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Global Utmaning and Iddri,
Swedish Embassy in Paris, October 27,
2010
An International
Climate Investment
Community
- preparing a post-Cancún agenda
to break the political deadlock
Why a new European
initiative?
1. The political deadlock in the UN-
process
2. Copenhagen left the business
community ”confused about…the
wider…economic implications”
3. ”The green race” – Asian
competition
The political deadlock
- no global treaty in sight
in spite of twenty years of
climate negotiations
- US, China et al are not ready to
agree
The investors’ dilemma
- Copenhagen left the business
community ”confused”
-”a stable global carbon price is
neccessary to form the cornerstone
of any successful policy in the
longer term” (IEA)
- still, no global CO2-price in sight
”The green race”
- EU presently the leader in clean tech
export
- Asian countries determined
to win the race
Emerging consensus *)
on energy and security
- an energy revolution is needed to tackle
climate change
- reduced global pressure on oil is needed
- a low carbon future is a powerful tool for
economic modernization
*) International Energy Agency, World Bank, EU Commission, Major Economies
Forum, World Business Council for Sustainable Development, European Climate
Foundation
Investing in a low carbon
future
- the policy dilemma:
Two main avenues:
- more subsidies?
- or a CO2 price to level the
playing field?
A technology neutral CO2
price
The aim:
levelling the playing field between fossil
technologies and low carbon technologies
The level:
- the present CO2 price 15 € a ton is
”subsidised”,
at least 40 Euro/ton is needed by 2020
The effect:
”Pricing carbon .. is the optimal way of
both generating carbon-finance resources
Three reasons for
a technology neutral CO2
price
- business and consumers, not
governments, will choose
technologies
- will create clear long term
expectations
for investment
- will bring revenues
for the greening of the tax systems
An International
Climate Investment
Community
- a European initiative
- inviting like minded countries
- growing step by step to an
international Community
The basic elements
- reforming European emission
trading
- national tax reforms, less tax on
labour, more tax on carbon
- stringent European standards,
stimulating global standards for
energy efficiency
- a complementary approach
to the UNFCCC-process, not an
alternative approach
- more flexible, more ambitious
- Sharing opportunites
rather than sharing burdens
- similar initiatives exist, could be
integrated
A concept – not a
blueprint
A post Cancún strategy
Input to discussions
among European and likeminded
countries
after COP 16 in Cancun
- some key issues addressed, not all
- to be discussed in Paris, Stockholm,
Beijing, London, Berlin and
Washington
Subsidising or pricing
to level the playing
field?
- att all nödvändig teknik blir lönsam
A price trajectory
to guide investors
Development of the Swedish CO2 tax
general level and industry level
from 2008 industry outside EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Carbon tax (euro/tonne) Carbon tax, industry level (euro/tonne)
General level for 2010 level in figure

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Global utmaning paris 27 oktober 2010

  • 1. Global Utmaning and Iddri, Swedish Embassy in Paris, October 27, 2010 An International Climate Investment Community - preparing a post-Cancún agenda to break the political deadlock
  • 2. Why a new European initiative? 1. The political deadlock in the UN- process 2. Copenhagen left the business community ”confused about…the wider…economic implications” 3. ”The green race” – Asian competition
  • 3. The political deadlock - no global treaty in sight in spite of twenty years of climate negotiations - US, China et al are not ready to agree
  • 4. The investors’ dilemma - Copenhagen left the business community ”confused” -”a stable global carbon price is neccessary to form the cornerstone of any successful policy in the longer term” (IEA) - still, no global CO2-price in sight
  • 5. ”The green race” - EU presently the leader in clean tech export - Asian countries determined to win the race
  • 6. Emerging consensus *) on energy and security - an energy revolution is needed to tackle climate change - reduced global pressure on oil is needed - a low carbon future is a powerful tool for economic modernization *) International Energy Agency, World Bank, EU Commission, Major Economies Forum, World Business Council for Sustainable Development, European Climate Foundation
  • 7. Investing in a low carbon future - the policy dilemma: Two main avenues: - more subsidies? - or a CO2 price to level the playing field?
  • 8. A technology neutral CO2 price The aim: levelling the playing field between fossil technologies and low carbon technologies The level: - the present CO2 price 15 € a ton is ”subsidised”, at least 40 Euro/ton is needed by 2020 The effect: ”Pricing carbon .. is the optimal way of both generating carbon-finance resources
  • 9. Three reasons for a technology neutral CO2 price - business and consumers, not governments, will choose technologies - will create clear long term expectations for investment - will bring revenues for the greening of the tax systems
  • 10. An International Climate Investment Community - a European initiative - inviting like minded countries - growing step by step to an international Community
  • 11. The basic elements - reforming European emission trading - national tax reforms, less tax on labour, more tax on carbon - stringent European standards, stimulating global standards for energy efficiency
  • 12. - a complementary approach to the UNFCCC-process, not an alternative approach - more flexible, more ambitious - Sharing opportunites rather than sharing burdens - similar initiatives exist, could be integrated A concept – not a blueprint
  • 13. A post Cancún strategy Input to discussions among European and likeminded countries after COP 16 in Cancun - some key issues addressed, not all - to be discussed in Paris, Stockholm, Beijing, London, Berlin and Washington
  • 14.
  • 15. Subsidising or pricing to level the playing field? - att all nödvändig teknik blir lönsam
  • 16. A price trajectory to guide investors
  • 17. Development of the Swedish CO2 tax general level and industry level from 2008 industry outside EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Carbon tax (euro/tonne) Carbon tax, industry level (euro/tonne) General level for 2010 level in figure

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