Walter West HAYS Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

1. HAVE WE FINALLY FOUND
THE ELUSIVE HIGGS BOSON
PARTICLE OF DISASTER
RISK REDUCTION?
DR. Walter Hays
GLOBAL ALLIANCE FOR DISASTER
REDUCTION

2. MY ANSWER
(BASED ON 40 YEARS OF GLOBAL
DISASTERS)
Is YES

3. BACKGROUND

4. RISK ASSESSMENT
ACCEPTABLE RISK
•HAZARD MAPS
•INVENTORY RISK
•VULNERABILITY UNACCEPTABLE RISK
•LOCATION
DISASTER RESILIENCE
DATA BASES YOUR
AND INFORMATION COMMUNITY
INTEGRATED GOALS
POLICIES / PRACTICES:
HAZARDS: •PROTECTION
GROUND SHAKING
GROUND FAILURE •PREPAREDNESS
SURFACE FAULTING
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
•EARLY WARNING
TSUNAMI RUN UP •EM. RESPONSE
AFTERSHOCKS
•RECOVERY & RECONSTUCT

5. EIGHT CONCERNS OF ALL
CITIES
• FIVE E’s: Economy, Energy,
Education, Environment, and
Ecology
• TWO S’s: Sustainability and
Security
• ONE H: Healthcare

6. THE HIGGS BOSON PARTICLE
Creates The • Creates The
Force Field That Influence Field
Causes Matter That Causes
People To Form
To Have Mass
A Critical Mass
And Make Things And Make Cities
Happen Disaster Resilient

7. THE “HIGGS BOSON”
PARTICLE IS THE GOD
PARTICLE - - -
----TheParticle In The Invisible
World That Creates The Force
Field That Causes Matter to Have
Mass And Make Things Happen

8. THE “HIGGS BOSON”
PARTICLE OF DISASTER RISK
REDUCTION IS THE PERSON --
---- In The Visible World Who Creates
The Influence Field That Causes
People to Form A Critical Mass And
Make Disaster Prone Cities Become
Disaster Resilient

9. QUESTION---
ARE YOU A HIGGS BOSON
PERSON FOR DISASTER RISK
REDUCTION ?

10. “YOU ARE”--- IF
• You have become a
multi-dimensional
KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATOR
developing a city-specific
knowledge base needed for
disaster resilience

11. A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE
INTEGRATORS
DURING THE 1970’S AND 1980’S
A Focus on Programs for Individual
Natural Hazards
and
Windows of Opportunity

12. “KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”
1970’S AND 1980’S
• GILBERT WHITE
• JOANNE NIGG
• TED ALGERMISSEN
• KARL STEINBRUGGE
• FOURNIER D’ABLE

13. “KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”
1970’S AND 1980’S
• HARESH SHAH
• TSUNEO KATAYAMA
• FAROUK TEBBAL
• VIT KARNIK

14. A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE
INTEGRATORS
DURING THE 1990’S
A Focus on The International Decade
For Natural Disaster Reduction
and
All Hazards

15. “KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”
1990’S
• FRANK PRESS
• GEORGE HOUSNER
• 188 NATIONAL COMMITTEES
(MEN AND WOMEN
PARTICIPANTS IN THE IDNDR)
• UN AGENCY EXPERTS

16. A PARTIAL LIST OF KNOWLEDGE
INTEGRATORS
DURING 2000-2012
A Focus on The International Strategy
For Disaster Reduction
and
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES

17. “KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATORS”
2000’S—2010’S
• UN - ISDR
• GLOBAL RISK FORUM
(GRF’s History is too
short at present)
• THE G-20– (for the future)

18. IT IS TIME TO START
PLANNING FOR THE
DISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND
AUGUST 26, 2012

19. THE DISASTER
RESILIENCE DIVIDEND
The DRD is
HEALTHCARE
on a global scale

20. "Health is a state of complete
physical, mental and social
well-being
and not merely the absence of
disease or infirmity“
WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION

21. GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL
SURGES:
A WAY TO CAUSE A PARADIGM
SHIFT
FROM DISASTER PRONE TO DISASTER
RESILIENCE TO GLOBAL HEALTH
DURING THE 21ST CENTURY

22. LINKED SURGES
A GLOBAL
A GLOBAL
A GLOBAL PLATFORM
A GLOBAL PLATFORM RESOURCE
RESOURCE
DISASTER RESILIENCE FOR KNOWLEDGE
KNOWLEDGE
COMMUNITIES AND
AND
CONTINUING EDUCATION AND EXPERIENCE
EXPERIENCE
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
DISASTER
DISASTER
ISLAND NATIONS PARTNERS: LABORATORIES
LABORATORIES
- Strategic
SUBSAHARA AFRICA REGION EDUCATIONAL
EDUCATIONAL
Interactions -
PARTNERS: SURGES
SURGES
LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN
REGION PARTNERS: CAPACITY
CAPACITY
EUROPEAN REGION PARTNERS: BUILDING
BUILDING
MEDITERRANEAN REGION
PRIMERS
PRIMERS
PARTNERS:
MEETINGS
MEETINGS
ASIAN REGION PARTNERS:
TURNING POINTS
TURNING POINTS
NORTH AMERICAN REGION FOR CHANGE
PARTNERS: FOR CHANGE

23. NON-DISASTER RESILIENCE

24. CHARACTERISTICS OF A NON-
DISASTER-RESILIENT CITY
• UN—PROTECTED, or
• UN—PREPARED, or
• UN—WARNED, or
• UN--ABLE TO RESPOND, or
• UN—”PEPPER--ED”

25. UN—PROTECTED

26. COLLAPSE OF UN BUILDING; PORT
AU PRINCE, HAITI: MARCH 10, 2010

27. COLLAPSED BUILDINGS:
BEICHUAN, CHINA; MAY 12, 2008

28. UN—PREPARED

29. VARZAGHAN, IRAN: AUGUST 15, 2012

30. OVER 600 MILLION PEOPLE
EXPERIENCE BLACKOUTS:JULY 2012

31. TRASH FROM THE MARCH 11,
2011 JAPAN TSUNAMI; JULY 2012

32. FANGSHAN DISTRICT, BEIJING,
CHINA: JULY 25, 2012

33. UN—WARNED

34. KRYMSK, RUSSIA: FLASH
FLOOD; JULY 8, 2012

35. BANDA ACHE, INDONESIA TSUNAMI:
DECEMBER 26, 2004
• 230,000 died
mainly as the
result of
inadequate
warning

36. CYCLONE NARGISH: MYANMAR;
MARCH 12, 2009
• 2.4 MILLION PEOPLE
WERE SERIOUSLY
AFFECTED BECAUSE
THE RULING MILITARY
JUNTA PREVENTED
EARLY WARNING AND
DELIVERY OF
INTERNATIONAL AID

37. NEVADA DEL RUIZ, COLOMBIA:
1989
• 24,000.DIED IN
ARMERO
BECAUSE
THERE WAS NO
OFFICIAL
WARNING.

38. UN--ABLE TO RESPOND

40. WENCHUAN, CHINA; EARTHQUAKE LAKE:
MAY 31, 2008

41. WENCHUAN, CHINA: MAY 32, 2008

42. HURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005
• DEVASTATING
MUDSLIDES
WERE
TRIGGERED BY
PROLONGED,
HEAVY
PRECIPITATION.

43. SEARCH AND RESCUE AFTER
HURRICANE STAN: OCTOBER 2005
• WHEN A MUDSLIDE
BURIES A TOWN,
SEARCH AND
RESCUE BECOMES
VERY URGENT.

44. KOCALEI, TURKEY
EARTHQUAKE: AUGUST 1999
• MASS CARE
PROVIDES A
SAFETY NET FOR
THE HOMELESS
DURING THE
EMERGENCY
RESPONSE
PERIOD.

45. KOCALEI, TURKEY
EARTHQUAKE:AUGUST1999
• A “TENT CITY”
PROVIDES
TEMPORARY
SHELTER FOR THE
HOMELESS
DURING
RECOVERY AND
RECONSTRUCTION

46. LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE FIRE
AND POWER OUTAGES: OCT.,1989
• M7.1
• 63 DEAD
• FIRE IN MARINA
DISTRICT
• WIDE SPREAD LOSS
OF POWER
• 1 BILLION INSURED
LOSS

47. SAN FERNANDO, CA
EARTHQUAKE: FEB., 1971
• LOWERING THE
WATER LEVEL
IMMEDIATELY
AFTER THE
EARTHQUAKE
PREVENTED
FLOODING IN LOS
ANGELES.

48. UN—”PEPPER--ED”

49. WENCHUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE:
MAY 12, 2008
• 88,000 DEAD
• 30,000 INJURED
• 300,000 HOMELESS
• 25 MILLION
BUILDINGS DAMAGED
• 45 MILLION PEOPLE
AFFECTED

50. MANAGUA, NICARAGUA EARTHQUAKE:
FEB, 1972
• 10,000 DEAD; 20,000
INJURED; 300,000
HOMELESS
• NEAR TOTAL
DISRUPTION OF THE
INDUSTRIAL
PRODUCTION
• POLITICAL CHAOS
• CITY RELOCATED

51. LOMA PRIETA, CA EARTHQUAKE:
OCTOBER 17, 1989
• M7.1
• 63 DEAD
• COLLAPSE AND LOSS
OF FUNCTION OF
TRANSPORTATION
INFRASTRUCTURE
• $ 1 BILLION INSURED
LOSS