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Trending Toward A Systems View of The Social
Aspects of Zoonosis

Michael J. Manfredo
Human Dimensions of Natural Resources
Colorado State University
Zoonotic Pathogens
                            From Wildlife 54% of
                            All EID

                            Fastest Growing

                            Need to understand
                            “factors that increase
                            contact between
                            wildlife and humans
”



Jones et al. 2008, Nature
Disease Prevalence

               Economic, Demographic,
                  Material Structure




                                                                                Ecological Structure
Institutional & Governance              Psychological Attributes
          Structure                           & Agency




                  Heritability                                                     Rates of Change and
                                                    Social Structure
                                                                                       Conversion
Shifting Thought Affects
Exposure, Transmission, Zoonotic
         Disease Spread
Conditions of   Changing in    Changing Values
Modernization    Social Life     & Behavior
Utilitarian
Ideal World                                 Principles

Wildlife exists                             Manage
for human use                               wildlife so
& enjoyment                                 that humans
                                            benefit
Abundance of
wildlife for                                Needs of
hunting &                                   humans take
fishing                                     priority over
                                            wildlife
                  Ideology: Human Mastery


“Animals and plants are pieces of energy out there
to provide humans with food and inspiration.”
Ideal World
                          Mutualism                Principles

Humans and                                         Animals should
wildlife live side by                              have rights like
side without fear                                  humans

All living things                                  Take care of
part of one big                                    wildlife
family
                                                   Prevent cruelty
Emotional                                          to animals
bonding and             Ideology: Egalitarianism
companionship

No animal
suffering

  “All of us need to protect all creatures on Mother
  Earth. We must speak for the ones who can’t.”
Percent classified as Utilitarians
          50.4




                 25.4
Percent classified as Mutualists
Percent Mutualist by Income

                    50
Percent Mutualist




                    40                                                                                      Hawaii
                                                                  California
                                                                                          Washington
                                                                     Oregon             Nevada           Colorado
                                                                    New Mexico                   Arizona
                    30                                                                           Texas
                                                         Kansas

                                                                               Nebraska
                                         Oklahoma             Utah
                    20         Montana
                          North Dakota        Idaho   Wyoming
                                         South Dakota                                       Alaska

                    10
                         40                         50                                      60                       70

                                   Percent Above the Modal Response ($30,000-$49,999)


                                                             r = .75 (“large” effect)
Simplifi
ed
View
Ratio Map: for every one Mutualist, there
    are X number of Utilitarians (WA)
Percent accepting of moving wolves to
     establish new populations
Risk from the rapid emergence of zoonotic disease borne
   by wildlife is rooted in a dynamic, complex, changing
       social-ecological system. Prediction of disease
    outbreak and disease spread and overall societal
 resilience will occur through interdisciplinary teams that
       attempt to understand these systems and can
      inform development of fully integrated response
                           strategies.
Gelfand et al., Science 2011
Tight                     More Severe Ecological Conditions
  Regions               Army rule systems, less tolerant toward     Disease prevalence, less farmland
                        alcohol, sex, less tolerant of outsiders,   water, forests. greater natural
Southeast Asia          more ethnocentric, less accepting of        disasters
                        deviance from norms, etc


Confucian Nations




Catholic Europe


                                          TT




                                                                                        TT
Protestant Europe
English Speaking Nations
Latin America




Ex-Communist Cultural
Zone
                                       Loose                                          Less
Gelfand et al., Science 2011

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Trending Toward a Systems View of the Social Aspects of Zoonosis

  • 1. Trending Toward A Systems View of The Social Aspects of Zoonosis Michael J. Manfredo Human Dimensions of Natural Resources Colorado State University
  • 2. Zoonotic Pathogens From Wildlife 54% of All EID Fastest Growing Need to understand “factors that increase contact between wildlife and humans
” Jones et al. 2008, Nature
  • 3. Disease Prevalence Economic, Demographic, Material Structure Ecological Structure Institutional & Governance Psychological Attributes Structure & Agency Heritability Rates of Change and Social Structure Conversion
  • 4. Shifting Thought Affects Exposure, Transmission, Zoonotic Disease Spread
  • 5. Conditions of Changing in Changing Values Modernization Social Life & Behavior
  • 6. Utilitarian Ideal World Principles Wildlife exists Manage for human use wildlife so & enjoyment that humans benefit Abundance of wildlife for Needs of hunting & humans take fishing priority over wildlife Ideology: Human Mastery “Animals and plants are pieces of energy out there to provide humans with food and inspiration.”
  • 7. Ideal World Mutualism Principles Humans and Animals should wildlife live side by have rights like side without fear humans All living things Take care of part of one big wildlife family Prevent cruelty Emotional to animals bonding and Ideology: Egalitarianism companionship No animal suffering “All of us need to protect all creatures on Mother Earth. We must speak for the ones who can’t.”
  • 8. Percent classified as Utilitarians 50.4 25.4
  • 10. Percent Mutualist by Income 50 Percent Mutualist 40 Hawaii California Washington Oregon Nevada Colorado New Mexico Arizona 30 Texas Kansas Nebraska Oklahoma Utah 20 Montana North Dakota Idaho Wyoming South Dakota Alaska 10 40 50 60 70 Percent Above the Modal Response ($30,000-$49,999) r = .75 (“large” effect)
  • 12. Ratio Map: for every one Mutualist, there are X number of Utilitarians (WA)
  • 13. Percent accepting of moving wolves to establish new populations
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Risk from the rapid emergence of zoonotic disease borne by wildlife is rooted in a dynamic, complex, changing social-ecological system. Prediction of disease outbreak and disease spread and overall societal resilience will occur through interdisciplinary teams that attempt to understand these systems and can inform development of fully integrated response strategies.
  • 17. Gelfand et al., Science 2011
  • 18. Tight More Severe Ecological Conditions Regions Army rule systems, less tolerant toward Disease prevalence, less farmland alcohol, sex, less tolerant of outsiders, water, forests. greater natural Southeast Asia more ethnocentric, less accepting of disasters deviance from norms, etc Confucian Nations Catholic Europe TT TT Protestant Europe English Speaking Nations Latin America Ex-Communist Cultural Zone Loose Less Gelfand et al., Science 2011

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. For example, residents in urban areas often don’t have to deal with problems typically associated with living near wildlife and are often more supportive of them as “recreational opportunities” to enjoy when in nature. Meanwhile, rural locations where ranching and farming constitute people’s livelihoods are typically less accepting of wolves due to a concern for predation of their livestock. The WVO information presented earlier also may help explain some of these differences (Mutualists, for example, may be more supportive of wolves and less accepting of lethal control).With 50% of Washington’s population living in Seattle and surrounding areas, this is a prime example of how geographic distribution of social data can help in understanding landscape-level issues. High support for wolves does not necessarily mean widespread support.