking
place all over the globe destroying endless lives and
livelihoods, but it seems that the world has become
de-sensitised to them as those events occur too frequently
and have almost become a “normal” part of our lives.
Or could it be that it is a case of “out of sight—out of mind”
if they are not happening at our doorsteps?
The sad truth is that terrorism attacks are not confined to
politically or economically unstable regions. They can happen
anywhere, anytime and without reason but their horrible
commonality is that the results are almost always devastating.
Based on this research it appears larger organisations place a
much lower priority on this risk which leads us to the belief
that they are better prepared for such events and have
appropriate measures in place to address and manage the
impact of human and economic loss to their organisations
either through insurance or business continuity planning.
But can any of us be fully prepared for these events and their
direct and downstream impacts? How would these same
organisations answer this question in the event of the
Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) not being renewed in the
United States resulting in insurance carriers limiting or
excluding coverage for terrorism events?
17	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
18	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Multiple
30%
8%62%
4%
50%
38%
0%
63%
46%
33%
44%
22%
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
63%
29%
8%
46%
5%
49%
17%
33%
50%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
41%
52%
7%
No, not really Unsure Yes, absolutely
Terrorism Risk
19	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Creativity in the
Insurance Industry
Does the insurance industry need to be more creative around product development
to meet increasingly complex risk exposures? Please rank between 1 and 10 with
1 being no need and 10 being absolute must.
Respondents’ View
Bourne out of the observation that the majority of risks ranked
in the top 10 are only partially insurable, if at all, and the general
perception that the insurance industry is not one universally
known for its rapid development of innovative and creative
product solutions, we were keen to hear if respondents would
see the need for the industry to become more creative around
product development.
Overall, 76 percent of respondents desired for the industry to
become more creative, especially around increasingly complex
risks exposures with respondents from EMEA (89 percent) and
clients over USD 1 billion in revenue (79 percent) feeling the
strongest need for this development.
When discussing the above topic with a panel of insurance
experts, their feedback was that a tremendous amount of
innovation and creativity is already taking place within the
industry, however as a number of those creative solutions
are not commoditised offerings, maybe the way the insurance
market communicates those solutions to their clients is not
as effective as it could be.
Aon’s View
We as an industry, risk managers, risk advisors and insurance
carriers, must continue to evolve and innovate to stay relevant in
this rapidly changing business environment. Risk managers need
to become more multi-dimensional with their understanding of
risk; risk advisors must do a better job of educating and
consulting with their clients on all aspects on risk not just
insurable risk; and carriers need to be more proactive and
creative in developing solutions for complex business risks and
communicate more effectively when the solutions are developed.
A key component of innovation is to improve an organisation’s
abilities to anticipate customer needs and produce products
to meet those future needs. Some companies have established
elaborate programmes to capture customer data and feedback
and carefully analyse this to determine their needs,
recommendations and desire for future products and services.
At the same time, management needs to be aware that
customer feedback has limitations because people can’t always
identify what it is they’ll want in the future. But strategically,
you can’t plan for right now; you have to plan for the future
if you want to ensure your company’s survival.
Innovation often comes from the producer—not from the
customer. Henry Ford once said that if he’d asked his customers
what they wanted, they would’ve asked for a faster horse.
19	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
20	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
89%
9%
23%
68%
63%
38%
7%
55%
11%
33%
Americas
EMEA
4%
APAC
0%
Multiple
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
65%
12%
22%
5%
16%
79%
18%
81%
0%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
6%
18%
76%
Risk 7-10
Low need
for creativity
Risk 5-6
Medium need
for creativity
Risk 1-4
High need
for creativity
Creativity and the Insurance Industry
21	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Risk Management Spend
Has the organisation(s) you represent increased the focus on risk management
with additional spend/resources on programmes in the last 12 months?
Respondents’ View
An increased focus in risk management is apparent in the
research findings. The majority (70 percent) of all industry
groups indicated a marginal or significant increase in additional
spend / resources on programmes in the last 12 months. This
majority increase in spend / resources is consistent along
defined regions and revenue lines.
Aon’s View
This upward trend in risk management spend is a very positive
indicator that we may have turned the corner following many
years of decreasing risk management budgets resulting from
the financial crisis.
We also feel it may be a reflection that the Board of Directors
of companies remain under increasing pressure from various
stakeholders to maintain effective oversight of risk management
discipline and results within their organisations. This, coupled
with a rising interest in risk management as a competitive
advantage both in decision-making (tackling the risk the
organisation wants or needs to take, and planning accordingly)
and event response (crisis management, business continuity,
etc.), could be the reason why not only focus but also spend
has increased and should continue to do so.
21	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
22	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Multiple
26%
3%
60%
11%
5%
49%
23%
25%
50%
0%
25%
23%
33%
33%
11%
22%
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
13%
48%
30%
9%
23%
2%
21%
55%
18%
27%
18%
36%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
25%
51%
19%
5%
No, not really Unsure Yes, marginally Yes, significantly
Risk Management Spend
23	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Failure to Attract or
Retain Top Talent
Failure to attract or retain top talent is a main concern for organisations. However, only
56% of respondents to the Global Risk Management Survey who ranked this risk at #5
actually have talent attraction and retention plans in place. Do you feel the complexity
of these risks have been fully understood by organisations?
Respondents’ View
The majority of captive directors who took part in this
research acknowledge that they only partially understand
the complexity of these risks. This view remained consistent
across both regional and revenue results as well.
Aon’s View
One of the key differentiators of an organisation, besides its
product, services or brand is its workforce. People with unique
skill sets, the right set of behaviours, a clear understanding of the
company’s strategy and how to represent a company’s value—in
short, true brand ambassadors—are often difficult to attract and
certainly should be well looked after so they can be retained for
maximum benefit to the organisation. Based on the Global Risk
Management Survey and follow-up research it seems that this is
an issue that is of importance to organisations but has not yet
been properly addressed or understood across the board.
Would Apple have been the same without Steve Jobs as the face
of the organisation? Clearly not, but then again, without the
right company strategy and team to support and commercialise
his vision he would have not been able to create the same
success story.
While the company is continuing successfully without him, some
say the loss of the face of the brand has impacted negatively
on Apple’s reputation, creativity and bottom line which throws
up the question of why this is happening if there was a clear
understanding of the risks associated with having one key person
have such a huge impact on a company’s vision and strategy.
Is there anything that they could have done better or is this truly
a unique situation created by an irreplaceable CEO?
We think that organisations who are concerned about their
ability to remain at the top of their game need to have a clear
vision, great leadership, a robust succession plan and a
strategy that can be executed without relying on just one
of these components.
Organisations that build an edge to their ability to retain and
attract talents will thrive in the tough competitive marketplace.
23	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
24	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Multiple
3%
77%
6%
14%
67%
14%
12%
25%
63%
0%
13%
7%
11%
89%
0% 0%
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
13%
13%
74%
8%
71%
15%
6%
73%
27%
0% 0%
0%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
5%
10%
13%
72%
No, not at all No, only partially Unsure Yes, completely
Failure to Attract or Retain Top Talent
25	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Unethical Behaviour
The effect of unethical behaviour can have huge implications on a company’s brand and
survival. At a ranking of #43 do you feel the connection between unethical behaviour and
damage to reputation/brand is fully appreciated?
Respondents’ View
If a sporting goods manufacturer sponsors an athlete who in
turn has been exposed as a cheat, be it through performance
enhancing drugs or match fixing, the only way to protect the
company’s reputation is to distance itself from the athlete and
therefore step away from any unethical behaviour connected to
their brand. Everyone would agree that this is a sensible and
logical thing to do, but do company directors fully appreciate the
connection of unethical behaviour within their organisation and
its potentially crippling impact on their brand and bottom line?
It seems that it is only partially understood as 69 percent of
respondents stated that they thought the connection was not
fully appreciated.
Aon’s View
At a ranking of #43 unethical behaviour should not be forgotten
as this can not only damage but destroy organisations, be it from
the inside through embezzlement or harassment, or through an
affiliation with a business partner, supplier, etc. who uses
unethical practices in their business. With social media becoming
more prominent, any association with unethical behaviour can
ruin a company’s reputation within the space of hours, if not
minutes, as it can be broadcast to millions in an instant.
As with most of the risks mentioned, this final one should never
be seen in isolation and risk managers should be aware that it is
not always the big issues that can cause the largest exposures,
it could simply be a disgruntled employee venting on a social
media site that spirals out of control.
For many organisations, a comprehensive reputation risk control
strategy can prevent a critical event from turning into an
uncontrollable crisis and help maximise the probability of
recovery. Those that have a firm grip on their brand and are
better prepared can weather a crisis with minimum damage.
In fact, in some cases, companies that successfully navigate a
crisis can actually build additional value.
25	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
26	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Multiple
23%
57%
6%
14%
74%
2%
7%
88%
0% 0%
13%
16%
11%
11%
78%
0%
Regional Response
Not available USD 1B  USD 1B
13%
9%
65%
19%
69%
8%
3%
73%
9%
9%
9%
13%
Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response
17%
5%
9%
69%
No, not at all No, only partially Unsure Yes, completely
Unethical Behavior
27	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
This web-based research was conducted with Executive and Non-
Executive Directors of captive insurance companies to provide
feedback on certain issues connected to the findings first published
in the Aon Global Risk Management Survey 2013.
Aon Risk Solutions conducted this research and key insurance and
industry specialists provided supporting insight and helped with
the interpretation of findings.
All responses for individual organisations are held confidential,
with only consolidated data being incorporated into this report.
Percentages for some of the responses may not add up to 100
percent due to rounding or respondents being able to select more
than one answer. All revenue amounts are shown in US Dollars.
Methodology
28	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
Based in Dublin, Ireland, the Aon Centre for Innovation and Analytics provides Aon colleagues and their
clients around the globe fact-based market insights. As the owner of the Aon GRIP, one of the world’s
largest repositories of risk and insurance placement information, the Centre analyses Aon’s global premium
flow to identify innovative new products and to provide Aon brokers insights as to which markets and
which carriers provide the best value for clients.
Aon Global Risk Insight Platform®
(Aon GRIPSM
) is the world’s leading global repository of global risk and
insurance placement information. By providing fact-based insights into Aon’s global premium flow, Aon
GRIP helps identify the best placement option regardless of size, industry, coverage line or geography.
The Web-accessible data produced by Aon GRIP helps Aon brokers evaluate which markets to approach
with a placement and which carriers may provide the best value for clients. It also gives Aon brokers a leg
up when it comes to negotiations, making sure every conversation is based on the most complete, most
current set of facts.
Inno
vation and Ana
lytics
Th
e
Aon Centre
for
•
•
Aon plc (NYSE:AON) is the leading global provider of risk management, insurance and reinsurance brokerage, and human resources
solutions and outsourcing services. Through its more than 65,000 colleagues worldwide, Aon unites to empower results for clients in over
120 countries via innovative and effective risk and people solutions and through industry-leading global resources and technical expertise.
Aon has been named repeatedly as the world’s best broker, best insurance intermediary, reinsurance intermediary, captives manager and
best employee benefits consulting firm by multiple industry sources. Visit www.aon.com for more information on Aon and www.aon.com/
manchesterunited to learn about Aon’s global partnership and shirt sponsorship with Manchester United.
Aon at a Glance
Aon’s Captive  Insurance Management team manages approximately 1,450 insurance entities worldwide
including captives, protected and incorporated cell facilities, special purpose vehicles and specialist
insurance and reinsurance companies.
As a business unit within Aon’s Global Risk Consulting group, we leverage the diverse risk consulting
expertise required for a successful risk management programme. Our consulting and management teams
work closely together to create and implement innovative solutions.
Aon Captive 
Insurance
Management
29	 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
For Report Inquiries
Stephen Cross
Chairman
Aon Centre for Innovation  Analytics
Aon Risk Solutions
stephen.cross@aon.ie
Peter Mullen
Chief Executive Officer
Aon Captive and Insurance Management
Aon Risk Solutions
peter.mullen@aon.com
+1.441.278.1769
George M. Zsolnay IV
Head of Aon Analytics – U.S.
Aon Centre for Innovation  Analytics
Aon Risk Solutions
george.zsolnay@aon.com
+1.312.381.3955
Tina Reschke
Director of Marketing
Aon Global Risk Consulting
Aon Risk Solutions
tina.reschke@aon.co.uk
+44.20.7086.0384
For Media and Press Inquiries
North America
Cybil Rose
Account Director
KemperLesknik
cybil.rose@kemperlesnik.com
+1.312.755.3537
Key Contacts
Rest of World
Sarah Booker
PR Manager
Aon Risk Solutions
sarah.booker@aon.co.uk
+44.20.7086.4872
Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. Empower Results®
© Aon plc 2014. All rights reserved.
The information contained herein and the statements
expressed are of a general nature and are not intended to
address the circumstances of any particular individual or
entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely
information and use sources we consider reliable, there can
be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the
date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the
future. No one should act on such information without
appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination
of the particular situation.

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Aon's Underrated Threats Report

  • 1. Aon Risk Solutions Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. Empower Results® Underrated threats? Research into the evolving world of risk 42 1 ? 5? ? 376 33 8 11 15 ? 946 25 4014 27 17 ?
  • 2. 2 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Introduction 3 Insurable vs Uninsurable Risk 6 Respondent Profile 7 Computer Crimes / Hacking / Viruses / Malicious Codes 9 Interdependency of Risk 11 Pandemic Risk / Health Crisis 13 Pension Scheme Funding Risk 15 Terrorism Risk 17 Creativity in the Insurance Industry 19 Increased Focus on Risk Management Spend 21 Failure to Attract or Retain Top Talent 23 Unethical Behaviour 25 Methodology 27 Aon at a Glance 28 Key Contacts 29
  • 3. 3 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Global Risk Management Survey Risk Ranking *Where two risks are shown under the same number, that indicates a tie. As part of our efforts to help companies stay abreast of emerging issues and learn what their peers are doing to manage risks and capture opportunities, we have conducted the fourth biennial Global Risk Management Survey (GRMS). It gathered input from 1,415 respondents from 70 countries in all regions of the world and from companies of all sizes and has the most comprehensive peer- provided risk data in the industry, capturing the latest risk trends and priorities companies face. The report unveiled the top 50 risks as well as hidden risks facing organisations today, illustrating the importance of no longer evaluating risk in isolation but considering the relationship of risks to establish and maintain a successful risk management programme. The top risks facing organisations today are: Introduction 1 Economic slowdown / slow recovery 2 Regulatory / legislative changes 3 Increasing competition 4 Damage to reputation / brand 5 Failure to attract or retain top talent 6 Failure to innovate / meet customer needs 7 Business interruption 8 Commodity price risk 9 Cash flow / liquidity risk 10 Political risk / uncertainties 11 Exchange rate fluctuation 12 Technology failure / system failure 13 Third-party liability 14 Distribution or supply chain failure 15 Capital availability / credit risk 16 Weather / natural disasters 17 Property damage 18 Computer crime / hacking / viruses / malicious codes 19 Growing burden and consequences of corporate governance / compliance 20 Counter party credit risk 21 Lack of technology / infrastructure to support business needs 22 Inadequate succession planning 23 Failure of disaster recovery plan / business continuity plan 24 Crime / theft / fraud / employee dishonesty 25 Injury to workers 26 Workforce shortage 27 Merger / acquisition / restructuring 28 Environmental risk 29 Loss of intellectual property / data 30 Failure to implement or communicate strategy 31 Interest rate fluctuation 32 Globalization / emerging markets Natural resource scarcity / availability of raw materials 34 Directors & Officers personal liability Understaffing 36 Product recall 37 Corporate social responsibility / sustainability 38 Climate change 39 Absenteeism 40 Social media Asset value volatility 42 Share price volatility 43 Unethical behavior 44 Pandemic risk / health crisis 45 Outsourcing 46 Terrorism / sabotage 47 Pension scheme funding 48 Sovereign debt 49 Harassment / discrimination Kidnap and ransom / extortion
  • 4. 4 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Damage to brand and reputation, ranked #4, is listed as a key risk but many other lower ranking risks for example, Unethical Behaviour, ranked #43, or Social Media risks, ranked #40, could have a huge impact on brand and reputation. This constellation effect of, or interconnectivity between risks might not always have been recognised by organisations, but could have a significant impact on their approach to risk management and overall business performance. The above and several additional findings invoked further questions as we were very surprised by some of the outcomes. To double check those findings and to get a more holistic view of the perception of those threats from an audience that has a broad depth of knowledge and global experience across a multitude of different industries, we decided to conduct more research with Executive and Non-Executive Directors of captive companies which Aon manages to gain their insight and perspectives. Hence, our first research report into the perceived importance of risks as seen by captive directors was created and launched. The research includes responses from over 100 Executive and Non- Executive Directors and the areas we wanted to find out more about are covered in the following list of questions: Survey Questions: 1 Given the recent cyber-attack on Associate Press relating to a false report on an attack on the White House, which had a temporary but immediate impact on the Stock Market, do you feel that at ranking of #18 computer crimes / hacking / viruses / malicious codes is underrated? 2 As a result of the Japanese tsunami, 41% of affected companies interviewed by the Business Continuity Institute stated that it took more than 6 months for their supply chain to fully recover. Do you think risks are becoming more interdependent in this global economy? 3 With the dramatic increase in numbers of international travelers globally from 683 million journeys in 2000 to over 1 billion journeys in 2011, do you think that the pandemic risk/health crisis ranked at #44 is underrated? 4 Given research indicates both private and public defined- benefit pension plans are currently less than 75% funded, would you agree with the ranking of pension scheme funding at #47? 5 Does the insurance industry need to be more creative around product development to meet increasingly complex risk exposures? Please rank between 1 and 10 with 1 being no need and 10 being absolute must. Introduction
  • 5. 5 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions 6 Are you surprised that with the current political unrest in various parts of the world, plus the recent terror attacks in the US, the terrorism risk is only ranked at #46? 7 Has the organisation(s) you represent, increased the focus on risk management with additional spend/resources on programmes in the last 12 months? 8 Failure to attract or retain top talent is a main concern for organisations. However, only 56% of respondents to the Global Risk Management Survey who ranked this risk at #5 actually have talent attraction and retention plans in place. Do you feel the complexity of these risks have been fully understood by organisations? 9 The effect of unethical behaviour can have huge implications on a company’s brand and survival. At a ranking of #43 do you feel the connection between unethical behaviour and damage to reputation/brand is fully appreciated? In conducting this and other research, it has become clear that risks are growing in complexity, becoming increasingly interdependent, and require more innovative and creative solutions. This is illustrated in the following Insurable versus Uninsurable Risk Exhibit. The majority of the top 10 risks are uninsurable or only partially insurable and the view is similar for the remaining risks. Natural catastrophes are a good example of this; while insurance exists to cover some of the loss, the large economic loss, especially in developing countries, is typically a multiple of insured losses. By way of example, according to Aon Benfield, global economic losses caused by Natural Catastrophes for the first 6 months of 2013 were USD85 billion while reported insured losses were only around USD20 billion. Clearly there is a gap. The question is how, and if, as an industry, we can fill these gaps? All of us, risk managers, risk advisors and insurance carriers must continue to evolve and innovate to stay relevant in this rapidly changing business environment. Risk managers need to become more multi-dimensional about their understanding of risk, risk advisors must do a better job of educating and consulting with our clients on all aspects of risk and beyond the insurable risk, and insurance carriers need to be more flexible and creative in providing solutions around these complex exposures. Introduction
  • 6. 6 Underratedthreats | AonRiskSolutions 1 Economicslowdown/ slowrecovery 2 Regulatory/ legislativechanges 3 Increasing competition 4 Damageto reputation/brand 5 Failuretoattract orretaintoptalent 6 Failuretoinnovate/ meetcustomerneeds 7 Business interruption 8 Commodity pricerisk 9 Cashflow/ liquidityrisk 10 Politicalrisk/ uncertainties 11 Exchangerate fluctuation 12 Technologyfailure/ systemfailure 13 Third-partyliability 14 Distributionor supplychainfailure 15 Capitalavailability/ creditrisk 16 Weather/ naturaldisasters 17 Property damage 18 Computercrime/ hacking/viruses/ maliciouscodes 19 Growingburden andconsequences ofcorporate governance/compliance 20 Counterparty creditrisk 21 Lackoftechnology/ infrastructure tosupportbusinessneeds 22 Inadequate successionplanning 23 Failureofdisaster recoveryplan/business continuityplan 24 Crime/theft/fraud/ employeedishonesty 25 Injuryto workers 26 Workforce shortage 27 Merger/acquisition/ restructuring 28 Environmental risk 29 Lossofintellectual property/data 30 Failuretoimplement orcommunicatestrategy 31 Interestratefluctuation 32 Globalization/ emergingmarkets Naturalresourcescarcity/ availabilityofrawmaterials 34 DirectorsOfficers personalliability 34 Understaffing 36 Productrecall 37 Corporatesocial responsibility/ sustainability 38 Climatechange 39 Absenteeism 40 Socialmedia Assetvaluevolatility 42 Sharepricevolatility 43 Unethicalbehavior 44 Pandemicrisk/ healthcrisis 45 Outsourcing 46 Terrorism/sabotage 47 Pensionschemefunding 48 Sovereigndebt 49 Harassment/ discrimination Kidnapandransom/ extortion InsurablevsUninsurableRisk Introduction UninsurableRisk InsurableRisk PartiallyInsurableRisk
  • 7. Respondent Profile This is Aon’s first research report into the perceived importance of risks as seen by Captive Directors. It analyses the responses from over 100 organisations representing a broad range of countries, revenue sizes and business sectors. It presents key findings from the 2013 Global Risk Management Survey and asks Captive Executive and Non-Executive Directors for their opinions on the rankings of various risks and findings as identified by over 1,400 risk decision makers including risk managers, CFOs and CEOs globally. 7 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 8. 8 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Respondent Profile USD 1B USD 1B Not Available Research Respondents by Revenue 24% 64% 12% Research Respondents by Region Americas 37% EMEA 46% APAC 8% Multiple 10%
  • 9. 9 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Computer Crimes / Hacking / Viruses / Malicious Codes Given the recent cyber-attack on Associate Press relating to a false report on an attack on the White House, which had a temporary but immediate impact on the Stock Market, do you feel that at ranking of #18 computer crimes / hacking / viruses / malicious codes is underrated? Respondents’ View Overall 83 percent of respondents feel that computer crimes / hacking / viruses / malicious codes ranking of #18 in the Global Risk Management Survey was severely or perhaps underrated. This finding remained consistent along regional and revenue breakouts. Aon’s View We completely agree with the view of the respondents that this risk continues to be hugely underestimated. Successful businesses increasingly use technology to increase sales, maximise efficiency and reduce expenses. Evolving technologies such as cloud computing, social media, mobile devices and big data analytics have helped entities achieve profits and reach operational goals. However, these same businesses face an increasingly diverse and sophisticated array of threats to the security of their information management systems. Cyber theft, fraud, sabotage, espionage, and hacking (including from governments) are more frequent in the social media age and the associated costs with information security breaches are increasing for entities in every industry sector – from Retail, Financial Institutions, Healthcare, Hospitality, Media, Communications, Technology, Consulting and Professional Services to Manufacturing and Transportation. The legal exposure, reputational harm and business interruptions that may result can wreak havoc on a company’s bottom line. We believe our Chief Executive Officer, Gregory C. Case, said it best: “Our advice is that companies should understand that cyber risk is no longer on the horizon.” 9 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 10. 10 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Americas EMEA APAC Multiple 59% 8% 8% 24% 59% 11% 63% 0% 13% 25% 7% 24% 56% 0% 22%22% Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 33% 58% 4% 4% 9% 9% 57% 25% 25% 8% 67% No 0% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 10% 7% 58% 25% 83%saidriskwas underrated No Unsure Yes, perhaps Yes, severely Computer Crimes / Hacking / Viruses / Malicious Codes
  • 11. 11 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Interdependency of Risk As a result of the Japanese tsunami, 41% of affected companies interviewed by the Business Continuity Institute stated that it took more than 6 months for their supply chain to fully recover. Do you think risks are becoming more interdependent in this global economy? Respondents’ View Respondents to this research overwhelmingly indicated, by nearly a 9 in 10 margin, that risks are becoming more interdependent. Aon’s View In today’s globally interdependent environment, risks to businesses, no longer isolated by industry or geography, are becoming complex in nature and global in consequence. This has been clearly illustrated in the past two Global Risk Management Survey findings which highlight the interdependency among many of the identified top risks as well as risks outside of the top 10 rankings. For example, political risk can impair an organisation’s ability to procure raw materials or energy from affected foreign nations, posing a threat to supply chain and leading to business interruption and damages to reputation. A company with damaged reputation might find it hard to attract talent and the lack of talent would result in failure to innovate and meet customer needs. The list goes on. This interdependency between risks shows that organisations can no longer evaluate risk in isolation but must consider their interconnectedness. Failure to do so could result in underestimating the impact of risks and misdirect a company’s risk management priorities. With the complexity and interconnectivity of risks rising, so are the responsibilities of those who are tasked to control, manage and mitigate them. Therefore, can one individual know enough about managing the threats? Should a company’s risks be managed by a team of strategic experts not necessarily part of the organisation or even by the directors responsible for the respective business areas? Questions only to be answered on an individual basis, but collectively their answers could herald a change in the role of risk management in the future. 11 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Political risk Damage toreputation Businessinterruption Failure to innovate / meet customer needs Disruption to supply chain Failure to attract or retain top talent
  • 12. 12 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Americas EMEA APAC Multiple 95% 5% 85% 7% 88% 0% 13% 9% 0% 89% 0% 11% Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 83% 8% 8% 5% 5% 91% 17% 83% 0% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 7% 5% 88% No, not really Unsure Yes, absolutely Interdependency of Risk
  • 13. 13 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Pandemic Risk / Health Crisis With the dramatic increase in numbers of international travelers globally from 683 million journeys in 2000 to over 1 billion journeys in 2011, do you think that the pandemic risk/ health crisis ranked at #44 is underrated? Respondents’ View With the number of international travelers increasing year on year and resistance to antibiotics growing in the developed world, the low-ranking of pandemic or health crisis risk ranked at #44 was another unexpected result in our original survey. We were shocked to see that respondents were undecided on this ranking; 39 percent saw it as underrated but 42 percent did not, and we as the solutions advisors have a completely different view to our clients. Aon’s View On the 2nd of April 2003 the outbreak of SARS led to the first travel restriction imposed onto Hong Kong and the Guandong province in southern China, by 23rd of April this was extended to Toronto and Beijing and by May 17th it included Taipei. It then took over 6 weeks for all travel alerts to be lifted and for the global economy to be running as before. Say your company relied on a key supplier based in southern China, not only would there have been a massive disruption to your supply chain, but you might not have been able to go anywhere in the region to source an alternative supplier. This in turn could have led to production issues, which then probably created customer complaints, potential reputational damage and in the end to a decline in sales causing a seriously detrimental impact on your bottom line. In fact, the cost of SARS for the world economy as a whole was close to USD40 billion and even regions which had no noticeable outbreak, like Eastern Europe and Russia suffered a decline of 0.06 percent in GDP in 2003. With China being an even bigger economic powerhouse now than it was in 2003 we can only imagine the massive increase in impact on the world economy if a similar situation would arise today. The best solution to pandemic risk therefore is a consulting process that helps businesses to identify the risks at their specific organisation, build quantitative scenarios that help to understand how their particular pandemic exposure will impact their operations and revenues (e.g., what rate of absenteeism might their organisation expect; how will their supply chain be affected; how will demand for their goods and services be impacted; how will their benefits costs change) and ultimately build scenarios to determine which interventions are most worthy of their investment. So, while it is not a frequent occurrence, the severity of impact on a business from a pandemic can be incredibly high and should not be underestimated. 13 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 14. 14 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Americas EMEA APAC Multiple 38% 22% 41% 17% 33% 50% 13% 38% 50% 44% 22% 33% Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 29% 42% 29% 43% 18% 38% 8% 33% 58% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 42% 39% 20% No, not really Unsure Yes, absolutely Pandemic Risk / Health Crisis
  • 15. 15 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Pension Scheme Funding Risk Given research indicates both private and public defined-benefit pension plans are currently less than 75% funded, would you agree with the ranking of pension scheme funding at #47? Respondents’ View With the world’s population living longer and staying more active in their retirement and research that shows that private and public defined- benefit pension plans are currently less than 75 percent funded, we felt that a ranking of #47 for the risk of pension scheme funding seems low. However, only 36 percent of the respondents agreed with our view and 27 percent thought it was rated correctly which further surprised us. Aon’s View The low ranking could be reflective of the respondent base and their familiarity with the risk. This is clearly illustrated by 38 percent of respondents indicating unsure. Maybe the importance of pension scheme funding does not rank at the top of the most pressing C-suite issues, however not effectively monitoring or allocating the appropriate resources to manage this risk could lead to an unexpected and damaging effect to your balance sheet. 15 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 16. 16 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Americas EMEA APAC Multiple 46% 32% 22% 37% 37% 25% 50% 25% 26% 44% 56% 0% Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 33% 33% 33% 37% 37% 26% 50% 33% 17% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 36% 27% 38% No, not really Unsure Yes, absolutely Pension Scheme Funding Risk
  • 17. 17 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Terrorism Risk Are you surprised that with the current political unrest in various parts of the world, plus the recent terror attacks in the US, the terrorism risk is only ranked at #46? Respondents’ View Fifty-two percent of respondents stated that at a ranking of #46, terrorism risk was ranked too low, while surprisingly 41 percent were not shocked by its ranking. It was the larger organisations (over USD 1 billion) who were the least surprised by the findings. Aon’s View It is barely conceivable that a little over a decade after one of the most impactful risk events in recent world history, the ranking for terrorism is so low. Not a day goes by without news of political unrest and terrorist attacks which are taking place all over the globe destroying endless lives and livelihoods, but it seems that the world has become de-sensitised to them as those events occur too frequently and have almost become a “normal” part of our lives. Or could it be that it is a case of “out of sight—out of mind” if they are not happening at our doorsteps? The sad truth is that terrorism attacks are not confined to politically or economically unstable regions. They can happen anywhere, anytime and without reason but their horrible commonality is that the results are almost always devastating. Based on this research it appears larger organisations place a much lower priority on this risk which leads us to the belief that they are better prepared for such events and have appropriate measures in place to address and manage the impact of human and economic loss to their organisations either through insurance or business continuity planning. But can any of us be fully prepared for these events and their direct and downstream impacts? How would these same organisations answer this question in the event of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) not being renewed in the United States resulting in insurance carriers limiting or excluding coverage for terrorism events? 17 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 18. 18 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Americas EMEA APAC Multiple 30% 8%62% 4% 50% 38% 0% 63% 46% 33% 44% 22% Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 63% 29% 8% 46% 5% 49% 17% 33% 50% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 41% 52% 7% No, not really Unsure Yes, absolutely Terrorism Risk
  • 19. 19 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Creativity in the Insurance Industry Does the insurance industry need to be more creative around product development to meet increasingly complex risk exposures? Please rank between 1 and 10 with 1 being no need and 10 being absolute must. Respondents’ View Bourne out of the observation that the majority of risks ranked in the top 10 are only partially insurable, if at all, and the general perception that the insurance industry is not one universally known for its rapid development of innovative and creative product solutions, we were keen to hear if respondents would see the need for the industry to become more creative around product development. Overall, 76 percent of respondents desired for the industry to become more creative, especially around increasingly complex risks exposures with respondents from EMEA (89 percent) and clients over USD 1 billion in revenue (79 percent) feeling the strongest need for this development. When discussing the above topic with a panel of insurance experts, their feedback was that a tremendous amount of innovation and creativity is already taking place within the industry, however as a number of those creative solutions are not commoditised offerings, maybe the way the insurance market communicates those solutions to their clients is not as effective as it could be. Aon’s View We as an industry, risk managers, risk advisors and insurance carriers, must continue to evolve and innovate to stay relevant in this rapidly changing business environment. Risk managers need to become more multi-dimensional with their understanding of risk; risk advisors must do a better job of educating and consulting with their clients on all aspects on risk not just insurable risk; and carriers need to be more proactive and creative in developing solutions for complex business risks and communicate more effectively when the solutions are developed. A key component of innovation is to improve an organisation’s abilities to anticipate customer needs and produce products to meet those future needs. Some companies have established elaborate programmes to capture customer data and feedback and carefully analyse this to determine their needs, recommendations and desire for future products and services. At the same time, management needs to be aware that customer feedback has limitations because people can’t always identify what it is they’ll want in the future. But strategically, you can’t plan for right now; you have to plan for the future if you want to ensure your company’s survival. Innovation often comes from the producer—not from the customer. Henry Ford once said that if he’d asked his customers what they wanted, they would’ve asked for a faster horse. 19 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 20. 20 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions 89% 9% 23% 68% 63% 38% 7% 55% 11% 33% Americas EMEA 4% APAC 0% Multiple Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 65% 12% 22% 5% 16% 79% 18% 81% 0% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 6% 18% 76% Risk 7-10 Low need for creativity Risk 5-6 Medium need for creativity Risk 1-4 High need for creativity Creativity and the Insurance Industry
  • 21. 21 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Risk Management Spend Has the organisation(s) you represent increased the focus on risk management with additional spend/resources on programmes in the last 12 months? Respondents’ View An increased focus in risk management is apparent in the research findings. The majority (70 percent) of all industry groups indicated a marginal or significant increase in additional spend / resources on programmes in the last 12 months. This majority increase in spend / resources is consistent along defined regions and revenue lines. Aon’s View This upward trend in risk management spend is a very positive indicator that we may have turned the corner following many years of decreasing risk management budgets resulting from the financial crisis. We also feel it may be a reflection that the Board of Directors of companies remain under increasing pressure from various stakeholders to maintain effective oversight of risk management discipline and results within their organisations. This, coupled with a rising interest in risk management as a competitive advantage both in decision-making (tackling the risk the organisation wants or needs to take, and planning accordingly) and event response (crisis management, business continuity, etc.), could be the reason why not only focus but also spend has increased and should continue to do so. 21 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 22. 22 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Americas EMEA APAC Multiple 26% 3% 60% 11% 5% 49% 23% 25% 50% 0% 25% 23% 33% 33% 11% 22% Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 13% 48% 30% 9% 23% 2% 21% 55% 18% 27% 18% 36% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 25% 51% 19% 5% No, not really Unsure Yes, marginally Yes, significantly Risk Management Spend
  • 23. 23 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Failure to Attract or Retain Top Talent Failure to attract or retain top talent is a main concern for organisations. However, only 56% of respondents to the Global Risk Management Survey who ranked this risk at #5 actually have talent attraction and retention plans in place. Do you feel the complexity of these risks have been fully understood by organisations? Respondents’ View The majority of captive directors who took part in this research acknowledge that they only partially understand the complexity of these risks. This view remained consistent across both regional and revenue results as well. Aon’s View One of the key differentiators of an organisation, besides its product, services or brand is its workforce. People with unique skill sets, the right set of behaviours, a clear understanding of the company’s strategy and how to represent a company’s value—in short, true brand ambassadors—are often difficult to attract and certainly should be well looked after so they can be retained for maximum benefit to the organisation. Based on the Global Risk Management Survey and follow-up research it seems that this is an issue that is of importance to organisations but has not yet been properly addressed or understood across the board. Would Apple have been the same without Steve Jobs as the face of the organisation? Clearly not, but then again, without the right company strategy and team to support and commercialise his vision he would have not been able to create the same success story. While the company is continuing successfully without him, some say the loss of the face of the brand has impacted negatively on Apple’s reputation, creativity and bottom line which throws up the question of why this is happening if there was a clear understanding of the risks associated with having one key person have such a huge impact on a company’s vision and strategy. Is there anything that they could have done better or is this truly a unique situation created by an irreplaceable CEO? We think that organisations who are concerned about their ability to remain at the top of their game need to have a clear vision, great leadership, a robust succession plan and a strategy that can be executed without relying on just one of these components. Organisations that build an edge to their ability to retain and attract talents will thrive in the tough competitive marketplace. 23 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 24. 24 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Americas EMEA APAC Multiple 3% 77% 6% 14% 67% 14% 12% 25% 63% 0% 13% 7% 11% 89% 0% 0% Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 13% 13% 74% 8% 71% 15% 6% 73% 27% 0% 0% 0% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 5% 10% 13% 72% No, not at all No, only partially Unsure Yes, completely Failure to Attract or Retain Top Talent
  • 25. 25 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Unethical Behaviour The effect of unethical behaviour can have huge implications on a company’s brand and survival. At a ranking of #43 do you feel the connection between unethical behaviour and damage to reputation/brand is fully appreciated? Respondents’ View If a sporting goods manufacturer sponsors an athlete who in turn has been exposed as a cheat, be it through performance enhancing drugs or match fixing, the only way to protect the company’s reputation is to distance itself from the athlete and therefore step away from any unethical behaviour connected to their brand. Everyone would agree that this is a sensible and logical thing to do, but do company directors fully appreciate the connection of unethical behaviour within their organisation and its potentially crippling impact on their brand and bottom line? It seems that it is only partially understood as 69 percent of respondents stated that they thought the connection was not fully appreciated. Aon’s View At a ranking of #43 unethical behaviour should not be forgotten as this can not only damage but destroy organisations, be it from the inside through embezzlement or harassment, or through an affiliation with a business partner, supplier, etc. who uses unethical practices in their business. With social media becoming more prominent, any association with unethical behaviour can ruin a company’s reputation within the space of hours, if not minutes, as it can be broadcast to millions in an instant. As with most of the risks mentioned, this final one should never be seen in isolation and risk managers should be aware that it is not always the big issues that can cause the largest exposures, it could simply be a disgruntled employee venting on a social media site that spirals out of control. For many organisations, a comprehensive reputation risk control strategy can prevent a critical event from turning into an uncontrollable crisis and help maximise the probability of recovery. Those that have a firm grip on their brand and are better prepared can weather a crisis with minimum damage. In fact, in some cases, companies that successfully navigate a crisis can actually build additional value. 25 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions
  • 26. 26 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Americas EMEA APAC Multiple 23% 57% 6% 14% 74% 2% 7% 88% 0% 0% 13% 16% 11% 11% 78% 0% Regional Response Not available USD 1B USD 1B 13% 9% 65% 19% 69% 8% 3% 73% 9% 9% 9% 13% Revenue ResponseAll Industry Response 17% 5% 9% 69% No, not at all No, only partially Unsure Yes, completely Unethical Behavior
  • 27. 27 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions This web-based research was conducted with Executive and Non- Executive Directors of captive insurance companies to provide feedback on certain issues connected to the findings first published in the Aon Global Risk Management Survey 2013. Aon Risk Solutions conducted this research and key insurance and industry specialists provided supporting insight and helped with the interpretation of findings. All responses for individual organisations are held confidential, with only consolidated data being incorporated into this report. Percentages for some of the responses may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding or respondents being able to select more than one answer. All revenue amounts are shown in US Dollars. Methodology
  • 28. 28 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions Based in Dublin, Ireland, the Aon Centre for Innovation and Analytics provides Aon colleagues and their clients around the globe fact-based market insights. As the owner of the Aon GRIP, one of the world’s largest repositories of risk and insurance placement information, the Centre analyses Aon’s global premium flow to identify innovative new products and to provide Aon brokers insights as to which markets and which carriers provide the best value for clients. Aon Global Risk Insight Platform® (Aon GRIPSM ) is the world’s leading global repository of global risk and insurance placement information. By providing fact-based insights into Aon’s global premium flow, Aon GRIP helps identify the best placement option regardless of size, industry, coverage line or geography. The Web-accessible data produced by Aon GRIP helps Aon brokers evaluate which markets to approach with a placement and which carriers may provide the best value for clients. It also gives Aon brokers a leg up when it comes to negotiations, making sure every conversation is based on the most complete, most current set of facts. Inno vation and Ana lytics Th e Aon Centre for • • Aon plc (NYSE:AON) is the leading global provider of risk management, insurance and reinsurance brokerage, and human resources solutions and outsourcing services. Through its more than 65,000 colleagues worldwide, Aon unites to empower results for clients in over 120 countries via innovative and effective risk and people solutions and through industry-leading global resources and technical expertise. Aon has been named repeatedly as the world’s best broker, best insurance intermediary, reinsurance intermediary, captives manager and best employee benefits consulting firm by multiple industry sources. Visit www.aon.com for more information on Aon and www.aon.com/ manchesterunited to learn about Aon’s global partnership and shirt sponsorship with Manchester United. Aon at a Glance Aon’s Captive Insurance Management team manages approximately 1,450 insurance entities worldwide including captives, protected and incorporated cell facilities, special purpose vehicles and specialist insurance and reinsurance companies. As a business unit within Aon’s Global Risk Consulting group, we leverage the diverse risk consulting expertise required for a successful risk management programme. Our consulting and management teams work closely together to create and implement innovative solutions. Aon Captive Insurance Management
  • 29. 29 Underrated threats  |  Aon Risk Solutions For Report Inquiries Stephen Cross Chairman Aon Centre for Innovation Analytics Aon Risk Solutions stephen.cross@aon.ie Peter Mullen Chief Executive Officer Aon Captive and Insurance Management Aon Risk Solutions peter.mullen@aon.com +1.441.278.1769 George M. Zsolnay IV Head of Aon Analytics – U.S. Aon Centre for Innovation Analytics Aon Risk Solutions george.zsolnay@aon.com +1.312.381.3955 Tina Reschke Director of Marketing Aon Global Risk Consulting Aon Risk Solutions tina.reschke@aon.co.uk +44.20.7086.0384 For Media and Press Inquiries North America Cybil Rose Account Director KemperLesknik cybil.rose@kemperlesnik.com +1.312.755.3537 Key Contacts Rest of World Sarah Booker PR Manager Aon Risk Solutions sarah.booker@aon.co.uk +44.20.7086.4872
  • 30. Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. Empower Results® © Aon plc 2014. All rights reserved. The information contained herein and the statements expressed are of a general nature and are not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information and use sources we consider reliable, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.